#probabilities

[fieriframes]

[Fear was stronger than the calculation of probabilities.]

#s34e12 lots of latin #guy fieri #guyfieri #diners drive-ins and dives #fear #calculation #probabilities

[aquaheartgirl]

Can someone who’s good with probabilities help me with a simple worldbuilding problem? Idk why I’m so stuck on this, I’ve never been scared of a little math, but I’m just not sure exactly what to do here and idk how to google something this specific.

Say that within a given group of people, 90% of them have trait A, while the other 10% have trait B instead.

Two people from this group are chosen at random. What are the chances that they both have trait A, both have trait B, or one has A and the other has B?

I’m thinking the three probabilities should all add up to 100%, but I’m blanking on how to calculate the actual numbers… can someone please help me out?

#this is definitely not a totally unnecessary venture into the genetics of mermaid tails #which it turns out has very little impact on my world bc even with just 2 alleles you get a surprising amount of color variability #and which no one but me will EVER notice or care about #and I’m definitely not playing with this at 3:30 am when I should be in bed #nope this is um… important stuff… #;) #math #probabilities #ahg

[earthling-wolf]

Pi Time

Global Narratives

The Pi function passively archives the information streaming into the psyche and, insofar as memory is faithful, will piece this information together with high fidelity into a map that is referenced thereafter when a parallel scenario presents itself. Pi produces a wealth of knowledge and can lead an individual to be prolific and well read; cultivating expertise on multiple subjects, as Pi specializes in width and scope. Often an interest will develop in the evolution of ideas over generations and centuries. Historical movements, time periods and dates may be amassed in the process. However, the Pi function has no interest in rote memorization, but instead in deriving meaning out of those datasets by weaving together the story of an unfolding landscape. Pi is highly stimulated by chronicling an abundance of cultural landmarks. Over time this may lead Pi to amass such a wide volume of knowledge that it may be prone to ramble on for hours as they relay the chain of events connected to any one situation.

Philosophy & Counsel

Naturally, this hoarding of information will lead to great explanatory power, and with it also an inclination towards philosophy. Pi is a philosophical function, as it comes to generate a sense of “how the world is” and “what our place in it is.” This philosophizing is distinct from the conventional concept of one's life motto, and is instead a more formal attempt to explain everything under one umbrella schema or interpretation of existence at large. This eventually cascades into a surety of perspective and an ability to give counsel that others come to view as stable. The Pi function lends an advisor ability to a person, as it becomes possible to consult a person effectively when one is rooted in a given philosophy that broadly spans all domains, even if it’s not specialized too deeply in any one topic. This may give the person a grandfatherly energy, causing them to appear wise beyond their years. But Pi’s counsel will more often revolve around avoiding pitfalls/dangers and will highlight the usefulness of what is most understood or fleshed out.

Steadiness & Temperance

Being introverted, the Pi function resists the object, and in so doing it views the outer world with a level of suspicion and distance. Rather than jumping headlong into things as Pe might be prone to do if it sees a big enough opportunity, Pi will evaluate life passively from a phlegmatic resting place. There is no need to rush into something until one has understood the situation sufficiently. Pi has a temperate view of things and is willing to forego immediate benefits for long-term trade-offs. It is more of a tortoise than a hare. Pi is a very grounding function; always painting a picture which – while continually evolving – is never too different from one day to the next. It matures steadily and doesn’t discard progress. It’s therefore conservative in the normal sense of the word. The Pi function is durable and can be difficult to shock/rattle when it has grown a sufficient understanding of all the main factors involved in a situation. Others will often experience Pi types as steady pillars in their lives, which usually carry a parental energy about them and a comforting familiarity.

Probabilities & Predictions

While Pi spends ages studying the past, the pathway to the future also becomes more clear as the two are never seen as unrelated. Whatever has been true up to now of the world is anticipated to be true in the next moment, and the moments to follow. Both Pi functions have different ways of anticipating what the future will be like, but both generally expect  continuity and can help leverage this sense of continuity in their favor. Sometimes this can make Pi conservative, but this is not always the case. At other times Pi can appear radical if it tracks a trend that has an S-curve on the horizon. A political party's imminent demise may be forecasted, the long-term effects of people's eating habits may be brought into a conversation at every opportunity, or the exponential growth of technology may be predicted. In this sense, Pi can be a paranoid function as well as a hopeful function; the difference lies in the content of the data itself. Pi makes the psyche aware of probabilities, but allows the rest of the psyche to decide what to do about these forecasts. Pi is an informant who brings a report to the chief's desk,but as a reactive function it will not make the call to take any action by itself.

#Cognitive Typology #Energetics #Introverted Perception #Pi #ISFJ #INFJ #INTJ #ISTJ #Behaviorism #Time #Global Narratives #Philosophy #Counsel #Steadiness #Temperance #Probabilities #Predictions #Senex #Crone

[bluehawkdustorm]

As any specific step of our slide into dystopia looms closer, the probability that somebody will make a viral prophetic joke about it approaches one.

#the gift of prophecy #probabilities #empirical statements

[mthomasapple]

Looking for aliens in all the wrong places?

