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royallypsychotic · 3 years

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Designer Style Up To 70% Off Shoes, Purses, Dresses & Extra

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mint-mont · 6 years

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Quick Catch-up

Hey guys! Sorry that I’ve been inactive for so long, I’ve just had mid-semester tests and I’ve been super busy with assignments. Now that I’ve had my last test I should be able to catch up a bit 😃 Firstly, hello new subscribers! Welcome to a lovely group and fandom ❤️ Secondly, a lot of important things have happened while I’ve been on hiatus, so here’s a recap in case you missed any news (since the Israel concert):

🌟April 8th (but ongoing!): It would be awesome if every MINT could fill out this google doc. They're being read and sorted by English-speaking admins (so you don’t need to worry about being misunderstood). It will let us know what countries have a demand for MONT 😄

🌟 April 7th: MONT interview in Israel.

🌟 April 10th: MONT’s Israel concert was featured in an Israel news report on TV.

🌟 April 11th: The boys held “MONT Siri Time” which was a Twitter Q&A. (I’ll make a post about this because some of these answers were absolute gold)

🌟 April 16th: Interview for Belgium fans.

🌟 April 21st: MONT went on a radio show called “Happy Meeting”, which is run by the second-most famous broadcasting station in Korea: TBS.

🌟 April 23rd: MONT moved (again 😢) to a house closer to the practice room.

🌟 April 24th: MONT’s American concert tour has been announced! This is such exciting news 😁 The boys will be heading to the following places:

Los Angeles - October 26th

Atlanta - October 28th

Dallas - October 30th

Orlando - November 1st

Chicago - November 3rd

I will make a post when more details are announced.

And in case you’re unaware, MONT’s Brazilian concert will be next month! Here are the dates and places:

Rio de Janeiro - May 24th

Recife - May 26th

Belo Horizonte - May 27th

Porto Alegre - May 29th

São Paulo - May 31st

🌟 April 26th: MONT’s album and T-shirts are for sale online!

CD: http://mg.gmarket.co.kr/Item?goodscode=1347278538#

T-Shirts: http://mg.gmarket.co.kr/Item?goodscode=1355253970

(So far I think these are only available for shipment to Korea as I’m unable to buy them from NZ... but if you are able to buy them from any other country please inform me!)

On a side note, Jina and MONT’s staff are learning English from the Admints! Jina said that she really wants to learn more English so she can communicate overseas but Korean academies take too long, so instead she’s worked out a weekly timetable to Skype some of the English-speaking admins one-on-one. Sadly I’m too busy to help out, but if I do offer to do it one day I’ll let you guys know how it goes!

#mont #m.o.n.t #info #feels good to be back!

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mdwatchestv · 6 years

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Everything I’m Going to Watch in April (April Premieres Bring May...Other Premieres)

God I can't believe it's April, our lives are just draining away down the slop sink of 2018. I did a medium okay job of watching things in March, and really that's all we can ask for in this life.

Atlanta - I was extremely dragged by the acoustic Paper Boi cover, and rightly so.

Academy Awards - I would have done better in my bracket (and in life) had I not made some choices out of spite.

Hard Sun - Not a bad series per say, but on a whole couldn't deliver on the promise of the first episode. If you want to watch a truly whacked-out, hyper-violent show about the end of the world, may I once again recommend Utopia.

Jessica Jones - Even though my love for the character of Jessica Jones is undying, pure, and forever, this season was admittedly a disappointment. Without the direction and focus given by Kilgrave, the plot suffered from the meandering that plagues the rest of the Marvel Netflix Universe.

Collateral - Haven't gotten to it yet, which is shameful because it's only four episodes.

Drag Race - After a somewhat unfulfilling All Stars season, this new group of queens is extremely promising in both talent and dramz.

Requiem - Also not yet!

Santa Clarita Diet - Oh f, I forgot this premiered, I still intend to watch it.

Silicon Valley - Zach Woods is honestly the most underrated person on television, god bless and keep his precious spirit.

Barry - I have not watched this yet, nor have I heard any rumblings about it....suspicious.

Call the Midwife- New midwife alert!!!!

Trust - A bit odd and meandering, but electric in the way that all of Danny Boyle's projects are. I love Anna Chancellor.

The Terror - Have not watched but I WILL FRIENDS, I WILL.

A Series of Unfortunate Events - In my defense this only went up on Friday and I was extremely dedicated to spending my entire three day weekend lying down in a dark room.

I actually did much better with my tv watching then I thought, things only took a poor turn near the end of the month as fatigue set in. Thankfully, there is a ton of new stuff to pile on the tire fire of my tv watching schedule.

Tuesday April 3rd

Legion Season 2 (10pm on FX)

Legion season two!!! I loved the first season of this show SO MUCH I wrote a little essay about it, which you can read here. Legion is the superhero content that feels the most 'free' in it's delivery. Out of the box is an understatement. With exquisite aesthetic, high stakes mutant action sequences, and intermittent dance breaks, Legion is easily my most anticipated show of April.

The Last OG (10:30pm on TBS)

While TNT's recent dramas have been a hot underdeveloped mess, the TBS comedy slate has been filled with stand outs. That's why, despite the extreme delays in release, I am cautiously optimistic about Tracy Morgan's return to television. Also it co-stars Tiffany Haddish!!! The only way I could love her more is if she would just tell us who bit Beyonce, or at least confirm it was Sanaa Lathan (Editor’s note: It has been confirmed).

Sunday April 8th

Killing Eve (8pm on BBC America)

Okay, Legion is still my number one most excited show, but Killing Eve is a close second. "What's this Martha, I've seen very little marketing for it," you (the reader) fairly question. IT IS THE NEW SHOW FROM PHOEBE WALLER-BRIDGE BOW DOWN AND RECEIVE IT AND BE GRATEFUL. If you don't know who Ms. Waller-Bridge is (and if you don't never tell me), she was the creator of Fleabag, Crashing (UK one, NOT Apatow one), and is the light of my life. The fact that show is about a lady psychopath and the lady FBI agent that hunts her is mere icing on the cake. Honestly this show could be about anything, Phoebe wrote and thusly I have arrived for it.

Howard's End (8pm on Starz)

This adaptation of the scandalous EM Forster novel already aired on the BBC, but Starz is giving us scrub Americans the chance to watch it too. Brace yourself for suppression, drama, and Haley Atwell in period dress.

Friday April 13th- Rellik (10pm on Cinemax)

This could either be brilliant in a Memento sort of way, or horrible in a hot mess sort of way. Yet another serial killer drama, but the hook is the story is told in reverse (the title is 'killer' backwards. Do you get? Do you?) A strike against it for me is that I don't like knowing who the killer is up front (hence my inability to watch The Fall), but I also appreciate shows that take risks in storytelling so who knows! Maybe they'll kill it (get it?)

Sunday April 22nd - Westworld (9pm on HBO)

Wow this show totally snuck up on me, I know it's been a long time since season 1, but at the same time I don't feel ready for season 2. The first outing of this show had some highs (Jimmi Simpson forever) and some lows (weird convoluted mysteries that weren't as clever as they thought they were). But I'm optimistic that enough time has passed for HBO to iron out the kinks, and there was enough interest in season 1 for me to come back for more. Also the promise of Samurai World.

Wednesday April 25th -The Handmaid's Tale (Hulu)

I am not one of those people who's a stickler for book adaptations to be unyieldingly loyal to the source material. In fact, I prefer an adaptation that is able to run with the theme a bit, or explore the original work in a way only achievable via visual medium. That being said since season one of this show ran out of book to cover, I can't help feeling a bit tentative about season two. Don't get me wrong there was a lot I LOVED about the first season, Reed Morano's first three episodes were beautifully executed, and Elisabeth Moss turned in one of the best performances I have ever seen on television. But there were a few missteps that deviated from the intention of the book that had me a bit worried, and coupled with a very troubling q and a I attended with the white male show runner... I just don't want to get my hopes up too too high. Hopefully though, this will be just as amazing as I want it to be!

