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ms-demeanor · 2 years

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I believe in a lot of things but because I’m not gung-ho about murder and the destruction of the system, you’ll always say I don’t believe strongly enough. I know there’s nothing I can do to get you to respect me, I just want an answer to the question: where are these new, lefty voters going to come from, and why is “preventing total collapse into fascism” not a good enough reason for them to vote? To do this really minor thing? Why do you all default to guillotines?

And, like, as far as I can tell, your position is that I should die, everyone I love should die, all the fucking poor and queer and black people who live in this red state hellhole should die, so that you can build the beautiful anarchist future in our ashes and maybe call us “martyrs.” It’s cold fucking comfort. We have no chance of winning a fight and you want to force us into a fight because you “believe in something” and are therefore morally right, I guess.

"As far as I can tell, your position is that I should die, everyone I love should die, all the fucking poor and queer and black people who live in this red state hellhole should die, so that you can build the beautiful anarchist future in our ashes and maybe call us “martyrs.”

If that's what you can tell about my political positions then I don't have to respond to anything you're saying because I am *very* vocal about my positions and they are mostly "form parallel structures" and "join unions." (I will respond anyway because I'm a contentious fuck)

@politicalmissdemeanor and @how-to-do-activism are were I store my politics reblogs. You can go check them out. On both of those you will find several reblogs of the essay "against the logic of the guillotine," which I reblog frequently because my OTHER big political stance is prison abolition and prison abolition doesn't exactly sit comfortably alongside the idea of *any* executions; suggesting that I - or most anarchists - default to guillotines suggests that you're not familiar with many anarchists. It is, of course, not your responsibility to be familiar with many anarchists, but if you're going to accuse me of wanting you dead and a utopia built on your ashes then it IS your responsibility to be familiar with *me.*

Also I think that everyone should be clear, when I talk about "fully automated luxury gay space communism" that is a tongue-in-cheek way of discussing a post-scarcity world. I don't think we're actually going to *get* fully automated luxury gay space communism, but I also think that scarcity in the modern era is largely constructed and political, and that is something that should be addressed.

I mention that because utopianism is controversial among anarchists and if you see me talking about "in the future anarchist utopia" you should read that in the same tone that I am using in discussions about "fully automated luxury gay space communism." I don't think we're going to *get* a future anarchist utopia (and I actually think the idea of utopias specifically is harmful) however I do believe a better world is possible and that people should work toward that.

But what it sounds like is you've looked through my blog for the past week only and see me talking about the democratic party attempting to retain white, educated suburban voters instead of reaching out voters on the left or attempting to retain them and have extrapolated my entire political philosophy from a single paragraph and a link to an AP story.

So, point by point:

I believe in a lot of things but because I’m not gung-ho about murder and the destruction of the system, you’ll always say I don’t believe strongly enough.

Then you should probably base your arguments on why you support the system and think it works instead of building an argument out of "well it's better than what republicans want." I clearly exist within this system and I have posts about how it could be improved (postal banking, automatic voter registration, ranked preference voting, universal ID) even though I don't particularly want to perpetuate it.

You don't act like you actually believe what you're saying, you act like you're clinging to it out of desperation. You are not positively arguing for your system, you are holding it up as a shield against something worse. I'd recommend taking some time to sit down and think about what you consider the merits of this system are. "Checks and balances" are one of the things that people seem to like about the American political system; I will agree that it's good that presidents are not kings and can't just will law into existence (it's part of why I'm so critical about the use of executive orders!), and that a legislative system doesn't have to be terrible. However my criticism, as an anarchist, is that these checks and balances don't actually seem to be checking or balancing anything and that presidents *as a concept* are bad and there are probably ways to make this system more democratic while still protecting people from the tyranny of the majority so perhaps if you want to keep the system going you should investigate what ability you have, as a supporter of the system, to change those things. (the thing is, you don't actually have the ability to change those things and it's part of why I don't think the system works).

I know there’s nothing I can do to get you to respect me,

Friend. Buddy. Pal. I think that all humans are inherently worthy of respect. What I am never going to *agree with* is your political system.

I just want an answer to the question: where are these new, lefty voters going to come from, and why is “preventing total collapse into fascism” not a good enough reason for them to vote? To do this really minor thing?

I'm not sure if you're aware of this but, as time passes children stop being children and eventually gain rights as individuals, including the right to vote.

And actually, I am arguing that leftists and young voters already ARE voting for you, but they're doing so because - as you have stated - the other choice is fascism.

But "vote to prevent fascism" is not a party platform and it is a concession to let the fascists control the conversation. It enables the ratchet effect. Republicans get into power and drag politics further right and then Democrats run against them on the bare promise to "hold the line." Progressive candidates within the party rarely get support from the party because of the need to keep the centrist voters, to "heal the soul of America," and when progressive democrats DO get elected they are often blamed for falling approval ratings or low voter turnout or people switching parties.

I have been explicit about the fact that I voted for democrats; that was the harm reductionist stance in 2020, right? "Hold your nose, vote like hell, then hold their feet to the fire." You see why this doesn't actually work, right? Because I can't hold their feet to the fire. Because all I can say is "support policies I believe in or you'll lose my vote" but they don't have to worry about losing my vote because my alternative is to vote for the lesser evil or "not voting is a vote for republicans." So either I was going to vote for them anyway or I wasn't going to vote at all, so they don't have to give a shit about my vote, which is why many anarchists see voting at all as harmful.

You are saying "not-fascism is good enough, I have to accept what I'm given and be grateful that it isn't worse" and honestly take a look at what you're saying. That's slop. That's dreck. They are feeding you garbage and that should be more radicalizing than it has been. You deserve better than that. EVERYONE deserves better than that.

Anyway yeah the new voters are going to be young people. Young people have historically participated in elections at a lower rate than the rest of the population and your job as a supporter of electoralism is to convince them that voting for democrats will do more than not voting. That's kind of a hard sell when the democratic party pitch since at least 2017 has been "stop the fascist creep in America" but fascism has kept right on creeping (which I don't think is the democrats' fault, per se, just that they don't actually have the power to do anything to stop it so it's a bad pledge to campaign on).

Well, and also this:

"stop fascism by voting for dems" is also a hard sell when you can't raise the minimum wage but you can increase funding for police.

Here's the thing: you've got your votes. Leftists hold their noses and young people are voting in historically high numbers, and are generally voting for democrats. There you go. You've got the votes. People ARE doing this tiny thing. And democrats are still yelling at leftists and young people to vote harder while courting center votes.

Who are you mad at? Who do *you* think is not voting? How much do you think it's worthwhile to compromise your political goals to get their votes? Clearly the democratic party thinks that centrist suburban white people aren't voting for them and they're willing to compromise enough that "better than the other guy" is a platform.

Why do you all default to guillotines?

I've been over this but I don't think that support for execution is a coherent anti-state position. Again, here is Against the Logic of the Guillotine.

Did you *look* at any of my political positions? Or did you make up an anarchist to get mad at?

I've gotten yelled at kind of a lot for "well obviously your politics state that my people don't have value and should die" from people who seem to have never interacted with me or my politics. Do you think that all anarchists are anti-civ? Do you think that doctors and factories won't exist in an anarchist system? Have you ever looked at ANY mutual aid projects? Are you not aware of black anarchism? You know what I'm just going to post a quote from that link on anti-civ views because that seems to be the center of a lot of the belief that anarchists want all queer and disabled and marginalized people dead:

Civilisation comes with many, many problems but it is better than the alternative. The challenge for anarchists is in transforming civilisation to a form that is without hierarchy, or imbalances of power or wealth [...] To do this we need modern technology to clean our water, pump away and process our waste and inoculate or cure people of the diseases of high population density. With only 10 million people on the earth you can shit in the woods providing you keep moving on. With 6 billion those who shit in the woods are shitting in the water they and those around them will have to drink.

