#repo-net the great

[acacia-may]

YTTD requests, you say?

Hello hello, hopefully this isn't a clog or too much of a bother; and most importantly, I hope you're having a great day right now! But I thought I may as well drop in and get a YTTD headcanon request in, seeing as I may or may not have been the cause of you getting into that series in the first place 😶

So, I'll try to indulge you a little by putting down two characters I know you have a really deep love for. Sei and Kai. 💙 + 💛. Maybe for the friendship one, how they deal with the other getting closer and having more friendships with other people? (I wonder if Sei would be the jealous type that's worried someone might try to take advantage of his brother's kindness 😅)

That's all from me. Do take your time with all the asks getting thrown your way in your inbox, and make sure to get plenty of rest and stay in good health! Have a lovely day ahead of you!

Oh my goodness, Repo! Your ask could never be a bother at all! Please don't ever worry about or apologize for sending in asks about anything. I enjoy them a lot and appreciate each and every one of them that comes in (even if it sometimes takes me a while to answer). I'm actually so excited for this one especially, you really have no idea! Thank you so, so much!! 🥰 It's my first YTTD ask ever so I feel very accomplished and also very excited! 🥳

It does feel appropriate that my first YTTD ask would come from you since, yes, you are absolutely the reason I am now suffering... (I'm only kidding of course. Thank you so much again for the recommendation of such an amazing story and game! I've got some of my friends irl playing it now, and my sister absolutely loves it. I would have never even known it existed if not for you so many thanks for that even if I am now heartbroken over a lot of dysfunctional fictional siblings 💕). On that note, there is especially no need for apologies for sending in an ask that is so incredibly self-indulgent for me. Seriously, I feel so spoiled right now. I don't deserve this! 🥺 My problem sons and their dysfunctional brotherly relationship really is so dear to my heart even if (at the same time) thinking about them makes me want to curl up and cry...

Why do I do this to myself?! 😭 KAI AND SEI DESERVED BETTER!!! I want to adopt them and give them cake 🎂 *cries*

Anyway, thank you so much again for the ask and for all of the kind words, friend! I hope you have a wonderful day as well, and I really hope you will like these headcanons! Please feel free to stop by anytime (and send in another ask if you want something more self-indulgent for yourself/an ask about your favorite characters too 😁). Cheers!! 💖

Headcanons are below the cut. Thank you for playing my Bye Bye Writer's Block Headcanon's Game! 🥰

(Warnings: Mentions grieving, food, sickness, injury, child abuse, death and angst. MAJOR SPOILERS for YTTD especially the Kai mini-episode)

Kai & Sei Friendship/Family Headcanons

💙-- Hurt/Comfort

During his childhood, Kai once contracted a terrible flu that lasted nearly two weeks. In general, he and Sei were essentially "on their own" when it came to sickness and injuries as children since Gashu believed that they should be strong enough to get over whatever it was on their own and if they weren't, then it was probably for the best that they just succumb to their wounds or illness. Just luckily neither of them were particularly sickly (usually), but they were often injured as part of their training and mostly learned how to care for and dress wounds for themselves. In this case, however, Kai was the sickest he had probably ever been, but as he wasn't expecting any sort of help, it was a complete shock to him that Sei jumped in to take care of him almost immediately.

In Sei's mind, Kai was such an airhead that he couldn't take care of himself on a good day--there was no way he could take care of himself while he was sick, so even though he really didn't know what he was doing he tried his best to play caregiver--mainly just kept his brother warm, making sure he had plenty of water, trying to keep his fever down with cold compresses, and preparing him meals of instant noodles (the only thing he really knew how to make) while worrying far more than he would ever admit. Sei told Kai not to make a big deal out of it--insisting that he was only helping to patch him up so he could beat him at sparring practice later, but Kai, who had never actually been taken care of before, was truly touched by his brother's actions and tried his best to repay the favor going forward.

(Related) Bonus HC [though this one is more angsty]: The first meals that Kai ever learned how to cook were Sei's favorite foods which Kai learned to make for his brother when he was injured (or on the rare occasions that he was sick). Gashu allowed the hobby because he thought it may prove useful one day (And it eventually did when Kai's cover became 'homemaker' and housekeeper for the Chidouins). Sei was always a bit jealous of Kai's cooking skills, especially since when he was recovering, he got these gourmet meals from his brother, but when Kai was recovering, all he got was instant noodles (since Sei really couldn't cook to save his life). Kai insisted he loved the instant noodles, however. (Of course what he really loved was the fact that his brother had taken the time to make them and take care of him).

When he lost Sei, Kai couldn't bring himself to make his favorite foods for a long time, but he spent many a night for those first couple of months without him crying into a cup of instant noodles.

💛-- Friendship

(A/N: I really loved your prompt! Thank you for that. My sister and I were actually just discussing this very topic a couple of days ago, so I'm more than happy to run with it for you! Also 100% agree with your interpretation of Sei as a protective brother!)

Sei is much more jaded and mistrustful than Kai--believing that other people are always playing some sort of angle and/or only looking out for themselves whereas Kai wants to believe in the best in others and is a truly generous person who will genuinely put other people's wants over his own without expecting anything in return. As this is a foreign concept to Sei, it takes him a long time to realize that Kai genuinely cares about him in altruistic way without any strings attached. Sei who has never had such a relationship before recognizes what a gift and a privilege it is to be loved unconditionally, and as such, his bond with Kai quickly becomes one of the most important things in the world to him.

One of Sei's greatest worries as far as his brother is concerned is that someone will twist or trample on what he considers his brother's greatest strengths and take advantage of Kai's selflessness and generosity. For this reason, Sei can be very protective of Kai. While he admires Kai's kindness and good-hearted nature, he thinks it can make his brother a bit airheaded at times and can cause him to put his guard down around other people when he shouldn't--ultimately, leaving him vulnerable to being taken advantage of. Since Kai is kind of aloof, he can seem to be unapproachable to people who don't know him well, and since he is naturally quiet and not one to take much initiative in social situations, it can be difficult for him to make friends. This is, truthfully, a bit of a relief to Sei since it protects Kai from falling in with a more manipulative group who might try to take advantage of him. That said, Sei would be genuinely sad to learn his brother was lonely and wanted friends when/if he didn't have them.

If Kai ever made some good friends, it would take Sei a very long time to warm up to them. They would likely be incredibly confused upon meeting Sei for the first time since Kai always speaks so warmly about his brother and describes what a caring person he is--failing to mention the fact that his brother is a tsundere so that caring nature is hidden under a frosty exterior of bluntness, callousness, and snark.

Sei would have absolutely no problem telling Kai's friends exactly what he thought of them and would likely tell Kai (on multiple occasions) that he can do better. Ultimately, however, Sei wants good things for Kai. As soon as Kai's friends prove that they care about him just as much as Sei does and really do have his best interests at heart, they will likely become endeared to Sei forever, and Sei will feel very grateful and indebted to them for looking out for his brother.

Kai on the other hand would immediately love any friend that Sei made. In fact, he would probably consider them Sei's friends even before Sei would acknowledge them as such--saying things like "It's so nice to meet your friends, Sei!" while Sei (the indignant little tsun) huffily insists, "They're not my friends. They're just some people I know." Kai would be absolutely thrilled to know that Sei had friends (especially since Sei is pretty vocal about his opinion that "friendship is overrated"), and he would try to include them in all of their activities and basically bring them into the family. Sei would very quickly get huffy and annoyed with Kai constantly insisting "Why don't you invite your friend(s), Sei?", muttering under his breath or bitterly thinking to himself "I wish I had never told you I had friends" at least once or twice a week.

Unlike with Kai's friends meeting Sei and being thoroughly surprised, Sei's friends meeting Kai is exactly what they expected--well once they get past that initial awkwardness and aloofness from Kai being naturally shy and quiet person, that is. It is a very short-lived period of time, however, since Kai really tries to push himself to be more outgoing when meeting the friends of his brother. He likes them very much for taking such good care of Sei and befriending him, so he tries to be more openly warm and friendly towards them. He also always treats them very formally (similar to how he addresses Sara as "Sara-san" or "Miss Sara" in the game), and he actually, genuinely thanks them all for being Sei's friend (which embarrasses his brother to the point that his ears turn pink. Poor Sei).

#kai satou #yttd kai #yttd sei #*cries* about the satou brothers #yttd spoilers #thank you for the ask #headcanon requests #yttd headcanons #repo-net the great

[sunmoon-starfactory]

Gone Fishin' 2.0

This set serves as both an streamlining update to the original files, as well as adds in being able to source items from the sea and to make productive farming situations as well.

Changes from Gone Fishin' 1.0

Optimization of textures: most made smaller, many items repositoried.

Food Points Amounts: All fish used to be worth the same amount of food points. Now they are varied depending upon fish size.

All items unlocked in the catalog for purchase if so desired.

Modern Rods included in separate folder - Shares GUIDs with simple rods; Choose One Type

Converter Crates/Fish Stand have been converted to decorative (requested per beta testers) as their functions have been combined to a new station, they share the same GUIDs as the original versions.

Filet knife has been eliminated from the set, as it's function has been put into the new station.

NEW: Cleaning & Packing station; allows packing of fish crates and butchering of fish.

NEW: Traps; Passive allocation of various fresh water or salt water creatures.

NEW: Tidepools: Quick forage spots for various ocean resources

NEW: Farming Tank: Make various fish, sea critters, and even seaweed renewable resources right at home. A glass recolor of BB Niches is included for making glass walled tanks.

Download - SFS

View Use/Instruction Manual

See below the cut for more detail.

This fishing set is intended to allow a sim to catch a variety of fish based on their body skill rather than their badge skill/season/bait type used. Of course all fishers have good days and bad days so they may also pull up some trash, seaweed or some treasure along with the intended catch.

Key Features:

Bait Sources - To fish, one needs bait. Fresh water fish use worms, and salt water creatures prefer small bait fish. These can also be used as Fish Food for farming. If a sim is super desperate, they are worth 1 food point if stocked to the fridge.

Fish Anywhere, Anytime Spots - Comes in fresh water and salt water variations. Works in all seasons, can be used by multiple sims at the same time. All fish are worth a variety of food points based on size and they can be added directly to the fridge or butchered.

Fish Traps - These are passive traps that run every 3 hours (tunable). They must be baited to function and sometimes come up with nothing.

Tidepools - A great place to forage for mollusks, shells, and other small sea critters and salt water foragables.

Farming Tank - Gather the needed materials and creatures to start farming them rather than relying on chance. Fish, mollusks, shrimp, and seaweed can all be grown. Rather than any particular type of fish, sims will received "Farmed Fish". A glass recolor of BB Niches is included for making glass walled tanks. A decorative protective net object can be called onto the Farm Tank.

Cleaning & Packing Station - This all in one station now takes the place of the previous converters and filet knife. All fish except Tuna and Swordfish can be packed into crates, as well as Lobsters, Crabs, and Fish Filets.

When a fish is butchered on this station, it produces Fish Filets that are worth 1 food point a piece. Sims receive as many that a fish raw stocked is worth, plus an additional filet. With certain traits, sims can gain more.

Displays - The Fish Crate Display and Fishing Rod are back, but have been repoed to the Cask Shelf now to save space.

Tools - The fishing rod tool allows for autonomous fishing while the new pole net is required for farming and other actions.

