No paywall version here.
"Two and a half years ago, when I was asked to help write the most authoritative report on climate change in the United States, I hesitated...
In the end, I said yes, but reluctantly. Frankly, I was sick of admonishing people about how bad things could get. Scientists have raised the alarm over and over again, and still the temperature rises. Extreme events like heat waves, floods and droughts are becoming more severe and frequent, exactly as we predicted they would. We were proved right. It didn’t seem to matter.
Our report, which was released on Tuesday, contains more dire warnings. There are plenty of new reasons for despair. Thanks to recent scientific advances, we can now link climate change to specific extreme weather disasters, and we have a better understanding of how the feedback loops in the climate system can make warming even worse. We can also now more confidently forecast catastrophic outcomes if global emissions continue on their current trajectory.
But to me, the most surprising new finding in the Fifth National Climate Assessment is this: There has been genuine progress, too.
I’m used to mind-boggling numbers, and there are many of them in this report. Human beings have put about 1.6 trillion tons of carbon in the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution — more than the weight of every living thing on Earth combined. But as we wrote the report, I learned other, even more mind-boggling numbers. In the last decade, the cost of wind energy has declined by 70 percent and solar has declined 90 percent. Renewables now make up 80 percent of new electricity generation capacity. Our country’s greenhouse gas emissions are falling, even as our G.D.P. and population grow.
In the report, we were tasked with projecting future climate change. We showed what the United States would look like if the world warms by 2 degrees Celsius. It wasn’t a pretty picture: more heat waves, more uncomfortably hot nights, more downpours, more droughts. If greenhouse emissions continue to rise, we could reach that point in the next couple of decades. If they fall a little, maybe we can stave it off until the middle of the century. But our findings also offered a glimmer of hope: If emissions fall dramatically, as the report suggested they could, we may never reach 2 degrees Celsius at all.
For the first time in my career, I felt something strange: optimism.
And that simple realization was enough to convince me that releasing yet another climate report was worthwhile.
Something has changed in the United States, and not just the climate. State, local and tribal governments all around the country have begun to take action. Some politicians now actually campaign on climate change, instead of ignoring or lying about it. Congress passed federal climate legislation — something I’d long regarded as impossible — in 2022 as we turned in the first draft.
[Note: She's talking about the Inflation Reduction Act and the Infrastructure Act, which despite the names were the two biggest climate packages passed in US history. And their passage in mid 2022 was a big turning point: that's when, for the first time in decades, a lot of scientists started looking at the numbers - esp the ones that would come from the IRA's funding - and said "Wait, holy shit, we have an actual chance."]
And while the report stresses the urgency of limiting warming to prevent terrible risks, it has a new message, too: We can do this. We now know how to make the dramatic emissions cuts we’d need to limit warming, and it’s very possible to do this in a way that’s sustainable, healthy and fair.
The conversation has moved on, and the role of scientists has changed. We’re not just warning of danger anymore. We’re showing the way to safety.
I was wrong about those previous reports: They did matter, after all. While climate scientists were warning the world of disaster, a small army of scientists, engineers, policymakers and others were getting to work. These first responders have helped move us toward our climate goals. Our warnings did their job.
To limit global warming, we need many more people to get on board... We need to reach those who haven’t yet been moved by our warnings. I’m not talking about the fossil fuel industry here; nor do I particularly care about winning over the small but noisy group of committed climate deniers. But I believe we can reach the many people whose eyes glaze over when they hear yet another dire warning or see another report like the one we just published.
The reason is that now, we have a better story to tell. The evidence is clear: Responding to climate change will not only create a better world for our children and grandchildren, but it will also make the world better for us right now.
Eliminating the sources of greenhouse gas emissions will make our air and water cleaner, our economy stronger and our quality of life better. It could save hundreds of thousands or even millions of lives across the country through air quality benefits alone. Using land more wisely can both limit climate change and protect biodiversity. Climate change most strongly affects communities that get a raw deal in our society: people with low incomes, people of color, children and the elderly. And climate action can be an opportunity to redress legacies of racism, neglect and injustice.
I could still tell you scary stories about a future ravaged by climate change, and they’d be true, at least on the trajectory we’re currently on. But it’s also true that we have a once-in-human-history chance not only to prevent the worst effects but also to make the world better right now. It would be a shame to squander this opportunity. So I don’t just want to talk about the problems anymore. I want to talk about the solutions. Consider this your last warning from me."
-via New York Times. Opinion essay by leading climate scientist Kate Marvel. November 18, 2023.
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you know what, fuck joe biden. fuck joe biden. i am so deeply enraged tonight. thousands of palestinians have been murdered in a genocide funded by US tax dollars, and his administration thinks it's a good time to post memes?? most young people i know are living paycheck to paycheck (or debt to debt), and they think they can appeal to us by posting goddamn memes? at least one hundred people were killed in rafah due to an israeli air strike during the superbowl, and biden posts a dark brandon meme? what the absolute fuck? over twelve thousand children have been murdered in cold blood by the israeli military, funded by the united states, funded by my goddamn taxes, and biden tweets about seats on airplanes? i can't afford to buy meat, but thank god part of my paycheck is being spent on bombing children. i am ashamed i voted for him. if i ever met the man, i would spit on him. i would throw both my shoes at him. i am disgusted and angry. god fucking damnit
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I want to know about Kiki 😤
Fucking knew u were gonna call me out on this one Amelia 😂 and you already know all the details... It's abandoned and on chapter 2... I don't ever see myself picking it up again... 😔
Here's a snip for u, it pains me to even open it cuz I wrote it ages ago... 😩 But only for u Amelia and it's a long snip too, hope you will like it! This is in the beginnning, when witch omega Lou gets ready to set out to find a town for himself.
