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#there was just a referendum vote in Ireland to change writing in our constitution I bet us Americans didn’t hear about that
phantom-of-the-memes · 2 months
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Since the presidential elections for the US are happening this year, I’d like to give just a little reminder.
Not everyone on here is from the US. It’s so aggravating to be harassed with messages and anons of people demanding to know why you’re not posting about it, or reblogging info, or making it known who you’re voting for… no one… I’m not from and have never been to the US.
And you wouldn’t think this would have to be said, but only people with US citizenship can vote in your elections. So no, people in Ireland, etc. don’t vote for your politicians.
I’m not even joking when I say tourists come here and ask who you’re voting for/ encourage you to vote for ___. I’ve seen Americans write “vote Trump” in the dust in cars. They walk around in their MAGA merch and insist on talking to you about American politics like you are involved. And idk maybe that’s just a symptom of dumbass trumpies, but I’ve had democrats say the same to me.
You also get the asks that acknowledge that it’s not your country’s election, but still think you should be posting to “raise awareness”… girl everyone in the fucking world knows every bit of info about your elections. It is shoved in our face constantly. Because the internet/ media operates as if America is the entire world.
It’s insane. Like people in our own country will know more about American politics than our own! Americans don’t post or even acknowledge other country’s elections, so why are we obligated to do so for yours?
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wolfpawn · 4 years
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I Hate You, I Love you, Chapter 153
Chapter Summary - Danielle accompanies Tom to Ben's award presentation where she and Tom enjoy their friends' company and discuss minor differences between Britain and Ireland.
Previous Chapter
Rating - Mature (some chapters contain smut)
Triggers - references to Tom Hiddleston’s work with the #MeToo Movement. That chapter will be tagged accordingly.
authors Note - I have been working on this for the last 3 years, it is currently 180+ chapters long.  This will be updated daily, so long as I can get time to do so, obviously.
Right, little things that need explaining.
Taoiseach is the Irish for Prime Minister. Our one is gay, yes and half immigrant Indian but is leading the right-wing party which thankfully is only centre right and not extreme right (little mercies) and is an utterly classist wanker so yeah, not the loveliest man for those reasons, not his sexuality or race.
We democratically voted for gay marriage rights, being the first country to do so by popular vote in the world a few years ago.
We also repealed an amendment this year (yes, you can repeal amendments for those who are obsessed with such things) that held the life of the unborn as the same as the mother's and will mean elective abortion facilities in Ireland.
We have the lowest divorce rates in Europe and no, it's not in any way related to Catholicism.
And yes, Irish engagements are between 1 and 2 years normally.
Copyright for the photo is the owners, not mine. All image rights belong to their owners
tags: @sweetkingdomstarlight-blog @jessibelle-nerdy-mum @nonsensicalobsessions @damalseer @hiddlesbitch1 @winterisakiller @fairlightswiftly @salempoe @wolfsmom1 @black-ninja-blade
Danielle laughed into her hand as Tom made a comment regarding Benedict's incapability to say the word 'penguin’ correctly. Sophie was in a similar state, but Ben gave a warning glare as he chuckled at his friend's words.
The South Bank Sky Awards had nominated Ben for the Outstanding Achievement Award and Tom was the one to present him with it, leading to a fortnight of Tom writing and rewriting a few sentences to say while presenting it. Danielle knew the speech as well as he did in the end and the prompt cards were all but redundant, but still, Tom kept them with him, as though he felt to have them is to guarantee he would not need them.
It had been Ben that had asked Danielle if she would go before even Tom had a chance to ask her. That startled Danielle slightly but she accepted and as a result, she and Tom were photographed as they had been at events before but there was something different to this event, the media had more access to Tom and his significant other, the woman they so desperately wanted to know more of than they had ever had before. To many media outlets, it was the confirmation of the statement that it was as pure as they wanted it to be. The internet's boyfriend, a prince charming, picking the girl next door (literally) over the glamorous and gorgeous pop princess. The fact that a meeting of minds is so much more important and makes for a more true relationship. Others wanted to see if there were cracks in the relationship, if it was all for show, after all, Taylor had a solid boyfriend and was happy, so to them, Tom had to show the same and this woman, this ordinary and in their opinion, boring and blood-sucking woman, was nothing more than a tender rub at his ego, even after almost two years. No matter what the reason, the unbridled access to the pair for the evening meant that it was a new experience for Danielle, one that Tom, Ben and Sophie wanted to assist her through.
When Tom read his speech, she felt the camera on herself as well as on Ben and Sophie for their reactions, she laughed, both at Tom's words and Ben's reaction, she acted, as best she could, as though they were in each others company as they had done many times before and that the wider world was not watching.
Overall, the evening was a pleasant affair. When Danielle went to the bathroom, Tom spoke on with their friends, knowing that she was fine. Upon her return, he noted a slightly bigger smile on her face. “Everything alright?”
“I got a text from Siobhan, Laura and Evan got engaged.” She informed him. “I'll have to send them a card and gift.”
“Okay, that's….which cousin is that? Is that the one with the baby?”
“Yes…why? You can't say her name, can you?”
“No one can.” Tom scoffed. “It's an impossible name.”
“Is it an Irish name? It can't be harder than Saoirse, I remember working with her on Atonement, the first time I saw her name, I thought someone sneezed on a keyboard.” Ben commented.
“Write that name down.” Tom requested. “See if Ben and Sophie get it, they won't.”
Danielle laughed and did as requested, then handed it to Ben who just stared at it. “I…. that's harder than Saoirse.” He conceded as he handed it to Sophie who just tried to sound it out to herself. “I bet it's something normal or different sounding to its spelling, isn't it?”
“Key-lin.” Danielle sounded out.
“Oh, for fuck’s sake.” Ben exclaimed. “That makes no sense, how is the child ever supposed to say that?”
“Your opinion on words doesn't count, you can't even say penguin.” Danielle dismissed, earning laughs from Tom and Sophie as Ben stared at her.
“Wow, she went for the jugular.” Sophie laughed.
“Unbelievable.” Ben scowled.
Tom rubbed Danielle's hand as she looked somewhat apologetically at Ben, though there was a slight smile to it also. On feeling Tom rub her, she urged to face him again, smiling brightly. “So, when's the wedding?”
“They'll be looking at venues soon, they'll probably choose Galway for the wedding, the norm is the bride's parish in Ireland. It'll be a while yet, their hoping for the few days between Christmas and New Year's. I've been warned to try and plan to be free.”
“So a few months?” Danielle gave him a peculiar look. “What?”
“You would have more chance of seeing Santa than getting a Christmas time wedding venue in Ireland six months out, it's next Christmas, in 2019.” She laughed.
“Isn't that a little long?” Sophie thought back to her own wedding, recalling her mother asking her to consider doing it sooner, instead of her and Ben insisting on doing it on Valentine's Day.
“No. It's the norm for Irish engagements to be between a year and two years long. I had noticed you lot tend to rush things along a bit.”
“Well, we like to marry before we have to use zimmer frames to get down the aisle of the church.” Ben chuckled.
“Ah yeah, joke all you want. You lot are in the top ten for the highest divorce rates in the world and we have the lowest in Europe.” Danielle retorted smugly.
“I...that can't be right.” Sophie took out her phone and checked. “They do.” She declared having gotten her answer. “The Republic of Ireland have the lowest divorce rates...wow. Is it hard to get a divorce there?”
“Not an overnight thing but not too difficult, no. We just have long relationships and long engagements and if you haven't decided to split up or murder one another in that time, it lasts usually. Either that or we are way too complacent for our own good.” Danielle shrugged.
“It's not some “Catholic” thing, is it?” Ben asked curiously.
“Well, we were the first country to vote via referendum for gay marriage and it won quite comfortably, our Taoiseach is gay, and in May anti-abortion laws were voted to be overturned, that's not exactly very “Catholic”, is it?” Danielle explained. “Catholic Ireland is dead and gone.”
“You're Catholic though, right?” Sophie asked, having definitely heard Danielle refer to Catholicism before.
“My parents had me christened, I had to do the whole white communion dress thing, yes but outside of family masses, I haven't set foot in a church since my dad died. I am as about as devout a Catholic as I am vegan. I may interact with elements of the idea, but eating some broccoli doesn't constitute my being such, same as my Catholicism, an occasional mass means shite all. I couldn't remember a rosary if I tried, bar the ten Hail Mary's part.” She scoffed.
Tom listened carefully to her words, recalling that bar going to Ireland for her parents’ masses, he had noticed Danielle did indeed ignore most aspects of Catholicism, bar swearing using the name of God and whatnot. “So that's the norm for Irish people, waiting a whole year?”
“Yes, apart from saving for weddings being expensive, you won't get your choice of venue or band if you leave it too long either. Anywhere worth its salt is booked solid several months to a year in advance, and with the time Laura is looking at, don't be surprised if it is changed to the Spring or 2020 if they want Christmas and can't get it.” She shrugged.
Tom simply thought over her words before looking to Ben who seemed to be studying his reaction to them.
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Resurrection - A Response to “Ireland: An Obituary” by John Waters
   In his article for First Things, which describes itself as “America’s most influential journal for religion and public life,” John Waters casts the vote to repeal the 8th amendment to the Irish constitution on May 25th as the death of his country. On that day, he writes, “history seemed to have gone into reverse: the Resurrection behind, Calvary in front. On Friday, the Irish people climbed Calvary backwards, in the name of progress.” I knew from that first line that the Ireland he knows and the Ireland I know must be two very different places. Like most Irish women at home and abroad, I went to sleep the night of May 25th, when exit polls showed that the referendum had passed with 68% of the vote, scarcely allowing myself to believe that I would wake up in a world where Irish women were free. The next morning, though I may have been curled up under my blankets half a world a way in Canada, I felt as though I was with the thousands of women at Dublin Castle who were weeping in joy and relief as the results were made official, alternating between chants of “Yes!” and “Savita,” the name of an Indian immigrant who died of septic shock as a complication of miscarriage in 2012, after being denied an abortion five days earlier and being told “this is a Catholic country,” before breaking into a tearful chorus of Amhran na bhFiann, the national anthem. I spent the next forty-eight hours crying off and on, and I’d be lying if I said the teary spells have stopped completely, almost five days later.    Before I go on, I want to make my opinion on this matter perfectly clear. I am Catholic. Abortion is not an easy topic for me, and I do believe that on some level, it involves the taking of a life. In Canada, the country that sectarian oppression led my family to before I was born, abortion is legal for any reason up to birth. I do not agree with that at all. But in Ireland, the 8th amendment created the opposite extreme- in making the life of the mother and the life of the fetus equal in all respects, women could not even have a termination for medical reasons unless her death was imminent. I say that because a potentially life-threatening situation, such as a lengthy miscarriage, which can lead to sepsis, was not enough to merit a termination- you had to actually be experiencing sepsis in order to be allowed an abortion. This is what killed Savita Halappanavar, the catalyst for this referendum. Personally, I believe that abortion should be allowed if the pregnancy poses risk to the health, including mental health, of the mother; if the baby is diagnosed with a fatal foetal abnormality such as anencephaly; and in cases of rape and incest. However, because I do not believe that anyone should be forced to disclose that they have been a victim of rape or incest in order to access health care, I believe that there should be a period in the first trimester during which abortion can be accessed upon request.    The 8th amendment, however, went beyond prohibiting abortion in all cases. The law undermined the agency of women carrying wanted pregnancies to term, as it prevented women from accessing any sort of health care that may hurt the baby. I read one story of a women who was denied chemotherapy and ultimately died, only for her baby to die three days later. In short, the 8th amendment was a draconian law that shames any nation that considers itself modern. With that in mind, I invite you to take my hand and dive into dissecting Waters’ article. I decided to write this response on a whim at one in the morning, because a lot of things have made me really angry in the last few days, but nothing as much as this article. Let me tell you why.
   Waters opens with “If you would like to visit a place where the symptoms of the sickness of our time are found near their furthest limits, come to Ireland. Here you will see a civilization in freefall, seeking with every breath to deny the existence of a higher authority, a people that has now sentenced itself not to look upon the Cross of Christ lest it be haunted by His rage and sorrow.” From the get-go, he is casting Ireland as some sort of hellish wasteland of sin more akin to Las Vegas than to a country where the Angelus is still broadcast on national TV and every single person I’ve ever met went to a Catholic school. As the western world goes, Ireland is behind the times, and certainly one of the most pious countries among its peers. I’m not saying Ireland has the same levels of religiosity as it did even 50 years ago, but 85% of its citizens identify as Catholic, and the handprint of the Church is all over its laws. In 2009, the Dáil (Parliament) passed a law implementing a €25,000 fine for blasphemy, and children must be baptized Catholic to be admitted into school- that’s the kind of fundamentalism we use to justify bombing Muslim countries. So is Ireland shaking off some of the influence of the Church? Absolutely, and thank God for that. But is it “a civilization in freefall, seeking with every breath to deny the existence of a higher authority?” Absolutely not. Could not be farther from it.    A later paragraph begins with “For the first time in history, a nation has voted to strip the right to life from the unborn.” Is this true? Technically, but only because Ireland is the only country (to my knowledge) to ever have had the legal equality of the life of the mother and her unborn child enshrined in their constitution. That in and of itself ought to tell you something about Irish society- that abortion laws had to be changed by referendum rather than by legislation because an absolute ban was literally enshrined in the constitution.    He continues: “The tenor of the contest has been so nauseating that the deepest parts of my psyche had begun to anticipate this outcome. It was little things: the frivolity of the Yes side: “Run for Repeal”; “Spinning for Repeal”; “Walk your Dog for Repeal”; “Farmers for Yes”; “Grandparents for Repeal,” which ought to have been “Grandparents for Not Having Grandchildren.” This, like the same-sex marriage referendum in 2015, was a carnival referendum: Yessers chanting for Repeal, drinking to Repeal, grinning for the cameras as they went door-to-door on the canvass of death.” Apparently, Waters has a problem with the fact that Irish people live normal lives, and don’t just spend their hours alternatively praying the rosary and making babies, as borderline-Orientalist caricatures from Americans would have you believe. What hurts me the most about this - this denial of normalcy, of modernity, the eschewing of activities such as spin class or walking your dog as something somehow out of reach of the constantly-praying people of the Emerald Isle - is that it comes from an Irishman. Growing up in Canada, I’ve grown used to foreigners, especially Catholics, having this mythologized idea of Irish society, as though time stopped for us in 1849. And I’ve grown used to other Catholics going into hysterics when we step out of line from this fantasy. But seeing someone who describes Ireland as the only home he’s ever known perpetuating the infantilizing and, frankly, almost racist idea that Irish people aren’t, for lack of a better word, normal- I can’t lie, it hurt.    This, for me, has been the crux of the issue as I’ve debated the referendum results with non-Irish Catholics, or (even worse) Catholics of some vague and distant Irish descent, who maybe had a great-great-great grandparent come over on the coffin ships during the Great Hunger. There are 500,000 people of Irish descent in Canada, which makes up 15% of our population; likewise, in the US there are 33 million people who claim Irish descent, which makes up 10.5% of their population and dwarfs the all-island population of Ireland, which is about 6 million. Most of these people, however, are descendants of people who came during the Great Hunger or shortly thereafter. First generation Irish-Canadians (or Irish-Americans) like myself are extremely rare. Because of this, though Irish culture is very strong and certainly privileged in North America, there are few people here with an actual connection to contemporary Ireland. For this reason, the image of Ireland that’s held by “Irish” Catholics here is not realistic.    Not only is Ireland imagined as a place where having 10 children is considered the average and no one has heard of birth control, but they think we actually like it that way. Catholics in North America treat Ireland as a dollhouse; a plaything. Of course, when you base your admiration and connection to a country on nothing but its (imagined) religiosity, you’re apt to want to dissociate yourself from it entirely if its people step out of line. I kid you not- I saw a fully Canadian girl proclaim in light of the passing of the referendum “Today I am not Irish.” Sweetie, relax. You never were. Furthermore, it does not escape me that these attitudes carry a distinct air of colonialism, which is problematic when you consider the fact that many North Americans look at Ireland as a country that only became (mostly) free because the Brits took pity on us and handed us the 26 counties to shut us up.    So it’s bad enough to hear this from people who have never set foot in Ireland, but from someone who lived their his whole life? I felt betrayed. Heartbroken. And like I needed to say something. Like I needed to get the truth about Ireland’s tumultuous and oppressive relationship with the Catholic Church out to as many people as I could. In that moment I felt it became my duty to show the truth that every woman in Ireland knows to the world.
