#rupee falling against dollar
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Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Forex traders said weak Asian currencies, a lacklustre trend in domestic equities and persistent foreign capital outflows weighed on investor sentiments.
Forex traders said weak Asian currencies, a lacklustre trend in domestic equities and persistent foreign capital outflows weighed on investor sentiments.
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Outlook 2023, BONDS is the place to be.
OUTLOOK 2023,
BONDS IS THE PLACE TO BE.
BY
SHREY BHOOTRA
STANDARD 7th
SCHOOL – THE BISHOPS SCHOOL CAMP, PUNE.
INTRODUCTION.
In this paper I will be talking about the outlook of 2023 and why this year bonds are a safer and better bet compared to equities.
1. Indian stock market lags behind its global peers in 2023.
The Indian stock market, which had been a star performer in 2022 despite global headwinds, has been lagging behind its global peers since the start of 2023. The domestic benchmark indices, the Sensex and Nifty 50 gave a return of 5.78% and 4.33% in the calendar year 2022 respectively. Since the start of calendar year 2023 the Nifty 50 index has gone down from 18,197 to 17,567, while the Sensex has gone down from 61,167 to 59,745 which means they have both gone down by 4.47% and 2.33% already! The markets in 2023 started the year well before facing challenges as the month went on. The underperformance has been attributed to a range of factors, including continuous selling of FPIs, the reopening of the Chinese economy, the sell-off in the Adani group stocks and the depreciation of the Indian Rupee. On January 25th the Nifty 50 and Sensex tumbled 1.25% and 1.27% respectively, a day after the Hindenburg released a report alleging the Adani Group of certain accusations, on the following day the two indices lost another 1.61% and 1.45% in value, taking the cumulative loss to 2.83% and 2.70% in just two trading sessions. The banking stocks which had given loans to the Adani group of companies also took a brunt on concerns over the debt exposure to the Adani group, the Banking sector which had been the driving force behind the index growth over the past few years was now facing headwinds causing the Nifty 50 to underperform. According to the PTI report foreign investors pulled out Rs 28,852 crores from equities in the month of January 2023, making it the worst outflow since June 2022. This came following a net investment of Rs 11,119 crore is December 2022 and Rs36,238 crore in November. The Indian Rupee started January 2023 on a strong note, strengthening 1.60% in the first three weeks, however it gave up its gains as the month progressed and ended January with a fall of 1.18% at 81.73 against the US Dollar. The Indian Rupee ended 2022 as the worst performing currency with a fall 11.3%, its biggest annual decline since 2013. In December 2022 the global brokerage Goldman Sachs said that India is likely to underperform its peers in 2023 due to expensive valuations. The Indian market had been a strong outperformer in 2022 due to stronger domestic fundamentals, but valuations have turned expensive compared to global peers. Another cause for the equity markets not performing well is inflation, inflation in the month of January 2023 in India was 6.52% compared to 5.72% in the month of December 2022, when inflation is high it reduces the purchasing power of common households thus also having a negative effect on the equity markets. The main cause of rise in inflation in India is because of food inflation, the CPI food index rose to 5.9% in January 2023 from 4.2% in December 2022.
2. Why are bonds the place to invest in 2023.
Since the equity markets have not been performing well since the start of the year, bonds are the next best place to invest, retail investors, DIIs and FIIs have been pulling money out of the market and have been investing in bonds. Since bonds provide a predictable income stream and have stable returns and have a lower risk people prefer to invest in bonds this year over equities. The US one year bond yield is currently at 5.0541%.
- SHREY BHOOTRA
23.3.23
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Is INR likely to see more decline?
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the Indian central bank, is making numerous efforts to halt the rupee's free fall to new lows. According to reports, the central bank sold dollars on Wednesday (June 29, 2022) for between INR 78.97 and 78.98 per US$ and significantly increased its foreign exchange reserves to protect the rupee from a rapid devaluation, as cited by Outlook. The total foreign exchange reserves have decreased by $40.94 billion since February 25. (Indian forex reserves stood at $593.28 billion on May 21, 2022.)
