#also Jamie Foxx is a king and he deserves a second chance at the role | Explore Tumblr Posts and Blogs

filmgamer · 6 years

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Although actual nominations won’t be in until Tuesday I added a mix of predicted favourites and personal choices of mine for wishful thinking purposes. Read to get some sort of context and personal filter on what to expect and hope for come January 23rd for the 90th Annual Academy Awards.

Best Picture

Blade Runner 2049 * – Broderick Johnson, Andrew A. Kosove, Bud Yorkin

Call Me By Your Name – Emilie Georges, Luca Guadagnino, James Ivory, Marco Morabito, Howard Rosenman, Peter Spears

Dunkirk – Emma Thomas

The Florida Project – Sean Baker, Chris Bergoch, Kevin Chinoy, Andrew Duncan, Alex Saks Francesca Silvestri, Shih-Ching Tsou

Get Out – Jason Blum, Edward H. Hamm Jr., Sean McKittrick, Jordan Peele

Lady Bird – Eli Bush, Evelyn O’Neill, Scott Rudin

Mudbound – Carl Effenson, Sally Jo Effenson, Cassian Elwes, Charles D. King, Christopher Lemole, Kim Roth, Tim Zajaros

The Shape of Water – J. Miles Dale, Guillermo del Toro

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri – Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin, Martin McDonagh

Wonder Woman – Charles Roven, Deborah Snyder, Zack Snyder, Richard Suckle

Blade Runner 2049

Call Me By Your Name

Dunkirk

The Florida Project

Get Out

Lady Bird

Mudbound

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Wonder Woman

Blade Runner 2049 was my favourite movie of the year, Three Billboards was my second favourite, Lady Bird and Get Out were good too. I found Dunkirk to be overrated, confusing and far from Nolan’s best. I am the only person besides my mom that didn’t like Wonder Woman. Mudbound was very boring to me. I like the idea of The Florida Project which has landed on several best of lists winning because of its underclass nature & humble beginnings, a true underdog. I have not seen The Shape of Water but its awards attention has caught my interest and Call Me By Your Name has as much chance of winning as it does being interest to me.

Actress In A Leading Role

Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game

Gal Gadot – Wonder Woman

Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water

Frances McDormand* – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird

Jessica Chastain

Gal Gadot

Sally Hawkins

Frances McDormand

Saoirse Ronan

This is a runaway for Frances McDormand who gives her best performance since Fargo. Gal Gadot is good but her nomination would be the story here. Sally Hawkins gives an impressive performance as a deaf-mute. I think Saoirse only gets acclaim because she has a flawless american accent. Jessica Chastain does good character work and deserved the Oscar for Zero Dark Thirty which Jennifer Lawrence won for Silver Linings Playbook (which I love but is not Best Actress worthy).

Actress in A Supporting Role

Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water

Holly Hunter – The Big Sick

Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird

Hong Chau – Downsizing

Allison Janney – I, Tonya

Octavia Spencer (Right)

Holly Hunter (Right)

Laurie Metcalf

Hong Chau

Allison Janney

Allison Janney all the way here. Holly Hunter is good in The Big Sick and Octavia Spencer always knows what she’s doing (still haven’t seen Shape of Water or it would fill up the supporting actor category). Hong Chau got raves out of Downsizing, additionally annoying and unfair because the Oscars have become so politicized in recent years this would be seen as a win for diversity after the 87th & 88th #OscarsSoWhite controversies. It’s ironic that her possible nomination would come from writer/director Alexander Payne indulging in his stereotypical racist tendencies. I guess Hollywood takes diversity where they can get it.

Actor In A Leading Role

Hugh Jackman * – Logan

Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out

James McAvoy – Split

Gary Oldman – The Darkest Hour

Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel Esq.