Of all your off-the wall statements in these asks this is the one that makes it the most clear that you don't know who I am or what my political positions are and are just yelling at a stranger.

anyway, back to your asks:

it’s cold fucking comfort. We have no chance of winning a fight and you want to force us into a fight because you “believe in something” and are therefore morally right, I guess.

I think there's a broad misapprehension that all anarchists are militant insurrectionist anarchists. I think that this is because most anarchists are operating from the belief that the existing system cannot be reformed, which people often interpret to mean "it must therefore be torn down in a brief and violent revolution and replaced only with the system that I say will work best."

I don't believe in reforming the system (though if you've got it and you want to yell about improving people's lives you might as well make it better but that is not what I'm putting my energy toward because even a united states with universal healthcare, postal banking, and constitutionally protected abortion is still a hierarchical power structure that will serve capital and its interests) but I'm also not a fan of violent revolutions (I am not 100% critical of them either; sometimes revolution is self preservation - the world is complicated and it's hard to model history and regional differences on different places in different times).

What I am a fan of is creating local networks of people to do things in their community for themselves, without anyone's permission or approval. I'm a fan of meal shares, I'm a fan of mutual aid, I'm a fan of libraries and free stores and community gardens set up in empty lots that nobody gave you permission to use.

If you want an example of this with something where a real-world need was not being met by a government and individuals took initiative to address it, look at the FIRST Collective in Columbus. Shelters were not providing adequate housing so a group of people have worked together to create a safe, sheltered environment for people who were not being served by the system. Is the solution ideal (where ideal is 'permanent safe housing with no limitations on residents')? No. Is the solution better than what was being provided by the state (limited-stay shelters with restrictions on possessions, pets, couples staying together, and whether residents would be locked in at night)? For the people in that camp, yes. It was a better solution. Does it replace the shelter system? No. Does it suggest an alternative to what is provided by the state, and by its mere existence illustrate that what the state provides is not enough? Yes.

Is this sort of thing possible on a large scale? And possible to improve on a large scale? Yes. Is it possible to do that *tomorrow*? No. Is it possible to *start* tomorrow so that you have a better place to work from in a week or a month or a year? Yes.

I am tired. I am tired, you are tired, we are all tired. My back hurts and I don't get enough sleep and if shipments of certain medications were stopped for three months my spouse would die. Quickly and inescapably. I don't know who you think I am, but I am not somebody who is shouting about guillotines and advocating for the immediate overthrow of society in all its forms.

I think the world is broken and needs to be fixed. Do I think that burning down everything wrong with the world and picking through the cinders to build something better is a good idea? No. I think it is possible to seek revolution without wholesale destruction, and I don't think that you need to tear the world down to ashes in order to rebuild.

I'm not trying to raise a gallows, I'm trying to grow a garden. If you are looking at one of those things and seeing the other, that is a failure of your understanding, not of my philosophy.

Also if anybody wants to donate to the FIRST Collective this is their GoFundMe.

#long post

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oww666 · 11 days

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still don't think the left is going to cheat ? what would be the reason for running a scam like this ?

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lepartidelamort · 3 months

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L’utérus des femmes est une affaire d’État sans aucune contestation possible. Le rôle de l’État est de veiller aux conditions de la perpétuation du peuple sur son territoire en neutralisant tout ce qui peut l’empêcher, à commencer par les menaces extérieures.

Sans enfants, pas de peuple, donc pas de société, d’état, d’histoire.

Le vide.

Pas de système de retraites par répartition non plus, faute d’actifs pour le financer.

Ces bourgeoises de gauche doivent baisser le masque et avouer que le bien commun leur est totalement indifférent, y compris leur sacro saint système social. La seule chose qui les intéresse est leur confort personnel, dissimulé sous un vernis féministe.

Plus le temps passe, moins il y a d’enfants et toujours davantage de vieux qui dépendant intégralement de l’État.

Un système social si énorme a besoin de ressources fiscales colossales, faute de quoi il doit emprunter la différence. La compression sur les actifs va en augmentant, ce qui comprime le revenu disponible pour les familles.

Nous approchons de ces limites. Cette année, l’État s’est davantage endetté que durant le Covid.

Même en important toujours davantage de migrants, jamais la productivité et la rentabilité ne seront au rendez-vous. C’est une illusion de boomers. L’homme blanc est l’arbre à billets, sans lui, pas d’utopie redistributrice.

Le système social est indissociable de la féminisation de la société, c’est aussi la féminisation qui le condamne. Les femmes veulent un filet de sécurité qui leur permette de corriger leurs mauvais choix reproductifs ou non-reproductifs. Son développement est parallèle à l’apparition du droit de vote des femmes durant la première moitié du 20e siècle. Avec ce droit de vote, viennent les lois féministes qui font dégénérer la natalité sans lequel le système ne peut pas durer.

Il faut donc une natalité blanche qui fournisse les actifs dont il a besoin, mais c’est impossible dans ce système vaginocentrique qui produit structurellement de la dénatalité et un vieillissement massif.

Le crash est inévitable et avec lui viendront de nouveaux comportements. C’est la fin de l’état-providence tel qu’il a été conçu et avec lui doit disparaître sa culture démocratique du fric gratuit.

Ce sera un séisme culturel inédit. On ne s’en rend plus compte, mais tout est payé par l’État, directement ou indirectement, ce qui produit des irresponsables par millions.

Si demain je brûle l’abribus en bas de chez vous, vous vous en ficherez parce que vous ne le payez pas de votre poche personnellement. Mais si je fais voter une loi qui oblige les habitants d’une rue à payer son équipement et son entretien, vous surveillerez votre rue avec un fusil le soir pour ne pas recevoir une facture.

Faites ça partout et la pression contre les comportements individuels antisociaux explose.

Les gens vont devoir se prendre en mains pour assurer leur avenir, ce qui favorisera l’apparition de cellules organiques intermédiaires entre l’État dysfonctionnel et l’individu. La famille élargie, le clan seront plus utiles que la police ou la CAF. Avec ce retour viendra la fin du féminisme et plus largement de l’individualisme.

Les femmes vont inévitablement baisser d’un ton dans une société balkanisée, violente, où leur avenir dépendra de l’homme qui ramènera la calorie au foyer.

J’ai une théorie selon laquelle une puissante opposition sociale advient avant qu’un phénomène de grande ampleur ne se matérialise, par une sorte de télépathie collective. C’est pour ça que l’Allemagne national-socialiste a mobilisé autant d’énergie avant la catastrophe raciale, par une sorte d’instinct prémonitoire.

Pourquoi se battre si farouchement pour contre le fléau de la pollution raciale dans une Allemagne blanche à 99,9% ?

Par prémonition.

Dans le même registre, la haine des chasseurs actuelle ne correspond à aucune attitude rationnelle. Même si on évoque la mode animaliste, ça ne tient pas la route car tous les antis chasse lambdas qui ragent sur les réseaux sont d’énormes mangeurs de viande transformée et cela ne leur fait ni chaud, ni froid.

D’ailleurs on ne peut pas discerner les féministes des antis-chasse. Cette panique est une prémonition qui alerte sur la raréfaction de la calorie et avec elle, le retour du chasseur blanc.

Le chasseur blanc est terrible pour les traînées et les gens marron.