On June 24, RBI deputy governor Michael Patra stated that the institution will continue to support the rupee's stability and would not permit any abrupt fall of the rupee against the dollar, as cited by Moneycontrol.
As the value of the rupee continues to fall, there is a potential that the RBI would interfere once more. Forex market experts said the RBI will continue to defend the rupee to help importers and not allow a runaway depreciation in the rupee.
Several analysts believe the Rupee could decline further against the dollar in the next few sessions as oil prices go up and the FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) sell-off continues. As per analysts, the fundamentals of the Indian economy have deteriorated.
~Lakshya Kapoor
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Pakistani Rupee thrashes US dollar in interbank - SUCH TV
The United States dollar continued to lose value against the Pakistani rupee on Wednesday.
The US dollar lost Rs0.22 in the opening hours of trading to fall to Rs281 in the interbank market. On Tuesday, the US dollar had lost a mere 6 paisas to fall from Rs281.28 to Rs281.22.
Since crossing the Rs300 mark a few months ago, the value of the dollar has slowly decreased in the face of a crackdown…
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Global Cyber Fraud Syndicate Unveiled: Chinese-Taiwanese Collaboration in Cryptocurrency Scam
In a significant breakthrough, the Cyber Station Police of the Criminal Investigation Department (CID) in Jharkhand has successfully apprehended a 31-year-old resident of Taiwan, Jeevan Gopinath Galdhar, involved in a sophisticated cyber fraud operation targeting individuals in India. The arrest took place upon Galdhar's arrival in India from Taiwan, following a lookout notice issued against him.
Also Read: Cybercrime in Nagpur - Cyber Blackmailer Couple Arrested in Pune for Extorting Money
Arrest Details and Seized Items
Upon detaining Galdhar, law enforcement authorities discovered a cache of incriminating evidence. Confiscated items included 3300 Taiwan dollars, Rs 48,400 in cash, two mobile phones, two SIM cards, a Bank of Taiwan credit card, four ATMs, Aadhaar and PAN cards, two credit cards, and a passport belonging to the accused.
Unveiling Fraudulent Activities
The genesis of the case traces back to July 5 when a victim from Dhanbad filed a complaint with the Cyber Crime Police Station in Ranchi. The victim reported falling prey to an online fraud scheme that encompassed various sections of the Indian Penal Code (IPC) and the IT Act. The modus operandi involved the accused contacting the victim through a profile on www.jeevansathi.com, enticing them to invest in cryptocurrency with promises of substantial profits.
Also Read: Kashmiri Brother-in-Law could not show Kamal, and pressure on Nagpur police failed
The victim was led to register on a fraudulent website, www.banocoin.org, where they deposited money into different bank accounts via UPI. The fraudulent website then showcased false profits, deceiving the victim. Subsequent investigations unveiled the operation of the fake website from locations in Hong Kong, China, and Cambodia. Further scrutiny of the financial trail exposed multiple bank accounts associated with fictitious companies registered in Maharashtra, Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh, facilitating transactions totaling millions of rupees. The accused successfully defrauded the victim of Rs 95,02,000, prompting swift police action, resulting in the freezing of Rs 67,00,000 across the fraudulent accounts.
Also Read: Pune Couple's Organized Cyber Blackmailing Scandal Uncovered
Multi-Agency Collaboration and Accomplices
Collaboration between the Cyber Police Station in Ranchi, the Indian Crime Coordination Center, and the Cyber Police in Aurangabad, Maharashtra, proved instrumental in tracing the involvement of a cyber criminal residing in Taiwan. This individual had collaborated with a Chinese citizen to establish accounts in India, channeling funds obtained from part-time job fraud and cryptocurrency scams into various shell companies' accounts in India. The illicitly obtained money was then transferred to different Blockchain wallet addresses on cryptocurrency exchanges. Earlier in the investigation, two associates of the accused, Prateek Santosh Rawat and Abhishek Tupe, were apprehended in Aurangabad, Maharashtra.
