#i may just write an essay comparing kyoshi and kuvira

[legendary-defender-of-fandoms]

Predicting the Next Avatar

Part 1 - Nationality

Assuming that all the nonsense that went down during Harmonic Convergence (UnaVaatu ripping Raava out of Korra, then beating her out of existence, Spirit Korra pulling the reformed Raava out of UnaVaatu’s core, Korra & Raava re-fusing just as Harmonic Convergence ended, etc.) didn’t screw up the Avatar cycle, the next Avatar has to be an Earth Kingdom citizen. I really hope the Cycle is intact, because it would be kind of boring if every Avatar after Korra was a Southern Waterbender, and too confusing if they can literally be born into any Nation at random.

Part 2 - Gender

According to statistics, the chances of the Avatar being born male or female are equal. However, there appear to have been more male Avatars than female Avatars, with multiple cases of back-to-back male Avatars but no spotted cases of back-to-back female Avatars. Therefore, I believe it’s safe to predict that the Avatar after Korra will be born a male.

Part 3 - Place of Birth

I’ve noticed with the few Avatars we know about, they tend to be born in a location where they were happy in a previous life. Avatar Roku started his Avatar training in the Southern Air Temple & befriended a young student named Gyatso, and when he died his spirit was reincarnated in the Southern Air Temple as Gyatso’s ward Aang. And it’s safe to assume that Aang spent a LOT of time in the Southern Water Tribe after the Hundred Year War, bonding with Katara’s people and raising his own family, so it’s no wonder her was reincarnated in the South Pole as Korra. But for Korra, predicting the birthplace of her next reincarnation is a bit more tricky. She spent a lot of time in Republic City, which is technically located on the outskirts of the Earth Kingdom, but if she perceived it as a separate nation it may be out of the running. And even when she was in Republic City, she was technically living outside the city on Air Temple Island. The only place in the Earth Kingdom proper where Korra seemed genuinely happy & at peace was Zaofu. So, given the choice between a random borough in Republic City or Zaofu, Raava will probably gravitate towards Zaofu.

Part 4 - Personality (aka Avatar Roasting Hour)

I’m not the first to notice this (but I lost the name of the person who originally posted the theory, but every Avatar’s personality seems to be partially based on compensating for a perceived flaw in their immediate predecessor. Let’s run through the few Avatars we know.

Avatar Yangchen, an Air Nomad, tried to remain detached from both humans and Spirits so she could impartial while resolving conflicts. But her detachment could be interpreted as being cold or unfeeling, and she probably felt lonely or tired of dealing with everyone else’s drama.

Avatar Kuruk, a Southern Waterbender, could be considered the People’s Avatar. He didn’t meddle in the affairs of others, and was just looking for a good time. But his carefree attitude led to rising tensions in the Spirit World, culminating with his fiancé being kidnapped & tortured by Koh, the Face Stealer.

Avatar Kyoshi was a Bad. Ass. Mutha. Fucker! She has the longest lifespan of any Avatar (230 years) and oversaw the longest period of peace. If there was some smart-ass warlord thinking he could take over the world, she was there in half a second ready to bitch-slap him into the planet’s core. In a lot of ways, she was kind of like Kuvira. But, like Kuvira, her determination & dedication to bringing about peace at any cost could be seen as ruthlessness or tyranny. She saved the Earth Kingdom from the reign of Chin the Conqueror, but the descendants of his forces still hate her for killing him. And if the citizens of Ba Sing Se knew she created the Dai Li, Aang & Korra would’ve been slain the moment they crossed the Outer Wall.

Avatar Roku was definitely a more merciful Avatar than Kyoshi, sparing Fire Lord Sozin despite the attempted murder & unsactioned conquest of Earth Kingdom territory. But his mercy could be seen as Avatar impotence, since he didn’t stop Sozin’s conquest so much as delay it. Hell, he didn’t even make Sozin withdraw his troops from Yu Dao, the oldest Fire Nation Colony.

Avatar Aang was able to spread peace by finding creative solutions & striking a careful balance between Kyoshi’s “comply or die” methodology and Roku’s faith in the Honor System. Thanks to his guidance, the Four Nations became connected like never before. However, he probably went to his grave regretting the 100 years of war, genocide, and chaos that ensued while he was frozen in an iceberg. He didn’t cause the war, and I doubt he could’ve stopped it if he had been around, but we all know he blamed himself for the slaughter of the Air Nomads. And some part of him may have believed that, had he accepted his role as Avatar sooner, the world could’ve been saved without putting his friends & loved ones in danger.

This brings us to Avatar Korra. From the moment she was born, Korra was ready to OWN her Avatar title, as seen here (https://youtu.be/ta7TV68ff3c). She met every challenge head-on and never backed down. But her confidence could be seen as cockiness, and her desire to be the Avatar led to a lot of unhealthy behavior. You could easily break her character arcs down into three categories of thought; “Of course I can do this, I’m the Goddamn Avatar,” “Why the Hell can’t I do this, I’m the Goddamn Avatar,” and “Who am I if I’m not the Goddamn Avatar.” On top of that, she had a hard time working with others. Heads of state, her parents, members of her own tribe, Spirits, close friends, even her Pro-Bending teammates - she’d butt heads with everyone and anyone who tried to tell her what to do because, again, she’s the Goddamn Avatar.

Given Korra’s greatest character flaws (headstrong, cocky, insecurities tied to her identity as the Avatar), we can predict that her next incarnation’s personality would try to compensate. Instead of headstrong and cocky, he may be humble & caring. He may not be eager to embrace the title of Avatar, but he’ll know who he is & know he’s more than a title or the ability to control all 4 elements. He’ll work well with others, being open to help & willing to compromise. But he won’t be a complete wet blanket - he’ll stand his ground on important issues.

In Conclusion

Given all the information we have for past Avatars, I feel confident in predicting the next Avatar will be a boy Earthbender born in Zaofu. He will be compassionate, a team player, and will fight for the people instead of for his own glory. He won’t initially embrace his Avatar title, but he will do whatever it takes to maintain peace & balance in the world.

In other words, the next Avatar is Hunk.

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