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#blow up to over 400 in under 2
ceescedasticity · 2 months
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Highly specific scenario question for the Teleri royals that I’ve been meaning to ask for a while, because I’ll need it for a fic when I finally get to writing it: What would happen if Finrod actually DID bring the swanships back circa 450 FA, and reported that Fëanor and Fingolfin are getting along in Beleriand and the Noldor have Angband besieged, at a stalemate—at least, that’s how it was when Finrod left; apparently he and all his small navy have been enchanted-asleep for several hundred years, and based on many people’s faint senses of exiled loved ones, there was just a massive battle where many died.
How would assorted Olwëans react? How would they react when Finrod inevitably promptly said, “oh god, I have to go back and help fight; who’s with me?”?
Details that may matter:
It’s as near to ALL the Swanships as can be remotely expected—there was attrition of storms, incompetent sailors, 1 or 2 Falthrim fell in love with specific ships and the ships were content to stay with them; but basically all came home, sailed by a combination of the guiltiest, most homesick, and most competent sailors
Finrod reports that Fëanor is officially High King of the Noldor in exile, but functionally Maedhros is High King of the Noldor and Fingolfin and Finrod (now Angrod) are more or less doing as they please as Kings of East and West respectively. Also, Elwë’s forest kingdom is flourishing with his Maia wife and daughter (he thinks the Noldor are collectively assholes), and Nowë and a bunch of people are doing great on the shore, and there’s etc. Laegrim, and dwarves… [Finrod did sail before Men showed up.]
Finrod & co sailed over 300 years ago, and this delay is very directly due to the Valar not letting them in, even though their goal is basically just to apologize and set things right. (If that eases the Doom and/or gets them more allies, well, it’s not the primary goal.)
Ambarussa also came with the world’s most non-apology apology message for Nerdanel from Fëanor, and a smidge of a hint of offer of alliance to the Valar (ie, the instructions for making silima, which he’d previously kept jealously secret). This won’t affect any initial reactions in Alqualondë because the twins sneak ashore separately to deliver it, but the gist of the messages become publicly known.
Of close relatives, Curufin died in that initial terrible battle; more importantly, Aegnor dies within a year afterward. Not long after Aegnor’s death, the Valar assure everyone—and cross-sea death awarenesses confirm—that the conflict has abated again, though it remains more ongoingly active than it has been for several centuries.
It’s narratively convenient for me that no backup reach Beleriand for another 20 years, though you don’t need to hold to that—I can futz with the timeline. What happens in 20 years is, in short order, Fëanor blows up Thangorodrim and active war resumes, and Lúthien comes to Mandos to plead for Beren.
Hmmm…
The ships not getting destroyed is going to make a significant difference in the mood in Alqualondë — for example, Volue will have spent 400-some years pining and fretting rather than seething, and while he's an extreme case he's not alone.
Not pictured: Luinél spending 300 years getting more and more sure the ships are reachable if people will just let her try and quite possibly trying to take Swan-salt out to the Enchanted Isles to look and getting shooed back to Alqualondë by Ainur. —Possibly more than once. —Probably accompanied by Duimiwen, Duinipen, Nettë, Telperin, and in fact Volue on one or more occasion. —Obviously Olwë disapproves of these unauthorized excursions! but he never put Swan-salt under guard, either.
There is still a lot of anger, and still some people who have decided to make hating Noldor their entire personality, but the ships being intact means there's less, and the ships being returned has a lot of meaning.
—I think the end result is going to be some people are still being assholes, but it isn't hard for Olwë to bring the Lindar around to the idea of "the swan-ships aren't leaving our sight [or the harbor, until they get too restless], BUT we will help you build and sail new ships to return to Beleriand".
(When Olwë says that, he adds 'Valar permitting' on the end. Not everyone else does. The ships really being just out of reach for 300 years for Mysterious Valar Reasons hasn't impressed anyone.)
Olwë would rather the Lindar not start volunteering to go to Middle-earth as more than a taxi service, but suspects it's going to be unavoidable.
The Exiles directly involved in the Kinslaying should still expect to be banned from Alqualondë and Lindarin ships until they have made satisfactory apologies.
And like I said there are still angry people — but the predominant mood is more focused on the ships than the Noldor.
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girlactionfigure · 10 months
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7 reasons why the Palestinian crisis & the Black struggle for freedom are absolutely nothing alike
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The “parallels” between the Palestinian plight and that of African-Americans have been made for decades, and this has always been spurious. Sadly, the exercise continues and seems to be growing as anti-Israel sentiment including global Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions (BDS) inexplicably gain credibility.
1. UNRWA
Beginning operations on May 1, 1950, the United Nations Relief Works Agency for the Palestinian people is the only UN relief agency that exists exclusively for one group — the Palestinians. At the time of its founding, there were some 720,000 Palestinian refugees. Many of these people became refugees after refusing the offer to become Israeli citizens and choosing to await the great victory over the Jews promised to them by the leaders of the Arab states.
Black Americans from slavery to Jim Crow to the civil rights era never had anything that vaguely resembled UNRWA or any type of international relief agency. We were also unsuccessful at being declared refugees — which surely would have led to reparations for 400 years of forced servitude.
2. INTERNATIONAL AID
The Palestinian Authority (formerly the Palestinian Liberation Organization – PLO) receives about $1 billion annually. This money comes primarily from American and European taxpayers. The money is supposed to go to relieve the suffering of the Palestinian people which, as Dr. King said in 1968, “are part of that third world of hunger, of disease, of illiteracy.” Unfortunately, much of that aid goes to political and racial propaganda and programming, as Palestinian children are fed a constant diet of anti-Semitism and hatred for Israel. From curriculum to suicide bomber camps, Palestinian children are taught to hate Israel and the West — on our dime.
Black Americans received no international aid during centuries of slavery and Jim Crow segregation. Neither did we receive domestic aid.  The very term “forty acres and a mule” (what the US  government promised former Black slaves, but didn’t deliver) became code for, “what we never got.” Money to help fund our quest for freedom came almost exclusively from private donors including Black businesses and families, White abolitionists, churches, synagogues, and other Jewish organizations and individuals.
3. ARAB STATES (Arab League)
In the Middle Eastern region alone there are multiple Arab homelands including Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon, and oil-rich Saudi Arabia. They were the dominant force in the Middle East when Israel was reestablished in 1947-48, and used their combined military might to attempt to crush the nascent Jewish State. They failed. Now, not only will these states not take in the Palestinians who have been given official refugee status for three generations, these nations also have a horrible record of human rights abuses against their Arab-Palestinian brothers. They will not allow them to live as citizens, enroll in school, buy property, or even repair their dilapidated dwellings. Palestinian refugees are being killed in Syria while you read this.
Black Americans had no Black nations to which we could turn for help or shelter. While we were enslaved in America, our continent had been colonized by the Europeans. Further, all of North Africa is currently being occupied by Arabs, who stole it from our people. But that’s another list.
4. TERRORISM & TERRORIST ORGANIZATIONS
Other than Nat Turner and a few rebellious slaves whom history has forgotten, Black victims of oppression never possessed the means to offer armed resistance to our oppressors during slavery. After slavery (and due to the legal right to purchase guns), Black Americans were able to arm themselves but had no access to rockets, rocket launchers, IEDs, or other explosives.
If Black Americans had been able to fight with weapons, you can be certain that blowing up our sons and daughters would not have been a strategic option. Ever. Under any circumstances.
5. PALESTINIAN ROCK THROWERS & INSTIGATORS
Pictures of Palestinians throwing rocks at, or dropping boulders on unsuspecting Jewish motorists are quite strange to informed Black Americans (my grandmother would have called those rock throwers ‘hoodlums’). During the civil rights struggles of the 1950s and 1960s our ‘weapon’ was non-violent resistance. This was by choice and by necessity, as we were vastly outnumbered and outgunned by the White majority. We could not imagine what would have happened to our young men had they stood at ambush on the roads of Montgomery, Alabama, or Jackson, Mississippi, and thrown rocks at White passers-by. We were lynched for simply breathing while Black.
6. UNHRC
The United Nations Human Rights Council has condemned Israel more than any other nation — combined. In fact, since 1975, over 40% of the UNHRC’s indictments have been against Israel. This imbalance is a result of the Arab states’ undue influence over the UNHRC, as they have worked in tandem with the enemies of the US to discredit and delegitimize the Jewish State. The UNHRC is a large part of the reason that even the casual follower of world events may view Israel in a negative light.
Not only did Black Americans ever have something like a League of Nations to condemn our enemies, the UNHRC further insults us by largely ignoring the suffering of African people in places like Sudan, Eritrea or Congo; or Egypt/Sinai where African slavery and organ harvesting is taking place. This disparity prompted former UN Secretary-General, Kofi Anan to comment, “Since the beginning of their work, [the UNHRC] has focused almost entirely on Israel and there are other crisis situations, like Sudan, where they have not been able to say a word.”
7. ARAB REPRESENTATION IN ISRAELI GOVERNMENT
Not only are there Arab members of the Israeli Parliament (Knesset) and the Supreme Court, some of the individuals are actively working to destroy the Jewish State. They are very vocal anti-Zionists, and their speech (as well as their legislative action) are all protected by Israeli law.