Preventive Measures and Advisory
In light of this cyber fraud case, authorities issued a series of precautions to protect individuals from falling victim to similar schemes. Citizens were advised to refrain from exchanging money with unknown international or virtual numbers, avoid clicking on unfamiliar links received via SMS, steer clear of investing in unknown bank accounts or cryptocurrency wallets, and promptly report any instances of fraud to the Cyber Crime Helpline (1930) or www.cybercrime.gov.in. Additionally, users were urged to verify the authenticity of matrimonial sites like jeevansathi.com before engaging with them.
Also Read: Pune Couple's Organized Cyber Blackmailing Scandal Uncovered
Conclusion
The successful arrest of Jeevan Gopinath Galdhar and the dismantling of the international cyber fraud ring underscore the significance of collaborative efforts between law enforcement agencies. This case serves as a stark reminder of the evolving nature of cyber threats and the need for constant vigilance to protect individuals from falling prey to sophisticated online scams. Authorities continue to emphasize awareness and education as crucial tools in the ongoing battle against cybercrime, urging citizens to remain vigilant and report any suspicious activities promptly.
Source: https://www.the420.in/global-cyber-fraud-syndicate-unveiled-chinese-taiwanese-collaboration-cryptocurrency-scam/
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BRICS dumped a total of $17.4 billion in U.S. treasuries in September 2023. Latest Data from the U.S. Treasury Department highlighted that China, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia sold the highest last month. The BRICS alliance is offloading billions worth of U.S. government bonds to stop the dollar from ending on a high against local currencies. The rising U.S. dollar is weakening gold, oil, commodities, and local currencies of developing nations around the world.
China single-handedly offloaded $13.6 billion worth of U.S. treasuries in September. The communist nations’ reserves dropped from $835.4 billion to $821.8 billion last month. Brazil stood next on the list and offloaded $2.7 billion in U.S. treasuries. As a result, its holdings shrunk from $227.4 billion to $224.7 billion.
New BRICS member Saudi Arabia followed right after and sold $1.1 billion in U.S. treasuries. Consequentially, the Kingdom’s holdings have now been trimmed from $109.2 billion to $108.1 billion.
ICS Membership?
In all, BRICS members China, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia dumped a total of $17.4 billion worth of U.S. treasuries in a single month. The development adds pressure on the U.S. dollar, as a handful of countries are cutting ties with American government bonds. Read here to know how many sectors in the U.S. will be impacted if BRICS stops using the dollar.
BRICS Dumped A Total of $123 Billion in U.S. Treasuries in 2023
Source: theconversation.com
The BRICS bloc has dumped a cumulative $123 billion in U.S. Treasuries in 2023 alone. China, Brazil, India, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE have all sold U.S. government bonds this year. In addition, India has been accused of massively selling the U.S. dollar in the forex markets to keep the rupee from ending at a low. Read here to know how India managed to dump the U.S. dollar in the currency exchange markets last month.
Japan, on the other hand, is also accused of following the footsteps of India to keep the yen from falling against the USD. Read here to know how Japan is intervening in the currency markets to take on the U.S. dollar.
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Rupee Falls by 17 Paise Against Dollar: Latest exchange rate update.
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[ad_1] A representational image. — Reuters/FileSources say prices in international market also decreased. Fall in prices may come after PKR's stability against dollar. Final decision to be made after consultations with PM Kakar. ISLAMABAD: The petroleum prices are expected to go down from October 1 (tomorrow) following the stability in the Pakistani rupee against the US dollar, sources told Geo News on Saturday. The international market prices have also decreased, said the sources. The sources added that the Ministry of Finance will make a final decision on the petroleum prices after consultations with caretaker Prime Minister Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar. Earlier this week, the Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (Ogra) advised against speculating on the price of petroleum products after federal ministers claimed the POL rates would likely be reduced in the next fortnightly review.Caretaker Federal Commerce and Industries Minister Gohar Ejaz and Interim Federal Minister for Information and Broadcasting Murtaza Solangi said last week that POL prices would be reduced after the rupee gained ground against the dollar.In the last two weeks, the rupee has gained around Rs19 against the greenback, prompting the claims, as Pakistan, being an importer of POL, purchases the commodity in dollars.In the previous fortnightly review, the caretaker government had jacked up the petrol price by more than Rs26 and diesel by over Rs17 per litre to Rs331.38 and Rs329.18, respectively — the highest in history.The authority mentioned that petroleum product prices in Pakistan are primarily dependent on international market prices and the exchange rate of the Dollar.In recent times, it said, there has been a surge in international petroleum prices, while the dollar-to-rupee exchange rate has shown improvement.But, the authority said, it is essential to highlight that there is still one week remaining before the announcement of new prices."Therefore, any speculation about price increases or decreases during this period is highly speculative and could potentially disrupt the smooth functioning of the oil supply chain." [ad_2]
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Stock Market Closing: Market Declines Due to Weak Global Cues, Sensex and Nifty Drop by 1 Percent
The stock market concluded the fourth day of the trading week in the red. Both stock exchanges recorded a decline of nearly 1 percent. Meanwhile, the Indian Rupee saw a slight increase of 2 paise against the US Dollar. It's worth noting that crude oil prices continue to fluctuate.