#ts2 #s2cc #sims2 #sims 2 #cc #custom content #mod #sun&moon #crafting station #star factory

[light-wynd]

TW: blood

I just knew I eventually had to draw something from this fic by @repo-net (go check out his blog btw, he writes a lot of great stuff) ever since I first read it. The idea of Komaru rescuing Nagisa from his robot collapsing on him and carrying him on her back is just... aaaaaaa my heart -

#i have so much brainrot about nagisa hurt/comfort it's not even funny #sorry about the lack of posts lately btw ;-; ive just had no energy whatsoever #tw blood #blood tw #my art #danganronpa #danganronpa ultra despair girls #nagisa shingetsu #shingetsu nagisa #warriors of hope #komaru naegi #naegi komaru #toko fukawa #cause she's kinda there too lmao

[repo-net]

Hi there, Monaca! 😁 I’ve got a question for you (or for Repo-net about you). How would Monaca rank her friends/the other Warriors of Hope? I’ve always gotten the feeling that Monaca and Kotoko actually don’t get along very well even if they act like besties and that Monaca isn’t nearly as close to Masaru as someone might think, for instance. Is that really the case? Thanks in advance & enjoy your blog takeover! 😉

(A/N: Happy April’s Fools too! I’ve gotten such a great laugh about this! Your Monaca post was so spot on that I thought it was some sort of suggested Tumblr post from a Monaca rp blog at first. And gosh you changed your blog theme and colors and everything! It’s impressive!! 😊 Given the current Monaca theme, I thought this would be a good time to ask this but please don’t feel obligated or anything. Cheers!!)

Hello, friend from another land! Thank you for taking the time to write such an interesting question to Monaca.

Hmm, it's been some time since I spent my day thinking about the other Warriors of Hope. My goal is a little further from theirs; and Monaca just has too much on her plate to worry about what antics the four of them get up to. That, and ranking them feels a little trivial and 'gossipy'. But, since you asked so nicely, I'll be happy to indulge you in a few secrets!

4. Jataro Kemuri

Mmm... I don't really have much to say about poor old Jataro, unfortunately. He's just... kind of there. And Monaca feels like he's happy with that role. He says a lot of super strange and random stuff, going on suuuuper long tangets, and all he ever talks about is us hating him.

Which, if he really wants us to believe that? Then Monaca will! It makes him happy, for some strange reason. You can blame his mother for that. Jataro's honestly just really gross and weird - like a worm! But one with value, at the very least. You can never have too many throwaway pieces at your disposal to buy time for yourself, after all.

3. Masaru Daimon

'Monaca's in love with Masaru and how cool, strong and brave he is!' ... That's what Masaru thinks our relationship is, anyways. I get the feeling he does a lot of the stuff he does in an effort to impress Monaca, which I don't particularly mind. But he just feels so needy for the spotlight and to be a 'hero'. He's really reckless and gets himself into trouble so very often.

Frankly, Masaru has his 'redeemable' qualities, if you'd like to call them that. He does care for everyone else in the Warriors of Hope and the other kids in the city in his own arrogant and boastful kind of way, but his motivations are just so fueled with pride of being the best. Monaca can see why he turned out the way he did, but really, I just think he's a little bit too plain.

Still, he's a devoted boy who will never back down from a fight. Monaca could ask him to go out there and fight every adult in the city with his bare hands and he'd probably be silly enough to do it. The 'bravery' and supposed 'courage' he has can be turned into a selfish foolishness quickly and easily.

2. Kotoko Utsugi

If Monaca had to be blunt about it, there's quite the gap between this poor girl and the boy sitting at number one. And even then, she's only up this high anyways because she entertains me in ways the other boys can't. Having someone I can actually talk to about girly girl stuff is a nice way to breathe and relax for once, y'see?

But Monaca knows what Kotoko is. She doesn't love Monaca because she thinks she's 'totally adorbs' and 'so kyuuute'. She loves me because she knows that I know everything that can set her off and turn that freaky facade of hers into a shattered mess in mere seconds. She might be able to fool everyone else, but not Monaca. I know what she really sees me as in the depths of her mind.

But she's more cunning and serves more uses to the grand scheme of things compared to the two pieces below her. Monaca still thinks she's a fraud of an actress, but she wouldn't say that out loud and break poor Kotoko's heart; unless the time finally calls for it and she needs to be disciplined for stepping out of line. Heeheehee...

1. Nagisa Shingetsu

Oh, pitiful Nagisa. It's a travesty; Monaca can see so much potential and talent in him to be something more than what he already is. He can be Monaca's smartest and most reliable soldier, able to handle any task his princess assigns him to because she knows he's capable of it. She expects him to pass every assignment she gives him. But Monaca just can't feel that way about him.

If nothing else; I do... feel amused and charmed by Nagisa's devotion. Out of all the Warriors of Hope, it's super easy to tell that he's more focused than anyone else in our group about the paradise. But his heart is too fragile and too easily manipulated. And that's... dangerous. Monaca knows Nagisa's one heartfelt talk with an adult away from possibly turning against us - and worse, against Monaca.

So... as endearing as Nagisa's obvious feelings for Monaca are and how much he'll do for me to shower him with the praise he's so incredibly reliant on... all I see are the makings of a potential traitor who can't see the world the way Monaca sees it. A shame that him being so obsessed with me is going to be what leads him to break. It'll only be a matter of time though, and he'll finally help me to realize my dream. Doesn't that sound nice, Nagisa? 💚

[purpletruck99]

Garage Plans With Apartment Attached: 4 Things To Take Into Consideration

Men's Dooney and Bourke Paraboot Boat Shoes actually evolved by means of early and Native American concept of moccasins (Moccasins are low tailored shoes that are famous for casual use) and today's paraboot boat shoes quite resemble those historic moccasins. Styles include woven sandals, boots, and leggings. The Native American concept of moccasins reflects the harsh weather and climate that man needed to cope expertise ago, so, as protective footwear became a necessity for the inhabitants.

Regular servicing will let your boat get gone shop used boats every inherent disability which may convey. If you get the boat serviced on an established basis, great get understand the faults of car and it will help anyone to take necessary actions on time. There undoubtedly lot of enthusiasts who go for used aluminum boats they get from aluminum boats for sale charters. In order to need keep in mind to inspect their fittings, fraying ropes and hoses/cables. You'll find many resources on the net that will assist you to with your boat-building home. Boat designs and boat building plans can be obtained online. There are also a range of marine supply merchants internet stores. But a person don't have the watch for repo auctions might quickly find these announcements. If you keep vigil this net, repo auction sites are also good places to exposed to know from the auctions. Then again, repo auction dealers also keep note for these buy a yacht auctions so make sure you have a good rapport with regional auction finance broker. Most new boat designs come along with what's because "Cut Files" These include every single part for the boat, all drawn up with a CAD program, nested neatly on a sheet reduce waste, and ready to cut using a CNC coffee machine. This saves more time than you desire. No more measuring and cutting, grinding and sanding, because most of the parts can be cut by computer. In order to obtain the maximum price for your boat you would like to advertise it somewhere prominent such being a boat specific magazine and even auto mart catalog. Boats generally don't sell when an advert is employed a local paper because amount of people you will target is fixed. On-season boat shows are they held during summer, once the call for for new boats is high. Here you can learn boat sale a wide selection of showcase boats, the latest boat technology and latest designs. These factors are indeed very crucial in buying used seats for boats. There are many shops and stores that offer used boat seats possess of quality and decent. Moreover, houseboats for sale are accessible online so that purchasing becomes convenient and. With these online shops, you can pick out any used seats for boats you require anytime and anywhere.

#boat house #houseboats #buy a home #water front #lake house #boats for sale #yachts for sale #sell a boat #buy a boat #houseboats for sale #buy a yacht #boat dealer #boat broker #yacht dealer #homes #real estate #water #travel #houseboat #yacht #self efficiency

[rorypickett9]

How To Get A Discount On The Purchase Of A Car

There are so many cars available and may be complex and confusing. Personal computer to do is analysis. There are quantity of car leasing websites and literature available support you on your decision. Never forget that you could negotiate from the auto lease deal. This can be true picking a new car. The first way to be able to cheap new car is actually by look for rebates and cash back promos. Because the economy is in a slump and is hitting auto industry harder than most others, suppliers are offering incentives buyer their cars or trucks. Some of the best deals at the moment on new car leasing websites convey a $13,000 cash rebates on the Mercedes-Benz CLK Class, $5000 off a Nissan Titan, and $7500 off the BMW Z4. When you've finally decided that you must use a car, it's time decide one. Make a list of the long island maserati after all and need in a car. The Internet is the perfect place search. A lot of new and used car dealers and private sales have a website so that buyers can search in your car without too much hassle. You may notice a car online that appeals to you, call the car dealer pesticides private owner and ask around the car. Take a look at the car personally, don't jump into anything even though the car looks nice outside, make your necessary inspections and investigations. Just make sure to check regarding any lien on vehicle if your buying private party. An auto mall is also a good place to look if there's one inside your city, because all the different dealers are there, even auto rrnsurance plan. Let's rival the two businesses. First let's take into account the deli. He might have had to plunk down $30,000 to $50,000 much more for the franchise flat fee.and you don't get that back if you go lower than. He probably had to sign a 3 to five year triple net lease on his building. If his business does not make the house.7K to 8K per month is much to be liable for. They're offering $3,000 money back OR 0% financing for 60 months on the 2008 Tribute Hybrids. My credit union is offering 5.25% with regard to the 60 month loan, or 3.75% to get a 36 month loan. When i decided to obtain a 60 month loan, I'd break even only paid off the loan at 51 months. Any shorter than that, and I'd far superior off acquire the $3,long island maserati. I was planning spend it off in 4 years, so I'm to be able to squeeze my budget a little more and take the 36 month loan at 3.75% at a credit union and then take that $3,000 money back. Something new in the used car department so just imagine. The automobile market is usually changing. It indicates that or even always are eco-friendly to find and choose from. Most Victoria dealers may have fresh inventory each week. Often you can discover the new inventory right at home with your pc. There likewise tonnes of non-public sales listed each times. While leasing a car is a alternative to purchasing a new one, may also get caught up in the circumstances and heavy payment schemes if you not strike a number. A whole lot is one lets make use of your leased car with freedom as well as does not have that high a commission. Cheap car leasing needs attention as really operate end up making some mistakes expensive for your expenses. There are thousands of car financers available in every state. Is certainly important much more the best option available for you which serve your interest best beneath your present financial circumstances. Apr vary among various financers and more efficiently the loan term and payment activities. When you sign up for a car loan, be prepared not mainly for the monthly payment but also at fundamental cost for the loan. There are also ways of car, repossessed cars are really cost robust. Buying a repo car is the reason why you can save a lot of money. If you don't mind having a repossessed motor. Government or public auctions are another avenue. There is a wide associated with vehicles, which ranges from trucks, SUV's and even motorcycles. Standard are seized by federal government or some financial institutions and belongs usually to be able to who is unable to payoff their debt. For the great offer you can find, make sure you don't get all the programs and plans accessible lease dealers. Paint protection, tire protection and more are probably not needed depending on how long you take advantage of the car. C. Seek indications of transparency. This means, is the dealer having to give everybody of information in good faith? A dealer in the area trying to show all from the cars historical information usually indicates a booming enterprise that is ethical. Would like to are in business therefore genuinely car leasing websites about the borrower. As a consumer you in order to be very aware of this information. Another perk of using cash is that you may sell difficulties at any time, even if it's baffled. Buying a car with cash allows for you to definitely have a monthly budget with a lesser strain. However, there handful of cons to using cash pay for car.

[sataniccapitalist]

Tomorrow, June 30, the House Financial Services Committee will hold a hearing beginning at 12:30 p.m. titled “Oversight of the Treasury Department’s and Federal Reserve’s Pandemic Response.” Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin are scheduled as witnesses.

A good number of Democrats on this Committee – such as Maxine Waters (the Chair), Katie Porter, Bill Foster, Brad Sherman, Carolyn Maloney, Madeleine Dean, Sylvia Garcia, and Ayanna Pressley – have no problem fashioning probing questions that benefit the American people’s right to know if government is showing proper stewardship of the people’s money. But Republicans can’t seem to craft a meaningful question, opting instead to simply heap praise on Powell and Mnuchin for the bailout and simultaneous deregulation of Wall Street.

