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#rbbc 2018
resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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Resbang Book Club Hall of Fame 2018 <3
Third time’s the charm!! Hi Resbang Book Club participants! Here’s the list of the lovely individuals who went above and beyond in this year’s Book Club season. Great job to all participants who submitted! Without further ado, the winners are:
2018 Resbang Book Club Grand Champion: @infantbluee with 14 Bookclub Resbangs reviewed, yahoo!!!!!!!
5+ fics reviewed: @addude & @blinkfl0yd !!!!!
Completed the challenge (all 3 assigned fics reviewed): @sandmancircus, @ricentipede, @trueeasiann, @sharks833 & @sojustifiable. Heck yeah!
Winners, as per tradition, come check out our Discord server for one final recognition :)
Thanks for your patience with this post, and thanks for a great Bookclub season, everybody!!!
Love, The Mods ❤️
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gosportsfield · 4 years
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What To Expect From Miles Sanders in 2020 (Fantasy Football)
What To Expect From Miles Sanders in 2020 (Fantasy Football)
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It feels like the phrase “running back by committee” (RBBC) and the Eagles’ head coach Doug Pederson go hand-in-hand.  We have seen Pederson utilize this approach in the backfield since he arrived in Philadelphia, winning the Super Bowl victory in 2017.  The story didn’t change in 2018 with Jay Ajayi, Darren Sproles, and Corey Clement as well as 2019 with rookie Miles Sanders and Jordan…
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eagles · 5 years
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Eagles Free Agent Targets: John Brown and Anthony Barr
Howie Roseman and the Eagles have been hard at work freeing up some salary cap space recently.  And with it seeming as if this will not be the offseason in which they extend Carson Wentz, one has to wonder what Roseman will be doing with all this new cap room.
Not to get off track, but it will also be interesting to see how a team like the Cowboys handle their cap this offseason.  They franchise-tagged DeMarcus Lawrence and have their “Big 3” eligible for contract extensions (Dak, Zeke, Cooper). 
I wonder if they will be focusing more on that rather than adding free agents.  I’m keeping an eye on Dallas this offseason as they should be the Eagles’ biggest threat in the NFC East next season.
According to most, the Eagles are a relative long shot to come out of the NFC next year with odds of +2000. With that being said, they’re still the favorite to win the NFC East with a slight edge over the Cowboys. The odds are bound to take a swing over the offseason so I’ll be sure to keep checking the updated sportsbooks via SBD.
Okay, let’s get back on track and just focus on the Eagles…
Some Eagles fans seem wonder if the team could be eying-up someone like Le’Veon Bell or even Antonio Brown.  In my view, the chances of the Eagles going after either of them are in the ballpark of, say, zero percent.
There’s no question the Eagles need a running back.  However, as the Eagles have shown, they prefer RBBC and will not spend top dollar on a single player at that position. 
I could see them being more interested in players like Tevin Coleman, Mark Ingram or trading for guys like Jordan Howard or Duke Johnson.  Or, they could simply re-sign Jay Ajayi for cheap, allocate funds elsewhere in free agency, and look for a running back with one of their second round picks.
As far as primary targets during free agency for the Eagles…if we’re to believe they will be “decent” spenders…I’m going to talk about one guy whose name has been mentioned here and there by other writers and fans, and then I’m going to talk about a player who I have not seen anyone mention as a target.
First up is WR John Brown. 
The past two offseasons the Eagles have signed two players to fill the role of “speed guy” who has the ability to demand attention from secondaries on deep routes.  Torrey Smith had moderate success in this regard during the 2017 season but they didn’t think enough of him to bring him back in 2018. 
Last year, they chose Mike Wallace.  But as you know, he broke his fibula early in the season and ended up having no impact.  He wasn’t showing much signs of life at any time prior to his injury either so the chances of bringing him back aren’t good.
Perhaps the third time could be the charm in John Brown.  He has the speed to demand respect on deep routes and was having a pretty good year with the Ravens in 2018 before they switched to Lamar Jackson at QB.
Over nine games with Flacco last year, Brown posted 34 receptions for 601 yards and four TDs.  That put him on pace for 60 catches, 1068 yards and seven TDs for the season and would have virtually tied him with his best season the NFL in 2015.  However, in the seven games with the “I’m not gonna pass the ball” Jackson, he had just 8 catches for 114 yards and one TD.
Brown will turn 29 in April and seems to fit the profile of the type of WR they’ve been trying to find to play opposite of Alshon Jeffery.  As the theory goes, having that deep threat not only adds the big-play dimension to the offense, it will open things up more underneath.  He does have a history of nagging injuries and has Sickle Cell Trait, but he played in all 16 games last season.
Brown is a good fit and shouldn’t cost a tremendous amount of money either. 
Next up is the player that I think is a very sneaky target.  And sometimes, it’s the players you don’t hear any rumors about are the ones that pop out of nowhere as a surprise target. 
Mine is OLB Anthony Barr.
Yes, his position title is Outside Linebacker and has been primarily utilized as an OLB in a 4-3 base scheme in Minnesota.  It would seem that the Vikings tried to make him into a player that would have been similar to how old DC Jim Johnson utilized Carlos Emmons back in the early 2000’s. 
This was odd because Barr was seen more as a pass-rushing OLB coming out of UCLA that, if anything, would best fit as an edge rusher in a 3-4.  Not many people saw him as a true linebacker in a base 4-3 defense. 
Back in 2014, the second year of the Chip Kelly era, the Eagles were still transitioning to a 3-4 based defense under then DC Bill Davis.  Barr was a top draft prospect and viewed as a great fit for the Eagles’ defense. 
The team showed some pre-draft interest in him by way of working him out and bringing him in for one of their allotted 30 prospect visits.  There was much speculation he was a trade-up target if he were to “fall” to a certain point in the draft.
However, he ended up being selected 9th overall by Minny.
Barr only has 13.5 sacks over his five year career, but that stat has more to do with how the Vikings used him rather than lack of talent or production.  Last year, the Vikings tried making him more of a pass-rush specialist and he delivered. 
This begs the question of whether or not the Vikings were mis-using him by not employing him primarily as a DE.  He certainly has the size at 6’ 5”, 255 lbs.
During a game against the Eagles last October, Barr was constantly in Carson Wentz’ face.  So much so that Carson himself was captured on a microphone during the game saying to Barr: “You’re a handful, man.  You’re a heck of a player.”
Definitely doesn’t hurt that Barr has Wentz’ endorsement!
In any case, the main reason why we aren’t hearing much talk about the Eagles going after Barr is because he hasn’t been playing as a defensive end.  However, playing the part of edge rusher is where his future will be with whomever he signs with this offseason. 
He will not be signing with a team looking to employ him as a 4-3 OLB…he’s either going to a 3-4 as an edge rusher or a 4-3 team as a DE.
The Eagles utilize a 4-3 and line up in the wide-9 alignment a decent amount of the time.  His primary responsibility for us would be to rush the passer…and set the edge against the run.  He can do both.
