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tomorrowusa · 16 days

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« Four main factors will influence the course of the war. The first is the level of resistance and national unity shown by Ukrainians, which has until now been extraordinary. The second is international support for Ukraine, which, though recently falling short of the country’s expectations, remains broad. The third factor is the nature of modern warfare, a contest that turns on a combination of industrial might and command, control, communications and intelligence systems. One reason Russia has struggled in this war is that it is yet to recover from the dramatic deindustrialisation it suffered after the disintegration of the Soviet Union. The final factor is information. When it comes to decision-making, Vladimir Putin is trapped in an information cocoon, thanks to his having been in power so long. The Russian president and his national-security team lack access to accurate intelligence. The system they operate lacks an efficient mechanism for correcting errors. Their Ukrainian counterparts are more flexible and effective. In combination, these four factors make Russia’s eventual defeat inevitable. In time it will be forced to withdraw from all occupied Ukrainian territories, including Crimea. Its nuclear capability is no guarantee of success. Didn’t a nuclear-armed America withdraw from Korea, Vietnam and Afghanistan? »

— Prof. Feng Yujun, Director of the Center for Russian and Central Asian Studies at Fudan University, writing at The Economist (archived).

Prof. Feng is one of China's leading "Russia watchers". His views may not reflect official thinking of the Chinese government though they are probably not distant from it.

China is currently benefiting economically in several ways from the war, but this does not mean Putin is highly regarded among Chinese policy makers.

Putin made a gross miscalculation with his invasion of Ukraine. He has put his military on international display as embarrassingly incompetent. Russian military hardware has been shown to be generally inferior to what Ukraine has gotten from the West and also inferior to various items of Ukrainian manufacture. Russia's few recent successes involve using its own troops as cannon fodder to make slow and costly advances.

With Putin's three-day "special operation" heading into day 789 and with Russian casualties equal to the population of a medium large city, Putin has clearly lost face in China.

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faultfalha · 10 months

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The failed uprising by Prigozhin has had unforeseen consequences, according to a top White House official. "It's triggered a psychology about warlords in China that we didn't anticipate," he said. "We're still trying to figure out what it all means." The official refused to elaborate further, but acknowledged that the situation is "fluid" and "changing by the day."

#Military & Defense #Russia #China #Sino-Russian relations #Ukraine #Yevgeny Prigozhin #Wagner Group #fault

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jovialbasementbouquetblr · 11 months

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2023: A Russian Perspective on China-Russia Relations

Sampling domestic opinion pieces in foreign language press is interesting since you get an internal perspective rather than the foreign propaganda bias in pieces intended for a foreign audience. Recent improvements in machine translation — the DeepL Chrome browser plugin/extension, DeepL, ChatGPT or Google Translate are all useful tools — make it much easier to do extensive reading in foreign…

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#bilateral #Bilateral Relations #China #Chinese #DeepL #emigration #foreign relations #machine translation #multilateral #politics #PRC #Putin #Russia #Russian Federation #Sino-Russian #Xi #中国 #中俄

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didanawisgi · 1 year

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Master Post: The Yan Papers & Supporting Evidence of an Unrestricted Bioweapon

Yan Reports

Unusual Features of the SARS-CoV-2 Genome Suggesting Sophisticated Laboratory Modification Rather Than Natural Evolution and Delineation of Its Probable Synthetic Route

SARS-CoV-2 Is an Unrestricted Bioweapon: A Truth Revealed through Uncovering a Large-Scale, Organized Scientific Fraud

The Wuhan Laboratory Origin of SARS-CoV-2 and the Validity of the Yan Reports Are Further Proved by the Failure of Two Uninvited "Peer Reviews"

Birger Sørensen, Angus Dalgleish & Andres Susrud

The Evidence which Suggests that This Is No Naturally Evolved Virus: A Reconstructed Historical Aetiology of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike

Steven C. Quay Bayesian Analysis

A Bayesian analysis concludes beyond a reasonable doubt that SARS-CoV-2 is not a natural zoonosis but instead is laboratory derived

Long history of China's CCP and Biowarfare: Analysis from Clare M. Lopez, Director of U.S. Geostrategic Security Issues for the Near East Center for Strategic Engagement (NEC-SE)

The Role of Biological Warfare in China’s Drive for Global Hegemony (Part 1) & How a CCP Operation Ensnared the US Government (Part 2)

Mixed Messaging from U.S. Government on China’s Biological Weapons Program: The involvement of U.S. government entities with Chinese biological weapons scientists and entities is deeply concerning

“Better Late Than Never?”

China’s Biological Warfare Programme: An Integrative Study with Special Reference to Biological Weapons Capabilities by Dany Shoham

This study attempts to profile China’s biological warfare programme (BWP), with special reference to biological weapons (BW) capabilities that exist in facilities affiliated with the defence establishment and the military. For that purpose, a wide variety of facilities affiliated with the defence establishment and with the military are reviewed and profiled. The outcome of that analysis points at 12 facilities affiliated with the defence establishment, plus 30 facilities affiliated with the PLA, that are involved in research, development, production, testing or storage of BW. This huge alignment might be regarded as superfluous, ostensibly; yet, considering the various factors discussed in the present study, the overall derived picture of the Chinese BW-related alignment is not at all surprising. The chances that an outstanding state like China would ignore new avenues of BW designing and deployment are a priori slim, if any. China, in all likelihood, is and will persist as a paramount BW possessor.

‘Virus warfare’ in China military documents

Chinese military scientists discussed the weaponisation of SARS coronaviruses five years before the COVID-19 pandemic, outlining their ideas in a document that predicted a third world war would be fought with biological weapons.

The Secret Speech of General Chi Haotian

The Secret Speech of General Chi Haotian. In 2005, THE EPOCH TIMES acquired a secret speech given by Defense Minister Chi Haotian to high-level Communist Party Cadres sometime before his retirement in 2003. Details given in Chi’s speech coincide with previously unpublished defector testimony on Sino-Russian military plans.

A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence (2015)

The emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)-CoV underscores the threat of cross-species transmission events leading to outbreaks in humans. Here we examine the disease potential of a SARS-like virus, SHC014- CoV, which is currently circulating in Chinese horseshoe bat populations1. Using the SARS-CoV reverse genetics system2, we generated and characterized a chimeric virus expressing the spike of bat coronavirus SHC014 in a mouse-adapted SARS-CoV backbone. The results indicate that group 2b viruses encoding the SHC014 spike in a wild-type backbone can efficiently use multiple orthologs of the SARS receptor human angiotensin converting enzyme II (ACE2), replicate efficiently in primary human airway cells and achieve in vitro titers equivalent to epidemic strains of SARS-CoV. Additionally, in vivo experiments demonstrate replication of the chimeric virus in mouse lung with notable pathogenesis. Evaluation of available SARS-based immune-therapeutic and prophylactic modalities revealed poor efficacy; both monoclonal antibody and vaccine approaches failed to neutralize and protect from infection with CoVs using the novel spike protein. On the basis of these findings, we synthetically re-derived an infectious full-length SHC014 recombinant virus and demonstrate robust viral replication both in vitro and in vivo. Our work suggests a potential risk of SARS-CoV re-emergence from viruses currently circulating in bat populations.

The China-Led WHO Report on Coronavirus Is Deeply Suspect

The China-Led WHO Report on Coronavirus Is Deeply Suspect by Lt. Col. (res.) Dr. Dany Shoham: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: The WHO’s China-led international investigation into the origins of COVID-19 did not trace either the genomic derivation or the initial contraction of the virus that generated the pandemic. This could be because it did not look for an unnatural scenario or because a natural scenario did not in fact occur. China appears to have essentially dictated the proceedings of the investigation, the findings of which are deeply suspect.

Discovery of a novel merbecovirus DNA clone contaminating agricultural rice sequencing datasets from Wuhan, China

An unreported CoV infectious clone in Wuhan

Csabai et al.

Unique SARS-CoV-2 variant found in public sequence data of Antarctic soil samples collected in 2018-2019

Host genomes for the unique SARS-CoV-2 variant leaked into Antarctic soil metagenomic sequencing data

Project DEFUSE: Defusing the Threat of Bat-borne Coronaviruses

DEFUSE proposal

Nuclear translocation of spike mRNA and protein is a novel pathogenic feature of SARS-CoV-2

The spike (S) protein appears to be a major pathogenic factor that contributes to the unique pathogenesis of SARS-CoV-2. Although the S protein is a surface transmembrane type 1 glycoprotein, it has been predicted to be translocated into the nucleus due to the novel nuclear localization signal (NLS) “PRRARSV”, which is absent from the S protein of other coronaviruses. Indeed, S proteins translocate into the nucleus in SARS-CoV-2-infected cells. To our surprise, S mRNAs also translocate into the nucleus. S mRNA colocalizes with S protein, aiding the nuclear translocation of S mRNA. While nuclear translocation of nucleoprotein (N) has been shown in many coronaviruses, the nuclear translocation of both S mRNA and S protein reveals a novel pathogenic feature of SARS-CoV-2.