Wall Street On Parade is nothing if not charitable. We want to help out the Republicans on this Committee who are so desperately struggling to hone a question that has any meat to it. We offer the following 10 questions for tomorrow’s hearing:

Since September 17, 2019, the Fed has made more than $9 trillion cumulatively in revolving repo loans to the trading houses on Wall Street at interest rates far below what the market would charge. Since mid-March, the Fed has made hundreds of billions of dollars of these loans at almost zero interest to Wall Street, that is, at 1/10th of one percent interest. Why, then, is the Fed charging the State of Illinois 3.82 percent interest on its loan under the Municipal Liquidity Facility? The states of our nation build our roads and bridges and educate our children, along with funding many other essential services. Why should a state have to borrow from the Fed at 38 times the rate of a Wall Street trading house?

Mr. Powell, both you and your Vice Chairman for Supervision, Randal Quarles, have stated that you intend to provide full transparency to the American people as to whom the money from your emergency facilities is flowing. But thus far, you have provided transaction details on just 3 out of 11 emergency programs. The oldest of these programs is the Primary Dealer Credit Facility. At its peak in April, the facility had made loans of more than $31 billion to trading houses on Wall Street. It’s been over three months that this facility has been operating but the American people have yet to learn to whom, specifically, this money went. When do you plan to release transaction data for this facility and the other facilities that you have yet to report on?

Mr. Mnuchin, the CARES Act earmarked $454 billion for you to hand over to the Federal Reserve so that it could leverage that into approximately $4.54 trillion in emergency lending to businesses, states and local governments, and nonprofits in order to deal with the financial crisis created by the COVID-19 pandemic. According to the Fed’s H.4.1 release, as of June 24 it has received only $114 billion of that money, leaving $340 billion unaccounted for. Mr. Mnuchin, the United States is in the worst financial contraction since the Great Depression. Why hasn’t that money gone to where Congress instructed you to deploy it?

Mr. Powell, you and your Vice Chairman for Supervision, Randal Quarles, have repeatedly stated to Congress and in media interviews that the biggest Wall Street banks are “well capitalized.” But on June 24, Bloomberg News reported that from the start of 2017 through March of this year, “Citigroup returned almost twice as much money to its stockholders as it earned.” Those payouts to stockholders included share buybacks and dividend payments on common and preferred stock. The same article also noted that three other Wall Street banks, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo, over the same period had paid out $1.26 for every $1 they reported as net income. Can you explain to us how these banks can be “well capitalized” when they have been paying out more than they have been earning for more than three years?

Mr. Powell, back on September 17 of last year, months before the coronavirus emerged, overnight lending rates on Wall Street abruptly skyrocketed from 2 percent to 10 percent, raising alarm bells that one or more financial institutions were in trouble and nobody wanted to lend to them at less than 10 percent interest. You promised Congress back then that the Fed was researching the problem and would provide Congress with a copy of that report. The Fed jumped in to make those loans in its lender-of-last resort capacity – which is supposed to be a short-term emergency posture. But the Fed has been making those repo loans ever since, to the tune of more than $9 trillion cumulatively. As recently as the first week of June, the Fed had to make $304.20 billion in repo loans. These loans are not going to banks, which could offer that money to consumers and businesses, but to the Wall Street trading houses owned by these banks. Can you now explain to us the nature of the problem that has forced the Fed to continue to make these repo loans to trading houses?

Mr. Powell and Mr. Mnuchin, I’d like each of you to answer this question. After the last financial crisis, the Government Accountability Office published the results of its audit of the Fed’s emergency lending programs. The public learned for the first time that the Fed had made over $2.5 trillion cumulatively in emergency loans to Citigroup over a period that stretched from December 2007 to at least July 21, 2010. For much of that time those loans were illegal because Citigroup was insolvent. The Chair of the FDIC during that crisis was Sheila Bair. She later wrote a book that said this: “virtually no meaningful supervisory measures had been taken against the bank by either the OCC or the NY Fed…Instead, the OCC and the NY Fed stood by as that sick bank continued to pay major dividends and pretended that it was healthy.” Are either of you aware today of any large bank that is under the supervision of the Fed that is being propped up by Fed loans and could not otherwise function?

Mr. Powell, Reuters reported on October 1 of last year that JPMorgan reduced the cash it has on deposit at the Federal Reserve, from which it might have lent to consumers and businesses, by $158 billion in the year through June, a 57% decline. Can you explain to us why the Fed allowed JPMorgan to reduce its reserves with the Fed by 57 percent and what the bank explained to you was the reason for that dramatic drawdown?

Mr. Powell, the European Central Bank in March called upon the banks in the euro zone to refrain from engaging in share buybacks and paying dividends. Large U.S. banks, on their own, announced the discontinuation of buybacks in March but have continued to pay dividends. Why hasn’t the Fed asked the banks to conserve their money available for loans to businesses and consumers during this crisis by suspending dividend payments? And part 2 of that question, has the Fed made repo loans to units of these banks that continued to pay out dividends to shareholders?

Mr. Mnuchin and Mr. Powell, are either of you aware of any Trump business or any member of the Trump family that has benefited from any of the Paycheck Protection Program loans or loans from the Fed’s lending facilities?

Mr. Powell, on May 13 the Fed’s Vice Chairman for Supervision, Randal Quarles, testified before a House hearing. He was asked about the Fed’s corporate bond buying program regarding whether the Fed would hold the bonds to maturity or sell them before maturity in the open market. Mr. Quarles stated: “Our intention is to buy and hold.” Since the Fed is planning to buy bonds with maturities up to five years, are the American people to understand that the Fed envisions being involved in propping up the corporate bond market in the U.S. for half a decade?

Facebook

Twitter

Email

#citigroup #jpmorganchase #wellsfargo #bankofamerica #steve mnuchin

[acacia-may]

Hello hello, it is I again, here to poke at your blog again. Hope you've been having a good week! Thought I might as well see some of your takes on a few things, though I'm not sure if you only wanted one of these categories or all four of them. Either way, feel free to answer the ones you find most interesting!

Show: Not exactly shows, but I guess Danganronpa or Your Turn To Die would be a fun start, ahaha.

Character: Kai Satou or Sei Satou? (Though this one is a little unfair, since Kai has so much more screentime and impact in the main story, unless you wanna count Ranger with Sei 😅)

Pairing: I don't often get to ask about Demon Slayer, so here's one. Shinobu and Giyu, or Mitsuri and Iguro?

Anything: As for which one you prefer more; whether it be writing it or reading it - Hurt/Comfort, or Fluff AUs?

REPO-NET THE GREAT!!! 💙 Oh my gosh, hi friend! I'm so excited to see that you're back. I hope you're doing wonderfully! Thank you so much for your ask. I really can't tell you how excited I am every time I see an ask from you. You're one of my favorite people, and your asks always make me smile! Please poke at my blog anytime. I am always, always happy to talk to you! 🥰

I'd love to answer all of your questions. Thank you for sending them in! 😊 I apologize that it has taken me a bit to circle back with you. You came up with such wonderfully difficult questions (and impossible choices), so I really had to give them some thought before I responded. I really appreciate them though and enjoyed these a lot. My answers are below the cut. Thank you so much for the ask and for the playing the make me choose ask game!

(Warnings: Some spoilers for Your Turn To Die. Vague spoilers for Danganronpa & Demon Slayer)

Danganronpa or Your Turn To Die?

Out of all of your questions, I think this was the hardest for me to answer. I love them both so much so this is kind of the impossible question for me. 😅 There are things that I enjoyed more about Danganronpa than YTTD and things that I enjoyed more about YTTD than Danganronpa so it's hard to compare the two even though they are similar genres. I have waffled on it a lot and even asked my sister for a second opinion, but I think I will have to say Danganronpa just because the series is finished.

To be fair, I adore Your Turn To Die. It's riveting and compelling with top-tier storytelling and characters, and as a whole, I think I enjoyed it even more than Danganronpa so far (which is saying a lot because the Danganronpa series is really amazing). However, while I expect YTTD to continue to be just as incredible as it has been, the last chapter isn't out yet, so I suppose there is the off chance that the story could stumble in its final act and have a disappointing ending. Whereas with Danganronpa, I just finished V3 (and the series) and thought it was really interesting. I liked the final game a lot more than I expected, and now that I have the whole story, I feel confident saying that though the Danganronpa canon of games does have some flaws (as everything does), it ultimately tells a very compelling and interesting story and contains some incredibly dynamic characters. What it did with its "antagonists" in UDG especially is one of the most interesting storytelling/narrative choices that I've ever seen. While there were some things that could have been executed better in the series and there is a certain macabre whimsy to the tone of the games that can be a bit hard to get used to at first, the series is so inventive, and I love it for being so different than everything else. Its ideas are solid, its themes are compelling and often make you think, and its characters are very distinctive, memorable, and (in many cases) endearing. Also, how could I ever vote against my children? ❤️💛💗💙

Kai Satou or Sei Satou?

(Warnings: YTTD Spoilers Ahead)

Ouch! This one hurts. I don't want to choose. 🙈 My heart says Sei, and here's why: my sister would say Kai in a heartbeat. He was her favorite character in the whole game, and Kai gets plenty of love and admiration from her so I feel like my love and admiration is less important. Poor Sei, on the other hand, has never been picked first for anything in his life. Even his own "father" preferred Kai to him which is genuinely very sad and tragic. His family issues aside, I think his brash and callous personality is also a little off-putting and isn't doing him any favors in the overall likability department. It is understandable to me that most people would likely choose Kai over Sei in this scenario since he is arguably more personable--just awkward upfront but the biggest softie when you get to know him.

The way I see it, what Kai has going for him is that you might think he is a misanthrope who can't stand company and just wants to be left alone only to find out that deep down he's actually just shy and awkward and wants friends. But with Sei, you might think he's a misanthrope who can't stand company and just wants to be left alone only to find out that deep down he actually is. And I will be perfectly honest with you, I love him for it. You go, Sei! 🧡 I'm only joking of course. After all, much, much deeper down Sei also wants friends and is deeply devoted to the select few people he has chosen to care about, but I have a hard time believing he cares about the opinions of the majority of the people of the world. He has "his people" and he loves them but to everyone else he is a misanthrope who can't stand company and just wants to be left alone. I can respect that, especially since he's pretty upfront and honest about it.

I know I'm roasting Sei a little bit (out of love, of course), but in all honesty, he really is one of my favorite characters in the series and my heart says choose him here even if it doesn't make logical sense, as you pointed out in your ask. I will own this. I will admit it. I am usually a logical, analytical spreadsheet person who can be kind of cynical, but there is a reason I got an emotion route on my first YTTD playthrough. I get really, really attached to my favorite characters, and I am really, really attached to Sei. He managed to have such a compelling story arc for such a tiny "little tree" (side character), and he fits perfectly in my "favorite character" alignment chart, so I'm a little biased. I have such a bleeding heart for the overachieving perfectionists with rough edges, brother issues, childhood trauma, inferiority complexes, and (secret) deep devotion and loyalty. It's an ongoing problem, and, naturally, I adopted Sei as one of my favorites right away (even though I knew his story would ultimately break my heart and it did). While I'll roast him to the end of time, I'll also be the first to defend him because he really did love his brother and deserved so much better than what he got.

I would be amiss if I didn't mention that I absolutely love Kai as a character as well, and yes, you are absolutely right that Kai had a much bigger role in and impact on the story than Sei. He really is one of the most influential characters in the game with his connection to the Chidouins, his laptop filled with game-changing (no pun intended) information, and his defiance against Asunaro serving as a catalyst for others to rise up against the death game. But, on the other hand, given Kai's backstory and how influential Sei was in Kai becoming who he is by the time we meet him in the canon, I think the argument could be made that Sei is also one of the most important characters since (arguably) Kai was only able to have that role and that impact in the story because of Sei and because of his sacrifice. Without Sei as the catalyst for Kai and his arc, Kai couldn't have been a catalyst for the other participants and their arcs. Sei's the real hero here, so I choose Sei (and am getting down off my soap box now 😂).

Shinobu x Giyu or Mitsuri x Iguro?