Amidst significant negative trends in global markets, continuous foreign fund outflows, equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty witnessed a decline of approximately 1 percent on Thursday. Traders also pointed out that heavy selling pressure in major companies like Reliance Industries, Infosys, and TCS had an impact on the market sentiment.
Read more : Petrol and Diesel Prices Today: Updated Fuel Rates in These Cities, Find Out Today's Prices
Today, the BSE Sensex closed at 65,508.32, down 610.37 points or 0.92 percent. During the day, it slipped to 65,423.39 after falling by 695.3 points or 1.05 percent. The Nifty ended at 19,523.55, down 192.90 points or 0.98 percent.
Top Gainers and Losers Tech Mahindra saw the most significant decline in the Sensex pack today, dropping by 4.59 percent. It was followed by Asian Paints, Vipro, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Bajaj Finserv, Infosys, TCS, Mahindra and Mahindra, Hindustan Unilever, IndusInd Bank, Reliance Industries, and JSW Steel, all witnessing substantial losses.
On the flip side, Larsen and Toubro, Bharti Airtel, Power Grid, and Axis Bank's shares were among the top gainers.
Global Market Overview In Asian markets, the Shanghai Composite closed in the red, while Tokyo and Hong Kong ended lower. South Korea had a holiday, leading to a halt in trading. European markets were trading with a negative bias. On Wednesday, the US markets closed mixed.
Global crude oil benchmark Brent Crude slipped by 0.38 percent to $96.18 per barrel. According to exchange data, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹354.35 crore on Wednesday.
Vinod Nair, Chief Research Officer at Geojit Financial Services, commented that the selling was broad-based as investors remained cautious due to the fluctuations in oil prices. If crude oil continues to stay above $90 per barrel, it poses a risk to inflation and reduces operating margins. Currently, high interest rates and the tapering of the US bond yields are affecting FIIs' staying in sell mode.
Market Recap from Yesterday In the previous session on Wednesday, the BSE benchmark index gained 173.22 points or 0.26 percent to close at 66,118.69. Meanwhile, the Nifty increased by 51.75 points or 0.26 percent to end at 19,716.45.
Rupee Strengthens The Indian Rupee closed at ₹83.20 (last) against the US Dollar on Thursday, marking a 2 paise increase due to rising crude oil prices and improvements in greenback. It opened at ₹83.22 against the US Dollar and traded in the range of ₹83.25 to ₹83.13 during the day's trading. Today, the Rupee closed at ₹83.20 against the US Dollar, which is 2 paise higher than the previous close of ₹83.22. On Wednesday, after sluggish trading, the Rupee had closed at ₹83.22 against the US Dollar."
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#Asiancurrencies#crudeoil#crudeoilprices#currencyperformance#dollarindex#domesticinstitutionalinvestors#domesticmarket#foreigninstitutionalinvestors#IndianrupeegainsagainstUSdollar#Nifty#Nifty50#NiftyBank#rupee#Sensex#USDollar#USDINR
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Rupee falls 34 paise to open at 82.27 against the US dollar
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Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Indian rupee falls to all-time low of 78.29 against US dollar in early trade
Forex traders said weak Asian currencies, a lacklustre trend in domestic equities and persistent foreign capital outflows weighed on investor sentiments.
