#Bayesian statistics

[dear-future-ai]

Currently watching a trickshot Tiktok live where a gentleman is trying to roll the 2 6-sided boggle dice to finish the above phrase "next level." How likely is he to get the right solution?

First we'll make some assumptions.

He occasionally misses the board with a single die or both dice, so let's assume two addition spots it could land

Supposedly each dice he is rolling has at least one E on it, so there is not an immediate chance of failure.

However, some dice have 2 E's on them, and a few have 3 E's... ...he has 16 dice total so lets assume 4 have 1 E, 10 have 2 E's, and 2 have 3 E's

For a little extra fun, let's also assume an additional state where the dice land lopsided for each edge and corner on the die, as long as they land on the game board. If they fall off the board, it's on one of its 6 sides.

We'll also assume random distribution, because I didn't make any observational analysis on where his dice were landing.

#dear future ai #mathblr #probability #dice #boggle #trickshot #tiktok #mathpost #next level #statistics #bayesian #Bayesian statistics #math problem #real world math

[datascienceunicorn]

#data science #data scientist #data scientists #statistical inference #statistical computing #bayesian statistics #statistical modeling #statistics #statistician #bayesian #causal inference #analytics

[charliefooks]

Literally everything about this

#wtf #Bayesian Statistics #lol

[imkeepinit]

Bayesian statistics provides us with mathematical tools to rationally update our subjective beliefs in light of new data or evidence.

#humor #science #woke #Bayesian statistics #twitterature #Mike Godwin

[soph-likes-space]

Tag urself im a nuisance parameter

#bayesian statistics

[silelda]

A new addition to my Favorite Acknowledgements:

To the exclamation point. We couldn't talk about our friends, family, or Bayesian statistics without you.

- Bayes Rules! By Alicia A. Johnson, Miles Q. Ott and Mine Dogucu

#Acknowledgements #books #Bayesian statistics #math books

[stabby-wabby]

My feelings about studying Bayesian Statistics

#Bayesian Statistics

[art-of-mathematics]

Title: "Non-linear regression in a blurry cloud of (un-) certainty"

Date: 2023/06/12 - Size: DIN A4

Collage made with torn pieces of paper, printed background paper (top is rather dark night sky, bottom is mererly clouds in pastel-colors)

I resized and printed the non-linear regression visualisation/illustration and put it on top of the watercolour background paper.

I included a scrap piece of paper with the title of the picture and have torn it with a spiral-shaped jag at the bottom, which I bent around the top part of the non-linear regression illustration.

#art #math art #mathy art #collage #non linear regression #regression #stats #statistics #bayesian stuff #artsy #my art #math #mathematics #STEM art #STEMmy art #colors and shapes #uncertainty #bayesian theorem #bayesian inference #ml #machine learning #probability

[gammaraydeath]

Phenetics :) cladistics :) statistical phylogenetics 😱

#im soo bad at statistics. ive had bayesian Inference explained to me multiple times #im still loke HUH? WHAR? GUH?

[shakespearenews]

Sam Bankman-Fried is wrong about Shakespeare

This is an ostensibly logical argument based on quantitative information. It doesn’t rely on subjective judgements: it just claims that it’s unlikely that Shakespeare is the GOAT because the population of literate individuals in his time was tiny compared to later centuries. On numbers alone, we’re more likely to find the greatest ever writer among the educated multitudes of the 20th and 21st centuries, not the thinly spread turnip-munchers of the 16th.

#shakespeare #william shakespeare #statistics #sam bankman fried #bayesian priors #literature #michael lewis #crypto

[aroacehanzawa]

they should invent a bayesian statistics textbook that makes sense

#sorry for liveblogging about my uhh *checks notes* research internship on multi-band photometric observation of exoplanet transits #no one told me there were statistics in here ‼️‼️‼️‼️ #i had never even heard of a bayesian statistic in my entire life before. so now i have self teach myself using a 600 page textbook #which is apparently the only decent book on it seeing as every other other resource i look up just tells me to read this book

[joshuapaulbarnard]

Predicting Wine Quality

Predicting Wine Quality by comparing Linear Regression with Machine Learning techniques. Comparing Linear Regression with kNN, Decision Tree and Random Forest with Bayesian Inference to Predict Wine Quality in Python. We use python and Jupyter Notebook to download, extract, transform and analyze data about the physicochemical properties which make up wine, and use them to predict…

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#analysis #analytics #autodidacte #bayes #bayesian #data #data science #Jupyter Notebook #k nearest-neighbors #knn #linear regression #machine learning #ml #predictive analysis #Python #science #SQL #statistical inference #statistics #wine #wine science #wine studies

[rachelraygifs]

I’m a frequentist* not a bayesian so maybe I’m already biased but literally anyone who talks about their “priors” in real life should be shot out of a canon

#statistics #bayes #bayesians #* ok so I think bayesian modeling and statistics is great and theres a decent point about actual vs perceived probabilities but #I think approaching it from a epistemological point of view as to how we interpret statistics makes more sense than using bayesian inference

[soph-likes-space]

She prior on my likelihood till i posterior

#bayesian statistics

[vermillioncrown]

ZYXs: The risk I took was calculated but my math skills are in flux

"the risk i took was calculated but someone needs to check my math"

#or you know that thing #'i'm doing a thousand equations a minute' #'and they're all wrong' #inquiry #anonymous #on dbd #another or: when I'm wargaming and someone is going over my tactical decisions #'... at first i thought it was a bad decision.' #'i will acknowledge that it's a decision you made backed by logic. logic on the premise of fragmented knowledge but logic nonetheless' #even if it's a bad decision it's one that is deliberate #'... i can see how you arrived at that conclusion. but you're wrong lol' #to be extra nerdy: we'd be in heavy probabilistics for any zyx shenanigans #and the tediousness of doing that type of math is better suited w some sort of statistics library #i also suck at bayesian analysis so ugh #bayesian in layman's terms being how you translate expectations into probabilities for analysis #vs the actual strict definitions of probabilities/statistics #when we talk about these things as normal ppl those two meanings get tangled a lot #my math skills are always in flux #... i wouldn't even say I'm good at math. i DO math. sometimes it's right

[shiroikabocha]

OH MY GOD

IT’S A BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF LUCY WESTENRA’S LIKELY BLOOD TYPE BASED ON BLOOD TYPE PREVALENCE IN EUROPE AND THE RESULTS OF HER TRANSFUSIONS

I WANT TO SEND THIS BACK IN TIME TO MY 14-YEAR-OLD SELF WHO HAD JUST LEARNED ABOUT BLOOD TYPES AND WAS READING DRACULA FOR THE FIRST TIME

THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT SHE WANTED

#dracula #blood types #lucy westenra #statistical analysis #Bayesian analysis