   I can only hope that Waters was purposely misleading his American audience and didn’t actually believe what he said when he wrote “The spiritual reconstruction of Ireland that took place after the Famines of the 1840s placed mothers at its center: the moral instruments by which Irish families were to be brought back to the straight and narrow. Women were placed on a pedestal, their actions or demands immune from questioning by mere men. Add two dashes of feminism and you have an unassailable cultural force, which has now attained its apotheosis. “Trust women,” one of the many fatuous Yes slogans demanded. Trust women to kill their own children?”    Excuse me... WHAT? Placed mothers at its center, immune from questioning by mere men?? I think I need to give you folks a hard dose of truth here. As everyone knows, England occupied and oppressed the people of Ireland for 800 years (and is still occupying and oppressing the people of the North - tiocfaidh ár lá). But what many people don’t know is that, throughout the last hundred years of British rule, the Catholic Church, seen by so many as the vehicle for Ireland’s resistance, was available to the highest bidder, which was the colonial administration every time. During the Great Hunger, which was not in fact a famine but a purposely orchestrated genocide, the Church was more than happy to let the people of Ireland starve, with nothing in the way of help besides promises that you would spend eternity in Hell if you accepted a bowl of soup from the Quakers. When Ireland won independence for the 26 counties in 1921, its dreams of self-determination were dashed by the Church, which quickly stepped into England’s place of controlling every aspect of our lives. No one had to carry this burden more than Irish mothers.    From the 18th century until 1996, women considered “fallen” were put into Magdalene laundries- homes run by nuns, ostensibly with the intention of rehabilitating these girls into better Catholics. After the 1920s, the laundries took a turn from bad to disgusting, essentially becoming prison labour camps for all sorts of women- disabled women, petty criminals, and girls who were considered “loose,” but mostly unwed mothers. Here, these women were forced to perform hard physical labour up until and immediately following birth. Their children were taken from them immediately and sold to American families. Many of these women and children never saw each other again. Unable to see their babies, women endured the torture of not being able to express their breast milk, and were beaten for crying or complaining. The babies who died were buried in mass graves on unconsecrated ground. At one Mother and Baby Home in Tuam, Co. Galway, 796 babies were discovered buried inside a septic tank. The Bon Secours Home in Tuam operated from 1925 to 1961- this is not something out of pre-Industrial history. This happened within my parents’ lifetime.    The domination of the Church in all areas of life meant that up until the 1980s c-sections were not performed in Ireland. Instead, difficult labours were handled with symphysiotomies- essentially the surgical breaking of the mother’s pelvis. This was done widely throughout Ireland and without consent. Women often were not told that it had been done until after their babies were delivered. So much for women’s “actions or demands immune from questioning by mere men.”    Ireland, I am proud to say, has come a long way in the last few decades. In 1980, condoms became legal, and within my lifetime, the last Magdalene laundry closed and divorce, gay marriage, and emergency contraception were decriminalized. But the 8th amendment, inserted into the constitution in 1983, remained a major roadblock to women’s liberation. I wish I could say that I am sure that the people who wrote the 8th amendment did so innocently, without realizing how many women would die because of it and how many families it would traumatize, but looking at Ireland’s history, I can’t say I have that much faith that our institutions care about women.    Savita Halappanavar is the most high profile case of the damage caused by the 8th amendment, but she is far from the only one. The lead-up to the referendum was defined by stories like hers, some from women who were lucky to survive, and some from the families of women who weren’t. Another famous story is that of Miss P, a pregnant woman who in 2014 was declared clinically braindead, but whose doctors refused to unplug her from life support because it would kill her baby. Her family, having just lost their daughter, wife, and mother, was forced to appeal to Ireland’s High Court so that she could be removed from life support and die and be buried with dignity. The court ultimately ruled in the family’s favour, but only because her baby had no prospect of surviving- not because using a brain dead woman as a baby incubator is fundamentally wrong and disgusting. Another section of stories that particularly touched me were those of families who received the devastating diagnosis of fatal foetal anomaly. One woman, after discovering that her baby had anencephaly (the absence of a major portion of the brain and skull), was told by her doctor “it’s going to be a long 20 weeks.” Many of these women and families made the decision to travel to England for a termination- a lonely and harrowing experience, which more often than not involved getting back on a plane the next day or even that night, still bleeding from the procedure and receiving their baby’s ashes in the mail three weeks later.
   Waters begins to wrap up his article by stating about the image of Ireland as the Land of Saints and Scholars, “We now know it to be a legend long past its use-by date. The Irish of today are more likely to be among the looters and book-burners, the barbarians who value nothing but what is expedient.” He is both right and wrong. Ireland is indeed no longer a land of saints and scholars- but why should it be? That was a title given to us based on our history before the year 1000 AD. No other country in the world is expected to stagnate as Ireland is expected to. No one chides France for no longer being a country of crusaders, or China for abandoning its emperor. It’s worth noting that the Land of Saints and Scholars is a title given to us by foreigners, not by us ourselves. No country is single-faceted. Ireland was never just a land of saints and scholars; we are, and always have been, like every other country, a dynamic place. A changing place. A living place.    Where Waters is wrong is his second sentence- looters, book-burners, barbarians. The only people who ought to be ashamed to call themselves Irish, the only people who disgrace their ancestors, are those who speak of their own people in this way. Book-burners? Trinity College Dublin is one of the top universities in Europe, where anyone can go and view the immaculately preserved Book of Kells. Barbarians? In the last 100 years, Ireland has invented the defibrillator, the ejection seat, the nickel-zinc battery, and radiotherapy. Does finally shaking off the oppressive shackles of the Church make us, and us women in particular, book-burning barbarians? Is Ireland’s worth based entirely on the degree of control held over it by Catholicism?    Ireland is doubtlessly changing, but anyone who thinks that that change is for the worse rather than the better needs to check up on their history. There is a reason that Irish women from Dublin Castle to the Midlands to the Aran Islands and from Ontario to New York to Australia greeted the 26th of May with tears in our eyes and joy in our hearts. Those who attempt to make this referendum about abortion on demand and attempt to paint us as celebrating the death of our children are being willfully ignorant to the fact that this referendum was centred heavily not on abortion on demand but on women like Savita Halappanavar, who came to our country seeking a better life only to die too young because of the stranglehold the Church has on our society. Waters mocks the slogan “Trust women,” but that is really what this was all about. For 200 years, Irish women have been entirely robbed of our agency and our voice. Like Taoiseach (a word that I, unlike Waters, am not embarrassed to utter) Varadkar made clear, this week Ireland spoke loud and clear, telling the world that we are a compassionate country, that we are a dynamic country, and that most importantly, we are a country that trusts women.    According to Waters, this referendum was a backwards walk from the Resurrection towards Cavalry, from life towards death. He could not be more wrong. The promise of the Resurrection brings to us a new day, a new dawn, a future where we are free from the shackles that previously held us down. In my eyes, and in the eyes of the vast majority of Irish men and women alike, May 25th was the beginning of a new Ireland. We turned our back on centuries of pain, suffering, and death, and took our first steps towards the light of compassion. May 25th was not a backward walk to Calvary- May 25th was a Resurrection.
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For Savita. I’m sorry we let you down.
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Here’s the link to the original article: https://www.firstthings.com/web-exclusives/2018/05/ireland-an-obituary
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courtneytincher · 5 years
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Boris Johnson Denies Lying to Queen Over Suspension: Brexit Update
(Bloomberg) -- Follow @Brexit, sign up to our Brexit Bulletin, and tell us your Brexit story. Boris Johnson denied lying to the Queen over his suspension of Parliament after it was ruled unlawful by a Scottish court, just one of a series of recent political and legal setbacks to his “do or die” plan to leave the European Union on Oct. 31. EU negotiator Michel Barnier also warned there would be no point reopening formal talks, it was reported.But there was some respite from Belfast, where a court ruled on Thursday that leaving the EU without a divorce agreement, which Johnson has not ruled out doing, wouldn’t violate the peace accord in Northern Ireland. In Hungary, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto urged the bloc to take Johnson more seriously.Key Developments:Johnson denied lying to the Queen over Parliament suspensionA Belfast court ruled that a no-deal Brexit would not break the Good Friday peace accordGovernment published no-deal Brexit planning documents late Wednesday ahead of Parliament-imposed deadline: U.K. Warns of Protests, Chaotic Border Scenes in No-Deal BrexitDefence Secretary Ben Wallace said the government is working to mitigate no-deal Brexit risksHungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told Bloomberg he wants the EU to take Johnson more seriouslySpeaker Bercow Calls for U.K. Constitution (20:22 p.m)John Bercow, who has been a thorn in the side of the government as Speaker of the House of Commons, suggested he would allow MPs to use parliamentary proceedings to ensure Prime Minister Boris Johnson upholds the anti-no deal law passed last week by MPs.Speaking publicly for the first time since announcing he’d step down Oct. 31, Bercow also said the U.K. might need a U.S.-style constitution to prevent future governments seeking to override laws passed by Parliament.A “Parliamentary Powers Act might be introduced to entrench the authority of the House of Commons and ensure that the rule of law is never distorted or perverted by executive malpractice,” he said at the annual Bingham Lecture.Barnier Says no Grounds to Restart Talks (4:50 p.m.)The European Commission’s Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, told Members of the European Parliament that there are insufficient grounds for reopening official negotiations, the Guardian reported.Barnier told leaders of the Parliament that Johnson hasn’t yet offered any legally and credible proposals for alternatives to the Northern Ireland backstop, the newspaper cited him as saying in a private briefing.Another Day, Another Court Challenge (4 p.m.)The legal challenges to Johnson are piling up. After the Scottish Court of Sessions ruled on Wednesday that his suspension of Parliament is unlawful, the prime minister faces a new challenge in the same court.Ecotricity Group Ltd. founder Dale Vince – a donor to the opposition Labour Party – is filing papers seeking an immediate order that the premier should comply with the law passed last week by Parliament, compelling him to seek a Brexit delay if he hasn’t secured a deal by Oct. 19.Vince has teamed up with Jolyon Maugham, the lawyer who spearheaded Wednesday’s case, and has been a legal thorn in the government’s side throughout the Brexit process. If the injunction is granted, and Johnson doesn’t write the letter seeking to extend negotiations, Vince said he’ll ask the court to sign and send the letter to the EU itself.Letwin: MPs Want Brexit Resolved Before Election (3:45 p.m.)In an interview with the Evening Standard, Oliver Letwin -- who was expelled from the parliamentary Conservative Party for rebelling over a no-deal Brexit -- said the majority of MPs want Brexit resolved before a general election, even if it means calling a referendum.“That means either you get a deal and get it in place, which is relatively quick, or you have a deal followed by a referendum, which is relatively long,” Letwin said. “Elections are decided on the basis of all sorts of concerns that people have about whom they want to have govern them. The Brexit issue is a different kind of issue.”Hungary Urges EU to Take Johnson Seriously (1 p.m.)Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said the European Union must take Boris Johnson seriously, telling Bloomberg several key member states want Brexit “to end, one way or another.” He left the door open to potentially vetoing any U.K. request for an extension.“We don’t want the EU institutions to approach this question in a condescending way, but as a fair negotiating partner,” Szijjarto said in an interview. “If the British decided that they want to leave, then the result should be the closest co-operation when they do so.”The possibility of Hungary choosing to veto an extension has been mooted since Parliament voted last week to force Johnson to apply to the EU for a delay until Jan. 31 if he is unable to secure a new divorce deal by Oct. 19. A veto from an EU nation could allow him to comply with the new law, while also ensuring the U.K. leaves the EU on Oct. 31 as he has promised.“If there is such a request, we’ll make our own decision,” Szijjarto said. “A few large Western European member states really want to put an end to this, and want it to be decided one way or another,” he added, “so probably it won’t be our decision that will be key.”Significant Gaps Remain on Brexit, Ireland Says (12:30 p.m.)Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney said the European Union would react positively to a change to the U.K.’s approach on Brexit as “significant gaps” remain between the two sides.“I think the EU will respond positively if it’s realistic, to try and find a middle ground position that can work for the U.K., but certainly meets the reasonable and honest demands of the EU and of Ireland,” Coveney told reporters in Cork on Thursday.Johnson ‘Hopeful’ of Deal With EU (11:20 a.m.)In his TV interview, Boris Johnson said he’s “very hopeful” of securing a deal with his European counterparts at an Oct. 17-18 summit in Brussels and that he’s “working very hard” to secure one.“We can see the rough area of landing space of how you could do it,” Johnson said. “It will be tough, it will be hard, but I think we can get there.”Crucially, Johnson said, if the U.K. can’t secure a deal, then “we will be ready to come out on Oct. 31, deal or no deal.”Johnson Wins in Belfast Court (11:15 a.m.)A Northern Irish court ruled that a no-deal Brexit wouldn’t violate the Good Friday peace accord, handing Johnson a legal victory in one of a string of cases related to his plans to leave the European Union.Judge Bernard McCloskey issued a ruling Thursday in Belfast. The case is set to be immediately appealed to a higher court in Northern Ireland before moving to the U.K. Supreme Court next week.Johnson Denies Lying to Queen (11:10 a.m.)Boris Johnson said he “absolutely” didn’t lie to the Queen when he asked her to suspend or prorogue Parliament, because the government needs a new session to put forward its agenda.“There’s a huge number of things that we want to get on with and do,” Johnson said in pooled television interview. “We need a Queen’s speech, we need to get on with these.”Commenting on the release of the Operation Yellowhammer document setting out projected outcomes of a no-deal Brexit, he stressed it’s “a worst-case scenario.”The document was “written by planners to make sure that we do everything we need to do to make sure that doesn’t happen,” he said. “If we have to come out on Oct. 31 with no deal, we will be ready. The ports will be ready and the farming communities will be ready.”EU Parliament Open to N. Ireland-Only Backstop (10:30 a.m.)The European Parliament has signaled the European Union’s willingness to change the contentious Irish border backstop in the Brexit deal to make it apply solely to Northern Ireland rather than the whole U.K.According to the text of a resolution that EU lawmakers will vote on next week seen by Bloomberg, the parliament “expresses its readiness to revert to a Northern Ireland-only backstop but stresses that it will not give consent to a withdrawal agreement without a backstop.”While the parliament doesn’t have any formal role in the negotiations with the U.K., it does have a full veto over the final deal. In the resolution, it says it won’t hold a vote until after the U.K. Parliament has approved the agreement.The EU has, in recent days, signaled that British negotiators seem to be moving toward accepting a Northern Ireland-only backstop. This would keep the province aligned to the EU’s customs union and single-market rules to prevent a hard border with the Irish Republic. In the current deal, rejected three times by British MPs, the whole U.K. would remain in a customs union.Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday denied he was ready to accept a Northern Ireland-only backstop, saying it wouldn’t work for the U.K.Rudd Wants All 21 Tory Rebels Readmitted (8:50 a.m.)Former Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd, who quit Johnson’s government and the Parliamentary Conservative Party at the weekend, said she would wait to see how the 21 Tory MPs expelled from the party last week are treated before deciding if she would rejoin.Rudd was responding to reports that some of the rebels have been offered a way back into the party. She said she’d been struck at the effective organization of the group of MPs, who were expelled for voting for legislation to block a no-deal Brexit, and said they should all be allowed back.“The group needs to be considered as a whole to be brought back,” she told BBC Radio. “I will wait and see on what terms other people choose to stay out.”Rudd described the expulsion of the lawmakers as an “act of political vandalism” in her resignation letter and said on Thursday that their vote against the government was no more “egregious” than the repeated votes of hard-line Brexiteers against Theresa May’s Brexit agreement.Wallace: Yellowhammer is a ‘Living Document’ (8:20 a.m.)Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said the government is working to mitigate the risks exposed in the Yellowhammer planning document released on Wednesday, and will publish an updated version showing progress soon.“We’re spending the money on doing lots of things to mitigate those assumptions,” Wallace told BBC Radio 4. “We should consider it as ‘this is what would happen if we didn’t do anything about it.”’Describing it as a “living document,” he said there would be further versions. “Our job as a government is to say to people what could happen and then say what we’re doing about it,” he said.Labour: Yellowhammer Shows ‘Catastrophe’ for U.K. (Earlier)Andy McDonald, transport spokesman for the opposition Labour Party, said the government’s Yellowhammer planning documents show that a no-deal split from the EU would be “a catastrophe for our country.”“This is more like emergency planning for a war or a natural disaster,” McDonald told BBC Radio 4 on Thursday. Boris Johnson is “driving the ship onto the rocks,” he said, “and he’ll have a lifeboat but working people will not.”People on low incomes would be “disproportionately affected” by higher food and fuel prices after a no-deal Brexit, the government warned in the paper.Grieve: Court Will Tell More on Parliament Suspension (Earlier)Former Attorney General Dominic Grieve, who led Parliament’s efforts to force the government to publish its decision-making process behind Boris Johnson‘s suspension of Parliament, expects more details to be revealed when the Court of Session in Scotland publishes its full judgment on Friday.The court ruled on Wednesday that Johnson had acted unlawfully when he advised the Queen to prorogue Parliament.No-Deal Brexit minister Michael Gove refused to release documents relating to the decision on Wednesday evening. Publishing communications between Johnson’s advisers would be “unreasonable and disproportionate,” he said in a letter to Grieve.“The government’s reasons for proroguing Parliament have turned out to be entirely bogus,” Grieve told BBC Radio 4. “It’s very serious when a government comes out and deliberately sets out to mislead the public about its motives.”Earlier:U.K. Warns of Protests, Chaotic Border Scenes in No-Deal BrexitBrexit Is Making English Civil War Comparisons Hard to DismissU.K.’s Leadsom to Meet Businesses to Assess Brexit PreparednessYellowhammer Details Reveal Worst-Case Scenario: Brexit Bulletin\--With assistance from Ian Wishart, Zoltan Simon, Peter Flanagan and Dara Doyle.To contact the reporters on this story: Thomas Penny in London at [email protected];Alex Morales in London at [email protected];Marton Eder in Budapest at [email protected] contact the editors responsible for this story: Tim Ross at [email protected], Stuart Biggs, Thomas PennyFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