Forex traders said weak Asian currencies, a lacklustre trend in domestic equities and persistent foreign capital outflows weighed on investor sentiments.
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Three earthquakes jolted Rajasthan's Jaipur in the wee hours of Friday. According to the National Centre for Seismology, the three tremors were felt within a span of 30 minutes. As the earthquakes were felt in several sections of the city,
jolted Rajasthan's Jaipur
jolted Rajasthan's Jaipur in the wee hours of Friday. According to the National Centre for Seismology, the three tremors were felt within a span of 30 minutes.
Panic-stricken people rushed out of their houses as the tremors were felt in parts of the city.
There were no reports of loss of lives or damage to properties due to the earthquake tremors.
Within a time span of 30 minutes in the wee hours of Friday, Rajasthan's Jaipur felt three earthquakes measuring 4.4, 3.1, and 3.4 on the Richter Scale, said the National Centre for Seismology.No casualty or damage of property due to the tremors have been reported so far.
It has been reported that panic-stricken people rushed out of their houses as the tremors were felt in parts of the city.
NCS
The latest earthquake of magnitude 3.4 occurred at around 4.25 am, the National Center for Seismology (NCS) reported. According to the NCS, it occurred at a depth of 10 kilometres.
"Earthquake of Magnitude:3.4, Occurred on 21-07-2023, 04:25:33 IST, Lat: 26.87 & Long: 75.69, Depth: 10 Km ,Location: Jaipur, Rajasthan, India," the National Center for Seismology (NCS) tweeted.
Earlier the earth quake of magnitude 3.1 was felt at 4.22 am at a depth of 5 kilometres
Sensex, Nifty at open
09:30 AM
Sensex, Nifty at open
Sensex tumbles 749.75 points to 66,822.15 in early trade; Nifty falls 203.15 points to 19,776
09:30 AM
Rupee falls 11 paise to 82.04 against US dollar in early trade read more
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Fall of INR against USD (June 2022)
On June 29, 2022 (Wednesday), INR hit a record low of 79.03 against the US$ after being on a downward trend over the preceding few days. Let us try to understand what this means for the common man, who is already struggling to keep up with the rising inflation and the rising fuel prices ever since the Russia-Ukraine war broke.
The value of the Indian rupee to the US$ works on a demand and supply basis. If there is a higher demand for the US$, the value of the Indian rupee depreciates and vice-versa. If a country imports more than it exports, then the demand for the dollar will be higher than the supply and the domestic currency like Rupee in India will depreciate against the dollar. The rupee’s fall these days is mainly due to high crude oil prices, a strong dollar overseas, and foreign capital outflows.
Another reason for this decline is the heavy foreign fund outflows due to foreign institutional investors selling Indian shares worth $28.4 Billion this year, so far. As money flows out of India, the rupee-dollar exchange rate gets impacted, depreciating the rupee. Such depreciation puts considerable pressure on the already high import prices of crude and raw materials, paving the path for higher imported inflation and production costs besides higher retail inflation.
The falling rupee’s biggest impact is on inflation, considering that India imports over 80 per cent of its crude oil, which is the country’s biggest import. The global crude prices have sustained at over $100 a barrel since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February this year. High oil prices and a weaker rupee will only add to inflationary pressures in the economy.
~Lakshya Kapoor
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#siddharth mehta bay capital#siddharth mehta#bay capital#siddharth#mehta#sensex#news#the indian express#tumblr#tumpik
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Asia | A Military Defeat: Imran Khan Loses His Battle with Pakistan’s Corrupt Army
The generals have gone to war with the country’s most popular politician
— The Economist | June 1st, 2023 | Islamabad, Pakistan
Not long ago Imran Khan looked like a man who had defied Pakistan’s All-powerful Corrupt Generals and got away with it. After his arrest by paramilitary goons on May 9th, the former Prime Minister was freed by a Supreme Court order—even though his outraged supporters had had the temerity to smash up military installations around the country (Actually these attacks staged by Military’s own Culprit Generals). As Pakistan’s most popular politician, with a legion of committed activists and apparently no fear of the army, Mr Khan looked odds-on to win a general election due later this year.
