#wednesday recovery thursday wild card
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swim culture is monday-friday we always do kick on mon, non free tues, mid free wed, im thurs, power fri and but saturday is a wild card so who knows you could be doing a sprint set with 50s and 100s or the mile
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#that's a completely different split than us#we do monday IM tuesday sprint/distance#wednesday recovery thursday wild card#friday power saturday sprint/distance#swimblr#swimming#swimmer#swim problems#swim team#swim culture is#competitive swimming#swim#swim meet#swim culture
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Week Ahead: U.S. Inflation Takes Center Stage
Without any central bank meetings on the agenda next week, the spotlight will fall on the latest edition of US inflation and retail sales. The chances of a Fed taper announcement this month have fallen dramatically after the disappointing jobs report, but this dataset could still be crucial for the normalization timeline and the dollar. There’s also a storm of economic releases from the UK, Canada, Australia, and China.
Supply chain blues
It looks like inflation won’t cool as quickly as the Fed thinks. The idea was that the pandemic disrupted global supply chains, pushing prices higher for some goods and services, but those issues would get resolved fairly quickly as companies adapted and expanded their production capabilities.
That narrative took a beating lately as several Asian economies went into lockdowns to battle the Delta outbreak. Business surveys like the PMIs highlight that supply disruptions have become even worse. Production and shipping costs are rising, and companies are passing much of that on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Even the world’s largest chipmaker, TSMC, is raising its prices significantly next year.
The idea of could therefore turn into soon. Funnily enough, once supply chains normalize and cost inflation cools down next year, demand-driven inflation could make a comeback as the labor market returns to full employment. Workers are already enjoying more bargaining power than they have in decades and globalization is going into reverse.
In this light, markets will keep a close eye on the upcoming US inflation data that are scheduled for Tuesday, ahead of retail sales on Thursday. Forecasts suggest the headline CPI rate held steady at 5.4% in August, while retail sales are expected to have fallen for a second month.
As for the Fed, the stars now point to a November taper announcement. Inflation will likely remain hot and the easing in consumption shouldn’t be too worrisome given the astonishing gains this past year. The housing market is also booming. Policymakers essentially want to see another strong jobs report before they push the normalization button.
Therefore, the risks surrounding euro/dollar remain tilted to the downside, with the Fed set to out-normalize the ECB as the American economy heals faster than Europe’s. The prospect of greater spending from Congress argues in the same direction. The wild card in this equation is the upcoming German election, which may allow the euro a brief relief rally if a center-left victory raises the chances of greater EU integration and investment.
Sterling awaits data flood
Across the Atlantic ocean, there’s a flurry of data releases coming up in the United Kingdom. Jobs numbers for July are out on Tuesday, ahead of inflation stats for August on Wednesday and retail sales on Friday.
There has been a lot of attention lately on the tax increases on workers that Prime Minister Johnson is trying to push through, to fund healthcare and social services. But what flew under the radar were some exceptionally hawkish remarks from the Bank of England Governor.
Speaking before lawmakers this week, Andrew Bailey essentially said his central bank was split 4-4 at its last meeting on whether the minimum conditions for a rate increase had already been met. This revelation suggests markets may be underestimating how quickly the first hike will be delivered. A quarter-point rate increase is currently priced in for next August.
At the least, the BoE will almost certainly end its asset purchase program this year. In the near term, the pound will have to grapple with the end of the furlough program, which risks a spike in unemployment. But given the record number of open jobs in the economy, that may never materialize. The bigger picture for sterling seems bright, particularly against the euro and yen, which won’t enjoy higher rates in the coming years.
Canadian inflation eyed
Over in Canada, inflation numbers for August will hit the markets on Wednesday. The Bank of Canada was quite cryptic when it met this week, showing no concern about some signs that growth cooled in the second quarter. The Bank meets again in October when it is widely expected to slash its asset purchases again.
Overall, the economy is still in good shape. Vaccinations have been impressive, the jobs market has almost recovered, inflation is nearly double the BoC’s target, and the housing market is on fire. Therefore, the outlook for the loonie remains positive, although for now, a lot will depend on the upcoming election on September 20.
Prime Minister Trudeau has fallen behind his conservative opponent in opinion polls, and if he loses, that would imply less spending in the economy moving forward. That could see the loonie take a hit, but it wouldn’t change the bigger picture much, as any spending cuts are far away.
Australia and China
Staying in the commodity FX arena, Australia’s employment report for August is out on Thursday. The aussie has staged an impressive rebound lately, drawing power from an accelerated pace of vaccinations, which opens the door for an escape from lockdowns over the coming weeks.
But whether this recovery has legs will also depend on how the Chinese economy performs, given the close trading relationship between Australia and China. In this sense, China’s monthly data dump that includes retail sales and industrial production for August will be in focus on Wednesday. More signs that the world’s second-largest economy is slowing could be bad news for the aussie and risk sentiment more generally.
Finally, New Zealand's second-quarter GDP stats will be released Thursday, but with the third quarter now almost over and the nation suffering shutdowns lately, markets will likely view this dataset as outdated.
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Number of students returning is a wild card as B.C. schools set to reopen Monday
VANCOUVER — When students board the school bus on Monday in Williams Lake, B.C., they'll be greeted by a bus driver wearing a protective visor and will take a seat by themselves unless they live with another student.
Parents who take their kids to school will be asked to stay outside or make an appointment to reduce the number of adults who don't need to be in the building.
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Superintendent Chris van der Mark of the Cariboo-Chilcotin School District said in an interview these are some of the first differences families will notice, as schools across British Columbia increase capacity to more students.
Schools will have consistent procedures for site access, cleaning and hygiene and physical distancing. However, exactly what that will look like will vary because every school property is different, he said.
"This won't be perfect, but just as people adjusted to the initial suspension of service, I am confident we will do so again," he said in a letter to families May 22.
British Columbia is reopening schools to the broad student body on an optional basis, leaving it up to families to decide if they want to go or continue learning from home.
It's the latest pivot school staff have had to make in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and one that the teachers' union says is still full of unknowns.
The B.C. government is providing health and safety guidance in co-ordination with public health officials and it's up to school districts to determine class scheduling and transportation.
For most students in kindergarten through Grade 5 that will mean half-time attendance, such as alternating days, while grades 6 to 12 will go to school about one day a week, the government says.
About 5,000 students, including the children of essential service workers and those needing extra support, are already in classrooms.
But B.C. Teachers Federation President Teri Mooring said a lot of what schooling looks like in June depends on how many students actually show up.
Only some school districts conducted surveys of families asking whether they planned to send their kids back to school and the results varied between a high of 90 per cent and a low of 15, she said.
Even surveys aren't necessarily good indicators of uptake. Early in the pandemic, about half of essential workers said they planned to keep sending their kids to school but only 30 per cent did, she said.
"It's hard to know exactly what that's going to look like until we see the kids who come through the doors on Monday," Mooring said.
Some students won't have the same teacher as staff are shuffled to accommodate the new schedules and smaller class sizes, she said.
About one in 10 teachers are requesting to keep working from home because they have a higher vulnerability to COVID-19, which means they'll likely be dedicated to teaching students who stick with remote learning, Mooring said.
A common model will see other teachers work four days a week in class then the fifth remotely, she said.
"That won't be maybe such a big deal if most of their class returns. It will be quite a big problem if most of the class does not return."
The union is concerned about teacher burnout as they try to make up the difference.
"I'm worried about the number of hours they may be putting in," Mooring said.
Some classes won't look the same. There will be no sharing of instruments in music class, for example, or even of pens and pencils.
School staff and administrators have no plans to stop those programs.
"We know that music is really important, especially when you've gone through a difficult time. These types of experiences are really highly valued when there's high stress level so it's vital that these programs continue," Mooring said.
For the time being, it will mean studying music in a different way.
In North Vancouver, about half of families surveyed said they planned to send their kids back to kindergarten through Grade 5, school board chairwoman Christie Sacre said.
As a result, the district has planned for half of those students to attend on Mondays and Tuesdays and the other half on Thursday and Fridays.
Any "maybe" families have been asked to alert their school the Wednesday before they decide to return.
While door knobs, toilet seats, keyboards and other high-contact surfaces will be cleaned throughout the day alongside other cleaning, she said Wednesdays will also be dedicated to a "deep clean" of the building.
Arrival will occur on a staggered basis and so will recess and breaks, she said. Hallways will also become one-way corridors.
"We need to make sure our hallways are not full, and we don't have kids going in different directions in hallways and that kind of thing," she said.
School staff have been nimble in their response to the pandemic and she gave the example of a librarian who took it upon herself to deliver kids book door-to-door.
The school district is working hard to make sure everyone who returns feels comfortable and safe doing so, she said.
"Some people think we should never have shut schools down and others can't believe they're opening them up," she said.
"We need to step back and not judge people for the decisions they make."
This report by The Canadian Press was first published May 31, 2020.
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SBI Cards IPO share allocation status: How to check
Investors who had been praying all this while for good share allocation from the SBI Card IPO went back to their gods this morning to pray for the opposite: “Let there be no allocation.”
As a merciless battering of the market left blue chips stripped to mouth-watering prices, investors desperately wanted hard cash more than shares from the IPO, whose listing next week is now projected to be a tepid affair.
