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rudrjobdesk · 2 years

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FPI की अंधाधुंध बिकवाली जारी, जून में अबतक 31,430 करोड़ की निकासी, Stock Market निवेशक समझें इसके मायने

Photo:FILE FPI Highlights अक्टूबर, 2021 से एफपीआई की बिकवाली का सिलसिला जारी 2022 में एफपीआई अबतक 1.98 लाख करोड़ रुपये के शेयर बेच चुके आगे भी विदेशी पोर्टफोलियो निवेशकों द्वारा बिकवाली जारी रखने की आशंका FPI (विदेशी पोर्टफोलियो निवेशकों) की बिकवाली जून में भी जारी है। इस महीने अबतक एफपीआई भारतीय शेयरों से 31,430 करोड़ रुपये की निकासी कर चुके हैं। डिपॉजिटरी के आंकड़ों से यह जानकारी मिली है। इस…

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firstwatercapital · 25 days

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FPIs coming back to India: What makes them buyers again and what’s expected going ahead?

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have been on a buying spree in the Indian market since March this year.

For the current calendar year, however, they are still in the red as the outflow in January was massive.

FPI flow in 2023 so far.

FPIs turned to the Chinese market from the Indian market after Beijing lifted Covid restrictions and opened its economy. At that time, the Chinese market was very cheap while India was at a premium to its historical valuation.

FPIs hoped that their investment in China will give them better returns and they were right.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index is up about 10 percent this year so far against a two percent fall in the Indian benchmark Sensex.

FPIs coming to India, but slowly

India has been one of the best investment destinations for FPIs among emerging markets since March. But if we see carefully, they are not investing heavily in the Indian market. In fact, they are picking stocks very selectively. FPIs are buying capital goods, construction and FMCG and selling IT and oil and gas.

FPI net investment in the first three months of 2023 has been negative each month. March 2023 was positive only due to the one-off equity investment in the Adani Group. However, April’23 has been a good month to date.

Betting on the India story

FPIs appear to be betting on India’s growth story. As the correction in the Indian market In January and February gave comfort on the front of valuation too, they want to reap the benefit of India’s resilient economy when the West is trying to avoid recession.

“The Indian broader indices had corrected nearly 10 percent from their highs, making their valuations attractive as compared to other emerging markets. FPIs were net sellers in the months of January and February 2023. Barring a huge deal, FPIs were net sellers in the month of March too,” Sanjay Moorjani, Research Analyst at SAMCO Securities, observed.

“Given the recessionary conditions across the globe, India’s growth potential remains the highest in the world. This could add as a fillip and foreign flows would come back soon,” said Moorjani.

Kaizad Hozdar, Investment Advisor at TrustPlutus Wealth, also believes India’s growth story is a major factor that has attracted FPIs.

“As per the latest figures from the IMF, world GDP growth is estimated at nearly 2.8 percent in the year 2023 which is close to the decadal low of 2.6 percent attained in 2019. A major slowdown in growth is expected in US and Europe while India is likely to grow at about 6 percent in the financial year 2023-24 (FY24). We believe this is one of the prime reasons why FPI flows are likely to gravitate towards India over the next few months,” said Hozdar.

“India benchmark earnings are likely to grow at about 10 percent in FY23 and between 10-15 percent in FY24. This growth stands out as an oasis in the current season of drought in the earnings prospects of the other large economies,” Hozdar said.

Arun Chulani, Co-founder at First Water Capital Fund, also highlighted that FPIs are once again coming back to India because they have seen how robust the India growth story is.

“Of course, India is not an island and will not be unaffected by the global headwinds, but with our internal domestic engine still on, we hopefully will be less impacted. Also, it is likely that the FPIs have seen what the other opportunities there are out there geographically and in comparison, India probably looks like a beacon of growth,” said Chulani.

“China has a big pull when it comes to attracting foreign investors; they have done a fantastic job in industrialisation and urbanisation over the last few decades. But as history shows, the baton of growth gets passed on and hopefully India will be the one to benefit next and take advantage of the passing trade winds,” Chulani said.

“India should hopefully grab this opportunity with both hands and especially more so if the government is aligned,” said Chulani.

Weakness in the dollar index and rate hikes hitting their peaks are also positive for emerging markets.

Hozdar observed that the dollar index which peaked out 7 months back at about 115 is now on the verge of cracking below the 100 mark. This is positive when seen from the point of view of FPI flows into emerging markets.

“The FPI outflow seen in the first quarter of the calendar year 2023 could be partly attributed to China relaxing its Covid curbs and re-opening its economy. Now looking ahead, it would be reasonable to assume that flows would get directed to regions where the earnings growth is superior,” said Hozdar.