The Eagles’ defense and overall team situation (Super Bowl contenders) might be very appealing to a player like Barr as well.  Afterall, it takes two to tango in order to make a deal.
Yes, it’s true that the Eagles already have a lot of money invested in the defensive line with Fletcher Cox, Brandon Graham, Michael Bennett and 2017 first-rounder Derek Barnett.  However, we all know that the Eagles highly value pass rushers. 
Bennett has been rumored to be on the trade block so if true, he could be moved or released.  If the Eagles signed Barr, who will turn 27 this year, to a five year deal or so, that will lineup well with Graham’s eventual departure and Barnett’s possible extension.  Two or three years from now, the starting DEs could  be Barnett and Barr.
Furthermore, Barr’s market will be very interesting given the position he has played for most of the past five years and what position Barr himself will want to play.  He’ll get a good deal, but it very well might not be a “bank breaker.” 
It will probably come down to what team is willing to pay him the most AND that will employ him as a primary pass rusher, not as a linebacker dropping in coverage.
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pete-and-pete · 6 years
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Wendell Smallwood or Corey Clement Fantasy: Which Eagles RB Is the Waiver Wire Pickup?
Jay Ajayi’s injury is not only sad news, but makes the fantasy football picture even less clear in the Eagles backfield. Which Eagles running back should you pick up from your waiver wire: Wendell Smallwood, Corey Clement or Josh Adams? The answer is yes, both Smallwood and Clement are worth a waiver wire add. Adams is worth a speculative pickup in deeper leagues, and worth watching for future weeks in 10 to 12 team leagues.
I would prioritize Smallwood over Clement, but I would not spend a lot of FAAB dollars on either player. The Eagles appear to be headed toward the dreaded RBBC (Running Back by Committee), which is what we saw when Ajayi missed time earlier this season. In FAAB formats, I would limit myself to 20% of my budget for Smallwood or Clement.
When Ajayi missed time this season, there were some weeks when Clement was the lead back, while Smallwood emerged most recently. Neither player has looked spectacular, causing many to wonder if the Eagles will look to acquire another running back in the trade market. Smallwood is likely to get the first look on Thursday night, but don’t be surprised if the team turns to Clement early if Smallwood does not perform. NFL.com’s Graham Barfield explains why Smallwood has a slightly brighter outlook than Clement.
“For what it’s worth, Wendell Smallwood’s snap rate was increasing for four-straight games prior to Jay Ajayi’s injury (30% > 35% > 47% > 49%). Has caught 3 balls in each of Carson Wentz’s starts this year,” Barfield notes.
Don’t Start Either Smallwood or Clement in Week 6
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While the recommendation is to prioritize Smallwood over Clement, I am not confident either back is going to have a massive workload. If you end up acquiring either player from the waiver wire, make sure to leave them on your bench for Week 6. It is not clear how the Eagles are going utilize both backs, and you risk having very low production in your lineup by starting either back.
Clement has not played since Week 3 when he had his most productive week. Clement rushed for 56 yards on 16 carries and added three receptions against the Colts.
Some astute fantasy analysts have wondered if Adams could be the long-term play based on his talent level. During the pre-season, there was some talk Adams had a chance to win the starting job, but the former Notre Dame running back got a late start thanks to injuries. Eagles coach Doug Pederson spoke about what he liked about Adams before the season started.
“I thought Josh did a nice job with the amount of play time that he got,” Pederson told NBC Sports Philadelphia. “All the running backs were going to get some time outside of Sproles. So it increases Josh’s reps just a little bit. And I thought Josh did a nice job. He did a really good job in protection, No. 1, catching the ball out of backfield, and some of the runs, you can see how big and powerful he is when he hits the edge.”
Heading into Week 6, Smallwood has a slight edge in waiver priority over Clement. If I have room for both on my roster, I would try to make a play for both backs until the Philly roster shakes itself out. In dynasty leagues and deeper fantasy formats, Adams is worth a speculative add. Don’t forget Darren Sproles is also expected to be in the mix as well, making the Eagles backfield a bit of a mess.
READ NEXT: Fantasy Football Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: Week 6 Predictions
source https://heavy.com/sports/2018/10/wendell-smallwood-corey-clement-fantasy-eagles-rb/
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Juggernaut Index, No. 26: Colts fans, fantasy owners still waiting on Andrew Luck
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Hey, look who’s finally doing things with footballs. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
The Indianapolis Colts will go as far this season as quarterback Andrew Luck can carry them, and it’s not yet clear that he’s capable of carrying them anywhere at all. Two weeks ago, Luck made a couple dozen short throws with footballs that weren’t quite official NFL-size and, understandably, the Colts community was pretty pumped…
IT’S HAPPENING OMG OMG pic.twitter.com/VyCR6llLRW
— Stephen Holder (@HolderStephen) June 12, 2018
Woo. Plan the parade route, Indy.
[Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues are open: Sign up now for free!]
As everyone knows, Luck missed the entire 2017 season following January labrum surgery. Colts news coverage over the past year-and-a-half has been a carnival ride of bogus pronouncements, wishcasting, skepticism, setbacks and wild speculation. It is, without question, a very good sign that Luck is throwing again. A great sign. Excellent news. The expectation is for Luck to develop something close to a regular season throwing routine that he can carry into camp:
“Big picture, my goal was to be able to throw as much as I need to, like on a game week,” Luck said. “A Wednesday, Thursday, Friday at practice and then Sunday, let it loose, no count, nothing. You’ve got to go and let it go. So that’s what I’m preparing for, that’s why right now I throw Mondays, Tuesdays and Wednesdays and Fridays to mimic a three-day sort of practice week and then a Friday as a Sunday as a game week.”
Sounds like a solid plan. It also sounds as if Luck is beginning to feel legitimately closer to the pre-surgery version of himself. When asked if he expects to play the opener this season, he told reporters, “I’ll be playing. I believe it in my bones.”
Fantasy owners obviously can’t treat him as a sure thing, especially at a time when the quarterback position is as deep as it’s ever been. Luck’s FF Calculator average draft position seems aggressive (104.1, QB12) considering the quality and reliability of the players selected in his range. Drafting him at any price means that you will almost certainly need to roster a second playable QB. That’s not the greatest use of limited bench spots. But let’s also remember that Luck, at his absolute best, was a 4700-yard, 40-TD passer. He threw for 4240 yards and 31 scores in a year in which he played with the labrum tear. There’s little question that a healthy Luck would rank as a top-six fantasy quarterback.
If you’re still trying to talk yourself into Luck, please note that new head coach Frank Reich is fresh off a Super Bowl win as OC for the Eagles. Reich was essential in Carson Wentz’s development, plus he’s the guy who prepped Nick Foles to star in the postseason. These are good bullet points for a coaching resume.
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Head coach Frank Reich was the most important offseason addition in Indy. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
We don’t have to make any final decisions on Luck’s draft value today, so let’s please keep an open mind. The recent news has been encouraging. At the very least, we shouldn’t run away from him quite the way we did last summer. His line should improve following the draft day addition of mauling guard Quenton Nelson.