And that's it! Not as jam-packed as March, but there is a LOT of high quality programming here. I will admit usually these lists are more aspirational for me than strictly achievable, but I can assure you I absolutely WILL be tuning into ever show here (except if Rellik turns out to be as dumb as it's name). I know it seems like I should be able to get through a lot more TV every month, but what you don't see listed here is that I'm still loyally watching Riverdale and America's Next Top Model and also taking a lot of in between naps.

April Forever,

#Everything I'm watching #everything i'm going to watch #other tv #april #martha writes #tv writing #tv gifs #handmaid's tale #westworld #last og #legion fx #rellik #howard's end #killing eve #phoebe waller-bridge

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bigyack-com · 4 years

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Streaming TV’s Boom Is a Mixed Blessing for Some Hollywood Writers

LOS ANGELES — It seemed like a good deal. At first.Last April, Netflix offered Kay Reindl and her longtime writing partner a substantial sum — in the mid-six figures, Ms. Reindl said — to oversee 10 episodes of a new sci-fi series, “Sentient.” It sounded like a lot of money for what they figured would be less than a year of work.Ms. Reindl and her writing partner, who have worked steadily as TV writers since the 1990s, would be executive producers, instead of staff writers on someone else’s show. That would mean a lot more responsibility and much longer hours, but it seemed worth it. They found office space and hired a few writers.Then came a surprise: they learned that “Sentient” would actually take 18 months from start to finish. When Ms. Reindl did the math, she realized that, under the new timetable, she would be making roughly the same weekly pay as the writers she was overseeing.“It was a very bad day,” Ms. Reindl said.Netflix declined to comment.The rise of streaming has been a blessing and a curse for working writers like Ms. Reindl, who said she and her partner had ultimately left “Sentient” because of creative differences unrelated to the length of the series. On-demand digital video has ushered in the era of Peak TV, meaning there are more shows and more writing jobs than ever. But many of the jobs are not what they used to be in the days before streaming.“All this opportunity is great, but how to navigate it and keep yourself consistently working and making your living has been the challenging part,” said Stu Zicherman, a writer and showrunner whose credits include “The Americans” on FX and HBO’s “Divorce.”When Ms. Reindl got her start, network series had 24 episodes or more a season. The typical TV writer’s schedule looked something like this: Get hired by May or June, write furiously for most of the year, and then take a six-week hiatus before the process started again.The seasonal rhythms that had been in place for TV writers since the days of “I Love Lucy” started to change more than two decades ago, when cable outlets put out 13-episode seasons of shows like HBO’s “The Sopranos” and, later, AMC’s “Mad Men.”Streaming platforms have revised that model further: eight-episode seasons of Netflix’s “Stranger Things” and Disney Plus’s “The Mandalorian”; six-episode seasons of Amazon Prime Video’s “Fleabag”; three- and six-episode batches of Netflix’s “Black Mirror.” Cable has replied in kind, offering fewer than 12-episode runs of shows like “Atlanta” on FX and “Silicon Valley” on HBO.“I think they’re experimenting with the shortest product they can still call a TV series,” said Steve Conrad, the president of Elephant Pictures, a production company in Chicago. “I couldn’t keep this company together if it was fewer than eight, and it’s coming.”In addition to shortening season lengths, the streaming platforms have ignored the school-year-style calendar of television’s network days, with its premieres in the weeks after Labor Day and finales late in the spring. Netflix has served up new seasons of its most-watched program, “Stranger Things,” in July. Apple TV Plus unveiled one of its most-hyped shows, “Little America,” in the middle of January.The rise of streaming has fattened the wallets of superstar writer-producers like Shonda Rhimes and Ryan Murphy, while also giving chances to unproven writers. But the medium’s shorter seasons and unpredictable cadences have made it harder for writers in Hollywood’s middle class to plot out a year’s work in a way that doesn’t leave them nervous when mortgage payments are due.Complicating the issue is that streaming platforms have been known to take more time to make an episode than their network and cable counterparts. For many writers, that meant less money for more hours, and they complained to their union representatives.“Five years ago, it grew from an isolated problem to a dominant problem,” said Chuck Slocum, the assistant executive director of the Writers Guild of America, West. “We had half of our members wake up and realize one day that they’re making half the money that they were making.”The union worked out some protections for its members. Since 2018, studios are sometimes required to pay writers extra when filming runs longer than expected.That change kicked in too late to help Lila Byock, a writer whose credits include HBO’s “The Leftovers” and Hulu’s “Castle Rock.” She said she was hired on a scripted series that she figured would last 10 months. Instead, it took nearly 18 months, which caused her to pass on other writing jobs.“It gets tricky,” Ms. Byock said. “That wasn’t what I had budgeted for two years of my life.”On the flip side, streaming seasons that require a short time commitment — say, eight months — can also wreak havoc on a writer’s schedule. “You’re not being paid by the studio for five months of the year, but that’s not enough time to take on another show,” said Mr. Conrad, of Elephant Pictures.The old TV calendar is not quite dead. Major producers of network shows, like Dick Wolf and Chuck Lorre, still must come up with at least 22 episodes per season of shows like NBC’s “Chicago P.D.” and CBS’s “Young Sheldon.” But with new streaming platforms like NBCUniversal’s Peacock and HBO Max set to start in the spring, the lives of many TV writers are likely to get more chaotic.“I have friends working in network television and it’s like they’re on a different planet,” said Harley Peyton, a writer and co-executive producer of “Project Blue Book,” a History Channel series with 10 episodes a season.He described staff positions on network shows as “the last full-time jobs in this business,” adding that “those jobs are extraordinarily difficult to get.”The 10 established Hollywood writers who discussed the changes in the industry with The New York Times were careful to point out that they were still able to make good money, even amid the digital disruption of their industry. And yet, they said, it is common for veteran writers these days to be paid as if they were rookies.Jonathan Shikora, a Los Angeles lawyer who represents actors and writers, suggested that longtime TV writers were now underpaid. “Should I be getting the same as some new writer whose script I’m rewriting because their work is so green and new and I’m teaching that person?” he asked.The new economy has some writers thinking twice about moving up the ranks to the position of executive producer. “What I’m starting to see is a lot of friends being like, ‘Why would I ever want to be a showrunner?’” Ms. Byock said, referring to the hands-on executive producer in charge of the writers’ room. “If you’re making the same amount you could be making doing a much less stressful job, why wouldn’t you just do that?”Rob Long, once a writer and an executive producer of the long-running NBC sitcom “Cheers,” said he had tried to make allowances for the changes when he was in charge of “Sullivan & Son,” a TBS sitcom.That show had 10 episodes in its first two seasons and 13 in its third, a significant change from the 28-episode final season of “Cheers.” That was fine with the financially secure Mr. Long, who said, “I got to be honest, I thought it was fantastic.” The difficulty came when he was hiring staff writers.“I was making deals with younger writers just starting out,” he said, “and I was doing the math.”It took eight weeks to write the scripts and prepare for shooting. An additional 15 weeks brought the staff to the end of the production. The schedule meant that “Sullivan & Son” would eat up nearly six months of staff writers’ time.Under the terms of their contracts, they had to give priority to “Sullivan & Son,” meaning that, if the show got renewed, they were obligated to go back to it even if they were working on another project.“It was a de facto way of locking you up,” Mr. Long said.So he came up with an informal solution that he has used on other shows since then.“We make a private, handshake deal with our writers,” he said. “We tell them that if you get on another project, or you sell a pilot or something else happens, I will let you out of your contract,” he said.In other words, Mr. Long added, “I promise to fire the writer.” Read the full article

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jodyedgarus · 5 years

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Chiefs-Rams Is The Week 11 Super Bowl — But Probably Not The Actual Super Bowl

There’s a new team atop FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo rankings this week, and it’s the one we discussed in this space last time around — the red-hot New Orleans Saints. Fresh off an impressive victory over the Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans turned around and walloped the Bengals 51-14 in Cincinnati. Based on how they’ve been playing recently, there’s no team more deserving of the No. 1 slot than Dem Saints.