from Yahoo News - Latest News & Headlines
(Bloomberg) -- Follow @Brexit, sign up to our Brexit Bulletin, and tell us your Brexit story. Boris Johnson denied lying to the Queen over his suspension of Parliament after it was ruled unlawful by a Scottish court, just one of a series of recent political and legal setbacks to his “do or die” plan to leave the European Union on Oct. 31. EU negotiator Michel Barnier also warned there would be no point reopening formal talks, it was reported.But there was some respite from Belfast, where a court ruled on Thursday that leaving the EU without a divorce agreement, which Johnson has not ruled out doing, wouldn’t violate the peace accord in Northern Ireland. In Hungary, Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto urged the bloc to take Johnson more seriously.Key Developments:Johnson denied lying to the Queen over Parliament suspensionA Belfast court ruled that a no-deal Brexit would not break the Good Friday peace accordGovernment published no-deal Brexit planning documents late Wednesday ahead of Parliament-imposed deadline: U.K. Warns of Protests, Chaotic Border Scenes in No-Deal BrexitDefence Secretary Ben Wallace said the government is working to mitigate no-deal Brexit risksHungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto told Bloomberg he wants the EU to take Johnson more seriouslySpeaker Bercow Calls for U.K. Constitution (20:22 p.m)John Bercow, who has been a thorn in the side of the government as Speaker of the House of Commons, suggested he would allow MPs to use parliamentary proceedings to ensure Prime Minister Boris Johnson upholds the anti-no deal law passed last week by MPs.Speaking publicly for the first time since announcing he’d step down Oct. 31, Bercow also said the U.K. might need a U.S.-style constitution to prevent future governments seeking to override laws passed by Parliament.A “Parliamentary Powers Act might be introduced to entrench the authority of the House of Commons and ensure that the rule of law is never distorted or perverted by executive malpractice,” he said at the annual Bingham Lecture.Barnier Says no Grounds to Restart Talks (4:50 p.m.)The European Commission’s Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, told Members of the European Parliament that there are insufficient grounds for reopening official negotiations, the Guardian reported.Barnier told leaders of the Parliament that Johnson hasn’t yet offered any legally and credible proposals for alternatives to the Northern Ireland backstop, the newspaper cited him as saying in a private briefing.Another Day, Another Court Challenge (4 p.m.)The legal challenges to Johnson are piling up. After the Scottish Court of Sessions ruled on Wednesday that his suspension of Parliament is unlawful, the prime minister faces a new challenge in the same court.Ecotricity Group Ltd. founder Dale Vince – a donor to the opposition Labour Party – is filing papers seeking an immediate order that the premier should comply with the law passed last week by Parliament, compelling him to seek a Brexit delay if he hasn’t secured a deal by Oct. 19.Vince has teamed up with Jolyon Maugham, the lawyer who spearheaded Wednesday’s case, and has been a legal thorn in the government’s side throughout the Brexit process. If the injunction is granted, and Johnson doesn’t write the letter seeking to extend negotiations, Vince said he’ll ask the court to sign and send the letter to the EU itself.Letwin: MPs Want Brexit Resolved Before Election (3:45 p.m.)In an interview with the Evening Standard, Oliver Letwin -- who was expelled from the parliamentary Conservative Party for rebelling over a no-deal Brexit -- said the majority of MPs want Brexit resolved before a general election, even if it means calling a referendum.“That means either you get a deal and get it in place, which is relatively quick, or you have a deal followed by a referendum, which is relatively long,” Letwin said. “Elections are decided on the basis of all sorts of concerns that people have about whom they want to have govern them. The Brexit issue is a different kind of issue.”Hungary Urges EU to Take Johnson Seriously (1 p.m.)Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said the European Union must take Boris Johnson seriously, telling Bloomberg several key member states want Brexit “to end, one way or another.” He left the door open to potentially vetoing any U.K. request for an extension.“We don’t want the EU institutions to approach this question in a condescending way, but as a fair negotiating partner,” Szijjarto said in an interview. “If the British decided that they want to leave, then the result should be the closest co-operation when they do so.”The possibility of Hungary choosing to veto an extension has been mooted since Parliament voted last week to force Johnson to apply to the EU for a delay until Jan. 31 if he is unable to secure a new divorce deal by Oct. 19. A veto from an EU nation could allow him to comply with the new law, while also ensuring the U.K. leaves the EU on Oct. 31 as he has promised.“If there is such a request, we’ll make our own decision,” Szijjarto said. “A few large Western European member states really want to put an end to this, and want it to be decided one way or another,” he added, “so probably it won’t be our decision that will be key.”Significant Gaps Remain on Brexit, Ireland Says (12:30 p.m.)Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney said the European Union would react positively to a change to the U.K.’s approach on Brexit as “significant gaps” remain between the two sides.“I think the EU will respond positively if it’s realistic, to try and find a middle ground position that can work for the U.K., but certainly meets the reasonable and honest demands of the EU and of Ireland,” Coveney told reporters in Cork on Thursday.Johnson ‘Hopeful’ of Deal With EU (11:20 a.m.)In his TV interview, Boris Johnson said he’s “very hopeful” of securing a deal with his European counterparts at an Oct. 17-18 summit in Brussels and that he’s “working very hard” to secure one.“We can see the rough area of landing space of how you could do it,” Johnson said. “It will be tough, it will be hard, but I think we can get there.”Crucially, Johnson said, if the U.K. can’t secure a deal, then “we will be ready to come out on Oct. 31, deal or no deal.”Johnson Wins in Belfast Court (11:15 a.m.)A Northern Irish court ruled that a no-deal Brexit wouldn’t violate the Good Friday peace accord, handing Johnson a legal victory in one of a string of cases related to his plans to leave the European Union.Judge Bernard McCloskey issued a ruling Thursday in Belfast. The case is set to be immediately appealed to a higher court in Northern Ireland before moving to the U.K. Supreme Court next week.Johnson Denies Lying to Queen (11:10 a.m.)Boris Johnson said he “absolutely” didn’t lie to the Queen when he asked her to suspend or prorogue Parliament, because the government needs a new session to put forward its agenda.“There’s a huge number of things that we want to get on with and do,” Johnson said in pooled television interview. “We need a Queen’s speech, we need to get on with these.”Commenting on the release of the Operation Yellowhammer document setting out projected outcomes of a no-deal Brexit, he stressed it’s “a worst-case scenario.”The document was “written by planners to make sure that we do everything we need to do to make sure that doesn’t happen,” he said. “If we have to come out on Oct. 31 with no deal, we will be ready. The ports will be ready and the farming communities will be ready.”EU Parliament Open to N. Ireland-Only Backstop (10:30 a.m.)The European Parliament has signaled the European Union’s willingness to change the contentious Irish border backstop in the Brexit deal to make it apply solely to Northern Ireland rather than the whole U.K.According to the text of a resolution that EU lawmakers will vote on next week seen by Bloomberg, the parliament “expresses its readiness to revert to a Northern Ireland-only backstop but stresses that it will not give consent to a withdrawal agreement without a backstop.”While the parliament doesn’t have any formal role in the negotiations with the U.K., it does have a full veto over the final deal. In the resolution, it says it won’t hold a vote until after the U.K. Parliament has approved the agreement.The EU has, in recent days, signaled that British negotiators seem to be moving toward accepting a Northern Ireland-only backstop. This would keep the province aligned to the EU’s customs union and single-market rules to prevent a hard border with the Irish Republic. In the current deal, rejected three times by British MPs, the whole U.K. would remain in a customs union.Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday denied he was ready to accept a Northern Ireland-only backstop, saying it wouldn’t work for the U.K.Rudd Wants All 21 Tory Rebels Readmitted (8:50 a.m.)Former Work and Pensions Secretary Amber Rudd, who quit Johnson’s government and the Parliamentary Conservative Party at the weekend, said she would wait to see how the 21 Tory MPs expelled from the party last week are treated before deciding if she would rejoin.Rudd was responding to reports that some of the rebels have been offered a way back into the party. She said she’d been struck at the effective organization of the group of MPs, who were expelled for voting for legislation to block a no-deal Brexit, and said they should all be allowed back.“The group needs to be considered as a whole to be brought back,” she told BBC Radio. “I will wait and see on what terms other people choose to stay out.”Rudd described the expulsion of the lawmakers as an “act of political vandalism” in her resignation letter and said on Thursday that their vote against the government was no more “egregious” than the repeated votes of hard-line Brexiteers against Theresa May’s Brexit agreement.Wallace: Yellowhammer is a ‘Living Document’ (8:20 a.m.)Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said the government is working to mitigate the risks exposed in the Yellowhammer planning document released on Wednesday, and will publish an updated version showing progress soon.“We’re spending the money on doing lots of things to mitigate those assumptions,” Wallace told BBC Radio 4. “We should consider it as ‘this is what would happen if we didn’t do anything about it.”’Describing it as a “living document,” he said there would be further versions. “Our job as a government is to say to people what could happen and then say what we’re doing about it,” he said.Labour: Yellowhammer Shows ‘Catastrophe’ for U.K. (Earlier)Andy McDonald, transport spokesman for the opposition Labour Party, said the government’s Yellowhammer planning documents show that a no-deal split from the EU would be “a catastrophe for our country.”“This is more like emergency planning for a war or a natural disaster,” McDonald told BBC Radio 4 on Thursday. Boris Johnson is “driving the ship onto the rocks,” he said, “and he’ll have a lifeboat but working people will not.”People on low incomes would be “disproportionately affected” by higher food and fuel prices after a no-deal Brexit, the government warned in the paper.Grieve: Court Will Tell More on Parliament Suspension (Earlier)Former Attorney General Dominic Grieve, who led Parliament’s efforts to force the government to publish its decision-making process behind Boris Johnson‘s suspension of Parliament, expects more details to be revealed when the Court of Session in Scotland publishes its full judgment on Friday.The court ruled on Wednesday that Johnson had acted unlawfully when he advised the Queen to prorogue Parliament.No-Deal Brexit minister Michael Gove refused to release documents relating to the decision on Wednesday evening. Publishing communications between Johnson’s advisers would be “unreasonable and disproportionate,” he said in a letter to Grieve.“The government’s reasons for proroguing Parliament have turned out to be entirely bogus,” Grieve told BBC Radio 4. “It’s very serious when a government comes out and deliberately sets out to mislead the public about its motives.”Earlier:U.K. Warns of Protests, Chaotic Border Scenes in No-Deal BrexitBrexit Is Making English Civil War Comparisons Hard to DismissU.K.’s Leadsom to Meet Businesses to Assess Brexit PreparednessYellowhammer Details Reveal Worst-Case Scenario: Brexit Bulletin\--With assistance from Ian Wishart, Zoltan Simon, Peter Flanagan and Dara Doyle.To contact the reporters on this story: Thomas Penny in London at [email protected];Alex Morales in London at [email protected];Marton Eder in Budapest at [email protected] contact the editors responsible for this story: Tim Ross at [email protected], Stuart Biggs, Thomas PennyFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
September 12, 2019 at 08:46PM via IFTTT
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gyrlversion · 5 years
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Jacob Rees-Mogg says Mays deal is better than no Brexit
Jaco Rees-Mogg today signalled he could finally back the Prime Minister after admitting a ‘bad deal is better than staying in the EU’ – but up to 30 arch-Brexiteer Tories are still refusing to budge.   
Theresa May is expected to postpone the third Commons vote on her deal this week unless she can convince 75 MPs from the DUP, Tories and Labour to change their minds.
Jacob Rees-Mogg, who has repeatedly defied the PM, is softening and insisted Mrs May’s deal was better than staying in the EU for months or years, ‘however bad it is’. 
Mr Rees-Mogg told LBC: ‘I genuinely haven’t made up my mind. There is a hierarchy. No deal is better than Mrs May’s deal, but Mrs May’s deal is better than not leaving. I don’t think we will get another chance to leave the European Union. Delay is denial. The thought that if you get two years for something better is hopelessly optimistic.’ 
But today more than 20 Brexiteers promised to oppose Theresa May’s Brexit deal to hold out for No Deal while Boris Johnson did not sign their letter but also urged MPs to vote it down claiming it gives the EU an ‘indefinite means of blackmail’ against the UK.
In a letter to the Telegraph the Tories including Lucy Allan MP (Con) Crispin Blunt said ‘No Deal will prove to be the precursor to a very good deal indeed. It is not our fault that we are confronted by two unacceptable choices – but it will be our fault if we cast a positive vote in favour of either for fear of the other.’
Jaco Rees-Mogg today signalled he could back the Prime Ministers after admitting a ‘bad deal is better than staying in the EU’
Mrs May faces an uphill battle to win a vote – if it happens – and needs to convince 75 MPs to change sides
Downing Street has said ministers will want to be sure there is a ‘realistic prospect’ of success before deciding to call a third ‘meaningful vote’ this week on Theresa May’s Brexit deal.
The Prime Minister’s official spokesman said that if the deal was passed by the Commons she would go to the EU summit in Brussels on Thursday to ask for a short ‘technical’ extension to the Article 50 withdrawal process.
Which Tory MPs have signalled they will vote against the deal AGAIN?
Boris Johnson 
Owen Paterson
Priti Patel 
John Redwood 
Adam Afriyie 
Lucy Allan 
Crispin Blunt
Peter Bone
Andrew Bridgen 
Richard Drax 
Mark Francoix
Marcus Fysj 
Chris Green
Adam Holloway 
Philip Hollobone 
Ranil Jayawardena 
Andrea Jenkyns
David Jones
Julian Lewis
Craig Mackinlay 
Sheryll Murray
Andrew Rosindell 
Ross Thomson 
Michael Tomlinson 
Anne-Marie Trevelyan 
  If there is no Commons vote for the deal, the spokesman said she would ask for a longer delay which would mean Britain holding elections to the European Parliament.
The spokesman said that if a vote was to be held before Mrs May goes to Brussels, the Government will have to table a motion by the end of business on Tuesday at the latest.
Mrs May has been scrambling for support for the deal – particularly from the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) – in the hope of bringing it back before Parliament ahead of an EU summit on Thursday.
But it is thought the Prime Minister could delay the crucial vote for another week unless she is confident of avoiding a third humiliating defeat on the package, which MPs rejected by 230 votes in January and 149 last week.
She has warned that if her deal is not approved, the UK will have to seek a lengthy extension to negotiations, potentially losing Brexit altogether.
Mr Rees-Mogg said he would wait to see what the DUP decided before finally making up his mind which way to vote.
However, he said that Brexit supporters would need to weigh up whether, if the deal was defeated again, it would actually lead to a no-deal break – as they would prefer – or whether it would see Britain trapped in the EU.
‘Mrs May’s deal, however bad it is, means that we are legally outside the European Union,’ he said.
‘We have got as close to leaving as we will ever get under these circumstances. If it is thwarted now, no-one is ever going to allow us another chance to have a vote.
‘The whole weight of British establishment opinion will prevent that ever happening again.’
He added: ‘As long as people think we can get to no deal, they will vote the deal down. That is my position.’
Theresa May is seen arriving at Downing Street this morning as her deal hangs in the balance and she could delay it. Boris Johnson dealt a heavy blow to her hopes of winning in the Commons after he refused to back it today
Earlier, former foreign secretary Boris Johnson called on Mrs May to postpone another vote on her deal, warning it would be ‘absurd’ to bring it back to the Commons without first securing change from Brussels.
Brexit: What happens next?  
What happened last week? 
MPs twice rejected Theresa May’s Brexit deal. They also voted against leaving with no deal, and now voted in favour of a delay. 