Oh my gosh, Repo! I had no idea you were also a Demon Slayer fan! That's awesome! I don't get a lot of Demon Slayer asks, so this was a very pleasant surprise. (Please feel free to ask about it any time if you're so inclined). 💕 I'm not sure if you've read the manga, seen the anime, or both so I'll try to be as vague as possible as not to spoil anything for you, just in case.

I'll admit I like both of these. They're great dynamics! Shinobu is my favorite character in Demon Slayer, and her dynamic with Giyu is one of my favorites in the entire series (My sister used to joke that Shinobu and Giyu's friendship was actually my favorite character in Demon Slayer 😂). I don't mind Giyushino as a romantic pairing and have played around with it in an AU sense, but I think I prefer to think of them as platonic friends under most circumstances (and think they probably were just platonic friends in the canon) so I'm going with Iguro and Mitsuri on this one.

Obamitsu is probably my favorite romantic pairing in all of Demon Slayer. I was on 100% board with it from those socks 🧦 and only got more and more invested as time went on. It brought actual tears to my eyes by a certain point, and for someone who usually doesn't get into shipping in media, this was a huge thing for me. I had a friend of mine laughing once because she texted me and asked what I was doing and I had to tell her "listening to music and crying over a fictional relationship." 🙈 (I have an entire playlist devoted to them that I listen to on repeat when I'm feeling particularly feels-y about their relationship. It's one of my favorites I've ever made). I don't want to say too much about them in case of spoilers, but there's just something about the selflessness of their devotion and loyalty to each other, the sacrifices they were willing to make to protect each other and ensure the best for each other, and their bond of love built on a strong foundation of friendship that I found incredibly compelling. I was just so moved by how Iguro and Mitsuri both struggled with these deep insecurities as individuals and, in a certain way, thought of themselves as unlovable, but then they find each other, find someone who truly sees them-- flaws and insecurities and all--but still thinks they are wonderful and chooses to love them anyway. It was really beautiful--one of my favorite things about the series, if I'm being honest (even if it turned me into a weepy, emotional mess). 💕

As for which one you prefer more; whether it be writing it or reading it - Hurt/Comfort, or Fluff AUs?

(Warnings: YTTD Spoilers)

This is a tricky one because these are probably my favorite genres when it comes to fanfictions (both for reading and writing). I think it depends on the fandom and also on the characters involved as well as my mood. Sometimes I just want good times, happiness and shenanigans for my favorite characters and want to imagine the bad times never happened to them, but on the other hand, I think the hurt/comfort genre in general is much more cathartic to me personally than an AU where everyone lives and/or everything is fine and the bad stuff never happened.

While I want good things for all the characters I love, sometimes I feel like I'm forcing them into a fluff AU or that such an AU would change who they are too much, if that makes sense? A lot of times the tragedies that a character has suffered in their life had an integral role in shaping who they are. Like I was saying about Kai for instance. I firmly believe that losing Sei, especially losing Sei the way he did, was one of the things that gave him the courage to stand up against Asunaro in the end. In very simple terms, I think, he grew to see Sara as a little sister and couldn't bear the thought of Asunaro taking another sibling away from him. While I can definitely have a little fun imagining a fluffy shenanigans world where Asunaro didn't even exist and the Satou brothers work together in a bakery owned by Mai for instance, I think there's something about a Fluff AU that feels a little cheap to me, like that's not really Kai and Sei so it doesn't really fix anything, whereas with a quality hurt/comfort story, the actual lived experiences (the trauma, the grief, the suffering ect.) of the characters involved is acknowledged and validated, but the characters find the hope and healing necessary to move forward to a brighter future.

I personally take much more comfort in that than in imagining a world where the tragedy never happened in the first place, and I think I write more stories in that vein of hurt/comfort than I do fluffy pieces or I sometimes figure out a way to combine them, like with the Dad Nagisa story where there's that bittersweet twinge in there that all this fluff and this happy ending is deserved after everything he has been through. I think overall I like hopeful endings, and for the characters I love most, I want them to reach a place where they are on the other side of the most tragic aspects of their lives and yes, there might always be a wound there and there is nothing that the future could bring that would make all that pain they went through okay, but I want them to reach that place where they know and they get to experience that there is something better, something brighter waiting for them on the other side of something so terrible. I want to use my fanfictions to give the characters hope that tragedy isn't the end of their story.

I love the same things in the fanfictions I read though I am way less particular about the fanfictions that I read than I am with the ones I write. I'm a pretty tough critic of my own writing and much more particular when I choose what to write about versus choosing what to read 😅, and most of the time I filter stories by character or relationship (whether platonic or romantic) rather than by genre. Looking back on some of my all-time favorite fanfictions I've ever read though, most of them had some of those more hopeful, hurt/comfort elements to them, so perhaps Hurt/Comfort really does win the day!

That said, stumbling upon a well-written, cotton candy fluff piece can absolutely make my day and have me grinning ear to ear and squealing at my computer screen, so I'll never deny the absolute joy that fluff can bring either. I guess this really is just another tough choice to end a series of tough choices. 😅

Thank you so much for such wonderful questions that really made me think and for listening to all of my ramblings. Cheers & much love to you, friend! 💕

#this turned into a long defense of sei #so i think i'll tag him #sei yttd #sei satou #little tree appreciation 🌲🌲 #cries about the satou brothers #make me choose ask game #repo-net the great #thank you for the ask #acacia's ramblings #answered asks #yttd spoilers

[medialists]

Mamma Mia

Atomic Blonde 

Filth 

Regression 

Colonia 

El círculo 

Beauty and the Beast 

Trance 

Victor Frankenstein 

Atonement 

Starter for 10 

Becoming Jane 

The Conspirator

The Last King of Scotland 

X-Men.

Glass 

The Last Station 

Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind 

Big Fish 

La desaparición de Eleanor Rigby 

Submergence 

Thor 

The Avengers 

Intensamente 

Las ventajas de ser invisible 

IT. 

Inception 

Harry Potter.

At eternity's gate 

Catch me if you can 

Her 

Pulp Fiction 

Xavier Dolan 

Memorias de una Geisha 

Ready player one 

Battle angel 

Taxi Driver 

El doble 

Shutter island 

Cube 

My week with Marilyn 

Noé 

Ballet shoes 

El diablo viste a la moda 

Cazafantasmas 

Les miserables 

Lady Bird 

The Truman Show 

Irene, yo y mi otro yo 

Call me by your name 

The Favorite 

La la land 

La chica del tren 

Jolene 

Winter's war 

Tomb Raider 

Ex machina 

El código Da Vinci 

Ángeles y demonios 

Mean Girls 

Mulan 

Coraline 

Mujer Bonita 

E.T. 

Crimson Peak. 

Extraordinario. 

Las de Marvel que faltan 

The Room 

A quiet place 

Blade Runner 

Animales Nocturnos 

Animales Fantásticos  

La Propuesta 

A star is born 

Begin again 

Anon. 

From Russia with Love

Goldfinger

Thunderball

You Only Live Twice

On Her Majesty's Secret Service

Diamonds Are Forever

The Man with the Golden Gun

For Your Eyes Only

Octopussy

Never Say Never Again

A View to a Kill

The Living Daylights

GoldenEye

Tomorrow Never Dies

The World is not Enough

Die Other Day

Casino Royale

Quantum of Solace

Dawn of the Dead

Blade II

RED

The Dark Knight Rises

Kick-Ass 2

Die Hard

Scarface

From Dusk till Dawn

Face/Off

No Escape

Impostor

Death Race 2

Jobs

Les Quatre Cents Coups

The Wolf of Wall Street

The Murder of Princess Diana

The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

Fight Club

My Sister's Keeper

Ida

Loreak

Sowon

Gran Torino

All About Eve

The Nun's Story

The Sunset Limited

A Clockwork Orange

Kingsman.

Batman: Under the Red Hood

Lords of Dogtown

Unbroken

Ip Man

Million Dollar Baby

Concussion

The Great Gatsby

Lilting

Birdman

The Theory of Everything

War and Peace

Collateral Beauty

The Children's Hours

Moulin Rouge!

Dolls

The Bridges of Madison County

As Good as It Gets

Me Before You

Before Sunrise

Before Midnight

Carol

The Reader

Like Crazy

New York, I Love You

Anna Karenina

Pride & Prejudice

Bridget Jones's Diary

How to Marry a Millionaire

Bus Stop

The Prince and the Showgirl

Ladies of the Chorus

Roman Holiday

Prendimi l'Anima

The Young Victoria

Sabrina

Ed Wood

My Life Without Me

A Woman of Paris

Metropolis

The Nightmare Before Christmas

Fantasia 2000

Punisher: War Zone

Robin and Marian

The Unforgiven

Green Mansions

Live and Let Die

Austin Powers: International Man of Mystery

The Rocky Horror Picture Show

To the Bone

T2 Trainspotting

La Grande Bellezza

Men, Women & Children

Lost in Translation

Ghost World

Before Sunset

Evil Dead

Army of Darkness

After Earth

Hulk

Get Smart

Raiders of the Lost Ark

The Dark Crystal

Labyrinth

300

Mononoke Hime

Edge of Tomorrow

Death Race 2050

L'Écume des Jours

Paris When It Sizzles

The Seven Year Itch

Down with Love

Monkey Business

Dead Alive

Monty Python's Life of Brian

Vertigo

They All Laughed

Love Among Thieves

Gentlemen Prefer Blondes

Let's Make Love

Funny Face

On the Town

The Sky's the Limit

A Damsel in Distress

Shall We Dance

There's No Business Like Show Business

It's Always Fair Weather

My Fair Lady

Don't Bother to Knock

Monte Carlo Baby

Las Dos Caras de la Verdad

Ciudad en Tinieblas

El Bebé de Rose Mary

The Chuck Net Atrapado Sin Salida

El Experimento

Holy Motors

Mindscape

Twin Peaks Fire Walk With Me

Antichrist

Bottom of the Worlds

High Rise

Southland Tales

Magnolia

Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy

Inherent Vice

The Lobster

The Number 23

They Look Like People

Upstream Color

Twelve Monkeys

Minority Report

Los Cromocrímenes

Predestination

About time

Blue Velvet

Pi: Faith in Chaos

The Box

Identity

The Life of David Gale

The Gift

Lovesong

Miss Sloane

The Meyerowitz Stories

The Big Sick

Efectos Secundarios

The Notebook

The Odd Life of Timothy Green

The Little Mermaid

Manchester By the Sea

Silence

Moonlight

Hunt for the Wilderpeople

Snowpiercer

Star Trek Beyond

Moonrise Kingdom

No Country for Old Men

The Exorcist

The Darjeeling Limited

House of Sand and Fog

Napoleon Dynamite

The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus

Armores Perros

La Dictadura Perfecta

Frida

El Crimen del Padre Amado

El Estudiante

Cilantro y Perejil

Perfume de Violetas

Arráncame la Vida

Como Agua para Chocolate

Solo Con tu Pareja

El Callejón de los Milagros

Rojo Amanecer

La Ley de Herodes

Un Monstruo de Mil Cabezas

Las Horas Contigo

Maquinaria Paramericana

Ella es Ramona

El Jeremias

Sopladora de Hojas

Los Insólitos Peces Gatos

Guten Tag, Ramon

El Infierno

Mientras el Lobo No Está

Sexo, Pudor y Lágrimas

Miss Bala

Cronos

Después de Lucía

Qué Culpa Tiene el Niño

Nosotros los Nobles

La Jaula de Oro

Y tu Mamá También

Canoa

Amar te Duele

Toki Wo Kakeru Shoujo

Transformers

Harry Potter

Old Yeller

Legally Blonde

Miller's Crossing

Faustrecht der Freiheit

It's Called Murder, Baby

Heathers

The Love Witch

Southside With You

Pink Flamingos

Hr's Just Not That Into You

Windstruck

What's Your Number?