SARS–CoV–2 Spike Impairs DNA Damage Repair and Inhibits V(D)J Recombination In Vitro

Intracellular Reverse Transcription of Pfizer BioNTech COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine BNT162b2 In Vitro in Human Liver Cell Line

Unnaturalness in the evolution process of the SARS-CoV-2 variants and the possibility of deliberate natural selection

Over the past three years, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has repeatedly experienced pandemics, generating various mutated variants ranging from Alpha to Omicron. In this study, we aimed to clarify the evolutionary processes leading to the formation of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants, focusing on Omicron variants with many amino acid mutations in the spike protein among SARS-CoV-2 isolates. To determine the order in which the mutations leading to the formation of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants, we compared the sequences of 129 Omicron BA.1-related isolates, 141 BA.1.1-related isolates, and 122 BA.2-related isolates, and tried to dissolve the evolutionary processes of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants, including the order of mutations leading to the formation of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants and the occurrence of homologous recombination. As a result, we concluded that the formations of a part of Omicron isolates BA.1, BA.1.1, and BA.2 were not the products of genome evolution as is commonly observed in nature, such as the accumulation of mutations and homologous recombinations. Furthermore, the study of 35 recombinant isolates of Omicron variants BA.1 and BA.2, confirmed that Omicron variants were already present in 2020. The analysis we have shown here is that the Omicron variants are formed by an entirely new mechanism that cannot be explained by previous biology, and knowing the way how the SARS-CoV-2 variants were formed prompts a reconsideration of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

Further Supporting Evidence

Anomalies in BatCoV/RaTG13 sequencing and provenance

Time Shows That The ‘Paranoid’ People Were Correct About COVID

Molecular Biology Clues Portray SARS-CoV-2 as a Gain-of-Function Laboratory Manipulation of Bat CoV RaTG13

The genetic structure of SARS-CoV-2 does not rule out a laboratory origin: SARS-COV-2 chimeric structure and furin cleavage site might be the result of genetic manipulation

A look at China’s biowarfare ambitions

Mountains of circumstantial evidence point toward early circulation of SARS-CoV-2

Breaking: SARS-CoV-2 Spike found in bacteria samples taken from China, 2019

Unique SARS-CoV-2 genomes found in Antarctic samples raises questions about SARS-CoV-2 origin, lineages

The Galveston National Lab and Wuhan Institute of Virology

US University Concedes It May Have Broken Law in Contract With Wuhan Lab

Judicial Watch: New Documents Reveal COVID-19 Vaccine Studies Used by HHS were Conducted in China

JW v HHS Wuhan August 31 2021 00696

Flavinkins Archives

THE NATIONAL INSTITUTES OF HEALTH AND ECOHEALTH ALLIANCE DID NOT EFFECTIVELY MONITOR AWARDS AND SUBAWARDS, RESULTING IN MISSED OPPORTUNITIES TO OVERSEE RESEARCH AND OTHER DEFICIENCIES

U.S. Army Medical Research and Development Command (USAMRDC) COVID-19 Common Operational Picture

SELLIN: Is China’s Military Making COVID-19 Variants?

Enhancing Protein Expression by Leveraging Codon Optimization

Engineered bat virus stirs debate over risky research

So, COVID-19 is a Bioweapon After All, The Times ExplainsSars-Cov-2 is a result of bioweapons research, and work of Ralph Baric and Peter Daszak

Journalistic Investigations

The origin of COVID: Did people or nature open Pandora’s box at Wuhan?

What really went on inside the Wuhan lab weeks before Covid erupted?New fresh evidence drawn from confidential reports reveals Chinese scientists spliced together deadly pathogens shortly before the pandemic, the Sunday Times Insight team report

New Emails Chronicle Lab-Leak Coverup in Real Time

Francis Collins and Anthony Fauci emailed about whether NIH funded Wuhan lab before secret call

Pentagon gave millions to EcoHealth Alliance for weapons research program

Leaked Chinese document reveals a sinister plan to ‘unleash’ coronaviruses

BREAKING: DOD CONTROLLED COVID ‘VACCINES’ FROM THE START UNDER NATIONAL SECURITY PROGRAM – LIED THE ENTIRE TIME – Were NEVER ‘Safe and Effective’

The role of the US DoD (and their co-investors) in "covid countermeasures" enterprise.

EVOLUTION OF A THEORY: Unredacted NIH Emails Show Efforts to Rule Out Lab Origin of Covid

The U.S. Keeps Offering China Its COVID Vaccines. China Keeps Saying No

Links between the University of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston and China’s People’s Liberation Army

Broken Bioweapon: Lack of mRNA Integrity in Pfizer Batches: All Regulators Knew This When they "Pretend-Approved" the Shots

Intelligence report warned of coronavirus crisis as early as November: Sources"Analysts concluded it could be a cataclysmic event," a source said

How Did Deborah Birx Get the Job?

Do Governments Track the Injury and Kill Rates from Biowarfare Agents Deployed as mRNA/DNA "Vaccines"?

Lab Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, Energy Department Now Says

FBI Director Says Covid Pandemic Likely Caused by Chinese Lab Leak

Wuhan lab denied BSL4 access for SARS work without clear reasoning

Videos

Proof Government Lab Created COVID, Says Escaped Chinese Virologist Dr. Li-Meng Yan – Ask Dr. Drew

Virologist Dr. Li-Meng Yan Claims Coronavirus Lab 'Cover-Up' Made Her Flee China | Loose Women

The Dr. Jordan B Peterson Podcast, Viral: The Origin of Covid 19 | Matt Ridley | EP 310

Chinese Defector: China’s Weaponization of Covid-19

Was COVID-19 made inside a Chinese lab? | Under Investigation

One Billion COVID Jabs From The CCP? Dr. Naomi Wolf Breaks Down a Disconcerting Timeline

RTE Discussions #16: Examining DoD Involvement in the Pandemic (w/ Sasha Latypova)

Major Evidence China Is Making The Pfizer Vaccine Ingredients!

Naomi Wolf Bombshell: Has China Been Using COVID Vaccines To Decimate Western Democracies?!

LNP/mRNA Is "Natural Born Killer" Says Drug Inventor Dr. Richard Urso w/ Dr Kelly Victory – Ask Dr. Drew

COVID 'Good Material For Non-Traditional Bioweapon' To Ruin Economies: Chinese Virologist

Conversation with Dr. Jane Ruby: We cover the Government-Military-BioPharma Industrial Complex and get into the question Why?

SHOCKING REVELATION - DOCTOR EXPOSES COVID BIOWEAPONS PROGRAM & REVEALS VACCINE WILL KILL MILLIONS

COVID Lab Leak Evidence: Escaped Chinese Virologist Dr. Li-meng Yan & Brian O'Shea

Dr. David Martin: Pandemic Was "Biological Weapon of Genocide" w/ Dr. Kelly Victory – Ask Dr. Drew

Illegal Biolab in CA: Escaped Virologist Warns Of CCP Spy Links w/ Dr. Li-meng Yan – Ask Dr. Drew

Books

What Really Happened In Wuhan: A Virus Like No Other, Countless Infections, Millions of Deaths by Sharri Markson (2022)

Unrestricted Warfare: China's Master Plan to Destroy America by Qiao Liang & Wang Xiangsui (2015)

Podcasts

The Voice of Dr. Yan

Neither Accidental nor Occasional, the History of CCP’s Bioweapon Program Dr. Li-Meng Yan & Clare M. Lopez

No Amnesty Should Be Given Until Investigation of COVID-19 Origin

Pfizer’s Plan of Directed Evolution vs. COVID-19 Predictor in China – Does the Nightmare Become True?