Ils le disent sur tous les toits : quand l’homme blanc était le roi de la jungle, il ne faisait pas bon être dans les parages. C’est très juste. Une fois cette société moderne dégénérative à genoux, les ajustements auront lieu et l’homme survivant sera un prédateur extraordinairement létal.

Si j’étais un noir ou un arabe, j’aurais déjà quitté l’Europe par anticipation.

#dempart

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annadesu · 2 years

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Remember to VOTE in November

I feel something... something I have not felt for this country in a while. Optimism!

Inflation is starting to go down, including gas prices. xxx

Unemployment is nearing the lowest in history. xxx (and wages are starting to go up in most places)

The CHIPS act got passed xxx

The Inflation Reduction Act got passed, which is a big win for healthcare, climate, taxing corporations, etc. xxx

Trump is getting investigated by the FBI (please trust me, this is not just about documents he took) xxx

And most importantly, polls/trends are showing that the GOP might not have the “edge” they think they have on a larger scale xxx & xxx (Seems like people don’t like their right to an abortion taken away. Shocker!)

Trump is also starting to lose popularity with some of the GOP/moderates xxx

The Senate is probably going to gain a few democratic seats in November (if you’re from PA, please vote for Shapiro/Fetterman!). So, Joe Manchin won’t be able to throw his little fits anymore.

The house is not “lost” yet, especially if we can show up to the polls in record numbers and make sure the “Trump selected candidates” aren’t voted in.

Could democrats be doing a lot more and a lot better? Yes, of course. Always. I could make a whole other post about it. But change is not an overnight thing. Republicans WANT us to be empathetic and not show up.

The GOP platform right now seems to be: “Make 10 year old girls have a baby, take away the rights of women, the LGBTQ+ community, and POC, get rid of medicare, take away voting rights, destroy the planet, make sure everyone has an AK-47, run up the deficit by not having rich people pay taxes, etc.”. Not to mention getting Trump/his goons in office so they can usher in Facism/Theocracy.

I’m disappointed in many ways with the left, but it ain’t about me. We have to get our butts to the voting booth and make sure we’re protecting our most vulnerable populations (and ourselves) in November. Not just voting, but canvassing, grabbing some voter registration forms and setting up a table at a farmer’s market, showing people how to check their voter registration before the election, writing letters to the editor to support a candidate, sending postcards to voters... There’s a ton we can do!

We have a lot more to lose if the GOP take over things, and we might not get it back.

#democrat #vote blue #election 2022 #house #senate #election #politics

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rymurrsneckbeard · 7 months

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Josh Shapiro, Governor of PA, last month ensured that all Pennsylvania students get free breakfast.

This week he helped protect voting access by making voter registration automatic: if you get your license/ID or update your mailing address or whatever through the DMV, you have to *opt out* from voting registration/updating your voter registration. Which makes it easier for more people to vote.

And this, kids, is why you vote for democrats. Had Mastriano won there's not a single chance either of these things happen and SO MANY OTHER THINGS would have been SO MUCH WORSE.

#as we come up on election time again please just vote for whoever ensures republicans lose #usually a democrat but literally whoever has the best chance to beat a GOP candidate please for the love of god

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statespoll · 1 year

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Election 2022 Governor Prediction Map November 7, 2022(Final Map)

My Twitter: https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/ This Map Created with www.Mapchart.net

* My analysis is neutral, not biased. Based on

1) Presidential Election 2020 Fox New Voter Analysis

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis

2) Latest Poll(adjustment)

3) Voter registration statistics Trend + Early voting(VBM+In person)

4) Oppostion Party’s Advantage on the Midterm

(more Rep % / less Dem % than Presidential Year)

My 2022 Governor Final Map on the Twitter:

* My Party ID % By States speculation post:

https://statespoll.com/post/699439301682954240 (October 29, 2022)

Last Updated: November 7, 2022 8:30 AM (EST) Maine

I. BattleGround States

1. Pennsylvania

1) My Party ID speculation, PA

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 46% / IND 7%

2) Latest Poll

NYT/Siena 10/24-10/26, 620 LV

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html

Shapiro 53% / Mastriano 40%. D +13

Crosstabs, White: Shapiro 51 / Mastriano 43.

My Adjusted %: Shapiro 53.6 / Mastriano 41.8 D +11.8

Shapiro: R(47)x16+D(46)x92+I(7)x53=53.62

Mastriano: R(47)x80+D(46)x4+I(7)x34=41.82

3) Pennsylvania Gov Race 2022 Forecast: Solid D

2. Wisconsin

1) My Party ID speculation, WI

with leaner: REP 50% / DEM 41% / IND 9%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Marquette 10/24-11/1 679 LV

https://www.dropbox.com/s/l3h7qgjl78njvjf/MLSP74CrosstabsLV.html?dl=1

Michels 48% / Evers 48%

My Adjusted %: Michels(REP) +7.68%

Michels: R(50)x92+D(41)x2+I(9)x55=51.78

Evers: R(50)x4+D(41)x95+I(9)x35=44.1

Beglinger: R(50)x3+D(41)x1+I(9)x9=2.72

(2) Data for Progress 10/14-10/22 1,376 LV

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_wi_midterm_tabs.pdf

Michels 49 / Evers 48

My adjusted %: Michels R +4.97%

Michels: R(50)x94+D(41)x3+I(9)x41=51.92

Evers:R(50)x5+D(41)x97+I(9)x52=46.95

3) Wisconsin 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Lean R~Likely R

3. Arizona

1) My Party ID speculation, AZ

with leaner: REP 51% / DEM 43% / IND 6%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Data for Progress 11/2-11/6 1,359 LV (1,157 RV)

Lake 52% / Hobbs 48%

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/11/dfp_az_final_midterm_tabs.pdf

(2) #AZGov Marist 10/31-11/2 1,015 LV (1,157 RV)

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Marist-Poll_AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202211031029.pdf

LV Model: Hobbs(D) 49 / Lake® 48

My Adjusted %: Hobbs +0.26%

Hobbs(D): R(51)x9+D(43)x97+I(6)x53=49.48 Lake®: R(51)x90+D(43)x2+I(6)x41=49.22

(3) NYT/Siena 10/24-10/26. 604 LV

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html

Lake 48 / Hobbs 48

My Adjusted %: Lake R +3.96%

Lake: R(50)x93+D(43)x4+I(7)X38=50.88%

Hobbs: R(50)x5+D(43)x94+I(7)x57=46.91

(4) Data for Progress 10/14-10/22 1,376 LV

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_az_midterm_tabs.pdf

Lake 50 / Hobbs 46

My Adjusted %: Lake R +3.94%

Lake: R(50)x93+D(43)x2+I(7)X46=50.58%

Hobbs: R(50)x4+D(43)x96+I(7)x48=46.64

3) Arizona Party ID % Statistics

(1) August 2022

REP: 34.52% DEM: 30.97% R +3.55%

https://azsos.gov/elections/voter-registration-historical-election-data

(2) November 6, 2018: Total 3,712,500

Rep: 35.24% DEM: 32.2% R +3.04%

https://azsos.gov/elections/voter-registration-historical-election-data/voter-registration-counts

about +0.51% shift for Rep.