“Haz!” He cried, cupping his hand around his mouth as he shouted into every room.
“Stop yelling about, Louis!” Jo poked her head out of her laboratory. “I’ve got a customer here.”
Louis ducked his head politely when he spotted their regular customer, Mrs. Bates, who always sported a weak heart and needed Jo’s energy potion to keep her health. She said that Jo’s potions worked like wonder compared to the town’s doctor’s.
“I hear you’re setting out tonight, young man?” The old woman asked, pushing her spectacles up her nose as she contemplated Louis with a warm smile. The omega beamed back at her.
“Yeah!” He turned back to Jo who was carefully mixing a bowl of herbs. “Have you seen Haz?”
His mother rolled her eyes dramatically and pointed to the kitchen doorway. “You forgot to feed him when you went out this morning and he has been sulking at the window ever since!”
Louis blanched. “Oh, fuck…” He whispered, low enough so that Jo wouldn’t hear. Mrs. Bates seemed to catch it though because she chuckled and Louis winked at her.
He quickened his pace and ran to the kitchen. True enough his beloved cat was curled up on the windowsill that looked out into the back garden. His emerald green eyes turned and he fixed Louis with an annoyed look before hissing. The sun was setting and Louis could see the orange orb slowly sinking down the skyline. Soon, his heart sang, soon he was going to be out there.
“Haz…” He approached the cat carefully and Haz hissed louder. Louis decided to change course because he was sure Haz was planning on clawing his eyes out if he advanced any further.
He sidled up to the fridge (showing that he was keeping a respectful distance) and peered into it for some food to bribe his stubborn cat. Haz was probably even more stubborn than he was.
His eyes lit upon the unfinished pumpkin pie from last night and also the half empty glass of milk. He made a show of pulling the items from the fridge and placing them on the kitchen counter.
He took a knife and cut the pie into tiny pieces so that it would be easier for Haz to chew and poured the milk into a plate.
“Come here, love, I’m sorry.” He cooed, pushing the food across the counter towards Haz’s positions on the window sill.
“We were fighting last night so I was mad at you this morning and went out before remembering to feed you. I’m so sorry, my sweet.” He comforted. They had gotten into a fight last night because Louis had accidentally destroyed Haz’s favorite cushion when he was practicing levitating spells in the bedroom. He had burned it since he had mispronounced a syllable in his charm and they had watched the remains of the cushion fall to the floor, nothing but a pile of ashes.
“I’ll buy you a new one when we settle into the new town okay? Promise.” Louis had tried to appease the horrified cat, but Haz had spat at him and went to bed in the corner, on top of Louis’ old clothes, instead of in the omega’s bed like usual.
Speaking of which, Haz was still not moving from his perch and Louis could only sigh.
“We’re setting out tonight, H.” He said softly and the cat perked up, eyes shining as Louis grinned at him. He tapped the plate and reached out his hand tentatively.
“We’re gonna find our town tonight. It’s gonna be our town.”
This made Haz let out a small grumble before he was unfolding himself and jumping down to nuzzle at Louis’ hand.
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The choice to put Una Chin-Reily on a Starfleet recruitment poster in the late 2370s seems a nod to the extraordinary person she is and her exemplary service, but Boimler’s enthusiasm for her as a personal hero cannot mask the fact of what Starfleet execs are really doing here: while it is Starfleet tradition to honour esteemed personnel from its centuries of history, we have to look at the poster as a product of its time: it seems clear that, shortly after the devastating death toll and the rapid militarisation of the Dominion War, putting a prominent figure of the Great Exploration Age - and notedly someone who had not served in the Klingon War - as the poster person for Starfleet is an indictment that contemporary young people of the Federation are not drawn to the service as it is in their time anymore.
Critically, Starfleet has to use somebody from a 120 years ago, a timeframe that would lap generations of even especially long lived member species like Vulcans or Denobulans, to attract new recruits.
Boimler says himself that seeing Una as a representative and her motto - “Ad astra per aspera” was: “Uh, it was a really big reason why I joined.” Clearly there is a wealth of recognisable Starfleet officers from 2370 and onwards, but their entanglement in the Dominion War, or at least in the Borg threat makes them unsuitable as role models for people like Boimler who cannot help but associate these contemporaries with the horrors of war and intergalactic conflict.
Thus, the retreat to a “safe” historical narrative, with Starfleet still being about peaceful exploration reflects the growing divide between the realities of a colonised galaxy, the ongoing need of new bodies to fill the posts on all those ships and space stations and the aspirations and values of young people today. In this essay I will question whether Starfleet can keep its promise of scientific integrity in the face of growing political unrest in the UFP and ask what “Number One” herself would have thought about-
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I have to take a moment to pause and post this as it hits so close to home for me personally.
I am electing to "borrow" and repost something I saw posted last year as it is so poignant. I hope you take a few moments in the next few hours to reflect.
On this day, 22 years ago (9/10/2001):
🔹️246 people went to sleep in preparation for their morning flights
🔹️2,606 people went to sleep in preparation for work in the morning
🔹️343 firefighters went to sleep in preparation for their morning shift.
🔹️60 police officers went to sleep in preparation for morning patrol
🔹️8 paramedics went to sleep in preparation for the morning shift
None of them saw past 10:00am on Sept 11, 2001.
In one single moment, life may never be the same.
As you live and enjoy the breaths you take today and tonight, before you go to sleep in preparation for your life tomorrow, kiss the ones you love, snuggle a little tighter, and never take one second of your life for granted.
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