Black Americans did not become a part of the legislative system until after slavery during Reconstruction. We were exclusively Republican by default, as the Democrats were the party of slavery, Jim Crow, and the KKK. We never called for the destruction of America. We have a long, proud tradition of working within the American legal system to address violations of civil and human rights — for everyone. This process reached its zenith during the 1960s as Black leaders and lay people (led by Dr. King and other stalwarts) marched on Washington, D.C. demanding jobs, justice, and equal treatment under the Constitution. 400 years of hard work resulted in Black people helping to make America the greatest democracy on earth.
There are many more than seven reasons why the Black saga and the Palestinian plight should not be compared, but I believe sufficient point has been made.
Lastly, I do not spurn the Palestinian fight for self-determination.  Every fight for justice is a righteous struggle. I would just say that, what made the Black historic struggle effective was our remembering who our enemy was — and who it was not. In the interest of defending Palestinian human rights, one may want to start with the main perpetrators: The Palestinian Authority and Hamas. But again, that is the subject of another discussion.
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garadinervi · 6 months
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Matthew Hogan, The 1948 Massacre at Deir Yassin Revisited, «The Historian», Vol. 63, No. 2 (Winter 2001), pp. 309-333 (text here) [The Palestine Museum US, Woodbridge, CT]
«Fahimi Zeidan, then a 12-year-old girl, remembered hiding with her own and another family when the house door was blasted open. The guerrillas took them outside. An already wounded man was shot, she said, and "when one of his daughters screamed, they shot her too. They then called my brother Mahmoud and shot him in our presence, and when my mother screamed and bent over my brother (she was carrying my little sister Khadra who was still being breast fed) they shot my mother too." The children and others were put against the wall and fired upon. She and some other children were wounded, but survived (pp. 319-320). […] Inside the houses, scores of villagers unable to escape earlier had sequestered themselves. Crowded into corners, residents were gunned down or blasted by hand grenades. Killings were not always quick. "You could hear the cries from within the houses of Arab women, Arab elders, Arab kids," Pa'il remembered. Pa'il and his photographer followed "groups of men running from house to house looting and shooting, shooting and looting." Mohammed Jaber, a village boy, hid under a bed, where he observed the guerrillas "break in, drive everybody outside, put them against the wall and shoot them."(52) One victim was holding a three-month-old baby. Mohammed remembered his mother screaming for a long time before she died. (p. 323) […] In addition to taking basic supplies like food and livestock, as originally planned, looting included direct robbery. Zeinab Akkel offered all her money (about $400) to protect her younger brother. One captor took the money and "then he just knocked my brother over and shot him in the head with five bullets." (p. 324) […] The surviving captives numbered about 150, with as many as 70 injured. Pa'il recalls the guerrillas in the afternoon surrounding prisoners in a schoolhouse and threatening to blow them up. By then, news of the slaughter had reached Givat Shaul, and Pa'il recalled seeing many residents venture down the pathway to Deir Yassin. These included traditional religious Jews who furiously reproached the guerrillas in Hebrew and Yiddish. "Don't do it, you murderers!" "Stop it, you bastards!" they said. (pp. 324-325) […] That the rampage was broad and ruthless was abundantly evident to initial observers. When Shaltiel's adjutant Yeshurun Schiff explored Deir Yassin Friday afternoon, the village looked as if the guerrillas had chosen "to kill anybody they found alive." (p. 328) […] On Saturday, Haganah operations officer Eliyahu Arbel inspected the town. "I have seen a great deal of war," he related 24 years later, "but I never saw a sight like Deir Yassin," largely comprised of "the bodies of women and children, who were murdered in cold blood." (p. 328) […] The dead had been "deliberately massacred," de Reynier discerned readily. Alfred Engel, an accompanying Jewish doctor, saw that "it was clear that [the attackers] had gone from house to house and shot the people at close range." "I had been a doctor in the German Army for five years in World War One," Engel later reflected, "but I never saw such a horrifying spectacle." (p. 329) […] About two-thirds of those killed were women, children, and men over 60, most executed by gunfire, along with grenades and knives. […] Although massacre of civilians was not the main or original purpose of the Deir Yassin operation, the atrocities did not result purely from "heat of battle." Massacre was discussed in advance, not restrained when it erupted, and later pursued with organized deliberation, impunity, and brutality. (p. 330)»
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blackjackkent · 1 month
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OK, so I don't know why I *didn't* expect we'd have to fight the dragon, in retrospect, but I didn't, so.... SURPRISE BOSS FIGHT REPORT.
Starting state of play: he a chonky boy. Absolute unit.
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Our buddy Ansur has 400 HP and is level SEVENTEEN to our twelve, so this is not going to be easy per se. (For comparison to recent boss battles - Orin and Cazador were both level 12, Viconica was level 11, and Gortash was level 9. So yeah. Ansur is CHONKY.)
Examining his features and such, we see that he's immune to lightning and poison and resistant to necrotic. All of this is basically fine. His Great Wyrm's Scales reduce all incoming damage by 2, he can't be polymorphed, and he has advantage on most saving throws.
None of this seems insurmountable, and his AC is a quite reasonable 19, so there is perhaps reason to believe that Hector and Karlach can battering-ram their way through most of his health bar. It would also, however, be quite reasonable to assume that as soon as he gets a turn, everyone is going to be having a Bad Time. Those are some big claws.
There are also two water myrmidons on the field at 127HP each, which honestly feels kind of unnecessary but I'm not sure how scared of them to be just yet.
The combat log opens with the single line "Ansur was resurrected" which is metal as fuck.
Round 1:
Since our initial strategy is As Much Damage As Possible As Fast As Possible, I have Jaheira cast Haste on Hector. Lacking any other immediately obvious plans for her bonus action, I have her toss a grasping vine behind Ansur's butt as a potential distraction. Astonishingly, despite all of Ansur's advantages, he immediately biffs the saving throw and gets Entangled by it, because Jaheira is a fucking badass.
Wyll gets Armor of Agathys because he is now the squishiest of the party rather than Jaheira, and attempts to clock Ansur with a flourish that completely misses.
The Myrmidons have a semi-AOE "explosive icicle" attack that is not immediately terrifying but definitely seems like it's going to add up RAPIDLY. With this in mind I decide to put Karlach on myrmidon duty so Hector can focus on the dragon.
The grasping vine manages to entangle one of the myrmidons; so far it's done more work than anyone on the field.
That changes on Hector's turn, however, as he (already loaded on cloud giant strength from before the fight) blazes forward, avoids eating shit on the ice surface left by the myrmidons and, due to his hasted quadruple attack and two successful flurry of blows, knocks Ansur immediately down to half health.
And.... now it's Ansur's turn. o.o;
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"THE WAITING STORM IS ARISEN!" he bellows and takes on a "Hoarding Energy" status while glowing with lightning. This does finish his turn, though; whatever he's hoarding energy for is coming on the next round, I assume.
Round 2:
"Hide!" Jaheira shouts as her turn starts. "Crawl under any rock you can!" That sounds ominous.
Let's take a look at what Ansur just did.
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OK, that clarifies nothing. But Jaheira's exhortation seems to indicate we need to get everyone behind something, and who am I to argue with her? The only obvious cover is the various crystals in the room, so we'll try and end everyone's turn standing behind one.
I try to have Jaheira put Insect Plague behind Ansur where it will hit only him. It does NOT go where I thought it was going to go, and now everyone, particularly Hector, is having a bad time. Jaheira, presumably mumbling apologies, runs behind a nearby crystal.
Wyll finishes off one of the myrmidons and misty steps over to join her.
The other myrmidon chills all entangled on the other side of the fight because Jaheira is, as mentioned, a badass.
Ansur is suddenly resistant to Everything while in this hoarding energy state, so I just have Karlach run and hide behind a crystal also.
Hector's turn gets skipped because I'm an idiot who CONSISTENTLY forgets about concentration mechanics, and Jaheira dropped Haste for Insect Plague and he's now lethargic.
This means Hector is standing out in the open when Ansur does, uh. This:
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This is apparently called Stormheart Nova, and was hands-down the most alarming attack I have witnessed in this game so far. It blasted Hector almost apart; he's downed in the center of the field. Bright sides: everyone else was protected by the crystals and it's now Jaheira's turn so she can drop the stupid insect plague. Ansur is also no longer resistant to stuff. Bad news: literally everything else.
Round 3:
Jaheira drops Insect Plague.
There are several Lighting Strike attacks now lined up on the field targeting our folks plus some random areas. They are at the end of the initiative order, so moving and healing Hector is suddenly top priority. Jaheira, who is having actually a pretty great fight aside from the stupid Insect Plague, which was my fault not hers, casts Heal on Hector for a full 70 HP and sidesteps out of the lightning that is targeting her.
Wyll also steps out of the lightning attack and uses the special skill on the rapier he got from Mizora to summon a Helpful Cambion onto the field. He then promptly eats shit to a myrmidon icicle and looks kind of done with the whole situation.
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Karlach gets back in the fray and promptly double-crits on Ansur, standing over Hector's prone body in what we can safely say is a moment that is romantic as fuck.
