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satisfaction-explorations · 4 years

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I want to write a bit more about the current coronavirus situation.

Should people be scared? The death rates are very, very, very low. They’re higher for people with 3 or 4 or 5 combined risk factors, especially older people and vulnerable people. We have had how many pandemics in the past 150 years? But we’re smarter now, and want to minimise problems with it (e.g. deaths caused from the risk of seriously overloaded hospital systems). Not much is known about the effects of the coronavirus on babies, pregnant mothers, very young children and other groups (although information from other coronaviruses may be known)- this information needs to be found out, especially longer term side effects. It doesn’t affect older children much or at all, but data needs to be collected and research needs to be done on pregnant mothers, babies, toddlers and other potentially vulnerable groups who have already caught the coronavirus in China, Italy or the world.

Individuals need to find out the most effective 15 or 20 things they can do to help/not cause problems with this virus. This is especially true for younger people and older children, who are the most likely to not have symptoms. Focus on what you can do rather than on what you can’t- control what you can and accept what you can’t control. And if you’re a citizen, ideally make some 5% contributions if you can allocate time (what matters most with these 5% contributions is the time and effort you agree to and complete- hopefully you achieve something important but if you don’t, the only thing you can control is time, effort and the quality/effectiveness you put into & implement inputs)- especially for the economic dot point below.

The number one problem from the coronavirus is if the healthcare system can quarantine & treat x amount of people, having a lot of people suddenly get sick together increases the risk of deaths by however many people get rejected from the healthcare system because they’re over capacity. We don’t want 2x 3x 5x 10x 20x unwanted deaths. In Italy, the above is what has happened, and they have had to put criteria for who they treat and who they have to reject (people who seriously need treatment). That is why the entire country is literally in quarantine.

Graph illustrating the above really well - the idea is the top of 3 is the maximum the health care system can handle (or 3/4s of 3 or something like that). How long will this take though?

It’s not nice to say, but people need to use the next few weeks or month for pre-grieving because a certain number of people will definitely die no matter what is done (or are at higher risk). So now is a very good time to identify any people you care about who might be at a medium or high risk (e.g. over a certain age with health conditions) and start pre-grieving them. This includes things like saying the things you really need to say to them, healing any problems from the past (or at least really trying to), doing the things you really want to do with them (probably online) and telling them things like how much they mean to you and why, the positive impact they have had on your life, how much you love them or anything else you will have wished you had said or done if they pass away. At the same time, we can do hundreds or thousands of things to boost their immunity and health.

HOWEVER- immunity boosting needs to only be for non-low risk groups. Because certain people- especially younger people- are much likely to have few or no symptoms. Low risk people need to exacerbate their symptoms at the start of the two week virus contagion period if they think there might be a chance they might have it (as a pre-test). Even if you have no symptoms, if you have it, you’re still contagious. At the same time, it’s a good idea to get a flu shot so you don’t confuse the two illnesses. Pre-grieving and immunity boosting need to be done together. Do a hundred or a thousand things to protect loved ones if you want (e.g. prayer, methods, emotional protection and support, motivation, online social connection methods) but even if you encourage an at risk person to do 2000 immune boosting exercises, pre-grieve them anyway, so you have no regrets, and just in case. And just remember- at risk people in poor countries are the most at risk of all- if you find out certain immune boosting methods are particularly effective, try and get someone to channel that information to poor countries somehow if you can. I think Vitamins B (anti-stress), C (immunity), and D (sunlight) are a great method- but can people in developing countries afford multivitamins? Probably not. They can eat foods that help Vitamin C though.

The second biggest problem is what to do with all these poor developing countries that don’t have functioning health systems. The slower it spreads in those countries, the more likely that (1) some kind of plan can be figured out and put in place and (2) their smaller healthcare systems will be less overcapacity than needed

This needs serious work- how many developing countries are there in the world? How many have problems with their healthcare systems? A clear general plan or set of methods for developing countries to implement- which will definitely have to be adapted to their unique characteristics- would be highly helpful. Every 5% would be a huge huge huge help and woud literally help billions of people’s lives and livelihoods. If there were 20 overall easily understood sets of strategies that poor countries could use this would be of huge help. One was highly persuasive public communications starting early (that didn’t affect the economy or people’s mental health). Another huge one was pre-preparing impromptu quarantine hospitals- e.g. pre-training large numbers of potential staff, figuring out how to turn closed sports stadiums into quarantine & medical treatment centres, and stockpiling or manufacturing quarantine goods like face masks, medical staff quarantine outfits and plastic gloves.

The third biggest problem is the economic side effects on millions or billions of people. For example, imagine if you have a food business. And sales decrease by 50%. Or if you are a comedian. Or if you run events.

The risks with recession are also very problematic- we all need to figure out how to stop and prevent the downward spiral of people spending less because of fear of losing jobs, businesses shrinking or closing, other people losing jobs, those people spending less, businesses shrinking or closing further, and round it goes. Do you remember the global financial crisis? Lets do all we can to prevent another one.

