#as predicted - there were many more!

[screambirdscreaming]

At the bus stop one time there was a gaggle of preschoolers waiting to catch the bus for a field trip day, and someone walked past with a couple of friendly little dogs, to great general delight.

But after a little bit, the dogs were getting overwhelmed, and the preschoolers were gently coaxed to back off so the person with the dogs could continue on. Specifically, one of the preschool teachers said, "Sometimes, when you're small, being surrounded by big people can be a bit scary and overwhelming. Even if they are friendly."

This was recieved as great wisdom: after all, the preschoolers were also small, and understood how scary and overwhelming big people could be! And the dogs were indeed even smaller than the preschoolers, so it made sense.

What was funny and charming was that, upon absorbing and reflecting on this wisdom, they all felt the need to tell it to one another. In tones of great insight, they turned to one another and said, "Did you know? Sometimes when you are small, being surrounded by big people can be scary and overwhelming! Even if they are friendly!" Back and forth, without any particular concern that they were all saying the same thing. Have reached comprehension of an insight, it must be shared!

I must say that this behavior is less charming in tumblr users than in preschoolers. Not least because tumblr users, having gained a little analytical skill to misuse, insist on Summarizing and Generalizing and Unifying the insights they repeat, quickly turning any interesting new information into formulaic dogmatic mush.

#i made the mistake of looking in the notes of the beach sand post i reblogged to see if anyone else had interesting comments #And the rate at which it went from like #1) person states with moderate confidence an opinion based on their personal observations #2) multiple people reply with “wow thats so insightful!” (aka it aligns with my preconceived notions of how things work) #3) someone else adds additional personal observations which are not really relevant but which can be absorbed into the narrative #4) people start outright stating the underlying belief on which this bias is constructed as if it were a fresh insight #5) general derisive attitude towards people who haven't seen the Obviously Correct solution to this complex real world problem yet #It's very....... #It's not like it's a high stakes post but it's such a microcosm of the whole dogmatic phenomenon #Also this js a more specific gripe to My Field or w/e #But the degree to which people react to the problems caused by the whole “Control of Nature” era of engineering #with this equally reductive “Nature will Fix Everything” type of attitude #Is sooooo frustrating. #Yes a great many of our current problems could have been avoided if we had not made massive changes to ecosystem processes on the assumptio #That they were simple and we understood them. And that they would respond in predictable ways. #the simplicity in retrospect of “wow we Should Not have done that” does not mean that they are simple to undo! #You can't go back in time. You can't turn back the clock on chaotic processes #Which is. Almost every process ever. #Restoration is hard! Returning to previous regimes of sediment or flooding or fire is tricky and full of foibles! #Moving towards a future which doesn't suck as much even if the past cant be recreated is also uncertain and difficult! #It's frustrating to see people act all high and mighty about how they Respect Nature unlike whoever is making all these decisions #When their understanding of the natural processes in question is AS simplistic as the people who caused the whole mess back in 1910 or w/e #Like I'm not saying there's not bad interests standing in the way of functional restoration on all levels #That's very much a fight to be fought. #But looking at that fight-in-process and saying “wow none of you Respect Nature like me uwu let nature fix it” #Is. #Ugh.

[kittoforos]

a lot of Posts floating around now about chatgpt in college, lxds. some things people are saying are true of course, but I work in at a large public university in the usa and I will set aside my cool laissez faire tech accelerationist cynicism to be totally honest for a moment:

the argument that ‘essay writing is a super specific skill that doesn’t matter in professional life so you should disregard those courses and just cheat to get the degree’ is very concerning to me, even as someone who doesn’t give a fuck about cheating per se, bc we don’t teach ‘essay writing’ in reading comprehension courses. or at least decent instructors don’t. I don’t. all that stuff about it being a cultural code is like, true above basic courses (so like, in grad school and even advanced undergrad courses yes it’s about *how* you write with all the attendant bullshit) but in that kind of remedial textual reasoning class in undergrad that’s required to get the basic ba degree, *nobody* writes in the prestige cultural style. the task in question is to be able to parse text and understand and construct logical arguments, and to be able to tell when an argument has something wrong with it, and to explain this clearly to other people. which you will need all the time forever in this hashtag society no matter what your job is, so you can tell when institutions are taking you for a ride. so like. …. :/