Hector, who is suddenly having a very long day, can't take an action this turn due to having almost been killed, but because he is awesome, is still able to do 99 damage purely with his bonus actions.
Ansur's turn. Much less terrifying this time; he only ("only") does a multiattack on Karlach and then flies across the field to stand menacingly next to Jaheira. All the lightning strikes go off, none of them hit anyone; they do, however, retarget, so we have to keep moving.
Round 3:
Jaheira, sadly, eats shit on some lingering ice while I'm trying to make her retreat and consequently can't do the group heal I was going to have her do. D: She also fell IN a lighting area which is concerning.
The cambion, who has been here almost a full round probably wondering what the fuck kind of trouble Mizora just got him into, crits with one of his Rays of Fire. Ansur is very close to downed.
Wyll, tragically, doesn't quite have the damage to finish him off - but Hector does, landing the finishing blow!
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"BALDURAN..." the dragon's dying voice hisses into the storm-tossed air. "WHAT HAVE YOU DONE..."
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Week 2 Film: The 400 Blows by François Truffaut
The 400 Blows is a 1959 French drama film about a young boy named Antoine Doinel that is misunderstood by his parents. He is tormented in school for discipline problems by his teacher from lying and plagiarizing. After running away from home and quitting school, Antoine's stepfather turned him over to the police. After some talk Antoine is placed in a observation center for troubled youths. At the end of the film he escapes under a fence and runs away to the ocean that he always wanted to see.
The 400 Blows was the most successful film in its home country receiving tons of awards and nominations such as Cannes Best Director Award, Bodil Award for Best Non-American Film, and French Syndicate of Cinema Critics Award for Best French Film. AT the box office it made 30.7 million USD. There's lots of talk about The 400 Blows being a memorable story, its a classic to watch, one of the all time great and it was a masterpiece. I also found an amazing Interview with François Truffaut from 1960.
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In 1959 there was a lot of major events that had happened like Fidel Castro's forces victorious in Cuban revolution, Alaska and Hawaii become U.S. states, The volcano Kilauea in Hawaii erupts and continues to erupt until December 20th, and The United Nations adopts the Declaration of the Rights of the child. There were many more events but I thought these were some very important histories that had happened in 1959.
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The style of the movie was black and white and just felt old. There were lots of old cars with many people walking the streets, the streets were clean from trash, there were many display cases. I feel the film's general type of story was an autobiographical work. It's interesting about the way the story is told because it cuts to lots of different events that happened in his life, but does tell a full story in a short film. A scene that stood out to me was lots of pan shots of the streets of Paris back in 1959, seeing the clothes people wear, the cars that were used, and how clean it looks. Another scene that stood out to me is when the children are in the classroom, it was an all boys school and the teachers would use lots of discipline and yell at the children for no reason. The teacher would also give the chidden F's right on the spot.
I think the film was unconventional because it was made with little money of $50,000, it was a bit violent, it mainly focused on itscharacters, the film’s ending may not resolve the issues brought up by the movie–as “resolution” and the ending was dissatisfying and didn't feel full.
Overall I did really enjoy the film for being in black and white, It being in a different language that you don't rarely hear from others in America, how eye opening it was back in the day, how children were taught and treated, and seeing what it was like being in 1959 in Paris.
I found the full video here with English sub titles and I would want to watch it again.
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beardedmrbean · 10 months
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TALLINN, Estonia (AP) — Russian lawmakers gave initial approval Wednesday to a bill that would outlaw gender transitioning procedures in yet another blow to the country's beleaguered LGBTQ+ community.
Senior lawmaker Pyotr Tolstoy, who is among the bill’s sponsors, has said it is intended to “protect Russia with its cultural and family values and traditions and to stop the infiltration of the Western anti-family ideology.”
Russia's LGBTQ+ community has been under growing pressure for a decade as President Vladimir Putin and the Russian Orthodox Church embarked on a campaign to preserve what they deem the country’s “traditional values.”
The bill bans any “medical interventions aimed at changing the sex of a person,” as well as changing one’s gender in official documents and public records.
Russian transgender people and LGBTQ+ rights advocates contacted by The Associated Press described the measure as a grim development.
“We knew that they didn’t like us here, but to go absolutely against human rights, against the existing laws even," said Maxim, a 29-year-old transgender activist who spoke on condition of anonymity because of safety concerns.
The only option for those seeking to transition through medical care or changing their gender in documents would be to leave the country, according to human rights lawyer Max Olenichev, who works with the Russian LGBTQ+ community. “Neither medical, nor legal transitioning will be possible without changing the country of residence.”
The bill must receive three readings by Russia’s lower house of parliament, the State Duma, but there is little doubt it will pass because about 400 members of the 450-seat house signed it, including the house speaker and the leaders of all political factions.
The independent Russian news outlet Meduza reported that such a massive show of unity has happened only three times before under Putin, most recently when 385 Duma members signed on to a bill last year to ban “propaganda of nontraditional sexual relations” among adults.
That initiative was quickly rubber-stamped, and by December 2022, any positive or even neutral representation of LGBTQ+ people in movies, literature, or media was outlawed. The bill severely restricting trans rights came just a few months after that.
The crackdown on the LGBTQ+ community started well before last year, however. Maria Sjödin, executive director of the Outright international LGBTQ+ rights group, told AP in an interview that the situation in Russia has been deteriorating “over quite a long period of time, coming up on at least 10 years.”
In 2013, the Kremlin adopted the first legislation restricting LGBTQ+ rights, known as the “gay propaganda” law that banned any public endorsement of “nontraditional sexual relations” among minors. In 2020, Putin pushed through a constitutional reform that outlawed same-sex marriage.
But the Kremlin has ramped up its rhetoric about protecting “traditional values” from what it called the West's “degrading” influence after sending its troops into Ukraine last year, in what rights advocates saw as an attempt to legitimize the war.
“Do we really want to have here, in our country, in Russia, ‘Parent No. 1, No. 2, No. 3’ instead of 'mom' and ‘dad?’" Putin said in September at a ceremony during which four Ukrainian regions were formally annexed by Moscow. "Do we really want perversions that lead to degradation and extinction to be imposed in our schools from the primary grades?”
Vyacheslav Volodin, the speaker of the State Duma, called gender transitioning “pure satanism" as he opened voting on the measure Wednesday.
“We do not want this to happen in our country. Let the diabolical policy be carried out in the U.S.," Volodin said.
But the clampdown on trans rights is actually a global trend that's happening in the U.S., too, Sjödin said, adding: “We know there have been over 500 state-level bills introduced in the U.S. attacking LGBTQ rights in different ways with specific focus on trans rights.”
The move targeting transgender people in Russia was not unexpected. Yana Kirey-Sitnikova, a transgender studies researcher, told AP that when anti-Western sentiments emerged last year, she realized that “the authorities would now take us on.” That's when she changed her gender marker in her documents, even though she wanted to postpone the process for some time.
Kirey-Sitnikova said the procedure under existing Russian law is simple. A person has to obtain a medical certificate stating that they have been diagnosed with “transsexualism.” Such certificates are issued by a panel of medical specialists, Kirey-Sitnikova said, and unlike in some other countries, hormonal therapy or gender-affirming surgery is not required to get this diagnosis.
With this medical certificate in hand, the next step is to go to a state registry office and get a new birth certificate, allowing for the issuance of a new passport and other documents. The whole process could take from several weeks to over two years, depending on the panel’s availability and procedures they do to issue a diagnosis.
Maxim, the activist with the Center T trans rights group who changed his gender marker three years ago, echoed Kirey-Sitnikova’s sentiment that Russia currently "is unique in a good way when it comes to gender transitioning.” He also praised the quality and availability of gender-affirming medical care in Russia, saying there are many good surgeons and endocrinologists advising on hormone therapy.
The new bill will take all of that away, according to Olenichev, the lawyer.
Doctors won’t be allowed to diagnose those seeking to transition, hormonal therapy and surgery will be outlawed for those who haven’t yet managed to change their gender in the documents. Those who have should be able to access necessary medical care, Olenichev saids, because the bill outlaws “changing the sex of a person,” but not medical care in accordance with the person’s official gender.
There’s no official data on how many people in Russia have changed gender in official documents, Olenichev said, but the number apparently has grown in recent years.
Independent news outlet Mediazona reported in February that the number of passports issued due to “gender change” has more than doubled in 2022 compared with two years earlier -– from 428 in 2020 to 936 last year, according to Russia's Interior Ministry.
In justifying the new bill, lawmakers cited concerns that men are using the relatively simple procedure of changing gender in official documents to dodge the military draft.
Maxim said that isn't true. The process “is lengthy, costly, and for transphobic people it is humiliating,” he said, adding that the spike in numbers could be linked to fears about the bill and people rushing to complete the procedures before it takes effect.
Among those hoping to have enough time to transition are transgender teenagers who are under 18 and can’t act on their aspirations even under existing legislation.
Lyubov, a therapist who works with such teenagers, told AP that “the vast majority of them lived on hope and anticipation of their 18th birthday,” and now they have a lot of anxiety. “I view the future as rather sad,” said Lyubov, the mother of a trans 17-year-old who asked that her last name not be used for safety reasons.