4) Arizona 2022 Forecast: Tilt R

4. Nevada

1) My Party ID speculation, NV

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 42% / IND 11%,

2018 NVGov Fox Voter Analysis: DEM 44% / REP 42% / IND 14%

2020 NV Pres Fox Voter Analysis: REP 48% / DEM 47% / IND 6%

2) Latest Poll

(1) NYT/Siena 10/19-10/24. 885 LV

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/10/31/upshot/senate-polls-az-ga-nv-pa-crosstabs.html

Lombardo 49 / Sisolak 45

My Adjusted %: Lombardo +6.06%

Lombardo: R(47)x92+D(42)x6+I(11)X53=51.59%

Sisolak: R(47)x6+D(42)x92+I(11)x37=45.53

(2) Data for Progress 10/13-10/19, 819 LV

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_nv_midterm_crosstabs.pdf

Lombardo 48% / Sisolak 47%

My Adjusted %: Lombardo R +4.07%

Lombardo: R(47)x91+D(42)x5+I(11)x45=49.82

Sisolak: R(47)x3+D(42)x93+I(11)x48=45.75

3) Nevada Party ID % Statistics

(1) September 6, 2022: Active Voters. Total 1,779,484

DEM 586,475(32.96%) REP 538,077(30.24%) D +2.72%

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/voter-registration-statistics/2022

(2) November 2, 2020: Active Voters. Total 1,821,356

DEM 679,332(37.3%) REP 591,916(32.5%) D +4.8%

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/2020-statistics/-fsiteid-1

(2) October 18, 2018: Active Voters. Total 1,560,928

DEM 598,174(38.32%) REP 523,251 (33.52%) D +4.69%

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/2020-statistics/-fsiteid-1

Since november 2020 about +2.08% shift for Rep.

4) Nevada 2022 Forecast: Lean~Likely R

5. Michigan

1) My Party ID speculation, MI

with Leaner: REP 48% / DEM 44% / IND 9%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Mitchell 11/3 658 LV

whitmer (D) 50 / TudorDixon ® 48

My Adjusted %: Dixon® +0.56. Dead Heat

Dixon: R(48)x92+D(44)x3+I(8)x51=49.56

Whitemer: R(48)x6+D(44)x97+I(8)x43=49

https://realclearpolitics.com/docs/2022/Mitchell_-_MIRS_Press_Release_MI_Poll_11-4-22.pdf

3) Michigan 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Tilt R

6. Minnesota

1) My Party ID speculation, MN

with Leaner: REP 47% / DEM 45% / IND 8%

1) Election 2020 Fox News Voter Analysis

MN: 3,583 Respondents(Voters)

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=MN

(1) Party ID%, Minnesota with leaner: DEM 47% / REP 46% / IND 6%

Trends could be similar like PA R +1% D -1% from 2020

(voter regd in Iowa is also trending R)

My Speculation(September, 2022). Minnesota

with leaner: REP 47% / DEM 45% / IND 8%

2) Latest Poll

(1) SurveyUSA 10/26-10/30, 836 LV

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YvHqJVoiDCp5NEWzuQHfhoCt9uxuin8keKdZ5iCl5Q0/edit#gid=0

Poll results: Walz 51% / Jensen 43%

My adjusted %: Walz 51.6 / Jensen 45.4. Walz(D) +6.2%

Walz: R(47)x9+D(45)x96+IND(8)x52= 51.59

Jensen: R(47)x87+D(45)x4+IND(8)x34= 45.41%

undecided: REP 3% / DEM 0% / IND7%

(2) Trafalgar 10/17-10/19 1,091 LV

Jensen 46.3 / Walz 45.8 / 3rd Parties 3.9 / Undecided 3.9

R +0.5%

https://alphanews.org/exclusive-jensen-takes-lead-in-minnesota-governors-race/

(3) MinnPost 10/10-10/14, 1,585 LV

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YvHqJVoiDCp5NEWzuQHfhoCt9uxuin8keKdZ5iCl5Q0/edit#gid=0

Poll results: Walz 47% / Jensen 42%

My adjusted %: Jensen 44.9% / Walz 44.74%. R +0.16%

Jensen: R(47)x88+D(45)x2+IND(8)x33= 44.9%

Walz: R(47)x2+D(45)x92+IND(8)x30= 44.74%

undecided/would not vote: REP 6% / DEM 2% / IND 23%

considering undecided/would not voters favor Jensen (R 6 > D 2 )

3) Minnesota 2022 Forecast: Lean D

7. New York

1) My Party ID speculation, New York

with leaner: DEM 57% / REP 38% / IND 5%

without leaner: DEM 48% / REP 26% / IND 26%

2018 NYGov Fox voter analysis

2) Latest Poll

Emerson 10/20-10/24, 1,000 LV

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-york-2022-hochuls-lead-over-zeldin-tightens-independent-voters-flip-toward-zeldin/

Poll results: Hochul(DEM) 50.1 / Zeldin(REP) 43.8% D +6.3%

Poll Samples: 1) registered: D 52.7 / R 23.6 / Other 23.5

3) New York Governor 2022 Forecast: Lean D

8. Oregon

1) My Party ID speculation, OR

with leaner DEM 49 / REP 43 / Pure IND 8

2022 GOP is doing much better than 2020

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2022?demo_filters=%5B%7B%22key%22%3A%22registeredParty%22%2C%22value%22%3A%22All%22%7D%5D&state=OR&view_type=state

2020 Fox voter analysis with leaner: DEM 54 / REP 41 / Pure IND 5

DEM Biden 95 / Trump 4

REP Biden 8 / Trump 89

IND Biden 48 / Trump 33

2018 Fox voter analysis with leaner: DEM 50 / REP 34 / Pure IND 16

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=OR&type=G

DEM Brwon 89 / Buehler 8

REP Brown 7 / Buehler 90

IND

2) Latest Poll

(1) Emerson 10/31-11/1 975 LV

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/oregon-2022-independent-candidates-support-melts-as-democrat-tina-kotek-leads-republican-christine-drazan-by-four-for-governor/

Kotek 46 / Drazan 41 / Johnson 9

(2) DataProgress 10/16-10/18 1,021 LV

https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_oregon_october18_2022_tabs.pdf

Drazan 43 / Kotek 42 / Johnson 12

My adjusted %: Kotek D +1.6%

Kotek: D(49)x87+R(43)x1+IND(8)X36=45.94

Drazan: D(49)x3+R(43)X93+IND(8)X36=44.34

Johnshon: D(49)x8+R(43)x5+IND(8)x23=7.91

3) Oregon 2022 Gov Race Forecast: Tilt D

9. Maine

1) My Party ID speculation, ME

with leaner: REP 48% / DEM 42% / IND 10%

2) Latest Poll

(1) UNH 11/2-11/6, 922 LV

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1716&context=survey_center_polls

Poll samples: DEM 45% / REP 40% / IND 16%

Poll results: Mills 52% / LePage 44% / Hunkler 2%

Adjusted % : LePage(REP) +4.1%

LePage: REP(48%)x96%+DEM(42%)X0%+IND(10%)x45%= 50.58%

Mills: REP(48%)x4%+DEM(42%)x98%+IND(10%)x34%= 46.48%

Hunkler: REP(48%)x0%+DEM(42%)x2%+IND(10%)x8%= 1.64%

3) Maine Governor 2022 Forecast: Tilt R

10. New Mexico

1) My Party ID speculation, NM

with leaner: DEM 50% / REP 43% / IND 7%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Journal 10/20-10/27, 1,254 LV

https://www.abqjournal.com/2544712/lujan-grisham-maintains-8point-lead-over-ronchetti.html

1) Poll results

Results: Grisham 50% / Ronchetti 42%

3) New Mexico Governor 2022 Forecast: Lean D

11. Colorado

1) My Party ID speculation, CO

with leaner: DEM 43% / REP 42% / IND 8%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Civiqs 10/15-10/18, 600 LV

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_CO_banner_book_2022_10_t23jdx.pdf

Poll results: Jared Polis(DEM) 55% / Heidi Ganahl(REP) 40%.