Barely three weeks later, the political walls have caved in on him. The generals have in effect dismantled the party Mr Khan founded in 1996, Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI). Scores of its senior leaders have defected (Under Military’s Gunpoints) and thousands of its supporters have been arrested. The (Illegal United States’ Imported Government) of Shehbaz Sharif is openly mulling banning the party. Mr Khan, who faces dozens of False Charges including corruption and blasphemy, could be tried by a military court—and perhaps expect a long political exile at best. Pakistan’s beleaguered civilian institutions appear, for now, to be firmly back under the army’s sway (Not anymore. People of Pakistan Awakened Now. It’s Social Media Era.).
IMRAN KHAN, Former Prime Minister of Pakistan and the Chairman of PTI
Whether under orders from the military or out of sheer opportunism, the Corrupt Government of Shehbaz Sharif is backing the PTI’s Dismantlement. It cites the urgent need to restore economic and political stability. Pakistan’s economy barely grew over the past year. Due to a collapse in the rupee, annual income per person dropped by nearly $200 in dollar terms, to $1,568. Annual inflation is estimated to have hit 37% in May. With foreign exchange reserves barely sufficient to cover a month’s worth of imports, there remains a real risk of sovereign default. The IMF this week urged the government to respect constitutional means in resolving the political crisis and reiterated that Pakistan must obtain “sufficient financing from partners’‘ before it releases a long-stalled $1.1bn in bail-out funds. China is expected to roll over $2.3bn in loans in June.
An irony of Mr Khan’s fall, not lost on Pakistanis, is that he was once promoted by the army as a means to suppress other civilian parties, including Mr Sharif’s. After he became prime minister in 2018 some observers described his government as a civil-military “hybrid” (Bullshit, not true). But the generals eventually tired of his grandstanding and narcissism (It’s a Lie), leading to his ouster last year in a no-confidence vote.
The attacks unleashed on army buildings by his supporters on May 9th (Not true. It’s Done by the Military’s Own Corrupt Arrogant Generals. There are Many Undeniable Video Proofs.), including the ransacking of a house belonging to the commanding general in Lahore, were unprecedented and, it is now clear, intolerable to the generals. An army spokesman promised a crackdown on all “planners, instigators, abettors and perpetrators” of the violence. Penitent PTI leaders have since been paraded before journalists, condemning the violence, dissociating themselves from Mr Khan and pledging fealty to the army. Many of them have renounced politics altogether. Rights organisations accuse the government of using the crackdown to detain peaceful opponents alongside alleged rioters.
Asim Munir, Pakistan’s Corrupt, Schizophrenics, Arrogant and Boak Bollocks Chief of Army Staff
The Corrupt and Arrogant Generals will now be weighing their options. On the basis of their past campaigns against civilian politicians who dared to disappoint them, these will include jailing Mr Khan, nudging him into exile, disqualifying him from politics and, though it seems unlikely(These Corrupt Generals will Definitely be Failed in their plans.), allowing him to contest the election at the head of whatever remains of his party. Or they may decide that the election will not be held—there are rumours that they mean to form a technocratic government instead. Mr Khan, for his part, remains defiant. Challenging the government to “break as many people as you want”, he has called for early elections.
In any event, political and economic stability is likely to remain elusive. Mr Khan’s sidelining will not make him less popular. Mr Sharif and, for that matter, whoever the generals pick to lead the country next will have to contend with vast numbers of disaffected PTI supporters. And so will the Generals, whose relentless political interference has, thanks to Mr Khan, now made them a principal target for Pakistanis’ justified rage. “The army can’t help itself,” says Zahid Hussain, a political commentator. “Its urge to intervene is irresistible.” And yet it has never seemed more self-defeating. ■
— This article appeared in the Asia section of the print edition under the headline "Military Victory"
#Pakistan’s Political Turmoil#Pakistan’s Corrupt Army#Corrupt US Imported Government#IMRAN KHAN | Chairman of PTI#Pakistan’s Elections
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