However, New Orleans is also the fourth different team to hold the top spot in Elo so far this year, joining the Patriots, Eagles and Chiefs. That’s tied for the most handoffs of the No. 1 spot through Week 10 of a season since 2002 (when five separate teams held No. 1 to that point in the schedule). So we still don’t have a great sense of who exactly will be meeting up in Atlanta in February. In fact, there’s still a decent chance it might just be the two teams that are scheduled this week for an epic Monday Night Football clash — the Chiefs and Rams.

Both teams sport 9-1 records, and they have similar strengths and weaknesses. According to Pro-Football-Reference.com’s Simple Rating System (SRS) metric, the Chiefs rank second in the league on offense and 19th on defense; the Rams rank third in offense and 14th on defense. K.C. is led by a couple of 23-year-olds: quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who leads the NFL in passing yards, and running back Kareem Hunt, who ranks fourth in rushing. L.A.’s pair are both 24: QB Jared Goff (second in passing yards) and RB Todd Gurley (first in rushing).

A nationally televised matchup between two exciting, young, star-studded teams in opposite conferences is sure to have a Super Bowl feel to it. And our model does give the Chiefs the AFC’s best odds of winning the Super Bowl, while considering the Rams to be the NFC’s second-most likely winner (behind New Orleans). But it also bears remembering that prospective “Super Bowl previews” on the midseason calendar usually don’t predict the actual Super Bowl very well (though they do often come close).

To gather a sample of similarly huge AFC-NFC showdowns from seasons past, I filtered our database of games for ones that:

Happened in Week 5 of a season or later (to give Elo time to “catch up” with how good each team is).

Featured two Top 5 NFL teams at the moment of the game, according to Elo.

Matched up teams from opposite conferences.

Going back to the start of the current NFL playoff format in 1990, there have been 36 regular-season games that could have been considered Super Bowl previews, according to the rules laid out above. Of those, only two — Bills-Giants in December 1990 and 49ers-Chargers in December 1994 — ended up actually foreshadowing the Super Bowl to come. (The Giants flipped their regular-season loss on its head, while the 49ers obliterated the Chargers both times.)

There have been plenty more regular-season games where the eventual Super Bowl combatants met months beforehand — think Patriots-Rams in 2001 or Giants-Patriots in 2007. But few were hyping those as potential Super Bowl previews at the time (even if coaches had their occasional premonitions about meeting up in the postseason). And on the flip side, when it comes to games highlighted for their Super Bowl potential, the exact matchup often finds a way to get derailed over the remainder of the season.

Of those 36 regular-season matchups in our data-set, 23 did contain at least one of the eventual conference champions — so the odds aren’t bad that either K.C. or L.A. will make their way to Atlanta on Feb. 3.

A brief history of regular-season “Super Bowl previews”

NFL games after Week 4 in which both teams ranked among the Top 5 in FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings and were in opposite conferences, since 1990

AFC NFC Season Week Team Elo Rk Made SB? Team Elo Rk Made SB? Won 2018 11 KAN 2 LAR 4 ? 2017 7 NWE 1 ✓ ATL 3 NWE 2016 10 NWE 1 ✓ SEA 3 SEA 2015 11 CIN 4 ARI 3 ARI 2015 8 DEN 3 ✓ GNB 2 DEN 2015 5 CIN 5 SEA 4 CIN 2014 7 DEN 1 SFO 3 DEN 2013 6 NWE 2 NOR 5 NWE 2012 15 NWE 1 SFO 3 ✓ SFO 2010 15 BAL 5 NOR 2 BAL 2009 12 NWE 3 NOR 2 ✓ NOR 2008 9 TEN 2 GNB 5 TEN 2008 8 PIT 3 ✓ NYG 4 NYG 2007 6 NWE 1 ✓ DAL 5 NWE 2006 12 NWE 3 CHI 5 ✓ NWE 2004 9 PIT 4 PHI 1 ✓ PIT 2003 5 IND 5 TAM 1 IND 2002 6 NWE 4 GNB 5 GNB 2001 5 BAL 1 GNB 4 GNB 2000 17 IND 4 MIN 5 IND 1999 8 DEN 5 MIN 2 MIN 1997 16 DEN 3 ✓ SFO 2 SFO 1997 14 KAN 4 SFO 1 KAN 1997 9 NWE 4 GNB 1 ✓ GNB 1996 15 DEN 1 GNB 2 ✓ GNB 1995 17 PIT 4 ✓ GNB 5 GNB 1995 13 KAN 3 DAL 1 ✓ DAL 1995 12 OAK 4 DAL 1 ✓ DAL 1994 15 SDG 4 ✓ SFO 2 ✓ SFO 1993 17 HOU 4 SFO 2 HOU 1993 13 MIA 4 DAL 1 ✓ MIA 1992 7 KAN 4 DAL 5 ✓ DAL 1992 6 KAN 5 PHI 3 KAN 1991 16 KAN 5 SFO 3 SFO 1991 10 HOU 4 WAS 1 ✓ WAS 1990 15 BUF 3 ✓ NYG 2 ✓ BUF 1990 13 BUF 3 ✓ PHI 5 BUF

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Source: pro-Football-Reference.com

Three of the last four midseason Super Bowl previews featured 50 percent of the eventual Super Bowl matchup: New England and Atlanta played at foggy Foxboro in Week 7 last season (itself a Super Bowl rematch), and the Patriots later went to the Super Bowl. Seattle and New England reprised their own earlier Super Bowl matchup in Week 10 of 2016, and the Pats also went to that season’s Super Bowl. And in 2015, the Broncos used a Week 8 win over the Packers as a stepping-stone along their Super Bowl path. The exception in that stretch was Arizona-Cincinnati in Week 11 of 2015 — which sounds like an absurd potential Super Bowl, except that both teams were a combined 15-3 going into the contest, long before an injury to Andy Dalton ruined Cincy’s season.

But if one team tends to emerge from these kinds of games on a championship path, the other usually stalls out well before the Super Bowl. Here’s a breakdown of how often each team in our sample of games ends up making each round of the playoffs, depending on how much playoff success they had:

One of these teams might be special. The other, not so much

How each team in a midseason “Super Bowl preview” game fared, on average, by the level it reached in the playoffs.

Share of teams reaching round Team that had … Wild Card Divisional Conf. Champ Super Bowl More playoff success 100% 97% 75% 58% Less playoff success 78 56 19 6

Source: Pro-Football-Reference.com

In the grand scope of the NFL universe, having slightly better than a coin-flip’s odds to make the divisional round of the playoffs isn’t too bad an outcome. But for a pair of teams coming into a midseason game with Super Bowl aspirations, it is striking how rare it is for both to ultimately make significant playoff runs. Instead, one usually is left behind along the road to the championship. And, in case you were wondering, the winner of the Super Bowl preview advanced deeper into the postseason just 60 percent of the time, so it’s tough to say which team will be which, regardless of who wins the “preview.”