Poll samples: D 39 / R 29 / IND 32 D +10%

Adjusted %:

Polis: D(43)x98+R(42)x5+IND(15)x46=51.14

Ganahl: D(43)x1+R(42)x88+IND(15)x45=44.14

3) Colorado Governor 2022 Forecast: Solid D

12. Kansas

1) My Party ID speculation, KS

with leaner: REP 59% DEM 37% IND 4%

2020 Fox voter analysis KSSen: REP 59% DEM 37% IND 4%

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?race=S&state=KS

2018 KSGov it was REP 54% / DEM 35% / IND 11%

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=KS&type=G

2) Latest Poll

(1) Emerson 10/27-10/29 1,000 LV

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/kansas-2022-governor-laura-kelly-holds-three-point-lead-over-ag-derek-schmidt-in-gubernatorial-election-senator-moran-leads-by-21-points-for-re-election/

Poll results(with Leaner): Kelly(DEM) 48.7% / Scmidt(REP) 44.1%

Adjusted %: Kelly 47.5% / Schmidt 45.9% / Pyle 5.2%. D +1.6%

Kelly: R(59%)x18.2% +D(37%)x93.5%+IND(4%)x54.8%= 47.525%

Schmidt: R(59%)x72.7% +D(37%)x4.3%+IND(4%)x35.9%=45.92%

Pyle(Ind, Former Republican until 2022, Still a Kansas State Senator)

: R(59%)x 7.8+D(37%)x1.1+IND(4%)x4.6=5.193%

3) Kansas Party ID % Statistics

https://sos.ks.gov/elections/elections-statistics-data.html#voter-registration

Aug,2022 Total 1,951,099

REP 858,429 (44.0%) DEM 503,746 (25.82%) R +18.18%

Jan, 2021 Total 1,942,156

REP 874,555 (45.03%) DEM 509,955 (26.26%) R +18.77%

4) Kansas Governor 2022 Forecast: Tilt D

13. Connecticut

1) My Party ID speculation, CT

with leaner: DEM 53% / REP 41% / IND 6%

2) Latest Poll

(1) Emerson 10/19-10/21, 1,000 LV

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/connecticut-2022-incumbents-blumenthal–lamont-maintain-leads-ahead-of-midterm-elections/

Poll results: Lamont 52% / Stefanowski 41%

3) Connecticut Governor 2022 Forecast: Likely D

FYI) 2018 CO Gov race results: Lamont 49.4% / Stefanowski 46.2%. D +3.2%

The race for governor is heating up with a 2018 rematch of

Ned Lamont vs. Bob Stefanowski.

14. Oklahoma

1) My Party ID speculation, Oklahoma

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=OK

with leaner: REP 68% / DEM 29% / IND 3% (2020 Fox )

2018 OKGov it was REP 65% / DEM 26% / IND 10%

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=OK&type=G

2) Latest Poll

(1) Emerson 10/25-10/28, 1,000 LV

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/oklahoma-2022-governor-stitt-leads-hofmeister-by-nine-economy-is-determining-issue-for-voters/

Stitt 52% / Hofmeister 43%

(2) Ascend Action ®/Fox25 10/10-10/12, 638 LV

https://okcfox.com/news/local/oklahoma-governor-election-midterm-2022-joy-hofmeister-kevin-stitt-democrat-republican-independent-vote-poll-ascend-action-joe-biden

Poll results: Hofmeister (DEM) 49 % / Stitt (REP-INC) 42%

Adjusted: Stitt 48.7% / Hofmeister 41.5% R +7.2%

Stitt: REP(68%)x69%+DEM(29%)x4%+IND(3%)x22%=48.74%

Hofmeister: REP(68%)x20%+DEM(29%)x89%+IND(3%)x69%=41.48%

3) Oklahoma Governor 2022 Forecast: Solid R

15. Illinois

1) My Party ID speculation, IL

with leaner: DEM 51% / REP 41% / IND 8%

2020 ILPres Fox Voter Analysis(with leaner)

https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/voter-analysis?state=IL

D 54 / R 41 / IND 5

DEM Biden 96 / Trump 3

REP Biden 8 / Trump 90

IND Biden 48 / Trump 40

2018 ILGov Fox Voter Analysis (with leaner)

https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018/voter-analysis?filter=IL&type=G

D 52 / R 35 / IND 13

FYI) McCann a former republican, very conservative candidate.

DEM Priztker 90 / Rauner 7 / McCann 1

REP Priztker 8 / Rauner 83 / McCann 8

IND No info, If i calculate the guess using the elimination method,

IND Priztker 37.9(?) / Rauner 47.2(?) / McCann 7(?)

2018 ILGov results: Pritzker 54.53 / Rauner 38.83 / McCann 4.23

2) Latest Poll

(1) Emerson 10/20-10/24, 1,000 LV

emersoncollegepolling.com/illinois-2022-democratic-incumbents-prtizker-and-duckworth-leads-shrink-as-republican-challengers-bailey-and-salvi-gain-support/

Poll results: Pritzker(DEM) 50.3% / Bailey(REP) 40.8%.

My Adjusted %: Pritzker(DEM) 49.79% / Bailey(REP) 42.95%. D +6.84%

Pritzker: D(50)x88.3+R(42)x6.6+IND(8)x39=49.79%

Bailey: D(50)x5.3+R(42)x87.2+IND(8)x45.9=42.946

3) Illinois Governor 2022 Forecast: Likely D~Solid D

#2022 MAP #MAP 2022 #Governor race 2022 #governor map 2022 #election 2022

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valleyledger · 27 days

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Pennsylvania Voter Registration Deadline One Week Away

The Northampton County Elections Office is reminding eligible Pennsylvania residents that if they plan to cast a vote in this month’s General Primary Election, the last day to register is Monday, April 8, at 5:00 p.m. Monday, April 8, 5:00 p.m. is also the deadline to update or change your PA voter registration. You can register to vote, change your name, change your address, or change your party…

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systemtek · 4 months

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DataNet Systems reports data breach - Voter roll may have been compromised

