#tori and bobby smith

[countingandsnarkingon]

Going by this exchange under Kelly Jo’s announcement of Baby Smith #5 it sounds like Tori is due after Josie. Given that the announcement didn’t provide either the sex of the baby or a name I’m going to guess that she is still very early. But, since it seems she’s due after Josie her due date range is between mid March to early July. Though again since we were not provided the information that usually comes with smith announcements I’d say she’s due June/July 2024

#Tori and Bobby smith #Baby Smith 5 #due date speculation

[duggarbatesfan]

Bates Family Wedding Anniversaries Decemeber

Katie and Travis Clark: December 3rd 2021: 1 year

Zach and Whitney Bates: December 14th 2013: 9 years

Tori and Bobby Smith: December 16th 2017: 5 years

Gil and Kelly-Jo Bates: December 19th 1987: 35 years

#katie and travis clark #zach and whitney bates #tori and bobby smith #gil and kelly-jo bates #clark family #bates family #smith family #1 year #9 years #5 years #35 years #wedding anniversaries

[duggarsnarkerorwhatever]

*me cooking and vibing to Demi Lovato*

*checks tumblr*

TORI’S HAD HER BABY!! (Dk why I’m not excited probably as Cambree Layne is a Leo just like the boss *me*)

#cambree layne #tori and bobby #Tori and Bobby smith

[spurgie-cousin]

Tori still chugging away w/ the baby making

How do we feel about.....Cambree?

#tori smith #bobby smith #fundie instagram

[duggardata]

When can we expect another Tori-Bobby post? Do you think they'll have one late next year to reach 5 under 5?

Quick Update on Tori + Bobby.

Annoyingly, Tumblr ate Cambree's "Welcome to The World" Post, so that's why it wasn't posted. Maybe one day I'll rewrite it, but for now I'm happy to answer re: When To Expect Smith #5.

Based on their Child Spacings, to date, Tori + Bobby's [Unadjusted] Procreative Pace (PP) is 454 Days (15 Months). Counting 454 Days from Cambree's Birth, you'd get October 23, 2023 for Smith–Bates #5's DOB. They'd have "5 Under 5" for 17 Days, until Kade turned 5 Years Old on November 9th. Given their past data, they'd probably announce the pregnancy on May 29, 2023.

However, this isn't when the Predictor thinks Smith #5 will be born, since Tori isn't <Age 25. The Predictor starts adjusting for Maternal Age at Age 25, so her Procreative Pace (PP) is adjusted accordingly. Currently, across all Predictor Families, mothers Age 25—29.99 are 1.1927x slower than mothers <Age 25. Tori fits in that age range, so we multiply her 454–Day pace by 1.1927, creating an Age–Adjusted Procreative Pace (AAPP) of 541 Days (17.8 Months). Counting 541 Days from Cambree's Birth (on August 2, 2022), we get Smith #5's Projected DOB of January 25, 2024. They wouldn't have "5 Under 5," but they would have "5 Age 5 and Under" for 9.5 Months. Given their past data, the Pregnancy Announcement can be expected on September 1, 2023, if the DOB is January 25th.

Tori's Raw PP (of 454 Days) is the 4th Fastest, overall; she's trailing Gracie Etbauer (366 Days), Courtney Rogers (407 Days), and Nurie Keller (414 Days). Kelly Bates and Michelle Duggar had Raw PPs of 456 and 491 Days, respectively. Kendra (Caldwell) Duggar's Raw PP is 483 Days.

As for current Age–Adjusted PP, Tori's 5th, overall. She's outpaced only by Gracie Etbauer (366 Days; <Age 25), Nurie Keller (414 Days; <Age 25), Courtney Rogers (483 Days; Age 35—39.99), and Kendra Duggar (484 Days, Tied w/ Courtney; <Age 25). She's also "sort of" outpaced by Hannah (Reber) Keller (478 Days) and Katie Clark (496 Days), both <Age 25; however, their AAPPs are based entirely on #1 and the 2nd Child Multiplier, so it's much more speculative.

Anyway you slice it, Tori has an incredible pace. If she maintains it, even more incredible.

ETA: Tori + Bobby's ESOQ is now 16 Children.

#tori and bobby #smith 5

[fundiepredictions]

Happy anniversary

Tori and Bobby Smith (Bates) celebrate their 6th anniversary today.

Since their weddingday they became parents to Kade (5), Kolter (3), Charlotte (2) and Cambree (1). Tori is currently expecting their 5th child.

#fundie #anniversary #tori&bobby #bates #smith

[fundiebabynamebible]

Cambree Layne Smith Name Analysis

Tori fired up the baby canon again! She and Bobby announced they were expecting baby 4, a girl, on 9th May 2022. Very little else was said until the birth announcement on 5th August. Baby Cambree Layne arrived on 2nd August 2022 weighing 5lbs 2oz.

Cambree has not entered the top 1000 baby names since records began in 1900. The meaning of Cambree is 'the people'

Cambree took her mother's middle name of Layne, meaning 'path', has had slightly more success, but only very recently. It entered the top 1000 girl names in 2020 at position 926. 2021 saw 332 Laynes born with is clinching the 828th spot. Maybe Tori is a trendsetter.

