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20dollarlolita · 8 months
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Can you believe it? 20dollarlolita Pattern School Step 2!
Only took me a year and a half. For people who don't remember a year and a half ago, we've started a project about learning to sew from patterns. The eventual goal is to help people become proficient enough at reading patterns to be able to tell what's going on in a pattern with instructions in another language, taking a pattern that doesn't fit and resizing it so that it does, and taking a pattern that isn't technically lolita and make it work in lolita fashion.
Step 1 was to make a non-fitted item from a commercial pattern. There were two goals of step 1: first to ensure that everyone was familiar with notches, grainlines, and other pattern markings; second was to give people experience with selecting fabric and trims to help give a non-lolita pattern a more lolita feeling.
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For step 2, we're modifying a commercial pajama pants pattern into bloomers. In this step, we're going to become familiar with how to prepare a commercial pattern for modification, to compare pattern size to body size and to use your tape measure to judge added fullness, and how to do some basic flat pattern manipulation to add in style ease. Bloomers are a great first manipulation/fitted project due to the loose fit and the fact that, in most lolita applications, the vast majority of it is under your skirt and therefore invisible.
For this specific sample, I'm going to use Gertie's Harlow Pajama Pants pattern for this. I'm doing this because I bought a commercial pattern from Green Store and then promptly lost it, and these pajama pants are a free download. If you are printing the tiled version on your home computer printer, you only need pages 41-52 and 58-71, which will save you about 40 pages of printing.
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I highly recommed doing some research and having a good idea of how long the bloomers you want to make should be, as well as how they are decorated. This is my research board.
You can use any pajama pants pattern that has a casing (elastic or drawstring) at the top, and no zipper. In this case, pants with a looser fit are going to be easier to turn into bloomers. If you like wearing your pants at a certain point on your body, I'd check for pajama pants that are at that waistline. The pants that I'm using are designed to sit at your natural waist, which might be too high for some people.
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Your first step is to assemble and fortify your pattern. If you're printing this on copy paper, it's going to be strong enough, provided you use enough tape when tiling your pattern. If you're using a tissue paper pattern, like the kind you'd buy at the craft store, it helps to fuse some inexpensive interfacing onto the back of the pattern. We're going to work with these patterns a lot, so it's important to make them a little bit stronger.
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Now, you are going to need to go into your pattern instructions and find two important things. The first is your overall seam allowance. In most commercial patterns, this is 5/8 of an inch. Some other patterns might have different seam allowance.
The second is how big your elastic casing at the top will be. In this case, my seam allowance is 5/8" of an inch. Because my hem casing is .25"+1.25" (the amount you turn up plus them amount you turn up the second time), I know that my elastic casing will take up 1.5".
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You're now going to mark on your pattern what the stitching line is. Your pattern has seam allowance included. This is very useful for when you cut out the pattern. However, if we take our pattern measurements with seam allowance, we won't have accurate numbers. So we have to clarify where the seam allowance is.
The first thing that I do (not pictured) is to write how much I'm removing along each line. In this case, I write 5/8" along the side and crotch seams, and "1+1/2" at the top where the casing is. Since we're going to drastically shorten these pants, it doesn't matter what the hem allowance is.
Then, I take my ruler, and I mark my stitching line. I do it in pencil, check that I'm correct, and then go back and re-draw it with a red marker. This helps me make sure that I'm following the correct lines.
Make sure you transfer your notches onto your new stitching line. You can see in the picture above how I'm using the ruler to measure where the notch is going to go.
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The next step, walking the pattern, is a little tricky to explain. Here's a post that goes into it in great detail.
Basically, you're going to overlap the seam lines, to make sure they line up. The only problem with doing this is that both seam lines are curved. So, instead of lining it all up at once, you're going to go about an inch at a time, letting the pattern rotate so that it stays flat on the table. At any given point, you're only going to have an inch or so of the line overlapping, but that's all you need. If you run into notches that don't line up, cross one out and re-draw it so that it matches the other notch.
If this seems really complicated, you don't really need to do that on this project. It just is a good practice to have.
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So you now should have a pattern with all the commercial markings, but where you've drawn the stitching line.
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So now, you're going to put your two pieces together along the outseam. Since this is a pretty straight part of a pajama pant, it shouldn't be too difficult to get them to line up. Remember to overlap them on your stitching line, and not on the edge of the pattern.