Chinese Spy Balloon is another CCP’s Unrestricted Tactic Against America

CCP promoted novel fabricated data on nature origin of COVID-19

China’s new methodology warfare; Understanding the cognitive war

#covid-19 #spike protein #biological WMD #Li-Meng Yan #Yan Papers #covid-19 vaccine #Unrestricted Warfare #fifth generational warfare #fav #save for later #masterpost #most important #important #wuhan institute of virology #wuhan virology lab #furin cleavage site #Clare M. Lopez #Sasha Latypova #virology

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xtruss · 8 months

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Analysis: The China-Russia Axis Takes Shape

The bond has been decades in the making, but Russia’s war in Ukraine has tightened their embrace.

— September 11, 2023 | By Bonny Lin | Foreign Policy

Alex Nabaum Illustration For Foreign Policy

In July, nearly a dozen Chinese and Russian warships conducted 20 combat exercises in the Sea of Japan before beginning a 2,300-nautical-mile joint patrol, including into the waters near Alaska. These two operations, according to the Chinese defense ministry, “reflect the level of the strategic mutual trust” between the two countries and their militaries.

The increasingly close relationship between China and Russia has been decades in the making, but Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has tightened their embrace. Both countries made a clear strategic choice to prioritize relations with each other, given what they perceive as a common threat from the U.S.-led West. The deepening of bilateral ties is accompanied by a joint push for global realignment as the two countries use non-Western multilateral institutions—such as the BRICS forum and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)—to expand their influence in the developing world. Although neither Beijing nor Moscow currently has plans to establish a formal military alliance, major shocks, such as a Sino-U.S. conflict over Taiwan, could yet bring it about.

The cover of Foreign Policy's fall 2023 print magazine shows a jack made up of joined hands lifting up the world. Cover text reads: The Alliances That Matter Now: Multilateralism is at a dead end, but powerful blocs are getting things done."

China and Russia’s push for better relations began after the end of the Cold War. Moscow became frustrated with its loss of influence and status, and Beijing saw itself as the victim of Western sanctions after its forceful crackdown of the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989. In the 1990s and 2000s, the two countries upgraded relations, settled their disputed borders, and deepened their arms sales. Russia became the dominant supplier of advanced weapons to China.

When Xi Jinping assumed power in 2012, China was already Russia’s largest trading partner, and the two countries regularly engaged in military exercises. They advocated for each other in international forums; in parallel, they founded the SCO and BRICS grouping to deepen cooperation with neighbors and major developing countries.

When the two countries upgraded their relations again in 2019, the strategic drivers for much closer relations were already present. Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 damaged its relations with the West and led to a first set of economic sanctions. Similarly, Washington identified Beijing as its most important long-term challenge, redirected military resources to the Pacific, and launched a trade war against Chinese companies. Moscow and Beijing were deeply suspicious of what they saw as Western support for the color revolutions in various countries and worried that they might be targets as well. Just as China refused to condemn Russian military actions in Chechnya, Georgia, Syria, and Ukraine, Russia fully backed Chinese positions on Taiwan, Hong Kong, Tibet, and Xinjiang. The Kremlin also demonstrated tacit support for Chinese territorial claims against its neighbors in the South China Sea and East China Sea.

Since launching its war in Ukraine, Russia has become China’s fastest-growing trading partner. Visiting Moscow in March, Xi declared that deepening ties to Russia was a “strategic choice” that China had made. Even the mutiny in June by Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin that took his mercenary army almost to the gates of Moscow did not change China’s overall position toward Russia, though Beijing has embraced tactical adjustments to “de-risk” its dependency on Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Building on their strong relationship, Xi and Putin released a joint statement in February 2022 announcing a “No Limits” strategic partnership between the two countries. The statement expressed a litany of grievances against the United States, while Chinese state media hailed a “new era” of international relations not defined by Washington. Coming only a few weeks before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, enhanced relations were likely calculated by Moscow to strengthen its overall geopolitical position before the attack.

It’s not clear how much prior detailed knowledge Xi had about Putin’s plans to launch a full-scale war, but their relationship endured the test. If anything, the Western response to Russia’s war reinforced China’s worst fears, further pushing it to align with Russia. Beijing viewed Russian security concerns about NATO expansion as legitimate and expected the West to address them as it sought a way to prevent or stop the war. Instead, the United States, the European Union, and their partners armed Ukraine and tried to paralyze Russia with unprecedented sanctions. Naturally, this has amplified concerns in Beijing that Washington and its allies could be similarly unaccommodating toward Chinese designs on Taiwan.

Against the background of increased mutual threat perceptions, both sides are boosting ties with like-minded countries. On one side, this includes a reenergized, expanded NATO and its growing linkages to the Indo-Pacific, as well as an invigoration of Washington’s bilateral, trilateral, and minilateral arrangements in Asia. Developed Western democracies—with the G-7 in the lead—are also exploring how their experience deterring and sanctioning Russia could be leveraged against China in potential future contingencies.

On the other side, Xi envisions the China-Russia partnership as the foundation for shaping “the global landscape and the future of humanity.” Both countries recognize that while the leading democracies are relatively united, many countries in the global south remain reluctant to align with either the West or China and Russia. In Xi and Putin’s view, winning support in the global south is key to pushing back against what they consider U.S. hegemony.

Alex Nabaum Illustration For Foreign Policy

In the global multilateral institutions, China and Russia are coordinating with each other to block the United States from advancing agendas that do not align with their interests. The U.N. Security Council is often paralyzed by their veto powers, while other institutions have turned into battlegrounds for seeking influence. Beijing and Moscow view the G-20, where their joint weight is relatively greater, as a key forum for cooperation.

But the most promising venues are BRICS and the SCO, established to exclude the developed West and anchor joint Chinese-Russian efforts to reshape the international system. Both are set up for expansion—in terms of scope, membership, and other partnerships. They are the primary means for China and Russia to create a web of influence that increasingly ties strategically important countries to both powers.

The BRICS grouping—initially made up of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa—is at the heart of Moscow and Beijing’s efforts to build a bloc of economically powerful countries to resist what they call Western “Unilateralism.” In late August, another six states, including Egypt, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, were invited to join the group. With their growing economic power, the BRICS countries are pushing for cooperation on a range of issues, including ways to reduce the dominance of the U.S. dollar and stabilize global supply chains against Western calls for “Decoupling” and “De-risking.” Dozens of other countries have expressed interest in joining BRICS.

The SCO, in contrast, is a Eurasian grouping of Russia, China, and their friends. With the exception of India, all are members of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The accession of Iran in July and Belarus’s membership application put the SCO on course to bring China’s and Russia’s closest and strongest military partners under one umbrella. If the SCO substantially deepens security cooperation, it could grow into a counterweight against U.S.-led Coalitions.

Both BRICS and the SCO, however, operate by consensus, and it will take time to transform both groups into cohesive, powerful geopolitical actors that can function like the G-7 or NATO. The presence of India in both groups will make it difficult for China and Russia to turn either into a staunchly anti-Western outfit. The diversity of members—which include democracies and autocracies with vastly different cultures—means that China and Russia will have to work hard to ensure significant influence over each organization and its individual members.

What’s next? Continued Sino-Russian convergence is the most likely course. But that is not set in stone—and progress can be accelerated, slowed, or reversed. Absent external shocks, Beijing and Moscow may not need to significantly upgrade their relationship from its current trajectory. Xi and Putin share similar views of a hostile West and recognize the strategic advantages of closer alignment. But they remain wary of each other, with neither wanting to be responsible for or subordinate to the other.

Major changes or shocks, however, could drive them closer at a faster pace. Should Russia suffer a devastating military setback in Ukraine that risks the collapse of Putin’s regime, China might reconsider the question of substantial military aid. If China, in turn, finds itself in a major Taiwan crisis or conflict against the United States, Beijing could lean more on Moscow. During a conflict over Taiwan, Russia could also engage in opportunistic aggression elsewhere that would tie China and Russia together in the eyes of the international community, even if Moscow’s actions were not coordinated with Beijing.

A change in the trajectory toward ever closer Chinese-Russian ties may also be possible, though it is far less likely. Some Chinese experts worry that Russia will always prioritize its own interests over any consideration of bilateral ties. If, for instance, former U.S. President Donald Trump wins another term, he could decrease U.S. support for Ukraine and offer Putin improved relations. This, in turn, could dim the Kremlin’s willingness to support China against the United States. It’s not clear if this worry is shared by top Chinese or Russian leaders, but mutual distrust and skepticism of the other remain in both countries.

