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tripotomaniac · 4 years

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New Post has been published on Tripotomaniac - Anirban's blogsite

New Post has been published on https://www.endlessvista.com/2020/02/delhi-election-a-five-point-analysis/

Delhi Election - A Five Point Analysis

In last five years, Delhi faced problems no less than any other states. In fact, we can say, the problems were much more in terms of their uniqueness coupled with a new party ruling the State lead by an inexperienced Chief Minister and team of novices. Problems were varying from pollution to women security to water to crimes and what not. According to a report, over sixty thousand deaths reported in Delhi in last five years due to pollution. Therefore it would have been natural if people of Delhi wanted a new Govt run by experienced team so as to rescue Delhi from this so called agony. On top of that, this agony was multiplied by both Congress and BJP through their interviews, social media campaigns, rallies etc. Even the things tried out first time in India were criticized to the extent possible. So, if anyone from a distance saw Delhi, it might have occurred to him that this Govt would see its end in 2020. However it didn’t but something very unique happened that we can say is a new beginning in Indian Politics where Aam Aadmi of Delhi chose a party with which they could connect and approve as one of them.

If one starts analyzing, what are the factors that made this possible, answers will be many. Some will say good work by AAP, some will say wrong timing and declarations by BJP, some will say freebies by AAP but no one said people wanted to test one more time like they wanted BJP at center once more in 2019. People of this country witnessed how things change and development stops with a new Govt coming in and how old developmental works takes a U-turn. Recent example of Andhra Pradesh and daily news from this state is an example which people of Delhi never wanted to create. They also understood, no Govt is perfect neither can do things overnight, however whatever unique things done by AAP in Delhi may not even progress an inch if another Govt comes to power and thus decided to vote in favour of AAP.

In the midst of all these, the two most important entities that changed the equation in favour of AAP are Arvind Kejriwal and BJP. Similar to the campaigns of Rahul Gandhi contributing sometimes to BJP’s win, BJP’s campaign and wrong timing of some actions bent the needle to AAP’s favour. People who earlier decided to vote for BJP seeing Modi and national interests also took a U-turn post the brigade of BJP representatives came from other states to do campaign. And on top of that, absence of a local dependable face for CM but trying to win the state election by keeping the gun on PM’s shoulder were rejected by Delhi strongly.

Local Vs National: In the entire campaign of AAP, Arvind Kejriwal only spoke on development and chose words carefully even when criticizing the oppositions. While BJP was busy on promoting their actions taken on national level at local level and Congress was trying hard decide what to say except bashing central Govt, Kejriwal evolved as a seasoned politician and kept silence in all these CAA/NRC but was showing himself more receptive to arguments etc. In spite of BJP trying to show him as Anti CAA, people actually didn’t find any reason to consider him Anti CAA or Pro JNU or Anti Hindu or Pro Muslim. This balanced stand with the “Prashant Kishore Effect” worked damn well.

Talk Vs Action : The whole campaign of AAP was on highlighting development, revenue of Delhi going up in spite of the free and subsidized amenities, Open house Report card and interview with Media. Very evident was the confidence of AAP and Mr. Kejriwal on their works which is possible only when people worked at ground zero, know what is going on and what’s being done. Be it Mahalla Clinic or Water or Education, good amount of work has been done considering all roadblocks and time to time issues with Lt Governor or CBI etc. On the other hand, BJP campaign was confusing due to absence of local level candidate except the guest appearance of Manoj Tiwari time to time with his laughable style that irritated the people of Delhi. While Arvind Kejriwal was talking about development similar to what brought BJP to Centre, BJP candidates were busy in mudslinging thereby creating a complete contrast between their ideology and intent. The infusion of Modi, Yogi, Shah and others didn’t work out since, Modi being PM is supposed to say what as PM he did or plan to do which is completely national and excellent from emotional point of view which actually brought him to power at centre but its state election. Yogi told in language which may be applicable to Uttar Pradesh but couldn’t affect people of Delhi. And in all these drama, Delhi people continued their search for new BJP CM and got disappointed. I should say, even Smriti Irani could have bagged 15-20 seats had she be announced as CM face of Delhi.