#of course the real trick is that reading comprehension should be taught in school not university #a ba degree should not be the barrier to a decent job. that’s the only solution imo #but students being dismissive of courses they are required to take because they’ve demonstrated that they cannot understand what they read #and using some predictive text engine to get out of. learning to read #is also like #incredibly hilariously bad for society #imho #i worry that having an easy out of learning this skill makes younger people even more vulnerable to being lied to and fucked over #like mine is not a meritocratic argument here #the cognitive disability access argument is more legit but then it’s like. see point 1 #probably in my ideal world not that many people would go to university bc you wouldn’t need to #people could do what they were really suited to and not beat themselves against the wall for Years trying to scrape by #with a minimum qualification for something they’re not cut out to do #and live well #and we can say ‘well we don’t live in that world’ but like. we could #ros.txt

[semercury]

.

#stuff sarah says #predictable i miss my therapist post #i miss being able to tell him my worries and know i was 100% safe #bc he knew how my brain worked like. clinically #he knew how to talk me down from the ledges bc he knew exactly what the angle and type of rock the ledges were made of #no one else can do it like he did #i want to tell him the things im worried about that i can barely put into words #bc im afraid if i tried with other people it would just be A Bad Look #and they wouldnt get where im coming from or the nearly 30 years of history that led me to be Like This #i can only grapple so much with it in my own head #theres too many layers. its so messy. and thats just the internal stuff. forget the external or how other people would react #bc thats a big part of it too. im so so so scared of others #i just would like to know everything will be okay in the end and that ill be secure #my hands tremble around everything bc im so afraid itll break in my palms. but i think the shaking causes them to break more often than not #but you know like 🤪🤙 😗✌️ and all that

[whiskingskin]

Yo guess who just finished A Court Of Thorns and Roses

#yes im going to be insufferable #yES i spent all day reading a romance book abt fairies and YEA it made me hard #SO WHAT #anyway holy fuck yall #i need to make another post there aint gonna be any room #i say lowkey 6/10. writing felt young and bare #though im a fruit and prefer reading more flowery metaphor filled confusing ass psychological stuff #it was a great book and ive already purchased the other ones #but it was also sort of predictable and a smidge TOOOOO cheesy for me at times #perhaps i need to get out of my own head though- i did read it in one mf sitting lmaooo #i have so many words and literally no friends that like to read books #actually considering joining a book club because every book ive read has changed me in some way shape or form #[this one reawakened my previous love for stockholm type romance- and sent me down a rabbit hole of rereading my old faves!!] #i dont understand how 5 more books were made though. tbh only had 1 MAYBE 2 burning questions/desire to read feelings at the end of the book #it wraps up neatly and stands beautifully as a solo book i suppose #but i miss the dedication to a series!! let me be confused and scared and so mad the next book isnt in the library rn! #TOTAL FURB SCORE: 6/10 furbs

[carcarrot]

im just going to go off in the tags for my review but last nights concert was crazy, entertaining, and crazily entertaining. while they did not play the rhythm thief clearly my rhythm, if i ever had any, was stolen and ron and russell were easily able to see my lack of clapping and dancing skills. when will those 70+ year old men stop beating me at everything

#you would think clapping on the beat is easy. not when youre on a level of excitement you havent been since you were a kid #in all seriousness my sarcastic tone is covering the fact that i really did enjoy it all so much. now on to the analysis #we'll get right to the heart of the matter: russell was sweating three songs in and well. there are many benefits to being in the front row #im really really sorry. but. good god i may have been looking at his neck a lot of the time #also it may have been during the first song but i feel like it was during another one where he jumped (beaver o'lindy?) #and my eyebrow raise and look of 👁️👄👁️ when his shirt rode up was very palpable. i was very close . #i think russ looked at me a couple times near the start but it was more of a dfjfljkda dont look at me im staring at u like 😍 moment for me #im just so self conscious it hurts! but i was smiling my head off the entire time while also not knowing how to stand #the front row was standing the entire time it was wild #also i think the moment i predicted did happen of ron giving me a look like 🤨 for knowing all the lyrics to one of their more obscure songs #but i could be wrong. #russell was bouncing off the walls as usual but good god to see it in person. and he sounded incredible!!!! #i also could not resist bouncing a few times. its contagious. plus you gotta do it during music that you can dance to #good gosh what a fun time. #at the end of the concert someone was like 'i could see you looking with such love' like yes very true. good to know it was obvious #can i just say again russell was sooo. its a different thing altogether seeing him like 6 feet away in the Real World #did i mention how sweaty he was. ok review almost over #still no eaten by the monster of love but hard to complain with such a great show #spars #sparks tour 2023 spoilers