“Our children are between a rock and a hard place: On one hand, there’s social pressure, and on the other, lack of hope that when they turn 18, something will change,” she said.
“It is an impossible situation,” Lyubov said, because trans people will be hit with the ban on “changing your life in accordance with your gender identity,” while also having to deal with a society that paints them as “not healthy, not normal, not having the right to live.”
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ginadesantisceramics · 7 months
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Let's Talk Turnover Time
There are a lot of misconceptions when it comes to handmade goods. A lot more work goes into each item than most people assume. The most frequently asked questions I get include how long does it take to make one piece and can I get this custom order earlier??? Let’s break down what goes into making a piece of pottery. I’ll use mugs as an example.
WEEK ONE
Step one/Monday. Wedging the clay. It’s like kneading dough. This aligns the clay particles to prevent cracks later on and removes air bubbles from the clay. Air can cause issues centering and then can cause blow ups in the first firing when the air tries to escape.
Step two. Throw the mug on the pottery wheel. I can throw about 20-30 cups an hour depending on distractions and how much coffee is left in my system. The cups then dry under plastic and need to be firm enough to flip upside down to trim. This means fixing the bottoms, taking out extra clay and weight then stamping them with my logo. This state is called leather hard.
Step three/Tuesday. Handles go on right after trimming. My staff uses a tool to make uniform handles and attach them. Because the handles are wetter than the mugs we wrap the mugs up tightly again to allow everything to catch up.
Step four/Friday. Now the mugs are drying evenly and can be unwrapped to dry over the weekend.
WEEK 3
Step eleven/Monday. Your item ships and should arrive in 2-7 days based on the shipping carrier. At this point we have done our duties and pray to the shipping gods they don’t break your piece.
During any of these steps a piece can crack, break, get a horrible glaze run and we start over. One must also consider the orders in front of it. Something like a leaf for a wind chime seems small and easy but it still goes through the process of drying, firing, glazing and firing again. But there’s a 400 piece order we have to package and that will take my entire staff a whole shift including me. It’s impossible for me to even break down the time that goes into one piece. This is why turnover time exists and why handmade work should be valued.
WEEK TWO
Step five/Monday. The mugs can go into the first firing called a bisque. This drives the water out of the clay. We fire to cone 04 which means the clay is still porous for the glazing process.
Step six/Tuesday. Cool the kiln. You cannot rush the kiln firings. You risk cracks and glaze flaws.
Step seven/Wednesday. Unload the bisque. Wipe down each piece with a damp sponge to remove the dust. Wax the base of the mug for easy glaze clean up. Glaze. Most of my mugs have 2-4 glazes. (And keep in mind when my staff mixes a new batch of glazes we can lose an entire day to that too!)
Step eight. Reload the kiln this time for the glaze. Less pieces can go into the glaze firing. Ceramics is glass on clay so no pieces can touch in this firing. Sometimes one bisque firing yields two glaze firings. Luckily I have four kilns but wait they may be full of other orders so this step can get slowed down up to 5 more days based on kiln turnover time.
Step nine/Thursday. Cool the kiln. Again.
Step ten/Friday. Unload the glaze kiln. Check each item. Sand the base of each pot. Pack and ship. But by now its the end of Friday which means your item will ship on…
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casual-assassin17 · 9 months
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My Roommate is The Monkey King! Chapter One
(This is the first chapter of my latest story. I hope you all enjoy it! Also, I hope that I portrayed Sun Wukong as accurately as possible. Feel free to leave feedback and comments!)
I really hate my job. I’m sure everyone has said or thought that same sentence before. However, I really mean it. Retail work is never easy, especially with a customer that is upset about his new credit card not giving him his promised 20% off. I sighed softly as I look at the man. “Sir, normally you would’ve only saved about $200 with your bulk savings. But since you used the card, you saved an additional $121.96.”
“No, no. You said I would save big. I should be saving over $400! Are you calling me stupid?!” Clearly, he wasn’t being very cooperative. Sure, I probably could’ve explained the card better to him, but he’s now being unfair. I could feel my blood beginning to boil. 
‘I need to calm down… If I blow up on this guy, I’m gonna lose my job.’ I took a breath to calm down and tried again. “I understand, sir, However our cards have a certain limit to–”
He shoved his finger at my face. “Ah, so you messed up! You didn’t tell me that! If you had told me that, I wouldn’t have gotten that bullshit card!” My blood was really boiling now. I could feel my hands clenching tightly as I try to keep my temper under control. He kept rambling on but I tuned him out. I understood that this was a frustrating task for all of us, but he didn’t have to be a total jerk about it. I’m just trying to do my job and he’s throwing a temper tantrum about not saving $100 more. I just wanted to kick his carts of doors and painted planks over and make him pick it all up by himself. I wanted to beat him into the ground… But I’m a pushover and just let him rant. After all, “the customer is always right”... Bullshit.
After that fiasco, I began to get ready to clock out for the night. I was absolutely done with dealing with that guy and wanted to just go home and probably scream into my empty apartment. As I was grabbing my car keys, I heard the break room TV playing the news channel and I looked over at the screen. The newscaster talked about a strange weather pattern that was heading towards the city of Fairbanks and I tilted my head. Strange weather isn’t exactly new to us Alaskans. We get scorching heat in the summer months, 24/7 sunlight as well. In the winter, the weather makes it feel like we are living in Siberia, Russia and 2:00pm would look like 10 at night. Like I said, we’re used to it. However, the weather pattern on the screen told a different story. “Weird… I had no idea that Alaska would get a hurricane.” I whispered to myself.
“That’s not a hurricane, James.” A coworker told me, boredly scrolling through his phone. “If you ask me, that’s more like a storm cloud…”
I raised an eyebrow as I looked at him. ‘How did he hear me?’ “How is that a storm cloud?” I then shake my head, already feeling exhaustion taking hold of me. “Forget it… I am too tired to argue.”
“Was it that bad?”
“Worse… Some Russian guy was arguing with me about his new credit card…”
He chuckled at that. “Yeah… We humans are a greedy bunch.” He then got up and stretched. “Man, I’m beat… I’m gonna head to McDonald’s before I head home. Good thing they don’t close until midnight… You wanna come with?”
The offer was very tempting and my stomach agreed. “As much as I wanna say ‘yes’, I can’t. I gotta get home and do some stuff. Maybe next time, Mac.”
Mac nodded with a shrug. “Your loss, but I get it. Take care, James…” He then walked away, his long black hair trailing behind him. I chuckled softly before following suit, clocking out and heading to my car. As I walked to my car, I put on my noise-cancelling headphones, turned them on, connected them to my phone, and began to listen to AI covers of popular songs. I had to admit that some of them were really good. Who knew that Sonic could sing “Billie Jean” so well? I got into my car, started it, buckled up, then began the drive home. My stomach growled at me and I sighed softly. ‘Damn it, Mac. You made me hungry…’ I pull into the nearest fast food restaurant, which happened to be McDonald’s, and ordered some food. The smell of the golden arches’ famous fries filled the car and I could feel my stomach growling more. I reached over to grab some fries from the bag, but stopped. “...I can wait until I get home.” I hated waiting to eat, but I also didn’t want to get into a car accident for a handful of fries.
Suddenly, I hear thunder and I look at the road ahead of me. “Looks like Mac was right, as always… I swear, he just knows everything.” I continue to drive, noting the color of the occasional lightning. I was confused as to why they were yellow-orange instead of the usual color. I am snapped out of my thoughts by my phone ringing and I knew it was my twin sister. I answer her call. “Hey, sis. I clocked out already and I’m heading home.”
“Okay, but just be safe. The storm looks like it’s getting worse and I worry about you.” She told me. I loved how caring she was and it made me feel a tad better. “Also, I have some leftover baked goods from the cafe. We had to get rid of them before they got stale, so I took a few.”
I smiled at that and chuckled. “Thanks, Melody… You’re the best.” I look out my window and saw a lightning bolt hit near the car. The sudden lightning startled me and caused me to swerve off the road, crashing through a metal fence and into a clearing. The car made sputtering sounds before it turned itself off. I tried to restart it, but the car was officially dead. My heart was beating rapidly from the lightning jumpscare and I took deep breaths to try and relax. “H-holy crap… I almost got struck by lightning!”
Melody was still on the call. “Oh my God, are you okay?!”
I nodded as I relaxed finally. “Yeah… Yeah, I’m good. The car is dead, though…”
“Where are you at? I’ll head over as soon as I can.” 
I looked around to see anything noticeable. “I’m near Celebration Ranch, about five or ten minutes away from the house.”
Melody sighed through the phone. “I know where that is. Stay there and I’ll come get you.” She then hung up and I pocketed my phone. I sat on the hood of the car and huffed softly, a bit miffed that I got into an accident. The only plus side to my situation currently was that I was still alive. As I waited for Melody, the thunder grew louder and closer. I looked at the sky and saw that the storm was right above me. My eyes widened and I went to get into the car, but a massive lightning bolt struck the car and I was blown back, electricity coursing through my body. I hit the grass-covered ground and my vision went black for a second. It’s one thing to hear about people getting struck by lightning… but it’s another thing to actually get struck by lightning. My vision was blurry, I couldn’t hear anything but the sound of my ears ringing, it was hard to breathe all of a sudden, and my body felt like I got hit with a flamethrower. I soon regained my sight and hearing and slowly stood up, coughing and wheezing as my breathing was still jacked up. I look over at the car and all that was left of it was a massive crater. 