Until last week, analysts were anticipating a big-bang listing for the stock after the SBI Cards IPO saw 26 times subscription and unlisted shares of the company traded at 50 per cent premium in unofficial market for trading in such shares.
That premium shrank to zilch on Thursday, as the bears ran amok in equity markets worldwide, and the fears spooked Dalal Street, leading to the biggest intra-day fall in Sensex’s trading history.
The US suspended travels from Europe on Wednesday and India imposed visa restrictions and quarantined all arriving passengers in a bid to contain the spread of the virus.
Most analysts say the bear hammering has created the best opportunity for investors to lap up their favourite blue chips at dirt cheap prices.
Going by historical data, the market had earlier delivered humungous returns to investors after a fall of this magnitude. For instance, around 375 BSE-listed stocks climbed between 300 per cent and 1,47,854 per cent over five years post the market mayhem during the 2008 financial crisis.
Investors, who had large sums of money blocked in ASBA accounts waiting for share allocation from SBI Card IPO, waited for refunds to nibble at some of the battered blue chips, which now promise to deliver far better gains than the IPO potentially could.
Analysts on Thursday tempered expectations of big listing gains from SBI Card.
“It is most likely to disappoint investors as the grey market premium has come down drastically indicating a tepid listing. In the unofficial market for unlisted stocks, shares of the company traded around a premium of up to Rs 15 compared with the IPO price band of Rs 750-755,” said one trader in the unofficial market, who barred naming.
The grey market premium had risen to as much as Rs 350 before the virus emerged on the scene to play spoiler. The issue had earlier mopped up humungous liquidity from the market, having mopped up bids worth nearly Rs 2 lakh crore for shares worth Rs 10,000 crore.
S Ranganathan, Head of Research at LKP Securities, said the grey market premium for SBI Card has seen a sharp drop, which clearly points to a muted listing in the Rs 800-850 range. “We expect the stock to get listed in this slightly higher range, because of refunds are likely to be credited on March 13, which is an awesome amount and some of it may go back into the stock when it gets listed,” he said.
The BSE Sensex has tanked more than 8,000 in less than 40 sessions since January 20. NSE Nifty on Thursday breached the 10,000-mark for the first time since March 2018.
Market experts are also advising investors to keep their powder dry and start preparing a list of their top stocks.
“This is a special situation which resembles the 2000-01 and 2008 crashes. I doubt any recovery will come in the near term. But a major correction is always positive for the market. This decade 2010-2020, India has not been an outperforming market. We might be an outperforming market in the next decade. This correction is an opportunity to buy in a systematic manner,” said AK Prabhakar, Head of Research, IDBI Capital Markets.
The World Health Organization (WHO) on Thursday declared the Covid-19 outbreak a pandemic. There were more than 1,18,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus and 4,291 deaths in 114 countries as of Thursday. India’s count of infected people stood at 62 with no confirmed death so far from the disease.
“It will take a minimum 5-10 months for the market to bottom out. Don’t buy at one go,” Prabhakar said.
“Volatility will remain in the market, given the rising number of cases of coronavirus and wild swings in crude oil prices. Staying on the sidelines makes sense for now, but you should start preparing a watch list of potential stocks that can actually do well. We believe market leaders from their respective sectors would do well,” said Mayuresh Joshi, Head of Equity Research at William O’Neil & Co.
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SBI Cards IPO share allocation status: How to check
Investors who had been praying all this while for good share allocation from the SBI Card IPO went back to their gods this morning to pray for the opposite: “Let there be no allocation.”
As a merciless battering of the market left blue chips stripped to mouth-watering prices, investors desperately wanted hard cash more than shares from the IPO, whose listing next week is now projected to be a tepid affair.
Until last week, analysts were anticipating a big-bang listing for the stock after the SBI Cards IPO saw 26 times subscription and unlisted shares of the company traded at 50 per cent premium in unofficial market for trading in such shares.
That premium shrank to zilch on Thursday, as the bears ran amok in equity markets worldwide, and the fears spooked Dalal Street, leading to the biggest intra-day fall in Sensex’s trading history.
The US suspended travels from Europe on Wednesday and India imposed visa restrictions and quarantined all arriving passengers in a bid to contain the spread of the virus.
Most analysts say the bear hammering has created the best opportunity for investors to lap up their favourite blue chips at dirt cheap prices.
Going by historical data, the market had earlier delivered humungous returns to investors after a fall of this magnitude. For instance, around 375 BSE-listed stocks climbed between 300 per cent and 1,47,854 per cent over five years post the market mayhem during the 2008 financial crisis.
Investors, who had large sums of money blocked in ASBA accounts waiting for share allocation from SBI Card IPO, waited for refunds to nibble at some of the battered blue chips, which now promise to deliver far better gains than the IPO potentially could.
Analysts on Thursday tempered expectations of big listing gains from SBI Card.
“It is most likely to disappoint investors as the grey market premium has come down drastically indicating a tepid listing. In the unofficial market for unlisted stocks, shares of the company traded around a premium of up to Rs 15 compared with the IPO price band of Rs 750-755,” said one trader in the unofficial market, who barred naming.
The grey market premium had risen to as much as Rs 350 before the virus emerged on the scene to play spoiler. The issue had earlier mopped up humungous liquidity from the market, having mopped up bids worth nearly Rs 2 lakh crore for shares worth Rs 10,000 crore.
S Ranganathan, Head of Research at LKP Securities, said the grey market premium for SBI Card has seen a sharp drop, which clearly points to a muted listing in the Rs 800-850 range. “We expect the stock to get listed in this slightly higher range, because of refunds are likely to be credited on March 13, which is an awesome amount and some of it may go back into the stock when it gets listed,” he said.
The BSE Sensex has tanked more than 8,000 in less than 40 sessions since January 20. NSE Nifty on Thursday breached the 10,000-mark for the first time since March 2018.
Market experts are also advising investors to keep their powder dry and start preparing a list of their top stocks.
“This is a special situation which resembles the 2000-01 and 2008 crashes. I doubt any recovery will come in the near term. But a major correction is always positive for the market. This decade 2010-2020, India has not been an outperforming market. We might be an outperforming market in the next decade. This correction is an opportunity to buy in a systematic manner,” said AK Prabhakar, Head of Research, IDBI Capital Markets.
The World Health Organization (WHO) on Thursday declared the Covid-19 outbreak a pandemic. There were more than 1,18,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus and 4,291 deaths in 114 countries as of Thursday. India’s count of infected people stood at 62 with no confirmed death so far from the disease.
“It will take a minimum 5-10 months for the market to bottom out. Don’t buy at one go,” Prabhakar said.
“Volatility will remain in the market, given the rising number of cases of coronavirus and wild swings in crude oil prices. Staying on the sidelines makes sense for now, but you should start preparing a watch list of potential stocks that can actually do well. We believe market leaders from their respective sectors would do well,” said Mayuresh Joshi, Head of Equity Research at William O’Neil & Co.
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Injury Ward: Malkin, Byfuglien, Pacioretty, Raanta, Krieder & Pavelski
Here’s this week’s latest in the world of injury updates! If you have any questions, feel free to shoot me a message on Twitter @BrennanDeSouza.
Nick Ritchie – Is not travelling with the team as they continue their tour of Western Canada through Calgary on Friday and Edmonton on Saturday. He hasn’t been practicing either, so it’s hard to imagine him making an impact in fantasy leagues for the rest of this season.
Ryan Getzlaf – Has been practicing and is currently travelling with the team as their road trip brings them to Calgary on Friday and Edmonton on Saturday. I get the feeling that Getzlaf will return from an upper-body injury in one of those two games.
Antti Raanta – He’s been sidelined for about four months with a knee injury, and will finally start practicing with the team at some point this week. Darcy Kuemper has been excellent in Raanta’s absence, sporting a 25-19-7 record alongside a 2.40 GAA and .922 SV%. I’d expect Kuemper to close out the regular season, but if the Coyotes make the playoffs, it sounds like Raanta could be an option.
Torey Krug – It’s possible he returns from a concussion on Wednesday against the Rangers. Krug has 48 points in 59 games this season – a 66-point pace.
Marcus Johansson – Should be back in the lineup on Wednesday against the New York Rangers. Considering he was a game-time decision for Monday’s clash with the Lightning (meaning he was already close to a return), he should be good to go on Wednesday now that he’s had a couple of extra days off.
Rasmus Ristolainen – An illness kept him off the ice for Tuesday’s matchup with the Senators. Buffalo plays three more games this week; Thursday against the Red Wings, Saturday against the Islanders and Sunday against the Blue Jackets. I’d be surprised if Ristolainen didn’t play in at least two of those three games, but it’s more likely that he plays in all three. Ristolainen needs just one more point to record his fourth-straight 40-point season.
Sam Bennett – While he probably won’t be in the lineup on Wednesday against the Stars, it sounds like Bennett will return on Friday against the Ducks or Sunday against the Sharks. He has recently resumed practicing as he recovers from an upper-body injury. Calgary has already clinched a playoff spot, so while he could play immediately if the remaining regular season games were more important, the team is happy to let him return to full health.
Mikko Rantanen – Out for an “extended period”, meaning he won’t be in the lineup on Wednesday when the Avalanche take on the Golden Knights. Colorado is clinging to the second wild-card spot in the West and is playing some of their most crucial games of the season. I get the feeling Rantanen would be in the lineup if this were just a minor injury, let’s hope it’s not too serious.