[procrastinationaccount]

Foaming at the mouth thinking about Harrow quoting Annabel Lee to Gideon

#her unfortunate memory for poetry strikes again #The one piece of the old world that John really gave her #'I was a child and she was a child/In this kingdom by the sea/But we loved with a love that was more than love-/I and my Annabel Lee' #'But our love it was stronger by far than the love/Of those who were older than we-/Of many far wiser than we-' #'And neither the angels in Heaven above/Nor the demons down under the sea' #'Can ever dissever my soul from the soul/Of the beautiful Annabel Lee' #I know it was originally supposed to apply to Alecto (especially with the tomb line) #But it applies even more to her and mega-dead Gideon #harrowhark nonagesimus #gideon nav #griddlehark #harrow the ninth my beloved #Alecto the Ninth predictions

[cyatzura]

my sister and i managed to finish our months' long endeavour to rank all 103 openings in our anime/donghua playlist, here are my top 30

#i just love making lists and rankings 🫶🏾🫶🏾 #although this is more of tier list i guess #values were assigned up to 10 based on opening music + video + subjective vibes associated #very predictable if you talked even once about anime ops with me but it gets more interesting further down i guess #spyair is the clear winner they make very good cheesy anime ops 🫶🏾 #surprising might be free op 1 unless you are my spotify wrapped 2021 i just love that whole op #this year the zom 100 op 2nd vers by kana boon was so entertaining to me the song the visuals it's so fun #number 1 easily digimon op 1 in german it was THAT anime op in my age range so many can still sing it word for word 🫶🏾 #very self indulgent post if you are still reading this ilu mwahhh

[iamacanal]

#there were so many examples I could pick even just from this one account but this one is such a perfect example of the universal cooing #over cooper that I predicted more than 18 months ago based on nothing more than a comforting sense of britishness versus dirty foreignness #try wanking yourselves into a coma this time #and yet we've already had a two week campaign from his media mates to get him the palace job

[ilikedetectives]

.

#i cannot believe a job I applied to exactly a month ago now wants to interview me last minute #the PAY and benefits are AMAZING and some travels involve #now i'm kicking myself but sadly nobody can predict these things... #once again that brand new gaming rig level pay though *CRIES* #I was insecure for a while because there were many rejections #but then when offers came there were like 4 and now another interview #I turned down 3 offers with 90%-almost complete remote job that pays 5% more for this one (two with dream organizations) #because the job itself is what I wanna do and I'll learn a lot #but man the pay and benefits and job security of the one that calls today though I wanna cry #I know interviewing doesn't guarantee a job but I have a 95% chance of success if I make it to the interview phase given my track records #personal #colin cries #update: I accepted the interview for tmr #because I can't say no to this it's a RARE chance #i took a 3-hr assessment including math to apply for this job I will see it through #i didn't solve (x7y2 + 6xy)(x3y3 - 2x7y4) for over half an hour to not go to the interview

[mifunebooty]

Really funny this white dude in my speech class group i remember he kept making eye contact with me and i was like does he like me um and turns out he did that with everybody white people weird