How do we keep people’s businesses and jobs through this health crisis? I get the feeling now that people are going through a pre-pre-grieving period- we will do everything we possibly can to save our grandparents and loved ones. However- once we start sliding into recession in 3 or 5 months I guarantee that all people will start weighing jobs and businesses much higher. I also get the feeling that this is not something that can be solved with hardest 5%s... a brilliant method will probably be a hardest 1% (e.g. a 1% from the hardest 10 or 15%).

This just means we need 100 excellent methods to protect everyone’s jobs... maybe 200. If it worries you, definitely please make a contribution to these. Some of these 100-200 will also potentially be hugely useful, not just now, but for the next hundred plus years in the future, because we can reuse and reuse and reuse them. There is a huge opportunity here, even though the short term might be very hard for a lot of people if it is not solved in time. People seem to want the government to do everything... and I’m sure they are working hard to deliver their best. At the same time, any way anyone can add to one or several of these hardest 1%s will be of enormous help to not only your job, your friends businesses, your country but also potentially the entire world, because they can be used in many places. You don’t need to study lots of economics to do this- you just have to read the downward spiral in the previous dot point and figure out the hardest 1%s you can reach for stopping, preventing or reversing it. I will try to do draft some now: the online sales of businesses need to strengthen in times like these, and the government needs to protect the parcel sending methods and services so as not to crash the economy if it needs to be done like this, online delivery method services to figure out how to make their staff as coronaproof as possible, a large part of recessions is caused by psychology (people expecting the worst with their businesses/jobs and spending less), so getting people to keep spending, product businesses focusing more on online services, businesses cutting people’s hours rather than whole people’s jobs, food businesses marketing their delivery services and making staff wear gloves when handling money/ not picking up the virus. Who is likely to lose the most needed things from this virus (e.g. a company has a big loss but they don’t need to cut employees and they’re rich anyway, versus a poor person losing their job and not being able to pay mortgage or rent)? There is no need to stress... You need to accept that everyone is responsible for their own things and they will be fine in 6 or 12 months. At the same time, it would be very helpful to set aside a certain amount of time and aim for a certain amount of help points to boost them higher than their actions around it- that will be a huge extra help. 1 extra hardest 1% would be good. Several or many 1%s would be excellent. And these would not only help now, these would help lots of times in the future to reduce smaller future risks. It is genuinely a big help.

The fourth biggest problem is mental health… it’s a lot of change… sure, there were big epidemics in the early 1900s and before that (like that pandemic that wiped out 80% of Native American Indians), but not so much in the later half of the century. It’s a lot of change.

Another thing to take note of, is you can get a news story, and put any type of music or any type of emotional overtone over it. If you put horror music or threatening music or anxiety provoking music (or words), well, people are going to get scared. If you have a really boring scene and put horror music over it, you’re like ‘something’s going to happen, something’s going to happen’, even though nothing is happening. There are a hundred different perspectives we can view this situation from. Let’s look at it with realistic, responsible, stoic, adventurous corona beer goggles. Let’s do our own research via highly accurate trusted sites. Let’s do a top 15 list of the best 15 things we can do to not accidentally cause deaths. Let’s stoically accept the changes and refuse to react negatively over them. Let’s look at it as an ‘I don’t want to live the same year 50 times and call that a life’ attitude. Let’s have a Corona beer parties and make corona memes. Let’s focus on what we can do and let go of what we can’t do. And especially- let’s fight the emotional contagion by choosing our own state and encouraging everyone else to calm down. Because most likely nothing is going to happen to you individually.

Yes there are bad things, but what are 10 opportunities that this all provides for you individually? A lot of people say their kids grow up so quickly- now is an opportunity to create some really good memories with them, with your family, with your friends. A lot of people wish they could work from home more. This is creating opportunities for future work from home systems for e.g. 1-2 days a week to be set up. If we have 3 or 4 risks of pandemics in our lifetime, we are setting up how effective (or not) our systems and skills are with this at the moment. We are all being given opportunities to follow our interests and passions more. Learning to meditate? We are all boosting our health abilities, which we will get to keep for the long term. Just keep in mind- Nelson Mandela became one of the best people of all time after his time in prison- you definitely need to deal with the problems and risks but there are opportunities too if you look out for them. What are the 10 biggest problems or risks for you individually? Learning about sunlight deficiency and buying Vitamin D tablets (if it doesn’t mix badly with any other medications) might be a very good idea. Cabin fever is a real risk- I suffered this badly- if you come up with some 5% solutions it will help everyone. Not exercising enough? New ways to get your needs met within your house? How about books?

Most people get mild symptoms or flu-like symptoms (still not great), but higher levels get bronchitis or pneumonia like symptoms, and a % of people have trouble breathing and need to get hooked up to breathing machines.

You are in an extremely high likelihood of not needing to get hospitalised. Maybe a 9 in 10 or higher chance you won’t actually need to be hospitalised (to be monitored). I’m not afraid of bronchitis at all. Trouble breathing and pneumonia sound unpleasant but if it’s just for two weeks, whatever, I’ll get through it perfectly fine (I’ll probably read or sleep a lot). But it is very very unlikely most people will have symptoms to the level of pneumonia.

However, why would you want to be the cause of unneeded deaths? You don’t (unless you’re a terrible person). The problem with the coronavirus is how extremely contagious it is. It’s ridiculous. And apparently it stays on surfaces for several hours. Just ridiculous.

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