Visit Blog
Explore Tumblr blogs with no restrictions, modern design and the best experience.
Fun Fact
In an interview with, David Karp (Tumblr's founder) admitted, "Being on computers all the time makes me feel gross."
Trending Blogs

Effective prediction of general price level trends has been a major concern of entrepreneurs and monetary authorities in Nigeria over the past decades. The results allow monetary authorities to prepare effectively and the profit drive on the part of entrepreneurs and investors continues. This research uses a univariate model developed by Box and Jenkins in the form of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model and a multivariate time series model to forecast inflation for Nigeria in the form of the Vector Autoregressive model. Changes in the monthly use of this paper For the period 2003 to 2012, the consumer price index collected from the National Bureau of Statistics and the Central Bank of Nigeria forecast movements in the general price level. The best forecasting model for predicting inflation in Nigeria is defined on the basis of various diagnostic and evaluation parameters. The results would enable policymakers and businesses to monitor the output and stability of key macroeconomic indicators using the inflation forecast. For the month of 2012:10, the study expected core inflation using VAR to be 11.06 percent. A major drawback of this study is that the VAR method and the ARIMA method based on two major forecasting methods and ignored the use of neural network analysis. Furthermore, as an indicator of inflation, only core inflation was used. Subsequent inflation forecasting studies in Nigeria should aim to predict inflation through a broader variety of inflation steps.

Author (s) Details

Dr. Ikechukwu Kelikume
Lagos Business School, K.M 22 Lekki-Aja Expressway, Lagos Island, Lagos State, Nigeria.

Adedoyin Salami
Lagos Business School, K.M 22 Lekki-Aja Expressway, Lagos Island, Lagos State, Nigeria.

View Book :-ย

0 notes

Favorite anime and manga phrases so far.

1. โ€œ๐ผ๐‘กโ€™๐‘  ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก ๐‘–๐‘š๐‘๐‘œ๐‘ ๐‘ ๐‘–๐‘๐‘™๐‘’, ๐‘–๐‘กโ€™๐‘  ๐‘—๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘ก ๐˜ฉ๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘‘.โ€ โ€” ๐ต๐‘œ๐“€๐“Š๐“‰๐‘œ ๐’ฆ๐‘œ๐“Š๐“‰๐’ถ๐“‡๐‘œ.

2. โ€œ๐ผโ€™๐‘™๐‘™ ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘˜๐‘’ ๐‘ ๐‘ข๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘™๐‘–๐‘ฃ๐‘’ ๐‘Ž ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘›๐‘” ๐‘™๐‘–๐‘“๐‘’. ๐ผโ€™๐‘š ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก ๐‘Ž ๐‘ฃ๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘ฆ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘๐‘’๐‘๐‘ก๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘™๐‘’ ๐‘๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘ ๐‘œ๐‘›, ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘’ ๐‘™๐‘’๐‘Ž๐‘ ๐‘ก ๐ผ ๐‘๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘‘๐‘œ ๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ข ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘›๐‘œ๐‘ก ๐‘‘๐‘–๐‘’ ๐‘๐‘’๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’ ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ข ๐‘‘๐‘œ.โ€ โ€” ๐’ฎ๐’ฝ๐“Š๐“ƒ ๐ป๐’ถ๐“ˆ๐’ฝ๐’พ๐“‚๐‘œ๐“‰๐‘œ.

3. โ€œ๐‘๐‘œ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘–๐‘›๐‘” ๐‘–๐‘› ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ค๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘™๐‘‘ ๐‘๐‘Ž๐‘› ๐‘“๐‘–๐‘™๐‘™ ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘’ ๐˜ฉ๐‘œ๐‘™๐‘’ ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘Ž๐‘ก ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ข๐‘Ÿ ๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘›๐‘’๐‘™๐‘–๐‘›๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘ , ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ข ๐‘ค๐‘–๐‘™๐‘™ ๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘๐‘’๐‘Ÿ ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ๐‘’ ๐‘‘๐‘Ž๐‘Ÿ๐‘˜๐‘›๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘  ๐‘“๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘›๐‘–๐‘ก๐‘ฆ.โ€œ โ€” ๐’ฎ๐’ถ๐“€๐“Š๐“ƒ๐‘œ๐“ˆ๐“Š๐“€๐‘’ ๐’ช๐’น๐’ถ.