Layne has enjoyed much more success as a boy's name. It entered the top 1000 in 1957 at #967. It rose through the 6 and 700s over the following 8 years. 192 Laynes were born in 1959 and earnt its highest position to date at #562. Then the decline began; it fell to #807 by 1965. 6 years later in 1970 it left the top 1000 at #869. That is not the end of the story. 1994 saw somewhat of a rejuvenation when Layne re-entered the top 1000 boy names in #926 position. In 1995, the year of Tori's birth, it jumped to #717. It has remained strong in the 6 and 700s during the past 25 years, and in 2021 429 male Laynes were born, earning it #640 in the statistics.

#fundie #bates family #fundie baby #smith family #tori and bobby #baby girl #better get this posted before Tori announces another pregnancy #name analysis #cambree smith #smith 4

[obsessedwithduggars]

Cambree Layne Smith was born August 2nd!

Congrats Tori and Bobby!!

#bates family #bates et al #bobby and tori smith #cambree layne smith #birth announcement

[wtffundiefamilies]

Tori and Bobby are really gunning to pass Kelly and Gil, huh?  Four kids so young, I have no idea how they do it.  

Congrats to Abbie and John as well!  

And Nathan and Esther I guess.  I pity any kid Nathan Bates raises.  Moreso than the rest I mean.

#Tori Bates Smith #Bobby Smith #Abbie Burnett Duggar #John David Duggar #Nathan Bates #Esther Keyes Bates #bates family #duggar family #burnett family #smith family #keyes family

[fundie-predictions]

Working on predictions for Tori and Bobby Bates-Smith’s baby girl now. Should hopefully be up in the next couple of days. Want to hurry since they typically announce the name before birth.

#fundie #fundie pregnancy #pregnancy #fundie predictions #bates family #tori and bobby #baby girl #smith 4 #august 2022

[bates-family-agenda]

Tori and pregnancy speculation.

From Josie's story. These is defenetly Tori sitting by Bobby. Well, after 3 kids i look like these all the time, but its Tori so it could be either way.

#bates family agenda #bates family #tori smith #pregnancy speculation #tori and Bobby

[countingandsnarkingon]

“This weekend we celebrated five years of marriage, and got pregnant with baby #5” I’m kidding but, maybe we’ll look back on this and it won’t be a joke

#tori and bobby smith

[marlinspirkhall]

Songs which contain the secret:

Just by Radiohead

Yes by Coldplay

Hush by Deep Purple

Crucify by Tori Amos

For My Lover by Tracy Chapman

Waterloo Sunset by The Kinks

Songs which don't know they contain the secret:

Broken Hearted Melody by Sarah Vaughan

Whipping Post by The Allman Brothers

SW by Blonde Redhead

Semi-Automatic by O Mer

Lent by Autoheart

Pissing In A River by Patti Smith

Songs which are waiting for you to tell them:

Mess by Ben Folds

A Distorted Reality Is A Necessity To Be Free (demo version) by Elliott Smith

Drop The Pilot by Joan Armatrading

You've Got The Love by Florence + The Machine

Songs which are still searching for it:

42 by Coldplay

Hotel California by The Eagles

Jigsaw Falling Into Place by Radiohead

Blood Makes Noise by Suzanne Vega

Worried About Ray by The Hoosiers

Songs which wish they knew it:

Kill V. Maim by Grimes

TALES OF DOMINICA by Lil Nas X

They ache for it:

Pulaski At Night by Andrew Bird

I Think I'm Gonna Kill Myself by Elton John

Songs which once knew it, but then the secret changed:

Bohemian Rhapsody by Queen

Feeling Good by Nina Simone

Pavlov's Bell by Aimee Mann

Songs which are just as surprised as you are by what they find inside themselves:

I Need My Girl by The National

Turn The Page by Bob Seger

Sister Golden Hair by America

Plainclothes Man by Heatmiser

Songs which know, but will never tell you:

Tomorrow Is Today by Billy Joel

I Can't Tell You Why by The Eagles

Ooh by Scissor Sisters

Songs which will tell you, given time:

Over My Shoulder by MIKA

Beyond The Sea by Bobby Darin

Songs which don't contain the secret, but if you never listen to them, the others won't tell you:

The Bends by Radiohead

Journey Of The Sorcerer by The Eagles

Songs which make you glad you don't know it:

Lost In The Citadel by Lil Nas X

Fast As You Can by Fiona Apple

I Love You Goodbye by Thomas Dolby

Songs which were imbued with it by mistake and won't give it back:

Strawberry Swing (cover) by Frank Ocean

Night Shift by Lucy Dacus

Humpty by Mitski

#music #clearing out my drafts #music recs #I guess #music opinions

[fundieinfoplace]

Breaking News: Baby Smith #5

Tori and Bobby Smith are expecting their 5th child due in 2024. This baby follows older siblings Kade, Kolter, Charlotte and Cambree

#bates family #smith family #pregnancy announcement

[duggardata]

4 Under 4 For Tori + Bobby!

Get The Data (and Predictions) Here.