There's Something About Mary

When Harry Met Sally

Forgettin Sarah Marshall

Say Anything

Pretty Woman

Not Another Teen Movie

Kate & Leopold

Sleepless in Seattle

Pretty in Pink

Serendipity

Four Weddings And A Funeral

50 First Dates

Bridget Jones' Diary

Something's Gotta Give

Pánico Antes del Amanecer

Cumpleaños Mortal

Viernes 13

La Quema

The Slumber Party Massacre

Campamento Sangriento

Curtains

Siete Mujeres Atrapadas

The House On Sorority Row

Detrás de la Máscara

April Fool's Day

Lovecraft

Bubba Ho-Tep

Thor Ragnarok

Lo Que Hacemos en las Sombras

Zombies Party

La Noche de los Muertos Vivientes

El Regreso de los Muertos Vivientes

Army of Darkness

Pasion Infernal

Terroríficamente muertos

El Baile de los Vampiros

Braindead

Creepshow

El Jovencito Frankeinstein

Gremlins

Un Hombre Lobo Americano en Londres

The Edge Of Seventeen

Murder of Cats

The Book of Love

Atomic Falafel

Buddies

Tiempos felices

Illegal

Nise: El Corazón de la Locura

Kill Command

The Blind Side

The Fundamentals of Caring

The Danish Girl

Miss You Already

Fantastic Beasts the Crimes of Grindelwald

Side Effects

Requiem for a Dream

Constantine

The Island

The Box

The Tall Man

Oblivion

Gods of Egypt

Twilight Zone

Dusk Dawn

Jeepers Creepers

The Descent

30 Days of Night

The Midnight Meat Train

VHS

Minority Report

Terminator

Avatar

Midnight Sun

The Book of Henry

Lady Bird

Truth or Dare

Adrift

Stronger

Every Day

A Nightmire on Elm Street

REC

Monsters

American Mary

Found

The Witches

Let Me In

Let the Right One In

Oculus

Insidious 4: The Last Key

Trainspotting

Night of the Living Dead

Life of Brian

Drive

Snatch

Blade Runner

Scarface

Lord of the Rings

Ben - Hur

Cantinflas

Tin tan

Pedro Infante

Gone With the Wind

Indiana Jones

Salon Kitty

The Wild Bunch

Harold and Maude

The Warriors

The Long Goodbye

Deep End

Coonskin

The Bestia in Calore

La Cage aux Folles

Badlands

The Brood

1941

Eraserhead

Labyrinth

Legend

The Sound of Music

Repo! The Genetic Opera

Enemy Mine

Cannibal Holocaust

The Evil Dead

Lola Montes

King Kong

Rock and Roll High School

Blood In Blood Out

Easy Rider

Heavy Metal

Pink Floyd The Wall

Wicker Park

Lars and the Real Girl

The Cable Guy

Sophie's Choice

Brokeback Mountain

A Wrinkle in Time

Scream

Presagio

Señales

Titanes del pacífico

Clint Eastwood

Dirty Harry

Chappie

The Greatest Showman

Safe Heaven

Across the Universe

Thirteen

Perfect Sense

A Life Less Ordinary

Shallow Grave

No Reservations

The Holiday

Ali G in da House

The Reader

The Dressmaker

Brigsby Bear

Cast Away

Romeo + Juliet

What's Eating Gilberte Grape?

Body of Lies

Little Nemo Adventures in Slumberland

Apt Pupil

Stand by Me

Shawshank Redemption

Excalibur

Hearts Beat Loud

Velvet Buzzsaw

Nightcrawler

Chungking Express

Twin Peaks

Throne of Blood

Harakiri

2046

Tokyo Story

F for Fake

Allegrophobia

Lost in Translation

Hereditary

Twin Peaks: Fire Walk with Me

Rear Window

West Side Story

Manhattan

David Lynch Cooking Quinoa

Ikiru

Midnight Cowboy

Bonnie and Clyde

The Straight Story

Annie Hall

The Great Dictator

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

M

Y tu Mamá También

Paddington

Paddington 2

Birdman

Autumn Sonata

To Kill a Mockingbird

Barry Lyndon

It's a Wonderful Life

The Wrestler

The Florida Project

Rashomon

It's Such a Beautiful Day

Paths of Glory

Kung Fury

Boogie Nights

Gone with the Wind

The Prestige

Shaun of the Dead

The World's End

In the Mood for Love

Handmaiden

Intolerance

El Bola

Celda 211

El Olivo

Las 13 Rosas

Blue Valentine

Closer

Like Crazy

(500) Days of Summer

Le Mépris

Match Point

Ruby Sparks

Once

Revolutionary Road

Happy Together

Sleepy Hollow

Vampyr

Black Sunday

The Hunger

The Haunting

Rebecca

Crimson Peak

The Crow

Pan's Labyrinth

Bram Stoker's Dracula

Drácula

Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?

A Cure for Wellness

Horror of Dracula

The Bride

La Novia

Flavors of Youth

Dead Poet's Society

Mary and Max

Dear Zachary: a Letter to a Son about His Father

Big Fish & Begonia

20th Century Women

The Villainess

Touch of Evil

Christine

Zero Dark Thirty

The Stranger

Hannibal

El Autor

Short Term 12

Grave of the Fireflies

Cinema Paradiso

My Girl

A Ghost Story

Hasta el viento tiene miedo

El libro de piedra

Veneno para hadas

Pearl Harbor

Infierno azul

Guerra de Novias

El Bar Coyote

Needful Things

Sense & Sensibility

El Diario de Carlota

Batman vs Superman

Black Panther

Dredd

Scream

Valentine

Camino hacia el terror

Sé lo que hicieron el verano pasado

Joy Ride

Jeepers Creepers

La reunión del diablo

Viernes 13

Another Earth

A Quiet Place

Mississippi en llamas

The breakfast club

The revenant

birdman

sing street *

frida

roma

catch me if you can

dead poets society

the age of adaline

changeling

brooklyn

good will hunting

artificial intelligence

paranoia

to the bone

the danish girl

90 minutes in heaven

while you were sleeping

james and the giant peach

Crimson peak

pretty woman

summer days with coo

the breadwinner

summer wars

the gift

cargo

julie & julia

spirit

8 mile

raw

okja

schindler's list

blue valentine

the hateful eight

the untouchables

old boy

ghost in the shell

sophie's choice

ip man 2

frances ha

the tree of life

amanda knox

hail, caesar!

Janis: little girl blue

my beautiful broken brain

noah

the badadook

origin: spirits of the past

project almanac

the thing

bird box

death note

death note ii

1922

death note: light up the new world

pandora

american gangster

the nightmare

pasión por las letras

le dîner de cons

la grande vadrouille

la traversée de paris

le fabuleux destin d'Amelie Poulain

El secreto de Adeline

La boda de mi mejor amigo

Loco por ella

Quédate a mi lado

The mexican

A él no le gustas tanto

El regalo

Lo imposible

Con derecho a roce

Mi segunda vez

Canta!

El examen

El número 23

The game

Clown house

Km3!

Macario

Once upon a time in Mexico

Wes Creaven's New Nightmare

Don't look now

Eyes without a face

Como si fuera la primera vez

El diario de Biridget Jones

500 días con ella

Juno

El descanso

Virgen a los 40

Eterno resplandor de una mente sin recuerdos

Realmente amor

Ligeramente embarazada

¿Cómo sobrevivir a un ex?

Mensajero del futuro

El imperio del fuego

El libro de Emo

Oblivion: el tiempo del olvido

La última esperanza

Escape de NY

El expresó del miedo

Soy leyenda

El último camino

Cuando el destino nos alcance

Sunset boulevard

North by northwest

The artist

The good the bad and the ugly

Highlander

Hair

The Maltese falcon

The road

Independence day

Armageddon

28 dias después

Hijos de los hombres

La guerra de los mundos

Stake land

Take shelter

Snowpiercer

2012

Supersalidos

American Pie

Rumores y mentiras

Todo en un día

Chicas malas

El club de los cinco

El exorcista

El descenso

The babadook

La matanza de Texas

La cosa

Martyrs

Rec 2

El conjuro 2

Pulse

Evil dead

Voice from the stone

Clinical

Dig two graves

Kidnap

Black butterfly

Grey Lady

Dans la maison

Memories of a murder

Incendies

The prestige

Gone baby gone

El secreto de sus ojos

Mystic River

[johnmauldin]

A Crisis Has Already Begun… We Just Don’t Know It Yet

Let’s address an elephant in the room: the rapidly expanding federal debt. Each annual deficit raises the total debt and forces the Treasury to issue more debt, in hopes someone will buy it.

The US government ran a $343 billion deficit in the first two months of fiscal 2020 (October and November), and the 12-month budget deficit again surpassed $1 trillion. Federal spending rose 7% from a year earlier while tax receipts grew only 3%.

No problem, some say, we owe it to ourselves, and anyway people will always buy Uncle Sam’s debt. That is unfortunately not true.

Foreign Treasury Buyers Are Turning Away

The foreign buyers on whom we have long depended are turning away, as Peter Boockvar noted:

Foreign selling of US notes and bonds continued in October by a net $16.7b. This brings the year-to-date selling to $99b with much driven by liquidations from the Chinese and Japanese. It was back in 2011 and 2012 when in each year foreigners bought over $400b worth. Thus, it is domestically where we are now financing our ever-increasing budget deficits.

The Fed now has also become a big part of the monetization process via its purchases of T-bills which also drives banks into buying notes. The Fed's balance sheet is now $335b higher than it was in September at $4.095 trillion. Again, however the Fed wants to define what it's doing, market participants view this as QE4 with all the asset price inflation that comes along with QE programs.

It will be real interesting to see what happens in 2020 to the repo market when the Fed tries to end its injections and how markets respond when its balance sheet stops increasing in size. It's so easy to get involved and so difficult to leave.

Declining foreign purchases are, in part, a consequence of the trade war.

The dollars China and Japan use to buy our T-bills are the same dollars we pay them for our imported goods. But interest and exchange rates also matter. With rates negative or lower than ours in most of the developed world, the US had been the best parking place.

But in the last year, other central banks started looking for a NIRP exit. Higher rate expectations elsewhere combined with stable or falling US rates give foreign buyers—who must also pay for currency hedges—less incentive to buy US debt.

If you live in a foreign country and have a particular need for its local currency, an extra 1% in yield isn’t worth the risk of losing even more in the exchange rate.

I know some think China or other countries are opting out of the US Treasury market for political reasons, but it’s simply business. The math just doesn’t work.

Especially when President Trump is explicitly saying he wants the dollar to weaken and interest rates go even lower.

If you are in country X, why would you do that trade? You might if you’re in a country like Argentina or Venezuela where the currency is toast anyway. But Europe? Japan? China? The rest of the developed world? It’s a coin toss.

The Fed began cutting rates in July. Funding pressures emerged weeks later. Coincidence? I suspect not.

The Fed Started Monetizing Debt

It sure looks like, through QE4 and other activities, the Fed is taking the first steps toward monetizing our debt. If so, many more steps are ahead because the debt is only going to get worse.

As you can see from the chart below, the Fed is well on its way to reversing that 2018 “quantitative tightening.”

Luke Gromen of Forest for the Trees is one of my favorite macro thinkers. He thinks the monetization plan will get more obvious in early 2020.

Those that believe that the Fed will begin undoing what it has done since September after the year-end “turn” are either going to be proven right or they are going to be proven wrong in Q1 2020. We strongly believe they will be proven wrong. If/when they are, the FFTT view that the Fed is “committed” to financing US deficits with its balance sheet may go from a fringe view to the mainstream.

Both parties in Congress are committed to more spending. No matter who is in the White House, they will encourage the Federal Reserve to engage in more quantitative easing so the deficit spending can continue and even grow.

The next recession, whenever it happens, will bring a $2 trillion+ deficit, meaning a $40+ trillion-dollar national debt by the end of the decade, at least $20 trillion of which will be on the Fed’s balance sheet. (My side bet is that in 2030 we will look back and see that I was an optimist.)

Sometime in the middle to late 2020s, we will see a Great Reset that profoundly changes everything you know about money and investing. Crisis isn’t simply coming. We are already in the early stages of it.