‘So much for calling a tow truck…’ I went to check to see if my phone was alright, when I noticed… light. It was coming from the crater. I walked towards the edge of the crater, holding my burnt side with whatever was left of my tattered shirt. When I looked over the edge, I saw… some kind of monkey man. He wore some weird armor and had a quarterstaff in his hand. I slid down towards the man and went to nudge him with my foot. “Hello? Can you hear me?” No response… I went to pick up his staff only to realize that it somehow weighed a lot more than I thought. I couldn’t even lift it! “Jesus!! What kind of staff is this?!” I looked back at the man and frowned. ‘...What do I do now? I can’t just leave him here… Wait, yes I can! I don’t know him, so why should I even bother?’ I went to leave… but I stopped and looked back at him. I groaned in annoyance. “Curse my altruism…” I walked back to him, knelt at his side and pressed my hands over his chest before starting to perform CPR. “C’mon… C’mon, wake up!” I went to breathe air into his mouth but saw his eyes pop open and we both scrambled back with a yell.
He stood up and pointed the staff at me. “Hey!! What were you trying to do to me?!”
I was surprised at how easily he wielded the staff, but I ignored it for now. “Me?! What were you doing a crater?! I had to resusitate you because I thought you were dead!!”
To my surprise, he only laughed at that. “Me? Dead? You are too funny, human! I can’t die because I am immortal!” He then planted the staff into the ground, jumped onto the top of it, then began to examine his surroundings. “Hmm… This isn’t Fruit Flower Mountain, nor is it Heaven…” He scratched his head in true monkey fashion before pointing at me. “You! What realm is this?!”
I blinked in surprise. “Realm? Wait, wait, wait… Did you say ‘Heaven’?! You’re not an angel nor are you Jesus!”
The man raised an eyebrow at me. “What? Do you have any idea who I am? I mean, really think about it…” He then jumped down and gave me a smirk. “I’m sure it’ll click…”
I began to think, forgetting about my pain from the lightning. “...A cosplayer?”
The man’s face practically dropped before he huffed. “You really don’t know?! I am The Great Sage Equal To Heaven! Vanquisher of Demons! I am… The Monkey King! Sun Wukong!!” He pointed at himself, staring at me as if expecting something.
A few seconds have passed before I spoke again. “...Cool.”
His eyes widened. “What?! That’s all you have to say about that?! ‘Cool’?! I am more than just ‘cool’!! I am–”
“Yeah, yeah, yeah… Anyway, if you’re some celestial being or whatever, why are you here?” I asked him.
Wukong chuckled as he leaned against his planted staff. “Well, if you must know, I was just doing my usual duties of being Monkey King. Defending Fruit Flower Mountain, killing demons, having fun…” He then frowned as he used a finger to dig into his ear. “But then, I get summoned to Heaven and Ne Zha was there, as usual. We got into an argument, not my fault by the way, and one thing led to another. Next thing I know, I am being banished to this realm by the Jade Emperor! Everything I have done for the Gods and the Buddha, yet all I get is banished…”
I gave him an unimpressed look. “Based on your behavior, I can see why they banished you.” Apparently, that was not the right choice of words as that only seemed to piss him off. He let out a screech and jumped at me, causing me to yelp in surprise. We then began to wrestle in the crater. Now, I would lie and say that I was totally winning the impromptu fight… but let’s be real, I am not some pro fighter nor have I ever been in an actual fight before. Wukong absolutely destroyed me, ending with him standing on top of me while I laid on the dirt. I groaned in pain and coughed. “...Okay, lesson learned: Do not piss off the monkey…”
Wukong nodded with a puff of his chest. “That’s right! I am The Monkey King! I have never been bested by any demon nor mortal! You can’t even possibly–” I then hear the sound of some kind of aerosol and Wukong screaming and yelling in pain. His weight disappeared from my back and I look to see him clutching his face and writhing on the ground. Melody stood over him in her cafe uniform, holding a can of pepper spray. 
She helped me to my feet. “Are you okay? Who is that?”
I cough a bit and dust myself off. “Apparently, that is Sun Wukong… He got banished here, and he totally mopped the floor with me.”
Melody nodded and helped me to her car, then went back and was dragging Sun Wukong into the car. He was still writhing in pain, cussing us out, and practically promised to kill us when he could see again. I kinda felt bad but shrugged it off as Melody drove us back home. I'm sure he'll be fine... Probably.
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warningsine · 1 year
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2 5 7 28 29 38 60 67 (Movie Buff Questions)
2. What movie(s) could you watch over and over and not get tired of?
"Simon of the Desert"
"Gone with the Wind"
"Bringing Up Baby"
"All About Eve"
"The Piano"
"Barton Fink"
"No Country For Old Men"
Almost all Hitchcockian films ("Mr. and Mrs. Smith" is the exception to the rule)
Almost all Almodóvarian films
Almost all films by Ozu
Almost all films by Kiarostami
"Some Like It Hot"
"The Handmaiden"
"The 400 Blows"
"The Blue Angel"
"In the Mood for Love"
"Rome, Open City"
"Three Colors: Blue"
"Laura"
"8 Femmes"
"Ninotchka"
"The Circle" (2000)
"Double Indemnity"
"Shanghai Express"
"Sunset Boulevard"
"Touch of Evil"
"Tokyo Story"
"To Have and Have Not"
"Persona"
"The Big Sleep"
"The Red Shoes"
"Rocco and His Brothers"
"Kes"
"Gloria"
"A Woman Under The Influence"
"The Conformist"
among others.
5. Favorite dead actor/actress?
Actresses:
Emmanuelle Riva, Smita Patil, Kinuyo Tanaka, Anna Magnani, Machiko Kyō, Setsuko Hara, Danielle Darrieux, Ingrid Thulin, Jeanne Moreau, Hideko Takamine, Katharine Hepburn, Bette Davis, Giulietta Masina, Renée Jeanne Falconetti.
Actors:
Marcello Mastroianni, Jack Lemmon, Toshiro Mifune, Orson Welles, Jean-Louis Trintignant, Uttam Kumar, Anthony Perkins, Soumitro Chattopadhyay, Saro Urzì, Omar Sharif, Gian Maria Volonté, Utpal Dutta, Cary Grant, Anthony Quinn, Ezatollah Entezami.
7. Ever been/are you such a hardcore fan of an actor actress you watched/will watch any movie they were/will be in?
Isabelle Huppert comes to mind.
28. Top 5 actresses?
Already answered this here.
29. Movie you completely regret seeing?
All of Gaspar Noé's pseudointellectual films to be honest, but mostly "Irreversible." I find his filmmaking unintelligent af.
"Noah" by Darren Aronofsky is another example. Most of his films are.
"Martyrs" (2008), because I'm a total wuss.
38. Film(s) you’ve watched on a date?
Already answered this.
60. Most visually stunning movie you’ve seen?
Already answered this.
67. A movie that started a passion for you?
Almodóvar's "All about my mother" got me into cinema.
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kvercammen · 11 months
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Penalties for DWI NJ 
For a First Offense, even if your case cannot be won on the facts, we may be able to stop a lengthy suspension of your License. Also, if you are facing Jail based on prior DWI charges, a PCR Post Convection Relief Petition may stop a Jail sentence.     1st Offense Under New Jersey Law (P.L. 2003, CHAPTER 314), if an offender’s BAC is 0.08 percent or higher, but less than 0.10 percent, or if an offender permits another person with a BAC over 0.08 percent, but less than 0.10 percent to operate a motor vehicle, the penalties are: -A fine of $250-$400 -Imprisonment for up to 30 days -Driver’s license forfeiture until ignition interlock installed. Interlock required for 3 months -A minimum of six hours a day for two consecutive days in an Intoxicated Driver Resource Center-An automobile insurance surcharge of $1,000 a year for 3 years If the offender’s BAC is 0.10 percent but less than 0.15 percent, or permits another person with a BAC of 0.10 percent but less than 0.15 percent to operate a motor vehicle, the penalties are: -A fine of $300-$500 -Imprisonment for up to 30 days -Driver’s license forfeiture until ignition interlock installed. Interlock required for 7 months to one (1) year -A minimum of six hours a day for two consecutive days in an Intoxicated Driver Resource Center-An automobile insurance surcharge of $1,000 a year for 3 years Offenders with a BAC of 0.15 percent or higher must install an ignition interlock device in one vehicle they principally operate during the license suspension period of 4 to 6 months and for a period of 9 months to 15 months after license restoration. 2nd Offense -A fine of $500-$1,000 -Imprisonment of at least 48 consecutive hours, and up to 90 days -Minimum 1-year and up to 2-year license suspension-Completion of evaluation, referral and program requirements of the IDRC -30 days of community service -An automobile insurance surcharge of $1,000 year for 3 years -Installation of an ignition interlock device for a period of license suspension and 2 years to 4 years after license restoration 3rd Offense -A fine of $1,000 -Imprisonment of 180 days except the court may lower such term for each day, not exceeding 90 days, served in a drug or alcohol inpatient rehabilitation program approved by IDRC -8 year license suspension -30 days of community service -Completion of evaluation, referral and program requirements of the IDRC -An automobile insurance surcharge of $1,500 a year for 3 years -Installation of an ignition interlock device for a period of license suspension and 2 years to 4 years after license restoration ANY OFFENSE ALSO CARRIES -A $100 surcharge to be deposited in the Drunk Driving Enforcement Fund -A Motor Vehicle Commission restoration fee of $100 and an Intoxicated Driving Program fee of $100 -A Violent Crimes Compensation Fund fee of $50-A Safe and Secure Community Program fee of $75 In addition to these penalties, judges may order the revocation of the vehicle registration (Public Law 2000, Chapter 83). The ignition interlock device, which measures the driver’s blood alcohol level, may be required for up to four years following license restoration after a DWI conviction. Any person may start a motor vehicle equipped with an interlock device for safety reasons or to repair the device or motor vehicle, but the convicted offender may not operate the vehicle. A person who, on behalf of the convicted offender, blows into an interlock device to start a motor vehicle or tampers with the device to circumvent its operation may be charged with a disorderly persons offense.