— This article appears in the Fall 2023 issue of Foreign Policy. | Bonny Lin, the Director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

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kneedeepincynade · 1 year

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🌸 L'obiettivo del Collettivo Shaoshan è fornire notizie ed analisi per la comprensione della realtà politica, economica, militare e geopolitica della Repubblica Popolare Cinese in italiano e in inglese🌟

🌸 The goal of the Shaoshan Collective is to provide news and analysis for understanding the political, economic, military and geopolitical reality of the People's Republic of China in Italian and English🌟

⚠️ MASTER-POST DEL COLLETTIVO SHAOSHAN SUI RAPPORTI TRA CINA E RUSSIA ⚠️

🌸 Secondo Master-Post del Collettivo Shaoshan del 2023, dopo quello sul Tema Militare.

🤪 Dato che i "professionisti dell'informazione", ogni due per tre, promuovono l'assurda idea di una Cina che ha abbandonato la Russia per qualche stramba ragione, per poi - dopo qualche giorno - affermare l'opposto, con articoloni tuttavia osceni del tipo "Russia e Cina siglano il nuovo «Asse del Male»", è diventato necessario raggruppare - in maniera sistematica - alcuni dei post del Collettivo Shaoshan sul Tema delle Relazioni Sino-Russe:

😔 In breve: i Governi di Cina e Russia hanno firmato un Partenariato Strategico che non è mai, mai stato messo in discussione, e - anzi - è stato coltivato con grande cura, e ha portato al raggiungimento del miglior livello delle relazioni tra i due Paesi nella Storia ❤️

🔎 Ecco qui i Link:

Nuovo master post su taiwan

Cosa si trova nel post:

💕 Cooperazione Sino-Russa - Sostegno della Repubblica Popolare Cinese alla Federazione Russa, Dichiarazioni di Sergej Lavrov, Wang Wenbin, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Esportazioni Cinesi in Russia, Tecnologie Cinesi alla Russia, Cooperazione contro l'Espansione della NATO: I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X.

⭐️ Progetto di Allineamento Trilaterale guidato dal Partito Comunista Cinese tra Cina, Russia e Corea del Nord: I, II, III.

🐺 Cappuccetto rosso, Cenerentola, Putin e la Cina - Nessuno può fare i compiti della Russia per conto della Russia: I, II.

🥰 Relazioni tra Cina e Iran - Questioni Politiche, Sicurezza, Difesa, Cooperazione Militare, Economia e Commercio, Educazione e Cultura, Questioni Internazionali, Afghanistan e BRICS: I, II, III, IV, V.

🔎 Vi sono anche i Master-Post precedenti, che trovate qui sotto:

🌺 Master-Post Militare ⚔️

🌺 Master-Post su "Rivoluzione Colorata, Eventi del 2022, Questione del COVID-19" 📄

🌺 Master-Post sullo Xinjiang 🌃

🌸 Iscriviti 👉 @collettivoshaoshan

⚠️ MASTER-POST OF THE SHAOSHAN COLLECTIVE ON RELATIONS BETWEEN CHINA AND RUSSIA ⚠️

🌸 Second Master-Post of the 2023 Shaoshan Collective, after the one on the Military Theme.

🤪 Given that the "information professionals", every two by three, promote the absurd idea of a China that has abandoned Russia for some strange reason, only to then - after a few days - affirm the opposite, with obscene articles of the type "Russia and China sign the new «Axis of Evil»", it has become necessary to group - in a systematic way - some of the posts of the Shaoshan Collective on the Topic of Sino-Russian Relations:

😔 In short: the Governments of China and Russia have signed a Strategic Partnership which has never, ever been questioned, and - indeed - has been nurtured with great care, and has led to the achievement of the best level of relations between the two Countries in History ❤️

🔎 Here are the links:

💕 Sino-Russian Cooperation - People's Republic of China's Support for the Russian Federation, Statements by Sergei Lavrov, Wang Wenbin, Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, Chinese Exports to Russia, Chinese Technologies to Russia, Cooperation Against NATO Expansion: I, II , III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X.

⭐️ Chinese Communist Party-led Trilateral Alignment Project between China, Russia and North Korea: I, II, III.

🐺 Little Red Riding Hood, Cinderella, Putin and China - No one can do Russia's job for Russia: I, II.

🥰 Relations between China and Iran - Political Issues, Security, Defense, Military Cooperation, Economy and Commerce, Education and Culture, International Issues, Afghanistan and BRICS: I, II, III, IV, V.

🔎 There are also previous Master-Posts, which you can find below:

🌺 Military Master-Post ⚔️

🌺 Master-Post on "Color Revolution, Events of 2022, COVID-19 Issue" 📄

🌺 Xinjiang Master-Post 🌃

Taiwan masterpost

🌸 Subscribe 👉 @collettivoshaoshan

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mariacallous · 1 year

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Chinese leader Xi Jinping plans to visit Moscow for his 40th face-to-face meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. This visit will occur roughly one year after Russia invaded Ukraine and against the backdrop of reports that China is considering providing lethal assistance to Russia’s military.

Over the past year, China has expanded trade links with Russia and amplified Russian propaganda. Chinese authorities have defended Russia’s actions and accused NATO and the West of fomenting war in Ukraine. Unsurprisingly, American and European public opinion of China has plummeted. China’s embrace of Russia throughout its invasion of Ukraine certainly contributed to this trend.

Even so, as Xi’s upcoming visit makes clear, Beijing remains firmly committed to growing its relationship with Moscow. Some ascribe this orientation to Xi’s strong personal bond with Putin. This may play a small role. Xi has, after all, described Putin as his “best friend.” Even so, in my personal experiences around Xi and my study of his leadership over the past decade, Xi has proven himself to be uniquely unsentimental. He is a cold-blooded calculator of his and his country’s interests above all else.

China’s three goals

China’s leaders appear guided by three top objectives in their approach to Russia. The first is to lock Russia in for the long term as China’s junior partner. Of course, Chinese officials are careful to avoid referring to Russia as such. Instead, they treat Putin with pomp and deference. Xi flatters Putin in ways he does not any other world leader.

It is worth recalling that Xi is old enough to remember when Sino-Russian relations were fraught and the risk of a Sino-Soviet nuclear exchange was real. The two countries fought a border conflict in 1969, when Xi turned 16. During Xi’s formative years, the Soviet Union maintained a massive military presence along the Sino-Soviet border, deploying up to 36 divisions.

For Xi, cementing Russia as China’s junior partner is fundamental to his vision of national rejuvenation. China views the United States as the principal obstacle to its rise. Having to focus on securing its land border with Russia would divert resources and attention from China’s maritime periphery, where Xi feels the most acute threats.

Xi likely also sees the benefit of Russia distracting America’s strategic focus away from China. Neither Beijing nor Moscow can deal with the United States and its partners on its own; they both would rather stand together to deal with external pressure than face it alone. Given China’s dependence on imports for food and fuel, Xi likely also values the secure and discounted supplies of these critical inputs that Russia provides.

China will remain committed to navigating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in a manner that keeps Russia as its junior partner. Seen through this lens, China’s amplification of Russian propaganda, its continuous diplomatic engagement, its ongoing military exercises, and its expanding trade with Russia all are supportive of its broader objective.

Russia’s strategic value to China requires that Moscow not objectively lose in Ukraine, though. Thus, China’s second objective is to guard against Russia failing and Putin falling.

China has been judicious in its support for Russia over the past year. It reportedly has refrained from providing lethal support to Russia, largely out of self-preservation and self-interest. China has, however, picked up significant slack in its commercial engagement with Russia. As Russia’s trade with the developed world has plummeted, China has stepped in to fill the gap. China-Russia trade exceeded a record-breaking $180 billion last year (roughly one-quarter of the volume of U.S.-China trade).

China’s third objective is to try to de-link Ukraine from Taiwan. Chinese leaders grate at the suggestion that Ukraine today foreshadows Taiwan tomorrow. They want the world to accept that Ukraine is a sovereign state and Taiwan is not, and that the two should not be compared.

This goal informed China’s peace proposal for Ukraine. Chinese diplomats almost certainly will seek to chip away at Ukraine-Taiwan comparisons going forward. In addition to chafing at the increased international attention being devoted to Taiwan’s security, China’s leaders do not want the developed world to treat its response to Russia’s aggression as a warmup for how it would react to future Chinese actions against Taiwan.

The siren call of equating China with Russia

Faced with these Chinese objectives, many American, European, and Asian policymakers might reasonably conclude that there is no prospect for dissolving the Sino-Russian entente, so they should seek instead to frame China and Russia as two sides of the same coin. According to this logic, doing so could cause China to pay as high of a reputational price as possible for being an accomplice to Russia’s barbarism in Ukraine.