We're putting them together so that you can measure them both at the same time. it saves us some math.
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In bloomers, there are three major measurements to take into consideration. You need to know how big you want the leg to be, how big you want the booty to be, and how long you want the leg of the bloomer to be. In addition, you need to make sure that the waist of your pants will be big enough to fit your waist. In most pajama pants patterns, this isn't a problem, but checking it is good practice.
So, in this picture, you can see that I've measured the cuff of the pants. These two pieces together make up one pant leg, so I just need to measure the two pieces to know how big the pant leg will be.
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I then take my tape measure and hold it around my leg at the same size that the pattern is at that point. I just use my eyes and judge if I think that'll be enough room to make my bloomers nice and poofy.
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If your pattern doesn't tell you your hip line (mine didn't), it's usually at the point where the two notches on the crotch curve are. One of the reasons why we're doing this on a commercial pattern is that someone did the work for us and put those notches where they should be.
Now, remember, these two pieces are only half of the pant pattern. When we measure the hips of the pattern, we have to multiply this measurement by 2. Half the hip measurement x 2 is the full hip measurement.
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Once again, hold this out next to your body and make sure that you like how much fullness you need. Remember that, in addition to having extra fullness because bloomers are poofy, you need room to be able to move and sit down. This measure between the size of my body and the size of the pattern looked pretty good to me. I could definitely have gone a little bit bigger.
The pant leg measurement is okay to be a little bit too long. You can always make it shorter. However, feel free to chop about 18" off the bottom of a full length pant leg. This just makes things a little easier.
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Now, we're going to move the two pattern pieces until they're the size we like. If both the hip measurement and the leg measurement are too small, we're going to move both pattern pieces apart. To turn pajama pants into bloomers, this is likely to be the most common adjustment.
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If the hip measurement is pretty okay, but the cuff measurement is too small, you're just going to move the bottom part of the pattern apart.
You'll notice that this is still enlarging the hip measurement a little bit. This is fine for bloomers since the style is for a lot of fullness in that area.
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And if your cuff is the correct size, but your hip measure is too big, you can keep the cuff size the same and move the hip line apart until it's the size you want.
This technique of lining up the pattern pieces, and then moving them until they're the size you want, is the basics of flat patterning. As long as you follow the philosophy of keeping the measurements you like roughly the same, and moving the areas that you don't like until they measure what you need, you can easily resize a pattern without having to re-draw everything.
If you had to spread your pieces apart, tape some paper underneath the gap. This piece of paper should bridge the gap between the two pieces, turning them into one piece. Really quickly double-check that these pieces measure how you want. Then, mark a line in the middle of the paper bridge. Draw your notches onto the cut line. Cut the two pieces apart on that line. You've now made both pieces bigger. Tape another little piece of paper onto the cut edge of each piece, mark out your seam allowance, and cut that off.
Bonus points: swap the position of the pattern pieces, so that the crotch curve is one continuous line. Measure the length of that. Then, hold your tape measure along where the crotch curve of your pants will fit, and make sure that you have clearance there. I'm not going to photograph that, andi t's not super necessary with most pajama patterns.
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Go ahead and cut your pieces out.Even though I'd shortened the pattern, mine were still too long to fit on a 2-yard cut of fabric. Since I knew that my pants were a little long, I just let the end hang off the edge of the fabric.
Here's the really magical part about this. Even though you've resized your pattern, you still have all your seam allowance, notches, grainlines, and your pattern instructions. Since you kept all your pattern markings consistent, you can now follow the instructions that came with your pattern. Go up until it tells you to hem the pants, and then try them on.
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In my case, my pants were way too long to be bloomers. I knew that I wanted to do a casing with a heading, which does use s pretty big hem allowance, but even so, I'd need to shorten them.
Check out your bloomer research board to see how long you want them to be. I wanted some long ones that did the old-school bloomer peek, so I made them on the longer side. I also didn't want them to ride up into my butt when sitting in a wheelchair.
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So, time to fold up the bottoms, add my elastic, and call the basic construction finished.