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bitcofun · 1 year
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The listed below is a direct excerpt of Marty's Bent Issue #1282: "The personification of filthy grift." Sign up for the newsletter here Every as soon as in a while, the world is advised of how simple it is for some individuals to get entirely deceived by a bilker. The recently has actually been one such tip. Unless you've been living under a rock, you are most likely familiar with the legendary blow up of FTX and the abject scams that resulted in it. We will not bore you with a rehash of the token mechanics of FTT or dive into the awful nature of FTX and Alameda overtly taking user deposits and setting them on fire with bad financial investments and trades. Your Crazy Uncle Marty will not even dive into the fallacious theories surrounding Sam Bankman-Fried's (aka "SBF") financial backing of the Democratic celebration and buddy-buddy relationship with the regulators who ought to have most likely been examining him. What I 'd like to concentrate on is how the hell many allegedly smart individuals got fooled by such an apparent bilker. The story of FTX has actually constantly been a bit difficult to me. They relatively came out of no place in 2018/2019 and rapidly increased to "prominence" as one of the most highly regarded exchanges worldwide. SBF was vaunted as an adorable autistic wunderkind who in some way, at the ripe aging of 25, determined a method to benefit from a rate arbitrage chance that existed in between Western and Asian bitcoin currency exchange rate that lots of institutional financiers might not. Photos of Bankman-Fried pretending to sleep on a bean bag chair settled listed below his desk that included 10 extra-large screens developed an understanding of authenticity that offered every trading degen and crypto VC a hard-on. They were all on his side, as was the majority of the monetary media. At one point, the bothersome uncle, Jim Cramer, declared that he thought he was talking with the world's very first trillionaire throughout an interview with SBF. Everybody appeared to be captured-- hook, line and sinker by this adorable autist. This appeared actually odd to me since if you really listened to him speak, it was apparent that he was a bumbling moron who didn't truly understand the market he was expected to be a domain professional in. Absolutely nothing made this clearer than an interview Bankman-Fried did on CNBC in July 2021, where he tried to discuss proof-of-work to Joe Kernen. His cluelessness was explained when he mentioned the entirely asinine "electrical power per deal" metric that has actually been completely unmasked. In the spring of this year, Bankman-Fried hosted a conference in the Bahamas that consisted of keynote speakers Bill Clinton and Tony Blair. An exceptionally odd duo to be headlining an occasion that was expected to be about an innovation that defangs the state. At the time, I had this to state about the conference: At this point it ended up being clear to me that something about FTX and its anemic frontman, Bankman-Fried stunk to high paradises. And after that this summer season, in the after-effects of the Terra/LUNA, 3 Arrows Capital and Celsius blowups, SBF went on a purchasing and bailout spree for distressed business that tallied well over $2 billion just 6 months after raising $400 million in equity, which triggered this concern: This purchasing spree ended up being a lot more difficult when considering all the marketing cash FTX had actually invested: calling numerous arenas, purchasing Super Bowl advertisements, getting a celeb recommendation from Tom Brady and getting their logo design on every umpire's jersey in the MLB. We learnt recently that SBF and FTX did not, in reality, have anywhere near $2 billion. It has actually ended up being clear that they remained in the procedure of damaging in between $10 billion and $50 billion of worth that consisted of financier capital and customer deposits. I had an inkling this guy wasn't running a genuine organization, however even I could not envision the carnage it would develop throughout "the market.
" This pleads the concern, if I, a lowly newsletter peddler, had good-enough impulses to snuff this out, how on the planet did a few of the "most appreciated" and skilled cryptocurrency traders and investor funds who had been offered the duty of handling other individuals's cash succumb to this bilker? How did Sequoia put its stamp of approval on this business? How did the Ontario instructors' pension fund supervisor fine the writing of a $95 million check to this business? How did numerous endeavor funds in the area feel comfy parking product quantities of their AUM on this exchange? How did none of these individuals ask primary due diligence concerns like: How do you generate income from? Can you reveal me the invoices of the arbitrage trade that made you abundant? Where is all of this cash originating from? How did nobody beyond some Bitcoin Maximalists and some Wall Street brief sellers recognize this as being a huge rip-off? I do not understand if we'll ever understand all the responses to these concerns however something is for sure: complacency and laziness guidelines the day. Numerous in "crypto" believe they are geniuses who have actually found a brand-new paradigm that can make them remarkably abundant, however the truth of the circumstance is they have actually found a method to recreate the corruption that exists in the incumbent monetary system for much less expensive and in a really brief quantity of time. Shitcoins are absolutely nothing more than corrupt seigniorage that has actually been ported to the digital world. And as we've seen in the incumbent monetary world, seigniorage is extremely rewarding for a choose couple of experts while it lasts. The shitcoiners and the endeavor funds who allow them have actually made the mindful choice to end up being the benefactors of this brand-new kind of seigniorage at the expenditure of retail financiers. Fortunately for us, they have actually damaged their own credibilities and cumulative net worth at the same time. Everyone need to utilize the blowup of FTX to keep in mind of the tricksters captured up and how they're responding. A number of them are declaring to be surprised that something like this might occur, however anybody with a partly working bullshit meter might have seen this originating from a mile away. The indications of impropriety were all there. One simply needed to open their eyes. If they did, they would observe that Sam Bankman-Fried was rather actually the personification of unclean grift and he has actually smeared his shit all over the "crypto market." Here's to hoping this blowup results in a clear difference of bitcoin and "crypto" progressing. Bitcoin is the signal. It is the only adequately dispersed peer-to-peer money system that has any possibility of releasing mankind from the yoke of the state. Bitcoiners are developing items and tools with real energy that makes individuals's lives much better off. "Crypto" is absolutely nothing more than an affinity fraud attempting to utilize Bitcoin's brand name to trick away individuals's difficult generated income under the guise of "development." The faster this is made generously clear, the much better. Read More
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your-dietician · 2 years
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Analysis: ECB 'QT' may be next challenge for tumultuous markets
New Post has been published on https://medianwire.com/analysis-ecb-qt-may-be-next-challenge-for-tumultuous-markets/
Analysis: ECB 'QT' may be next challenge for tumultuous markets
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LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) – The European Central Bank is considering entering the maelstrom of volatile world markets to start winding down its massive bond holdings – just as governments scale up spending to respond to an energy crisis likely to induce a recession.
The ECB, which bought 5 trillion euros ($4.87 trillion) of bonds over the past decade to lift inflation deemed too low, now finds itself battling to bring it down as it runs at a record high of 10%.
On top of aggressive interest rate hikes including an unprecedented 75 basis-point move last month, policy hawks want to begin quantitative tightening (QT): the scaling back of the ECB’s bond holdings.
European Central Bank policymakers discussed earlier this month a detailed timeline for running down part of their bond portfolio and envisioned its start sometime in the second quarter of 2023, Reuters reported on Thursday.
The process will likely come after the ECB hikes its benchmark rate to around 2% and be very gradual, but bond markets, reeling from aggressive rate hikes globally, an energy crisis and a rout in British bonds – are nervous.
“There is much at stake in the euro zone when it comes to QT,” said ING senior rates strategist Benjamin Schroeder, adding that the closely watched gap between Italian and German yields was the main focus.
“But beyond spreads there is also a fear of stoking further market volatility, especially when government funding plans in the eurozone are under growing upside risk.”
At 2.35%, Germany’s 10-year bond yield is up 250 basis points this year and Italy’s up almost 360 bps – the largest surges in decades.
Germany last month unveiled a 200 billion euro package funded by new borrowing to help cushion the blow from the energy shock. BofA expects net European government bond supply to rise close to 400 billion euros next year, the highest on record and well above the 120-145 billion euros expected this year, dampened in part by ECB bond-buying.
“This consideration also makes the practical implementation of ECB QT significantly harder,” BofA said.
SOFTLY, SOFTLY
Analysts expect the ECB would first gradually phase out reinvestments of bonds maturing under its conventional bond purchase programme. That would reduce its balance sheet by a “manageable” 155 billion euros in 2023 and 300 billion euros in 2024, ING reckons.