Gabriel Landeskog – Has been shooting the puck and participating in some team drills. At this point, it looks like he’s about two weeks away from a return. Unfortunately, I don’t think he’ll be back in time to have an impact on your fantasy hockey championship or the end of the NHL regular season.
Mats Zuccarello – He’s been able to stickhandle for the past week which is a great sign considering he broke his arm about a month ago. He’s still dealing with a bit of pain when he shoots the puck, but he continues to increase the intensity of his stickhandling every day as he returns to full health. He has been making great progress and is currently travelling with the team through Western Canada – a trip that sees the Stars face the Flames on Wednesday, Oilers on Thursday and Canucks on Saturday.
Zach Parise – The Wild hope to see Parise return at some point this weekend, either on Friday against the Golden Knights or Sunday against the Coyotes. Minnesota has a tough schedule to close out the season and will need all hands on deck if they’re going to qualify for postseason action.
Paul Byron – Was knocked down by an uppercut from MacKenzie Weegar of the Panthers as the two dropped the gloves on Tuesday in Montreal. Byron appeared dazed as he stumbled to the locker room after the fight and did not return to the game. While early speculation leads me to believe that Byron suffered a concussion during the fight, it’s officially being called an upper-body injury by the team.
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Sami Vatanen – Missed both Monday’s game against the Sabres and Tuesday’s team practice because he was sick. An illness kept Vatanen out of the lineup for a few weeks earlier in the month, but we don’t know if this is related to that.
Chris Kreider – Has missed the past two games with a lower-body injury and his status remains day-to-day. The Rangers face the Bruins on Wednesday night, so we should get an update on Kreider’s status shortly after this article is posted. As I write this, he hasn’t yet been ruled out of Wednesday’s game.
Kris Letang – Is day-to-day with an upper-body injury and hasn’t been practicing. Coach Mike Sullivan declined to comment on whether this injury was related to the on that Letang suffered in late February when he was wrestled to the ice by Shayne Gostisbehere of the Flyers. As you can tell from the video below, it appears that Letang might have injured his neck on the takedown from Gostisbehere. The fact that he had surgery on his neck in 2017 to repair a herniated disc makes this situation all the more concerning. Again, this injury might have nothing to do with the last one, but it is worth mentioning since Letang only played three games in between absences.
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Evgeni Malkin – Has been skating and is making good progress as he recovers from an upper-body injury. The Penguins haven’t lost in regulation during this five-game stretch without Malkin and have no reason to rush him back considering they’ve almost secured a playoff spot.
Joe Pavelski – The Sharks are considered contenders for the Stanley Cup this season and will need a healthy lineup to achieve that goal, so they’re understandably being cautious with Pavelski’s recovery from a lower-body injury. San Jose’s captain has been participating in some on-ice drills and it’s possible that he returns on Thursday against the Blackhawks. The team has lost all four games they’ve played during this stretch without Pavelski and are currently riding a six-game losing streak.
Erik Karlsson – The team still hopes for Karlsson to get back in the lineup before the regular season ends, but he’s no longer skating every day. While the team hasn’t officially announced that Karlsson has suffered a setback in his recovery from a groin injury, it’s hard to imagine that this was a planned part of his rehab. He had been skating every day and all of a sudden coach Pete DeBoer announces he won’t be skating every day going forward? If he were progressing well, wouldn’t he be skating more and more in an attempt to get back into form for the playoffs?
Ondrej Palat – Suffered an upper-body injury on Monday against the Bruins. While we don’t know the exact nature of the injury and how long he’ll be out, we do know that he isn’t dealing with a concussion.
Jake Gardiner – Has been skating but not taking contact as he continues to recover from a back injury. The Leafs play six more games before the end of the regular season and I think they’ll try to get Gardiner back in the lineup for at least one of those games, so he doesn’t go into the playoffs completely cold. Unfortunately, I don’t think he’ll return soon enough to have an impact on your fantasy hockey championship this year.
Max Pacioretty – Went down awkwardly on this play as his legs bent at angles that no legs should ever have to experience. Fortunately, the injury wasn’t as bad as it originally appeared and his status remains day-to-day.
Marc-Andre Fleury – Hasn’t been practicing but could join the team in Colorado for Wednesday’s matchup with the Avalanche. Malcolm Subban has posted a 3-1 record in Fleury’s absence but gave up three goals in three of those four games (the fourth game being a shutout).
Michal Kempny – Is dealing with a long-term injury that could keep him out for the rest of the season. The team is waiting on test results to determine whether or not Kempny will need surgery for his lower-body ailment.
Laurent Brossoit – Has been progressing well from a lower-body injury but whether or not he participates in Wednesday’s practice hasn’t yet been decided.
Josh Morrissey – Is still on target for a return in early April, but we don’t know exactly when he’ll be back.
Dustin Byfuglien – The aim is for Big Buff to participate in Wednesday’s practice, which will give the coaching staff a better idea of when exactly he’ll be ready for a return to the lineup.
from All About Sports https://dobberhockey.com/hockey-home/injury-ward/injury-ward-malkin-byfuglien-pacioretty-raanta-krieder-pavelski/
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Chris Stonier is the head coach of Xavier High School boys cross country team. They are a returning NXN program that have high hopes after finishing 18th last year in their first appearance.
High School Harrier: Your team is entering the season ranked 14th in the Terrific 22 after finishing last year in 18th. Do you feel your program has done a better job of preparing for this season and is ready to place higher at NXN?
Chris Stonier: The athletes are certainly more focused than they were when they entered the 2017 season. NXN was added to the 2017 schedule as a "what if"; we had this tremendous group of athletes that, up until this point, had primarily focused on success inside of Connecticut but we felt that maybe it was time to look beyond state lines. Since we are returning our top 4 athletes, the rest of the team knows what is at stake and they have stepped it up. Summer mileage appears to be more consistent and more athletes than usual are taking leadership roles such as planning team events/runs, participating in group conversations, etc. In addition to understanding the logistics of NXN better the second time around, this increased level of "buy-in" should have us more prepared than last fall.
HSH: Does your team look at NXN as the ultimate race or the state meet?
CS: The Connecticut State Open meet is a large focus for the team, however, the group understands that if we wish to be one of the top teams in the nation we must view the state meet as a necessary step towards advancing to NXN. I do not want to say that one is more important than the other; each meet on the schedule has a particular purpose.
HSH: Has your team set goals for the year and how do they come about those goals?
CS: The team has a goal-setting session during the first week of practice. We set performance goals (times, special recognition, etc.) as well as character goals that will aid in reaching performance goals. Each athlete has to be honest with themselves and the team about areas in which they can improve. Once each teammate goes through this process we can then acknowledge team goals and everybody involved commits their efforts to making it happen.
HSH: How big is your school and how big is your program?
CS: Xavier High School has approximately 700 students (male only). The cross country team has had about 35 athletes on it.
HSH: Do you have any athletes you feel are prepared to have a breakout season?
CS: There is a group of 8-10 athletes that the coaching staff will be looking at in order to fill the 5-7 spots. Some of these athletes are coming off of good track seasons, while others will be freshmen. Track times from this group indicate Ryan Grochowski, Julen Lujambio and George Luke could have a breakout fall season. Junior Robbie Cozean was coming back from a stress fracture last fall. After running 14:53 on the track this spring, he can surprise a lot of people at NXR and NXN. I am also keeping a close eye on freshmen Eamon Burke, Noah San Vicente and Conor Selfors.
HSH: For those of us not from Connecticut, how do you qualify for state?
CS: In Connecticut cross country, there are six classifications that describe how large or small a school is: LL, L, MM, M, SS, S (quite literally small, medium, large). The top two teams from each class race advance to the CT State Open. In addition to these twelve teams, there are eight wild-card spots given to the teams that post the next fastest eight-team times, resulting in 20 total teams. The State Open also includes the top twelve athletes from each class and the next fastest 30 individuals from a merge. Last year there were 181 total athletes that competing at the State Open, 41 of which qualified as an individual.
HSH: What does a typical week of training for your team look like?
CS: For the varsity athletes, Monday, Tuesday and Friday are recovery efforts. We usually have a threshold/tempo workout on Wednesday with a faster track session or invitational on Saturday. Sunday and Thursday are reserved for long runs. Junior Varsity and Freshmen follow a similar training schedule but tend to run in dual meets on Tuesdays which takes the place of the Wednesday threshold/tempo run. Workouts are modified depending on the level of effort required in the dual meet, which training group an athlete is in and when the end of their season is projected to be.
HSH: I'm a freshman coming out for the team. What does my fall racing and training look like?
CS: Freshmen have an option of recording their summer training on the team log, however, it is not expected. With this information, I am able to better assess the readiness of an athlete to run higher mileage, compete in races and run more strenuous workouts. Assuming a freshman has little to no experience, he will begin at approximately 15-20 miles per week and will wait several weeks before attempting a challenging workout. The main priority for freshmen in our program is to foster a love for running and the team; he will slowly progress his mileage throughout the season which will allow him to become stronger and more confident when racing against other freshmen. The regular season dual meets serve as an opportunity to learn how to race and compete. The goal for the freshmen team is to collectively win the freshmen race at our conference championship meet, setting ourselves up for a bright future.
HSH: Do you have a favorite workout to do with your team and why?