The Colts’ offense was a start-to-finish mess without Luck last season, ranking dead-last in yards per play and 30th in passing. If he can’t get back to full health, none of this team’s skill players are particularly interesting for fantasy purposes.
Indy’s receiving corps is T.Y. Hilton and, um … some other dudes
T.Y. Hilton led the NFL in receiving yardage two seasons ago with Luck at the controls of the offense, catching 91 balls for 1448 yards. Last year, with Jacoby Brissett running the show (and rarely looking downfield), Hilton slipped to just 966 yards on 57 receptions. He was painfully boom-or-bust, delivering three games with 150 or more yards and a whopping eight games with 30 or fewer. Hilton is a dynamic player in his prime, 28 years old, and his chemistry with Luck is well established. He’s also a member of the best-shape-of-his-life club, which can’t hurt. If Luck gets right, Hilton will as well. His recent ADP reflects the fantasy community’s optimistic outlook on his quarterback (33.4, WR14). Hilton has never seen more than 16 red-zone targets in any season, so don’t expect a double-digit TD total.
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Not surprisingly, T.Y. Hilton’s numbers took a huge nosedive without Luck. (Jeff Haynes/AP Images for Panini)
The battle for second and third-receiver duties is wide open behind Hilton — which is to say, there are no particularly intriguing candidates. Indianapolis signed the competent-if-not-spectacular Ryan Grant to a one-year deal back in March. Grant established new career highs in receptions (45), yards (573) and TDs (4) for Washington last season, but never topped 85 yards in any game. Front office fave Chester Rogers is entering his third pro season with a relatively unobstructed path to snaps and targets. Health has been an issue for him, but he’s flashed field-flipping ability a time or two — notably in a 104-yard performance against Pittsburgh last year. Rogers could be a decent what-if flier in the final rounds of deep drafts, depending on Luck’s status.
Fifth-round rookie Daurice Fountain (Northern Iowa) and sixth-rounder Deon Cain (Clemson) are in the mix as well. Both receivers have size enough to function as red-zone threats. Fountain had a superhuman pro day, posting a 42.5-inch vertical and 11-foot-2 broad jump. Cain has generated low-level buzz during the offseason, though he never actually delivered a huge season at the collegiate level. He has good speed for his size (4.43, 210), but ordinary leaping ability (33.5-inch vert). If you’d like to take a shot with one of these guys in dynasty, I’d lean Fountain. But, again, Cain is the guy who seemed to impress onlookers during OTAs.
Absurdly, tight end Jack Doyle led the Colts in receptions last year (and finished second overall at his position), hauling in 80 passes for 690 yards and four touchdowns. He was a short-range catch-and-fall receiver, ranking behind nearly all tight ends in average target distance (5.3) and yards per reception (8.6) according to Player Profiler. We can expect Indy’s offense to be far less predictable/numbing under Reich and new OC Nick Sirianni, so Doyle’s numbers should take a hit.
This team added Eric Ebron via free agency, and wow are the coaches excited about him…
“[Ebron] is really smart,” Reich said. “I knew that because we did our homework before he got here. We knew he was a smart player. But he’s like really a highly intelligent football player. And that’s really good because you want to use a guy with the versatility that he has and move him around and call all kinds of things with him. That helps. And he’s an explosive athlete.”
Detroit fans probably would have been willing to help Ebron pack his bags this spring, having seen enough drops and disappearances during his four seasons with the Lions. But it’s not unusual to see a tight end make a production leap on his second contract, so we need to keep Ebron’s name on the cheat sheet. He’s reportedly lining up everywhere in Indy’s offense. I’d prefer him to Doyle, which isn’t saying much.
Frank Gore is gone, replaced by a committee
Reich’s committee backfield in Philly was a massive success, so it should come as no surprise that he’s preparing to go RBBC with the Colts. It’s happening. No back on this team’s depth chart is obviously deserving of a featured role, so there should be little controversy regarding this potential three or four-man rotation. Marlon Mack gets a share, Robert Turbin gets a share and Ole Miss rookie Jordan Wilkins gets a share. Mack will be drafted ahead of the others (ADP 70.6, RB32), but strictly as a flex. Wilkins looks the part of an NFL back and he produced a solid year in the SEC, but he wasn’t much of a yards-after-contact runner. Pass protection is a concern as well.
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Rookie running back Nyheim Hines could get interesting for PPR purposes. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
The most interesting chess piece in this backfield might just be rookie Nyheim Hines, a fourth-round pick from NC State. He’s already lined up everywhere for the Colts, and it’s only June. Hines is a gifted returner, too. He’s a fun-size back (5-foot-8) who won’t make a living between the tackles, but he offers excellent speed (4.38) and receiving ability. Hines caught 89 passes over three collegiate seasons, and he ran for 1113 yards and 12 scores on 193 carries last year (5.6 YPC). He’s a name to know in PPR formats.
Of course none of these guys will be terribly exciting unless Luck is the NFL’s comeback player of the year. He’s the franchise cornerstone, the key to everything else. Let’s hope Luck can return to form, because his ceiling in a healthy season is the No. 1 player at our game’s highest scoring position.
2017 Offensive Stats & Ranks
Points per game – 16.4 (30th in NFL) Pass YPG – 180.8 (30) Rush YPG – 103.8 (22) Yards per play – 4.6 (32) Plays per game – 62.1 (23)
Previous Juggernaut Index entries: 32) Buffalo, 31) Miami, 30) NY Jets, 29) Baltimore, 28) Oakland, 27) Cleveland, 26) Indianapolis
Follow the Yahoo fantasy football crew on Twitter: Andy Behrens, Dalton Del Don, Brad Evans, Liz Loza, Scott Pianowski and Tank Williams
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fantasyjake-blog · 6 years
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2018 Draft Top-12
At the beginning of your 2018 draft preparation, you should reflect on your 2017 draft, and your 2016 draft, and your 2015 draft.  If you’re new to fantasy, you’ve already done a lot of digging to find this blog, so bravo.  Do what you can to glean from my mistakes, having accumulated none of your own (save not participating in fantasy football until 2017). 
One general note I want to make is the trend away from the RB1′s in the first round of draft, I was originally all for it, citing the attrition rate of NFL running backs, the Spencer Ware’s, LeSean McCoy’s, Adrian Peterson’s, and David Johnson’s of the world, could simply not survive a season.  So with your first overall pick, creating a fantasy line-up, you were gambling, not on just on talent, but also against the Fantasy Gods (and Stephania Bell).  I myself, in ignorance early on in my fantasy life (the 2000′s), looked at the person who scored the highest amount of points each year and drafted them first - I was lucky to have done this in the Peyton Manning era, and won many a championship on his back.  The “experts” do this in a modified way, where they weight the overall points scored against by position, and lean on position scarcity to argue for RB1 as the most difficult spot in your line-up to fill.  I didn’t listen to a lot of experts early on, based all of my decisions on numbers in the Yahoo! Sports players database and had success as a result.  I wasn’t able to factor in things like changing situations: improved or disintegrating O-Lines, releative values because of injuries at other positions (such as a Tight End getting a lot of targets, because WR1, WR2, and WR3 are all on IR - *cough* your 2017 NYfootballGiants), and I didn’t know things about draft pedigree, so number 1 Alex Smith could be a mediocre asset in my mind, and Arian Foster could be a stud, on numbers alone. 