Face Vs No Face: Gone are those days when elections were used to be won with loyal supporters of parties. In this age, the same person votes for Congress at municipality level, BJP at centre and AAP at state purely on three things- Aspiration or emotional level like how his country is represented at global arena, respect and strength against neighbors etc, State level on how overall security, development, day to day need, prices are being controlled, education is managed, healthcare facilities available etc and on municipal level on how the road to his home is being done, whether the roads at his area are illuminated, is there patrolling happening at night etc etc. So no voter is loyal and thus, unless a face with a track record is there to see, people will feel unsecured and confused and with already so much confusion already around, people don’t like any more confusion especially in such areas where it is not a big challenge to remove. And AAP didn’t fail the people of Delhi but projected a face already dear to them or became dear due to the work done in past few years.

Free Vs Chargeable: Even if the freebies given by AAP sometimes are not appreciated considering money from taxpayers being utilized in such free or subsidized things, the strong protest by BJP on this freebies scared people. And when assumptions are easy to be spread today, many must have thought, it’s not only going to be chargeable but may be more that what is reasonable as new Govt has to recover the deficit. When BJP is not fully aware of how this is being done by Kejriwal, they should not have spoken on this. And the simple easy to understand explanation by Arvind Kejriwal in layman’s language on how this is being done convinced people to a large extent apart from the dream and taste of free things for another five years.

Sense Vs No-Sense: Kejriwal also lost his cool once and told there is some settings between Modi and Pakistan but in most of the campaigns, while whole agenda of AAP was highlighting only the work they did with a control on language being used against oppositions, both BJP and Congress continued that strong one side agenda. Sense was prevailing more on AAP and Kejriwal on choosing words vis-à-vis what BJP did. The issue is not only choosing the words, but propaganda through social media showing Delhi people themselves in poor lights thereby creating an enemy without any reason. Showing Delhi people as beggars who long to have only freebies, or as anti-nationals or as divided Hindus actually turned even the pro BJP to anti BJP. Moreover when the controversy on CAA was already going on fueled further by religious sentiments and instigating violence through fear of losing Indian citizenship, using that card or harping again and again on the religion was detrimental. I can surely say, had there been no other representatives of BJP from other states but only a battle between one right candidate of BJP vs Kejriwal, a few more seats could have come to BJP.

All said and done, what I personally like is the evolution of two men i.e., Modi and Kejriwal from humble background to the power that shows the power of Democracy and the intelligence of citizens in voting the right candidates for the right positions and overall disposing the “Dynast Politics” with a ZERO.

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Disclaimer: Views expressed are entirely my own and do not have any connection with any organization, individual, association or Religion.

#aap #bjp #delhi #development #election #india #indian election #indian politics #indianelection #kejriwal #modi #people #politics #religion

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swedna · 4 years

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Delhi election LIVE updates: Voting for the high-stakes Delhi Assembly election is underway. The Delhi election campaign, which ended in the evening of February 6, saw the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aggressively raising the anti-CAA protests at Shaheen Bagh as a poll issue, and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) hard-selling development as its poll plank. The vitriol with which politicians attacked one another drowned out serious debate in the run-up to voting. Meanwhile, the Congress party was conspicuous by its near absence during the campaign.

There are 672 candidates in fray for 70 Assembly seats in Delhi. Over 14.7 million total registered voters in the city include 8.11 million males, 6.7 million females, 869 of the third gender, 11,608 service voters, and 204,830 senior citizens (aged 80 years or more), according to Delhi CEO Office. After 6:30 pm, various media outlets will publish the Delhi Assembly Election 2020 exit polls.

Delhi election results will be declared on February 11 (Tuesday). CATCH ALL THE LIVE UPDATES Auto Refresh 09:50 AM

ANI ✔ @ANI Delhi: Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal along with his family casts his vote at a polling booth in Civil Lines; BJP's Sunil Yadav & Congress's Romesh Sabharwal are contesting against him from New Delhi constituency.

View image on TwitterView image on TwitterView image on Twitter 47 9:49 AM - Feb 8, 2020 Twitter Ads info and privacy 21 people are talking about this 09:48 AM Aam Aadmi Party candidate from Rajinder Nagar, Raghav Chadha casts his vote

ANI ✔ @ANI Delhi: Aam Aadmi Party candidate from Rajinder Nagar, Raghav Chadha casts his vote at a polling station in Rajinder Nagar; Congress's Rocky Tuseed and BJP's RP Singh are contesting from the assembly constituency here.