CS: My favorite workout to do with the team are 1000's on a dirt road located about 1 mile from campus. The winding dirt road has slight variations in elevation and has great tree coverage. With very little traffic and the crunch of the dirt under their shoes as the only sound, the workout provides the athletes the ultimate opportunity to focus on their breathing and mechanics. The atmosphere is even better once the leaves begin to change color!
HSH: What was your biggest learning moment as a coach?
CS: My biggest learning moment came when I read "What Drives Winning" by Brett Ledbetter. This book allowed me to realize that the mental side of athletics is very real. Up until this point, I had been obsessed with the training component of distance running, leaving the athletes to figure out how to handle the mental stresses that came with the sport. After reading this book, I quickly realized that I had been ignoring the most important variable in individual and team success. I recommend that all coaches read this book, regardless of the sport.
HSH: What regular season meet is your team looking forward to the most?
CS: Every year I take 14 athletes (Varsity 'A' and Varsity 'B') on an overnight trip to compete against out-of-state teams. This year we will be returning to the cite of the Nike Northeast Regional, the Bowdoin Park Classic at Wappinger Falls NY.
HSH: What do you do in order to foster team chemistry?
CS: The concept of "team" is spoken about during daily team meetings at the beginning of practice or during a quick debrief following a challenging workout. No single athlete is bigger than the team; we all have a role to play in the team's success!
Less formally, each athlete is required to give a fist bump to their teammates following the afternoon run or workout, no matter how good or bad the performance was. This ritual has taken on a life of its own...
HSH: What is the biggest mistake you see other programs making?
CS: I do not know the ins-and-outs of many programs' training, however, it appears that most high school coaches race their athletes too frequently or demand incredible performances from a single individual during competitions that are, in the grand scheme of things, rather meaningless. The 5000m race distance is very taxing on the body. When you couple one race per week ( and in many cases two) with one or two strenuous workouts, the developing high schooler cannot handle the physical stress. Stories of athletes running their best races in September or early October are evidence that these athletes are over-raced.
HSH: How do you develop mental toughness in your athletes?
CS: A work in progress...discussing the history of the program, "heroic" efforts by past athletes and teams can help a lot when it comes to this. Pre-workout days are intentionally VERY easy so that we arrive physically and mentally prepared to give maximum efforts. There is no surprise as to how difficult (or not difficult) a session will be.
HSH: What type of ancillary training do you do with your athletes?
CS: We follow a strict daily routine of dynamic warmups and post-run myrtle/hurdle drills. Athletes also receive reading/listening suggestions. It is not uncommon for me to share a Podcast or book with an athlete that I feel would benefit from being exposed to the content. Sometimes the athlete picks up on exactly what had been intended, sometimes it was a waste of time :)
Photo courtesy of Xavier XC Twitter
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AUD/USD Forecast July 2-6 – Aussie up from the abyss for now
The Australian dollar[1] hit a 13-month low but managed to end the week off the lows. What’s next? The rate decision and retail sales stand out. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD.
The Australian dollar was sensitive to the global mood around trade. It dropped to 13-month lows as fears grew but recovered as Trump went for a less harmful option of curbing Chinese investment in the US. Australian private sector credit disappointed with slow growth but this did not rock the boat too much.
AUD/USD daily graph with support and resistance lines on it. Click to enlarge:
AIG Manufacturing Index: Sunday, 22:30. The Australian Industry Group’s 200-strong forward-looking survey of the manufacturing sector showed ongoing growth, with a score of 57.5 points in May, albeit below previous levels. A similar level is likely for June.
MI Inflation Gauge: Monday, 1:00. The Melbourne Institute’s monthly inflation indicator provides updated information about changes in prices while the government published such figures only on a quarterly basis. According to MI, prices remained flat in May. We will now get the figures for June.
ANZ Job Advertisements: Monday, 1:30. The Australia New Zealand Bank provides another look at the job market via this publication which examines ads. After two months of increases, ads remained flat in May. A return to growth may be seen now.
Caixin Manufacturing PMI: Monday, 1:45. The independent manufacturing PMI of the Chinese economy stood at 51.1 points in May. A repeat of the same score is on the cards for June, even though the official numbers missed expectations over the weekend. China is Australia’s No. 1 trade partner.
Commodity Prices: Monday, 6:30. After several months of y/y drops, prices of commodities rose by 3.6% in May. Another increase could be seen in June.
Building Approvals: Tuesday, 3:30. Changes in building consents are quite wild, but still, provide some insights into the housing sector. A sharp fall of 5% was recorded in April and May is projected to see a small increase of 0.1%.
Australian rate decision: Tuesday, 4:30. The Reserve Bank of Australia has not changed its interest rate in nearly two years. This time is unlikely to be different. Phillip Lowe and his colleagues are expected to leave the Cash Rate at 1.50%. The statement has hardly changed either in recent months. Any warning about trade relations may weigh on the Australian Dollar. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand came out with a slightly dovish statement and the RBA could follow.
AIG Services Index: Tuesday, 22:30. Australia’s services sector is doing better than the manufacturing one according to AIG’s figures. A score of 59 was seen in May.
Retail Sales: Wednesday, 1:30. The influential release came out at 0.4% for April, slightly above expectations, and gave a boost to the Aussie. We will now get the consumption numbers for May, which are projected to see an increase of 0.3%.
Trade Balance: Wednesday, 1:30. Australia enjoyed a trade surplus of 0.98 billion in April and is projected to enjoy a wider surplus of 1.21 billion in May. Australia exports more than in imports.
AIG Construction Index: Thursday, 22:30. Australia’s construction sector is lagging behind according to AIG, with a score of 54 points in May.
*All times are GMT
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
Aussie/USD dipped to lower ground, flirting with the 0.7325 level mentioned last week[2]. It then recovered and closed the week around 0.74.
Technical lines from top to bottom:
Further below, 0.7640 was a stubborn cushion in March and April. The fall below this line proved its strength. 0.7610 was the peak of an upwards move in late May.
0.7560 is the next level to watch after it was the recovery level in early May. 0.7520 was a swing low in late May.
0.7470 was an initial low in late April and it is followed by 0.7410, an old line from 2017. Further down, 0.7375 is notable.
0.7325 was a support line back in May 2017 and is now coming into play. 0.7250 served as a pivotal line in early 2017 and the last line to watch is 0.7160 that was the swing low back then.
I remain bearish on AUD/USD
The relief in trade wars seems temporary and the Aussie could continue struggling.
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Further reading:
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References
^ Australian dollar (www.forexcrunch.com)
^ last week (www.forexcrunch.com)
^ Sticher (www.stitcher.com)
^ iTunes (itunes.apple.com)
^ Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs (www.forexcrunch.com)
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Real or not? Brewers blow golden opportunity to catch Rockies – SweetSpot
The Rockies had already lost, shut out 4-0 in an afternoon game in San Francisco. With a win, the Brewers would tie the Rockies for the second wild card.
Milwaukee’s starter in this crucial game with 12 days left in the season: Aaron Wilkerson.
Who?
Baseball in September can be a strange thing as even playoff contenders scramble to fill holes on pitching staffs worn down by injuries and fatigue. In Milwaukee’s cause, the Brewers needed somebody to start for Jimmy Nelson, their best pitcher who went down for the season — and part of 2018 — when he partially tore a labrum diving back into first base after a base hit on Sept. 8.
Wilkerson had gone undrafted out of Cumberland University, played independent ball in 2013 and part of 2014, then signed with the Red Sox and was traded to the Brewers last summer in the Aaron Hill deal. He spent the season at Double-A with good numbers (3.16 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 143 K’s in 142⅓ IP), made a start for Colorado Springs in the Pacific Coast League playoffs and tossed seven no-hit innings. Still, he’s not even included in MLB.com’s top 30 Brewers prospects, a nod to his age (he’s 28) and lack of pedigree.
But here he was, making his first major league start.
“We’ll just see how far he can get,” manager Craig Counsell had said before the game. “Obviously, it’s his first big league start and it’s a big spot, but we feel like he’s been pitching in a way that we think he can have success out there.”
Closer Corey Knebel leaves the field after surrendering the walk-off blast that cost his Brewers a shot at catching the Rockies in the National League wild-card race. Justin Berl/Getty Images
Wilkerson would last just 2⅓ innings on Wednesday, giving up three runs in the third, but it was All-Star closer Corey Knebel who would fail in the end. The Brewers had taken a 4-3 lead over the Pirates in the seventh. In the eighth, Andrew McCutchen doubled off Anthony Swarzak and Counsell brought in Knebel for a four-out save. David Freese hit a little dribbler down the third-base line, a do-or-die play for Knebel. He had a chance with a perfect throw, but he also could have just eaten the ball and gone after the next batter. Instead, his throw sailed wide and McCutchen scored the tying run. Then in the ninth, Adam Frazier won it with a two-out homer off a 98 mph heater:
That’ll do it. Out goes Frazier! #Walkoff #RaiseIt http://pic.twitter.com/MJqiUuSMC8
— Pirates (@Pirates) September 21, 2017
So, tough one for the Brewers. Now comes their biggest test of the season: A four-game series at home against the Cubs. Hey, sweep them again and the Brewers move into first place. (The Cubs lead the National League Central by 3½ games.) You wonder who’s going to available in the Milwaukee bullpen in that first game, however. Knebel has pitched three days in a row. Swarzak has pitched three days in a row. Josh Hader has pitched twice in three days and thrown 42 pitches.