“The interest rate hike cycle is now at its fag end which too could help funds flow to emerging markets. Our inflation is now likely to not only come within the RBI’s comfort zone but more importantly is likely to remain in the zone as most commodities are seeing bearishness due to weak global growth prospects,” Hozdar said.

What could be the trend?

It is unlikely that there will be a strong shift of foreign funds from China to India. India may continue to see inflows due to its bright economic outlook and pause in interest rate hikes.

However, China too will remain a beneficiary of foreign fund inflows as investors hope the country’s growth will beat expectations.

In fact, the Chinese economy has started showing signs of recovery. Its first-quarter gross domestic product rose sharply.

“China GDP grew by 4.5 percent in the first quarter. That marks the highest growth since the first quarter of last year — when China’s economy grew by 4.8 percent — and better than the 4 percent forecast in a Reuters poll. Quarter-on-quarter, the economy grew 2.2 percent,” said a CNBC report said.

As Rajnish Girdhar, CEO of Karma Capital, explained: “Global allocators look at the emerging markets as one asset class. China being a heavyweight has a huge contribution to that asset class performance. Most allocators look at it as complementing rather than competing geographies for allocation. It would be unfair to look at it as India versus China, as in the current circumstances both will be beneficiaries.”

The views expressed are the authors own. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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nsebullcom · 5 months

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FPIs: FPIs buy big in primary market even as secondary sales continue

Mumbai: Overseas investors’ flows into the primary market in November hit a 23-month high even as they remained net sellers in the secondary market in this period. Foreign portfolio investors invested ₹7,688 crore in the primary market in November till Thursday with the IPO market buzzing with activity, while they offloaded Indian shares worth ₹6,877 crore. The primary market includes IPOs,…

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#foreign investors #fpis #Investors #primary market #Sales

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blogynews · 7 months

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Mysterious Twist: FPIs Unexpectedly Shed Rs 4,200 Crore in September, What's Behind the Sudden Exit?

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in India have become net sellers, withdrawing Rs 4,200 crore from equities in September. This shift in investment behavior can be attributed to factors such as rising US bond yields, a stronger dollar, and concerns over global economic growth. Nitasha Shankar, Chief Investment Advisor at YES Securities (India) Ltd, expects the outflow of foreign portfolio money…

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blogynewz · 7 months

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Mysterious Twist: FPIs Unexpectedly Shed Rs 4,200 Crore in September, What's Behind the Sudden Exit?

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in India have become net sellers, withdrawing Rs 4,200 crore from equities in September. This shift in investment behavior can be attributed to factors such as rising US bond yields, a stronger dollar, and concerns over global economic growth. Nitasha Shankar, Chief Investment Advisor at YES Securities (India) Ltd, expects the outflow of foreign portfolio money…

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blogynewsz · 7 months

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Mysterious Twist: FPIs Unexpectedly Shed Rs 4,200 Crore in September, What's Behind the Sudden Exit?

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) in India have become net sellers, withdrawing Rs 4,200 crore from equities in September. This shift in investment behavior can be attributed to factors such as rising US bond yields, a stronger dollar, and concerns over global economic growth. Nitasha Shankar, Chief Investment Advisor at YES Securities (India) Ltd, expects the outflow of foreign portfolio money…

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attud-com · 8 months

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gadgetsforusesblog · 1 year

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FPI: Positive start to the new financial year, FPI has invested Rs 8767 crore in Indian stock market so far in April

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have so far invested Rs 8,767 crore in the Indian stock markets in the first month of the current financial year. Before that, in the previous fiscal year 2022-23, FPIs were net sellers. Shrikant Chauhan, head of equity research (retail), Kotak Securities Ltd, said that given the US Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, FPI flows are expected to remain…

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lakannada · 1 year

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FPIs turn net sellers this week in equity market, so far inflow is at ₹4,500 cr in Dec | Mint - Mint

FPIs turn net sellers this week in equity market, so far inflow is at ₹4,500 cr in Dec | Mint – Mint

As per NSDL data, as of December 9, in the current month, FPIs inflow is around ₹4,500 crore in the equities. It needs to be noted that, NDSL data last week showed that between December 1-2, FPIs inflow was around ₹7,437 crore in the equities. In the market week that ended on December 9, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) made more selling in the equity market tracking broad-based selloffs…

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dailynews9 · 1 year

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FPIs bought shares worth Rs 31,630cr in November

New Delhi: Foreign portfolio investors have rediscovered their liking for Indi inequities, making a net investment of Rs 31,630 crore in November in hopes of an end to the aggressive rate hikes, and positivity about overall macroeconomic trends. According to experts, as the remaining net sellers in August and September, Foreign Portfolio Investors ( FPIs ) are unlikely to be major sellers going…

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#FPIs bought shares worth

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squarwell-breakingnews · 1 year