All of the above is not entirely true.  I also used to wake up early Thursday mornings when Yahoo would publish their weekly matchup ratings, and try to stock-pile my bench with all 4 star or better matchups.  And every Wednesday morning when waivers broke, I would look at the transaction trends, and then the notes on the top added players to figure out why they were being added.  But my main game was last three four weeks performance.  I was big on sorting by average stats instead of total stats, to see if a good player was going unnoticed because he (or she does not yet really apply, but it might soon??) had missed a game or two, or had an early bye and his numbers were skewed low as a result.  This is all elementary school stuff for the seasoned fantasy owner.  Now we have experts who do this for us and make their judgments with all of the facts, not just some.  The problem is, all of the experts I’ve been listening to, have not been able to reproduce my early success of just follow the numbers and pounce.  
Sooooo............ this is my first post.  Need to get to the meat sooner or later.
I started with this: why the trend away from RBs?  Answer: ridiculous bust rate based on injuries or drastic change in production while at the same time, the league was getting pass-happy: Stafford, Eli Manning, Brees, Brady, Rodgers, and the like were throwing for nearly 5000 yards year after year.  RBBC became a fantasy football term, which first caused the shift towards RB1s, but later permeated even the top backfields and watered down the scarcity argument.  
From my perspective, the first two rounds of the draft should be this and this alone: highest floor.  Meaning, the player I’m selected will at least do X this year, and I roll injury risk into this parameter.  If they’ll have 1000 yards rushing and 1000 yards receiving guaranteed if healthy, and because they had over 300 carries last year only have a 50% chance of making it through the season healthy, then their floor calculation should be 500 rush / 500 receiving.  Still a good (round 3 floor).  But if you have a guy like Frank Gore (in his Prime) who proved year after year, that he was going to be healthy for 16 games, you could give him a 100% on the floor calculation, so if (in his prime) he was a 1200 ru. yds, / 9 TD guy, that’s what you put in the books, and in this example, should be taken over the 50% likely guy (DJ).  You have to measure your players on a scale between Tyler Eifert/Jordan Reed and Frank Gore.  The former has a 100% chance of injury and the latter will be injured on by some freak accident.   
If two players have about the same floor - then you can look at who has the higher ceiling.  Frank Gore and DeMarco Murray this year had about the same floor, but Murray had a significantly higher ceiling based on the offense, and a year where he rushed for 2000 yards.  Because of that, there were about three rounds in between their draft positions.  If you, like me, saw DeMarco Murray at the turn between the first and second round last year, and didn’t buy the upside argument, and could see the floor performance staring you in the face, you waited for Gore in the fifth, and took... Todd Gurley? Michael Thomas? Kareem Hunt?  Doug Baldwin? instead.  
This year, top end WR’s finally busted: Jordy Nelson, Mike Evans, TY Hilton, AJ Green, Julio Jones, Dez Bryant - while some had decent years, they well under-performed their projections and likely took your team down with them.  AB was AB, and finished the year number 1, a week early.  Based on this, most top end WR’s floor’s took a dip for me, and the position got blown wide open by PPR monster Jarvis Landry, breakout Adam Thielen, and the written off from day one Robby Anderson.  
Who had a lot of carries this year and had a decent fantasy year as a result: Bell (321), Gurley (279), McCoy (276), Hunt (271), Howard (267), and Gordon (267) were all above 250.  McCoy, Bell and Gordon have injury histories and are risks to get injured in the playoffs or coming season as a result of the heavy workload.  All three have shown that they are capable of carrying the load if given to them, but have let’s say a 30% injury risk for 2018.  I’d watch them.  Bell was also targeted a league-high (at RB) 106 times for 85 receptions.  That adds up to over 400 times he was tackled this year (plus or minus a few sideline plays).  If I can get someone who will have that kind of volume in 2018 who didn’t necessarily accumulate the wear and tear in 2017, I might lean in that direction.  But some of the above, like McCoy, Howard, and Bell, just seem to carry the load year after year, and not really hiccup under the weight (or in the case of McCoy, the hiccups seem to be behind him).  
The next thing I’d do with Running Backs is ask the trending up or trending down question.  Bell and McCoy have to be trending down.  Gurley is only going into third year, along with Howard.  Hunt his second, and Gordon, only his third full season, where he’s actually been carrying the load.  The less than 250 guys, that are likely to exceed that in 2018 are an intriguing bunch, led by Ezekiel Elliot.  In many ways, his 2018 season was gifted to fantasy players based on getting to rest the meaty portion of 2017, which also likely caused Dallas to miss the play-offs, another bunch of touches and tackles, that won’t have to be endured.  Couple that with his hunger to prove himself after a season of inquiry, I’d nudge him as close as possible to the top of next years draft board.  
Argument for taking an RB1 in the first round:
1) If you don’t take a RB in the first round, you won’t be able to get an RB1 any later than the second round. 
2) If you don’t take a QB in the first round, you’ll be able to get one as late as the 10-12th round.
3) If you don’t take a TE in the first round, you’ll be able to scoop up a good TE1 in the 5-7 round range.
4) If you don’t take a WR in the first round, you’ll be able to get a WR1 as late as the third round.  I’m judging that based on a few things, but mostly the dip in WR1 performance.  
Reminder: When I talk about 1′s I’m talking about High-Floor (anchor-type) guys.
Finally, here is my top 12:
1) Ezekiel Elliot (number 3 in PPR)
2) David Johnson (number 1 in PPR)
3) Todd Gurley (number 2 in PPR)
4) LeVeon Bell 
5) Antonio Brown
6) Alvin Kamara
7) Leonard Fournette
8) Dalvin Cook
9) Kareem Hunt
10) Melvin Gordon
11) LeSean McCoy
12) Mark Ingram
  More to follow.  
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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AMA Transcript: Unrequited
Next up, @infantbluee, @kallie-flower, @nori-wings and @thiefofblood (Souly on Discord) came to answer questions and spread the love for their Resbang, Unrequited! Here’s some of what went down:
Q: How did you guys come up with this idea? I remember you threw a ton of ideas around and settled on this one. Can you take us through the process? >:)
kallieflower: Oh god. We went through SO many different ideas. We wrote like what? 40k for our first idea before we scrapped that?
b l u e: Then like 30k for the next one that we also scrapped.
kallieflower: WE KEPT TRYING TO WRITE SHORT THINGS BUT IT DIDN’T WORK. Soma just does not work as shortfic.
b l u e: Even our final bang ended up being a 40k two-shot lmao.