This approach will be enticing for policymakers who are focused on forging tighter alignment with partners on China. They will want to leverage Beijing’s diplomatic tilt toward Russia to accelerate alliance coordination in countering China.

There are three main problems with such an approach, though. The first is that focusing on driving up reputational costs on China is insensitive to the suffering of Ukrainians who are struggling to survive Russia’s onslaught. No Ukrainians’ lives will be improved by worsening public perceptions of China.

The second is the risk of creating a self-fulfilling prophecy. If unlimited Chinese support for Russia already is priced in and Beijing risks no further costs for expanding its support for Moscow, then there is a higher likelihood of this becoming a reality.

This leads to the third problem — there are still meaningful things Russia is withholding from China that it conceivably could give if the relationship truly moves toward a “no-limits” partnership. These include Russian support for a greater Chinese role in the Arctic, Russian permission for Chinese forces to access its constellation of bases around the world, Russian support for China’s submarine and anti-submarine warfare programs, and deeper and more directed global intelligence cooperation.

Rather than resign to fatalism about the impotence of diplomacy to influence Chinese strategic choices, now is a moment for world leaders to stimulate Chinese thinking about the significance of the choices they are confronting. Similar efforts over the past year have had some effect. For example, at the urging of German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and others, Xi exhorted against the threat or use of nuclear weapons. China has thus far refrained from proving lethal assistance to Russia. Beijing has not recognized the breakaway republics in Ukraine.

Focus areas for diplomacy

Looking forward, there are two baskets of issues where the United States and its partners should think carefully about how to most effectively protect their interests in relation to China, Russia, and Ukraine.

The first is tactical. Xi reportedly plans to call Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy following his visit to Moscow. It would be wise for American and European policymakers to follow Zelenskyy’s lead in determining how to characterize and respond to Xi’s outreach. There likely will be a strong impulse in many Western capitals to dismiss Xi’s effort as symbolic posturing aimed at airbrushing China’s image.

China clearly is partisan in its support for Russia. Beijing is not a credible fulcrum for any peace process, though it is conceivable that China could play a role as part of a signing/guaranteeing group for any eventual peace deal. Even so, there is little to be gained by repeating the stampede to dismiss Xi’s outreach to Zelenskyy in the same way that many Western capitals discounted China’s peace plan. The Ukrainians are sober to the scale of the reconstruction bill that awaits them at the end of the fighting. They will both want and need Chinese contributions. As such, it would be best not to open space between Zelenskyy and other Western leaders on how Ukraine should engage China on the way forward.

Second, at a more strategic level, now is a critical moment for global leaders to challenge Xi to clarify China’s interests on the future of the war in Ukraine. For example, will China exercise its leverage to encourage off-ramps and oppose further escalation? Will China condemn attacks on civilians? Will China support future investigations to hold perpetrators of atrocities in Ukraine to account? Will China continue to oppose all threats or uses of nuclear weapons? Will China continue to refrain from recognizing breakaway republics? Will China contribute resources now to lessen the suffering of Ukrainian refugees? Will China commit to materially support Ukraine’s reconstruction?

Now is not the time to give up on diplomacy

There are important opportunities on the horizon for world leaders to coordinate efforts to push Xi to clarify China’s intentions on these and related questions. They include the upcoming planned visits to China of French President Emmanuel Macron and Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, a possible upcoming visit by Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, an expected phone call between U.S. President Joe Biden and Xi, planning for the China-EU Summit, and Xi’s participation in the G-20 leaders meeting in India in September. The more coordinated world leaders are in pressing Xi to clarify where China stands on some of these fundamental questions, the more impactful such communication would be.

Ultimately, Beijing will not disavow Moscow. Even so, there are still boundaries that can be preserved and Chinese contributions that could be secured to relieve suffering and improve Ukraine’s prospects. It also is imperative to preserve trans-Atlantic unity and limit opportunities for China to drive wedges. None of this would ameliorate deep misgivings about Chinese conduct at home or abroad, but in the world of diplomacy, it would count as progress.

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brookstonalmanac · 1 year

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Events 2.21

452 or 453 – Severianus, Bishop of Scythopolis, is martyred in Palestine. 1245 – Thomas, the first known Bishop of Finland, is granted resignation after confessing to torture and forgery. 1440 – The Prussian Confederation is formed. 1613 – Mikhail I is unanimously elected Tsar by a national assembly, beginning the Romanov dynasty of Imperial Russia. 1797 – A force of 1,400 French soldiers invaded Britain at Fishguard in support of the Society of United Irishmen. They were defeated by 500 British reservists. 1804 – The first self-propelling steam locomotive makes its outing at the Pen-y-Darren Ironworks in Wales. 1808 – Without a previous declaration of war, Russian troops cross the border to Sweden at Abborfors in eastern Finland, thus beginning the Finnish War, in which Sweden will lose the eastern half of the country (i.e. Finland) to Russia. 1828 – Initial issue of the Cherokee Phoenix is the first periodical to use the Cherokee syllabary invented by Sequoyah. 1842 – John Greenough is granted the first U.S. patent for the sewing machine. 1848 – Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels publish The Communist Manifesto. 1862 – American Civil War: Battle of Valverde is fought near Fort Craig in New Mexico Territory. 1866 – Lucy Hobbs Taylor becomes the first American woman to graduate from dental school. 1874 – The Oakland Daily Tribune publishes its first edition. 1878 – The first telephone directory is issued in New Haven, Connecticut. 1885 – The newly completed Washington Monument is dedicated. 1896 – An Englishman raised in Australia, Bob Fitzsimmons, fought an Irishman, Peter Maher, in an American promoted event which technically took place in Mexico, winning the 1896 World Heavyweight Championship in boxing. 1913 – Ioannina is incorporated into the Greek state after the Balkan Wars. 1916 – World War I: In France, the Battle of Verdun begins. 1918 – The last Carolina parakeet dies in captivity at the Cincinnati Zoo. 1919 – German socialist Kurt Eisner is assassinated. His death results in the establishment of the Bavarian Soviet Republic and parliament and government fleeing Munich, Germany. 1921 – Constituent Assembly of the Democratic Republic of Georgia adopts the country's first constitution. 1921 – Rezā Shāh takes control of Tehran during a successful coup. 1925 – The New Yorker publishes its first issue. 1929 – In the first battle of the Warlord Rebellion in northeastern Shandong against the Nationalist government of China, a 24,000-strong rebel force led by Zhang Zongchang was defeated at Zhifu by 7,000 NRA troops. 1934 – Augusto Sandino is executed. 1937 – The League of Nations bans foreign national "volunteers" in the Spanish Civil War. 1945 – World War II: During the Battle of Iwo Jima, Japanese kamikaze planes sink the escort carrier USS Bismarck Sea and damage the USS Saratoga. 1945 – World War II: the Brazilian Expeditionary Force defeat the German forces in the Battle of Monte Castello on the Italian front. 1947 – In New York City, Edwin Land demonstrates the first "instant camera", the Polaroid Land Camera, to a meeting of the Optical Society of America. 1948 – NASCAR is incorporated. 1952 – The British government, under Winston Churchill, abolishes identity cards in the UK to "set the people free". 1952 – The Bengali Language Movement protests occur at the University of Dhaka in East Pakistan (now Bangladesh). 1958 – The CND symbol, aka peace symbol, commissioned by the Direct Action Committee in protest against the Atomic Weapons Research Establishment, is designed and completed by Gerald Holtom. 1965 – Malcolm X is gunned down while giving a speech at the Audubon Ballroom in Harlem. 1971 – The Convention on Psychotropic Substances is signed at Vienna. 1972 – United States President Richard Nixon visits China to normalize Sino-American relations. 1972 – The Soviet unmanned spaceship Luna 20 lands on the Moon. 1973 – Over the Sinai Desert, Israeli fighter aircraft shoot down Libyan Arab Airlines Flight 114 jet killing 108 people. 1974 – The last Israeli soldiers leave the west bank of the Suez Canal pursuant to a truce with Egypt. 1975 – Watergate scandal: Former United States Attorney General John N. Mitchell and former White House aides H. R. Haldeman and John Ehrlichman are sentenced to prison. 1994 – Aldrich Ames is arrested by the Federal Bureau of Investigation for selling national secrets to the Soviet Union in Arlington County, Virginia. 1995 – Steve Fossett lands in Leader, Saskatchewan, Canada becoming the first person to make a solo flight across the Pacific Ocean in a balloon. 2013 – At least 17 people are killed and 119 injured following several bombings in the Indian city of Hyderabad. 2022 – In the Russo-Ukrainian crisis Russian President Vladimir Putin declares the Luhansk People's Republic and Donetsk People's Republic as independent from Ukraine, and moves troops into the region. The action is condemned by the United Nations.