DataNet Systems, Washington D.C. company, announced that it experienced a data incident in which an unauthorized person obtained some information of District of Columbia voters. DataNet Systems helps the District of Columbia Board of Elections provide information to voters. The company takes the privacy and security of personal information very seriously and is providing notice of the incident to potentially affected individuals. On October 5th 2023, the company discovered unusual activity within its network. This activity was discovered to be unauthorized access to the system through a software program used to advise voters. The company immediately took steps to secure the network and minimize the impact of the incident. The company also engaged a leading independent cybersecurity firm to investigate what happened and determine whether any sensitive information may have been impacted. While that investigation has not determined definitively whose information may have been involved in the incident, out of an abundance of caution we are notifying individuals whose information may have been involved in the relevant data set. The information may have involved the names, physical and email addresses, dates of birth, phone numbers and voter registration information, partial Social Security numbers, and driver's license numbers of involved individuals. On November 20 the company determined who may have been involved in the incident and is sending individual messages to people with known contact information. If you do not receive one of these communications but want to know if your information was involved, or if you would like further information, please call (888) 817-5125 Monday through Friday from 8AM to 8 PM Central Time. You also have the right to place a security freeze on your credit report free of charge pursuant to 15 U.S.C. § 1681c-1 and set out below is information on how a resident may request a security freeze. This will prevent new credit from being opened in your name without the use of a PIN number that is issued to you when you initiate the freeze. A security freeze is designed to prevent potential creditors from accessing your credit report without your consent. As a result, using a security freeze may interfere with or delay your ability to obtain credit. You must separately place a security freeze on your credit file with each credit reporting agency. A security freeze may be placed or lifted free of charge. You may make that request by certified mail, overnight mail, or regular stamped mail, or by following the instructions found at the websites listed below. The following information must be included when requesting a security freeze (note that if you are making a request for your spouse, this information must be provided for him/her as well): (1) full name, with middle initial and any suffixes; (2) Social Security number; (3) date of birth; (4) current address and any previous addresses for the past five years; and (5) any applicable incident report or complaint with a law enforcement agency or the Registry of Motor Vehicles. The request must also include a copy of a government-issued identification card and a copy of a recent utility bill or bank or insurance statement. It is essential that each copy be legible, display your name and current mailing address, and the date of issue. You may obtain a security freeze by contacting any one or more of the following national consumer reporting agencies: Equifax Security FreezePO Box 105788Atlanta, GA 303481-800-685-1111www.equifax.com Experian Security FreezePO Box 9554Allen, TX 750131-888-397-3742www.experian.com TransUnion (FVAD)PO Box 2000Chester, PA 190221-800-888-4213www.transunion.com Additional Free Resources: You can obtain information from the consumer reporting agencies, the FTC or from your Attorney General about steps you can take toward preventing identity theft. You may report suspected identity theft to local law enforcement, including to the FTC or to the Attorney General in your state. Federal Trade Commission600 Pennsylvania Ave, NWWashington, DC 20580consumer.ftc.gov, andwww.ftc.gov/idtheft1-877-438-4338 Washington D.C. Attorney General441 4th Street, NWWashington, DC 20001www.oag.dc.gov/consumer-protection/consumer-alert-identity-theft1-202-727-3400 The company regrets any worry or inconvenience that this incident causes. Read the full article

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recentlyheardcom · 7 months

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HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — Donald Trump has a familiar target in his sights: Pennsylvania’s voting rules.He never stopped attacking court decisions on mail-in ballots during the COVID-19 pandemic, falsely claiming it as a reason for his 2020 loss in the crucial battleground state. Now, the former Republican president is seizing on a decision by Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro to bypass the Legislature and start automatic voter registration.The blowback has echoes of the 2020 election, when Trump and his allies relentlessly criticized decisions by the state's Democratic-majority Supreme Court. That included extending the deadline to receive mail-in ballots over warnings that the pandemic had slowed postal service deliveries.Republicans have joined Trump in railing against Shapiro’s action, saying there are not enough safeguards to prevent minors or undocumented immigrants from registering. The Shapiro administration disputes that.“THE DEMOCRATS ARE TRYING TO STEAL PENNSYLVANIA AGAIN BY DOING THE ‘AUTOMATIC VOTER REGISTRATION’ SCAM,” Trump wrote on his social media platform.Some Republican lawmakers are threatening litigation, saying Shapiro should have sought approval from the Legislature, where control is divided between the parties. Meanwhile, national and state Republican parties are seeking an explanation from Shapiro’s administration for how it will ensure that non-U.S. citizens and minors cannot register to vote.In a statement, Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel said Shapiro is springing an “unclear and unnecessary last-minute rule change” on voters weeks before the Nov. 7 election, which features a race for a state Supreme Court seat. The first-term governor “cares more about getting airtime on MSNBC than making sure Pennsylvania elections are secure and transparent,” McDaniel said.Shapiro also is trying to capitalize on his move. He did a round of national cable TV appearances after the Sept. 19 announcement and used it as fundraising pitch, promoting it as a major advancement for democracy.“This will help tens of thousands of Pennsylvanians make their voice heard — no matter who you choose to vote for or what your views are,” Shapiro said in a fundraising email.Democrats contended that Shapiro was well within his legal authority to authorize automatic voter registration. One election lawyer, Adam Bonin, said Republicans criticizing it are simply seeking cover, should Trump lose in 2024, and are using it to raise campaign donations.States began enacting automatic voter registration systems in 2015, and versions of it have now spread to 24 states and the District of Columbia, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures. Most of those states are left-leaning, but they also include Republican-controlled Alaska, Georgia and West Virginia.Georgia implemented it in 2016 and has seen an increase in registrations and no problems with non-U.S. citizens registering to vote, according to the state elections office. A survey of several states with automatic voter registration revealed similar experiences.In Pennsylvania, people will notice the change when they head to a driver’s license center to obtain or renew a license. On computers there, a prompt will tell them they will be registered to vote “unless you decline to register.”Previously, the prompts asked users if they wanted to register and to affirmatively check a box saying “yes.”The Shapiro administration said it already has protections in place to prevent non-U.S. citizens or those under age 18 from being offered registration.Some of those protections date to 2017, when the state said it fixed a two-decade-old glitch that might have enabled several thousand non-U.S. citizens to inadvertently register to vote. Officials estimate that people in that group cast about 540 ballots over 35 elections in 17 years.Republicans in some states that have switched to automatic registration say it will lead to fraud or illegal voting, and conservatives in Alaska have attempted to repeal that state’s automatic registration.

Election researchers say no widespread fraud or illegal voting has emerged from the process. The most common problems are initial glitches in matching outdated information or giving unclear instructions to people who were registering or updating their voter information.Supporters say it is a more secure, efficient and cost-effective way to maintain voter rolls.“It’s more important to look at what are the advantages here, and there are a lot of advantages of this particular reform and there is a reason why many states have moved in this direction,” said Tammy Patrick, CEO of programs for the National Association of Election Officials.Where research has been done, it didn’t show any particular advantage for any group other than a slight boost to Republican registration and that of rural white voters, said Charles Stewart III, director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's Election Data and Science Lab.“That’s something that both Democrats and Republicans need to keep in mind — that this is not going to be the game-changer that anybody believes and hopes for, or fears,” Stewart said.In Pennsylvania, roughly 8.6 million people are registered to vote, while slightly more than 1 million are at least 18 years old but unregistered, according to government figures.Left-leaning groups applauded the adoption of automatic registration. The New Pennsylvania Project said it “will undoubtedly help to close the voter registration gap, especially in communities of color, where the gap is the most pronounced.”Researchers from the Public Policy Institute of California, the University of Southern California and the University of California, Berkeley, concluded in a 2021 study that automatic voter registration had increased registration by 3% in states where it was in effect.But the increase in the number of people actually voting was only about 1%, meaning that most people who registered that way did not end up casting a ballot.Still, even that small percentage could mean tens of thousands of new voters going to the polls in Pennsylvania, potentially a meaningful figure in a tight election. In 2020, Democrat Joe Biden won by about 80,500 votes, while Trump won in 2016 by about 44,200 votes.Shapiro's order could be headed for a court challenge, which would be a familiar landing spot for disputes over election laws in the state.In the months before the 2020 election, Trump’s campaign, state officials, the Democratic Party and others fought over the rules for mail-in voting, as Trump worried those ballots would cost him the election and baselessly smeared them as rife with fraud.Sam DeMarco, the GOP chairman of Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh, said he is not ready to say that 2024 will be a replay of 2020. But the way Shapiro enacted automatic registration -- without hearings, legislation or a public education process -- didn’t help promote the kind of transparency that could dispel conspiracy theories, he said.“I don’t know where we’re going. It’s going to depend on the actions of some as to how bad it gets,” DeMarco said. “But I think both sides have to be ready because, as history has shown, they can’t help themselves.”__Associated Press reporter Christina A. Cassidy in Atlanta contributed to this report.___Follow Marc Levy at twitter.com/timelywriter.