#cherry says #anyways fun inside GOD THAT SEMESTER WAS STICKY my mom could not take unemployment well #me i got used to the cycle of looking for jobs getting nothing then stop looking bc my mom said dont worry about it ill pay the bills #i did that over and over and with film jobs id just look at texas film commission sometimes just to look #but i myself got used to the job hunting so i felt zoned out from it yet #that area felt as much a daydream as my wanting to go make a movie i didnt think i wanted to tell myself that #especially because i still was doing acting looking for acting #but yeah there was times my mom would make violent fits she would wonder what was happening #i think those times revealed a lot of the weird complexity of our relationship after high school #i didnt pity her but i did feel like i owed her something i believed so many things she told me #i feel like she wanted me to see her work as a sacrifice so i must do this and that but it was way deeper #parental love became a fucking duty to show it that was just it i did what she said #to at the same time comfort myself when i had no job and maybe even to comfort myself for being scared #i think tbh i need to face that past action that i was scared i was scared of reality even if it was a reality she talked of #i was scared of growing up and didnt wanna think about it i was scared of the future in 2 months when class ended #so maybe my mom with no job suddenly presented the risks we were all taking #maybe it made me more scared of what was to be on the outside #somebody who put fear in my head who said dont worry u study i work and that was gone #perhaps i shouldve taken that opportunity to realize NOTHING LASTS. #YOUR MOTHER WHO ALWAYS MADE IT SOUND LIKE THE WORLD WAS CONTROLLED AND PREDICTED BY HER IS AS VULNERABLE AS YOU NOTHING LASTS #but i didnt i instead became the punching bag again the quiet good girl and kept on thats a lot to swallow even more

[mooshrems]

i need to try and draw benni and drake omg their designs are just so cool

#when drake called him over for a food break !!! super nice #ALSO MORE RAMBLING HERE BUT OMG THE TRUST OMEGA HAS IN HUNTER. #this episode was just so cool. literally i love how omega is getting bolder #ALSO WRECKER’S ‘we never miss.’ I KNOW YOU WERE THINKING ABOUT CROSSHAIR #AND TECH THE PREVIOUS EPISODE ​‘if the shot is not accurate’ I DARE YOU OH YM GOD #oh my goddhdb . so many crosshair hints and throwbacks #AND AND AND WRECKER LOOKING AT LULA AND HUGGING GONKY #nah because i needed the batch to realise the whole. cid situation is roughly the same as mokko and how they both treat their #how they both treat their teams ? #next episode being called metamorphosis could mean so many things #WAIT . hunter doesnt know about the warning about cid and only wrecker tech and omega do #im predicting tech would tell hunter the minute cid gives them some mission OR they somewhat fail on a mission again the next few eps ? #enough sorry #the bad batch #the bad batch spoilers #tbb #tbb spoilers

[upsidedowngrass]

what i love SO much abt stones ability to see the future is that the way theyre written implies that there is No One Future, but that there are hundreds and thousands, but only they know what leads to what, so subsequently, they are the only one that can put bunches of diff possibilities into action

#hfjone #hfjone stone #realistically stone can prob see quite literally infinite futures #but i think they prob focus in on more realistic ones #but like. when theyre tryna take amelias notes? they look like they genuinely think theres a possibility that she may let them have them #but infinite possibilities still has to account for the fact that people can do anything anytime #like. when they run between teams? theyre checking for stuff. and 'i know everything' would mean they have to already know #unless! they are weighing options #focusing their foresight on specific possibilities #maybe this is common knowledge and unremarkable #but i LOVE this kind of seeing the future #and it adds a lot of complexity to stone! #yeah they put MANY events into motion with almost 100% precision #but thats prob WHY they had to be so vague. there were so many ways things couldv gone wrong #so they had to center it on options that made rverything less likely to end horribly #(or as horribly) #i dont think they predicted everything exactly when they wrote the notes. but i think they knew #as they were writing the notes #what possibile outcomes their actions could lead to #and they had to lead liam in the most all encompassing way possible #since they knew it was highly likely that theyd be eliminated before theyd ever be able to fully explain #anyway #hfjone spoilers #fun fact liam and amelia are favorites but also i REALLY really like stone #they dont have much screentime but they have SO much personality

[picory]

ancient sheikah tech is constantly on my mind... there's much i want to say about it that i haven't already but my mind is so SCRAMBLED. it's really fun to think about this stuff though. no other media has really made me this obsessed with its worldbuilding, i think (as flawed as it may be at times). i get so worked up over this lol !