Either way, this Rams-Chiefs game will treat the fans to some points. The over-under on the game is 63½ points — one of the highest point totals in NFL history. And according to our matchup quality metric (determined by the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings in each game), this is also the best game of the entire NFL season so far. The only factor holding this particular Super Bowl preview back might be game importance — i.e., how likely it is to swing either team’s odds of making the playoffs. Both teams have all but clinched playoff spots, so K.C.-L.A. drops to sixth place among Week 11 games once we account for a mix of matchup importance and quality:

The best matchups of Week 11

Week 11 games by ranking of average Elo ratings (using the harmonic mean) plus ranking of total potential swing for the two teams’ playoff chances, according to FiveThirtyEight’s NFL predictions

Playoff % Playoff % Team A Current Avg. Chg* Team B Current Avg. Chg* Total Change Game Quality MIN 62.9% ±17.5 CHI 70.1% ±17.0 34.5 1565 PHI 26.4 9.2 NO 98.5 1.6 10.8 1634 DAL 25.5 12.5 ATL 21.7 11.3 23.8 1535 CIN 34.2 17.2 BAL 24.4 13.2 30.4 1511 GB 23.1 13.0 SEA 29.1 12.7 25.6 1515 KC 99.9 0.1 LAR >99.9 <0.1 0.1 1661 PIT 92.3 5.8 JAX 2.5 2.3 8.0 1547 CAR 70.8 13.9 DET 3.6 3.4 17.2 1525 TEN 62.5 17.7 IND 11.8 9.8 27.5 1506 WSH 66.4 12.9 HOU 70.1 10.1 22.9 1507 LAC 91.9 5.8 DEN 1.4 1.7 7.5 1519 TB 1.7 1.5 NYG 0.2 0.1 1.6 1398 ARI 0.1 0.1 OAK <0.1 <0.1 0.1 1354

Game quality is the harmonic mean of the Elo ratings for the two teams in a given matchup.

*Average change is weighted by the likelihood of a win or loss. (Ties are excluded.)

Source: ESPN

But even if it won’t change the playoff race or give us a sneak peek at Super Bowl LIII, the Rams and Chiefs’ tilt should be fun. And once it’s over, we can look ahead to Week 16’s Saints-Steelers battle for yet another potential Super Bowl preview … that probably won’t contain both conference champs, either.

FiveThirtyEight vs. the readers

You can check out FiveThirtyEight’s Elo ratings in our NFL prediction interactive, which simulates the rest of the season 100,000 times, to track how likely each team is to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl. On top of that, you can also pick against the Elo algorithm in our prediction game. You’ll be playing for bragging rights, and the chance to climb up our giant leaderboard.

Using data from the game, here are the games in which Elo made its best — and worst — predictions against the reader picks last week:

Elo’s dumbest (and smartest) picks of Week 10

Average difference between points won by readers and by Elo in Week 10 matchups in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL prediction game

OUR PREDICTION (ELO) READERS’ PREDICTION PICK WIN PROB. PICK WIN PROB. Result READERS’ NET PTS SF 67% SF 62% NYG 27, SF 23 +4.7

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GB 61 GB 69 GB 31, MIA 12 +3.9

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TB 54 WSH 51 WSH 16, TB 3 +3.8

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NO 64 NO 71 NO 51, CIN 14 +2.6

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LAC 76 LAC 82 LAC 20, OAK 6 +1.2

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LAR 69 LAR 74 LAR 36, SEA 31 +1.1

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ATL 78 ATL 76 CLE 28, ATL 16 +0.8

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CHI 65 CHI 67 CHI 34, DET 22 -0.1

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KC 88 KC 93 KC 26, ARI 14 -0.1

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PHI 74 PHI 73 DAL 27, PHI 20 -0.5

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NYJ 63 NYJ 64 BUF 41, NYJ 10 -2.9

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IND 56 IND 52 IND 29, JAX 26 -5.0

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PIT 61 PIT 57 PIT 52, CAR 21 -5.4

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NE 63 NE 74 TEN 34, NE 10 -16.6

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Home teams are in bold.

The scoring system is nonlinear, so readers’ average points don’t necessarily match the number of points that would be given to the average reader prediction.

Another week, another loss for the readers against Elo, which now has beaten the field in nine of 10 weeks so far this season. This time, it was the Patriots’ surprising road loss to the Tennessee Titans that ended up costing readers the whole week — on average, they lost 16.6 points in that matchup, in a week where they lost by 12.5 total points. However, even though the readers have followed up their lone win of the season in Week 7 with three more losses in a row, they are getting better: In the season’s first six weeks, they lost by an average of 38.9 points per week; over the past three weeks, they’ve only lost by an average of 8.6 points.

Among those readers who aren’t mired in a losing streak, congrats to David Ryborz, who topped all identified users in Week 10 with 148.6 points, and to Brian Hake, who continues to lead the season-long leaderboard with 808.4 points. Thanks to everyone who has been playing — and if you haven’t, be sure to get in on the action! You can make picks now and still try your luck against Elo, even if you haven’t played yet.

Check out our latest NFL predictions.

from News About Sports https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/chiefs-rams-is-the-week-11-super-bowl-but-probably-not-the-actual-super-bowl/

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Week 6 NFL score predictions – Guide to best games, fantasy outlook, more

We’re previewing the Week 6 NFL slate with rating predictions for every sport from our Nation reporters, what to look at for in fantasy, Soccer Energy Index projections from ESPN Stats & Info, and way more.

Thursday Evening Soccer consequence: PHI 34, NYG 13 Groups with byes in Week 6: NO, DET

SUNDAY’S GAMES

Level unfold: CIN -2.5 | Matchup high quality: 68.5 (of 100)

Jeremy Fowler’s decide: The Steelers discovered three issues in final week’s blowout of Atlanta — an improved protection, the Ben Roethlisberger-Antonio Brown connection and their general edge. Bunch these elements with a five-game successful streak in Paul Brown Stadium, and the Steelers ought to get their first divisional win. Steelers 27, Bengals 21

Atone for what’s occurring heading into Week 6: • Rating high 25 free brokers in 2019 • Energy Rankings: Stacking up schedules » • Predicting NFL’s subsequent $100 million offers • Contained in the NFL’s offensive explosion • Rating NFL’s largest risers, fallers » Extra NFL protection »

Katherine Terrell’s decide: The Bengals have misplaced the previous six conferences to the Steelers, so latest historical past would say to not decide Cincinnati. Nevertheless, a lot of the staff from the 2015 playoff sport that started the dropping streak is gone, and as a substitute is a staff that averages 30.6 factors per sport. Whereas the Bengals do not match up nicely towards the Steelers’ line of defense or operating again James Conner, they’ve a turnover-forcing protection and an offense that may preserve tempo. Bengals 27, Steelers 24

FPI win projection: CIN, 52.9 %. That is solely the fifth time (playoffs included) for the reason that begin of the 2008 season that the Bengals have been FPI favorites towards Pittsburgh. However they’re solely 1-Four in these video games with the lone win coming in 2013.

What to look at for in fantasy: The Steelers have a secondary missing in depth, a weak spot that Andy Dalton can exploit — and exploit he’ll, contemplating his remarkably good chemistry with slot man Tyler Boyd up to now. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Bengals off to sizzling begin, however Steelers sport looms massive … Roethlisberger: Conner has earned taking part in time … Watt’s ‘blackout’ sack celebration an indication protection is working

Level unfold: MIN -10.5 | Matchup high quality: 45.Four (of 100)

Josh Weinfuss’ decide: The Cardinals’ offense is ranked final or second-to-last within the league in 11 classes. Whereas the Vikings haven’t got an incredible protection, it will likely be sufficient to decelerate rookie Josh Rosen and the Arizona offense. Arizona boasts the 31st-ranked dashing offense whereas the Vikings have the 13th-ranked dashing protection. The way in which Kirk Cousins has been taking part in — fifth within the league in completion proportion, second in yards and seventh in touchdowns — the Cardinals may discover themselves abandoning the run by the second half. Vikings 31, Cardinals 17

ESPN Chalk has you coated with all of your NFL Week 6 betting wants:

Week 6 early look Eliminator picksATS standings

Courtney Cronin’s decide: The explosive numbers Cousins, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs have put up within the first 5 weeks present the Vikings can depend on their passing sport to hold them the place the operating sport will not. Towards the 31st-ranked dashing protection, Minnesota may look to tee up the run if Dalvin Cook dinner is wholesome sufficient to hold the load. Even when he is not, the Vikings can nonetheless depend on their display screen sport to generate yards and transfer the offense downfield rapidly towards a protection that enables 391 yards per sport. Vikings 23, Cardinals 18

FPI win projection: MIN, 84.Four %. The final time the Vikings had been an 80-plus % favourite was after they had been upset by the Payments and their rookie QB in Week Three. Might the Cardinals make it two massive upsets within the span of three weeks?