Q: So what was it about this final idea that made u guys decide, YES, this is it???
kallieflower: The first idea was a Madoka Magica AU that exploded into a mess because magical girl worlds take a loooooottttt of work. The second fic also exploded into something big.
b l u e: We were going to stick with it though. We were. We had it all ready for check-in and everything. But then like two days before, kallie went, "okay so I love our fic idea and all but what about this." Me, on three hours of sleep: "I effing hate you." Then we stumbled through our first 3k and sent it to the mods like the gremlins we are.
kallieflower: We didn’t expect it to get so big either but c’est la vie. Chloe almost killed me like 48293783 times during the process but I think we managed alright.
b l u e: You're lucky I love you so much.
Q: Did you guys start writing straight from the beginning of the fic or did you write a specific scene first?
kallieflower: Actually we didn’t start from the beginning haha! Or well, our idea didn’t start from a plot. We just wanted to write Maka cursed. We wanted to write her with no inhibitions in love, like she might’ve been had she not been so hurt by her parents’ separation. And since there are witches in the SE universe, we had fun with that instead of making it an AU.
Q: Do you write linearly at all or did you jump around a lot?
b l u e: Surprisingly yes. Aside from my dream sequences.
kallieflower: Your dream sequences were our pit stops. We just had to actually do the writing to get there.
b l u e: Hahaha our writing process was.... Unique.
kallieflower: That’s one way to put it lmao.
nori-wings: It was a mess, but we love it.
b l u e: WE are a mess so it's just us in fic form.
kallieflower: God yeah. For one thing, this fic was like 90% chloe with me just making her do crazy things I wanted to happen.
nori-wings: And 5% of what the artists wanted to happen.
b l u e: YEAH hahaha that was kallie too tbh. She was like, "me as a witch would not understand anything about my magic at all and would curse people for kicks, so let's do that."
kallieflower: We would have a general plot of how we wanted to go and what points we wanted to hit. Chloe would start to write it, but then I would be like “WAIT WHAT ABOUT THIS.” And then she would pretend she thought I was a total nuisance but we all know she’s too soft and sweet to ever say no to anything. Also our artists were such a LOVELY help too.
b l u e: We wanted as much of their input as possible and we wanted to make this as much of a collab as we could. The train scene at the beginning of the third chapter was all nori because she was mad at us for only torturing Soul and wanted Maka to cry too.
Q: Nori/Souly did you have a favorite piece of art to make?
the monkey chain (soul): The skating scene was my fave. I also accidentally changed the part in the fic with the skating since I didn't ask what kind of skates they were supposed to be kfljgdf.
b l u e: LMAO it's our fault though!!!! We were Too Slow.
nori-wings: Black*Star dragging Soul and Maka is my favorite, it was super fun to draw.
b l u e: When you sent the first wip of that, I think I cried for days. It was better than my dreams. You were both so fast GOD, it takes me seventeen years just to sketch a pic.
kallieflower: For real tho. We don’t deserve artists.
nori-wings: They are exaggerating, it was a quick sketch that I made on a post it lol. It took me a week to draw it in digital.
the monkey chain (soul): I had free time since we moved and were without internet for a night so I had a ton of time to finish my pic.
Q: Did you have trouble meeting the deadline?
kallieflower: Trouble is putting it lightly lmao. We died. Many times.
b l u e: I don't trust fast writers. Clearly they are superhuman. It wouldn't have been hard if we didn't spend so much time drowning in memes and shitposts that we neglected to write.
kallieflower: I blame the internet.
Q: Were there any scenes that you guys really struggled with writing?
b l u e: The beginning, definitely. Everything else flowed out pretty quickly, but the beginning made us want to cry into our pillows and smash our keyboards.
kallieflower: I think there was a period of time where Chloe was like, “I will physically pay you money to write this scene so I don’t have to.” But yeah, the beginning scenes were definitely hardest to write. I think we rewrote them like a million times.
Q: Nori and Souly, was there a part of your art that was trickier to do?
nori-wings: I think painting Soul and Maka's kiss, because I wanted to use as few colors as possible and I played a lot with shading, or at least I tried haha.
the monkey chain (soul): Uhhhh not really for me? My pieces were relatively simple and probably the most issue I had was drawing Maka's skates and figuring out what Soul would be wearing.
b l u e: I cried when we got paired with souly.
kallieflower: Chloe literally fangirled to hell over getting souly as our second artist. And we were very lucky to get nori as our artist too because we already became really close friends through the zine and talked all the time. Our resbang just gave us an excuse to move all our blabber to a personal server lmao.
nori-wings: Yeah, they asked me to be something like a beta but I ended up being their artist.
kallieflower: We joked about it beforehand too and were SO happy it happened. We were so blessed with support and love this year. We never would’ve finished without the help of our artists and betas.
nori-wings: They are making it sound nice, but we wouldn't let them drop out.
kallieflower: LMFAOOOOOO. Nori likes to be sassy but she’s one of the softest of us all
b l u e: We legitimately would've dropped out if not for our artists.
kallieflower: “Do it for our artists” was our mantra through the whole process when we wanted to quit. Peer pressure makes diamonds, maybe.
b l u e: I mean, it didn't feel like that when we were bullshitting our way through our next 5k before each deadline, but it be like that sometimes.
Q: What was your favourite scene to write?
b l u e: My favorite to write was definitely the nightmare demon scene.
kallieflower: Because she’s a sadist and likes angst. Chloe likes to make people feel pain so her favorite scenes were definitely the angsty ones.
b l u e: FDSJFKDSF
Q: For errbody: what do you feel like you improved/grew in this resbang, writing and arting-wise??
kallieflower: For me, I definitely grew in writing skills even though I didn’t end up writing much of this bang (chloe, bless your soul for carrying me this year lmao) because chloe is SO GOOD at writing that it made me want to be better, learn better, do better.
b l u e: Kallie made me work harder than I ever have my entire life and it paid off SO MUCH. I very much only ever write ventfics.
the monkey chain (soul): I feel like I Peaked with Maka's outfit in the skating picture, like I don't pride myself in outfit design much these days but Maka's outfit came out so good. I didn't expect it.
Q: Were there any parts of Unrequited that really pushed you out of your comfort zone?
b l u e: Writing with someone else was such an experience.
kallieflower: We definitely had to compromise a lot in terms of writing. Like I wanted Soul to walk in on Kid touching Maka’s scar and Chloe immediately said “fine, but only if we make Kid a gardener” and if that isn’t a super fair trade off, idk what is. Chloe and I work so well together so that was easy. And we like a lot of the same things.
b l u e: There was a little adjustment [with adapting to different writing styles] but not much, because despite what kallie says, she's actually so freaking smart and talented it actually makes my eyes water.
Q: If you had the time to do something differently, what would you do and why?
b l u e: Everything. Jk no but really. There's just a lot I wish we could've elaborated on. And more suffering to be had of course. I just wish we had more time to elaborate on Spirit and Maka's mom.
kallieflower: Oh god yeah. Maka did not get enough of a backstory in the manga or anime and that makes me sad always.