#i knew it... i knew that botw/totk would take over my mind all summer. i predict that this will last several more months #i started playing on 13th of june... it's august now. i've played 135 hours so far. still half of the game not completed #reaaaaaaaaaaallllyyyyy taking my time #well... i say half. but I'm not exactly sure. maybe a bit less than that #how many shrines are there? i've done 86 of 'em so far #there were 120 shrines in botw so im gonna assume it's somewhere close to that number #still gotta save the gorons and zora and lurelin villagers... #quacks

[bandori-garupa-facts]

the next event banner featuring tae and most likely a kasumi 5 star... this changes a lot what the hell.

#general mod posts #if anything now then saaya is most likely the collab card #i don't really see arisa or rimi getting the collab card honestly #this also means hagumi will probably get the collab card too since this is the second vocalist/guitarist event and i doubt they'd do a thir #i'm not sure about kaoru/kanon since takiraana is also guitar/drummer; like yea+ #3rd/5th lineup vs 2nd/4th lineup in the band but still. idk if it will be kaokanon event; like yea kokoro fes v3 but i wouldn't say its 100 #likewise they could also just fuck up the rotation and subvert everyone's expectations since hhw is due for 4 5 stars+ #or one of them could get a 5 star twice. i'd say this is kokoro (because they only give fucks to hhw's 3rd years)+ #but kaoru and kanon also only have a single post 6th anniv 5 star so its hard to say #this also probably makes my pasupare prediction right since i think otherwise people were predicting tae/rei christmas and i don't think it #CAN be anyone else; yukina is 99% getting the collab; kanon has way too many opportunities for a different card to get it; ras probably not #since their card count has been frequent + it would mean pareo gets a second lim since shes so due; harohapi already has a christmas lim; + #morfonica is the only other likely one but next morfonica banner is likely touko and she has a collab lim; everyone else has gotten rotatio #nothing else changes in a legitimate way btw #also regarding the polls: most people think it's full-vocalist (which is deconfirmed now because of kasumi's newest card more than ran's) #but yea whatever. discussion

[eatember]

-

#not me just realizing that disability income IS actually adjusted for inflation every year #like you know that discussion with boomers anout how much college costs now? #and how #with inflation #college should cost less but it's many many times more expensive that inflation can possibly justify? #and the post w the old taco bell recipts #and the post about what housing and rent should cost with inflation but don't #we get like. 800 a month. #like it's still low. #but i think with the normal rate of inflation like. were we SUPPOSED to be able to live on 800 a month??? #was like...1k a reasonable predicted living wage and things are just That artificially inflated?? #like it would still be a low wage. but still.

[lhrry]

x

#tbh over years we’ve had SO many moments where we were like oh yeah so louis is bringing F up and they’re ramping it up again to end it #so so many times some of which are even more recent like the walls era #so i’ve been repeatedly saying that i’d like to think that’s what they’re doing now with the interviews #and i can guess a few scenarios as to how they’d go about it all now (although i did expect them to keep eleanor around at least for a #while after bbg ends so i’m really curious to see how they’re going to work with that one #+ what’s going to happen with it in general bc last time i checked she was still following him) #so i’m really keeping my expectations low because we literally have been there #but there is sth happening for sure and i want so desperately to think it’s good #the checkered outfits of HL that were complementary as well and we even predicted it are sending me #(also they seem really in tune with the fandom rn and idk if these are coincidences but it’s fun) #the way they’ve both been so happy especially since the time around Amsterdam:) is sending me as well #like they both have been glowing recently and louis wore blue sun and the postshow song was a thousand years today like???? ok you sap #and the interviews and pap pics were so weird and i still dont know whether i’m sold on it being only bc of the tickets #so anyway i do think sth is happening and i am sideeyeing the august 4 date a bit more intensely now skmsk #or well the 7s lately i have also been thinking about the 7s sksmsk #but it will be interesting to see what happens #(and whether anything at all #but i think it will at least in connection to E because that’s hardly a glitch) #and i really really am wishing hoping praying for the best despite having been in this situation so many times because #he deserves to start off lt2 promo with a clean slate so much