Our search for alien life is getting serious. With better telescopes and a growing scientific consensus that we’re probably not alone in the universe, we’re beginning to look farther and wider across the vastness of space for evidence of extraterrestrials. But it’s possible we’re looking for too few signs in too few places. Having evolved on Earth, surrounded by Earth life, we assume alien life…

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#alien life #aliens #asteroids #🚀 #exoplanets #probabilities #reality check #science #science fiction #skepticism #space #space exploration #spaceship #speculation

[cosmos-kitty]

Maybe the real treasure was the boops we made along the way

#these paws are probably ao anatomically incorrect please ignore that asdfgjgkhk #I made this in a fever #art #artists on tumblr #illustration #boop #april fools

[liquidstar]

i always think abt my cousin in greece who's like obsessed with american culture, bc ill say that im going to a barbecue and she'll be like "wow.... a real life american barbecue... will there be red cups?" you bet your ass there'll be red cups. take my hand. have a hot dog. all your dreams can come true here at the real life american barbecue

#she needs to visit so i can take her to a mall #the food court alone will blow her mind #shes like 14 so claire's and/or justice would probably also blow her mind

[wolfythewitch]

How does this keep happening to me

#i stole these screenshots they arent mine LOL #but if i had a nickel for every time #i could probably buy myself a meal

[trashy-greyjoy]

really love dynamics that are like 'it honestly doesn't matter if you view them as romantic or platonic, the point is that they love each other. the type of love is inconsequential, all that matters is that it's there'. gotta be one of my favorite genders.

#who cares if its platonic love who fucking CARES if its because they wanna kiss like the devotion and the tenderness is there no matter what #mainly brought to you by: jack and anne from black sails but also probably sydcarmy and msr #sydcarmy #msr #rackhanne #the bear #black sails #txf #the x files #mulder x scully #sydney x carmy #jack rackham x anne bonny #oh wait perhaps also theonsa if you squint #maybe not

[barblaz-arts]

They forgot to tell him

#hazbin hotel #lucifer morningstar #vaggie #chaggie #he probably felt lonely about being the only angel in hell huh #my art

[poorly-drawn-mdzs]

The math just adds up!

#dungeon meshi #falin touden #marcille donato #farcille #I always loved how chapter 27 ends with them both so bloody and 28 starts with them in the bath. #not just because of how iconic the bathtub moment is but because you know they had to scrap off so much gore first. #I think everyone in the party took a very long and methodical bath but Falin was basically *all* blood*. #Being covered in blood is one of those 'just girly things' that women deserve to stop being shamed about. #I just don't think Chilchuck is progressive enough. He probably made them take a bath first B*/ #Okay jestering aside I want to just highlight - #The magnitude of Marcille's joy at seeing her dearest friend again! Of holding her and sharing her presence in the same room! #Something about this reunion feels like a beautiful dream you are afraid of waking up from...

[porcelain-rob0t]

on identity, healing the inner child, fursonas, and cringe culture

#art #digital art #my art #fursona #personal comic #furry #wolf #i had a werewolf phase when i was 8. i would howl at the moon and i would grow my nails out and chew them into claws #comic #webcomic #web comic #comics #comic artist #indie comic #this will probably be included in a zine later #cringe culture is dead #i am cringe but i am free

[jacqcrisis]

Put salt in your baked goods. Put salt in your desserts. Just do it. Please. Salt isn't just for savory, it's literally a flavor enhancer so even a pinch can take a meh recipe to one people can't stop eating. Listen to me. Your cookies and cheesecake bars are bland and uninteresting. I'm taking your hand. I'm guiding you with a gentle touch to the back. We can do this together. Trust me.

#baking #just do it just put THE SALT IN THE COOKIE DOUGH #inspired by the coworker who bragged her recipes dont need salt and brought the blandest cheesecake bars to the potluck #you need some salt i promise #just a little #just skooch #'the recipe doesnt call for salt' THEN ITS PROBABLY WRONG

[canisbeanz]

Silly doodle bc it was the first thing I thought of when I saw Pomni.

#ik the yellow things are probably pom poms but I love bells so here we are #i'm so happy the pilot is out #now i can stop rewatching the first teaser lmao #the blue hand may or may not be on the wrong side bc I am directionally challenged #the amazing digital circus #tadc #pomni #tadc caine #my art #canis art #artwork #digital art #glitch animation #the fool jingled miserably across the floor

[ineed-to-sleep]

This mans got me in a chokehold ahahahaaa 🫠

don't tell him I said that

#bg3 #baldur's gate 3 #astarion #astarion bg3 #astarion ancunin #sleepyscribble #yk in hindsight it was probably a mistake to romance him in my first run #How am I supposed to romance other ppl in the next ones now 🫠

[liquidstar]

If my mom sees a significant amount of blood she gets lightheaded, and has fainted on some occasions. Once it happened when we were kids, I wasn't there to witness it but I heard the story from my dad. Basically my brothers, around 7 or 8 at the time, were playing outside while my mom was making their lunch, and she accidentally cut her finger. It wasn't anything serious, but it drew a fair bit of blood and she passed out. My dad saw this and rushed over, but he didn't really know what to do so he just sort of started slapping her to wake her up (not recommended, but he had no idea and panicked)

At that exact moment my brothers both came in from playing, and all they saw was our mom unconscious on the floor and our dad slapping her. So, like, without even saying a word to each other they both just INSTANTLY start whaling on him, like, full blown attack mode to defend our mom. Which obviously didn't help the situation, but she did wake up and everything was fine.

Now our dad says that he's actually really glad they attacked him over what they thought was going on, because it means he raised good boys. And I still think that's true, they're very good boys.

#i think about this story sometimes like yeah I'm proud of them for that too actually. good job baby brothers #they're not babies anymore of course they're turning 20 next year which is crazy #but they're still the type of people who'd do something if they saw something of this sort happen for sure #respectful of women and everyone else too. they're good guys #I'm glad I ended up with them living in my house against my will for like 14 years #anyway i have no idea where i was for all this but my best guess is probably a friends house given the time period #i was always at my besties house lol #i hope she's doing well too actually. haven't spoken in forever... #bestie from greek elementary school... if you're out there... let's get muffins and fanta at the bakery across the street again someday 💜☮️