View image on Twitter 109 9:36 AM - Feb 8, 2020 Twitter Ads info and privacy 27 people are talking about this 09:38 AM Delhi election LIVE: Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal votes

ANI ✔ @ANI Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal leaves for casting his vote.BJP's Sunil Yadav& Congress's Romesh Sabharwal are contesting against him from New Delhi constituency. #DelhiElections2020

View image on TwitterView image on TwitterView image on Twitter 186 9:33 AM - Feb 8, 2020 Twitter Ads info and privacy 91 people are talking about this 09:35 AM Delhi election 2020: Know about Narela Assembly Constituency In the 2020 Delhi Assembly election, the key candidates in the Narela constituency are Sharad Kumar of the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Neel Daman Khatri of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Siddharth Kundu of the Indian National Congress.

09:28 AM Haryana CM Khattar confident of BJP's win in Delhi Haryana Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar on Saturday exuded confidence over the Bharatiya Janata Party's (BJP) victory in the Delhi Assembly elections. "We would form the next government in Delhi with a comfortable victory," he told the media here. Polling was underway for Delhi's 70 Assembly seats which will decide the fate of 672 candidates from the BJP, Aam Aadmi Part and Congress in a three-cornered contest. 09:26 AM Modi’s BJP fights tough election battle for control of Delhi Polls have opened in Delhi’s bitterly contested state election, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party in a tough fight to reclaim the capital region, marking the first major test at the ballot box of his religion-based citizenship law that’s spurred nationwide protests. About 14.6 million voters are expected to cast their votes to elect 70 members to the legislative assembly on Saturday and results are expected on Feb. 11, according to the Election Commission of India. If the incumbent Aam Aadmi Party retains power in the capital region, it will be the third straight electoral setback for Modi, whose party lost control in the states of Jharkhand and Maharashtra last year. AAP is projected to take 54-60 of the 70 assembly seats, down from 67 in the 2015 elections, while the BJP will likely win 10-14, up from three seats previously, according to a Times Now-IPSOS poll released on Monday. 09:24 AM Delhi's debate: Development vs acrimony Whichever way Delhi votes today — and there’s a fair consensus on who the chief minister next week will be — the contest to rule the city-state is distinct from others in recent memory, writes Sunil Sethi. First, the action has shifted from the streets to daily non-stop barracking in the media and social media. No vigorous door-to-door campaigning, as in 2015, when Aam Aadmi Party volunteers collected modest contributions to cleanse a corrupt body politic with its jhadoo symbol. “Na khaunga, na khane dunga” (I won’t be bribed, nor let anyone else pay bribes) Narendra Modi famously said when he led the BJP to power in 2014 but corruption no longer features as an issue for either party. Second, the head-on confrontation was between two dominant figures, Arvind Kejriwal, the city’s popular chief minister, and Union Home Minister Amit Shah — a Sancho Panza fronting for Mr Modi’s Don Quixote — leading a divisive, communally charged campaign. Read on... 09:22 AM A queue of voters at a polling booth in Shaheen Public School in Shaheen Bagh

ANI ✔ @ANI A queue of voters at a polling booth in Shaheen Public School in Shaheen Bagh, Okhla. AAP's Amanatullah is the sitting MLA and 2020 candidate of the party, he is up against Congress's Parvez Hashmi and BJP's Brahm Singh Bidhuri. #DelhiElections2020

View image on TwitterView image on TwitterView image on TwitterView image on Twitter 294 8:15 AM - Feb 8, 2020 Twitter Ads info and privacy 99 people are talking about this 09:22 AM Delhi election: Lt Governor Anil Baijal and his wife Mala Baijal cast vote at a polling station at Greater Kailash Lt Governor Anil Baijal and his wife Mala Baijal cast their vote at a polling station at Greater Kailash; AAP's sitting MLA and candidate Saurabh Bhardwaj is contesting against BJP's Shikha Rai and Congress's Sukhbir Pawar from here.

09:21 AM Alka Lamba casts her vote at polling booth number 161 at Tagore Garden Extension Congress candidate from the Chandni Chowk assembly constituency, Alka Lamba casts her vote at polling booth number 161 at Tagore Garden Extension; She is up against Prahlad Singh Sahni of Aam Aadmi Party and BJP's Suman Gupta.