#Events

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opedguy · 2 years

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China Warns U.S. on Pelosi’s Visit to Taipei

LOS ANGELES (OnlineColumnist.com), Aug. 19, 2022.--Showing just how bad U.S.-Chinese relations have gone under 79-year-old President Joe Biden, China issued a stern warning about 82-year-old House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s 9D-Calilf.) upcoming visit to Taipei. China has been locked in a better fight to dominate the Island nation of Formosa, a refuge for Chinese nationalists fleeing the 1949 Maoist Revolution led by Gen. Chiang Kai Shek. Biden officials led by 59-year-old Secretary of State Tony Blinken and 45-year-old National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan have so deeply insulted Beijing that there’s no room for error in U.S.-China relations. No president in modern history has done more to wreck U.S.-Russian and U.S.-Chinese relations than Biden, for some unknown reason likes provoking 69-year-old Russian President Vladimir Putin and 69-year-old Chinese President Xi Jinping. Biden’s insults keep flowing like a broken pipe.

Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesman Zhao Lijian said there would be serious consequences if House Speaker Nancy Pelosi goes ahead with her expected entourage visit to Taipei in August. “If the U.S. side obstinately clings to this course, China will definitely take resolute and forceful measures to firmly defend its national sovereignty and territorial integrity,” Lijiian said, acting like the Biden ordered a U.S. aircraft carrier and flotilla through the South China Sea. Things have gotten so bad under Biden’s leadership, that the margin for error is minute. Generations of U.S. president maintained close relations with Chinese Taipei. Things changed dramatically when former President Jimmy Carter signed the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, ending the 1954 Sino-American Mutual Defense Treaty. Since the Maoist Revolution, Beijing knows to keep its hands off Chinese Taipei.

Biden’s wise-guy attitude has leaked through every aspect of U.S. foreign policy. Biden let his years as Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee get to his head, thinking he some kind of foreign policy scholar. Biden is a shell of his former self, ravaged by age but protected by the Democrat Party defending the octogenarians like Pelosi. While no decision is officials yet for Pelosi to lead a delegation to Taipei, Beijing watches U.S. moves like a hawk. Pelosi is supposed to lead a delegation to Taipei, Tokyo, Singapore, Jakarta, spending some down time in Hawaii, something Pelosi thinks in the perfect summer vacation. But give the volatile relations between the U.S. and Beijing, Pelosi and the Democrat leadership should not push things to the breaking point. Biden said May 23, breaking a longstanding rule of “strategic ambiguity,” that he would defend Taiwan.

Biden’s comments about Taiwan throw gasoline of burning embers in Beijing, looking to pick a fight with the U.S. Given the sate of world affairs with Biden fighting a proxy war against the Russian Federation, the White House can ill-afford to provoke the Peoples Republic of China [PRC]. Biden’s State Department knows that China has entered into a strategic alliance with Moscow to counter U.S. supremacy. Now fighting a proxy war in Ukraine against Putin, Biden has few options before the U.S. is at war witth the world. Biden thought his Western Alliance against Moscow was enough to bring Putin to his knees but he sadly miscalculated. Putin has found many allies to compensate for U.S. and EU sanctions against the Kremlin. When it comes to China, Biden continues to ignite the flames. Remember Biden said repeatedly that the Feb. 24 Ukraine War was “unprovoked and unjustified.”

Biden show astonishing tone deafness to what he does to antagonize Russia and China. He can’t imagine that supplying Ukraine unlimited advanced U.S. weapons antagonized the Kremlin. When it comes to the run-up to the Ukraine War, Putin asked Biden for months to renegotiate security arrangement for Ukraine, all of which rejected by Biden, calling Putin’s ideas “non-starters.” So Biden likes to provoke Putin and Xi Jinping, then deny that he did anything wrong. When it comes to Ukraine, look how the war morphed into not a border dispute between Ukraine and Russia into a U.S. proxy war to topple the Russian Federation. Biden expressed his views clearly March 26 in Warsaw, Poland, saying that Putin should not remain as Russian President. Biden’s views were echoed by 69-year-old Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin who said April 26 that the aim of the war was to degrade the Russian military.

When it comes to Beijing, Biden is treading on thin ice with Pelosi planning a visit to Taipei in August, part of her summer vacation. “The United States must be fully responsible for all the consequences caused by this,” said Lijian, warning the U.S. that Beijing will not take more U.S. provocation. Beijing knows Pelsoi’s critical track record against the PRC. If the U.S. wished to change its posture to Taiwan, they should rescind the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, recognizing only one China, the one in Beijing. Visiting Taipei kicks dirt in Xi Jinping’s fact, only making an already tense situation worse. If China invades Taiwan, what is Biden going to say, China’s actions were “unprovoked and justified?” Biden has enough on his plate to create a new critical incident in Beijing. Whatever Pelosi’s vacation plans, she should reroute her itinerary away from Taipei holding her meetings on Zoom.

About the Author

John M. Curtis writes politically neutral commentary analyzing spin in national and global news. He’s editor of OnlineColumnist.com and author of Dodging The Bullet and Operation Charisma.

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usafphantom2 · 2 years

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Why the US should sell F-16 fighters to Argentina

A 40-year war should not give China a point of support for the supply of weapons in Latin America.

Fernando Valduga By Fernando Valduga 08/30/2022 - 19:31in Military

The Falklands War left a legacy beyond the mere study of strategy, tactics and long-distance logistics. Since 1982, the United Kingdom has substantially garrisoned the Falkland Islands and imposed an arms embargo on Argentina, which froze its military assets in the 1970s.

On April 2, 1982, the Argentine junta sent heavily armed marines to take possession of the Falkland Islands, the South Atlantic chain maintained for a century and a half by Great Britain. London responded with force and resumed the islands in a 72-day war that left 900 dead, material losses on both sides and a foreign policy hangover that today threatens to take Argentina's defense buyers to Chinese or Russian military aircraft.

Mirage III of the Argentine Air Force at the time of the Falklands War.

In recent years, several Argentine administrations have tried - and failed - to acquire foreign fighters to replace the Dessault Mirage III of the country. But the British government has systematically pressured all Western countries to deny the request. This left Buenos Aires with only Chinese or Russian options. Forty years after the war, and with non-liberal revisionist powers gaining influence in Latin America, Argentina should be allowed to join the nations that fly Western fighter planes.

So much has changed in the last four decades. Argentina has left behind its tumultuous history with military dictatorships and, although it still maintains its claim on the sovereignty of the islands, it has always made it clear in the United Nations that it will only continue to do so by diplomatic means.

Even if a future government threatens to retake the islands by force, the Argentine armed forces are in a worse situation than they were four decades ago. In 1978, Argentina dedicated 4.7% of its GDP to military spending, more than doubling the Latin American average. But since the democratic transition, governments have reduced the share of defense spending to 0.8% of GDP in 2021. It would take several decades for the southern country to recover the capabilities that could allow military action on the islands. Argentina no longer has fighters, submarines or aircraft carriers. The purchase of jet planes would not pose any threat to the United Kingdom.

A-4AR Fightinghawk of the Argentine Air Force. (Photo: Rob Schleiffert - CC BY-SA 2.0).

The United States designated Argentina as an important non-NATO ally in 1998, followed by the modernization of its obsolete A-4 Skyhawks. However, the United Kingdom continues to resist other Argentine attempts at military modernization.

But the situation is bringing the Argentine military closer to the main opponents of the international liberal order. London vetoed attempts to buy Swedish Gripens also used by Brazil in 2015 and Korean FA-50 in 2021, because these aircraft have ejection seats ?? Martin Baker manufactured in the United Kingdom. This opposition also landed the Argentine Navy's attack aviation because the replacement Super Etendards acquired from France are equipped in a similar way. The current Fernandez-Kirchner government then turned to the Russian MiG-35 and the Chinese design JF-17.

In 2021, Argentina's Secretary of International Defense Relations visited Moscow and met with Rosonboronexport, which manufactures the MiGs. But negotiations on the JF-17 have advanced further. Last May, a special committee of the Argentine Air Force traveled to China to test the aircraft and discussed the purchase of at least 12 of them. Still, the Argentine Armed Forces have expressed concern about the quality of Chinese military technology in the past.