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Foreign portfolio investors flock to Indian market; buy shares worth Rs 31,630 crore in November - Times of India

Foreign portfolio investors flock to Indian market; buy shares worth Rs 31,630 crore in November – Times of India

NEW DELHI: Foreign portfolio investors have rediscovered their liking for Indian equities, making a net investment of Rs 31,630 crore in November on hopes of an end to the aggressive rate hikes, and positivity about overall macroeconomic trends. According to experts, after remaining net sellers in August and September, Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) are unlikely to be major sellers going…

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znewstech · 1 year

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Foreign portfolio investors flock to Indian market; buy shares worth Rs 31,630 crore in November

NEW DELHI: Foreign portfolio investors have rediscovered their liking for Indian equities, making a net investment of Rs 31,630 crore in November on hopes of an end to the aggressive rate hikes, and positivity about overall macroeconomic trends. According to experts, after remaining net sellers in August and September, Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) are unlikely to be major sellers going…

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newslobster · 1 year

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FPI: Foreign Investors Turn Net Sellers For Second Month Straight Amid Weak Rupee

In September, foreign investors sold Rs 7,624 crore worth of equities in India. New Delhi: Foreign portfolio investors have withdrawn funds worth Rs 1,586 crore from Indian stock markets in October and become net sellers for the second straight month amid the strong US dollar index, weak rupee, and tightening of monetary policy. However, the volume of fund outflows has substantially declined…

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online-journalist · 2 years

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S Ravi, Former BSE Chairman Advices The Stock Market Investors“New Investors Should Be Patient During Tough Times”

At a time when the Covid-19 pandemic and consequent lockdowns affected the economy, the stock market was one of the very few areas where the wheels were still turning. This attracted many new investors, and a record number of new Demat accounts were opened. During then pandemic, the Indian stock market witnessed lakhs of new investors form the Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. However, this enthusiasm seems to have waned as returns from the market have flattened in recent months. From a high of 20 lakh new investors in October 2021, it has dropped to 13 lakhs in April 2022.

According to the former BSE Chairman Sethurathnam Ravi, foreign portfolio investments or FPIs became net sellers for eight out of 12 months in 2021–22 with a net outflow of Rs. 1.3 lakh crore, against a net inflow of Rs. 2.8 lakh crore in the previous year. Mutual funds, on the other hand, made heavy investments worth Rs. 1.7 lakh crore in the Indian equity market in 2021–22, according to the Reserve Bank of India.

There was a massive rise in the number of new Demat accounts. A total of 50 lakh Demat accounts were opened in 2019–20 and 1.42 crore in 2020–21. This shot up to 3.46 crore new Demat accounts in the year 2021–22. This means that on average, 28.8 lakh Demat accounts were opened every month during 2021–22, which was higher than 11.8 lakh accounts per month in the previous year and 4.2 lakh Demat accounts per month in 2019–20.

Due to this, the Indian stock market future remained dark with the pandemic looming over us. The global supply chain was crippled. Yet, S Ravi acknowledges that India’s stock market was one of the few areas that remained more stable than other markets. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that retail investors seemed to act as shock absorbers even when foreign portfolio investors went away.

Experts including S Ravi BSE Chairman suggests that ups and downs in the stock market are a usual phenomenon and that new investors should be patient during tough times. For many new investors, the market trend during the 2008 American subprime mortgage crisis is too old to be considered. He said to India Today the other day that, “If the retail investors have used prudence and have invested in good stocks with strong fundamentals, they should not worry”. As a word of caution, Ravi added that retail investors should diversify their portfolios and should not take loans to invest in equity.

#SethurathnamRavi #SethurathnamRaviBSE #SRaviBSE #SRavi #SRaviBSEFmrChairman #SRaviBSEChairman #SethurathnamRaviFmrBSEChairman

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blogynews · 7 months

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"FPIs Surprise Stock Market: Unprecedented Rs 4,200 Cr Withdrawal Stuns Experts, What Does This Mean for Investors?"

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have shifted from being consistent buyers to net sellers, withdrawing Rs 4,200 crore from equities in September. This change in trend can be attributed to the rise in US bond yields, a stronger dollar, and concerns about global economic growth. Nitasha Shankar, Chief Investment Advisor at YES Securities (India) Ltd, believes that the outflow of foreign portfolio…

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blogynewz · 7 months

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"FPIs Surprise Stock Market: Unprecedented Rs 4,200 Cr Withdrawal Stuns Experts, What Does This Mean for Investors?"

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have shifted from being consistent buyers to net sellers, withdrawing Rs 4,200 crore from equities in September. This change in trend can be attributed to the rise in US bond yields, a stronger dollar, and concerns about global economic growth. Nitasha Shankar, Chief Investment Advisor at YES Securities (India) Ltd, believes that the outflow of foreign portfolio…

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