#Delhi

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nisheethsharan · 4 years

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Why BJP failed to breach Kejriwal’s bastion

It is universally acknowledged that incumbent governments are in campaign mode all through their tenure, while opposition gets its act together closer to the hustings. I use this banal observation not because it merits mention, but to remind you that politics and elections are a 24/7/365 effort. Over the years with the advent of high octane political campaigns, the import of this understanding has diluted. Incumbents think they will figure out the future and the freebies in their 4th year in power, while the opposition takes on the government only tactically and believes in mounting a challenge only when the election season arrives.

Probably, it is better utilisation of resources but certainly not smarter utilisation of resources. Because the voters form their opinion of parties over every day of their existence. Which is why “living the character” in politics is so important for ones branding.

Delhi Assembly elections are the most recent instance of BJP relinquishing the role of an active opposition for 59 months and picking it up with gusto in the 60th. It displayed less a commitment to Delhi and more to elections. It is a move fraught with risks. But to imagine BJP erred in its approach would be wrong. BJP played by its script. A script which is getting dog eared by the day as its strike rate is under threat and the party faces erosion of states. To understand what really contributed to the defeat of BJP in Delhi let us look at how the Delhi elections unfolded.

Dusting and rebooting BJP Delhi

BJP has been well aware of the stench in its Delhi unit. For over 20 years BJP Delhi has been at loggerheads in terms of petty factionalism, leadership conflicts, groupism and opaque ceilings. The same jaded faces have lorded over their micro fiefdoms to manage their mini factions in Municipal elections and the power that comes with it. BJP has managed to win the parliamentary and municipal elections but failed to have their legislative candidates. They have lost connect with the people, are seen as an arrogant and corrupt bunch with no zeal to solve the problems of Delhi. BJP’s mistake No. 1 was to not address the rot in its Delhi unit.

A leaderless party is a faceless fear.

BJP had over 10 years to identify and groom its second generation Delhi leaders. For a party that plans well into the future, BJP failed to do so. We have the example of Arvind Kejriwal who emerged out of nowhere and became a face to reckon with in Delhi’s political landscape. All through his journey, he was never singularly challenged by a young dynamic BJP leader backed by the party’s national leadership. Instead BJP chose to field its national leaders against Kejriwal to his delight and advantage. Initially PM Modi and currently HM Amit Shah have taken on Kejriwal. Kejriwal couldn’t have prayed for a brighter stroke of luck. In fact, he made every effort to pitch himself in that zone.

There has been increasing chatter nationally about BJP’s policy of winning states and foisting light weight state leaders as CM, a move resented by the voters as well as party’s state units. PM Modi has maintained rock solid loyalty from public while state units appear too infirm in comparison. To add to the equation is the internecine power struggle and heart burn that emerges from it. Delhi voters were not looking for an anointed CM, should BJP win. They wanted to know the groom well before the marriage. Not choosing a Delhi bred state leader who could connect with the aspirational Delhi voters was BJP’s mistake No 2.

60 months is NOT equal to 60 days

Over the 60 months of Arvind Kejriwal’s tenure, BJP almost allowed him a clean run. Admittedly, with its minuscule presence in the Delhi Assembly there was little BJP could do in the house. But that allowed BJP the opportunity of putting its famed opposition genes to use. BJP could have gone to the public at every given opportunity. Instead, it allowed Kejriwal to accuse Modi government of obstructionism and disfavour while really not delivering anything spectacular. BJP had 60 days to put Arvind Kejriwal and his juvenile government on the mat, but it chose to take him on only in the last 60 days, committing its mistake No. 3

A campaign too late

Till December end, the Delhi elections were considered a foregone conclusion. From rank and file to state-national leaders, the preparedness indicated BJP had chosen to throw in the towel even before the match. It is an intriguing question why BJP decided to take on AAP so late in the day. It is believed that serious planning for Delhi elections began only in the first week of January. Probably the defeat in Jharkhand at the tail of Maharashtra debacle pushed Delhi Elections up the priority of the national leadership.