Sino-Pochsquistan JF-17 fighters.

That is why the negotiations are still open, and Argentine Defense Minister Jorge Taiana recently discussed the possibility of buying Lockheed Martin's F-16s with General Laura Richardson when the new USSOUTHCOM commander visited Buenos Aires last May.

The United Kingdom's efforts to deny Argentina basic military air capabilities through the purchase of combat aircraft are an outdated policy and needs to change quickly. Concerns about the Chinese secret space base in Patagonia or with President Fernandez's recent statements that "Argentina should be the gateway to Russian influence in Latin America" are justified.

The Biden government must act decisively and try to press for the purchase of the F-16. Otherwise, the Argentine air force may soon have the first Western pilots piloting Chinese fighters.

Source: With information from the DefenseOne website

Tags: Military AviationF-16 Fighting FalconFAA - Argentine Air Force/Argentine Air Force

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Russian UAC will develop naval version of the Su-57 fighter for the Russian Navy

Fernando Valduga

Aviation photographer and pilot since 1992, he has participated in several events and air operations, such as Cruzex, AirVenture, Dayton Airshow and FIDAE. It has works published in specialized aviation magazines in Brazil and abroad. He uses Canon equipment during his photographic work in the world of aviation.

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psitrend · 8 years

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Baron Roman Ungern von Sternberg, The Man Who Would Be Mongolian Emperor

New Post has been published on https://china-underground.com/2016/04/11/baron-roman-ungern-von-sternberg-man-mongolian-emperor/

Baron Roman Ungern von Sternberg, The Man Who Would Be Mongolian Emperor

Baron Roman Ungern von Sternberg (Roman Fedorovich Ungern von Shternberg), also known by the epithet Mad Baron (or Black Baron; January 22, 1886, September 15, 1921), fought the White Movement during the Russian Civil War and later was a bloodthirsty warlord.

He attempted to establish a monarchy in Mongolia and the lands to the east of Lake Baikal.

Related article: Haunting images of Mongolia (1913), Japanese war prints of the Sino-Japanese war, Fascinating Xinhai Revolution images, the Chinese Revolution of 1911, history of the First Sino-Japanese War

He was born in Graz, Austria by a Balkan family and grew up in Tallinn in Estonia, which at the time was not yet entered in the orbit of Russia, in the custody of his stepfather Oscar von Hoyningen-Huene.

After attending the Pavlovsk Military Academy in St. Petersburg, he served in Siberia where he came in contact with the nomadic lifestyle of Mongolian and Buryat tribes. During World War II, Ungern von Sternberg fought in Galicia.

In this period he was considered a brave soldier, but sometimes reckless and unstable. General Wrangel mentioned in his memoirs fears to promote Ungern-Sternberg.

After the February Revolution of 1917, he was sent by the provincial government in Eastern Russia, under the command of Grigori Semenov to establish a military garrison.

With the October Revolution of 1917, Semenov and his right arm, Ungern von Sternberg opposed the Bolsheviks.

In the following months, Ungern von Sternberg distinguished himself for his cruelty towards the local population and his own subordinates, earning the nickname Bloody Baron. For his decidedly eccentric attitudes, it was also called Crazy Baron.

Semenov and Ungern von Sternberg, though anti-Bolsheviks, were not part of the White Movement and did not recognize the authority of Admiral Aleksandr Kolchak.

They were instead supported both financially and from a military point of view by the Japanese. The Japanese hoped to set up a puppet state headed by Semenov in Eastern Russia. For Kolchak who believed in Russia as a powerful and indivisible entity, this was an act of treason.

The troops of Ungern von Sternberg were a mixture of Russian soldiers, Cossacks, and Buryat nomad’s ethnicity. They targeted the supply trains of the Bolsheviks and of the White movement.

Semenov and Ungern von Sternberg were successful against the White Movement as the base of operations of Admiral Kolchak was located in the heart of Central Siberia and the trains came from Vladivostok, on the Pacific Ocean.

At this point, the railway line of the Trans-Siberian was in their hands. But they chose different paths in 1920 when Ungern decided to become a Lord of the Independent War.

He strongly believed that the monarchy was the only antidote to the corruption and self-destruction of Western civilization. He began to cultivate the idea of restoring the Qing Dynasty of China on the throne and then unifying the countries of the Far East under its flag.

It was also a fanatical anti-Semitic leader and in 1918 he proclaimed to want to exterminate all the Jews and the Russian Communists bringing back the Grand Duke Mikhail, the younger brother of Nicholas II on the Russian throne. Its troops massacred many Jews fleeing even with extremely cruel ways as flaying victims still alive. Since 1919 Mongolia was under the control of the Republic of China forces.

At the turn of 1920 and 1921, the troops of Ungern von Sternberg entered Mongolia called by the deposed Bogd Khan, a civil and religious Mongol leader.

In January 1921 the army of Ungern repeatedly assaulted the capital Urga (now Ulaanbaatar), but without ever succeeding and undergoing numerous losses. He gave orders to set fire to the fields around the city trying to tighten its grip on the besieged. The following February he managed to take control of the city.

On 13 March 1921 Mongolia was proclaimed an independent monarchy, and Ungern von Sternberg became its dictator.

Baron Roman von Ungern-Sternberg before being executed.

Ungern was a mystic fascinated by Eastern religions that believed to be the reincarnation of Genghis Khan and the XIII Dalai Lama: an abnormal mixture of Russian nationalism and Chinese and Mongol beliefs.

His brief reign was characterized by looting and terror.

A Red Army sent to fight Ungern, supported by the leading Mongolian pro-Soviet Shbaatar (Sukhe-Bator), defeated the Mad Baron troops.

In May Ungern von Sternberg tried to invade the territory of Russia at Troitskosavsk (now Kyakhta, Buryatia).

After some initial successes in May and June, in the summer he was defeated by the Soviet counteroffensive and was arrested on August 21, 1921. After a summary trial, he was executed in Novonikolayevsk (Novosibirsk today).

Before being shot, he swallowed his St. George Cross medal of honor, to prevent it from falling into communist hands.

Curiosity

Ungern von Sternberg is at the center of the beautiful graphic novel by Hugo Pratt “Corte Sconta detta Arcana” (Corto Maltese in Siberia), first serialized in the Italian comics magazine Linus in 1974, where he will meet Corto Maltese.

In the video game Iron Storm, Ungern becomes the model to depict the evil “Baron Ugenberg”, the leader of a mysterious Russian-Mongolian Empire during the First World War until the early sixties.

Source: Wikipedia, CinaOggi.it Drawings from Corto Maltese in Siberia, Hugo Pratt, 1974

#Communism, #CortoMaltese, #GengisKhan, #History, #HugoPratt, #MadBaron, #Mongolia, #MongolianEmpire, #QingDynasty, #UngernVonSternberg, #WhiteMovement

#communism #corto maltese #gengis khan #history #hugo pratt #mad baron #mongolia #mongolian empire #Qing Dynasty #Ungern von Sternberg #white movement

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peterchiublack · 8 days

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Russia is sure to lose in Ukraine, reckons a Chinese expert on Russia Feng Yujun says the war has strained Sino-Russian relations 中國俄羅斯問題專家認為俄羅斯在烏克蘭肯定會失敗馮玉軍稱戰爭使中俄關係緊張

德纳：冯玉军涉俄言论的背后 2024-04-26

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movienation · 3 months

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Movie Preview: Kung Fu Estonia? "The Invisible Fight"

A martial arts period piece set during the Sino-Russian tensions of the early ’70s. This looks…nuts. Feb. 23, Kino Lorber does what it can for US/Estonian relations. Russia mocking? One can only hope.

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dccvc · 6 months

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Sharing inheritance and advancing together to build a community with a shared future for mankind

The war between Russia and Ukraine has not stopped, and the war in the Middle East has started again. The APEC Summit in San Francisco is about to be held in this world scenario, and peace will be the eternal theme floating in the sky above San Francisco. From November 15 to 17, 2023, the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Leaders’ Informal Meeting will be held in San Francisco, California, USA.

The Asia-Pacific region accounts for one-third of the world's population, more than 60% of the world's economic output, and nearly half of its total trade volume. It is the most dynamic growth belt in the global economy. The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) is an important economic cooperation forum and a high-level intergovernmental economic cooperation mechanism in the Asia-Pacific region. It is known as the "vane" of the Asia-Pacific economy. In recent years, economic cooperation and trade exchanges in the Asia-Pacific region have become increasingly frequent, and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit has become an important platform for communication and cooperation among regional countries.