What will happen next?  
MPs have supported a delay, so May will have to request an extension to Article 50 from the EU.
Could Brexit be delayed? 
If other member states agree to it, Brexit will be postponed, but May has said that this should be for no longer than three months. 
If, however, MPs do not support her deal, she warned that the extension could be far longer. 
 Could Brexit be stopped? 
May has warned this is a possibility. While she will not revoke Article 50 herself, she has warned political chaos could see the Government replaced by Jeremy Corbyn or another pro-Remain administration.  
Will the Prime Minister face a motion of no confidence? 
It is possible. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has insisted he will only call another vote of no confidence if he has a chance of winning – but in January Mrs May precipitated one herself. 
Will May just resign after a second defeat?
Unlikely but not impossible. Defeat would be another monumental blow to the PM’s political authority. 
Will there be a general election? 
There are mounting calls for one. Tory MP Charles Walker said yesterday if the House could not pass the deal, the current Parliament probably needs to be replaced so a new Government can be formed to tackle Brexit.
One of the advantages of an election is it would be much quicker to organise and resolve than a second referendum.
Could there be a second referendum on Brexit? 
There are mounting demands for a new public vote – but probably not currently a majority in the Commons for it.
A new referendum would take at least six months to organise and run. This could be optimistic as there is no consensus over what the question might be. 
  He said that as it stood, the Northern Ireland backstop – under which the UK remains in a customs union until both sides agree a trade deal – gave the EU ‘an indefinite means of blackmail’.
‘Unless we have some change – and at present, in the immortal phrase, nothing has changed – it is hard to ask anyone who believes in Brexit to change their mind,’ he said.
Mrs May’s hopes of rallying Conservative MPs behind her were dealt a further blow by a letter to The Daily Telegraph from 23 Leave-backing backbenchers arguing for a no-deal exit.
”No deal’ will prove to be the precursor to a very good deal indeed,’ wrote the Tory MPs, including former ministers Owen Paterson, Sir John Redwood and David Jones.
‘Our moral course is clear: it is not our fault that we are confronted by two unacceptable choices, but it will be our fault if we cast a positive vote in favour of either for fear of the other.’
However, the Prime Minister received a boost from former chancellor Lord Lamont, who urged fellow Brexiteers to focus on the ‘prize’ of leaving the EU and back her deal.
Writing in the Daily Mail, he said that ‘history will not understand if it is Conservative MPs who prevent us claiming our self-government’.
Negotiations with the DUP were expected to continue on Monday, although Downing Street said a formal meeting has not been scheduled.
The 10 DUP MPs are viewed by Downing Street as pivotal, not just for the votes they provide but the influence of their stance on Conservative Eurosceptics.
DUP MLA Jim Wells told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘We still have a huge difficulty with the backstop, because we see it as a waiting room for constitutional change.
‘We could find ourselves locked in there forever in effect, and once you get in you can never get out. We have to have a mechanism where we can escape the backstop.’
Mr Wells said a proposed ‘gentlemen’s agreement’ that any changes to Northern Ireland’s relationship with the EU would be mirrored by the rest of the UK might prove ‘unenforceable’.
And he denied that the DUP was taking part in a financial ‘auction’ for its support, insisting that ‘money is not being discussed on the table at the moment’.
Mr Wells estimated that as many as 30 Tory MPs will never vote for Mrs May’s deal, meaning that a third defeat was ‘inevitable’ with or without DUP support.
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sheminecrafts · 6 years
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Facebook rolls out checks for UK political ads
Facebook has announced it rolled out a system of checks on political ads run on its platform in the UK which requires advertisers to verify their identity and location to try to make it harder for foreign actors to meddle in domestic elections and referenda.
This follows similar rollouts of political ad transparency tools in the U.S. and Brazil.
From today, Facebook said it will record and display information about who paid for political ads to run on its platform in the UK within an Ad library — including retaining the ad itself — for “up to seven years”.
It will also badge these ads with a “Paid for by” disclaimer.
So had the company had this system up and running during the UK’s 2016 Brexit referendum, the Canadian data firm AIQ would, presumably, have had to pass its political advertiser verification process, and display “Paid for by” Vote Leave/BeLeave/Veterans for Britain badges on scores of pro-Brexit ads… If it didn’t just get barred for not being based in the UK in the first place.
(How extensively Facebook will be checking up on political advertisers’ ‘paid for by’ claims is one pertinent question to ask, and we have asked; otherwise this looks mostly like a badging exercise — which requires other doing the work to check/police claims… ).
Ditto during Ireland’s referendum earlier this year, on overturning a constitutional ban on abortion. In that instance Facebook decided to suspend all foreign-funded ads a few weeks before the vote because it did not yet have a political ad check system in place.
In the UK, the new requirement on political advertisers applies to “all advertisers wanting to run ads in the UK that reference political figures, political parties, elections, legislation before Parliament and past referenda that are the subject of national debate”, Facebook said.
“We see this as an important part of ensuring electoral integrity and helping people understand who they are engaging with,” said Richard Allan, VP of global public policy, and Rob Leathern, director of product management in a blog post announcing the launch. “We recognise that this is going to be a significant change for people who use our service to publish this type of ad. While the vast majority of ads on Facebook are run by legitimate organisations, we know that there are bad actors that try to misuse our platform. By having people verify who they are, we believe it will help prevent abuse.”
UK lawmakers have been highly critical of Facebook’s response to their attempts to investigate how social media ads were used and mis-used during the UK’s 2016 EU referendum.
This summer the parliamentary committee that has been investigating online disinformation called for a levy on social media to ‘defend democracy’. And earlier this year Facebook told the same committee it would roll out an authentication process for political advertisers in time for the UK’s local elections, in May 2019 — with CTO Mike Schroepfer telling MPs the company believes “radical transparency” can fix concern about the societal and democratic impacts of divisive social media ads.
In response, MPs quizzed Schroepfer on whether Facebook’s political ad transparency tool would be so radical as to include “targeting data” in the disclosures — i.e. “will I understand not just who the advertiser was and what other adverts they’d run but why they’d chose to advertise to me”.
The Facebook CTO’s response in April suggested the company did not plan to go that far. And, indeed, Facebook says now that the details it will disclose in the Ad library are only: “A range of the ad’s budget and number of people reached, and the other ads that Page is running.”
So not, seemingly, any actual targeting data: Aka the specific reasons a particular user is seeing a particular political ad. Which could help Facebook users contextualize political ads and be wiser to attempts to manipulate their opinion, as well as generally better understand how their personal information is being used (and potentially misused).
It’s true that Facebook does already provide some data about broad-brush targeting, with a per-ad option users can click to get a response on ‘why am I seeing this?’. But the targeting categories the company serves via this feature are so broad and lacking in comprehensiveness as to be selectively uninformative and thus pretty useless at very best.
Indeed, the results have even been accused of being misleading.
If Facebook was required by law to rip away its adtech modesty curtain entirely there’s a risk, for its business model, that users would get horribly creeped out by the full bore view of the lidless eye in the digital wall spying on them to target ads.
So while Schroepfer teased UK MPs with “radical transparency” the reality, six months on, is something a whole lot more dilute and incremental.
Facebook itself appears to be conceding as much, and trying to manage expectations, when it writes: “We believe that increased transparency will lead to increased accountability and responsibility over time — not just for Facebook but for advertisers as well.”
So it remains to be seen whether UK lawmakers will be satisfied with this tidbit. Or call for blood, as they set themselves to the task of regulating social media.
The other issue is how comprehensively (or otherwise) Facebook will police its own political ad checks.
Its operational historical is replete with content identification and moderation failures. Which doesn’t exactly bode well for the company to robustly control malicious attempts to skew public opinion — especially when the advertisers in question are simultaneously trying to pour money into its coffers.
So it also remains to be seen how many divisive political ads will simply slip under its radar — i.e. via the non-political, non-verified standard route, and get distributed anyway. Not least because there is also the trickiness of identifying a political ad (vs a non-political ad).
Malicious political ads paid for by Kremlin-backed entities didn’t always look like malicious political ads. Some of the propaganda Russia was spreading via Facebook in the US targeted at voters included seemingly entirely apolitical and benign messages aimed at boosting support among certain identity-based groups, for example. And those sorts of ads would not appear to fit Facebook’s definition of a ‘political ad’ here.
In general, the company also looks to be relying on everyone else to do the grunt-work policing for it — as per its usual playbook.
“If you see an ad which you believe has political content and isn’t labeled, please report it by tapping the three dots at the top right-hand corner of the ad,” it writes. “We will review the ad, and if it falls under our political advertising policy, we’ll take it down and add it to the Ad Library. The advertiser will then be prevented from running ads related to politics until they complete our authorisation process and we’ll follow up to let you know what happened to the ad you reported.”
from iraidajzsmmwtv https://ift.tt/2IZJCvD via IFTTT
0 notes
theinvinciblenoob · 6 years
Link
Facebook has announced it rolled out a system of checks on political ads run on its platform in the UK which requires advertisers to verify their identity and location to try to make it harder for foreign actors to meddle in domestic elections and referenda.
This follows similar rollouts of political ad transparency tools in the U.S. and Brazil.
From today, Facebook said it will record and display information about who paid for political ads to run on its platform in the UK within an Ad library — including retaining the ad itself — for “up to seven years”.
It will also badge these ads with a “Paid for by” disclaimer.
So had the company had this system up and running during the UK’s 2016 Brexit referendum, the Canadian data firm AIQ would, presumably, have had to pass its political advertiser verification process, and display “Paid for by” Vote Leave/BeLeave/Veterans for Britain badges on scores of pro-Brexit ads… If it didn’t just get barred for not being based in the UK in the first place.
(How extensively Facebook will be checking up on political advertisers’ ‘paid for by’ claims is one pertinent question to ask, and we have asked; otherwise this looks mostly like a badging exercise — which requires other doing the work to check/police claims… ).
Ditto during Ireland’s referendum earlier this year, on overturning a constitutional ban on abortion. In that instance Facebook decided to suspend all foreign-funded ads a few weeks before the vote because it did not yet have a political ad check system in place.
In the UK, the new requirement on political advertisers applies to “all advertisers wanting to run ads in the UK that reference political figures, political parties, elections, legislation before Parliament and past referenda that are the subject of national debate”, Facebook said.
“We see this as an important part of ensuring electoral integrity and helping people understand who they are engaging with,” said Richard Allan, VP of global public policy, and Rob Leathern, director of product management in a blog post announcing the launch. “We recognise that this is going to be a significant change for people who use our service to publish this type of ad. While the vast majority of ads on Facebook are run by legitimate organisations, we know that there are bad actors that try to misuse our platform. By having people verify who they are, we believe it will help prevent abuse.”
UK lawmakers have been highly critical of Facebook’s response to their attempts to investigate how social media ads were used and mis-used during the UK’s 2016 EU referendum.
This summer the parliamentary committee that has been investigating online disinformation called for a levy on social media to ‘defend democracy’. And earlier this year Facebook told the same committee it would roll out an authentication process for political advertisers in time for the UK’s local elections, in May 2019 — with CTO Mike Schroepfer telling MPs the company believes “radical transparency” can fix concern about the societal and democratic impacts of divisive social media ads.
In response, MPs quizzed Schroepfer on whether Facebook’s political ad transparency tool would be so radical as to include “targeting data” in the disclosures — i.e. “will I understand not just who the advertiser was and what other adverts they’d run but why they’d chose to advertise to me”.
The Facebook CTO’s response in April suggested the company did not plan to go that far. And, indeed, Facebook says now that the details it will disclose in the Ad library are only: “A range of the ad’s budget and number of people reached, and the other ads that Page is running.”
So not, seemingly, any actual targeting data: Aka the specific reasons a particular user is seeing a particular political ad. Which could help Facebook users contextualize political ads and be wiser to attempts to manipulate their opinion, as well as generally better understand how their personal information is being used (and potentially misused).
It’s true that Facebook does already provide some data about broad-brush targeting, with a per-ad option users can click to get a response on ‘why am I seeing this?’. But the targeting categories the company serves via this feature are so broad and lacking in comprehensiveness as to be selectively uninformative and thus pretty useless at very best.
Indeed, the results have even been accused of being misleading.
If Facebook was required by law to rip away its adtech modesty curtain entirely there’s a risk, for its business model, that users would get horribly creeped out by the full bore view of the lidless eye in the digital wall spying on them to target ads.
So while Schroepfer teased UK MPs with “radical transparency” the reality, six months on, is something a whole lot more dilute and incremental.
Facebook itself appears to be conceding as much, and trying to manage expectations, when it writes: “We believe that increased transparency will lead to increased accountability and responsibility over time — not just for Facebook but for advertisers as well.”
So it remains to be seen whether UK lawmakers will be satisfied with this tidbit. Or call for blood, as they set themselves to the task of regulating social media.
The other issue is how comprehensively (or otherwise) Facebook will police its own political ad checks.
Its operational historical is replete with content identification and moderation failures. Which doesn’t exactly bode well for the company to robustly control malicious attempts to skew public opinion — especially when the advertisers in question are simultaneously trying to pour money into its coffers.
So it also remains to be seen how many divisive political ads will simply slip under its radar — i.e. via the non-political, non-verified standard route, and get distributed anyway. Not least because there is also the trickiness of identifying a political ad (vs a non-political ad).
Malicious political ads paid for by Kremlin-backed entities didn’t always look like malicious political ads. Some of the propaganda Russia was spreading via Facebook in the US targeted at voters included seemingly entirely apolitical and benign messages aimed at boosting support among certain identity-based groups, for example. And those sorts of ads would not appear to fit Facebook’s definition of a ‘political ad’ here.
In general, the company also looks to be relying on everyone else to do the grunt-work policing for it — as per its usual playbook.
“If you see an ad which you believe has political content and isn’t labeled, please report it by tapping the three dots at the top right-hand corner of the ad,” it writes. “We will review the ad, and if it falls under our political advertising policy, we’ll take it down and add it to the Ad Library. The advertiser will then be prevented from running ads related to politics until they complete our authorisation process and we’ll follow up to let you know what happened to the ad you reported.”
via TechCrunch
0 notes
fmservers · 6 years
Text
Facebook rolls out checks for UK political ads
Facebook has announced it rolled out a system of checks on political ads run on its platform in the UK which requires advertisers to verify their identity and location to try to make it harder for foreign actors to meddle in domestic elections and referenda.
This follows similar rollouts of political ad transparency tools in the U.S. and Brazil.
From today, Facebook said it will record and display information about who paid for political ads to run on its platform in the UK within an Ad library — including retaining the ad itself — for “up to seven years”.
It will also badge these ads with a “Paid for by” disclaimer.
So had the company had this system up and running during the UK’s 2016 Brexit referendum, the Canadian data firm AIQ would, presumably, have had to pass its political advertiser verification process, and display “Paid for by” Vote Leave/BeLeave/Veterans for Britain badges on scores of pro-Brexit ads… If it didn’t just get barred for not being based in the UK in the first place.
(How extensively Facebook will be checking up on political advertisers’ ‘paid for by’ claims is one pertinent question to ask, and we have asked; otherwise this looks mostly like a badging exercise — which requires other doing the work to check/police claims… ).
Ditto during Ireland’s referendum earlier this year, on overturning a constitutional ban on abortion. In that instance Facebook decided to suspend all foreign-funded ads a few weeks before the vote because it did not yet have a political ad check system in place.
In the UK, the new requirement on political advertisers applies to “all advertisers wanting to run ads in the UK that reference political figures, political parties, elections, legislation before Parliament and past referenda that are the subject of national debate”, Facebook said.
“We see this as an important part of ensuring electoral integrity and helping people understand who they are engaging with,” said Richard Allan, VP of global public policy, and Rob Leathern, director of product management in a blog post announcing the launch. “We recognise that this is going to be a significant change for people who use our service to publish this type of ad. While the vast majority of ads on Facebook are run by legitimate organisations, we know that there are bad actors that try to misuse our platform. By having people verify who they are, we believe it will help prevent abuse.”
UK lawmakers have been highly critical of Facebook’s response to their attempts to investigate how social media ads were used and mis-used during the UK’s 2016 EU referendum.
This summer the parliamentary committee that has been investigating online disinformation called for a levy on social media to ‘defend democracy’. And earlier this year Facebook told the same committee it would roll out an authentication process for political advertisers in time for the UK’s local elections, in May 2019 — with CTO Mike Schroepfer telling MPs the company believes “radical transparency” can fix concern about the societal and democratic impacts of divisive social media ads.
In response, MPs quizzed Schroepfer on whether Facebook’s political ad transparency tool would be so radical as to include “targeting data” in the disclosures — i.e. “will I understand not just who the advertiser was and what other adverts they’d run but why they’d chose to advertise to me”.