With its state unit in disarray, rusted local leaders and dejected karyakartas, BJP decided to go all out. A call for all-hands-on-the-deck pushed BJP’s famed election machinery to contest a minuscule territory against a wily adversary playing in his backyard. This was akin to an under prepared Indian cricket team out to challenge Australia on its windy, bouncy wickets; definitely its mistake No 4.

Choosing to be a Goliath?

Putting up a brave fight in Delhi appears like a diktat that came in too late. Credit must go to Amit Shah- JP Nadda for mobilising the largest inflow of BJP leaders, managers and organisational heavyweights in a spirited show of aggression. One can appreciate the Hobson’s choice both had. With a leadership transition in progress (Between Amit Shah-JP Nadda), a redundant state unit, he had no choice but to call on his trusted lieutenants from outside. By one estimate, 4 Organisation General Secretaries, 6 Ex CMs, 8-10 state presidents and countless MPs and MLAs were tasked with mapping every nook and corner of Delhi.

However, this had a set of problems all its own. It created multiple power centres, decision making units and communication silos. The local units initially resented this airdropping of senior leaders but over a period of time aligned themselves and started functioning as a team.

What this created was very public, heavy duty, high visibility presence of BJP on the streets. Although it injected necessary enthusiasm in the BJP cadre and supporters it also created an unwanted David vs Goliath scenario for neutral, apolitical voters. Here were a bunch of heavy weights with no connection to Delhi working to throw out a local lad who was unequally matched.

By default, AAP and its local units became David to BJP's Goliath. And we know everybody has a soft corner for the underdog.

Selection of candidates

There has been a difference of opinion amongst people who know about the selection of candidates. I do believe, nobody knows more about the process of decision making than the parties involved. By a rough estimate of winnability being the criteria, BJP managed to select approximately 60% candidates with electoral winnability while 40% were selected on political considerations. It might be possible that those 40% were from “grade C’ constituencies where possibility of winning was meagre. However, it would be safe to assume that the selection of candidates was sub optimal.

This was also evident from the absence of heavy weights in the electoral fray. Academically, imagine if the candidate list included Dr Harshvardhan, Manoj Tiwari, Vijay Goel, Meenakshi Lekhi and Parvesh Singh Verma. The kickoff to the elections would be with leaders personally invested in the outcome. It would have mobilised the local karyakartas as their lifelines would have been on the chopping block. Nonetheless, this is a matter of conjecture and for worthier political acumen to dwell upon.

Kejriwal’s bulwark against BJP: Freebies and more.

Unable to deliver on his loftier electoral promises like marshals in buses, 15 lac CCTV cameras, 500 schools/colleges and so on, Kejriwal opted for the Shivraj Chouhan model of delivery. It had worked for him in 2015 too.

By an estimation 30 lac household (75lac voters) fell into the bracket of less than 200 units of free electricity. It is reported they have been receiving a Nil Electricity Bill for many months now. Thats a sizeable contribution to their average monthly cash savings. Electorally, this was freebies in the bag, not promises.

Free rides for women, free tirth yatra for elders etc also played their role in keeping Kejriwal’s 2015 voters cemented. Now compare this with BJPs spread of freebies, which was bigger and BJP had no option but to extend them.

The difference lay in ‘a bird in hand is better than two in the bush’. AAP prevailed here.

The tactical absence of Congress

The dwindling vote share of Congress from the time Shiela Dikshit exited Delhi politics should have struck to BJP. It would have been smart of BJP to ween away those voters. With nobody to peg themselves to, these voters frittered away to both sides of the spectrum with an erosion of about 8-10%. It can be assumed that ideological divergence would have pushed most of them towards AAP. In the current elections, Congress as a party has displayed conspicuous lack of application. It sent a tacit message to its voters to consolidate behind AAP to harm BJP. This myopic move, drawn from its leadership’s visceral hatred for BJP may cost it dearly in the days to come.

An improved Kejriwal

With all the restraint at his command and to the relief of voters, Kejriwal appeared to have matured as a politician. He displayed a tight grip on his emotions, was measured in his utterances, stayed clear of the shrill, slanging matches he was known for and read entirely from the script. Ask him anything and he would talk of the things that rung a bell with the voters. Electricity, water, tirthayatra, schools, clinics. This is the evolution of Arvind Kejriwal 2.0 that makes him ready for larger space on the political horizon.

Kejriwal lured them with Shaheen Bagh. BJP lapped it up.