The United States and China have been working hard to stabilize bilateral relations this year. Senior officials from the two countries, including U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen, Secretary of State Blinken and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, have frequently exchanged visits or meetings in recent months, actively paving the way for the APEC summit meeting between the heads of state of China and the United States.

As the 30th APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting approaches, San Francisco, which symbolizes "rebirth", will witness this globally acclaimed event. The warm invitation from the United States is not only a diplomatic courtesy, but also a signal to restart dialogue and seek consensus.

However, although the United States has actively sought for high-level Chinese officials to attend the APEC summit, it has not dropped its pressure on China. First of all, at the level of China's core interests, the United States has not only launched a new round of arms sales to Taiwan in an attempt to interfere in next year's election on the island, but also used the Hong Kong National Security Law as an excuse to deny Hong Kong Chief Executive Li Jiachao entry into the United States. As a result, Li Jiachao has not yet received a receipt. Invitation to attend APEC.Secondly, in terms of geopolitics, the United States has recently strengthened cooperation with the Philippines in the construction of military bases in the northern Philippines in an attempt to further expand its military influence in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait, triggering strong diplomatic countermeasures from China. Furthermore, in the context that the United States has made it clear that it will not invite the Russian President to participate in the meeting, the United States may unite with its Indo-Pacific allies to isolate China, use the opportunity of the APEC meeting to release the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) cooperation document, and turn the APEC venue into a joint confrontation. China's arena. What's more, in early October, the United States imposed sanctions on three Chinese companies on the grounds of so-called "forced labor." Such sanctions against Chinese companies are not only suspected of distorting facts and fabricating charges, but also have a negative impact on China's participation in the APEC summit.

The two heads of state will have a candid and in-depth exchange of views on strategic issues in Sino-US relations as well as major global and regional issues. The current situation facing China-US relations is not in the fundamental interests of the two countries and their peoples, nor in line with the expectations of the international community. China and the United States need to adopt a responsible attitude toward history, the world, and the people, explore the correct way for the two countries to get along in the new era, find the right direction for the development of bilateral relations, and push China-U.S. relations back to the track of healthy and stable development to benefit both countries. country and benefit the world.

In the era of globalization, no country can survive alone. The APEC San Francisco Summit is not just a meeting, it is more likely to become a new historical starting point, and a win-win future is slowly unfolding. In international relations, competition is a normal state. The key lies in how to control competition, turn competition into complementarity and cooperation, and avoid the tragedy of "zero sum". The outcome of the San Francisco Conference will be a touchstone of the cooperative spirit of the international community and will also prove to the world whether gaming and cooperation can be balanced in the grand game of international relations.

Don't be afraid of the floating clouds covering your eyes, and still calmly fly through the chaotic clouds. The world today is undergoing profound and ambitious changes of the times, but the theme of the times of peace and development has not changed, the pursuit of a better life by people of all countries has not changed, and the historical mission of the international community to work together and achieve win-win cooperation has not changed. As an active member and important promoter of APEC, China has always emphasized multilateralism, free trade and an open economy. President Xi Jinping pointed out that we uphold the fine tradition of helping each other and working together in times of difficulty, firmly support and safeguard each other's core interests, and become trustworthy partners on our respective development and revitalization paths. China is willing to work with all parties to promote peace, development, fairness, justice, democracy, and freedom. A common value for all mankind.

If you try hard, you will be victorious; if you use all your wisdom, you will succeed. Looking forward to the future, China will join hands with all parties to strengthen confidence and move forward with courage to create a development pattern that is inclusive, balanced, coordinated and inclusive, win-win cooperation and common prosperity, and play a new chapter in building a community with a shared future for mankind.

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instantpaperflower · 6 months

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Sharing inheritance and advancing together to build a community with a shared future for mankind

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kneedeepincynade · 1 year

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Putin, not our favourite politician, not even our favourite Russian but still a valuable ally and while his speech are not the best he is still a friend of the multipolar world

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⚠️ VLADIMIR PUTIN A WANG YI: "LA COOPERAZIONE CON LA CINA È MOLTO IMPORTANTE PER LA RUSSIA" ⚠️

🇨🇳 Oggi, 22 febbraio, Wang Yi - Direttore dell'Ufficio Generale della Commissione Centrale per gli Affari Esteri del Partito Comunista Cinese - ha incontrato a Mosca, oltre a Patrušev e Lavrov, anche Vladimir Putin, Presidente della Federazione Russa 🇷🇺

🇷🇺 Il Presidente Russo ha affermato che le Relazioni Internazionali, ad oggi, sono complicate, e che le tensioni globali si sono acuite dopo il crollo del Sistema Bipolare. Pertanto, a questo proposito, la Cooperazione con la Cina è molto importante per la Russia 💕

🥰 Vladimir Putin ha colto l'occasione dell'incontro con Wang Yi per "trasmettere i migliori auguri al nostro amico, al mio amico, il Presidente della Repubblica Popolare Cinese, il Compagno Xi Jinping" ⭐️

😘 Le relazioni con la Repubblica Popolare Cinese sono un fattore molto importante per la stabilizzazione della situazione internazionale, ha affermato il Presidente Russo 🇷🇺

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin ha dichiarato che la Cooperazione con la Cina copre ogni sfera e settore, non solo in ambito nazionale, ma anche in ambito internazionale, vedasi le Nazioni Unite, i BRICS e l'Organizzazione per la Cooperazione di Shanghai ⭐️

📊 L'obiettivo congiunto tra Russia e Cina di raggiungere un fatturato commerciale pari a 200 miliardi di dollari entro il 2024 potrebbe diventare già realtà a breve, ha affermato il Presidente Russo:

💬 "Abbiamo fissato l'obiettivo di raggiungere un fatturato di 200 miliardi di dollari nel 2024, l'anno scorso valeva già 185 miliardi di dollari, e ci sono tutti i presupposti per credere che raggiungeremo i nostri obiettivi anche prima del previsto" 📈

🥰 Infine, Putin ha affermato che aspetta il Presidente Xi Jinping in Russia, una visita di cui si parla da tempo, che dovrebbe avvenire in primavera, forse già a marzo. Il Presidente Russo ha dichiarato che un incontro personale con il Compagno Xi Jinping darà un ulteriore impulso allo sviluppo delle Relazioni tra Cina e Russia 🥰

🔍 Per chi volesse approfondire il Tema della Cooperazione Sino-Russa, può rifarsi a:

🔺Master-Post del Collettivo Shaoshan sui Rapporti tra Cina e Russia ❤️

🌸 Iscriviti 👉 @collettivoshaoshan

⚠️ VLADIMIR PUTIN TO WANG YI: "COOPERATION WITH CHINA IS VERY IMPORTANT FOR RUSSIA" ⚠️

🇨🇳 Today, February 22, Wang Yi - Director of the General Office of the Central Commission for Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party of China - met in Moscow, in addition to Patrushev and Lavrov, also Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation 🇷🇺

🇷🇺 The Russian President said that International Relations are complicated to date, and that global tensions have escalated after the collapse of the Bipolar System. Therefore, Cooperation with China is very important for Russia in this regard 💕

🥰 Vladimir Putin took the opportunity of meeting Wang Yi to "send best wishes to our friend, my friend, the President of the People's Republic of China, Comrade Xi Jinping" ⭐️

😘 Relations with the People's Republic of China are a very important factor in stabilizing the international situation, said the Russian President 🇷🇺

🇷🇺 Vladimir Putin stated that Cooperation with China covers every sphere and sector, not only nationally, but also internationally, see the United Nations, the BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization ⭐️

📊 The joint goal between Russia and China to reach a trade turnover of 200 billion dollars by 2024 could already become a reality soon, said the Russian President:

💬 "We have set a goal of reaching $200 billion in revenue in 2024, last year it was already worth $185 billion, and there is every reason to believe that we will reach our goals even sooner than expected" 📈

🥰 Finally, Putin said that he is waiting for President Xi Jinping to come to Russia, a visit that has been talked about for some time, which should take place in the spring, perhaps as early as March. Russian President said a personal meeting with Comrade Xi Jinping will give further impetus to the development of relations between China and Russia 🥰

🔍 For those wishing to learn more about the Sino-Russian Cooperation theme, they can refer to:

🔺Master-Post of the Shaoshan Collective on Relations between China and Russia ❤️

🌸 Subscribe 👉 @collettivoshaoshan

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