Counsell and pitching coach Derek Johnson have done a terrific job with the Brewers’ staff. They’ve had to churn through 13 different starting pitchers. They’re still in it. They have 10 games left in 11 days, and they can still catch the Cubs. Who’s available? Everyone.
We love our round numbers in baseball. Chris Sale needed 13 strikeouts to get to 300, and he got 13 in a 9-0 victory over the Orioles:
Chris Sale had 300 on his mind tonight. #LightsOut http://pic.twitter.com/cOJ1EoFXlA
— MLB (@MLB) September 21, 2017
Sale became the first American League pitcher to get 300 K’s since Pedro Martinez in 1999 — and joined Pedro as the only Red Sox hurler to get there. He’s the seventh lefty in AL history to do so, joining Rube Waddell (look him up!) and Sam McDowell (“Sudden Sam” — one of the best nicknames ever), who each did it twice, plus Randy Johnson, Vida Blue and Mickey Lolich. Five NL lefties have done it: Clayton Kershaw, Johnson (four times), Sandy Koufax (three times), Steve Carlton and Lady Baldwin back in 1886. (More on Sale’s 300 strikeouts from ESPN Stats & Information here.)
Anyway, awesome milestone, but the important number from this game was that zero runs allowed. The Yankees had won earlier, so the Red Sox kept the margin in the AL East at three games. Since Sept. 5, the Yankees have gone 11-3 — but the Red Sox have gone 11-3. Boston’s magic number to clinch the division drops to eight, but they clinched a playoff berth with the Angels’ loss to the Indians on the West Coast.
Wild-card winner of the night. Well, we just told you the Rockies and Brewers lost. But the Cardinals won! They’re 2½ back of the Rockies. My man Tommy Pham had three hits, while Matt Carpenter, Dexter Fowler and Paul DeJong all homered in a 9-2 victory over the Reds. The Cardinals get the Reds again on Thursday, with a decisive advantage in the pitching matchup — Carlos Martinez versus Homer Bailey. Does it feel like the final mile of a marathon and the Cardinals might still have their legs for that final sprint?
Wild-card loser of the night. The Rockies have held a playoff position since April 14, and they’re safe for at least another couple of days. Despite these two road losses to the Giants, the Rockies could still finish with the best road record in franchise history. They’re 39-38, and they have finished above .500 on the road just once, going 41-40 in 2009, which was the year of their last playoff appearance. Their home winning percentage, however, is just 10th best in franchise history.
The Rockies have hit reasonably well on the road (for them) with a .706 OPS, the highest since 2009. But they haven’t hit as well at home as they have in some years. Their home/road OPS differential:
Rockies home-road OPS differentialYearCoors OPS advantage2017+1482016+1852015+1892014+2662013+1362012+2052011+1132010+2122009+132
If the Rockies end up missing the postseason, most will blame the pitching staff. And yes, the young starters and the bullpen haven’t been as good in the second half. But another reason to think about: They haven’t scored enough runs at home.
If you can mention Bye Bye Balboni, you have to do it. One of the most cherished records in team sports was finally broken on Wednesday. Steve Balboni’s Royals record of 36 home runs had stood since 1985, but Mike Moustakas finally broke it with this homer:
There’s a new home run king in Kansas City. #RaisedRoyal http://pic.twitter.com/2LHh0Lahfk
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) September 21, 2017
Moustakas had been in a huge home run slump. He hit his 35th way back on Aug. 15. Since then, he had homered just once in 28 games and 91 at-bats. Some Royals fans wondered if Balboni had placed a curse on Moustakas. Apparently not the case. Remember a couple of years ago when Moustakas tried to focus more on hitting the ball to the opposite field? He went back to pull-heavy Moustakas this season. He has hit 15 more home runs than his previous career high.
He’s also the owner of my favorite oddballs stats of the season. Moustakas has struck out looking once all season — on a pitch low and away off the plate. Baltimore’s Chris Davis has fanned looking 72 times. That seems incredible, but Davis did it 79 times last season. Aaron Judge and Wil Myers are tied for second at 60.
Anyway, there were five team home run records older than Balboni’s:
Hank Greenberg, Tigers — 1938 (58)
Ralph Kiner, Pirates — 1949 (54)
Roger Maris, Yankees — 1961 (61)
Harmon Killebrew, Twins — 1964, 1969 (49)
George Foster, Reds — 1977 (52)
Big boys go yard. Giancarlo Stanton hit No. 56 and Aaron Judge hit No. 45. Judge also joined an exclusive club with Ted Williams and Al Rosen as rookies to reach 100 RBIs and 100 runs scored. There is some dispute over whether Rosen should be a considered a rookie: He wasn’t at the time (1950), but he would be under today’s standards, as he had just 65 plate appearances before that season.
Oh, J.D. Martinez hit another one as well:
No lead is safe with @JDMartinez14 at the plate. #JustDingers http://pic.twitter.com/xg9xWSO6bf
— MLB (@MLB) September 21, 2017
That’s 41 in 111 games for Martinez. That’s a pace of 59 homers over 160 games, but he missed time with an injury. His slugging percentage with Arizona is over .700 and it’s .672 overall — and 38 points higher than Stanton’s. Incredible.
Disaster strikes Puerto Rico. There have been 28 major leaguers to play in 2017 who born in Puerto Rico, including Francisco Lindor, Yadier Molina, Carlos Beltran, Carlos Correa and Jose Berrios. There are other players of Puerto Rican descent born in the States. Hurricane Maria — the first Category 4 hurricane to make a direct hit on the island since 1928 — has devastated the country. The entire island is without power. It could take months to repair the aging power grid, depending on the damage discovered, the governor said.
You can check the Twitter handles as many players sent out their thoughts. It couldn’t have been easy to play as they waited for news. As ESPN’s Marly Rivera reported, “I have talked or texted with a lot of the Puerto Rican players in MLB, and a lot of them have not heard from their families regarding the impact of Hurricane Maria.” Without power, communication is limited.
As the Houston area sets out on the long recovery from Hurricane Harvey and Florida from Hurricane Irma, don’t forget Puerto Rico, if you can afford a financial donation. Remember, these are our fellow U.S. citizens.
Then there was the earthquake in Mexico City that already has left more than 200 dead, as workers continue to dig through the rubble. These are our neighbors to the south. There are 15 major leaguers this season who were born in Mexico — interestingly, 14 of them pitchers — and, of course, many others of Mexican descent.
So, as we enjoy these final days of this little diversion called baseball, I think of those not as fortunate.
I think of a quote from Carl Sagan: “This is where we live, on a blue dot. … On that blue dot, that’s where everyone you know, and everyone you ever heard of, and every human being who ever lived, lived out their lives — it’s a very small stage in a great cosmic arena. I think this perspective underscores our responsibility to preserve and cherish that blue dot, the only home we have.”
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Real or not? Brewers blow golden opportunity to catch Rockies – SweetSpot
The Rockies had already lost, shut out 4-0 in an afternoon game in San Francisco. With a win, the Brewers would tie the Rockies for the second wild card.
Milwaukee’s starter in this crucial game with 12 days left in the season: Aaron Wilkerson.
Who?
Baseball in September can be a strange thing as even playoff contenders scramble to fill holes on pitching staffs worn down by injuries and fatigue. In Milwaukee’s cause, the Brewers needed somebody to start for Jimmy Nelson, their best pitcher who went down for the season — and part of 2018 — when he partially tore a labrum diving back into first base after a base hit on Sept. 8.
Wilkerson had gone undrafted out of Cumberland University, played independent ball in 2013 and part of 2014, then signed with the Red Sox and was traded to the Brewers last summer in the Aaron Hill deal. He spent the season at Double-A with good numbers (3.16 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 143 K’s in 142⅓ IP), made a start for Colorado Springs in the Pacific Coast League playoffs and tossed seven no-hit innings. Still, he’s not even included in MLB.com’s top 30 Brewers prospects, a nod to his age (he’s 28) and lack of pedigree.
But here he was, making his first major league start.
“We’ll just see how far he can get,” manager Craig Counsell had said before the game. “Obviously, it’s his first big league start and it’s a big spot, but we feel like he’s been pitching in a way that we think he can have success out there.”
Closer Corey Knebel leaves the field after surrendering the walk-off blast that cost his Brewers a shot at catching the Rockies in the National League wild-card race. Justin Berl/Getty Images
Wilkerson would last just 2⅓ innings on Wednesday, giving up three runs in the third, but it was All-Star closer Corey Knebel who would fail in the end. The Brewers had taken a 4-3 lead over the Pirates in the seventh. In the eighth, Andrew McCutchen doubled off Anthony Swarzak and Counsell brought in Knebel for a four-out save. David Freese hit a little dribbler down the third-base line, a do-or-die play for Knebel. He had a chance with a perfect throw, but he also could have just eaten the ball and gone after the next batter. Instead, his throw sailed wide and McCutchen scored the tying run. Then in the ninth, Adam Frazier won it with a two-out homer off a 98 mph heater:
That’ll do it. Out goes Frazier! #Walkoff #RaiseIt pic.twitter.com/MJqiUuSMC8
— Pirates (@Pirates) September 21, 2017
So, tough one for the Brewers. Now comes their biggest test of the season: A four-game series at home against the Cubs. Hey, sweep them again and the Brewers move into first place. (The Cubs lead the National League Central by 3½ games.) You wonder who’s going to available in the Milwaukee bullpen in that first game, however. Knebel has pitched three days in a row. Swarzak has pitched three days in a row. Josh Hader has pitched twice in three days and thrown 42 pitches.