Setting the agenda is the single most important initiative in an electoral battle. With the CAA protests sizzling across the country, AAP and its allies erected Delhi’s own battle field. The Shaheen Bagh protests, with continuous media coverage and frenzy, propelled it to the national mainstream.

The signature of India Against Corruption and the Anna Andolan was evident in they way Shaheen Bagh was organised and captured national visibility. It was a thought out move with zero spontaneity.

That was the lure AAP presented to BJP. It hid a poisoned hook under its shiny plume. BJP, already late into the arena with very little to show for its Delhi efforts, no exciting vision for future of Delhi and struggling to win over the poor in a fight for freebies lapped up the lure. Now the hook was set. And agenda was squarely in the hands of Kejriwal.

Incremental? What incremental?

Elections in democracy are about adding incremental votes. It is said seats are won on the election day but vote shares are won 24x7x365. With Shaheen Bagh becoming the point of reckoning, the lines were drawn.

Muslims + Liberal + Poor vs Nationalism consolidated

It is a given that in times of Hindu-Muslim conflict, Muslims mobilise and consolidate first and fast. Hindu consolidation begins slowly and takes a longer time to peak. Kejriwal had gauged this accurately to peak muslim consolidation right into the elections. BJP had no choice but to hasten the process of Hindu consolidation to get to peak it in time. The high decibel aggression of Amit Shah without losing a minute in bringing Shaheen Bagh to focus was a fait accompli. He was fighting for a Hindu backlash in a city where a large chunk likes to play liberal. Kejriwal was clear that he wanted nationalist (read BJP) consolidation not a reverse Hindu consolidation. To Amit Shah’s advantage, emergence of Hard Muslim utterances of Sharjil Imam and Amanatullah variety, created the reason for not just nationalists but also the Hindus to consolidate against him. Vary of a Hindu backlash, Arvind Kejriwal was quick to distance himself from Shaheen Bagh while letting Manish Sisodia support it in a cheeky display of brazen ambiguity.

However, Kejriwal made all efforts to dilute the reverse Hindu polarisation by citing Hanuman Chalisa on TV with fawning anchors in tow. Following it up with his religious tweets in a subliminal act of deceit. But by then, part of the damage was done.

Let’s come to the electoral arithmetic of polarisation. With Hindu-Muslim becoming the leitmotif of Delhi elections, BJP had little to gain. The nationalist Hindu voters were already behind them. At best, this polarisation ensured that entire core vote of BJP voted. With BJP’s apathy for Delhi, earlier there was a fear of even its core voters not coming out to vote. Amit Shah’s high decibel campaign ensured that the core voter came out and also rallied behind him nationally.

What it did not do was get substantial incremental votes.

BJP crosses the victory line with its core voters AND incremental voters. Without the incremental votes it languishes in the Advani era.

Nationally, PM Modi and team have been mindful of gaining incremental votes of the poor sections and the aspirational voters. In Delhi, with the poor class hooked to AAP’s freebies, naive hooked to Arvind’s theatrics, aspirational class being averse to hard Hindutva, there really were no incremental votes to woo.

BJP was confined to its core vote bank and nothing much.

Soft Hindutva vs Hard Hindutva

Both parties managed to achieve a highly charged, polarised atmosphere. However, this polarisation was more in favour of AAP with muslims rallying behind it. It is an established psychographic conclusion that a large part of Delhi is averse to hard Hindutva. Probably, it has to do with the entrepreneurial mindset of Delhi which avoids situations of commercial inactivity. Or possibly the aspirational urgency of the youngsters who connect more to the idea of a liberal village than to the idea of civilisational majesty. With the Sharjeel Imam episode it was impossible for BJP not to rebut. But rebuttal pushed BJP into the Hard Hindutva zone while Kejriwal went about singing Hanuman Chalisa to soften Hindus. In BJP’s defence, it was not a choice they made. It was a decision thrust upon them by circumstances.

Feet-in-the-street vs Vanishing volunteers

Till 2015 and beyond, AAP had a bubbling presence of committed volunteer who travelled across the world to participate in this “Lets change India” experiment. However, with realpolitik taking over, Arvind Kejriwal practised what any dyed in wool politician would. He consolidated his stranglehold over his fledgling party. Challengers and dissenters were quickly shown the door. Volunteers were now a burden of expectations and resources. He swiftly displayed a cold shoulder and most of the naive volunteers withdrew with their innocence hurt. It did not matter much to Arvind then, because running the government hardly required anybody looking over his shoulders.