Goldman Sachs estimates that bond markets should be able to digest an annual 250 billion euro unwind of those holdings. Ten-year bond yields in higher-rated states would rise a mere 6 bps, and 15 bps in Southern Europe.
Even if those holdings were to be unwound, analysts widely expect the ECB would still continue reinvestments under its pandemic emergency bond purchase programme (PEPP). It shifted funds to countries such as Italy and Spain over the summer as a first line of defence for a divergence of the yield spread they pay over top-rated Germany’s seen as “unwarranted”.
Reuters sources said the QT discussion earlier this month did not impact PEPP reinvestments, set to run through 2024.
Eric Oynoyan, head of European rates strategy at Morgan Stanley, estimates PEPP redemptions will total around 151 bln euros next year.
“To some extent, ironically the PEPP flexibility is a way to keep on doing QE for peripheral debt while doing QT and could even eventually lead to tighter spreads,” he said, referring to the first half of next year.
An eventual wind-down of PEPP holdings could add to balance sheet reductions in 2025 worth a total 388 billion euros, ING said. Analysts do not expect the ECB to speed up the process with outright bond sales.
The easy money era is over
UNCHARTERED TERRITORY
How QT will play out is largely unknown in the same way that quantitative easing was an experiment.
The Federal Reserve has started to wind down its $9 trillion balance sheet and staff recently concluded that bond market strains could complicate the operation by amplifying its impact and raising rates more than anticipated.
The Bank of England’s plans to start QT in early October were delayed until Oct. 31 as it launched an emergency bond-buying programme to stem a bond market rout sparked by the UK government’s Sept. 23 announcement of a “mini-budget”.
“The lesson from the Bank of England is that essentially, if you don’t have financial stability, there’s no point trying to pursue price stability,” said Piet Haines Christiansen, chief analyst at Danske Bank.
The big headache for the ECB is containing bond spreads.
In addition to PEPP reinvestments, it has also launched a new tool, the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI), under which it would buy bonds from states seeing an “unwarranted” widening of spreads over Germany.
AllianceBernstein portfolio manager Nick Sanders said he was “sceptical” how the ECB could achieve QT with those protections in place.
“If you’ve got euro zone yields supported by backstop they’ve got in place, it’s going to be very hard for them to move into QT environment without a shock towards peripheral spreads, particularly Italy.”
The ECB may also find itself undertaking QT during a recession, which would lead to “overtightening” of policy, said Annalisa Piazza, analyst at MFS Investment Management.
No doubt the ECB, whose assets rival the Fed’s, adding to balance sheet runoff globally would be another source of uncertainty for broader markets.
A rough rule of thumb is that $1 trillion of QT is consistently worth about 10% off global equities, strategists said.
($1 = 1.0264 euros)
Reporting by Yoruk Bahceli and Dhara Ranasinghe, additional reporting by Samuel Indyk in London; Editing by Hugh Lawson and Tomasz Janowski
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Read the full article here
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edmturnmeon · 2 years
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Carbon Obscura - Moody Recipe For Fujifilm X-T4
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Fujifilm X-Trans IV Recipe for Melancholy Streets & Portraits
Mood: Dark, Melancholy Here is one of the second Obscura recipes as promised which is called Carbon Obscura after successfully testing Vision Obscura with a few photographer friends of mine. This recipe is specially created for creative moody portraits and street photography. This might not be an ideal recipe for everyone because it will work only under certain lighting conditions and locations. Well, just under certain conditions such as shooting downtown with buildings or backgrounds with dark colours will make this recipe shine!
What Is Carbon Obscura Recipe All About?
The melancholy colour tone is inspired by one of the music videos titled "When The Wind Blows" performed by one of the SNSD girls group, Yoona. I understand that it might be a lot difficult to imitate colours in music videos due to the usage of colour grading. This moody recipe is created using the Classic Negative film simulation. It is fine-tuned using the Kelvin temperature that blends with a blue and yellow tone to simulate a green overlay over the dark areas and is meant for dayligh Anything that is black will be slightly cast in green colour. Some might find it similar to the muted Tokyo Dream recipe but Carbon Obscura has a slightly warm tone and look more saturated.This might not be everyone's cup of tea, but why not try something new and different? The blue and yellow white balance mixture with the Kelvin temperature is what makes the Obscura recipes for Fujifilm cameras stand out from the other Fujifilm simulation recipes I've created so far.
* The Best Way To Shoot With Carbon Obscura
This recipe is known to be shot with a background with dark areas, you can also use the exposure compensation dial to underexpose or overexpose your shots. It is excellent for shooting portraits in the downtown areas, the city centre with buildings or dark backgrounds will work great. Custom adjustments have been made to the white balance shift and Kelvin's white balance, making this Carbon Obscura recipe so moody.All the streets and portrait sample photos below are shot with the Fujifilm X-T4 and will work for the Fujifilm X-Trans IV sensor cameras including the X100V, X-T4, X-T30II, X-E4, X-S10, and X-Pro3. Let's have fun and shoot! Stay tuned for the next one if you love one of these Obscura recipes.
Carbon Obscura Custom Settings
Film Simulation Classic Negative Highlight 0 Shadow +1.5 Color +2 Sharpness -4 Noise Reduction -4 Grain Effect / Grain Size Off Color Chrome Effect / FX Blue Strong / Strong White Balance 4000K, R:4 B:-7 Exposure Compensation 0 to +1 ISO Auto ISO 6400 Clarity 0 Dynamic Range DR400
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Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur
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Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur Fujifilm X-T4 // Kuala Lumpur
Looking for more Fujifilm SOOC Recipes?
Select a Fujifilm recipe Boudoir Chrome Carbon Obscura Classy Glow Cine 2046 Cine Matte Cira 800 Film Dark Diary Dark Matter Downtown Bloom Fujicolor C200 Expired Film Kodachrome 64 Kodak Portra 400 Film LomoChrome Metropolis Film Natura Classic Noir Bloom Nomadic Mood One for the Road Summer Wanderer Tokyo Dream True Chroma Urban Dream Vision Obscura
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if-you-fan-a-fire · 1 year
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“CONVICTION IS MADE FROM FINGERPRINTS,” Toronto Star. February 24, 1933. Page 2.  ---- Tell-Tale Marks Were Found by Police on Broken Window Pane ---- Finger-prints featured the evidence in the case of Robert Trowell, up for sentence on a shop-breaking conviction and also charged to-day before Magistrate R. J. Browne, with housebreaking, to which accused pleaded not guilty. 
The finger-print evidence was provided by a piece of broken window-pane which was photographed and the resulting prints compared with those taken from Trowell later by the police. Twenty-five points coincided with the original impressions gained by the police. Evidence disclosed that but 10 points were considered necessary to convict. 
“May I have a look at that picture?" asked Trowell, leaning eagerly over the dock rail. 
Crown Attorney Malone handed the prisoner the set of pictures, which accused perused with interest for several moments. 
"What have you to say before sentence is passed upon you?" asked the magistrate.
"Not a word, sir, except that I know nothing about the theft," the dark-eyed youth replied. 
Trowell's record was read into the case, whereupon the court passed sentence of one. year definite and three months indeterminate at the Ontario reformatory. 
The value of the goods stolen from the premises of George Bell, Gainsborough Rd., Feb. 15, was given at $400, including a $300 diamond ring. The other articles listed included shirts, field glasses, a watch and clothing. 
Year For Auto Thieves One year definite and three months indeterminate was the penalty imposed upon Albert Fieldhouse and George Rodway, who stole an automobile. 
Maurice Scott, admitted forging a D.A. account at department store by which about 15 articles were secured to the value of $31. The court ordered a remand until March 3 for further hearing. 
Henri G. Smith, charged with forgery, was placed under $20,000 bail and remanded until March 3. 
Fred Tonk, agreed to buy a vacuum cleaner for $19.25 from a trusting agent who left the implement in Tonk's possession without securing the down payment, although an agreement was signed by Tonk. 
"How long have you been selling such goods?" inquired the court of complainant. "About a week at the time of this particular case," was the reply. 
"I thought so," concluded the court. "Case dismissed." Then turning to Tonk, who was stepping quickly out of the room, his worship advised. "And you had better not. come back here again, for I'll surely remember you." 
Doctors to See Him Melville Marlin was sent to the Psychiatric hospital for examination, after conviction for the theft of four chickens, which he admitted. 
Jack McDonald appeared again on a charge of assaulting Alfred Croft. at a Sackville St. address on Feb. 17, and was fined $20 and costs or 30 days. Evidence disclosed that McDonald had come to the house in a fit of temper demanding some old clothes. An altercation ensued. 
“He kicked me in the stomach. then he punched me in the face," swore Croft.
McDonald denied the allegation, and countered by stating that Croft had struck the first blow. 
His Wish Granted Charged with permitting drunkenness, James Wolonsky was arraigned before Magistrate J. E. Jones in liquor court this morning. 
"I understand that the average time for a remand is one week," said the accused, "so I think I'll ask for a week in order to get more witnesses." 
The court granted his wish. 