The Facebook CTO’s response in April suggested the company did not plan to go that far. And, indeed, Facebook says now that the details it will disclose in the Ad library are only: “A range of the ad’s budget and number of people reached, and the other ads that Page is running.”
So not, seemingly, any actual targeting data: Aka the specific reasons a particular user is seeing a particular political ad. Which could help Facebook users contextualize political ads and be wiser to attempts to manipulate their opinion, as well as generally better understand how their personal information is being used (and potentially misused).
It’s true that Facebook does already provide some data about broad-brush targeting, with a per-ad option users can click to get a response on ‘why am I seeing this?’. But the targeting categories the company serves via this feature are so broad and lacking in comprehensiveness as to be selectively uninformative and thus pretty useless at very best.
Indeed, the results have even been accused of being misleading.
If Facebook was required by law to rip away its adtech modesty curtain entirely there’s a risk, for its business model, that users would get horribly creeped out by the full bore view of the lidless eye in the digital wall spying on them to target ads.
So while Schroepfer teased UK MPs with “radical transparency” the reality, six months on, is something a whole lot more dilute and incremental.
Facebook itself appears to be conceding as much, and trying to manage expectations, when it writes: “We believe that increased transparency will lead to increased accountability and responsibility over time — not just for Facebook but for advertisers as well.”
So it remains to be seen whether UK lawmakers will be satisfied with this tidbit. Or call for blood, as they set themselves to the task of regulating social media.
The other issue is how comprehensively (or otherwise) Facebook will police its own political ad checks.
Its operational historical is replete with content identification and moderation failures. Which doesn’t exactly bode well for the company to robustly control malicious attempts to skew public opinion — especially when the advertisers in question are simultaneously trying to pour money into its coffers.
So it also remains to be seen how many divisive political ads will simply slip under its radar — i.e. via the non-political, non-verified standard route, and get distributed anyway. Not least because there is also the trickiness of identifying a political ad (vs a non-political ad).
Malicious political ads paid for by Kremlin-backed entities didn’t always look like malicious political ads, for example.
Some of the propaganda Russia was spreading via Facebook in the US targeted at voters included seemingly entirely apolitical and benign messages aimed at boosting support among certain identity-based groups.
And those sorts of ‘political ads’ would not appear to fit Facebook’s definition here.
In general, the company also looks to be relying on everyone else to do the grunt-work policing for it — as per its usual playbook.
“If you see an ad which you believe has political content and isn’t labeled, please report it by tapping the three dots at the top right-hand corner of the ad,” it writes. “We will review the ad, and if it falls under our political advertising policy, we’ll take it down and add it to the Ad Library. The advertiser will then be prevented from running ads related to politics until they complete our authorisation process and we’ll follow up to let you know what happened to the ad you reported.”
Via Natasha Lomas https://techcrunch.com
0 notes
asylum-ireland-blog · 6 years
Text
Why men's voices are vital in Ireland's abortion referendum
New Post has been published on http://asylumireland.ml/why-mens-voices-are-vital-in-irelands-abortion-referendum/
Why men's voices are vital in Ireland's abortion referendum
Male allies in politics, the creative scene, and all walks of Irish life are stepping up alongside women to fight the system that oppresses them
‘Ireland Unfree’ is a Dazed mini-series telling the stories of Ireland’s bold fight for abortion rights, in the run up to the monumental referendum on the eighth amendment. Stirring protest, creativity, personal politics, and vital conversation, these Irish people push for autonomy. Here, we share their journey on Dazed.
The death of Savita Halappanavar in 2012 had an earth-swallowing feel to it. Denied of the basic healthcare required to ensure her survival, a constitutional amendment deemed her life – 31 years of complex human love, colour, and learning – of the same value as a 17-week-old fetus. She died in Ireland’s University Hospital Galway in Ireland due to the complications of a septic miscarriage. Her husband, Praveen, was dutifully left to channel her lost voice and carry her legacy on his already burdened shoulders.
On Friday May 25, Irish citizens will go to the polls to determine if the controversial Eighth Amendment of the Irish Constitution, which equates the right to life of the mother to the unborn, should be removed and repealed. The amendment, which criminalised abortion in almost all cases, was brought about as a result of a 1983 referendum, a time when the Catholic Church in Ireland was still very much an arm of government. Divorce was still illegal. Contraception was a taboo. Homosexuality remained outlawed.
The Irish man, of course, has no such lack of bodily freedom. Yet, about 70 per cent of Irish women who receive abortion care in the U.K. are married or with a partner. That is, conservatively speaking, thousands of fathers and partners that the Eighth Amendment has, too, bound to secrecy and shame.
Actor and author Emmet Kirwan – who last year created the beautiful spoken-word short film Heartbreak – views the redressing of Ireland’s wrongs broadly and disputes any sense of moral responsibility on individual men. “It’s not just a binary issue of males versus females: It’s an institutional issue,” he tells me. “Whether they be governmental, health, Church – all various arms of the state. There has been an institutionalised gender bias.”
youtube
On Irish streets, in local bars, on shop corners, through headlines painted across newspapers and hashtags proliferating via social media posts – there is a bitter political divisiveness that this debate has wrought, a clearly-defined chasm that calls other political ruptures of late to mind. No wonder there have been questions of sinister outside interference akin to the Cambridge Analytica scandal. In response, micro-campaigns have popped up all over social media – necessary conversation-sparking tools.
Ger Murphy, a 35-year-old events manager from South-Dublin, decided that Irish men needed to contribute to the dialogue around abortion rights. A conversation that, without question, needed their support. In late February, he founded the Men For Repeal Facebook page – ‘balls to the 8th’ is its light-hearted but defiant URL – after some troubling conversations about male engagement. Murphy sought to, at minimum, challenge the many outspoken men on the other side of the debate.
A large subset of the Irish male population, Murphy tells me over the phone, feel this is not their vote, that this a women’s issue that has no true bearing on their existence. Outside of the reality of crisis pregnancies which routinely affect women everyday, the idea that it’s a women-only issue is misguided, disingenuous, and, frankly, outdated. In truth, indifference largely translates as pro-choice.
“Whether they be governmental, health, Church – all various arms of the state. There has been an institutionalised gender bias” – Emmet Kirwan
“There is no problem in coming out and saying there is a male aspect to this issue. The vast amount of women would agree that the men in their lives are being affected as well,” Murphy says of the messaging. “The left trips over itself sometimes trying to be too PC about these things.”
Complacency is participating in neither debate nor democratic process, and it’s something to be concerned about. Kirwan, one of the most vocal Irish artists, explains there are no excuses for liberal-minded men eschewing their right to vote in the referendum: “The kind of passive, non-participation is essentially giving the vote over to the other side. This kind of idea that you can affect change by doing nothing; it’s a logical fallacy.”
Gordon Grehan of the Transgender Equality Network also tells me that repeal is “imperative to ensuring the rights of all people who can become pregnant, including trans men and non-binary people”. He adds: “As a trans organisation, we know the importance of ensuring self-determination, bodily integrity and physical autonomy.” As previously detailed in Brian O’Flynn’s report on the pro-choice campaign’s push for inclusivity, marginalised people like trans men who can get pregnant must be included in the conversation.
I’ve listened to women’s stories they deserve better. A No vote won’t stop abortions but continues the hypocrisy, shame and stigma. A Yes vote moves us to fairer, safer, more compassionate healthcare in Ireland. It’s our responsibility to put the hand out to our women. #men4yes
— Eamon Mc Gee (@EamonMcGee) April 24, 2018
So glad to see #men4yes emerge. I’m voting yes because, as a man, there is no medical procedure unavailable to me to protect my life or my health. I want the same for women.#TáDoMhná
— Aodhán Ó Ríordáin (@AodhanORiordain) April 24, 2018
Men For Repeal, along with Lads For Choice, have thrust the conversation of male engagement directly into the national discussion with Together For Yes, the campaign in favour of repeal. Through the #menforyes hashtag, men online have told their uniquely positioned and shared stories of loss, shame, and state-sanctioned oppression. One such story, which was posted by Men For Repeal’s Facebook page earlier this month, attributed to a man named Enda, illustrates the culture of shame embedded in Irish society.
Enda’s mother – empowered by his coming-out as gay – confided in him that she had an abortion pre-marriage, but for fear of judgement, had told just Enda and one of her sisters. “She’d felt sure that my grandfather would disown her for having sex outside of marriage and he died never knowing,” Enda writes. “I remember her saying she felt as if she was damaged goods with my own father, and had been terrified of telling him in case he no longer wanted to marry her.”
Elsewhere, Murphy alludes to meme culture (check the Ireland Simpsons Fans page for some of the best) and the use of internet spaces as a shareable access point for men, more so for those that are tentative or unsure about their place in a large, fast-moving campaign. Murphy’s resourcefulness also helped him develop a video series where male musicians cover female artists.
via Ireland Simpsons Fans
Creativity in the arts has propelled much of Ireland’s political movements, and the Repeal Project is a major example. The monochromatic sweatshirt – simple, inclusive, and unisex – is boldly inscribed with ‘Repeal’, now iconic in Irish millennial culture as a statement of aesthetic defiance. Repeal founder Anna Cosgrave recently guest edited local music and culture magazine District with the ‘Men’s Issue’ of its Dublin City Guide. The issue profiles male Irish allies across sport, music, film, and politics. Dance music magazine and online community Four Four has been passionately supportive of repealing the 8th on its pages.
Dublin’s vibrant young music scene sees lyrics that continue to reflect Ireland’s bewildering reality, from DIY punk to burgeoning R&B. Rising Dublin hip-hop act, KOJAQUE, recently rapped: “Sovereign state; they’d rather see my mother bleed out than build a clinic.” Elsewhere in the fashion world, designer Richard Malone has been an outspoken supporter for repeal, taking over Selfridges’ window display to write messages of support. In a powerful open letter for Vogue, Malone describes the “infuriating and unjust treatment of women” he has witnessed at home, the misinformed, Catholic-based education about sex and abortion he and his generation received, and the social and class structures that hinder women’s right to choose. “We have to use our vote to speak for ourselves and for the generation of young people coming directly behind us,” he writes, “who remain voiceless in the votes on their future.”
Toxic masculinity is seriously affecting Irish young men’s mental health, sexuality, and attitudes towards sex, the latter manifesting itself in one of the most widely reported and divisive public trials in Irish history: the rape case involving Ulster Rugby stars Paddy Jackson and Stuart Olding.
The voice of brusque social sensibility in Ireland today, Blindboy Boatclub of Irish comedy duo Rubberbandits is in equal parts an absurdist and a realist. He’s become an unofficial spokesperson for these disenfranchised young men, men who accounted for 80 per cent of Irish suicides last year. With one of the highest percentages of teen suicide in Europe, a silent epidemic pulses through Irish society.
youtube
During a revealing 2016 interview on Ireland’s The Late Late Show, Blindboy asserted that feminism is, in fact, a remedy for male-centric mental health issues and toxic masculinity, something that rings through with this referendum and long afterwards. “I have nothing to offer a woman, I have nothing,” he says of young men’s attitudes in Limerick, his native city. “How am I supposed to provide for a woman? The fact of the matter, is that that is a patriarchal attitude that is no longer relevant to us in the 21st century.” Blindboy has become a pivotal voice in the movement; utilising social media and his increasingly popular podcast to speak to men directly. His recent book, The Gospel According to Blindboy, delves deeply into such issues – he’s a leader, and a cultural reckoning force behind the pro-choice movement.
In a more recent filmed conversation with Cillian Murphy, Blindboy and the actor rallied for men to excercise their right to vote. “Men and women are both custodians of this society…we need to go out and support women,” Cillian Murphy said.
For too long, Irish women have been defined by their struggle. Those single mothers, those women who claim asylum under Ireland’s dehumanizing Direct Provision system, women of disparate colours and backgrounds, those with varying sexual identities and disabilities: it’s a vote for all women, and now isn’t a time that men can be complacent or indifferent. May 25 gifts Irish citizens – men equally – the opportunity to right one of our nation’s great wrongs. Though cis men will never know what it is like to carry a pregnancy, men are inextricably linked to this upcoming referendum. Men have a duty to engage with, support, and amplify female voices and stories so that an experience like Savita and Praveen’s is never relived again.
, http://www.dazeddigital.com/politics/article/40058/1/why-mens-voices-are-vital-in-irelands-abortion-referendum
0 notes
firedingo · 7 years
Text
Australia, Marriage Equality & Plebiscites
Confused about all this talk going on about Australia, Marriage Equality and Plebiscites? Yeah it can get confusing. So I figured I’d write up this post about the whole debacle, yes debacle is the correct word and explain it for people who aren’t sure.
Ok, so Australia has a marriage act formally called Marriage Act 1961. It covers lots of things, from what is a marriage, to who is eligible, what is the minimum age, legal requirements to be recognized etc.
The bit everyone is talking about right now is the eligibility based on gender. Currently the act defines marriage as:
Interpretation
marriage means the union of a man and a woman to the exclusion of all others, voluntarily entered into for life.
As you can guess, that means same-sex marriages are not legally recognized in Australia. They are seen as a de-facto relationship, essentially two people living together with a romantic relationship between them.
Depending on who’s poll you look at you get a different number for how many Australians support same-sex marriages, typically between 65-75% will cover most. Almost everyone is agreed that a majority support same-sex marriages. It is usually something like 15-25% are opposed. I’ve seen some report 5-10% are undecided also, though many just lump undecided with opposed.
I think it was after the courts ruled same-sex marriages as valid in the US that some chatter started but it was really after Ireland legalized same-sex marriages in late 2015 that talk began here. 6 months later Australia went to the polls for a double dissolution election. Basically we had to vote for a candidate for every seat in the upper house and every seat in the lower house. Half the upper house sits for twice as long as the rest unless a double dissolution election is called.
Going into this election, one of the many promises was to hold a plebiscite to determine if same-sex marriages should be legalized. The Labor Party promised to just legislate it if they were elected, the Greens Party promised to support any legislation introduced and to bring forward a bill ASAP, many many Upper House cross benchers, basically small parties and independents said they were happy to support any legislation brought forward but they had no specific stance. Some said they were opposed. That leaves the Government or the Liberal/National Party. They are the conservatives and typically opposed to this sort of thing.
The National Party are more conservative than moderate Liberals but less conservative than some far-right Liberals. Typically the guys who hold the power in the party are the far-right, Ultra-cons as I like to call them, conservative power brokers with a small splashing of National ministers.
You may have heard of Tony Abbott. He is considered to be one of the most embarrassing and worst polling prime ministers this country has seen for quite some time. His numbers would rival that of Trump which might tell you how unpopular he was. He rose to PM after a rather chaotic time in Australian politics, people I think wanted a change though it became quickly obvious no one liked Abbott and he was replaced by Malcolm Turnbull. Tony Abbott is one of the many far-right power brokers. Malcolm Turnbull is a moderate liberal.
The far-right probably have 65% of the votes in the party while the moderates have 45%, this is just my estimation and of course I could be wrong, however what we do know is that the far-right carry the majority, enough so that they can turn ANY moderate into a puppet for their interests.
As such that’s what happened to Malcolm Turnbull, to his credit he didn’t go full puppet but that is how we ended up with this plebiscite plan. Essentially the far-right for the most part can’t stand the idea of same-sex marriages and threatened to pull the rug from beneath Turnbull if he brought on a parliamentary vote, the opposition doing what it does best threatened to hound Turnbull right up to the election if he buried this idea of same-sex marriages so he decided to outsource it to the people of Australia, then he couldn’t be shot from either side and if anyone went against their constituents then the public would shoot them.
Mostly it was a good plan I think, it removed politics and lets the people it will impact have a say. Now before we jump any further forward, you’re probably wondering what a plebiscite is eh?
Well a plebiscite is defined as nothing in Australian law :P But it is modeled off a referendum which is defined in law:
“The proposed law for the alteration thereof must be passed by an absolute majority of each House of the Parliament, and not less than two nor more than six months after its passage through both Houses the proposed law shall be submitted in each State and Territory to the electors qualified to vote for the election of members of the House of Representatives.
But if either House passes any such proposed law by an absolute majority, and the other House rejects or fails to pass it, or passes it with any amendment to which the first-mentioned House will not agree, and if after an interval of three months the first-mentioned House in the same or the next session again passes the proposed law by an absolute majority with or without any amendment which has been made or agreed to by the other House, and such other House rejects or fails to pass it or passes it with any amendment to which the first-mentioned House will not agree, the Governor-General may submit the proposed law as last proposed by the first-mentioned House, and either with or without any amendments subsequently agreed to by both Houses, to the electors in each State and Territory qualified to vote for the election of the House of Representatives.