What to look at for in fantasy: The Vikings have had an exceedingly troublesome time holding opposing tight ends in test, and Ricky Seals-Jones has been routinely getting appears to be like on deeper throws. His 10.6-yard common depth of goal is fifth-highest amongst tight ends. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: The philosophical pass-rusher: Weatherly filling void for Vikings … Cousins is at his finest when strain is cranked up … Rosen a favourite amongst teammates, who say ‘he isn’t bizarre’

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Steve Younger sees Jameis Winston’s return going nicely after a bye week towards a nasty Falcons protection in Week 6.

Level unfold: ATL -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 45.2 (of 100)

Jenna Laine’s decide: By 4 video games, the Bucs have given up 445.Eight yards of offense per sport, whereas the Falcons’ 55 % third-down conversion proportion is worst within the league. The Bucs are giving up 34.Eight factors a sport, essentially the most within the league, with Falcons proper behind them at 32.6. The distinction is that regardless of their early hiccups, the Falcons have averaged 30 factors a sport the previous two weeks. That is an enormous query mark for Tampa Bay with Jameis Winston beginning his first sport coming off suspension. Falcons 34, Bucs 28

Vaughn McClure’s decide: The Falcons are on a three-game dropping streak however have received three straight over the Buccaneers, averaging 33.7 factors in these wins. At residence this season, the Falcons are averaging 34.7 factors per sport and are 11-of-13 within the pink zone. So even when the depleted protection struggles some towards Winston and the Bucs’ explosive weapons, anticipate Matt Ryan and the offense to place up sufficient factors to interrupt the skid. Falcons 42, Bucs 28

FPI win projection: ATL, 65.1 %. Anticipate each QBs to mild it up on Sunday. The Buccaneers have allowed the best opposing Complete QBR of any staff this 12 months with an 83.Three, and Atlanta has allowed the third worst at 64.6.

What to look at for in fantasy: In Keanu Neal’s first two seasons, the Falcons’ protection allowed a completion fee of 64.9 %. With out Neal this season, that quantity is as much as 69.Eight %. Do not be stunned to see Jameis Winston to publish greater than 300 yards and a number of scores. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Trufant is aware of he cannot ‘half-step’ in battle with Evans … Falcons’ new precedence: Hold Ryan upright … Buccaneers put solo highlight on Winston in promotional video

Level unfold: WSH -1 | Matchup high quality: 43.Four (of 100)

Who wins Steelers-Bengals, Chargers-Browns, Bears-Dolphins, Panthers-Redskins and Chiefs-Patriots?

“I selfishly hoped for him that he would go to the Chiefs,” Patrick Mahomes’ faculty coach says. So did Andy Reid. This is how the proper duo got here to be.

Which groups have had the largest bump from 2017 to 2018? Soccer Outsiders dives into the information to current the highest six.

2 Associated

David Newton’s decide: The Panthers are getting again their defensive chief (Thomas Davis) and offensive chief (Greg Olsen). As quarterback Cam Newton stated, “The band is again collectively.” The emotional increase from that and Washington coming off a Monday evening loss ought to give Carolina an edge, even on the highway. That Newton has a profession file of Four-Zero with a passer score of 115.Four towards Washington additionally bodes nicely for Carolina. Panthers 31, Redskins 21

John Keim’s decide: There isn’t any motive after Monday evening to anticipate Washington to win at residence vs. an excellent staff. Washington struggles after a win beneath coach Jay Gruden, so the loss to New Orleans was predictable. However they’re 14-6-1 beneath him after a loss prior to now three years. And quarterback Alex Smith is 9-Four after a loss since 2011, when he is coming off a sport the place his passer score is 69 or beneath — because it was Monday. It is a defining sport for Washington. Redskins 24, Panthers 23

FPI win projection: WSH, 55.Zero %. If the Redskins need any probability to make the playoffs in a wide-open NFC East, a win over Carolina would go a good distance. The Redskins are slight favorites with FPI over the subsequent two weeks, however after that, they’re simply favored to win two of their ultimate 10 video games.

What to look at for in fantasy: Do you have to bench Jordan Reed following his one-catch effort on Monday Evening Soccer? No. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Bradberry, as a substitute of Norman, quietly makes Panthers higher … Davis: Returning to Panthers helps deal with household tragedy

Level unfold: HOU -Eight.5 | Matchup high quality: 41.Three (of 100)

Mike Rodak’s decide: The Texans have blitzed opposing quarterbacks the eighth most this season, which spells bother for rookie Josh Allen, who has an NFL-worst 1.6 passer score and 21.9 completion proportion when going through strain. The Payments tried to masks that weak spot in a win final Sunday over Tennessee by operating the ball on the best proportion of performs of any NFL staff this season, however that shall be a taller job towards a Texans protection that’s fourth-best towards the run. Texans 20, Payments 7

Sarah Barshop’s decide: Houston’s protection has proven enchancment — particularly within the secondary — the previous two weeks and has an excellent probability to take a step ahead on Sunday towards the Payments’ league-worst passing offense. The Payments are averaging simply 121.Eight passing yards per sport and have allowed an NFL-leading 22 sacks this season, an space during which this protection ought to find a way take benefit. Texans 21, Payments 14

FPI win projection: HOU, 78.2 %. The Payments’ offensive effectivity is at present 16.9, the bottom within the league this season. Solely 4 groups have posted a decrease offensive effectivity in a full season since monitoring started in 2006, and none have since 2012.

What to look at for in fantasy: Anticipate Tre’Davious White to be glued to DeAndre Hopkins on most of his Week 6 routes. Hopkins ought to be downgraded, and search for Will Fuller V (vs. Phillip Gaines) and Keke Coutee (vs. Taron Johnson) to choose up the slack. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Payments win a throwback, however finally Allen should throw … Regardless of no early picks, Texans draft class making early affect … Watson says he is tremendous to play Sunday regardless of weeks of exhausting hits

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Steve Younger thinks the robust Chargers protection will give Baker Mayfield a troublesome day if he isn’t affected person.

Level unfold: LAC -1 | Matchup high quality: 40.Three (of 100)

Eric D. Williams’ decide: The Chargers doubtless will get again tackles Russell Okung (groin) and Joe Barksdale (knee) this week, so Philip Rivers ought to have enough safety towards an improved Cleveland entrance 4 to make performs down the sector. Browns defensive coordinator Gregg Williams likes to carry strain, however Rivers has a league-best 110.1 passer score when pressured. Defensively, the Bolts will do sufficient to restrict Baker Mayfield and a Browns offense that has allowed 21 sacks by way of 5 video games, second most within the league. Chargers 24, Browns 20

Pat McManamon’s decide: There isn’t any doubting the excellence of Rivers, who has accomplished 70 % of his passes with 13 touchdowns and solely two interceptions. The Browns’ protection leads the league with 15 pressured turnovers, although, so one thing might have to provide. It would give in favor of the Browns. Browns 20, Chargers 17

FPI win projection: LAC, 59.Eight %. A Chargers win coupled with a Chiefs loss can open up the division race. Ought to that occur, the Chargers would transfer as much as an 18 % probability to take the AFC West. FPI at present offers them a 12 % probability.