Counsell and pitching coach Derek Johnson have done a terrific job with the Brewers’ staff. They’ve had to churn through 13 different starting pitchers. They’re still in it. They have 10 games left in 11 days, and they can still catch the Cubs. Who’s available? Everyone.
We love our round numbers in baseball. Chris Sale needed 13 strikeouts to get to 300, and he got 13 in a 9-0 victory over the Orioles:
Chris Sale had 300 on his mind tonight. #LightsOut pic.twitter.com/cOJ1EoFXlA
— MLB (@MLB) September 21, 2017
Sale became the first American League pitcher to get 300 K’s since Pedro Martinez in 1999 — and joined Pedro as the only Red Sox hurler to get there. He’s the seventh lefty in AL history to do so, joining Rube Waddell (look him up!) and Sam McDowell (“Sudden Sam” — one of the best nicknames ever), who each did it twice, plus Randy Johnson, Vida Blue and Mickey Lolich. Five NL lefties have done it: Clayton Kershaw, Johnson (four times), Sandy Koufax (three times), Steve Carlton and Lady Baldwin back in 1886. (More on Sale’s 300 strikeouts from ESPN Stats & Information here.)
Anyway, awesome milestone, but the important number from this game was that zero runs allowed. The Yankees had won earlier, so the Red Sox kept the margin in the AL East at three games. Since Sept. 5, the Yankees have gone 11-3 — but the Red Sox have gone 11-3. Boston’s magic number to clinch the division drops to eight, but they clinched a playoff berth with the Angels’ loss to the Indians on the West Coast.
Wild-card winner of the night. Well, we just told you the Rockies and Brewers lost. But the Cardinals won! They’re 2½ back of the Rockies. My man Tommy Pham had three hits, while Matt Carpenter, Dexter Fowler and Paul DeJong all homered in a 9-2 victory over the Reds. The Cardinals get the Reds again on Thursday, with a decisive advantage in the pitching matchup — Carlos Martinez versus Homer Bailey. Does it feel like the final mile of a marathon and the Cardinals might still have their legs for that final sprint?
Wild-card loser of the night. The Rockies have held a playoff position since April 14, and they’re safe for at least another couple of days. Despite these two road losses to the Giants, the Rockies could still finish with the best road record in franchise history. They’re 39-38, and they have finished above .500 on the road just once, going 41-40 in 2009, which was the year of their last playoff appearance. Their home winning percentage, however, is just 10th best in franchise history.
The Rockies have hit reasonably well on the road (for them) with a .706 OPS, the highest since 2009. But they haven’t hit as well at home as they have in some years. Their home/road OPS differential:
Rockies home-road OPS differentialYearCoors OPS advantage2017+1482016+1852015+1892014+2662013+1362012+2052011+1132010+2122009+132
If the Rockies end up missing the postseason, most will blame the pitching staff. And yes, the young starters and the bullpen haven’t been as good in the second half. But another reason to think about: They haven’t scored enough runs at home.
If you can mention Bye Bye Balboni, you have to do it. One of the most cherished records in team sports was finally broken on Wednesday. Steve Balboni’s Royals record of 36 home runs had stood since 1985, but Mike Moustakas finally broke it with this homer:
There’s a new home run king in Kansas City. #RaisedRoyal pic.twitter.com/2LHh0Lahfk
— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) September 21, 2017
Moustakas had been in a huge home run slump. He hit his 35th way back on Aug. 15. Since then, he had homered just once in 28 games and 91 at-bats. Some Royals fans wondered if Balboni had placed a curse on Moustakas. Apparently not the case. Remember a couple of years ago when Moustakas tried to focus more on hitting the ball to the opposite field? He went back to pull-heavy Moustakas this season. He has hit 15 more home runs than his previous career high.
He’s also the owner of my favorite oddballs stats of the season. Moustakas has struck out looking once all season — on a pitch low and away off the plate. Baltimore’s Chris Davis has fanned looking 72 times. That seems incredible, but Davis did it 79 times last season. Aaron Judge and Wil Myers are tied for second at 60.
Anyway, there were five team home run records older than Balboni’s:
Hank Greenberg, Tigers — 1938 (58)
Ralph Kiner, Pirates — 1949 (54)
Roger Maris, Yankees — 1961 (61)
Harmon Killebrew, Twins — 1964, 1969 (49)
George Foster, Reds — 1977 (52)
Big boys go yard. Giancarlo Stanton hit No. 56 and Aaron Judge hit No. 45. Judge also joined an exclusive club with Ted Williams and Al Rosen as rookies to reach 100 RBIs and 100 runs scored. There is some dispute over whether Rosen should be a considered a rookie: He wasn’t at the time (1950), but he would be under today’s standards, as he had just 65 plate appearances before that season.
Oh, J.D. Martinez hit another one as well:
No lead is safe with @JDMartinez14 at the plate. #JustDingers pic.twitter.com/xg9xWSO6bf
— MLB (@MLB) September 21, 2017
That’s 41 in 111 games for Martinez. That’s a pace of 59 homers over 160 games, but he missed time with an injury. His slugging percentage with Arizona is over .700 and it’s .672 overall — and 38 points higher than Stanton’s. Incredible.
Disaster strikes Puerto Rico. There have been 28 major leaguers to play in 2017 who born in Puerto Rico, including Francisco Lindor, Yadier Molina, Carlos Beltran, Carlos Correa and Jose Berrios. There are other players of Puerto Rican descent born in the States. Hurricane Maria — the first Category 4 hurricane to make a direct hit on the island since 1928 — has devastated the country. The entire island is without power. It could take months to repair the aging power grid, depending on the damage discovered, the governor said.
You can check the Twitter handles as many players sent out their thoughts. It couldn’t have been easy to play as they waited for news. As ESPN’s Marly Rivera reported, “I have talked or texted with a lot of the Puerto Rican players in MLB, and a lot of them have not heard from their families regarding the impact of Hurricane Maria.” Without power, communication is limited.
As the Houston area sets out on the long recovery from Hurricane Harvey and Florida from Hurricane Irma, don’t forget Puerto Rico, if you can afford a financial donation. Remember, these are our fellow U.S. citizens.
Then there was the earthquake in Mexico City that already has left more than 200 dead, as workers continue to dig through the rubble. These are our neighbors to the south. There are 15 major leaguers this season who were born in Mexico — interestingly, 14 of them pitchers — and, of course, many others of Mexican descent.
So, as we enjoy these final days of this little diversion called baseball, I think of those not as fortunate.
I think of a quote from Carl Sagan: “This is where we live, on a blue dot. … On that blue dot, that’s where everyone you know, and everyone you ever heard of, and every human being who ever lived, lived out their lives — it’s a very small stage in a great cosmic arena. I think this perspective underscores our responsibility to preserve and cherish that blue dot, the only home we have.”
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Injury Ward: Letang Inching Back, Pastrnak, Byfuglien, Lehner, & Hischier
Here’s the latest in the world of NHL injuries! Knowing my luck, teams are going to release a whole bunch of updates immediately after this article is posted. Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BrennanDeSouza to see those updates.
Derek Stepan – The Coyotes forward will miss the next four to six weeks of action with a lower-body injury. By some miracle, the Coyotes are just three points behind Minnesota for the second wild-card spot and they’ve played one less game than the Wild. They’ve battled through a number of significant injuries this season and seem resilient enough to stay competitive even without Stepan.
Marcus Johansson – Left Tuesday’s game against the Hurricanes with an upper-body injury after this hit from Micheal Ferland. He has one point in three games since being traded to the Bruins, but his linemates Jake DeBrusk and David Krejci have been on fire. It looks like Peter Cehlarik skated alongside DeBrusk and Krejci in Johansson’s absence.
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David Pastrnak – has been skating with a stick in his hand, which is very encouraging considering he’s recovering from a thumb injury. Once he starts shooting the puck as a full participant in practice, we can start talking about a return. I would expect him to be back in the lineup at some point next week unless we hear otherwise.
Micheal Ferland – Left Tuesday’s game against the Bruins with an upper-body injury. While we don’t know exactly what he’s dealing with, it seems he suffered the injury during a fight with David Backes.
Cam Ward – Will miss about a week with a knee injury. He’s struggled mightily recently, allowing at least four goals in each of his last five games and posting a save percentage below .900 in every one of those games. Chicago’s goaltending tandem will feature Corey Crawford and Colin Delia for the near future.
Ryan Murray – As far as we know, he isn’t travelling with the team on their current road trip. The Blue Jackets play in Pittsburgh on Thursday before returning home to face the Penguins on Saturday. While Murray probably won’t be in the lineup on Thursday, his status after that hasn’t yet been revealed.
Mats Zuccarello – It’s been about a week since he had surgery to repair a broken arm and the expectation is he’ll resume skating soon. With that being said, his arm doesn’t need to be fully healed in order for him to skate, so it’ll probably be another few weeks before he returns to the lineup.
Mike Green – Will be out for about a week with an illness.
Jesse Puljujarvi – Had surgery on both of his hips and as you would expect, will be out for the rest of the season. How long until the Oilers trade Puljujarvi for a bag of pucks and he turns into a superstar for another team?