When a proposed law is submitted to the electors the vote shall be taken in such manner as the Parliament prescribes. But until the qualification of electors of members of the House of Representatives becomes uniform throughout the Commonwealth, only one-half the electors voting for and against the proposed law shall be counted in any State in which adult suffrage prevails.
And if in a majority of the States a majority of the electors voting approve the proposed law, and if a majority of all the electors voting also approve the proposed law, it shall be presented to the Governor-General for the Queen's assent.“
Essentially what that says is that to modify our constitution, a referendum must happen. First both houses must pass the bill proposed, then within 6 months and no earlier than 2 months it must be presented to the public to vote on. Then if a majority of voters in a majority of states approve of it then the bill proposed goes to the Governor-General or Queen’s representative for royal asset, after which it becomes law.
While a plebiscite is not quite THAT confusing, it still has some effort to it. The complexity of a referendum is partly why since 1901, only 8/19 proposed changed have actually passed. While there is no legal definition of a plebiscite, it draws from the referendum definition for how it should be modeled, essentially if politicians think the issue is big enough that they can’t just legislate it, they might ask the people what they think, legally the result is non-binding unlike a referendum.
The last time a plebiscite was called it was to discuss conscription in WW1 in 1916/17. It was pretty solidly defeated as you can imagine. Because our elections are run on weekends, if a referendum or plebiscite is to be held it is often done along side voting given the same people are likely to handle both the votes and the referendum/plebiscite results plus it is convenient for the public too.
So Australian election 2016 happens on July 2nd. We sit for hours watching and increasingly it starts looking like Turnbull might not make it across the line with the numbers, about halfway through the night it becomes clear the opposition aka The Labor Party definitely won’t have the numbers so the question becomes, will Turnbull just scrape over the line or will it be another minority government. I was praying for a minority government :P
Many days later we finally got the answer, a 1 seat majority for Turnbull. He had survived by a miracle. He had called for a double dissolution election after having trouble passing legislation because the crossbench kept blocking it. Before the election there had been 18 crossbenchers, before that the largest number had been 13, post election there was now 21 crossbenchers. So the hail mary Turnbull had wanted didn’t come.
None the less he pressed on and tried to pass the bill to hold a plebiscite post-election on same-sex marriages. With his one seat majority, he was able to pass it through the lower house but as soon as it hit the upper house it was knocked back by just about everybody except the LNP Senators, aka the government’s own party.
After that it died down until early 2017 when the media made a story out of reminding the public that February 11 would have been the day they could have voted on Same-Sex Marriage and by the following weekend it would have been legal. That generated talk for many more days but was quickly buried by other things going on like Government ministers buying properties on taxpayer funded trips, Centrelink, the welfare agency hitting people for false debts and a few other things.
All the while Tony Abbott god only knows how was returned to parliament, it would later turn out that Turnbull had to both bankroll his own party’s political campaign but also intervene in Abbott’s campaign to help him get elected. Anyway with Abbott back, he set to work on wrecking his own party. He called them “political interventions” and “advice”. His “advice” was basically to screw the people over. Turnbull to his credit ignored Abbott and proceeded to listen to the public while exercising caution on most occasions.
Despite this, the uninvited “interventions” by Abbott continued and happened usually when Turnbull wasn’t around, though more recently they have. At first they didn’t have much of an impact but as they continued more and more the polls began to tumble as the LNP became more unelectable. To be fair it wasn’t all Abbott’s doing but a large part was.
As Turnbull became increasingly unelectable talk about his failures and missed opportunities began, all the while the opposition is sitting cosy knowing that their leader while deeply unpopular is not actually hurting his party’s chance of being elected after coming within a hair’s breadth of winning the last election, all they need to do is avoid scandal and they’ll be over the line sooner than they realise. With media and the opposition talking about Turnbull he was increasingly feeling the pressure and the need to do something, anything, just so long as it was a win. Lucky for him electricity and boat people presented themselves as viable options, plus the banks.
There’s almost no one who doesn’t applaud the PM for taxing the banks given they each get about 10 billion in profits a year and there’s 4 big banks. Electricity is now the most expensive in the world here so bringing prices down is again another vote winner and of course good ol’ boat people is a common LNP go to. It’s always a vote winner to say you’re being tough on criminals and terrorists, you’re stopping the bad people coming here, stopping refugees coming here and sitting on the dole(welfare) and stopping them taking jobs from Australians.
One issue that still wouldn’t die was the issue of same-sex marriages and with ministers speaking behind closed doors and said comments being leaked to the media didn’t help the situation either. Soon enough that is all anyone could talk about. Now there actually are some ministers/senators in the LNP who actually just want the issue dealt with not because of politics but because it’s an unresolved issue.
At least 5 ministers have threatened to cross the floor, that is a process where by they actually vote against their own party, the term comes from the old days where ministers physically crossed the floor to indicate their vote position. Crossing the floor is considered politically risky because if you’re a lone person or end up on the losing side you can be punished by your own party. A similar thing happened in the NSW state parliament where several ministers from The National Party crossed the floor to vote against banning greyhound racing in the state, this lead the party to actually demote those people. In the end the backlash sent the Liberal AND Nationals leaders packing when a by-election produced a 70% swing AGAINST the Nationals.
On top of that crossing the floor indicates you don’t have confidence in your own party’s policy/position. Which when you have a 1 seat majority is not a good position to be in. It would basically indicate you lack the confidence of the majority of ministers and could destroy this government before it even makes it to the next election.
So caught in a three way split between the opposition leader Bill Shorten calling Turnbull weak and useless, Tony Abbott and other far-right members threatening to remove him from power and those 5 ministers threatening to cross the floor, Turnbull had no choice but to do something, anything to save the party.
Thus he called a special meeting of the Liberal Party and proposed to talk to them about the issue. They agreed to try to push for the same plebiscite again, of course all bets would be it would get rejected again. In the event that that happens then the party policy would be to move to a postal plebiscite.
Why a postal plebiscite and what makes it different from a plebiscite? Good Question. Well unlike a plebiscite which is modeled off a referendum and would involve the Australian Electoral Commission and thus requires a bill to pass parliament in order to happen, a postal plebiscite doesn’t.
Namely it gets around the issue the plebiscite has by:
Not involving the AEC directly, merely having them as “assistance”
Asking the Australian Bureau of Statistics to conduct the procedure
declaring it is a statistical “survey” and not technically a plebiscite
The unfortunate thing is the entire thing is so haphazardly cobbled together that it’s open to legal challenges which have been granted a hearing date by the High Court of Australia.
Challenge 1: Has be brought by independent MP Andrew Wilkie, Parents and Friends of Lesbians and Gays (PFLAG) and lesbian parent Felicity Marlowe. They’re arguing that the minister authorizing the funding for the vote which comes in at $122 million does not have the authorization because the vote is not “unforseen” and that the issue is not “an emergency”. Short of that they’re also challenging the validity of the law that grants the minister the power to authorize the funding. I’d say if they get it, they’ll win on the first reason.
Challenge 2: Was filed on behalf of the group Australian Marriage Equality and Greens Senator Janet Rice. They also claim that the funding law is invalid in its application for this vote. They also claim that the postal plebiscite is constitutionally invalid given the original plebiscite was rejected twice by the parliament and it now appears the govt is trying to subvert the parliament with this postal plebiscite.
Both are seeking injunctions to stop the ABS from performing any of its preparatory work given they’ve said papers will not go out until at least September 12. The High Court has agreed to a hearing on September 5/6.
I’d say both have a pretty good chance of knocking this postal plebiscite out. The one thing no one is arguing that might actually come back is that this is a plebiscite via proxy and that it is invalid because the appropriate legislation hasn’t passed the parliament. After all AEC staff are working on it, will handle the counting and all their standard procedures will apply to the whole thing, only thing different is that there’s no legal protections and that the ABS is the one in charge.
The other thing no one is talking about is the privacy implication. Because this vote will use the electoral roll to know who to mail papers to there’s a few problems.
Anyone who is listed as a silent voter aka their address isn’t listed might end up being skipped since the AEC can not share their address with the ABS
There is 0 thought about Overseas voters. At this stage they’re being told to contact the local consulate for further information
The ABS has said that they will link the results from this plebiscite to other data they have AND we know they sell anonymized data sets to buyers which is NOT good.
On top of this the AEC website has crashed under the load of people trying to enroll, update or verify their details and Australians only have 2 weeks to sort this out
It also doesn’t take into consideration Australians unable to update those details via electronic means and who’s local electoral division office is closed.
So as you can see it’s an absolute clusterfuck that will likely fall over in a month’s time when the High Court rules the postal plebiscite invalid. I’m quietly hoping the High Court also puts some limits on what the ABS can and cannot do.
And another reason why the ABS is the wrong agency to be doing this, to run a census, it takes them 5 years to prepare and the last one they ran was primarily online and their system collapsed under the weight of Australians trying to log in and an ISP who was incapable of activating DDoS protection from overseas connections. After crashing and 4 DDoS attacks the ABS themselves pulled the plug for about 3 days. The whole issue is now known as #CensusFail.
On top of all this, while a referendum is compulsory, this postal plebiscite will be voluntary and there are people calling for the public to boycott it. As I’ve said to others, if by some miracle this postal plebiscite goes ahead and it returns a No vote then the LNP/govt will use it as a reason to bury marriage equality for eons. The Labor Party has said they will legislate it within their first 100 days so only way marriage equality doesn’t happen is if the LNP can work out how to stay in power which won’t happen. As I said earlier, they’re unelectable thanks to lots of things.
And so that sums up the whole issue. Now you’re informed like every other Australian who’s paying attention :P
Seriously if you read to the end of this, Congrats on getting to the end of this politics heavy post. I find politics interesting because it allows me to make an informed choice, I know some people don’t. If nothing else, I would encourage people to work out what their stance is on an issue and why and then find the candidates that closest match your views and vote for them.
When it comes to politics, there is no right or wrong answer except the uninformed choice. If you think a conservative party is the best because you think they can manage a country economically better, then excellent. You are a semi-informed voter. Now go find the proof that confirms your belief.
You prefer voting for a socialist party who’s left leaning because you think they’re in touch with the voters, are progressive and have proven this in the past? Excellent. You are an informed voter because you know why you’re voting and you know the party has proven they keep their promises.
Have no idea who to vote for, don’t care and would just vote based on what someone else said? Congratulations! You’re like the 80% of voters who don’t actually think about who they’re voting for or why. Even if you’re mostly uninterested, I would suggest you at least know what your major parties stand for and try and vote accordingly. There is nothing worse than an uninformed vote. It really is the most valuable thing that someone can own!
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Brexit law dissertation topics
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Brexit law dissertation topics
  Brexit law dissertation topics
Since the exit of Britain from Europe in the year 2016. The Brexit Law dissertation topics has become a major area of study in UK, USA and Europe universities. students are requested by lectures to write on dissertation topics in brexit effects.
A dissertation topic is an important one when one is pursuing a postgraduate or an undergraduate course. The author of the dissertation should therefore be able to explain to the audience what the dissertation is about.
Content of a good brexit law dissertation topic
Basically a good dissertation is one that is well achieved within the given time limit and all the required information is well shown in clear and concise manner. It is therefore important that a good dissertation topic is chosen for it encourages students and also interests them in completing the dissertation within the given time capacity. Since a lot of time is taken in deciding the best topic one needs to get help from the places where they will be well guided. There is time needed to research on the dissertation and therefore as soon as you come up with your topic the better.
The Brexit
 When having to write a research questions on Brexit there are many areas one should focus on. This would include the knowledge of the Brexit term in details to know the advantages and the disadvantages that have been brought about by this famous British exit from the European Union. This is likely to cause so much challenges mostly economically in the United Kingdom. Brexit law dissertation topics exhibit much about what Brexit has caused in the legal procedures.
  There are certainly many issues involved but I would suggest that many of them are essentially economic or political as opposed to strictly legal. That doesn’t mean, of course, that they cannot come into play in an LLB dissertation, especially if you make it clear from the outset that you are adopting a socio-legal approach as opposed to other approaches. I would just keep a mistrustful eye on being drawn to far towards questions where the answer is ultimately political/economic as opposed to legal.
Research on the Brexit law
A substantial number of researchers have been writing and blogging about countless characteristics of Brexit. They have  focused on UK Constitutional Law – the role of referendum within the UK’s constitutional provisions, Parliamentary Dominance and prerogative Supremacy. This is to trigger Article 50, the degree of powers of the entrusted organizations, especially Scotland and Northern Ireland. If those issues interest you then I certainly think there is a good dissertation to be written around them using the EU referendum as the lens complete which they can be surveyed. A very simple research question might be along the lines of: ‘Is the use of a referendum to decide on major constitutional change well-suited with the principle of Parliamentary Sovereignty?
The UK views on the Brexit Law
Brexit is a term that refers to the Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union. This would cause a major economic downfall in the United Kingdom. When this happens it is likely to bring about immediate challenges for the businesses for example the free movement of goods, services and employee’s .This withdrawal is bound to happen between now and 2019 since European Union and the United Kingdom are seeking to negotiate the terms of exit and future relationships especially in trade.
How to write a Brexit law dissertation
When writing a dissertation topic about Brexit there are the advantages that come with it. The topic is relevant having a look at what Brexit has already had on the economy and the future as well. The necessary data on Brexit thesis materials are still out in the open, easily accessible and current news. Finally all the events around Brexit are continuously evolving and make way for future research procedures. Brexit research questions are among the scholar would need to go through to get it all clear.
Here are some of the relevant topics one could choose when doing a Brexit law dissertation topics.
Examples of Brexit Law dissertation topics
How the financial service sector in the United Kingdom get affected by Brexit
The impact of Brexit on capital markets, foreign exchange and the equity markets.
How businesses have been affected and will be affected by Brexit in the UK.
Will UK growth be affected Britain’s exit from European Union?
Will Brexit reduce the immigration rate without affecting the UK growth and trade visions?
What impact is Brexit likely to have on the world and generally UK politically?
Is European Union likely to break-up after the exit of Britain?
Will the inflow of migrants be curbed by Brexit?
Referendum is the best form of direct democracy, it requires also citizens to decide on complex issues .Does Brexit vote show the limitations of a referendum?
Will Brexit bring on an end of Britain?
Brexit and the social structure of certainty.
Will Brexit be damaging to UK economy?
Why is article 50 of the Brexit Law so ambiguous? What does it do and why was it added?
Could it be possible for France to exit European Union? What would be the alarms for France from a legal point of view?
Does the law provide for situations for the Scottish Executive to launch the second referendum for it to be independent from United Kingdom?
How a third century Roman soldier Carausius was behind the first Brexit.
Solidarity was a founding principle of European unity
Good Brexit deal that Britain can secure and also a bargaining strategy.
How many tax treaties to be renegotiated as a result of Brexit?
More topics on Brexit Law dissertations
Trade deals that United Kingdom has signed in the last ten years and how long each took to conclude and the average for each.
How many laws will be changed by Great Repeal Act and how much time will be given to parliament to discuss it?
What value of tariffs is now collected on United Kingdom imports and which countries give rise to top ten payments?
How many European nationals work in United Kingdom universities and how many are planned for the coming years?
Expected impact of United Kingdom residents forced to return to live in this country from United Kingdom and European Union housing shortage.
Additional border staff that will be need after Brexit, how much it will cost and how much budget will be cut to pay for this?
How much will it take to manage multiple trade deals and tariffs cost to businesses?
What will be done to maintain the relationships of Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and what will be done to maintain them in the European Union?
How much a visa for a UK person cost while visiting Europe after Brexit.
Brexit as a moral ethical research and its effect on the UK.
By what means much will the Brexit sections and those staff tied up in Brexit in other departments cost between now and 2020, split down by year?
How much will it cost to create United Kingdom regulatory agencies to replace all those we have previously relied on in the European Union?
How many new trade deals will UK need with Brexit?
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May on course to cancel third vote and agree a lengthy delay to Brexit
Theresa May could now shelve the third vote on her deal and make her next move asking the EU for a Brexit extension as her own MPs including Boris Johnson refused to back her.
Mrs May’s final pitch to Tory Brexiteers backfired yesterday after saying her opponents are unpatriotic if they do not back her Brussels divorce but warned them: ‘We will not leave the EU for many months, if ever’. 
The Prime Minister is said to be willing to call off a third vote on her deal if she ‘had no chance of winning’ and crank up the pressure on her MPs by holding it just days before Britain is due to leave on March 29. 
Boris Johnson last night urged MPs to vote down Mrs May’s deal for a third time if it is put to a vote this week and warned in his Daily Telegraph column that it gives the EU an ‘indefinite means of blackmail’ against the UK. 