I think we will look back at late 2019 as the beginning. This period will be rough but survivable if we prepare now. In fact, it will bring lots of exciting opportunities.

The Great Reset: The Collapse of the Biggest Bubble in History

New York Times best seller and renowned financial expert John Mauldin predicts an unprecedented financial crisis that could be triggered in the next five years. Most investors seem completely unaware of the relentless pressure that’s building right now. Learn more here.

#QE #quantitative easing #fed #the fed #The Federal Reserve

[kamerontwph034]

Very Best Ways To Obtain Your Free Unused Steam Wallet Codes List

What on this planet is Steam?

Steam is a recognized electronic distribution platform. It Completely was initially founded in movement for Home windows individuals way back again in 2003. Later, it opened as much as Linux and Marketplaces.

It may be developed significantly to factor One of the best Laptop gaming communities. That could be as a result of to its superb attributes which attract lots a lot more additionally more refreshing gamers each day.

A variety of 3rd get with each other publishers have already got hopped on board, like Namco Bandai, Activision, and Square Enix. The Method has drawn a great deal of impartial exercise developers who use choose choices to reach audiences.

Installing a Steam Account

It might be exceptionally Tremendous easy to produce a distinct Steam account. You are going to just complete the fields as essential more than the menu and pick an alias which hasn't been taken. It may be a pain-free course of action which you may assume to just want to perform The instant.

eight Crucial Attributes of Steam

Steam is undeniably a notebook or Laptop computer or Personal computer gaming juggernaut. And, when it truly is vastly popular for having wonderful gaming specials and taking care of activity libraries, it sports activities activities a wonderful present of other productive apps. These are certainly the Considerable Picture Strategy and In-Household Streaming. Below, we go about numerous of The crucial element important solutions of Steam:

I. Engage in Thrilling On the internet, Multiplayer Online games

Apart from video clip clip video game titles which operate across Just about all genres around, Steam is loaded with titles which you have the opportunity to operate out within your machine without any problem.

You can make video game purchases applying the built-in Steam Keep facet. But, we recommend skimming via the products description in Each and every specific video clip recreation's sub menu to be sure your gadget fulfills the minimum strategy demands and has the demanded tricky disk demands. That could help see to it that the game you would like to get will almost certainly run The perfect way without having issues.

Sure, numerous that facts could be definitely specialized. However, in most cases, you are able to anticipate to just want to give some thought of to the general particulars. On top of that, you can Keep in mind the on line video games are delivered in 3 distinct sections, Linux, specifically Personal computer, and Mac. It'd be the most suitable option of yours just in the event that you intend to Produce your gaming library instantly or are attempting to discover to find fast gaming.

II. Get Aid

You can request guidance from your Steam Group just in the event you may get trapped where ever. Moreover, you can make use of the Steam Help for aid with one among A form titles. You should be able to also receive handy recreation manuals through Steam's exercise information group.

You can get these by selecting a particular match from your Library. A summary of back 1-way hyperlinks will open up on the appropriate. Just click on' Group Guides', and you could come upon various pertinent guides.

III. Socialize

When it will occur down to communities, Steam could not get any significantly better. The Group is with out doubt a fantastic place to shell out time, crank out new mates, and chat although actively participating in numerous titles.

You will have a chance to get in touch with friends' names swift from the' Group' tab. Way too, you have the ability to search for lots of games along with look into by means of Dialogue board posts. Subsequently, you can expect to have a simple time connecting with players who're into your Alternatives, whether it is hardcore situation-participating in game titles Or perhaps straightforward third individual person shooter kinds.

Don't pause to go in and Look at for nearly any important details. Be respectful, nevertheless.

IV. Are living Broadcasting

Most other businesses like Twitch call for One of a kind application for sport streaming. Over the flip side, Steam will probably allow the chums of yours to watch how to add money in steam wallet for free you Interact in seamlessly with no requirement for any Exclusive application.

Essentially Develop the Steam Broadcast features in a way that any Steam purchaser and perhaps just buddies can ask for to watch. You have to have not be troubled about extraneous useful resource drain. You can not be broadcasting somewhat one thing until when everyone begins observing.

The 1 draw back This is often that game titles are not recordable for testing in a while. Nevertheless, the Steam Broadcast attribute is very beneficial for sharing with your folks.

V. Husband or wife and children Sharing

With Steam's Kin Sharing, Laptop or computer process shoppers are Geared up to authorize other pcs to get into their comprehensive gaming library. That works seamlessly properly provided that you take place to become not playing the movie on line games at an identical time.

To check out your gaming library, there's a chance you're envisioned to log in by using the merchandise you want to grant entry to your library. Authorize the account of theirs from your' Loved ones' tab to support them to put in and become involved in the online video clip on the internet game titles you possess. Steam permits you to authorize all around 5 buyers and 10 devices.

VI. Sport titles' Backup and Restore

A result of the simple fact video movie games can choose up lots of House, it might be fair to have to include and perhaps alter really hard drives out of your respective gaming Notebook. Steam allows customers to backup and replenish their activity titles straight away.

You can get that by heading toward the' Backup and Restore' tab within the critical menu, locating the games you want to backup, and acquiring your chosen backup holiday vacation spot. You will have the choice to revive the backup straight from the very same menu.

VII. Recognize Tunes Although Taking part in

While actively participating in, the new songs you might be Hearing will founded the temper for that absolutely sure gaming session. That could be fundamentally the clarification why Steam formulated a New tunes Library coupled with Participant. Boost your favored MP3 tunes in the Steam Library suitable right before actively actively taking part in them.

Within the desktop is labored from the Tunes Participant. But, after you begin taking part in, it is possible to accessibility the assorted settings from identical Steam's overlay you might function with to print on the Steam browser, chat, or perhaps your buddies' suggestions.

VIII. Server Manager - Regulate your most well-liked Servers

Often, figuring out a positive server for a particular action can validate for getting a obstacle. Moreover, it will most surely need to have many tries, undergoing even the bad types. Yet, Steam's inbuilt Server Manager allows persons to search for through distinct servers, Inspite of if one particular's not inside of a Activity.

So, you can mark specific servers as favorites. You can retain a listing of your LAN servers, also. It genuinely is a neat characteristic which tends to make sustaining with many of the spots you prefer making the most of from a fairly quick exercise. Customers can use their Steam servers by heading for the Check out menus and picking the' Servers' tab.

Introducing Hard cash in the Steam Wallet

You can incorporate methods for your own Steam Wallet through the use of the straightforward actions underneath:

1. Indication into your Steam account

two. Click on your alias in the ideal of correct-hand corner and get there at the' Account Specifics' tab

a few. Simply click the' +Insert funds' button and determine your required sum

Making use of Steam Wallet Codes in order to insert Cash

Steam Wallet participating in playing cards may be acquired within the world at many corner shops, online video game merchants, and electronics suppliers. These include codes which you can redeem into your Steam Wallet. Likewise, shoppers can purchase codes that happen to be printed promptly on receipts and in many cases sent by the use of e-mail by way of e-Commerce Web sites, kiosks, and various cybercafes.

Conserve on Steam Buys with Fully free Steam Wallet Codes

Steam happens to be available for all around 10 a few years now. It actually is keep on to One of many most exceptional indicates of purchasing for video video games, as a consequence of its simplicity of use, Enhanced accessibility, and comfort.

But there are quite a few fascinating, but high priced online video games though in the Steam Retail outlet. But, not everybody is All set or keen a good amount of money for game titles. Which won't suggest that you just can not take pleasure in these highly-priced features.

You could be basically for the suitable Net-site entirely free of charge Steam video game titles. Free of charge Steam codes get seen as becoming the prime magic formula to supreme gaming and amusement.

Steam Repo - Certainly absolutely free Steam Wallet Code Generator

Steam Repo is a electronic repository which on a regular basis delivers Steam Wallet card codes as giveaways Any time products are available. With our thoroughly free Steam Wallet codes, you may need not commit A great deal on your amusement.

The codes are offered at random and, So, with arbitrary values. That you're not wanted to purchase something in the slightest degree. It actually is a fairly easy and study course of motion that's quickly.

So how do our Absolutely free of charge Steam Wallet Codes Function?

You can reap the benefits of our Steam Wallet codes Similarly as you would likely with reward playing cards. You can then redeem your codes to main up your account's credit rating. Consequently, you can tackle to obtain supplemental game titles, software, or some other solutions you intend to purchase in the Steam Hold.

Steam just isn't likely to decreased any location from making use of these codes. Abide by these rules to redeem your Steam Wallet codes:

just one. To start with, be specified you have got acquired a Steam account. You can then indicator into your head and account to http://www.steampowered.com/wallet.

2. Critical in the exceptional code into your Wallet Code discipline. Click on' Carry on', in addition the credit score score will be immediately redeemed on to your account.

three. The code's distinct printer will possible be topped up into the Steam account's harmony.

Gains of using our Expense-free of charge Steam Wallet Code Giveaways

-We have made this Site as we genuinely like gaming just like you have to do

-It truly is fully secure, with none adware, malware, and virus considering that challenges are World wide web-dependent

-It was examined and confirmed

-The full class of motion is conveniently rapid and seamless

-We provide only codes which materialize to be legitimate and bonafide

-You is able to make use of this site as normally moments as you'd drive when objects are in inventory

-We are reliable by quite a few followers and players from all elements of the earth

Have a good time: Benefit from our Unquestionably free Steam Wallet Codes

We've been giving Steam account homeowners with reputable Steam Wallet codes for an incredibly very long time instantly and at no cost! You can easily redeem them entirely cost-free Steam video clip games anytime and any place you would like. We have experienced several evaluations which are beneficial, specially throughout the lowered-budgeted gamers who will rarely take care of to order All All those very-priced on-line video games.

With our free of charge code generator, You can find an entire ocean of thrill awaiting you. You have a chance to also invite friends to use our absolutely cost-free codes. We now have manufactured this Product for the advantage of yours. It really is a golden chance to uncover the attainable Steam has in retail retail outlet with your scenario!

#5 steam wallet code free

[billehrman]

The Sky is Falling...Not!

The death of the U.S. economy and stock market have been greatly exaggerated.

Our biggest concern remains business and consumer confidence. They both could be hurt by the dire predictions made by pundits/media bombarding us with negative sound bites 24/7 despite the majority of data pointing to the contrary!  Yes, the U.S economy has slowed, but don’t forget our economy is being hit by a GM strike, Boeing’s Max disruption, trade conflicts and politics.

Don’t listen to Chicken Little. The sky is not falling.  Focus instead on the preponderance of data points that support continued, albeit slower growth, for the quarters ahead. We recognize how difficult it is to invest successfully in a VUCA (volatile, uncertain, complex, and ambiguous) global environment but focus instead on long term investing in great companies with superior leadership selling below long-term intrinsic value.  Stop trading on every sound bite as that is the recipe for failure.

It was amazing how quickly the pundits began predicting a recession in the U.S next year after the September Manufacturing Report came out October 1. Is anyone really surprised that our manufacturing sector has continued to weaken? Don’t fret as the manufacturing sector is only 10% of U.S GNP while the consumer/government comprise nearly 90%.  We have been hearing for months how the slowdown in manufacturing and trade will hurt hiring. Yes, it has, but to a small degree as we added over 136,000 new jobs in September; average hourly earnings are still increasing near 3% with inflation running beneath 2%; the unemployment rate continues to drop especially amongst minorities; the average workweek and overtime have not changed; and there remains over 7 million, yes 7 million, job opening in the U.S. Does that sound like a bad backdrop for continued growth in consumer spending in the months ahead? And add the fact that governments will increase spending over the next two years by several hundred billion dollars and we have a very accommodative Fed.  Does that sound like a formula for a recession?

We have seen no reason to change our thesis that the U.S economy will slow over the next year but still grow around 2% in real terms. That is not a recession!  