Jesper Bratt – Left Tuesday’s game against the Blue Jackets after blocking a shot with his foot/ankle. While we didn’t get an update on his status following the game, we should get some information on Thursday morning when the Devils get back on the ice. Bratt has 13 points in his last 14 games.
Sami Vatanen – Missed Tuesday’s game because he was sick, don’t expect him to miss too much time with the illness.
Nico Hischier – Is day-to-day with an upper-body injury. He was considered a possibility to play against Columbus on Tuesday which leads me to believe the injury isn’t too serious. The Devils face the Capitals on Friday and the Rangers on Saturday, I’d be surprised if Hischier missed both of those games.
Kyle Palmieri – Has resumed skating but remains week-to-week with a lower-body injury. He was on pace for a career-high 62 points prior to the injury.
Taylor Hall – Has been engaged in off-ice rehab since his knee surgery last week. When you first hear ‘knee surgery’ it sounds like the recovery could stretch through the beginning of next season. However, the procedure was more of a cleanup than anything major. Officially, there’s no timetable for his return, but I’d be surprised if he plays again this season.
Robin Lehner – Left Tuesday’s game against the Senators late in the third period after being run over by Brady Tkachuk on this play. Lehner has dealt with concussions previously in his career and suffered through some dark times mentally. While he seemed to take a considerable amount of contact to head in Tuesday’s collision, the team hasn’t made any official announcements just yet. Let’s hope both his short and long-term health isn’t affected by this. He has been fantastic this season with a 20-11-5 record alongside a 2.19 GAA and .927 SV%.
Nolan Patrick – While he wasn’t skating with the team on Tuesday morning, there’s a possibility he plays against the Capitals on Wednesday.
Jakub Voracek – He won’t be in the lineup against Washington on Wednesday, but the hope is for him to get back on the ice for Thursday’s practice. Voracek has been playing extremely well recently, he has nine points in his last four games.
Carter Hart – While he’s expected to get back on the ice with his teammates soon, it’ll probably be another week before he’s ready to start. Brian Elliot has been playing very well since returning from injury and hasn’t posted a save percentage below .900 since he returned on February 19th.
Bryan Rust – Was spotted wearing crutches and is officially out long term with a lower-body injury following this hit from Adam McQuaid. I get the feeling he won’t be back in time to have an impact on your fantasy hockey playoffs, but maybe for the actual Stanley Cup Playoffs?
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Kris Letang – Participated in Tuesday morning’s skate while wearing a non-contact jersey. Obviously, we’d like to see him take contact in practice before returning to the lineup, but there’s a good chance he returns during Pittsburgh’s home-and-home series with the Blue Jackets (Thursday and Saturday).
Evander Kane – Is dealing with a middle-body injury that isn’t expected to be too serious. Coach Pete DeBoer said the injury wasn’t related to the head shot Kane took from Zdeno Chara on February 26th against the Bruins. The Sharks have won both games they’ve played without Kane – against the Avalanche and Blackhawks.
Erik Karlsson – Re-aggravated the same groin injury that kept him out of the lineup for 10 games earlier in 2019. It isn’t expected to keep him out long term – in the sense that surgery isn’t required. With that being said, you can bet the team will be extra cautious with his recovery this time around. I expect he’ll play again during the regular season, but only because he needs to see some game action before the playoffs. Don’t be surprised to see him on the shelf for the next few weeks.
Brayden Schenn – There’s a good chance he returns to the lineup on Wednesday against the Ducks.
David Perron – Won’t travel with the team as they embark on a road trip of California, which means he’ll be out of the lineup for at least the next three games (Wednesday against Anaheim, Thursday against LA and Saturday against the Sharks).
Jake Gardiner – Week-to-week with a back injury.
Nazem Kadri – On Tuesday he was a full participant in practice for the first time since he suffered a concussion on February 19th. While he probably won’t be in the lineup on Wednesday against the Canucks, he’s certainly making great progress.
Jake Virtanen – has been skating and is not far away from a return!
Dustin Byfuglien – The plan is for him to start skating at some point this week, which would set the stage for a return in the near future. Once he gets back on the ice we’ll get a better idea of how much his ankle is still bothering him.
from All About Sports https://dobberhockey.com/hockey-home/injury-ward/injury-ward-4/
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Ramblings: Koivu Injured; Boyle Traded; Updates on Byfuglien and Larkin; Cap Leagues – February 7
The Minnesota Wild announced that captain Mikko Koivu will miss the remainder of the season after tearing his ACL and meniscus in his right knee. He is set to have surgery on Friday and then we can probably expect some sort of time line.
Koivu has one year left on his current deal and will be heading into his age-36 season.
Until we know more about Koivu’s recovery, I won’t speculate there. Let’s just hope he can come back and be close to the player he’s been for the last several years.
As far as the rest of the team is concerned, I suspect this means Minnesota packs it in. They are currently in a wild card spot but there are seven teams within six points and they’re already without Mathew Dumba. This probably means Eric Staal is to be traded by the deadline, which is just a few weeks away. He is a pending UFA and can always re-sign him. I guess we’ll know more in the next couple weeks. If they go on a big win streak, it’ll make the decision tougher. If they start to lose ground, it makes it easier.
It should also mean a lot more minutes for Victor Rask. He’s averaging under 15 minutes a game so far with the Wild but with Koivu out and Staal potentially gone in the next couple weeks, we could be about 20 days away from Rask being on the top line and playing 19-20 minutes a night. Not that I’m a big Rask guy, but anyone earning those types of minutes playing with Jason Zucker and Mikael Granlund (or whomever), is worth the look. Just keep him in mind once the Staal trade chatter picks up.
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Dylan Larkin was back in practice for the Red Wings just a few days after suffering that strain that took him out of the lineup for last Saturday’s game. He had been expected to miss up to two weeks, but it looks like he’ll be good to go for Thursday night’s contest against Vegas.
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It took one game, but Jeff Skinner was back on Jack Eichel’s wing in practice on Wednesday. Quelle surprise.
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Fantasy owners can expect Dustin Byfuglien back in the lineup Thursday night. I assume he’ll be back on the top PP unit as well, especially with the uncertainty around Josh Morrissey’s availability.
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It also looks like the Flames should get Travis Hamonic back Thursday night. Whether that’s fantasy-relevant for you would depend on the size of your league, I suppose.
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Nick Bjugstad was lined up on the top line for Pittsburgh in practice, alongside Sidney Crosby and Jake Guentzel. Did I mention that their game Thursday night is in Florida? Oh baby.
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Nashville acquired New Jersey forward Brian Boyle on Wednesday in exchange for a second round pick in this year’s draft. The top-6 seems locked up (especially with Kyle Turris returning) and Boyle seems destined for the second power-play unit. A guy playing in the bottom-6 of almost any team isn’t usually worth much in fantasy, though Boyle will still be relevant in leagues that count hits. Overall, I don’t expect much change in his fantasy value.
The Predators also traded for Cody McLeod. Sure? To replace McLeod, the Rangers called up Vinny Lettieri.
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An interesting tweet came across my timeline on Wednesday:
Past 10 NHL seasons: Tuukka Rask is first in save percentage, fourth in shutouts, seventh in wins.
Yet there is a crowd out there that still hates on this guy. I'll never understand it
— Matt Larkin (@THNMattLarkin) February 6, 2019
This is, in fact, true. There are 41 goalies with at least 200 starts since the start of the 2009-2010 season. Of those 41 goalies, Rask is first in save percentage at .922. John Gibson is the only other goalie with at least a .920. Rask has a career .924 save percentage in the playoffs, including a Cup Final run in 2013 when he posted a .940. So I ask: is Tuukka Rask a Hall of Famer?
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Michael Dal Colle was on a line with Mathew Barzal in Islanders practice. As for how long that remains a thing, we’ll call it TBD.
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An interesting wrinkle in for the Bruins in their 4-3 shootout loss against the Rangers on Wednesday: they broke up the top line, moving David Pastrnak to the second line with David Krejci and Peter Cehlarik, lining Danton Heinen with Brad Marchand and Patrice Bergeron. Jake DeBrusk was bumped to the fourth line. Each of Pastrnak, Bergeron, and Heinen scored in defeat.
The overtime in this game was particularly nuts. It was odd-man rush after odd-man rush, featuring a spectacular sprawling glove save from Jaroslav Halak to briefly preserve the chance at a second point.
Mika Zibanejad scored in the win, keeping his point-per-game pace this year with 53 in 53. That makes 11 goals and 23 points in 18 games since the holiday break.
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In Bob Cole’s final home call on a Maple Leafs broadcast, we had a good ol’ fashioned Battle of Ontario shootout. The Leafs ended up with the 5-4 win thanks to a lot of wizardry from Mitch Marner (two assists), John Tavares (one goal, one assist) and Zach Hyman (one goal, one assist). Auston Matthews also tallied, giving him four goals in his last five games.
Magnus Paajarvi tallied a pair of goals, boosting his season total by 40 percent. Thomas Chabot also scored, his 20th career goal, and his 40th point of the season. He officially becomes the ninth defenceman in the NHL to hit 40 points this season, and Chabot has played just 45 games. I’ve repeated it often but he’ll be in the Norris conversation sooner rather than later.