Today crisis talks with the DUP continue and if the Northern Irish party backs Mrs May’s deal a number of Eurosceptic Tories could follow – but a senior ERG source predicts that even with the DUP on board, the PM would lose by 30 to 40 votes.
David Davis says if the DUP moves then she has a ’50-50 chance’ of winning but said still may not vote for the deal while former ministers Priti Patel and Dominic Raab are expected to rebel even if Mrs May manages to win over Arlene Foster’s party. 
But Brexit ringleader Jacob Rees-Mogg is softening as he insisted Mrs Mays’s deal was better than staying in for months or years, ‘however bad it is’.  
Mr Rees-Mogg told LBC: ‘I genuinely haven’t made up my mind. There is a hierarchy. No deal is better than Mrs May’s deal, but Mrs May’s deal is better than not leaving. I don’t think we will get another chance to leave the European Union. ‘Delay is denial. The thought that if you get two years for something better is hopelessly optimistic.’ 
Mrs May could now tee-up a longer delay to Brexit at an EU summit on Thursday ensuring Tories who vote down her deal must also accept the blame for a lengthy delay to leaving the EU.
Theresa May leaves church with her husband Philip yesterday as her deal hangs in the balance and she could delay it. Boris Johnson dealt a heavy blow to her hopes of winning in the Commons after he refused to back it today
Mrs May faces an uphill battle to win a vote – if it happens – and needs to convince 75 MPs to change sides
In a direct attack on Mrs May, Boris Johnson paints her and her team as collaborators in the ‘final sabotage of Brexit’ just 11 days before Britain is due to leave the EU. 
Brexit: What happens next?  
What happened last week? 
MPs twice rejected Theresa May’s Brexit deal. They also voted against leaving with no deal, and now voted in favour of a delay. 
What will happen next?  
MPs have supported a delay, so May will have to request an extension to Article 50 from the EU.
Could Brexit be delayed? 
If other member states agree to it, Brexit will be postponed, but May has said that this should be for no longer than three months. 
If, however, MPs do not support her deal, she warned that the extension could be far longer. 
 Could Brexit be stopped? 
May has warned this is a possibility. While she will not revoke Article 50 herself, she has warned political chaos could see the Government replaced by Jeremy Corbyn or another pro-Remain administration.  
Will the Prime Minister face a motion of no confidence? 
It is possible. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has insisted he will only call another vote of no confidence if he has a chance of winning – but in January Mrs May precipitated one herself. 
Will May just resign after a second defeat?
Unlikely but not impossible. Defeat would be another monumental blow to the PM’s political authority. 
Will there be a general election? 
There are mounting calls for one. Tory MP Charles Walker said yesterday if the House could not pass the deal, the current Parliament probably needs to be replaced so a new Government can be formed to tackle Brexit.
One of the advantages of an election is it would be much quicker to organise and resolve than a second referendum.
Could there be a second referendum on Brexit? 
There are mounting demands for a new public vote – but probably not currently a majority in the Commons for it.
A new referendum would take at least six months to organise and run. This could be optimistic as there is no consensus over what the question might be. 
  The former foreign secretary urged her to postpone the vote and use a forthcoming EU summit to seek ‘real change’ on the Irish backstop.
Mr Johnson said: ‘It would be absurd to hold the vote before that has even been attempted.’
Despite this pressure Mrs May received a string of major endorsements for her Brexit deal last night that gave fresh hope it could pass within days.
In a significant boost for the PM, former Chancellor Norman Lamont urged his fellow Brexiteers to focus on the ‘prize’ of leaving the EU – and back the deal.
Writing on the page opposite, the Eurosceptic grandee warns wavering MPs that ‘history will not understand if it is Conservative MPs who prevent us claiming our self-government’. Mrs May is hoping to build momentum behind her deal today with an agreement with the DUP that could bring dozens of Eurosceptics on board.
In a major intervention last night, Northern Ireland’s former First Minister David Trimble also dropped his objections to the so-called Irish backstop.
The Nobel Peace Prize winner praised Mrs May for securing ‘substantive’ concessions on the backstop, adding: ‘The chances of the PM getting the deal through Parliament have improved.’ Former Vote Leave chief Matthew Elliot also came out for the deal, warning Euroscptic MPs: ‘It’s May’s deal or nothing.’
But, with the trickle of Eurosceptic MPs declaring their support still failing to turn into a flood, the prospects for the deal remain on a knife edge. Mrs May was last night still deciding whether or not to press ahead with tomorrow’s planned vote on her Brexit deal. Philip Hammond and Liam Fox both said it could be pulled if it looked like it would be defeated a third time.
Downing Street was braced for Boris Johnson to ‘double down’ on his opposition. 
And Tory sources said fellow leadership hopeful Dominic Raab was also indicating he would help Labour vote down the deal for a third time.  
”No deal’ will prove to be the precursor to a very good deal indeed,’ wrote the Tory MPs, including former ministers Owen Paterson, Sir John Redwood and David Jones.
‘Our moral course is clear: it is not our fault that we are confronted by two unacceptable choices, but it will be our fault if we cast a positive vote in favour of either for fear of the other.’
Mr Johnson said Mrs May’s Agreement would leave the UK ‘in a position of almost unbearable weakness’ for subsequent talks on trade, risking transforming the country into ‘a kind of economic colony of Brussels’.
The backstop arrangement – under which the UK remains in a customs union until both sides agree a trade deal – gives the EU ‘an indefinite means of blackmail’, said the Brexit figurehead.
‘Unless we have some change – and at present, in the immortal phrase, nothing has changed – it is hard to ask anyone who believes in Brexit to change their mind,’ he said.
‘There is an EU summit this week. It is not too late to get real change to the backstop. It would be absurd to hold the vote before that has even been attempted.’
The 10 DUP MPs are viewed by Downing Street as pivotal, not just for the votes they provide but the influence of their stance on Conservative Eurosceptics.
DUP MLA Jim Wells told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme: ‘We still have a huge difficulty with the backstop, because we see it as a waiting room for constitutional change.
‘We could find ourselves locked in there forever in effect, and once you get in you can never get out. We have to have a mechanism where we can escape the backstop.’
Mr Wells said a proposed ‘gentlemen’s agreement’ that any changes to Northern Ireland’s relationship with the EU would be mirrored by the rest of the UK might prove ‘unenforceable’.
And he denied that the DUP was taking part in a financial ‘auction’ for its support, insisting that ‘money is not being discussed on the table at the moment’.
Mr Wells estimated that as many as 30 Tory MPs will never vote for Mrs May’s deal, meaning that a third defeat was ‘inevitable’ with or without DUP support.
So far the number of Tories publicly switching positions falls far short of the 75 MPs Mrs May needs to change sides.
Bolton West MP Chris Green told BBC Radio 4’s Westminster Hour: ‘I want to vote against it because I don’t believe when Parliament defeated it by the biggest margin in the history of Parliament that was because it was in any way a good deal, and the substance of the deal hasn’t changed.’
But he added that a shift in the DUP’s position would have a ‘big impact’ and the implications of rejecting the deal for a third time weighed heavily on him ‘because it could lead to a general election, and we don’t know how that will pan out’.
As part of the effort to put pressure on Tory hardliners and the DUP, Chancellor Philip Hammond and International Trade Secretary Liam Fox took to the airwaves on Sunday to make clear that the Prime Minister would not chance a third defeat on her deal.
And Security Minister Ben Wallace, a close ally of Mr Johnson who chaired his abortive bid for the leadership in 2016, urged the former foreign secretary and other Tory Brexiteers to back Mrs May’s deal.
‘I know Boris very well and I know he’s passionate about leaving the European Union,’ Mr Wallace told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme.
‘If he is passionate about that, he will recognise that voting for this deal is the way to deliver Brexit and the way to deliver leaving the EU … I strongly urge my colleagues to vote for it.’
Some senior figures believe tomorrow’s vote should be delayed until next week, by which time Mrs May is expected to have requested an extension of Article 50. One Cabinet minister urged the PM to delay, adding: ‘Whenever it comes it is going to be incredibly tight. I think the DUP will come across but we also need Boris and Raab and Rees-Mogg to have a chance. Even then, we will need some more Labour MPs to come on board.’ 
At the start of a crunch week on Brexit:
Philip Hammond angered Eurosceptics by saying it was now ‘physically impossible to leave on March 29’ following Parliament’s decision to back a Brexit delay.
Dutch PM Mark Rutte likened Mrs May to the Monty Python character the Black Knight, who refused to give in even after having his limbs chopped off.
Former work and pensions secretary Esther McVey said she would reluctantly back the deal, but called for Mrs May and other ‘feeble negotiators’ to quit. 
David Davis urged Eurosceptic MPs to back the deal, saying it was ‘capable of rescue’ in Brussels.
Mrs May’s deal suffered a record 230-vote defeat in January and lost again by 149 votes last week.
DUP MP Nigel Dodds on Friday denied cash was being talked about in discussions with the Government but insisted his party was keen to support the PM’s deal if they can
Ministers believe they are close to sealing an agreement with her DUP backers, which could see dozens of Eurosceptic Tories reluctantly fall into line behind the deal. Mr Hammond yesterday indicated the DUP could be handed more cash for Northern Ireland if they agree to back the PM’s deal.
He told the BBC’s Andrew Marr show: ‘This isn’t about money. It’s about a political assurance – well, look, we are coming up to a spending review and we will have to look at all budgets, including devolved block-grant budgets.’
Gordon Henderson, a Tory MP who has voted against the deal twice, told the Mail: ‘If the Government can find a formula that satisfies our DUP colleagues, then it will satisfy me.’ Ministers were helped last night by Lord Trimble’s decision to drop his opposition to the backstop plans in the light of fresh legal assurances that it could only be temporary.
In a paper for the Policy Exchange think-tank, he said: ‘The Government has succeeded in securing substantive changes that will affect and limit the impact of the Irish backstop’. The intervention from Lord Lamont, a patron of the hardline Leave Means Leave organisation, could also prove significant.
Yesterday Mr Hammond refused three times to say whether he had ruled out offering the DUP more cash for Northern Ireland in return for backing the deal
The former Chancellor, who served in the Thatcher government, warns fellow Eurosceptics that Brexit could be lost altogether unless they stop their infighting and back the PM.
He said it was ‘wishful thinking’ to believe that Parliament wouldn’t try to stop Brexit once it had been delayed. And he said there would be ‘all to play for’ in the second round of talks with Brussels, as long as the withdrawal deal was passed. He added: ‘To assert as some Eurosceptics do that it is preferable to remain in the EU than to accept Mrs May’s deal is absurd. The PM’s deal is far from ideal. But it has one overwhelming advantage. Under her deal we will definitely leave.’
Tory MP Daniel Kawczynski, a member of the European Research Group of Eurosceptic MPs, said: ‘The mood is changing. People are getting tired of the infighting at Westminster and in the Conservative Party. They expect us to get this across the line.’
Emma Lewell-Buck, who resigned from Labour’s front bench last week to vote against a second referendum, said she and other like-minded MPs wanted to see Brexit delivered with the current deal.
But some Tory hardliners suggested they would never back down. Andrea Jenkyns, a prominent member of the ERG, said: ‘The British spirit is to fight on and not to back down to threats.’
Jeremy Corbyn yesterday warned he was ready to call a vote of no confidence in the Government this week if Mrs May’s deal is voted down again, potentially triggering an election. 
He also plunged Labour’s Brexit policy into fresh confusion after revealing he could campaign to leave the EU if he succeeds in forcing a second referendum.
Third time lucky? So, what on earth happens next?
SCENARIO 1: THIRD TIME LUCKY Theresa May’s deal is finally approved. This is how it would play out.
TUESDAY: Prime Minister wins Meaningful Vote No 3 (just) after DUP and most of the European Research Group fold.
THURSDAY: Wins approval at EU summit for short delay to planned March 29 Brexit date.
MONDAY, MARCH 25: Mrs May begins approving deal and – crucially – changing March 29 Brexit date. Commons and Lords vote through the date change.
SCENARIO 2: DEJA VU Deal blocked for third time, but a two-year Brexit delay approved.
TUESDAY: MPs narrowly defeat Mrs May’s attempt No 3 to secure her deal. PM says she will now go to Brussels to ask for more time.
THURSDAY: Brussels summit of EU leaders grants a two-year extension; UK takes part in MEP elections in May.
MONDAY, MARCH 25: Backed by Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour, May wins Commons vote approving two-year delay.
SCENARIO 3: NO DEAL BY SABOTAGE
We leave with no deal after a guerrilla war by Tory Brexit ‘ultras’.
TUESDAY: MPs narrowly defeat Mrs May’s third vote on her deal. PM says she will go to Brussels to ask for more time.
THURSDAY: Brussels insists on two-year extension to Brexit.
MONDAY, MARCH 25: Hardcore No Deal Tory Brexiteers support a no-confidence vote in May.
Move paralyses Government. MPs fail to change Brexit date.
FRIDAY, MARCH 29: UK leaves EU without a deal.
SCENARIO 4: BLOCKED BY BERCOW
TUESDAY: Speaker John Bercow throws a spanner in the works by ruling that putting the deal to a third vote breaches Commons rules over repeated votes on same terms. Mrs May forced to go to Brussels with no approved deal.
THURSDAY: EU insists on two-year extension.
MONDAY, MARCH 25: Mrs May wins resulting votes to change Brexit date.
OR… She loses vote of no confidence. No Deal on March 29.
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Vote Leave leader Michael Gove warns rebel Tory MPs
Michael Gove today warns rebel Tory MPs they have less than 48 hours to save Brexit.
In a rallying call on the eve of tomorrow’s momentous vote, the Environment Secretary declares that ‘everyone who believes in democracy’ should get behind the Prime Minister’s deal.
Writing in the Daily Mail, he argues the agreement is the only way to heal the nation’s bitter divisions and make sure Brexit happens. 
Mr Gove, who helped lead Vote Leave, warns that leaving without a deal would not ‘honour’ the commitment made to voters ahead of the referendum.
Writing in the Daily Mail, Michael Gove argues the agreement is the only way to heal the nation’s bitter divisions and make sure Brexit happens
Andrea Leadsom, another prominent Eurosceptic, also last night issued a stark warning to rebels, saying: ‘It’s now or never.’
The Commons Leader said if Theresa May’s deal is rejected ‘it’s really clear that the next steps Parliament will take make the Brexit we want a fading reality’. 
Mrs May is expected to make a dash to Brussels this morning in a last-ditch attempt to secure changes to her deal. But sources on the Continent were yesterday playing down hopes of any meaningful concessions, saying talks could be as little as a phone call.
British officials spent the weekend locked in negotiations with their EU counterparts over their demands for alterations to the withdrawal agreement so the country cannot be trapped in the Northern Ireland backstop. 
Whitehall sources said the ‘atmosphere was grim’ with concerns that any changes may not be enough to satisfy rebel Tory MPs and the Democratic Unionist Party.
The Prime Minister has promised that if her deal is rejected for a second time tomorrow, MPs will get the chance to vote on leaving the EU without a deal or delaying Brexit beyond March 29.
Andrea Leadsom, another prominent Eurosceptic, also last night issued a stark warning to rebels, saying: ‘It’s now or never’
Senior Tory figures yesterday warned Mrs May’s position could become untenable if she is forced to seek an extension to the two-year Article 50 process.
Sources said Britain would be expected to pay another £13.5billion per year, more than the current £9billion, because the UK would lose its rebate negotiated by Margaret Thatcher. Even a delay of three months would add billions to the cost of the divorce payment.
The second so-called meaningful vote on the Brexit deal comes after it was rejected by a majority of 230 MPs in January, in a historic defeat for the Government. 
In a further development last night, Downing Street did not rule out amending tomorrow’s vote on the deal so it is conditional on securing extra changes from the EU before the end of this month.
Meanwhile, Philip Hammond is understood to be ready to promise billions of pounds of extra cash for the police, schools and tax cuts in his Spring Statement on Wednesday – if the deal is passed.
The Prime Minister has promised that if her deal is rejected for a second time tomorrow, MPs will get the chance to vote on leaving the EU without a deal or delaying Brexit beyond March 29
The Chancellor will release around £20billion currently ring-fenced as a contingency in case of No Deal. 
Mr Gove is pleading for Tory rebels to take a second look at the withdrawal agreement, arguing they should not ‘make our perfect Brexit the enemy of the common good’.
In his article for the Mail, he says: ‘I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy – in the importance of delivering Brexit, but also in the critical need to unite our country – will come behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week.’
He insisted that while the deal is a ‘compromise’, it ‘provides the best way of delivering an exit that can secure our country’s unity and prosperity’.
Mr Gove warns that many of the arguments made against the deal ‘don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved’.
‘It is not the case that this deal makes us a colony or vassal state. How could it when it gives us total control over our borders and ends our current automatic payments to the EU?’ he writes.