What to look at for in fantasy: Matt Bowen thinks David Njoku is a TE1 in Week 6 and expects him to see extra pink zone appears to be like with Baker Mayfield slinging it. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: James displaying traits of an elite security … How fatherhood made Allen a greater participant … Resetting AFC North: Browns contenders? … Browns ‘not dangerous’? Mayfield believed from the beginning

Level unfold: SEA -Three | Matchup high quality: 39.5 (of 100)

Paul Gutierrez’s decide: The Raiders have the fewest QB pressures within the league with Professional Soccer Focus crediting Oakland with 46. The Raiders are additionally tied for final within the NFL with the Giants with six sacks. So how do the Raiders determine to include the ultra-elusive Russell Wilson at Wembley Stadium? Will probably be a protracted day for Oakland if Wilson runs wild, however former teammate Bruce Irvin ought to know a factor or two about Wilson’s tendencies. Nonetheless, if Marshawn Lynch doesn’t run it in from the 1-yard line late for a Raiders win, then Sebastian Janikowski will kick a area aim on the ultimate gun to raise Seattle, proper? Seahawks 19, Raiders 17

Brady Henderson’s decide: Since Week Three, Seattle has run the ball higher than any staff (a league-high 474 dashing yards), has zero turnovers and has six takeaways on protection. That is an excellent motive to love the Seahawks’ probabilities towards the Raiders. Oakland is 28th in run protection, and Derek Carr has thrown essentially the most interceptions (eight). The Seahawks should not have a lot bother coming residence from London with a win and a Three-Three file heading into their bye. Seahawks 27, Raiders 17

FPI win projection: SEA, 65.7 %. Seattle might already be too far behind the Rams to fret concerning the NFC West, however it’s nonetheless within the thick of the race for a wild-card slot. A win would get Seattle to a 42 % probability, whereas a loss drops them to 23 %.

What to look at for in fantasy: The Raiders have allowed a minimum of 26 dashing makes an attempt in 4 of their 5 video games. Assuming the Seahawks hit that mark, you possibly can predict a minimum of 10 rushes for Mike Davis, making him an excellent guess for a minimum of 45 dashing yards. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Seahawks’ run sport is rolling, however the place’s first-rounder Penny? … Pink-eye Raiders: No want for acclimation in Gruden’s journey plans … What’s with not Marshawn Lynch the ball on the 1-yard line?

Level unfold: CHI -Three | Matchup high quality: 34.6 (of 100)

Jeff Dickerson’s decide: The Dolphins are in desperation mode after dropping two straight, however they’re going to have a tough time transferring the ball towards the Bears’ protection, which leads the league in fewest dashing yards allowed (64.Zero per sport). The Bears additionally common Four.5 sacks per sport — finest within the NFL. The Dolphins have accidents on their offensive line, and Ryan Tannehill struggles with ball safety. Search for the Bears to win three in a row for the primary time for the reason that begin of the 2013 season. Bears 27, Dolphins 17

Cameron Wolfe’s decide: Miami hasn’t misplaced at residence but, however there is not a lot motive for confidence that it’ll preserve the streak going. It’ll be a nightmare holding off Khalil Mack and the Bears’ entrance, and the Dolphins’ banged-up line will power them to depend on their brief passing sport. Tannehill has led Miami to only 10 factors over his previous 21 drives (two video games), and it’ll be even harder towards arguably the NFL’s finest protection. Bears 20, Dolphins 13

FPI win projection: CHI, 63.7 %. Not solely do the Bears have essentially the most environment friendly protection up to now, they’re doing it with out having to blitz to get sacks. The Bears have the bottom fee of sending 5 or extra pass-rushers whereas sacking the opposing QB on over 11 % of dropbacks.

What to look at for in fantasy: It ought to be robust sledding for Kenyan Drake towards the Bears’ protection, which ranks first in KC Joyner’s GBR (27.1), GBYPA (6.2) and GBP (1.7) metrics and in rush protection. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Trubisky: Bears teammates will not let him play with out arm sleeve … Greater than mediocre? Dolphins’ offense makes it exhausting to consider … Hurting Dolphins attempting to piece collectively plan for Mack

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Darren Woodson and Tedy Bruschi agree that Sam Darnold’s Jets will get one of the best of Andrew Luck’s Colts on Sunday at MetLife Stadium.

Level unfold: NYJ -2.5 | Matchup high quality: 29.2 (of 100)

Mike Wells’ decide: The Jets are coming off a 344-yard dashing efficiency towards Denver in Week 5. The Colts are 18th within the NFL in stopping the run, giving up 106.Eight yards a sport. Andrew Luck heads into Sunday main the NFL in passing makes an attempt (245) and completions (163). The Colts have had an opportunity to win every sport within the fourth quarter in all 4 losses this season. This shall be a detailed one, too, with the Colts discovering a strategy to pull it out. Colts 34, Jets 30

Wealthy Cimini’s decide: The Jets try to win back-to-back video games for the primary time since final October. Robby Anderson says this sport “will outline us as a staff.” Translation: They’re in bother if they can not beat a 1-Four staff at residence. The Jets ought to prevail so long as rookie Sam Darnold stays affected person towards the Colts’ Tampa 2 protection. Jets 24, Colts 23

FPI win projection: IND, 50.Four %. After Week Three, Luck’s common move was touring slightly below 5.5 yards downfield, however in his previous two video games, it has jumped as much as Eight.Four yards, a lot nearer to his profession common of Eight.6 yards.

What to look at for in fantasy: The Colts’ protection has the 12th-highest strain fee and sixth-highest sack fee within the league. Darnold has accomplished simply 42 % of his passes with a paltry 1.55 yards per dropback when pressured, charges that rank nicely beneath league common. This makes the Colts D/ST an intriguing Week 6 streamer. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Shoulder drawback? Luck letting it rip at file tempo … Anderson opens as much as Darnold … and will get open (twice) … St. Patrick’s Day blockbuster appears to be like like win for Jets — and Colts … Anderson residing massive as ‘Goose’ thriller widens

Level unfold: LAR -7 | Matchup high quality: 65.Four (of 100)

Lindsey Thiry’s decide: The Rams anticipate their beginning offense shall be intact, with receivers Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp anticipated to clear concussion protocol and play towards the Broncos. However the Rams’ playbook — and their explosive offense averaging 34.6 factors per sport — might nonetheless be altered in Denver, with freezing temperatures and snow showers within the forecast. Rams 28, Broncos 14

Jeff Legwold’s decide: For a protection that simply surrendered 323 yards dashing and 34 factors to the Jets, this won’t be the matchup the Broncos had been hoping for. However as coach Vance Joseph put it: “No one’s stopped them and now it is our flip to attempt.” The Rams lead the league in complete offense, are third in scoring offense and have not been held to fewer than 33 factors in a sport all season. If Von Miller and the protection haven’t got their finest effort of the season and the offense cannot maintain the ball, this one might get ugly. Rams 31, Broncos 23

FPI win projection: LAR, 76.Eight %. The Rams have the best offensive effectivity (93.9) by any staff by way of 5 video games in a season since our monitoring started in 2006. And the Denver protection just isn’t what it as soon as was after a troublesome begin to the season, rating 27th within the league in defensive effectivity.

What to look at for in fantasy: The Rams rank 28th in each GBYPA (Eight.7) and GBP (Three.9), and rank 21st in KC Joyner’s run-defense grades. The Broncos have the fourth-most favorable run-blocking matchup in Week 6, so fee Phillip Lindsay as an RB2 and Royce Freeman as an excellent flex possibility. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: The right way to cease the Rams? Observe these 5 keys … Holding blocks, telling Goff what to do: Contained in the Rams OL … Broncos have to make groups pay for promoting out to cease Miller

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Darren Woodson and Tedy Bruschi see the Ravens leaning on their protection to cause them to a win over the Tennessee Titans.