Q: What made you both decide on the outcome of the curse? Did the witch know how it was going to affect Kid?
b l u e: We actually knew the outcome from the very beginning when we decided what kind of curse it was.
Q: Okay SO one last question for the crew. What is next!!!! >:)
nori-wings: Next collab is me writing and Chloe as my artist. (She just doesn't know it.)
b l u e: FDHDJFKSDDSF
kallieflower: OMG PLS HAHAHA. I’d be all over that collab. Chloe is working on a soma longfic she won’t let me beta because she’s Secretive. And I am trying to work up the energy to use my keyboard again after the hell that was finishing Resbang.
Thanks to the crew for stopping by! Stay tuned for more transcripts!
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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AMA Transcript: Marked in Constellation
For our final AMA of the season, @sojustifiable stopped in to answer questions about her Resbang, Marked in Constellation! Here’s some of what went down:
Q: What inspired this Resbang?
Amanda: Combination of going to Peru and living in a tent and my own experience camping, and then I think there was a movie that came out a while ago that was about someone doing a solo trip up the PCT [Pacific Crest Trail], which inspired the specific setting.
Q: Were any scenes or events within them directly inspired by your Peru or camping experience?
Amanda: I think mostly the little things about camping like hand washing clothes and having to deal with cleaning drinking water. I got a review saying that it felt well-researched which was definitely validating because of those pieces of personal experience.
Q: What kind of research went into the fic?
Amanda: Ohhh man. A lot of research on the trail specifically, marking off day by how far they could get and using elevation charts for and landmarks for describing what they were actually seeing. I used all real towns for when they would resupply and just basically wanted everything to be as true to the setting as possible.
Q: How much time would you say you spent in the planning/research phase of this versus the writing?
Amanda: I did the research mostly as I was writing, I had a window open that had like four or five tabs open, a couple for docs and outlines, and then a couple with maps and charts for the research so I could be constantly cross referencing as I was writing. I had an outline with basic check points but realized at a certain point I needed to adjust the literal pace to cover the distance needed. I did find a really useful tool actually that you could input different sections of trail and a relative pace and it would give recommendations for how many miles to put in each day.
Q: What were some things you added that you hadn't originally planned to write about?
Amanda: Butt mountain for sure. I think it was sig (@sigsegv) who saw that on the map and suggested it needed a place in the story. I think just the general focus on the little places they stopped and cameos of characters they would come across. Pretty much the only things initially planned were encountering a bear and some skinny dipping.
Q: What was your favorite scene to write? And if applicable, what was your favorite mood to write?
Amanda: I definitely enjoyed writing the ending the most, just getting the point of having emotional release/communication made it a lot more satisfying. There had been a little bit of smut earlier, but it wasn't nearly as fun to write because it still had so much emotional constipation, so it didn't end up being satisfying to write or for the characters, I think. Also writing the ending meant being done and that's always a good Resbang feel. [I liked writing] any emotionally charged bits where there's romantic tension and connection building between the characters.
Q: Did you find it hard or not bad at all to come back to Resbang after a writing break? Did you feel like things got smoother as you went along, or was it more or less fine from the get-go?
Amanda: It was definitely tough starting out getting motivated. I really wanted to get back into writing and write Resbang, but I hadn't really had a lot of writing inspiration the last couple years. It was definitely one of those stories that was 99% perspiration 1% inspiration, but I think once I got into a rhythm it was good to see that I could do good work just by internally motivating myself.
Q: Got any tips for internal motivation?
Amanda: Step 1 was setting pretty reasonable word count goals from early on so that I would never be forced to scramble right at the end. I gave myself designated days off or rewards for getting ahead of schedule. Step 2 was accepting that it didn't need to be perfect, especially not to begin with, and it was better to get words down and edit later. The last time I did Resbang, I ended up writing 10k in like 3 days right at the end and didn't want a repeat of that, so I imposed a schedule on myself early on and used the productivity channel to sprint A Lot. [Last Resbang] was horrible and that's when I was in college still too, so I had to do school stuff also and would go sit in this room with a bunch of taxidermy birds between classes to write as much as I could during the day. I think my usual goals [for this year] were 1k a day 5 days a week, and then if I got more then I could take 500 words off the goal for later on, like if I did 2k in one day then the next two days could be 500 words each. Definitely a slow and steady wins the race situation.
Q: Did you find that your word count estimates changed a lot as you went on, or was it pretty stable the whole time?
Amanda: Oh definitely, I expected I might have underestimated it, but I think I started out thinking it would be about 25k and then I want to say it ended up being like 40k. I really should know better at this point.
Q: Did the process of writing this get you in the mood to plan some hikes or camping trips?
Amanda: It did definitely make me want to go camping again. Not immediately, cuz Resbang season is bad weather season, but it did bring it to mind for sure.
Q: Was there any scene or part of it you struggled more to write?
Amanda: Uhh the first smut scene was definitely a struggle. Writing sex where there's emotion behind it but it isn't being expressed was a different challenge for me and I don't think it ended up being as good because of that. I wanted to project the insecurity and sense of performativity into that, but it was a lot of nuance to put into a smallish scene.
Q: Did you notice that your writing style changed at all after your break?
Amanda: Honestly, I haven't read anything old that I've written in a while so I'm not sure how it reads. It felt pretty similar, I just had to get over the feeling of it being less authentic because there wasn't as much pure inspiration behind it. I think it did give me a better sense of being able to write without needing as much inspiration, though, which would be a good skill to hold onto.
Q: Since you’re also an artist, did you do any sketches or paintings or anything to help you visualize stuff as you wrote?
Amanda: I didn't do any art for it. I've thought about doing some after the fact but I feel like the art that sig did really captured everything well. In general I don't think much about small visual details when I'm writing.
Q: What about music? Did you have a playlist you liked for it, or any songs that remind you of it?
Amanda: No, I actually have some problems with auditory processing so if there's certain kinds of music on I won't be able to focus or write. I pretty much listen to exclusively to some kind of white noise generator. If i listened to music that reminded me of anything while writing... I wouldn't get any writing done. Or I would end up typing out the lyrics or something because if there's music going on, that's all I'm going to pay attention to.
Q: Is there anything you'd do differently, or like... anything you regret not being able to get in?
Amanda: There isn't anything I wasn't able to get in. I think the main habit I would like to try to get out of is the compulsive need to write chronologically. I think it would've made the writing process easier if I had let myself do anything out of order. BUT because of the nature of the journey and research it would've been hard to do out of order, so idk. I think it would've been tough because partly I was keeping track of location in my outline like there was always a bolded Day: # and Location if I needed to reference any details about where they were.
Q: Do you have any other writing projects planned?
Amanda: I've been working a bit on some original stuff, but I have a couple thoughts for Resbang next year. One is a brand new idea I'm definitely excited about, tho I haven't done any planning and also it would be a bigger project so we'll see. I think I'm going to try to do a shorter thing this year, though... shorter is relative and doesn't tend to end up staying short. I think the one I'm thinking of could be around 15k tho, which realistically means 30k in Resbang conversion. … Or I could try doing the new idea, which I would start out estimating at 40k, which realistically means 70k.