This is where Amit Shah-JP Nadda and his team had a clean sweep. With his mammoth machine in action, core voters energised, he had no shortage of feet on the street. In the classic mould of Sangh mobilisation, the BJP workers went door to door, cross checking on their voters and ensured voting peaked tactically in identified constituencies. The much talked about surge voting of 4pm onwards was the outcome of BJP’s untiring efforts to bring their lazy and latent supporters to the voting machines. Raising its vote share from 6.37% over 2015.

Chemistry vs Arithmetic

There is now no doubt that Kejriwal walked away with the chemistry in these elections. He managed to connect with Delhi as their own person, to give respectability to freebies, adopted the mantle of the eldest son, his residual image of a man trying to do better for Delhi and above all an underdog defending his terrain from BJP heavyweights endeared him to Delhi. Where he lost was with nationalists who pegged him with the Shaheen Bagh crowd and considered him a potential threat to national interests.

BJP on the other hand had limited sentiment going for it. The Hindu backlash, though limited, along with nationalism under threat and belligerent Islamism ensured that BJP’s captive vote bank poured out in numbers. Aided with tactical voting in identified seats, feet on the street management countered Kejriwal’s chemistry with its own brand of comprehensive arithmetic.

In the end, however, arithmetic proved woefully short of chemistry.

#delhi election 2020 #kejriwal #aap #narendra modi #amit shah

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inhindinews · 4 years

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Delhi Elections 2020: मोदी Vs केजरीवाल न हो जाए दिल्ली की फाइट, AAP ने चला ये दांव - Delhi elections 2020 arvind kejriwal challenge bjp cm candidate pm modi face aap manifesto

Delhi Elections 2020: मोदी Vs केजरीवाल न हो जाए दिल्ली की फाइट, AAP ने चला ये दांव – Delhi elections 2020 arvind kejriwal challenge bjp cm candidate pm modi face aap manifesto

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केजरीवाल ने पूछा- सीएम कैंडिडेट का नाम बताए बीजेपी

अरविंद केजरीवाल ने बीजेपी को दी खुली बहस की चुनौती

दिल्ली विधानसभा चुनाव (Delhi Elections 2020) की लड़ाई बेहद दिलचस्प मोड़ पर आ गई है. प्रधानमंत्री नरेंद्र मोदी के प्रचार में उतरने के 24 घंटे के अंदर ही आम आद��ी पार्टी ने अपना घोषणा पत्र जारी कर दिया है. इस दौरान दिल्ली की…

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#AAP #arvind #Bjp #Candidate #Challenge #CM #Delhi #Elections #Face #kejriwal #manifesto #modi #Pm #क #कजरवल #चल #जए #दलल #दव #न #फइट #मद #य #ह

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desidozzz · 6 years

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#kejriwaldhrna: come out in support of Kejriwal big politics

Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal sitting on dharna today. At that Kejriwal dharna performance has led to a turning point. Where can be seen the other ministers of four states with them. As you may know Kejriwal's protest IAS is to prevent the strike of officials and be to the orders them back to work again.

Minister to support Kejriwal

Some newcomers due to new twist in the demonstration also surfaced. Newcomers Puducherry Chief Minister V. Narayanaswamy and Karnataka Chief Minister HD Kumaraswamy, West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandra Babu Naidu, Kerala Chief Minister P. Vijayan. Let me tell you, these people had sought time to meet Kejriwal wrote to LG by ministers.