Hugh Jackman

Daniel Kaluuya

James McAvoy

Gary Oldman

Denzel Washington

This race is Gary Oldman’s to lose. He has turned in a career full of good performances and this is icing on the cake. If anything would hamper him from winning it’d be that the choice is too obvious playing historical figure Winston Churchill. Denzel always makes a great oscar campaign push and he has been hungry for a third win despite being the weakest reviewed movie of the bunch. I didn’t include Timothy Chalamet from ‘Call Me’ because I think his praise is due to the fact that reviewers aren’t aware he’s playing himself in role better written than he is like all first time actor nominees. Hugh Jackman deserves it for Logan even though I’m not a huge fan of that movie he deserves recognition for what he brought to the character. Daniel Kaluuya gives a subtle understated performance that rewards repeat viewings. And James McAvoy has been close to forgotten for his memorable turn in Split as someone with multiple personality disorder I’d like him to get recognized.

Actor In A Supporting Role

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project

Jamie Foxx – Baby Driver

Christopher Plummer – All the Money In the World

Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Patrick Stewart * – Logan

Willem Dafoe

Jamie Foxx (saying “that’s Oscar worthy”)

Christopher Plummer

Sam Rockwell

Patrick Stewart

At the beginning of the campaign I would have said this was an easy win for Willem Dafoe’s warm performance in The Florida Project but another career character actor Sam Rockwell has upstaged him for Three Billboards. Christopher Plummer is good I imagine many people are still amazed he’s in themovie after the Kevin Spacey debacle. I thought Jamie Foxx gave one of his best performances in Baby Driver, he even makes an Oscar reference. Patrick Stewart was so good in Logan that it’s impressive he makes you believe his senile swearing version of Professor X is the same person.

Directing

Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Jordan Peele – Get Out

M. Night Shyamalan – Split

Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water

Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049

Jordan Peele, Get Out

M. Night Shyamalan, Split

Martin McDonaugh, Three Billboards

Denis Villeneuve, Blade Runner 2049

Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water

Denis Villeneuve made a sequel to a classic that was better than the original while making it his own thing. He received a BAFTA (British Oscars) nomination for this and might repeat all the categories for last year’s Arrival. Jordan Peele, Guilllermo del Toro, and Martin McDonaugh are shoe-ins for the nomination and Greta Gerwig is likely to actually be nominated for Lady Bird, a movie I liked a lot but has modest aims. I threw in a Shyamalan twist because not only has he been nominated for but Split is a legitimately good movie that is unique enough I feel another director couldn’t replicate, and being the best means you’re special.

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Hampton Fancher and Michael Green – Blade Runner 2049

James Ivory – Call Me By Your Name

Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game

Stephen Chbosky and Steve Conrad and Jack Thorne – Wonder

Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber – The Disaster Artist

I think side by side with Three Billboards, Blade Runner is the best script this year and they happen to qualify for two different categories so yay! The Disaster Artist, Molly’s Game and Call Me are all favourites because it’s a weak year for this category which is why there will likely be a few surprises. I threw in Wonder because it’s high on the betting pool, commercially and critically successful, and it’s the movie every book lover expected to love and every movie lover expected to hate (but surprisingly didn’t) and The Perks of Being A Wallflower was pretty decent. Mudbound could score a nomination here to but I didn’t put it personally because its incremental pacing felt like a slog for me that just didn’t flow.

Adapted – Michael Green (who also wrote Alien Covenant, Logan, and Murder On The Orient Express all this year) rewrote Hampton Fancher’s screenplay (right)

Original – Greta Gerwig Writer/ Director of Lady Bird

Original – Martin McDonagh Writer/ Director of 3 Billboards

Original – Kumail Nanjiani & Emily V. Gordon wrote The Big Sick together. In writing credits the use of an ‘&’ denotes simultaneous collaboration while the use of ‘and’ indicates someone rewrote someone else’s screenplay

Original – Vanessa Taylor (co-writer of The Shape of Water with Del Toro)

Writing (Original Screenplay)

Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird

Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri

Emily V. Gordon & Kumail Nanjiani – The Big Sick

Jordan Peele – Get Out

Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor – The Shape of Water

If Lady Bird doesn’t end up getting completely shut out come Oscar night for being good enough to get noticed but not enough to take home (typical Lady Bird amirite?) it’ll win here as Get Out and Shape muscle in on their visual splendor. Of course I don’t think any movie this year takes as many risks as the unpredictable 3 Billboards does in its screenplay so it should win. The Big Sick was in my top list for this year but original? C’mon its based pretty much on the real life story of its writers, it should be adapted if anything however rules are rules.