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Thanks to Amanda and to all of our authors for some great AMAs this season! You can see the archived transcripts on the GrigoriWings forum here!
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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AMA Transcript: And They Were Roommates (Oh My God)
Next up, @karmahope​ came to hang and talk about her Resbang, And They Were Roommates (Oh My God). Here’s some of what went down:
Q: Where'd you get the insp/idea for this Resbang?
karmahope: Yeah so I really had absolutely no idea what I was doing going into this year, so it was actually based off that one tumblr post like 'you've heard of unrequited love, how about requited, unwanted love? Where both sides are like, you??? really???' and it kinda grew from there until it doesn't really resemble that prompt anymore.
Q: What was the hardest part to write?
karmahope: [The hardest scenes were] definitely the emotional moments. My draft had a lot of notes like "insert emotional cheezewiz here' and some of the really domestic parts too. Also like ... that kiss scene at the party?? bc I got so flustered writing even just that much.
Q: Did you have any tunes or playlists while writing the thing?
karmahope: I did! I think I wrote to the 'sad indie' playlist on spotify: https://open.spotify.com/user/spotify/playlist/37i9dQZF1DWVV27DiNWxkR?si=iA1NVyqASTuJHMsZNzAacw. I was writing my BNHA fic Limerence at the same time to this same playlist, and I wanted to emulate that same sort of feel, a little bit. A little longing, a little melancholy.
Q: Do you have any weird/lazy food things you do like soul eating cereal from the box and drinking milk from the container like a heathen?
karmahope: Uhh I didn't know where the bowls were the other day so I made myself cereal in a Tupperware.
Q: Did you have a favorite scene to write?
karmahope: It's been so long, but honestly I loved writing the 4am scene where Maka catches Soul in the act of being a heathen. Also the bees scene. And, also, the party scene... even if it was hard.
Q: Are you a linear writer or do you sorta write things as you come up with em and quilt them together later?
karmahope: I'm so fucking linear. Like, how can I write scenes out of order when one scene affects what happens in the next? Especially as they kind of write themselves as I go. Like I might skip over sections in a scene, but I've gotta know how it ends before I move on.
Q: Do you like writing from Soul's perspective more or Maka's? Because I know you did both.
karmahope: Honestly Soul. He's a Pining Broody Boy. Maka has her shit together just a little bit more so it's harder.
Q: When you were doing the thing, did you have like, set wordcount goals or just kinda blorged it when you could?
karmahope: I was just desperate to get the 10k honestly. There was one check-in where I just wrote a whole lot of bullshit that had nothing to do with the story banking on the fact the mods didn't actually read it. Sorry mods. This year was such a struggle for me. Like in the past I've written like 40k, 20k fics but this year was a whole lot of nope. At least I finished, I had to drop out last year.
Q: Does writing emotional parts make u emotional? Asking 4 a friend.
karmahope: Sometimes!! It depends on the moment tbh. Writing this fic definitely got me into a wistful kinda way.
Q: When you're writing, do you usually have a strong idea of where you're going or something a little more open to changing/building as u go?
karmahope: I think I'm a little more open. I have a very basic outline (Maka moves in, Maka up late at the library, Soul's car breaks down, Party, Soul's parents come to drug test him), and then what happens beyond that happens. A lot of the short shenanigans scenes weren't originally planned.
Q: Was there anything that changed while you were writing?
karmahope: hmmm... I know I definitely added some stuff, I don't think anything in my outline really changed. I'm finding that basic outlines really help. It doesn't have to be anything detailed.
Q: Was there anything that you outlined that didn't make the cut?
karmahope: Here it is .... The Outline:
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karmahope: Okay so points 4 and 5 changed a little. They never danced with someone else and Maka didn't yell at his parents in her underwear. She should have, but it ended up not working out that way. It's okay, she yelled at them in Soul's pants instead. I didn't plan for Wes. He just kinda showed up and threw himself over the furniture.
Q: Who is your favorite side character to write?
karmahope: I really like Kidd, but he wasn't in it much. My favorite side-character moment here was Black Star and Liz when Soma kissed. I have a type tbh. Kidd. Todoroki. Kyouya. They're just such Good Boys.
Q: What are you working on now/plan to work on next?
karmahope: Well, I only really write SE for Resbang so uh. Yeah. I'm working on Limerence, a kacchako fic. Also a kacchako road trip AU. Also my FMA fic. Uhhh ... a collab with ohmytheon for TodoDekuOcha. I've also got an ML fic I haven't abandoned yet. My FMA fic is an OC fic I started writing years ago that's a rewrite of a 160k fic. I started writing when I was ... shit, 14? Now I'm 22. [And] I already know what I'm doing for next year's Resbang so there's that to look forward to.
Thanks to karmahope for coming by! Stay tuned for more transcripts!
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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GUESS WHAT TIME IT IS!!!
It’s ALMOST DECEMBER, MY DUDES!!!
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Which means it’s almost time to SIGN UP FOR RESBANG BOOK CLUB!!! ~
Who are we and what do we do? Check out this post for more info!!!
Sign-ups open December 1, so get ready to get yo READ ON <3 More info on how to sign up coming soon!
Looooove, The Mods
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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LAST DAY to sign up!
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Resbang Book Club sign-ups close tonight, December 14, 2018 @ midnight EST!
Come join us for a super cool Resbang season!! Check out this post for more info, and remember that any author who wants to have an AMA about their Resbang will need to sign up! 
Love, The Mods <333333
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resbang-bookclub · 5 years
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Does the review we submit to sign up for an AMA have to be from our list of assigned fics? Because I thought it was posted before that it didn’t have to be
Sorry for the confusion! The mods have reconsidered and going with one of your three assigned fics. AMAs will be scheduled through the last day of March, so there is no rush!
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resbang-bookclub · 6 years
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Welcome to RBBC 2018!
Hello and welcome back to Resbang season! While the writers and artists are hard at work creating the content we will soon consume, we Bookclub Mods have some info for you about this year’s Resbang Book Club!
Who are we? What do we do?
For anyone new to Bookclub, our mission is to read all participating Resbangs. We do this with your help! Everyone who joins this year will be randomly assigned three fics that don’t contain any of the squicks/triggers you ask not to receive. From there, you just read and review those fics (or more, if you’re ambitious!) and submit the reviews to us to be counted towards our Resbang Hall of Fame, where those people who read and review the MOST fics are celebrated!
We also run AMAs (Ask Me Anything) for any participating Resbang Bookclub author who wants a chance to talk about their work live with Bookclub readers.
What’s new this year?
Based on feedback we got from you guys last year, we’re changing a few details in how we run Bookclub! This year, we reduced the number of required fics from five to three, because even though 65% of survey respondents said that five was a fine number, we also had comments saying it was too much when also trying to write/art for Resbang, given the timeline we were on!