First place went to the minister around

Ministers of the four states were the first to Kejriwal's house. The current Kejriwal's wife conveyed to them the current situation. Puducherry Chief Minister what Kejriwal said Sit sitting Pondicherry Chief Minister VS. Narainsamy to Arvind Kejriwal'm thinking about giving said they support that I sit in my state LG beam drawing room Bedi against them. What he said Mamata Banerjee to support Kejriwal 4 Minister Kejriwal home they press conference too. She said she would take the front of the case to the Prime Minister. Naidu's statement at the press conference CM Chandrababu Naidu said, we have come here to support CM of Delhi. They all must heed demands, because he was CM of Delhi. People may have to work choosing CM, elected government. She has also sought permission to meet LG. But still there was no answer at this point. Statement of Karnataka CM on display The CM Kumar Swamy sought to interfere with the prime minister on the issue of performance protest against. The central government should also take immediate action on the matter. However, according to the Kerala minister went democratically elected government should be allowed to work. The government attack on Mamata She has something different from the case that political attack follows the central government. We show all union have come to support Kejriwal in Delhi. Work of Delhi is close to 4 days. The opposition party also has no dignity. According to him, LG does not have time to meet the chief ministers of the six days. So, if LG does not release time, so would we have what door Ktktaan. Constitutional crisis in Delhi According to him, the constitutional crisis in Delhi. Over the past four months, it is not only the name has not solved the case. Delhi CM on LG's home for the past 6 days. The solution is not so likely to C led in every state. Will take up the PM things Mamata According to Mamata Banerjee yesterday Policy Commission meeting Prime unfolds with Narendra Modi. As will be the case. When it recently in the nation's capital that the country will do. I have to say is very sad that the government should be concerned with the government. All story image source from Google Based on the following social buttons to become part of our social family to definitely like and follow: AndTurn right on notification on hand to make new Cricket News Update future (allow) and Download fast Mobile App K Below Story also read: Launches 16 megapixel selfie camera Nokia X6 The fastest and lightest web browser Amazon Internet Lite Launch Why getting a bath, she had this photo swimming pool viral, will be surprised because .. Statement bid famous choreographer Saroj Khan Casting Couch disputed or right? Share to disclose their prices and favorite social media on the information went Read the full article

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tripotomaniac · 4 years

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New Post has been published on Tripotomaniac - Anirban's blogsite

New Post has been published on https://www.endlessvista.com/2020/02/delhi-2020-a-five-point-analysis/

Delhi 2020 - A Five Point Analysis

In last five years, Delhi faced problems no less than any other states. In fact, we can say, the problems were much more in terms of their uniqueness coupled with a new party ruling the State lead by an inexperienced Chief Minister and team of novices. Problems were varying from pollution to women security to water to crimes and what not. According to a report, over sixty thousand deaths reported in Delhi in last five years due to pollution. Therefore it would have been natural if people of Delhi wanted a new Govt run by experienced team so as to rescue Delhi from this so called agony. On top of that, this agony was multiplied by both Congress and BJP through their interviews, social media campaigns, rallies etc. Even the things tried out first time in India were criticized to the extent possible. So, if anyone from a distance saw Delhi, it might occur to him that this Govt will see its end in 2020. But it didn’t but something very unique happened that we can say is a new beginning in Indian Politics where Aam Aadmi of Delhi chose a party with which they could connect and approve as one of them.

If one starts analyzing, what are the factors that made this possible, answers will be many. Some will say good work by AAP, some will say wrong timing and declarations by BJP, some will say freebies by AAP but hardly anyone will say, people wanted to test one more time like they wanted BJP at center once more in 2019. People of this country witnessed how things change and development stops with a new Govt coming in and how old developmental works takes a U-turn. Recent example of Andhra Pradesh and daily news from this state is an example which people of Delhi never wanted to create. They also understood, no Govt is perfect neither can do things overnight, however whatever unique things done by AAP in Delhi may not even progress an inch if another Govt comes to power and thus decided to vote in favour of AAP.

Sense Vs Non-Sense: Kejriwal also lost his cool once and told there is some settings between Modi and Pakistan but in most of the campaigns, while whole agenda of AAP was highlighting only the work they did with a control on language being used against oppositions, both BJP and Congress continued that strong one side agenda. Sense was prevailing more on AAP and Kejriwal on choosing words vis-à-vis what BJP did. The issue is not only choosing the words, but propaganda through social media showing Delhi people themselves in poor lights thereby creating an enemy without any reason. Showing Delhi people as beggars who long to have only freebies, or as anti-nationals or as divided Hindus actually turned even the pro BJP to anti BJP. I can surely say, had there been no other representatives of BJP from other states but only a battle between one right candidate of BJP vs Kejriwal, a few more seats could have come to BJP.

#2020 #aap #bjp #delhi #democracy #election #india #people

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