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The biggest news this week is probably going to be the signing of Auston Matthews, who signed a five-year deal with an AAV over $11.6-million. That might seem like a weird deal given that the Leafs would likely have wanted to keep him around for eight more years rather than five, unless he signs another extension down the road. But as Cam pointed out in his Ramblings yesterday, the team only bought one year of unrestricted free agency, which kept the cap hit down. If they buy more UFA years, that number of $11.6-million goes even higher, and this is a team that needs every bit of cap space they can manage for 2019-20. I wouldn’t expect guys like Matthew Tkachuk or Sebastian Aho to sign five-year deals.
Does this change the landscape for RFAs, and what is the impact for cap league owners? This started with William Nylander in the summer (and fall) and has continued with Matthews and will finish with Marner.
The thing is, Nylander wasn’t really out of line with his ask or with what he ended with. Though the AAV this year is wonky, Nylander effectively signed to carry an AAV of $6.96-million under a salary cap of $79.5-million. Back in the summer of 2016, Filip Forsberg signed for six years with an AAV of $6-million, Nathan MacKinnon signed for seven years with an AAV of $6.3-million, and Mark Scheifele signed for eight years with an AAV of $6.1-million. At time of signing, Forsberg had a career points/game mark of 0.73, with MacKinnon at 0.70, and Scheifele was at 0.64. Nylander, when he signed his, was at 0.73. Those guys signed deals when the cap was $73-million, which means those three guys signed for anywhere between 8.2 percent and 8.6 percent of the cap. Nylander’s deal was 8.8 percent of the $79.5M cap (though it’s a higher AAV this year because of signing bonuses, and it’ll be lower next year when the cap goes up). Now, it’s obvious he doesn’t have the same upside as MacKinnon, but at the time the contracts were signed, they had produced at a very similar rate. Nylander’s contract, then, isn’t an outlier. He asked to be paid like those in recent history with similar performance had. It may be a bit higher than we’d expect (this year doesn’t matter too much because the cap crunch doesn’t come until the season is over), but certainly not extreme.
As far as Matthews is concerned, we can debate length of the contract, the dollars, whatever, but if we just isolate the AAV, as Cam pointed out, he’s being paid a similar percentage to other top centres. The difference between Matthews and others is AM34 is coming out of his ELC. The only real comparable contracts we can point to recently are Leon Draisaitl, Connor McDavid, and Jack Eichel. When Draisaitl signed his deal, he was 11.3 percent of the cap. Eichel’s this year is 12.6 percent, while McDavid’s is at 15.7 percent. Matthews’s will be 14 percent next season, and as Cam pointed out, the team only bought one UFA year whereas Edmonton and Buffalo bought multiple UFA years. The difference being Eichel was a 0.85 points/game guy in his first three years, but Matthews is at 0.98 and looks to be one of the top-3 goal scorers in the league. In that sense, Matthews’s landing between Eichel and McDavid isn’t much of a stretch.
Finally, we have Marner on the horizon. If he maintains close to his current point pace, he’ll have over 220 career points through his first three seasons. Since the 2005 lockout, there are just eight players with at least 220 points through their first three seasons: Sidney Crosby, Alex Ovechkin, Evgeni Malkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Patrick Kane, Steven Stamkos, Connor McDavid, and Artemi Panarin. If you exclude Panarin because he came over to the NHL at such a late point in his career, you have seven players. Of those seven, six are future Hall of Famers with Nicklas Backstrom being the only question mark, and he’s largely been Ovechkin’s centre for all these years. We can talk about more goals and a different game all we want, but if Marner’s agent can point to Patrick Kane and say “my client’s first three seasons are similar to his first three seasons,” the guy is going to get paid, and paid handsomely.
(for what it’s worth, the first two seasons of Kane’s career saw a similar goal rate league-wide as Marner’s first two seasons)
I know there’s a lot of freaking out about how much players are making coming off their ELCs. This would change the landscape for cap league owners. The thing is, I’m not sure a lot has really changed. As I explained, Nylander’s AAV was in line with production from guys before him, Matthews is probably a bit high considering it’s only one UFA bought but he’s an exceptional talent, and Marner is producing at a level few players in his position have over the last 15 years. The circus (Nylander not signing before the seasons, Marner’s agent, etc) aside, there isn’t anything extreme here. It’s an exceptional circumstance where you have three players of this calibre all coming off ELCs within a year of each other. The Jets have something similar coming up with Kyle Connor, Patrik Laine, and Jacob Trouba, but even those names aren’t at the same impact level as the Matthews-Nylander-Marner triumvirate, and Trouba is not coming off an ELC.
All this is to say, I don’t think anything is considerably different but this is rather just a unique situation. Players are being paid more in raw dollars but as a percentage of the cap, it’s not all that different than what we’ve seen in recent history. All eyes are on Marner now, though. If he were to sign a five-year deal with a similar cap percentage to what Kane signed with back in 2010 (which was a five-year deal), he’d be expected to earn about $8.8-million per season. Depending on the length of the contract, it could change the landscape. On the other hand, it might not. We’ll see when he actually signs the deal.
What I will say is that one change to keep an eye on is the length of contracts coming out of ELCs. Nylander signed for six years and Marner for five. Maybe Matthews does the same. I wonder if we see the upper-tier of players coming out of ELCs signing short deals (five, maybe six at most) as opposed to eight. Teams are more hesitant to sign 29- or 30-year olds to long-term deals than they had been in the past, which is the age players coming off eight-year RFA deals typically land. Teams will be a lot less hesitant to sign 26- or 27-year olds to long-term deals, which is the age players would be coming off five-year RFA contracts. This allows the player some level of guarantee to sign two big contracts in their careers, as opposed to risking getting short-term deals as they approach 30 years old.
from All About Sports https://dobberhockey.com/hockey-rambling/ramblings-koivu-injured-boyle-traded-updates-on-byfuglien-and-larkin-cap-leagues-february-7/
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Forex Weekly Outlook – Sep. 18-22 2017
The US dollar staged an impressive recovery, based on better data, political calm and more. Is this a correction or a total change of trend? The highly anticipated Fed decision is easily the most important event. Here are the highlights for the upcoming week.
Florida escaped most of the storm, and that was only one source of relief for the US dollar. Bipartisan agreements in Washington, mostly positive data and some short covering also supported the recovery of the US dollar[1]. The euro and the yen were the big losers and commodity currencies retreated as well. The pound stood out with gains that were fuelled by higher inflation and hawkish signs from the BOE[2].
Updates:
US housing data: Tuesday, 12:30. There is a significant correlation between the housing sector and the wider economy. Building permits stabilized at 1.23 million (annualized) in July. Housing starts were somewhat lower, at 1.16 million.
US Existing Home Sales: Wednesday, 14:00. Just before the Fed decides, they will get yet another figure from the housing sector. Sales of second-hand homes make up the majority of the market. The annualized level reached 5.44 million in July, a slight disappointment.
Fed decision: Wednesday, 18:00, press conference at 18:30. The Fed is expected to announce the beginning of Quantitative Tightening or the beginning of reducing its 4.5 trillion dollar balance sheet. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said it will be akin to “watching paint dry” and in any case, that will not be a surprise after the Fed talked about it for long months. The focus will be on the timing of the next interest rate hike. Will it happen in December, completing three hikes in 2017? Or has recently weak inflation undermined the chances[3]? This is the big question for skeptical markets and the US dollar. The Fed will also release updated forecasts for growth, employment, and inflation. The biggest focus will be on the interest rate forecast, which will contain hints about future moves. Yellen will begin speaking at 18:30. Reporters will likely press her on the next rate hikes. The usual phrase about the Fed being “data dependent” will probably be heard more than once, but the general stance about the economy will set the tone. Other topics of interest will be comments about the stock market, the global economy, and oil prices. Markets could freeze just before the publication and go wild afterward.
New Zealand GDP: Wednesday, 22:45. The economy of New Zealand grew by a solid 0.5% q/q in Q1. At last, the nation publishes its Q2 2017 figures. Further growth is on the cards, but the actual rate remains an open question. The data will also feed into the tight election campaign which culminates in the vote on September 23rd.
Japanese rate decision: Thursday, early morning, the exact time is unavailable. The Bank of Japan is not really successful in achieving the 2% inflation goal, to say the least. The future of Governor Kuroda also hangs in the balance. The BOJ is unlikely to change its policy now: holding 10-year yields at 0%. They are probably pleased with the most recent weakening of the Japanese yen.
Canadian inflation data: Friday, 12:30. The Canadian dollar remains storng after a not-really-priced-in hike by the BOC, and hints about further increases. The Bank will be data-dependent and inflation remains key. Headline CPI remained flat in July while core CPI slipped by 0.1%. The BOC also publishes various other measures of changes in nonvolatile items. Common CPI advanced 1.4% y/y, the Median CPI rose by 1.7% and Trimmed CPI by 1.4%.
*All times are GMT
Follow us on Sticher or iTunes[4][5]
Further reading:
Safe trading!
Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs[6]
References
^ short covering also supported the recovery of the US dollar (www.forexcrunch.com)
^ hawkish signs from the BOE (www.forexcrunch.com)
^ weak inflation undermined the chances (www.forexcrunch.com)
^ Sticher (www.stitcher.com)
^ iTunes (itunes.apple.com)
^ Get the 5 most predictable currency pairs (www.forexcrunch.com)
from Forex Crunch http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ForexCrunch/~3/Jn2B-3Q60d4/
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