That said, we’re also changing the timeline this year. We’re trying to give everyone a breather after the final posting day and when we start AMAs so that people have more time to read long fics before AMA scheduling begins. More info on the exact schedule to come!
AMAs are also different. This year, we are requiring that all authors who wish to have an AMA first submit at least one review before they get scheduled. One commenter in our survey asked, “Why make authors participate to do AMA?” and we thought it was important to address this! 
The point of Bookclub is to bolster the community that fandom needs in order to thrive. If you are only here to advertise your own work, Bookclub is not for you. We feel very strongly that fandom needs active participation by both readers and content creators (who are often readers themselves) to function at its best, and we do not think that reading and reviewing one fic is too steep a price for the time we put in to hosting and recording the AMAs. If you have any questions about this, feel free to send us an ask or email us at [email protected].
Awesome! How do I sign up?
This year, signups will open on December 1, 2018 and close on December 14, 2018 at midnight EST. We’ll send out more info on how to sign up when it gets closer to the opening date!
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Fantasy Football Booms/Busts 2018: The Detroit Lions
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Fantasy owners seeking RB value in the middle rounds should chase down Lions rookie Kerryon Johnson. (AP)
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As the mercury rises and we inch closer to the open of training camps, our resident fantasy football sickos, Brad Evans and Liz Loza, will profile their favorite booms/busts of every NFL team. Today’s topic: The Former Hello Kitties.
It’s a new era in Detroit with Matt Patricia, and his famous soup strainer, in charge. In terms of potential return on investment, who among the Lions pride are you fondest of?
Brad – KERRYON JOHNSON. Trivia Time! The last two Detroit rushers to surpass 1,000 rushing yards in a season were … Reggie Bush (2013) and, a blast from the past, Kevin Jones (2004). To say the least, running the football in Detroit has been an arduous task on par with scissor-trimming a lawn. Under Patricia, a defensive-minded, RBBC-committed coach, that narrative, however, may soon change.
“Saquads” Barkley, Rashaad Penny, Derrius Guice and others are greenhorns receiving more hype, but Johnson shouldn’t be overlooked. Though occasionally timid on interior runs last season with Auburn (2.90 YAC/att), the youngster features a legitimate three-down skill set. He’s a fluid, cut runner who bursts off-edge, is very competent as a receiver and blows up blitzers behind the line. His high football I.Q. and versatility have already generated much praise with the coaching staff.
Unsurprisingly, Patricia is all about week-to-week and situational matchups, which will force many owners to pass on Johnson. In hindsight, that will look like a terrible miscalculation. The rookie will work side-by-side with LeGarratte Blount and Theo Riddick, but 13-15 touches per game is entirely realistic. At his very affordable 99.3 ADP (RB42), he’s one of the virtual game’s finest mid-round targets. Expect final numbers in range of 190-825-40-320-6, a total similar to what Lamar Miller (RB21) accomplished in 2017.
[Yahoo Fantasy Football leagues are open: Sign up now for free]
Liz – KENNY GOLLADAY. Evans has Pryor. And I have Babytron. A dynamically skilled size/speed prospect whose lack of pedigree depressed his draft stock, Golladay opened the season with an exclamation point. Converting four of seven targets for 69 yards and 2 scores, it appeared as though Detroit had found its next big X receiver.
The hype came to screeching halt, however, when Golladay suffered a hamstring injury heading into Week 4 and was kept off the field until Week 10. Sidelined from practice and missing reps put the young player at a clear disadvantage, though he did manage to close out the year with 80 yards and a score in his final outing.
Due to his limited playing time, it’s hard to discern much from the Huskie’s 2017 stats. What his tape reveals, however, is a player with break-away speed who can wreak havoc in the red zone. The fact that Matt Stafford likes throwing to him obviously helps as well. Already creating buzz in minicamps, and with Eric Ebron now in Indy, Golladay is poised for a second-year breakout. FF: 80-1,000-10
Oppositely, which player should fantasy owners avoid like Gronk trade tweets from fake Adam Schefter accounts?
Liz – LEGARRETTE BLOUNT. One of the first tenants of fantasy football is to avoid chasing touchdowns. So don’t draft Blount. His most impressive stats last year came from red zone carries (#14) and goal line carries (#8). Yet he only had two rushing scores on the season. He may be the luckiest man in football – earning Super Bowl rings in back-to-back years – but he’s no longer a realistic fantasy option. Entering his age-31 season, he’s no more than insurance for Detroit. Kerryon Johnson is the future of this backfield.
Brad – MARVIN JONES. A textbook post-hype sleeper in 2017, Jones kicked down doors and roundhouse punched the competition. He routinely torched defenders downfield, soaring to new statistical heights. He finished No. 5 in yards per target (10.3), No. 6 in fantasy points per target (2.10) and WR13 in total per game output. Largely dependent on long-bomb conversations – he logged just an 18.9 percent target share in ’17 – and with Golladay’s likely step forward, Jones’ odds of even sniffing ’17 are rather bleak. The chance Alex Ovechkin stays sober over the next month or three is better.
Jones may seem like a bargain at his 50.6 ADP (WR25), but looks, they are often deceiving. Michael Crabtree, Corey Davis and Will Fuller, available roughly 20-25 picks later, possess far greater profit potential.
In reality, Richie Rich, Matthew Stafford, could afford an entire fleet of exotic McLaren sports cars, and park them sideways, but yearly salary doesn’t mean squat in fantasy. At his 110.9 ADP (QB10) is the well-off passer OVERVALUED, UNDERVALUED or PROPERLY VALUED ?
Brad – PROPERLY VALUED. Sitting on a gold adorned throne, Stafford is one of the virtual game’s true consistency kings. Once considered Faberge-egg fragile early in his career, he’s finished No. 11 or better in overall QB production seven of the past eight seasons. Efficient downfield (No. 3 in deep-ball completion% in ’17) and on play action, he’s become a more accurate passer under the Cooter’s direction. For those who play the QB patience game on draft day, he should be priority numero uno. Another tally around 4200 passing yards and 30 total touchdowns is inevitable, especially with Detroit’s offensive line enhancements.
Liz – PROPERLY VALUED. Matt Patricia may be the team’s new HC, but Jim Bob Cooter is still the OC. Since being promoted from QBs coach in 2015, Cooter has elevated Stafford’s game by moving to a quick passing offense. Clearly the change agrees with Stafford as his interceptions have decreased (10 in 2016 and 2017) while his YPA (7.9 in 2017) and completion percentages (65.7% in 2017) have increased.
The trend figures to continue as the Lions upgraded their offensive line and backfield via the draft, adding C Frank Ragnow in the first round, OT Tyrell Crosby in the fifth, and RB Kerryon Johnson in the second. Furthermore, Stafford will continue to have four top-notch receiving threats in Golden Tate, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay, and Theo Riddick. A top-eight fantasy producer for three consecutive years, Staff has earned a top-ten ranking.
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