Level unfold: BAL -2.5 | Matchup high quality: 59.Eight (of 100)

Jamison Hensley’s decide: The Ravens’ protection goes to point out former coordinator Dean Pees, now on the Titans’ sidelines, that it is simply as sturdy with out him. It is a lopsided matchup with Baltimore and the NFL’s top-scoring protection going towards the Titans, who’re averaging 16 offensive factors per sport (third worst within the NFL). Ravens 20, Titans 9

Turron Davenport’s decide: The Titans are a significantly better staff at Nissan Stadium, having received 12 of the previous 13 residence video games. All of their video games this season have been determined by seven factors or fewer. Tennessee has to discover a strategy to preserve Joe Flacco and John Brown from connecting on deep photographs. Each groups are stable defensively, so anticipate one other shut sport with the Titans popping out on high in a area aim fest. Titans 17, Ravens 12

FPI win projection: BAL, 57.1 %. This sport could possibly be a defensive battle, because the Ravens and Titans have allowed the second- and third-lowest Complete QBR within the league this season. Nevertheless, the Ravens are the favourite are ranked 17th in offensive effectivity in contrast with 31st for the Titans.

What to look at for in fantasy: Receivers aligned throughout from Malcolm Butler have posted a league-high 94 fantasy factors. It has been a tough begin to Michael Crabtree’s time in Baltimore, however a 21 % goal share and this matchup retains him within the WR3 dialogue. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Can Ravens win with Flacco throwing 700 passes this 12 months? … Harbaugh hints at going operating again by committee … ‘Outdated man’ Dean Pees at residence in Nashville working with former pupil

Level unfold: JAX -Three | Matchup high quality: 56.Four (of 100)

Mike DiRocco’s decide: It is a good matchup for the Jaguars’ protection, as a result of Dak Prescott has struggled throwing the ball, surpassing 200 yards solely seven occasions prior to now 13 video games and failing to throw for a TD in seven video games over that span. Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye ought to have little bother with the Cowboys’ receivers, so the Jags can promote out to cease Ezekiel Elliott. Jaguars 13, Cowboys 7

Todd Archer’s decide: First one to 6 factors wins? That is considerably of a joke, however factors shall be at a premium Sunday and never as a result of these groups function sturdy defenses. In addition they have flawed offenses, too. The Cowboys cannot make sufficient performs within the passing sport to attain, whereas the Jaguars will not have Leonard Fournette, and quarterback Blake Bortles is befuddling. The Cowboys have been a distinct staff at residence, successful each video games partly due to massive performs within the passing sport reminiscent of 64-yarder to Tavon Austin towards Giants and a 38-yarder to Ezekiel Elliott towards Detroit. The Jaguars’ protection, nonetheless, is best than these of New York and Detroit. Jaguars 20, Cowboys 13

FPI win projection: DAL, 56.1 %. With no Fournette, the Jaguars will as soon as once more go as Bortles goes. Not surprisingly, Bortles has posted an 81 Complete QBR within the Jaguars’ three wins this season and a 21 Complete QBR of their two losses.

What to look at for in fantasy: Bortles has posted his highest yards per dropback (10.5) and highest QBR (93.Three) when focusing on Dede Westbrook among the many staff’s wideouts. Dallas has struggled to include receivers thus far, ceding 14.Three yards per reception to them (sixth most within the league). Learn extra.

In case you missed it: Jaguars’ job on Sunday fairly clear: Cease Elliott … No Zeke? No Ramsey? What if 2016 draft fell in a different way for Cowboys, Jags? … New Jaguars RB Charles preferrred reduction for Yeldon … Garrett’s future in Dallas on the road as persistence wanes

Level unfold: NE -Three.5 | Matchup high quality: 72.1 (of 100)

Adam Teicher’s decide: The Chiefs scored 83 factors of their previous two regular-season matchups with the Patriots, and now with Patrick Mahomes have much more offensive functionality. In addition they know easy methods to defend Tom Brady, who has one landing move, two interceptions and a passer score of 66.1 in these two video games. Search for these developments to proceed. Chiefs 33, Patriots 28

Mike Reiss’ decide: Historical past says the Patriots ought to be in an excellent place, as under-25 beginning quarterbacks are a mixed Zero-23 on the highway within the common season towards New England since 2001. Tom Brady (41) is 18 years, 45 days older than Patrick Mahomes (23), which in line with Elias Sports activities Bureau analysis makes this the most important age distinction between opposing beginning quarterbacks since Matt Hasselbeck confronted Jameis Winston in 2015 (they had been 18 years, 103 days aside). The Patriots ought to have the ability to transfer the ball and rating factors on the Chiefs’ protection. Patriots 41, Chiefs 27

FPI win projection: NE, 66.6 %. This sport has the best FPI matchup high quality of the week and will go a good distance towards figuring out who will get the highest AFC seed within the playoffs. The Chiefs at present have a 51 % probability to earn the highest seed, and that might improve to 71 % with a win on Sunday, in line with FPI. A Patriots win would improve their probabilities from 18 % to 26 %, whereas a loss would drop them to only Three %.

What to look at for in fantasy: Invoice Belichick will use the Pats’ newfound blocking prowess to ruthlessly exploit the Chiefs’ dashing protection, which ranks 32nd in dashing yards allowed earlier than first defensive contact (YBCT, Three.Four), GBR (55.6) and GBP (Four.6). That is excellent news for Sony Michel and James White. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: ‘Turbo Andy’ obtained his man: Contained in the Reid-Mahomes masterpiece … How the Chiefs and Patriots have introduced faculty offenses to the NFL … Gronk 2.Zero? Kelce would not see it that approach … It is Michel’s time to shine as Patriots operating again

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Tedy Bruschi and Darren Woodson each see Aaron Rodgers and the Packers taking good care of the 49ers with out Jimmy Garoppolo.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Level unfold: GB -9.5 | Matchup high quality: 47.Zero (of 100)

Nick Wagoner’s decide: The banged-up 49ers are once more exhausting to mission due to their many harm points, and a highway journey to face Aaron Rodgers would not appear to be the treatment to what ails them. Rodgers has not misplaced in his previous 9 residence begins, finishing 67.7 % of his passes for two,470 yards and 22 touchdowns with simply three interceptions as he prepares to go towards a 49ers protection with a league-low three takeaways. With out some massive performs from the protection, all indicators level towards the Niners extending their league-high October dropping streak to 12. Packers 31, 49ers 17

Rob Demovsky’s decide: The Packers have their bye subsequent week adopted by a brutal stretch that features video games on the Rams and Patriots after which on the Seahawks and Vikings sandwiched round a house sport towards the Dolphins. They wanted final week’s sport on the Lions and began so slowly on offense that they did not get it. They’re aiming for a quick begin towards a struggling 49ers staff to make themselves really feel higher. This could possibly be the entire offensive sport they’re on the lookout for. Packers 37, 49ers 17

FPI win projection: GB, 78.6 %. The 49ers rank within the backside half of the league in offensive, defensive and particular groups effectivity this season, and they’re ranked second worst within the NFL in general effectivity because of this.

What to look at for in fantasy: Ensure that Aaron Jones is on a roster in your league as a result of when the staff lastly wises up and offers him 20 touches, it will likely be too late. Learn extra.

In case you missed it: What ails Packers’ offense: Rodgers’ knee or different issue? … Beathard’s subsequent step? Slicing down on expensive turnovers … 49ers’ harm points making progress a troublesome course of

The post Week 6 NFL score predictions – Guide to best games, fantasy outlook, more appeared first on Breakig News.

source https://www.20minute.info/week-6-nfl-score-predictions-guide-to-best-games-fantasy-outlook-more/

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snb914 · 6 years

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Recapping the 2018 ALDS & NLDS

With the Red Sox beating the Yankees 4-1 last night in Game 4 to punch the final ticket into the League Championship Series, it brought a somewhat uneventful Division Series to an end. None of the four series’ went to a Game 5 and two ended with 3-game sweeps.