Oh my God, Tori (Bates) Smith—who married Bobby Smith in December 2017, and has since had 3 Children in rapid succession—is pregnant yet again.  She and Bobby announced Pregnancy #4 via Instagram on Mother’s Day (May 8th, 2022).  They also revealed that it’s a girl, due sometime in August.

[ Permalink to Pregnancy Announcement ]

The Smith–Bateses already 3 Children—Kade, 3–1/2; Kolter, 2; and Charlotte, 10–1/2 Months.  When Smith–Bates #4 arrives, they’ll have 4 Under 4.

Read on for a full analysis!

Approximate Due Date (ADD)

Per the Pregnancy Announcement, Tori is due “in August” of 2022.  Consistent w/ Duggar Data’s standard method of interpreting vague date data like this, I’ll be using the mid–point of August—i.e., August 16, 2022—as the Approximate Due Date (ADD), until and unless the Smiths provide more exact data.

Projected DOB + Child Spacing

After 3 Births, Tori delivers 16 Days Early, on average.  (She was 15 Days Early w/ Kade, 21 Days Early w/ Kolter, and ~11 Days Early w/ Charlotte.)  Based on this, and Tori’s ADD of August 16, the Predictor thinks that Smith–Bates #4 will arrive on July 31, 2022.

Smith–Bates #3 (Charlotte Raine) was born on June 24, 2021.  If Smith–Bates #4 arrives on July 31, 2022, as forecast, that’ll be a Child Spacing of just 402 Days (13.25 Months).  That’s Tori + Bobby’s shortest Child Spacing, to date...  Kade–to–Kolter was 502 Days (~25% Longer), and Kolter–to–Charlotte Raine was 456 Days (~13% Longer).  It’s also impressively short, in general.  Among Bateses, only two Non–Firstborn, Non–Post Loss spacings were <402 Days... Zach–to–Michaela, 389 Days and Lawson–to–Nathan, 398 Days.

Early, Late, or What?  

They’re Significantly Early, though their Pregnancy Announcement was dead–on.  When Charlotte was born, Duggar Data forecast the following, with regard to Smith–Bates #4—

Baby News   May 3, 2022

Sex Reveal  May 17, 2022 (or w/ Baby News)

Due Date   November 1, 2022

Projected DOB   October 16, 2022

As you can see, the timing of the Pregnancy Announcement was dead–on with my prediction (May 8 vs. May 3); however, Tori was further along than forecast. She is due in August, rather than November, with a Projected Child Spacing of 402 Days, rather than the initially–forecast 479 Days.  Doing the math, they are 77 Days (or 11 Weeks, or ~2.75 Months) Early.  Given how fast the pace was already, that’s...  Truly exhausting to think about.

Impact on Procreative Pace / ESOQ

Prior to this, Tori + Bobby’s Procreative Pace (PP), which was based on their Non–Firstborn Spacings, was 479 Days (~15.7 Months). Kade–to–Kolter was 502 Days, and Kolter–to–Charlotte was 456 Days.

Now, averaging in Charlotte–to–#4′s Projected 402–Day Spacing, their pace shifts to 453 Days (–26 Days).  Just one Predictor Couple, Courtney + Chris Rogers, has the Smiths solidly beat...  The Rogerses’ PP is a mere 413 Days.  (Technically, Nurie Keller and Allison Helferich are also outpacing Tori—but, in both cases, their PP is very speculative, since they only have 1 Child, so far.)  

After Charlotte’s birth, Tori + Bobby’s ESOQ was 18 Children.  Now, with the data from Pregnancy #4, their ESOQ is 19 Children (+1 Child), which means that Tori is on–track to quite literally be the next Kelly Jo.  (Wow!)

Tori + Bobby vs. Kendra + Joe

Tori + Bobby were outpacing Kendra + Joe after Charlotte’s birth—and, with Pregnancy #4 being early for them, they’re poised to remain in the lead.

Kendra isn’t publicly–known to be pregnant, though rumors are aplenty...

When To Expect Smith–Bates #5

Based on the adjusted data, here’s what the Predictor is forecasting—

Baby News   June 3, 2023

Sex Reveal   With the Baby News

Due Date   November 12, 2023

Projected DOB   October 27, 2023   

And, yes, that means they’re expected to have 5 Under 5!  (Ahhh!)

#pregnancy announcement #tori and bobby #smith 4

[fundiepredictions]

What happend in october

An overview of all the things that happend last month

Esther Marie was born to Christopher&AnnaMarie Maxwell

Timothy Rodrigues proposed to Heidi Coverett who said 'yes'

Bobby&Tori Smith (Bates) announced they are expecting #5

Jackson Bates and Emerson Wells got married

Maverick James was born to Justin&Kristen Young

William Gage was born to Chad&Erin Paine (Bates)

#month recap #esthermaxwell #christopher&annamarie #maxwell #timothyrodrigues #heidicoverett #timothy&heidi #rodrigues #coverett #tori&bobby #smith #bates #jacksonbates #jackson&emerson #emersonwells #wells #maverickyoung #justin&kristen #young #williampaine #chad&erin #erin&chad #paine