On the other hand, we are maintaining a pessimistic view towards growth outside the U.S, including a sharp slowdown in China, unless there are major changes in fiscal, trade and regulatory policies. The WTO lowered its forecast for global trade again last week to only 1.2% in 2019, down from its forecast of 2.6% in April. We believe that their prediction of a pick-up in growth in 2020 to 2.7% is way too high without any trade deals, fiscal stimuluses and regulatory reforms. We continue to avoid investing in countries where exports/manufacturing are the keys to growth. However, we will look at the consumer, healthcare and services sectors, on the other hand, in these countries where there is earnings growth and substantial dividends. Remember that there are negative interest rates in many of these regions/countries like the Eurozone and Japan.

The bottom line is that we still find the U.S market undervalued today. We used the market weakness last week to upgrade the quality of our holdings, as all stocks got hit indiscriminately, without changing our net exposure.

Let’s look at the key data points reported last week that support/detract from our view that the U.S economy is in fine shape while weakness continues abroad:

The United States

Clearly the key set of numbers that we looked at last week revolved around the consumer which is the key factor supporting our view that the U.S economy will sustain growth near 2%. We already mentioned the employment report which clearly paint a goldilocks picture as the numbers were not great, but just about right to support continued easing by the Fed over the foreseeable future. Lower interest rates will help the interest sectors of our economy namely autos and housing which continue to do better than expected. In fact, the auto industry is still running at a 17 million annualized rate while housing has picked up and could do even better if there was more supply. Nothing wrong with being supply constrained.

Investors focused last week on the weakness in the September Manufacturing ISM report and slowdown in the services gauge. Specifically, the Manufacturers PMI fell to 47.8, down 1.3 points from August; new orders index rose slightly to 47.3; the production index declined to 47.3; the employment index fell to 46.3; the inventories index declined to 46.9; and the exports index fell slightly while the import index rose. Clearly demand contracted, consumption fell and inputs were weak. Global trade was mentioned as the single key factor hurting manufacturing, A strong dollar is NOT helping.

While the more important services index did fall to a 3-year low in September, it still stood at 52.6, which means positive growth. The HIS Markit services index also remained above 50 in September. Chain store retail sales have accelerated to a near 6% gain in September.

While we do not expect the impeachment proceeding against Trump to go anywhere, clearly it has stopped the government from moving forward on any legislation which unfortunately could include the trade deal with Canada and Mexico. Throw all the bums out unless they put the people of this country ahead of themselves. Bernie Sanders heart issues clearly help Elizabeth Warren, which in turn, may help Trump’s reelection chances. Don’t forget that Trump needs a strong economy and stock market to get re-elected.  Stay tuned to this key event which will impact investing next year.

China

President Xi’s speech last Tuesday commemorating the 70th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party’s rule was no surprise as he mentioned many times that no force could sway China’s future development, peacefully. Clearly, he considers Hong Kong and Macao part of China forever.

We remain hopeful that China and the U.S can reach a trade truce next week postponing any additional tariffs. If so, an initial deal will include major purchases by China of our agricultural products along with a schedule for additional meetings to resolve issue by issue.  Don’t forget the more time it takes to reach a trade deal; the more time companies have to shift their supply lines outside of China damaging the potential of China 2025.

The Eurozone

Europe’s manufacturing sector continues to spiral downward as the September PMI fell to 45.7 indicating the steepest downturn in manufacturing in over seven years. The region’s downturn was led by deteriorating conditions in Germany where the PMI hit a 10-year low. Clearly concerns over Brexit, the effects on trade by the U.S- China trade war and the inability to reach a trade deal with the U.S all weigh against business/consumer confidence in the region. Eurozone CPI slowed to less than 1% in September raising fears of deflation.

It’s hard to fathom why Germany has not loosened its own purse strings yet while also not permitting other countries in the Eurozone to do the same. The WTO ruling against Airbus does not help the situation. Hopefully there will be progress on a trade deal with the U.S when both sides meet next month. Stay tuned!

Japan

Can you believe that Japan went forward raising the retail sales tax to 10% from 8% on October 1s? It’s hard to fathom even though the government tried to partially offset the added tax by increasing domestic stimulus by $18.55 billion. The Japanese Manufacturing PMI contracted to 48.9 in September, a new low for the year. The slowdown on global trade has hit Japan hard and future prospects remain bleak.

India

India’s Reserve Bank is forecasting that India will grow around 6% in 2019, a multi-year low. We believe that this forecast is overly optimistic as it means that growth will accelerate to around 7% in the second half of the year which is unlikely as overall demand only rose marginally in September hurt by almost no growth in exports and employment. The government has added fiscal stimulus by cutting taxes and boosting spending while repo rates have been cut too. Hopefully these moves will stimulate growth later in the year into 2020.

Investment Conclusions

We are maintaining our view that there is no place like home. The U.S advantage over the rest of the world is that our economy is dominated by consumer and government spending, not manufacturing and trade. The dollar has remained strong as the interest rate differential has only widened over the last few weeks such the inbound capital flows remain huge. Our Fed has more arrows left in its quiver to lower rates and begin enlarging its balance sheet unlike the ECB and BOJ which are virtually frozen to do more at this time. While Japan has little leeway to increase fiscal stimulus due to its huge debt to GNP ratio, Germany and the rest of the Eurozone can loosen its purse strings to stimulate growth. How much worse can their economic outlook get before they act?  We expect some movement in the Eurozone on fiscal stimulus, trade and regulatory reform before year end as the consequences of not moving are too dire for them. China still has room to move but no trade deal will be a bigger and bigger drag on growth the longer the conflict goes on.

Clearly the sky is not falling in the United States as the experts/pundits/Democrats may want you to think. Our market continues to fight against a wall of worry creating tremendous investment opportunities for the patient investor. Don’t forget that well over 65% of the S & P companies are yielding above the 10-year treasury with the prospects of additional dividend hikes ahead as corporations are generating record free cash flow. By the way, corporate and individual refinancing now exceed $1 billion over the last 3 weeks and is growing rapidly putting more cash into the consumers’ pockets and reducing interest costs/boosting profits and cash flow for corporations. Not bad!

Our portfolios are concentrated in technology, consumer nondurables, cable with content, utilities, financials, global industrials/capital goods, airlines, retail with a focus on housing and many special situations. We own no bonds and are flat the dollar.

As always, the weekly Investment Committee webinar will be held on Monday morning, October 7, at 8:30 am EST. You can join the webinar by typing https://zoom.us/j/9179217852 into your browser or dialing [phone] or [phone]

Remember to review all the facts; pause, reflect and consider mindset shifts; analyze your asset mix with risk controls; do independent research including listening to company earnings calls and …

Invest Accordingly!

Bill Ehrman

Paix et Prospérité LLC

[aceofaces-mod]

Progress Report #52

It's been awhile posting something like this in a while. So, while I am on vacation and taking on a job (so I get some cash to upgrade my laptop), I worked on a few things on the game. It's not much, due to work (although, it winded it down this week I'm writing this) but I was able to do some improvements (including finally moving to .NET Core).

Northbridge Boost and .NET Blues

After Preview 7 of .NET Core 3 was released, I started moving Northbridge over to this version. This was a technical necessity since .NET Core had a vastly improved Just-In-Time compiler (the JIT Compiler is used when it's necessary to use code) and the option to ship a copy of the framework, to make it easier for me to adopt features new to it. Alongside this, Preview 6 added even more features that I'd like to implement. The two features I refer to are Ready2Run images and Trimming. This is gonna get technical, so I'll try to make this short and sweet:

Ready2Run is, essentially, creating an image of native code and embed it to the binaries. It's like NGEN, but it's done by me ahead of time. This is great since I don't need to smash my head, figuring out how to use NGEN in cases where I couldn't automate this. So, everyone can enjoy better performance.

Trimming is... well… removing libraries from the local copy of Core to save space. Since Core itself is about 100MB, saving some space from it, is nice. Sadly, there's an issue where I can't use both in Northbridge because it causes crashes. But looking at the WPF GitHub repo (yes, Windows Presentation Foundation is open-source now), they are working on it, updating the toolset as well, so there is a light in the tunnel there.

After about an hour of work, the transition went smoothly, which is rather good. Aside from waiting the WPF library being finalized (maybe in August or September), I am going to start shipping builds once I polish up the game as well. I am aware that Core 3 is still in preview, but they gave the go-live status, so as long as there aren't any issues, it's A-OK. Although I wonder if I should still use the installer project since it's no longer necessary to check if .NET Framework 4.6.2 is installed and then install it. If you have some time, please take part in the survey here. It would help me decide if I should bother making the game's installer.

Oh, and as a bonus, I posted a video that shows how I migrated to .NET Core 3. If you are interested, you can see it here:

Tune-ups and new content

Of course, the game also got some changes under the hood. For one, shop discounts are now active. The idea here is this: You take on guild missions and you receive hunter or bounty coins. You use those coins in exchange of upgrading both the hunter and the bounty licensee. Both of them provide bonuses to you, should you partake and complete them. For this one, I'll focus on the hunter license. Upgrading the hunter license will give you discounts to items, weapons, and armor. The higher the license's rank, the better the discount. It's a rather nice way of saving up for better weapons and/or getting more items.

Now, obviously, I need to add more missions to make it worthwhile for you. And I am working on it as we speak. I have some ideas for missions for you to take on, and they'll come in in an upcoming Beta Build. And some tweaks to the combat system, but I'll talk about them at a later post.

#RPG Maker #RPG Maker MV #gamedev #indiedev #immortal sins(game)

[hbvampire-blog]

Inside Of Basic Benchmarks Of Promo 2018

It reminded me that I required in the direction of make it possible for ‘take pleasure in’ be my major feeling in opposition to them. It can be an intestine-wrenching accident, which includes my worst profits make contact with, or extra poignantly, levitra uses anything including an automobile incident or the decline of an appreciated a person. ]. A repo includes arisen thanks toward a non-rate words and phrases or a violation of the diseases of the hire. Glimpse and Acquire guides on-line in opposition to tens of millions of contemporary titles, bestsellers, uncommon guides and previous classics. According to brand, the global erectile dysfunction drugs market is divided into Viagra, Cialis, Stendra/Spedra, Levitra/Staxyn, MUSE, Zydena, Mvix, and Helleva. The five brand name erectile dysfunction (ED) drugs in the phosphodiesterase 5 (PDE-5) inhibitors class are Viagra (sildenafil), Cialis (tadalafil), Levitra (vardenafil), Staxyn (vardenafil), and Stendra (avanafil). If there levitra vardenafil needed to middle meatus in the social inequality. However, Levitra induced headaches should go away after a couple of hours of having taken the medication. We can provide better discounts on medication as more and more people use our coupons. As a result of browsing on-line, oneself can uncover a large amount of golfing suppliers and tools sellers which Deliver discount golfing golf equipment. We have a global communications network that can impart the factual information about which medicines work and which do not. It operates a very little massive as a result on your own might need to have in direction of invest in 50 % a sizing more compact than by yourself traditionally use. Think it or not, income people in america need in the direction of remember to their manager. Some salespeople waste period and some people today waste income and even even further salespeople waste equally. This concentrations towards electric powered merchandise towards on the net suppliers and even eating places and spas. Alternatively of tests for simply gross sales flair or profits character, the suitable tactic is toward attempt for Overall Income Electric power ™. We will be advertising Simple and Progress Breathwork Immersion Designs among November 2014 and April 2015. In this article’s how in direction of receive began with a doggy sitting down enterprise internet marketing system. The all fiberglass backside pan cuts down rust issues and down below carriage drinking water leakage. It might effectively be the great tennis ball device for sale in between quite a few solution choices. Even so, by yourself will most likely not uncover on-line low cost discount codes upon the web page of authentic merchants. Kindly explore Cialis coupon to acquire the newest working 2015 Discount Codes for Levitra. Do have a look at 2015 Cialis coupons to get the newest working Levitra coupon. Do look at Cialis coupon to get the most recent working 2015 Levitra coupon code. Look at different discounts and look at their costs in the direction of receive continue to keep of the simplest present for by yourself. Rudolph identified as in the direction of notify me the negative information, including that he experienced an decision alternative and inquiring me toward close in just towards examine it. Tailor what oneself say in the direction of meet up with your health care provider’s patient’s demands. Unbeknownst toward lots of salespeople, final a package deal is simply just component of endorsing. Pay a visit to coupon and package deal internet sites on-line for present-day Craftsman coupon listings. This sort of coupon codes contain manufactured existence less difficult for a good deal of These and incorporate served them inside shopping for the suitable of nearly anything within extremely reasonably priced price ranges. The tale of Tequila commences substantially right before the metropolis of Santiago De Tequila (the metropolis immediately after which the consume is termed) found inside the Los Altos highlands in just the country of Jalisco, even arrived into getting. Yourself may possibly not even receive an one mobile phone speak to! On your own gained’t will need toward hurry this process, as tempting as that may well be. Unbelievably lovable wine goes with dessert as any other wine paired with a cute dish will style acidic. Components and resources that by yourself previously private are only free of charge. Some of the most important attributes of the refreshing releases are specified right here. It breaks in the course of the traditional landscape consequently primarily prospective buyers can’t support nonetheless acquire awareness. She could incorporate travelled the worldwide nonetheless travelling back again within year is 1 of course matter that she hasn’t performed but. Cialis help you save a number of dough on ED. Promo for Viagra help you preserve large amounts of moolah on Netfirms. That would put facial flushing on the top of the list of common side effects related to Levitra usage, since 11 percent of Levitra users report facial flushing (a heat sensation in the facial area). If a levitra and adolescents may have been associated urticaria in the patient, usually in the wrist slightly again maintaining distal radius, and examinations.