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brookston · 7 months

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Holidays 9.19

Holidays

Aortic Disease Awareness Day

Armed Forces Day (Chile)

Bestselling Books Day

Biosphere Day (Australia)

Celebration of Labour (French Republic)

Children’s Day (Elder Scrolls)

Cosmetic Bridge Day

Day of the First Appearance of the Slovak National Council

Eleven Days of Global Unity, Day 9: Freedom

Fawlty Towers Day

Festival of Convictions (French Republic)

Frank Zappa Day (Baltimore) [also 8.9]

Hermione Granger Day

Holy Batman Day

Indra Jatra (Kathmandu Valley, Nepal)

International Aortic Dissection Awareness Day

International Hop Like a Kangaroo Day

International Snakebite Awareness Day

International Talk Like A Pirate Day [ website ]

International Women's Commerce Day

Iota Phi Theta Day

Kenny Chesney Day (Tennessee)

Meow Like a Pirate Day

Mid-Autumn Festival Holiday (China)

Miners Memorial Day (Australia)

Moscow Day (Russia)

National Cat DNA Day

National Ear Health Day

National Jude Day

National Meow Like a Pirate Day

National Service Day (Belize)

National Theater Day (Brazil)

National Woman Road Warrior Day

919 Day (North Carolina)

Trollface Day

Visit a Sick Friend Today Day

What the Fork Day

Women’s Suffrage Day (New Zealand)

Food & Drink Celebrations

National Butterscotch Pudding Day

Popcorn Day

World Day of the Apertif

3rd Tuesday in September

Get Ready Day [3rd Tuesday]

National APRP Recognition Day [3rd Tuesday]

National IT Professionals Day [3rd Tuesday]

National Voter Registration Day [3rd Tuesday]

Prinsjesdag (Netherlands) [3rd Tuesday]

Take a Loved One to the Doctor Day [3rd Tuesday]

World Apheresis Awareness Day [3rd Tuesday]

Independence Days

Hosamia (Declared; 2016) [unrecognized]

Meytallia (Declared; 2013) [unrecognized]

Saint Kitts and Nevis (from UK, 1983)

Feast Days

Alonso de Orozco Mena (Christian; Saint)

Arthur Rackham (Artology)

Emilie de Rodat (Christian; Saint)

Eustochius, Bishop of Tours (Christian; Saint)

Feast of Mato (The Bear Spirit; Lakota & Oglala Sioux)

Feast of Our Lady of La Salette (Roman Catholic; France)

Feast of San Gennaro (Christian; Saint)

Feast of Thoth (Egyptian God of Wisdom & Magic)

Feralia (Day of Purification; Pagan)

Ganesh Chaturthi (Indian Elephant God Festival)

Goeric of Metz (Christian; Saint)

International Forgiveness Day (Jainism)

International Talk Like a Pirate Day (Pastafarian)

Januarius (Western Christianity)

Lucy (Christian; Saint)

March of the Reanimated Corpses Day (Church of the SubGenius)

Our Lady of La Salette (Christian; Saint)

Peleus, Pa-Termuthes, and companions (Christian; Martyrs)

Racine (Positivist; Saint)

Sequanus (a.k.a. Seine; Christian; Saint)

Slimey Ole Tom (Muppetism)

Theodore of Tarsus (Anglican Communion, Roman Catholic Church, Eastern Orthodox Church)

Trophimus, Sabbatius, and Dorymedon (Christian; Saints)

Lucky & Unlucky Days

Shakku (赤口 Japan) [Bad luck all day, except at noon.]

Umu Limnu (Evil Day; Babylonian Calendar; 43 of 60)

Premieres

Amadeus (Film; 1984)

The Amazing Adventures of Kavalier & Clay, by Michael Chabon (Novel; 2000)

Away From the World, by The Dave Matthews Band (Album; 2012)

Best in Show (Film; 2000)

Block Party or The Happy Hedsman (Rocky & Bullwinkle Cartoon, S3, Ep. 110; 1961)

Blue Velvet (Film; 1986)

Boardwalk Empire (TV Series; 2010)

Bosko Shipwrecked! (WB LT Cartoon; 1931)

Doogie Howser, M.D. (TV Series; 1989)

East of Eden, by John Steinbeck (Novel; 1952)

The Egyptian, by Mika Waltari (Novel; 1945)

ER (TV Series; 1994)

Fawlty Towers (UK TV Series; 1975)

Fly, by The Dixie Chicks (Album; 1999)

Funny Girl (Film; 1968)

Goodfellas (Film; 1990)

The Good Place (TV Series; 2016)

Gossip Girl (TV Series; 2007)

Hector and the Search for Happiness (Film; 2014)

How I Met Your Mother (TV Series; 2005)

Igor (Animated Film; 2008)

L.A. Confidential (Film; 1997)

The Mary Tyler Moore Show (TV Series; 1970)

The Maze Runner (Film; 2014)

Moneyball (Film; 2011)

Monkey Business (Film; 1931)

Oh Teacher (Disney Cartoon; 1927)

Pluto’s Party (Disney Cartoon; 1952)

Rhythm Nation 1814, by Janet Jackson (Album; 1989)

Scooby-Doo! Pirates Ahoy! (WB Animated Film; 2006)

Secondhand Lions (Film; 2003)

Spice, by the Spice Girls (Album; 1996)

Squirrel in the Scope of Ring Around the Rocky (Rocky & Bullwinkle Cartoon, S3, Ep. 109; 1961)

A Thousand Acres (Film; 1997)

Toy Town Hall (WB MM Cartoon; 1936)

2 Broke Girls (TV Series; 2011)

Underworld (Film; 2003)

The Virginian (TV Series; 1962)

Yanks (Film; 1979)

Zipping Along (WB MM Cartoon; 1953)

Today’s Name Days

Arnulf, Igor, Jnuarius, Wilma (Austria)

Emilija, Januarije, Suzana, Teodor, Željko (Croatia)

Zita (Czech Republic)

Constantia (Denmark)

Erna, Marna (Estonia)

Reija (Finland)

Émilie (France)

Januarius, Thorsten, Wilhelmine (Germany)

Savatios (Greece)

Vilhelmina (Hungary)

Gennaro (Italy)

Muntis, Varnesis, Verners (Latvia)

Girvinas, Vilhelmina, Vytė (Lithuania)

Connie, Konstanse (Norway)

Alfons, Alfonsyna, January, Konstancja, Sydonia, Teodor, Więcemir (Poland)

Konštantín (Slovakia)

Genaro, Jenaro (Spain)

Fredrika (Sweden)

Monroe, Morgan, Morgann, Morganna, Morganne, Precious, Sawyer (USA)

Today is Also…

Day of Year: Day 262 of 2024; 103 days remaining in the year

ISO: Day 2 of week 38 of 2023

Celtic Tree Calendar: Muin (Vine) [Day 15 of 28]

Chinese: Month 8 (Xin-You), Day 5 (Geng-Chen)

Chinese Year of the: Rabbit 4721 (until February 10, 2024)

Hebrew: 4 Tishri 5784

Islamic: 4 Rabi I 1445

J Cal: 22 Aki; Oneday [22 of 30]

Julian: 6 September 2023

Moon: 19%: Waxing Crescent

Positivist: 10 Shakespeare (10th Month) [Racine]

Runic Half Month: Ken (Illumination) [Day 8 of 15]

Season: Summer (Day 90 of 94)