"He had 24 quarts of beer in the rumble seat of his car." explained an officer, who said he found Thomas E. Reid consuming beer on Sherbourne St. last Sunday. "His permit shows a purchase of 84 quarts." 
"One hundred dollars and costs or three months," was the sentence; "and cancel his permit." 
Officers Sidney Wilson and Fred Coulson said they found Fraser Lanigan on Bellwoods Ave. with two bot- tles of wine and no liquor permit. 
"He said a man had offered to get it for him," stated Officer Wilson. Lanigan was remanded until to-morrow. 
Evan Toshoff was charged with B.L.C.A. When officers entered his home they found two men drinking beer, though no one was able to produce a permit, they testified. 
"One hundred dollars and costs or three months," decided the magistrate.
Passengers Were Asleep A car owned by Wm. Welsford was crashed into another parked at the side of Dundas St. in which Gordon Parry was sitting on Saturday night.Welsford was charged with reckless driving. 
“He was intoxicated." offered Parry, and pointed out Welsford as the driver.
Welsford's car also hit Fred Ward, who was riding a bicycle, and knocked him unconscious. Walter Taylor and J. B. Gillies, occupants of Welsford's car, both said they had been asleep and didn't know who was driving. 
"I am going to remand you in custody for a week." decided Magistrate Jones. "But your honor-" began the accused. 
"I'm going to give you seven days anyway." interrupted the bench, "so you might as well do it now. And in the meantime you had better soften the blow by paying some of the damages." 
Slumbered in Truck Motorcycle Officer J. Sanders (471) found John Rogers asleep over the steering wheel of his truck, parked with the motor running, on Euclid Ave. 
"He smelt very strongly of liquor and when he got out of the car he only saved himself from falling by holding on to the mudguard," the officer related. 
"He was brought in by two officers and he resisted every inch of the way." said Sergeant James Wilson of No. 11 police station. Rogers was sentenced to seven days in jail. 
Ned Sadly Surprised "I've been doped" said Ned Clark to Magistrate Tinker in the early court to-day. "Never in my life have I been in such a terrible shape as now-why I had only one drink and surely that could not affect a man. of my experience and constitution," Ned protested. 
"That's all right Ned." returned the bench in a friendly tone. "I quite understand. "I'm going to remand you for sentence but remember if you are brought back I'll have to send you down." 
"And I couldn't blame you plied Ned. Grant Rupert, a .... young man charged ... drunk, asked to be ....   to sober up. "I ....  Northern Ontario a bit of a holiday ....  his worship.”
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mariaiscrafting · 3 years
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I'm sorry but all my brain can focus on right now is Red, Ant's boyfriend, jokingly tweeting "fuck gay people," and Crumb deadass thinking he was homophobic and drawing a little Crumb with a gay pride flag in retaliation 😫
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kechiwrites · 3 years
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katsuki, izuku, and shouto as types of doting dads
🌿 gender neutral!reader
🌿 sfw drabbles, lots of domestic fluff under the cut, 
🌿  warning: bakugo swearing, of course
🌿 w.c: 1.2k (approx. 400 each) 
🌿 a/n: thank u to my angel @mindninjax​ for naming katsu’s tiktok. sorry about the formatting, tumblr hates me.
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katsuki
Bakugo’s kids are not spoiled, fuck you for even insinuating it.
Bakugo’s kids get what they need.
And what they need is a four tier bento box, every school day.
Insulated, of course, because “they aren’t fucking animals.”
And what starts as Bakugo just being a very attentive father, grows into you recording him coming home from his early morning run and grumbling while he puts on the frilly, lemon yellow apron your kids got him for Christmas two years ago, which grows into him carefully arranging a camera setup over your kitchen countertops, “because you’re the shittiest director alive, dumbass.” Which leads to the tiktok account dine-amight, where Bakugo uploads his intermediate-level character bentos, full to bursting with perfectly seasoned rice balls shaped like All Might and Hello Kitty, star and moon shaped fruits and veggies and occasionally, when your kids beg for them, Bakugo’s famous rainbow mini pancakes.
And of course a pro-hero with a reputation like Bakugo doing anything domestic is worth coverage and acclaim, blowing the account’s followers into the hundreds of thousands in a week.
In fact, people are shocked that Bakugo can even find the time. But he’d do anything for your kids, do anything to see them bring home empty bentos, bragging about all the kids drooling over their lunches that day. Anything to watch their missing tooth smiles when he asks how they were.
And if that means a couple of extra grocery trips at the end of the week and really early morning runs and gentle kisses on your forehead while you mutter and shift in your sleep before he starts the rice cooker, then so be it.
“Katsuki, they are not going to eat caviar. They do not need caviar.” Honestly, you were less surprised he was dropping it in the cart and more surprised your local supermarket even carried it in the first place. 
“They’ll eat whatever the fuck I give them.” He bites, pushing the cart just shy of too fast through the aisle, head swivelling back and forth for god knows what else. An elderly woman casts your husband a dirty look as he just barely swings the metal buggy to avoid her, to which Katsuki helpfully spits “Keep it movin’, hag!” 
“They’re 10!” 
“Doesn’t mean they need to choke down dry ass chicken nuggets and grape juice all day.”
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izuku
Birthday party dad, the absolute worst party dad. Thousands of dollars on his kids’ birthday parties. Princess parties, pirate parties, any theme your kids can gurgle about liking and Deku has pulled out his tablet and is putting a pinterest board together before you can remind him that the twins’ birthday was two months ago. 
“We can get an early start on next year. What’ll you think it’ll cost to turn the pool into an ice rink?”
          “My sanity.”
        “Don’t be dramatic.”
Gets almost ridiculously bitter when the family across the street throws an All Might themed party when he knows, he fucking knows, they overheard him talking about throwing one for the boys months ago, But he is not changing his plan. Naw naw naw, your kids are gonna get their All Might party, they’re getting the All Might Party. Every single attendee is getting a vintage, tin All Might lunchbox stuffed to bursting with All Might merch; toys, branded candy only released in Sweden, keychains, those little retro bubble charms, anything he can cram in there. The yellow, red and blue bouncy castle he rented rivals the size of your house. And then, because there is not a soul on the planet pettier than your husband, he forces every pro hero he’s ever known to get in costume and take photos with the kids. He makes the one with the twins your yearly christmas card, then hand delivers it to the family across the street.
In October.
You bake apology pies for weeks.
“You know this is ridiculous right? Deku, she’s 2” you stress the number, pinching the bridge of your nose. “She isn't going to remember any of this.”
“I'm not listening, I didn't hear that, I am busy putting little princesses on cupcakes, a task you said you would help me with.” He’s grinning when he turns to you, and when you hold out your hand, he places a piping bag full of baby pink frosting in your open palm. 
Together you hunch over the kitchen island to ice and decorate twenty-four strawberry vanilla cupcakes, nudging and snickering at each other’s lopsided princess figures until the two of you are smearing icing on skin and tossing edible glitter into hair.
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shouto
You know those “girl dads”? That’s Shouto. He takes her everywhere, takes pictures of everything that little girl does. School plays, holidays, playdates, you name it and there’s a dedicated, timestamped album that Shouto is begging to show every visitor, mailman and coworker. 
He prints them out, and maintains an instagram account filled with his favourite daddy-daughter moments, updated. daily.
Nevermind that he hasn’t used his own personal account in 9 years.
His favourite thing is buying and wearing matching outfits, carrying her in one arm. “Yes, I know she can walk, she’s very talented, she can do anything. She just likes to be as tall as daddy is.”
Whenever he picks her up from school, your husband slides her sweet little coat on and gently secures her into her car seat, right where he can see her when he looks in the rearview mirror. Then, Shouto drives your daughter wherever she wants to go. 
Wherever.
If it’s the zoo, they’re going, and they’re coming back with a gigantic, stuffed red panda to add to her own (not so little) plushie zoo at home. If it’s Starbucks, she comes toddling through the front door holding a VENTI, frozen hot chocolate frappuccino (no coffee, of course) and a brownie. Shouto asks them to make it special, he would never let her handle anything too hot.
“Shouto, stop. You’re gonna rot her teeth, she can’t even finish that.” Which is totally true, the cup’s as big as your daughter’s head. Not that she seems to mind, the way she hefts it up for you to see from the entryway while Shouto undoes her glittery blue shoelaces.
“I’ll finish the rest.” He shrugs, picking her up and plopping her down on the living room couch next to you, pressing a light kiss to the top of your head before shuffling off to hang up their identical winter coats.
He doesn’t even like chocolate.
“Why would she need a iPad?” You grab Shouto by his shoulders and make him look at you. 
“For…school.” His voice is quiet and subdued and you almost feel bad...before you remember your husband is clutching an $800 tablet he intends to give your 6 year old kid to his chest in the middle of an electronics store.
“Baby...she’s in elementary school…They aren’t even using calculators yet.” You try to pry the package out of his grip, steadfastly ignoring the gentle downturn of Shouto’s mouth at the development. 
“She’s very advanced for her age.” The frown is a full on pout by now and you shut it down as quick as you can. 
“No. Uh uh. Put that bottom lip back in. Then put the tablet back.”
It’s wrapped in shiny purple paper by December 19th.
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