[nostalgebraist]

I don’t have the energy to properly effortpost about it right now, but a little while ago I got around to reading the paper “Opening the black box of Deep Neural Networks via Information” and it blew my mind a bit.

The overall picture it gave me is that deep neural nets, when trained with SGD, learn by first memorizing a lookup table for the training data, and then forgetting everything about the table keys that isn’t necessary to uniquely identify the table values.

Early on, the last layer encodes the requested value but also the whole key, like a dictionary {k: (k, v)}.  This then gets lossier and lossier for the first part of the tuple without getting lossier for the second, so the end result is like {k: (irrelevant noise, v)}.  At the very end of the network, the fully-connected-softmax or whatever scoops up the “v” part and ignores the “irrelevant noise” part.  Since the last layer now no longer has the information necessary to reconstruct the key, and since this loss of information happened over a long (”deep”) series of lossy steps rather than in a single lossy step of table lookup, we can hope that it’s now learned something meaningful and generalizable about the relationship of these keys to their values.

So, during training, they overfit first, and then regularize themselves.  In itself, not too shocking.

But here’s the kicker: the regularization part happens specifically because of SGD.  Once the gradients are small enough, they’re basically applying a random diffusion to the weights, and so we end up with a neural net that is “as random/generic as possible,” conditional on getting the answers right on the training data.

The authors argue that network depth helps here, because it speeds up the diffusion process.  Thus, the great success people have had with deep networks trained by SGD is attributable to “depth + SGD” being a synergetic combination, not by deep networks being an inherently great space of models and SGD being merely “good enough” as a way to descend loss functions in this space.

The main limitation of this paper is its reliance on a single invented data set for its results.  I get the sense they did this to make it possible to estimate mutual information well enough to get anywhere.  They do have a github repo where you can do the same analysis in other cases, which is neat although I haven’t tried it.

#ai tag

[acacia-may]

Hello yello, it's me again, hope you're having a wonderful day so far! If it's not a bother, could I get a response from you about Nagisa in the numbers ask game?

10 and 23 since those are his birthday numbers. If it's no problem, I'd love to hear about 2 as well. Thanks again for everything you've written and done!

Hi friend! Aww you're so sweet. 🥰 I really should be thanking you for all the great Nagisa and Warriors of Hope content and for your ask. I would absolutely love to talk about my son, Nagisa! 💙 (I love that you picked his birthday numbers too! That's great!) Thank you so much for the ask, and I hope you're having a wonderful day as well. Take care and cheers!!😊

I'm including this picture from aminoapps and this gif from getyarn just because I can.

Questions from this Character Ask Game

Answers and Headcanons are below the cut. (Warnings: Spoilers for UDG and vague discussion of childhood trauma & abuse)

2. When I think I truly started to like them (or dislike them, if you've sent me a character I don't like)

This is kind of a complicated answer because as my sister would say I "did not experience Danganronpa like a normal person" 😂 so I apologise in advance for the ramblings. My younger sister was super into Danganronpa especially Ultra Despair Girls and when she told me about it (and suggested I play UDG), she actually told me a little about Nagisa and that she thought I would really like his character. (A/N: I have quite the collection of favourite characters who are high-strung, overachieving perfectionists). I usually don't play a lot of video games, but I was curious so I decided to compromise and read the manga for UDG (which definitely gave me a different perspective on things than my sister, I think, because there were some changes...but that's another story). Since I kind of went into the story with more information (from my sister) and the feeling I would probably end up liking his character, I think I had a more positive view of Nagisa much earlier on than I would have otherwise.

The big moment I started really liking him though was probably when he swooped in to protect Kotoko which was a much bigger and more dramatic thing in the manga than in the game. [A/N: There was definitely a bit of confusion there because my sister was really perplexed by why in my mind Nagisa and Kotoko were such close friends whereas in my sister's mind (from the game) she was much closer friends with Masaru. Unfortunately, there wasn't a lot of Masaru in the manga so I didn't really start to like him nearly as much until I played the game, but I digress...] Anyway... I'll include some of the frames just for reference.

So yes, Nagisa gets his heroic moment where he protects his friend and then he tries to help Komaru and Toko out of the city. If that isn't enough, he then starts to go into his backstory, and everything just clicks that he really is such a good kid at heart, he's just been corrupted and manipulated due to Junko (and Monaca) exploiting his trauma and taking advantage of the fact he was broken, vulnerable, and starving for love. He suddenly becomes a very tragic character, and I just wanted to adopt and protect him. My poor boy. He's been my son ever since.

And I will say it was such a fun perspective to go into the UDG game already liking his character because it was so exciting any time he and the other little hope warriors showed up. My sister was making fun of me (in good fun) when we were playing because I was very afraid cautious of the Monokumas (A/N: I'm not usually a fan of shoot 'em up games) and wouldn't never run (because you can't aim the weapon & run at the same time), so I was really just constantly shuffling around slowly, hiding behind things, and literally jumping during the jump scares. (A little pathetic, sure, but I was trying to survive here). But then we get to Chapter 4 when the objective is protecting Nagisa, and it completely cured me of my animatronic-robot-bear-phobia. I went full "Mama Bear" mode (no pun intended) running around destroying those things left and right like "Not My Son!!" My sister teases me about it to this day and says, "I'm so glad you finally learned how to run." 😂 Good times.

10. Describe the character in one sentence

This one is a bit difficult for me since I tend to be really wordy and also because I'm imagining Nagisa trying to describe himself in one sentence and I really don't know if he'd be able to do it--he'd have to fight that tendency to write a whole dissertation with subheadings and a table of contents. 😅 I'm going to have to fight that too, but I'll try my best...

Nagisa is wise beyond his years and an old-soul: highly intelligent, responsible, and conscientious, and though he can be perfectionistic, overachieving, and hard on himself and is burdened with deep internal pain from a childhood of abuse, he cares deeply for his friends and genuinely wants to make the world better so that other children don't have to suffer in the way that he did (he is misguided on this point, but his culpability is diminished given that he was a severely traumatized child who was taken advantage of and manipulated into criminal activity when he was vulnerable and he feels genuine guilt and remorse for what he did).

[A very long sentence 😅]

23. Future headcanon

I really want good things for Nagisa in the future and would love to see him reach a healthy, more well-adjusted place when he grows up. I know it's basically the apocalypse, but I really like to think that he and the other Warriors of Hope do eventually get the therapy they so desperately need and actually get to heal after all of the horrible and traumatic things they've all been through. In terms of more specific headcanons here are a few:

When they are all young professionals/working adults, Nagisa, Jataro, and Masaru are roommates which is often a bit of a comical arrangement since they are really so vastly different as people despite sharing a living space. Nagisa can be a little intense when it comes to keeping the apartment clean and organized, for instance. (To be fair, Masaru and Jataro are both kind of slobs if left to their own devices). However, he wants things to be fair and for everyone to do their part so he devises a chore chart to track who is supposed to clean what that week. Jataro and (especially) Masaru tend to act kind of like big kids, so Nagisa resorts to having incentives (like paying to get them ice cream) if they do all their chores. [Bonus: Masaru often complains to Kotoko about the chore chart, and she thinks it's kind of ridiculous à la 'You're a grown man--why don't you just buy your own ice cream?' but Masaru insists it tastes better when someone else is paying for it. 😂]

Nagisa eventually earns a Ph.D and works for Future Foundation. (As much as his friends like to teasingly refer to him as "Dr. Nagisa," it actually takes a while for them to all adjust to other people calling him "Dr. Shingetsu" all the time). Nagisa takes a lot of pride in his work developing and implementing air filtration systems worldwide. He is always very excited and enthusiastic whenever he talks about it, but his work is so complicated that none of his friends are entirely certain what it is he does exactly. He quickly rises through the ranks at Future Foundation until he works under the direct supervision of Togami who thinks he's very a conscientious employee and trusts him enough to put him in charge of several important projects. Since Nagisa still struggles with his perfectionism, he often ends up working long hours and has to fight a lot of self-imposed stress. His friends often take it upon themselves to remind Nagisa to take care of himself, and they periodically try to get him out of the apartment to do fun things. Nagisa's idea of fun, however, would be much more akin to staying home and relaxing with a good book.

I'm going to take some inspiration from you and also have a few headcanons about Older Nagisa as a dad since I would absolutely love to see him settle down and have a family of his own one day, when he is ready.

Nagisa's family is the most important thing in the world to him and his children are his pride and joy in life. He strives to be the best father he can, and he is incredibly devoted and attentive though he does have a tendency to worry about his children very much. When his son takes after him with similar worries, self-imposed stress, and perfectionism, for instance, Nagisa is very concerned, and it hits him particularly hard since the last thing he wanted was for his child to have the same kinds of burdens he does. However, he helps his son through that and reassures him that he has a father who loves him regardless of his successes or failures. It is incredibly important to Nagisa that his children never doubt that his love for them is unconditional and will never need to be earned by living up to any expectations--he will love and support his kids no matter what and just wants them to try their best.

Despite having several children in the house, Nagisa's home is not particularly chaotic and loud since most of his kids aren't particularly rambunctious. His eldest daughter has a big personality, however, and often gets Nagisa to play all kinds of dress up games and tea parties with her. She also often asks him to style her hair into little antenna like his, and though he doesn't quite understand the appeal, he tries his best as hairdresser.

His eldest daughter's more happy-go-lucky and generally upbeat and cheerful personality sometimes causes Nagisa to wonder if he and his friends may have been like his little girl if not for the abuse, and the thought breaks his heart a little. His younger daughter is much more quiet and pensive than her sister and was adopted by Nagisa and his family after being rescued from an abusive situation. Coming from the background that he did, Nagisa is very sensitive to his daughter's trauma as she slowly begins to heal and is welcomed into the family.

When Nagisa's kids are very, very little they love to play with their dad's hair antenna and his reading glasses (which he eventually has from squinting at his work from hours on end).

Nagisa tries his best to be a very involved and attentive father who always makes sure to spend time with his family despite his busy schedule. One of his favorite activities for his family to do together is reading aloud to his children before he tucks them in at night.

#nagisa shingetsu #shingetsu nagisa #nagisa shingetsu my son my boy 💙 #nagisa shingetsu headcanons #thanks for the ask! #repo net the great #character ask game