Best Cinematography

Roger Deakins – Blade Runner 2049

The 68 year old is the closest thing to a sure thing this year and has been nominated 13 times before without winning and this is his best work which everyone has said from the beginning. Some of his previous nominations include: The Shawshank Redemption, Fargo, A Beautiful Mind, No Country For Old Men, Skyfall & Sicario. He absolutely deserves this one.

Best Original Score

Hanz Zimmer – Dunkirk

I didn’t like this movie but I listened to the score countless times while putting together my harsh review of it. The rarely idle Hans does the devil’s work here. And his Inception score was much better than Trent Reznor’s The Social Network which won that year. #robbed

Best Visual Effects

War for the Planet of the Apes

Another much hyped movie on my website I was let down by. I have never seen a director so obviously confident behind the camera its annoying that this series now so well realized spends its last chapter doing a prison break riff. Good Visual Effects are all about enhancing the story and I’ve never seen effects pushed so hard in that regard. Surprisingly, this rebooted series with state of the art effects that take YEARS to render has yet to win but unless members of the academy decide to feel sorry for Blade Runner or reward the epic looking latest Transformers: The Last Knight this should be a steal.

A Perfect and Backlash-Free Choice Oscar Nomination List Although actual nominations won’t be in until Tuesday I added a mix of predicted favourites and personal choices of mine for wishful thinking purposes.

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jessicakehoe · 5 years

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TIFF 2019: Let the Oscar Buzz Begin

Last year’s Best Picture Oscar winner was a divisive one. Green Book was largely panned by critics and plagued with problems ranging from a racist screenwriter to the fact that the family of its subject wasn’t consulted in the making of the film. But its running in the Oscar race was all but secured when it won the coveted Grolsch People’s Choice Award at TIFF. Historically, the award has been a pretty good indicator of which film will go on to nab the biggest award of the year (past Grolsch winners include 12 Years a Slave, The King’s Speech and Slumdog Millionaire, which won big at the Oscars just a few months later.)

This year’s winner, Jojo Rabbit, has been similarly divisive but if history’s taught us anything, it’s not to write off a Grolsch winner. As the final film festival on the circuit before awards season kicks off–following Telluride, Venice and Cannes—TIFF is where awards chatter gets cemented and speculation heats up. Read on for a roundup of the films whose buzz we expect to carry them right through to February, when awards season comes to a close with the Oscars.

Jojo Rabbit It’s not often that a Hitler film is described as “whimsical” but the word comes up time and again in reviews of the satirical film, which may have divided critics but earned a standing ovation from audiences. “Everyone in Toronto can agree that, on paper, Jojo Rabbit shouldn’t work. What they have trouble agreeing on is everything else,” notes a Vulture review. The film, about a Nazi-loving young boy whose worldview is shaken when he begins to fall for a Jewish girl his mother is hiding in their attic, currently has a Metacritic score of 52% but as IndieWire reminds us, plenty of films have seen awards season love despite middling reviews from critics, most recently Bohemian Rhapsody and Green Book. I expect to see a nom for the film in the Best Picture category and Kiwi director Taika Waititi might just score one too.

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Marriage Story This Netflix film about a couple navigating divorce was the runner-up for the Grolsch award and my personal favourite from the festival this year. There’s no obvious villain, no picking of sides, no one injured party—the grievances are messy, complicated and equally valid on both sides. As the couple whose marriage is ending, Adam Driver and Scarlett Johansson both deliver tour de force performances, and Laura Dern swoops in with a memorable turn as Johansson’s shrewd lawyer. Expect nods for all of them, as well as for the film’s director and writer Noah Baumbach.