Zodiac: Virgo (Day 29 of 32)

#calendar #Holidays

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brookstonalmanac · 7 months

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Holidays 9.19

Holidays

Aortic Disease Awareness Day

Armed Forces Day (Chile)

Bestselling Books Day

Biosphere Day (Australia)

Celebration of Labour (French Republic)

Children’s Day (Elder Scrolls)

Cosmetic Bridge Day

Day of the First Appearance of the Slovak National Council

Eleven Days of Global Unity, Day 9: Freedom

Fawlty Towers Day

Festival of Convictions (French Republic)

Frank Zappa Day (Baltimore) [also 8.9]

Hermione Granger Day

Holy Batman Day

Indra Jatra (Kathmandu Valley, Nepal)

International Aortic Dissection Awareness Day

International Hop Like a Kangaroo Day

International Snakebite Awareness Day

International Talk Like A Pirate Day [ website ]

International Women's Commerce Day

Iota Phi Theta Day

Kenny Chesney Day (Tennessee)

Meow Like a Pirate Day

Mid-Autumn Festival Holiday (China)

Miners Memorial Day (Australia)

Moscow Day (Russia)

National Cat DNA Day

National Ear Health Day

National Jude Day

National Meow Like a Pirate Day

National Service Day (Belize)

National Theater Day (Brazil)

National Woman Road Warrior Day

919 Day (North Carolina)

Trollface Day

Visit a Sick Friend Today Day

What the Fork Day

Women’s Suffrage Day (New Zealand)

Food & Drink Celebrations

National Butterscotch Pudding Day

Popcorn Day

World Day of the Apertif

3rd Tuesday in September

Get Ready Day [3rd Tuesday]

National APRP Recognition Day [3rd Tuesday]

National IT Professionals Day [3rd Tuesday]

National Voter Registration Day [3rd Tuesday]

Prinsjesdag (Netherlands) [3rd Tuesday]

Take a Loved One to the Doctor Day [3rd Tuesday]

World Apheresis Awareness Day [3rd Tuesday]

Independence Days

Hosamia (Declared; 2016) [unrecognized]

Meytallia (Declared; 2013) [unrecognized]

Saint Kitts and Nevis (from UK, 1983)

Feast Days

Alonso de Orozco Mena (Christian; Saint)

Arthur Rackham (Artology)

Emilie de Rodat (Christian; Saint)

Eustochius, Bishop of Tours (Christian; Saint)

Feast of Mato (The Bear Spirit; Lakota & Oglala Sioux)

Feast of Our Lady of La Salette (Roman Catholic; France)

Feast of San Gennaro (Christian; Saint)

Feast of Thoth (Egyptian God of Wisdom & Magic)

Feralia (Day of Purification; Pagan)

Ganesh Chaturthi (Indian Elephant God Festival)

Goeric of Metz (Christian; Saint)

International Forgiveness Day (Jainism)

International Talk Like a Pirate Day (Pastafarian)

Januarius (Western Christianity)

Lucy (Christian; Saint)

March of the Reanimated Corpses Day (Church of the SubGenius)

Our Lady of La Salette (Christian; Saint)

Peleus, Pa-Termuthes, and companions (Christian; Martyrs)

Racine (Positivist; Saint)

Sequanus (a.k.a. Seine; Christian; Saint)

Slimey Ole Tom (Muppetism)

Theodore of Tarsus (Anglican Communion, Roman Catholic Church, Eastern Orthodox Church)

Trophimus, Sabbatius, and Dorymedon (Christian; Saints)

Lucky & Unlucky Days

Shakku (赤口 Japan) [Bad luck all day, except at noon.]

Umu Limnu (Evil Day; Babylonian Calendar; 43 of 60)

Premieres

Amadeus (Film; 1984)

The Amazing Adventures of Kavalier & Clay, by Michael Chabon (Novel; 2000)

Away From the World, by The Dave Matthews Band (Album; 2012)

Best in Show (Film; 2000)

Block Party or The Happy Hedsman (Rocky & Bullwinkle Cartoon, S3, Ep. 110; 1961)

Blue Velvet (Film; 1986)

Boardwalk Empire (TV Series; 2010)

Bosko Shipwrecked! (WB LT Cartoon; 1931)

Doogie Howser, M.D. (TV Series; 1989)

East of Eden, by John Steinbeck (Novel; 1952)

The Egyptian, by Mika Waltari (Novel; 1945)

ER (TV Series; 1994)

Fawlty Towers (UK TV Series; 1975)

Fly, by The Dixie Chicks (Album; 1999)

Funny Girl (Film; 1968)

Goodfellas (Film; 1990)

The Good Place (TV Series; 2016)

Gossip Girl (TV Series; 2007)

Hector and the Search for Happiness (Film; 2014)

How I Met Your Mother (TV Series; 2005)

Igor (Animated Film; 2008)

L.A. Confidential (Film; 1997)

The Mary Tyler Moore Show (TV Series; 1970)

The Maze Runner (Film; 2014)

Moneyball (Film; 2011)

Monkey Business (Film; 1931)

Oh Teacher (Disney Cartoon; 1927)

Pluto’s Party (Disney Cartoon; 1952)

Rhythm Nation 1814, by Janet Jackson (Album; 1989)

Scooby-Doo! Pirates Ahoy! (WB Animated Film; 2006)

Secondhand Lions (Film; 2003)

Spice, by the Spice Girls (Album; 1996)

Squirrel in the Scope of Ring Around the Rocky (Rocky & Bullwinkle Cartoon, S3, Ep. 109; 1961)

A Thousand Acres (Film; 1997)

Toy Town Hall (WB MM Cartoon; 1936)

2 Broke Girls (TV Series; 2011)

Underworld (Film; 2003)

The Virginian (TV Series; 1962)

Yanks (Film; 1979)

Zipping Along (WB MM Cartoon; 1953)

Today’s Name Days

Arnulf, Igor, Jnuarius, Wilma (Austria)

Emilija, Januarije, Suzana, Teodor, Željko (Croatia)

Zita (Czech Republic)

Constantia (Denmark)

Erna, Marna (Estonia)

Reija (Finland)

Émilie (France)

Januarius, Thorsten, Wilhelmine (Germany)

Savatios (Greece)

Vilhelmina (Hungary)

Gennaro (Italy)

Muntis, Varnesis, Verners (Latvia)

Girvinas, Vilhelmina, Vytė (Lithuania)

Connie, Konstanse (Norway)

Alfons, Alfonsyna, January, Konstancja, Sydonia, Teodor, Więcemir (Poland)

Konštantín (Slovakia)

Genaro, Jenaro (Spain)

Fredrika (Sweden)

Monroe, Morgan, Morgann, Morganna, Morganne, Precious, Sawyer (USA)

Today is Also…

Day of Year: Day 262 of 2024; 103 days remaining in the year

ISO: Day 2 of week 38 of 2023

Celtic Tree Calendar: Muin (Vine) [Day 15 of 28]

Chinese: Month 8 (Xin-You), Day 5 (Geng-Chen)

Chinese Year of the: Rabbit 4721 (until February 10, 2024)

Hebrew: 4 Tishri 5784

Islamic: 4 Rabi I 1445

J Cal: 22 Aki; Oneday [22 of 30]

Julian: 6 September 2023

Moon: 19%: Waxing Crescent

Positivist: 10 Shakespeare (10th Month) [Racine]

Runic Half Month: Ken (Illumination) [Day 8 of 15]

Season: Summer (Day 90 of 94)

Zodiac: Virgo (Day 29 of 32)

#Holidays

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