While admitting there were ‘aspects’ of the backstop he found ‘uncomfortable’, Mr Gove says the version ‘now agreed is very different from the arrangement the Irish Government and the EU first wanted’. 
Philip Hammond is understood to be ready to promise billions of pounds of extra cash for the police, schools and tax cuts in his Spring Statement on Wednesday – if the deal is passed
‘It places more cards in our hands than theirs. If we play them with skill we can get the final deal we want,’ he adds.
‘While it’s uncomfortable for us it’s a mistake to think it’s a bed of roses for the EU… I can’t imagine EU politicians tolerating for very long an arrangement which allows us to keep them out of our waters but sell all the fish we want to them, allows us access to their markets but restricts their citizens coming here, allows us to make our economy more competitive and ends all payments to their institutions. EU countries would want it to end.’ 
Mr Gove warns Eurosceptic rebels who believe that voting against the plan tomorrow will lead to a No Deal Brexit are likely to be disappointed.
He says: ‘Some may say that ditching this deal will allow us to leave without any compromises, but we didn’t vote in June 2016 to leave without a deal.
‘That wasn’t the message of the campaign I helped lead.’
He adds: ‘It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence…We would get through it, of course, we’re a great and resilient country. But jobs would be lost in the short term and none of us can be blithe or blasé about the inevitable damage leaving without a deal would cause.’
Mr Gove’s warning comes after Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt told Tory MPs they risk losing Brexit altogether if they fail to back Mrs May’s deal. 
He said there was ‘wind in the sails’ of the opponents of Brexit and that it would be ‘devastating’ for the Tories if they failed to deliver on their commitment to take Britain out of the EU. 
MICHAEL GOVE: Only by backing the Prime Minister’s deal with the EU will ensure Brexit happens and heal the bitter divides across the country
By Michael Gove  
The great Victorian Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli once lamented that Britain had become ‘two nations’ between whom ‘there is no intercourse and no sympathy; who are as ignorant of each other’s habits, thoughts, and feelings, as if they were dwellers in different zones, or inhabitants of different planets’.
Disraeli was writing of the gulf between rich and poor in the 19th century. But his words echo down the decades. 
It seems, at times, that our country is now just as divided — between those insulated by wealth from the effects of globalisation and those who feel shut out; or between those who compete on Twitter to signal how virtuous they are and those who are made to feel that patriotism is prejudice and love of country is now the love that dare not speak its name.
There are other divisions, too — between politicians in Westminster and a population becoming alienated because of those politicians’ failure to listen. Between broadcasters who seek to serve the public and a public that is increasingly switching off.
Between elites who think their professional success means they know all the answers and those who wonder why these elites failed to see the banking crisis coming and failed to spread economic growth more fairly in the boom years.
Disraeli was writing of the gulf between rich and poor in the 19th century. But his words echo down the decades
Those divisions in our society were exposed for all to see by the Brexit referendum. There were different reasons why people voted to leave the EU, but at the heart of the campaign was a wish on the part of the majority to take back control from unaccountable elites, to make politicians more answerable to the people, and to make our country work in the interests of all: one nation once again.
But since the referendum, it has often seemed as though that desire for a fresh start has been continually frustrated by an unwillingness to come together behind that democratic vote.
Listening to some partisans in the ongoing Brexit debate, it is clear that they behave as though they think the other side are indeed ‘dwellers in different zones’ or ‘inhabitants of different planets’. Insults are hurled, cries of treachery traded, any suggestion of finding common ground denounced as a heresy. Sympathy for others seems in short supply.
But for democracy to work, there has to be understanding between people; there has to be compromise and a coming together.
Along with a majority of other people, I voted to reinvigorate our democracy by taking power back from unaccountable institutions and taking back control of our laws.
I recognise, however, that while the majority to leave was decisive, executing that decision, like all democratic decisions, means respecting everyone in our democracy.
Forty-eight per cent of the country voted to remain. Their voices need to be listened to, their hopes incorporated in our plan for the future. That doesn’t mean giving in to the much smaller number who want to overturn the decision and frustrate Brexit.
But it must mean that none of us Leavers should try to make our perfect Brexit the enemy of the common good.
Which is why I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy — in the importance of delivering Brexit and in the critical need to unite our country — will get behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week.
It is, of course, a compromise. But so many of the great British traditions and institutions I and many others value are the result of compromise.
Which is why I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy — in the importance of delivering Brexit and in the critical need to unite our country — will get behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week
We are governed by a system that reconciles the different interests of Government, Parliament and the Courts; our constitutional monarchy is underpinned by centuries of compromise, as is our national Church.
The devolution settlement is a compromise; our Press balances freedom of speech with a responsibility to be accurate in reporting; our economic system and welfare state balance the individual freedom to pursue success with the collective need to protect the vulnerable.
As the great liberal thinker Isaiah Berlin rightly argued, when one value or a single perspective is valued above all others, the tree of liberty is hacked at its roots. 
So while the Prime Minister’s deal is a compromise, it is not to be rejected for that reason alone. Quite the opposite. In balancing the freedoms that Brexit brings with assurances that smooth our path out of the EU, it provides the best way of delivering an exit that can secure our country’s unity and prosperity.
Of course, there are some who voted Remain for whom no Brexit is acceptable. Whatever deal Mrs May secured, they would find fault with it. But their answer, a second referendum, would only deepen and inflame the divisions it is our duty to overcome.
As the great liberal thinker Isaiah Berlin rightly argued, when one value or a single perspective is valued above all others, the tree of liberty is hacked at its roots
The demand for another vote is a declaration that those who voted Leave in 2016 were too stupid to know what they were doing or too prejudiced to appreciate the consequences.
Holding another referendum would only confirm the feeling among many that politicians don’t listen and won’t change.
It would undermine confidence in our democracy and any campaign that ensued would further fray the bonds that hold us all together — not least by fuelling demands for new votes in Scotland and Northern Ireland to break up the United Kingdom.
But it’s not only those calling for a second referendum who are, I fear, making a mistake. Some of those who believe most sincerely and passionately in Brexit have allowed arguments to be made about the Prime Minister’s deal which don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved.
It is not the case that this deal makes us a colony or vassal state. How could it when it gives us total control over our borders and ends our automatic payments to the EU? Colonies, by definition, don’t have control over their borders and they give up their natural resources to others.
This deal means we have the absolute freedom to decide who comes into this country, and on what terms. It also allows us to decide what pan-European programmes, if any, we want to join in.
As one of the leaders of the Leave campaign, I know that two of the most resonant demands from voters were control of our borders and money. This deal delivers — completely and, as it happens, without compromise — on both.
Some of those who believe most sincerely and passionately in Brexit have allowed arguments to be made about the Prime Minister’s deal which don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved
It also ensures we leave the EU’s legal order and, save for a few very limited areas, we are outside the control of the European Court of Justice. We can, if we wish, choose to continue to meet EU standards, as they change, to make cross-border trade easier. But we can refuse to accept any new EU rule on goods or agriculture we don’t want.
The ratchet of European integration has been stopped. Ever closer union ended.
We can begin to do things differently in all manner of ways when the deal is concluded. We can have new rules for our service sector to help create new jobs in the fastest growing part of our economy. We will continue to maintain the highest environmental standards but we no longer need to follow the EU rulebook and can do things in our own, better, way.
The deal also means we aren’t bound by the EU’s Common Defence and Security Policy and we’re out of the Common Agricultural Policy and the Common Fisheries Policy. Our farmers are freed from the bureaucracy that held them back, and we take back control of all our fish stocks and access to our waters.
There are, of course, aspects of the deal which cause concern. It requires us to accept an arrangement called the backstop which places certain restraints on the ability of Northern Ireland to diverge from the EU in the event that we don’t conclude a full trade deal by the end of 2020.
The Irish government have pressed for a backstop throughout these talks because they see it as an insurance policy in order to keep the current open border on the island of Ireland.
But the backstop we’ve now agreed is very different from the arrangement the Irish government and the EU first wanted. It places more cards in our hands than theirs. If we play them with skill, we can get the final deal we want.
As a Unionist and a Brexiteer, there are aspects of the backstop I certainly find uncomfortable. It creates a difference in treatment between Great Britain and Northern Ireland which is troubling. I’d much prefer it if we had a unilateral exit mechanism.
But while it’s uncomfortable for us, it’s a mistake to think it’s a bed of roses for the EU. There are many reasons why they would not want it to last indefinitely — and it’s worth looking at them in detail.
If the backstop ever kicked in, we’d still be able to export our goods to Europe without any tariff barriers, but we would also have full control of our own borders, with free movement of people having ended. More than that, we wouldn’t be paying the EU any money any more. Not a penny.
More, even, than that, we could stop EU vessels entering our fishing waters. If we wished, we could deny French and Danish boats any of our fish. But they couldn’t stop us selling our catch to them.
On top of that, in the backstop our ability to ignore new EU laws, and indeed roll back the vast majority of existing EU laws, would be extensive. We could make our economy more competitive from day one, and still have guaranteed access to their economies.
In the backstop we could still negotiate, sign and implement new trade deals. They wouldn’t cover goods but could cover services, professional qualifications and investor protections.
Leaving without a deal on March 29 would not honour that commitment. It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence. Almost everyone in this debate accepts that
I cannot imagine EU politicians tolerating for very long an arrangement which allows us to keep them out of our waters but sell all the fish we want to them; allows us access to their markets but restricts their citizens coming here; allows us to make our economy more competitive and ends all payments to their institutions. EU countries would want it to end. And if we do play our cards right, we can ensure that it does — on our terms.
Any objective assessment on this deal shows it delivers on the key Brexit demands and gives us the freedom to go further in the future.I fear, if MPs don’t support the PM’s deal this week, then the chance to come together as a country may be taken from us.
Some may say that ditching this deal will allow us to leave without any compromises. But we didn’t vote to leave without a deal. That wasn’t the message of the campaign I helped lead. During that campaign, we said we should do a deal with the EU and be part of the network of free trade deals that covers all Europe, from Iceland to Turkey.
Leaving without a deal on March 29 would not honour that commitment. It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence. Almost everyone in this debate accepts that.
EU tariffs on food would hit farmers; new trade frictions would harm manufacturers. We would get through it, of course — we’re a great and resilient country. But jobs would be lost in the short term and none of us can be blasé about the damage leaving without a deal would cause.
We would also be open to criticism from those many Remain voters who are prepared to compromise and leave with a deal, but don’t want to depart without a deal, that we’d preferred our perfect to their good. They could argue we’d preferred ideology to inclusivity. Given the fragility of faith in our politics at the moment, it’s not a course I’d want to take.
And it’s a course we may not be able to take anyway. If the deal is voted down, then the Government is no longer determining events.
Parliament will then vote on whether we leave without a deal on March 29. A majority are likely to say they don’t want to take that risk, and Parliament is likely to ask for an extension of EU membership.
Whatever the merits of that course, it’s undoubtedly the case that it creates another risk — of the Commons diluting Brexit or the EU offering us a poorer deal.
The decisions all MPs face in the next few days will not be easy. And I respect the sincerity and passion with which every one of my colleagues holds to their position.
But if we don’t think coolly about what’s in the best interests of our country, we may find that we have failed to rise to this moment; failed to find the common ground on which our best future rests.
Delaying and diluting what we have or leaving without a deal risks perpetuating the difficulties when we need to overcome divisions to meet new challenges. It’s time we became one nation once again.  
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Brexit law dissertation topics
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Brexit law dissertation topics
  Brexit law dissertation topics
Since the exit of Britain from Europe in the year 2016. The Brexit Law dissertation topics has become a major area of study in UK, USA and Europe universities. students are requested by lectures to write on dissertation topics in brexit effects.
A dissertation topic is an important one when one is pursuing a postgraduate or an undergraduate course. The author of the dissertation should therefore be able to explain to the audience what the dissertation is about.
Content of a good brexit law dissertation topic
Basically a good dissertation is one that is well achieved within the given time limit and all the required information is well shown in clear and concise manner. It is therefore important that a good dissertation topic is chosen for it encourages students and also interests them in completing the dissertation within the given time capacity. Since a lot of time is taken in deciding the best topic one needs to get help from the places where they will be well guided. There is time needed to research on the dissertation and therefore as soon as you come up with your topic the better.
The Brexit
 When having to write a research questions on Brexit there are many areas one should focus on. This would include the knowledge of the Brexit term in details to know the advantages and the disadvantages that have been brought about by this famous British exit from the European Union. This is likely to cause so much challenges mostly economically in the United Kingdom. Brexit law dissertation topics exhibit much about what Brexit has caused in the legal procedures.
  There are certainly many issues involved but I would suggest that many of them are essentially economic or political as opposed to strictly legal. That doesn’t mean, of course, that they cannot come into play in an LLB dissertation, especially if you make it clear from the outset that you are adopting a socio-legal approach as opposed to other approaches. I would just keep a mistrustful eye on being drawn to far towards questions where the answer is ultimately political/economic as opposed to legal.
Research on the Brexit law
A substantial number of researchers have been writing and blogging about countless characteristics of Brexit. They have  focused on UK Constitutional Law – the role of referendum within the UK’s constitutional provisions, Parliamentary Dominance and prerogative Supremacy. This is to trigger Article 50, the degree of powers of the entrusted organizations, especially Scotland and Northern Ireland. If those issues interest you then I certainly think there is a good dissertation to be written around them using the EU referendum as the lens complete which they can be surveyed. A very simple research question might be along the lines of: ‘Is the use of a referendum to decide on major constitutional change well-suited with the principle of Parliamentary Sovereignty?
The UK views on the Brexit Law
Brexit is a term that refers to the Britain’s withdrawal from the European Union. This would cause a major economic downfall in the United Kingdom. When this happens it is likely to bring about immediate challenges for the businesses for example the free movement of goods, services and employee’s .This withdrawal is bound to happen between now and 2019 since European Union and the United Kingdom are seeking to negotiate the terms of exit and future relationships especially in trade.
How to write a Brexit law dissertation
When writing a dissertation topic about Brexit there are the advantages that come with it. The topic is relevant having a look at what Brexit has already had on the economy and the future as well. The necessary data on Brexit thesis materials are still out in the open, easily accessible and current news. Finally all the events around Brexit are continuously evolving and make way for future research procedures. Brexit research questions are among the scholar would need to go through to get it all clear.
Here are some of the relevant topics one could choose when doing a Brexit law dissertation topics.
Examples of Brexit Law dissertation topics
How the financial service sector in the United Kingdom get affected by Brexit
The impact of Brexit on capital markets, foreign exchange and the equity markets.
How businesses have been affected and will be affected by Brexit in the UK.
Will UK growth be affected Britain’s exit from European Union?
Will Brexit reduce the immigration rate without affecting the UK growth and trade visions?
What impact is Brexit likely to have on the world and generally UK politically?
Is European Union likely to break-up after the exit of Britain?
Will the inflow of migrants be curbed by Brexit?
Referendum is the best form of direct democracy, it requires also citizens to decide on complex issues .Does Brexit vote show the limitations of a referendum?
Will Brexit bring on an end of Britain?
Brexit and the social structure of certainty.
Will Brexit be damaging to UK economy?
Why is article 50 of the Brexit Law so ambiguous? What does it do and why was it added?
Could it be possible for France to exit European Union? What would be the alarms for France from a legal point of view?
Does the law provide for situations for the Scottish Executive to launch the second referendum for it to be independent from United Kingdom?
How a third century Roman soldier Carausius was behind the first Brexit.
Solidarity was a founding principle of European unity
Good Brexit deal that Britain can secure and also a bargaining strategy.
How many tax treaties to be renegotiated as a result of Brexit?
More topics on Brexit Law dissertations
Trade deals that United Kingdom has signed in the last ten years and how long each took to conclude and the average for each.
How many laws will be changed by Great Repeal Act and how much time will be given to parliament to discuss it?
What value of tariffs is now collected on United Kingdom imports and which countries give rise to top ten payments?
How many European nationals work in United Kingdom universities and how many are planned for the coming years?
Expected impact of United Kingdom residents forced to return to live in this country from United Kingdom and European Union housing shortage.
Additional border staff that will be need after Brexit, how much it will cost and how much budget will be cut to pay for this?
How much will it take to manage multiple trade deals and tariffs cost to businesses?
What will be done to maintain the relationships of Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland and what will be done to maintain them in the European Union?
How much a visa for a UK person cost while visiting Europe after Brexit.
Brexit as a moral ethical research and its effect on the UK.
By what means much will the Brexit sections and those staff tied up in Brexit in other departments cost between now and 2020, split down by year?
How much will it cost to create United Kingdom regulatory agencies to replace all those we have previously relied on in the European Union?
How many new trade deals will UK need with Brexit?
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