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Parasite All anyone could talk about at Cannes in May was acclaimed Korean director Bong Joon-Ho’s film Parasite, which went on to win the festival’s highest honour, the Palme d’Or. It received similar critical acclaim at TIFF and came in third for the People’s Choice Award. The film follows a family of con artists who overtake an affluent household, and weaves together themes of class and capitalism into a captivating thriller. If it gets the recognition it seems poised to receive, it’ll make history as the first Oscar-nominated film from South Korea.

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Joker Joker’s already been making headlines for its “dangerous” and “scary” messaging and critics have been divided on its actual merits, but they do all seem to agree that an Oscar nom is on the cards for Joaquin Phoenix. The film also won the Golden Lion at Venice, so it might have some Best Picture chances as well.

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Hustlers The wild card entry here is definitely Jennifer Lopez, whose excellent performance as a stripper turned con artist in this film based on a true story got rave reviews at TIFF. Whether the film will sit well with Oscar voters, who tend to be a conservative, older bunch, is yet to be seen, but the buzz attached to her name is undeniable. Writer-director Lorene Scafaria also deserves recognition for distilling a complicated, layered story into a tight, well-crafted narrative with both heart and hustle.

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Harriet In the first and only biopic ever made on American abolitionist Harriet Tubman, Tony Award-winning actress Cynthia Erivo (whom audiences may remember from her supporting role in Widows last year) delivers a powerful performance as the titular character who risks her life to get slaves to freedom on the Underground Railroad. Both she and Janelle Monae, who plays a free Black woman providing shelter and support to slaves fleeing the south, could be in the running for nominations in the Lead and Supporting categories respectively.

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A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood There’s not much Mr Rogers in this Mr Rogers film, which mostly belongs to Matthew Rhys, who plays the Esquire journalist whose article the film is based on. A Supporting Actor nod for Tom Hanks—who is truly the Mr Rogers of our time—is a sure bet, and Matthew Rhys might sneak in with a nod too. Marielle Heller (who was overlooked last year for her excellent Can You Ever Forgive Me?) might well score a nomination for her deft, measured direction as well.

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Ford v Ferrari Two of the best actors of our time, Matt Damon and Christian Bale, co-star in this film about an automotive designer (Damon) and racecar driver (Bale) who try to build a Ford Mustang ahead of the 1966 Le Mans race in France. According to Macleans, “it has all the hallmarks of an Oscar Best Picture nominee—a story powered by high-octane chase scenes, a culture war pitting white-bread America against snotty Europeans, and a pair of blue-chip stars.”

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Judy For her portrayal of Hollywood icon Judy Garland in the final months of her life, Renee Zellweger got a three-minute standing ovation and a whole lot of Oscar buzz at the festival. Variety writer Jenelle Riley tweeted, “In 15 years at #TIFF I have never seen a standing ovation like the one for Renee Zellweger at JUDY.” Entertainment Weekly‘s Joey Nolfi also commented on the audience reaction, writing, “Renee Zellweger is crying. I’m crying. Everyone is fucking crying and Judy is a soaring, emotional wallop of a comeback for its star.” So it’s safe to say that come February, the actress will be sitting at the Dolby Theatre with a fourth Oscar nomination to her name.

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Just Mercy As a prisoner on Death Row for a murder he didn’t commit, Jamie Foxx is both cynical and hopeful, and his moving performance may earn him his second Oscar (he won in 2005 for Ray). Brie Larson could earn a Supporting nod too, and Michael B Jordan—as the activist and lawyer who makes it his mission to work with disenfranchised communities in the prison system—might finally score his first Oscar nom.

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The Two Popes The Hollywood Reporter has deemed it “a triumph of writing as well as unostentatious filmmaking.” Starring Anthony Hopkins and Jonathan Pryce, the Netflix film imagines a series of meetings between Pope Francis and Pope Benedict at the height of a scandal in the Catholic church. Critics seem to have loved its witty, humorous energy and the bromance at its centre, so nominations for the two veteran actors are likely on the table.

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