After both wild card games ended up being exciting, it looked as if at least three of the division series’ would be just as exciting, if not more. Instead, the division series round ended up being rather quick. Here is a short recap of each ALDS and NLDS Series:

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

The marquee match-up of them all had to be the Yankees and the Red Sox, arguably the longest and strongest sports rivalry to ever exist. It was no surprise to see all their games starting in prime time for maximum exposure. The Yankees historically have been the more successful team, but it was the Red Sox that took command when the series went to the Bronx and came out victorious.

The Red Sox took Game 1 5-4 behind a J.D. Martinez 3-run home run and 5.1 solid innings from ace pitcher Chris Sale. In Game 2, Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez clubbed two home runs, including a 479 ft blast into Fenway Park’s Green Monster in the 7th inning to put a nail in the coffin. Fellow Yankee slugger Aaron Judge homered as well for the second straight game off Red Sox starter David Price, whose postseason struggles and overall struggles against the Yankees both continued. Price pitched so poorly that during the Game 3 player introductions at Yankee Stadium, Price was the only Red Sox player to get cheered instead of booed. Who would’ve ever thought Yankee fans could possibly cheer for someone wearing a Red Sox uniform?

As the series shifted to the Bronx, so did the momentum of the series. The Yankees sent their own ace Luis Severino onto the mound for Game 3 and he imploded by allowing six runs and seven hits in 3.0 innings pitched before the Yankees went to the bullpen. The bullpen didn’t do much better and the Red Sox ended up routing their chief rival 16-1 in what became the worst postseason loss in Yankees history. It got so out of hand that backup catcher Austin Romine ended up becoming just the second position player to ever pitch in a postseason game. Romine would end up allowing a 2-run home run to Red Sox utility infielder Brock Holt, which gave Holt a cycle. Never before had a player hit for the cycle (as in collecting a single, double, triple and home run all in the same game) in the postseason, but the fact that Holt homered off of a position player should not discredit what may end up being the greatest game of Holt’s life.

The Yankees sent veteran southpaw C.C. Sabathia to the mound in Game 4, hoping to extend their season and force a Game 5. However, Sabathia ended up allowing three runs in 5.0 innings and the Yankees were down 4-1 heading into the bottom of the 9th inning against Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel. The Yankees ended up loading the bases before Neil Walker’s hit by pitch forced in the Yankees’ second run of the game. Sanchez then hit a long fly ball to left field that fell just short of the fence and resulted in a sacrifice fly to make the score 4-3. But after rookie second baseman Gleyber Torres grounded out, the series was over and the Sox will host the Astros starting on Saturday in the ALCS.

How did the Astros get there? Their path was a bit easier to say the least.

Cleveland Indians vs Houston Astros

This series was the one I was most excited about. Two elite AL powerhouses with similar strengths facing off against each other. However, it didn’t end up being much of a series as the Astros swept the Indians and outscored them 21-6 over three games.

The Astros took Game 1 7-2 behind four solo home runs and 5.1 solid innings from ace Justin Verlander, who out-dueled the Tribe’s 2-time Cy Young Award winner Corey Kluber. Gerrit Cole then took the ball in Game 2 for the defending champions and threw 7.0 innings of 1-run ball, with his only mistake being a solo home run from Indians star shortstop Francisco Lindor in the 3rd inning. But Astros left fielder Marwin Gonzalez hit a 2-run double in the 6th inning and third baseman Alex Bregman added a solo home run of his own to bring the score to a 3-1 final.

The series moved to Cleveland for Game 3, but the result was still the same. In fact, it was actually worse if anything because the Astros blew out the Indians 11-3 to complete the sweep. Outfielder and 2017 postseason hero George Springer smacked two home runs and shortstop Carlos Correa added a 3-run home run in the 9th inning to blow the game open.

What could’ve been an exciting series ended up being a quick sweep for the Astros, who are looking to become the first back-to-back champion since the 1998-2000 Yankees’ threepeat.

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers

This series to many fans would look like a series that would feature some 8-6 games or even a 12-10 game with how hitter-friendly both stadiums are, plus the deep lineups each team has.

But only one team ended up actually hitting in this series and it was not the Rockies, who managed to score only two runs the entire series. Both of their runs occurred in the top of the 9th in Game 1, which was by far the most intriguing game of the three. After a Christian Yelich two-run home run gave the Brewers a 2-0 lead, the Rockies clawed back in the 9th to tie the score thanks to a Charlie Blackmon single and a Nolan Arenado sacrifice fly. The game went into extra innings before Brewers third baseman Mike Moustakas hit a walk-off single to win the game. The Brew Crew then shut out the Rockies 4-0 in Game 2 and 6-0 in Game 3, which was at Coors Field. The Rockies had never been shutout in their three previous playoff appearances, but ended up getting shut out twice in the least opportune of times.

The Brewers, meanwhile are hoping to advance to the World Series for the first time since 1982, which is the only Fall Classic they have ever been a part of. They were also in the American League at the time, which shows just how long it has been since the Brewers have done anything notably significant as a team. But with the way they have been hitting, their next opponent will certainly have their work cut out.

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

And last but not least, we come to the Braves and Dodgers. As the diehard Mets fan I am, I wanted nothing more this postseason than to see the Braves lose, even though watching Ronald Acuna and Ozzie Albies is fun because of how talented they are at such young ages. The Braves were not even expected to contend this season, as the Nationals were heavily favored to win the division and the Mets were also expected to compete. However, both teams ended up underachieving thanks to injuries and in the Mets’ case, the bats going quiet for over three months. That helped the Braves win the division for the first time since 2013. The Dodgers meanwhile were coming off an NL pennant last season and a bitter 7-game series loss to the Astros in the 2017 World Series. But most of their core players are still there, shortstop Manny Machado was acquired to fill the void of Corey Seager’s season-ending injury and first baseman Max Muncy came out of nowhere to contribute 35 home runs in a breakout season.

The Dodgers got off to a fast start in Game 1 by blasting three home runs, including a three-run shot by Muncy in the 2nd inning en route to a 6-0 shutout victory. Hyun-Jin Ryu threw 7.0 scoreless innings for the win. Game 2 featured Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw doing what he does best: winning games. Kershaw threw 8.0 shutout innings and Machado and catcher Yasmani Grandal both homered as the Dodgers won again 3-0. They became the first team since the 1921 Yankees to win the first two games of a postseason series with consecutive shutouts.

The series moved to Atlanta for Game 3 and the Braves showed some life by winning 6-5. Acuna, the 20-year old star rookie outfielder who is favored to win the NL Rookie of the Year Award made his mark as a Brave by crushing a grand slam in the 2nd inning. After the Dodgers climbed back to tie the game at 5-5, Braves veteran first baseman Freddie Freeman hit a solo home run in the 6th inning that proved to be the difference. Rookie pitcher Touki Toussaint picked up the win.

The Braves, like the Yankees later on were hoping to win Game 4 and force a Game 5 back in Los Angeles. The Dodgers though had something else in mind. After the Braves took a 2-1 lead on a Kurt Suzuki pinch-hit two-run single in the 4th inning, David Freese delivered a pinch-hit two-run single of his own in the 6th inning to give the Dodgers a 3-2 lead. Machado in the 7th inning added a three-run homer that put the series to rest as the Dodgers bullpen allowed just two hits combined.

The Dodgers are making their third consecutive trip to the National League Championship Series, but unlike the past two years, they will not be facing the Cubs again. Instead, they will have to deal with a red-hot Brewers team that has won 11 straight games dating back to the regular season.

The National League Championship Series will begin on Friday at 8 PM EST on Fox Sports 1 and the American League Championship Series will start Saturday at 8 PM EST on TBS. We may end up seeing a rematch of the 2017 World Series, or a match-up that few if any would have predicted back in April. Time will tell how the rest of the season goes, but both series should be exciting and not necessarily quick sweeps like the majority of the division series’.

Tonight and tomorrow will be quiet, but enjoy all the baseball this weekend!

#sports baseball postseason playoffs redsox yankees astros indians brewers rockies braves dodgers

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