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#inb4 dumb bitches go 'israel wants to conquer lebanon :(((('
homochadensistm · 4 months
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So I haven’t been keep up with the war as much as I’d like to but recently I’ve heard that the IDF is moving out to combat Hezbollah even though rockets are still being launched into Israel and the hostages haven’t been returned. Is there some bigger play here or is the IDF retreating? Or do you just think this is a dumb military strategy?
The IDF is removing several battalions from Gaza because they're not needed there anymore. Most of gaza has been cleared already and their presence there makes no sense both from a security and a financial standpoint. There is going to be a war with hezbollah whether we like it or not because hezbollah has displaced around 160k israelis from the north by incessantly shelling cities and towns since the beginning of this war. These 160k ppl need to be returned home, they can't stay refugees forever, thus a maneuver against hazbollah is both necessary and imminent since diplomacy has failed (hezbollah signed UN resolution 1701 promising to stay away from the border post the 2006 war, and they broke said promise literally 2 minutes after they signed the damn agreement).
The rockets currently being fired from Gaza are fired from Khan Younis, which is where the IDF is still working. The frequency of rockets has dropped significantly, from heavy shelling every single day (in the beginning of the war) to a small barrage once a month, which says a lot about what has been done to Hamas' infrastructure.
The war with hezbollah is going to be extremely difficult from a defense standpoint because hezbollah possess a far greater rocket AND missile arsenal than hamas, including guided missiles. The damage to us civilians is going to be catastrophic, which is why the IDF is preparing way in advance and the govt is foolishly looking for diplomatic solutions where there are none. Regardless, hezbollah lost iirc over 500 fighters since October so I do wonder what's their plan long term.
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