4. โ€œ๐‘‡๐˜ฉ๐‘’๐‘Ÿ๐‘’โ€™๐‘  ๐‘๐‘œ๐‘ก๐˜ฉ ๐ฟ๐‘œ๐‘ฃ๐‘’โ€™๐‘  ๐‘—๐‘œ๐‘ฆ ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐ฟ๐‘œ๐‘ฃ๐‘’โ€™๐‘  ๐‘†๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘ค, ๐‘ ๐‘œ ๐‘ค๐˜ฉ๐‘ฆโ€ฆ ๐‘‘๐‘œ ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ข ๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ค๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ๐‘  ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ ๐ฟ๐‘œ๐‘ฃ๐‘’โ€™๐‘  ๐‘ ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘ค?โ€ โ€œ๐ผ ๐‘๐‘™๐‘Ž๐‘ฆ ๐‘–๐‘ก ๐‘ ๐‘œโ€ฆ ๐‘ฆ๐‘œ๐‘ขโ€™๐‘™๐‘™ ๐‘”๐‘’๐‘ก ๐‘ข๐‘ ๐‘’๐‘‘ ๐‘ก๐‘œ ๐‘ ๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘ค.โ€ โ€” ๐’ฆ๐‘œ๐“Š๐“ˆ๐‘’๐’พ ๐’œ๐“‡๐’พ๐“‚๐’ถ.

17 notes

some sad-rimas from listening to the TG JACK osts again :โ€โ€

37 notes

hmmm okay okay, im doing whatever characters I feel like heheheย 

virgin to biggest hoe

1. Juuzou, pure wholesome baby

2. Urie, workaholic and has a stick up his assย 

3. Amon, wishes he had hoes, but sadly canโ€™t even get a date for family weddings

4. Kaneki, he wasnโ€™t a virgin before getting with Touka, especially when he was off doing god knows what, but he also knew better than to sleep around too much.ย 

5. Yomo, again, has definietly slept around, but nothingย โ€œhoeโ€ish.ย 

6. Akira, a beautiful woman, deserves all the sex she wantsย 

7. Touka, living young, wild and free until she had the baby.ย 

8. Shuu, definitely is into some things that would get his arrested.ย 

9. Arima, no I will not elaborate.

10. Uta, mans has a new person in his bed weekly, sometimes daily, and thatโ€™s his business.ย 

27 notes
0 notes

In India, agricultural development policies have been aimed at reducing hunger, food insecurity, malnutrition and poverty at a rapid rate since independence in 1947. India accounts for 17% of the worldโ€™s population, with a population of 1.11 million. In terms of customers, its population is always greater than the average size of other nations, with the exception of China. Indiaโ€™s state of food shortage and malnutrition is of great importance to the global situation. In this present analysis, the predicted population and development of food grains are investigated using the ARIMA model and forecast decision-making. The projection of demand is also calculated using the near-ideal demand method (AIDS). This paper presents the status of demand-supply gaps. Total food grain production is projected to rise by 281.12 Mt in 2020, and the population will be 1345 million. Demand-supply scenarios currently present an alarming situation, especially in the case of pulses. The demand-supply difference for pulses is going to be more adverse, affecting our food and nutritional protection considerably. The demand for pulses will be 22.92 Mt in 2020, while the supply of pulses will be 19.68 Mt in that year. It is therefore reported that the demand-supply difference of pulses is negative. In order to boost technology, the improved process minimises the demand-supply gap in India for pulses.

Author(s) Details

Dr. Soumik Ray
Department of Agricultural Economics and Statistics, Centurion University of Technology and Management, MSSoA, Gajapati, Paralakhemundi- 761211, Odisha, India.

Dr. (Mrs.) Banjul Bhattacharyya
Department of Agricultural Statistics, Faculty of Agriculture, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, Nadia-741252, West Bengal, India.

View Book :-ย

0 notes

Arima: Every time I have a conversation with you I waste hours of my life. Youโ€™re just too interesting.

Eto: I can stop being interesting. Watch this.

Eto: *freezes*


Arima: Hello?


Arima: Okay, well now I have to stay here and see how long you can keep this up.

43 notes
  • Ui: Can you overdose on vitamin d?
  • Arima: Thatโ€™s technically how Icarus died.
  • Hairu: iCarly is dead?
26 notes

Tokyo ghoul ova

1 notes

โ€œRather than a person who hurts others, become the person getting hurtโ€

520 notes

Am I the only one who tried cracking fingers after watching Tokyo Ghoul?

218 notes

arima shld b in a fucking laundry products commercialโ€ฆโ€ฆ hes got white hair pale ass skin a white coat a white shirt and all

4 notes

fathers day goes like this:

haise carefully picks out a nice book for arima, and wraps it in pretty sparkly paper w/ a beautiful ribbon. meanwhile i just send arima a card thzt reads โ€œgo fuck yourselfโ€, w/o even writing my name but he knows its from me

urie gets haise a shitty 1$ gift but haise still loves it bc hes an emotional dumbass and he didnโ€™t think urie would get him anything. shirazu gets him a cheesy โ€œkiss the cookโ€ apron like โ€œ4 pandora ;)โ€ and mutsuki gets him a beautiful case he can put his glasses in.

saiko buys him acnh and haise becomes addicted to fishing and befriending the villagers.

7 notes