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I looked up on my research board to try to find a good way to decorate these. One of the nice things about bloomers is that you can wear them with a wide variety of coords. This makes them one of those items where you can add some extra lace, and then use that lace in multiple coords. I feel like, since these bloomers are a good way of adding detail in multiple coords, it's a good excuse to add a little bit extra lace. You can see how much of a difference it makes in this picture. It really turns them from baggy shorts into real bloomers. I really recommend sometimes investing in a couple of big purchases of lace. If you have lots of lace on hand, you're more likely to include it in your projects, which can really help push a meh project into proper lolita fashion territory. I have a rule that I don't spend more than $1.50 a yard on lace unless it's really fantastic, and I manage to find things at that point on Aliexpress and sites like Cheeptrims.
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Now go on and let them peek out of your favorite skirt. And remember, definitely don't press that skirt before putting this picture in your tutorial.
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devilsupdates · 8 hours
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5 Bargain Free Agents the Devils Must Target
May 21, 2024 by Josh Reinitz
Heading into the offseason, the New Jersey Devils have multiple issues. The most pressing is finding a new head coach. With the search narrowed to, at most, four potential candidates and with a decision expected before the holiday weekend, the next focus should be planning for free agency. The Devils will head into the offseason with almost $19 million in available cap space (Per CapFriendly). They will be 16th in the NHL in available cap space. However, those numbers may change drastically should the team enter into an extension with pending restricted free agent (RFA) Dawson Mercer and/or acquire a top-level goaltender without offsetting salary.
Earlier this week, AFP Analytics released detailed projections for every free agent to hit the market this summer. While no model is ever 100% predictive, AFP’s version gives a good baseline on what players can expect to cost in the offseason. The Devils are fortunate to have their core locked up on long-term, team-friendly deals or entry-level contracts. The only core member they have to decide on is the aforementioned Mercer, who they could even punt on for the time being and tender a qualifying offer, as he is still a year removed from having arbitration rights.
Even with the core locked up, the Devils are not without needs. General manager Tom Fitzgerald has indicated he wants to construct a team that is more difficult to play against and made up of players you can win with. He has considerable assets ready to compete in any trade market he deems appropriate with a top-ten draft pick and young, talented, inexpensive players like Alexander Holtz and Seamus Casey who could be made available. With the bigger moves likely to come in the trade market, the Devils should use free agency to build depth and fill in around the edges. The most glaring places needing depth are a bottom-six forward, penalty-killing/defense-first defenseman, and middle-six depth on the wing. Here is a look at five players projected to cost under $3 million per year, who the Devils should kick the tires on July 1.
Kevin Stenlund, Center – Projection: 2 Years x $1.34 Million
Florida Panthers general manager Bill Zito signed center Kevin Stenlund as a free agent on July 1, 2023, to add depth to his bottom six due to his familiarity with him from both their days in Columbus. Stenlund has fit well in head coach Paul Maurice’s system and bolstered a strong bottom-six in Florida’s run to the Eastern Conference Final. The Devils spent much of the second half of last season trying to fill the enormous void left by the departure of Michael McLeod after being charged with sexual assault in conjunction with other members of the 2018 Canadian World Junior Team. Stenlund, a 6-foot-4, 215-pound right-handed center, could be the answer New Jersey has been seeking. Stenlund would be the only right-handed primary centerman on the Devils, but he is also a dangerous penalty killer with two short-handed goals in each of his last two seasons. His underlying numbers in 2023-24 were not perfect for a bottom-six center. However, it was only his first full season in the NHL, and there is room for improvement. Getting in on Stenlund at this time in his career could be a boon for whichever team ultimately signs the Swede. It is difficult to find a center entering his prime who stands 6-foot-4, is right-handed, wins faceoffs over 50% of the time, kills penalties, and will cost you less than $1.5 million a season. He has been an integral part of Florida’s success, having logged over 106 bottom-six minutes at 5v5 in this year’s playoffs without having been on the ice for a goal against. He has also shown improvement in handling the puck, limiting his giveaways to 14 total this season after being credited with 12 in just 54 games last season. Stenlund would be a welcome addition to the Devils’ bottom six, forming an intimidating line with the likes of Curtis Lazar and Nathan Bastian/Kurtis MacDermid, and his ability to kill penalties would also allow the new coach to better focus the ice time of some of their forwards drafted into PK service last season. On balance, Stenlund is a fit for New Jersey in terms of play and price.
William Carrier, Left Wing – Projection: 2 Years x $2.4 Million
The Golden Knights do not have a selection in the second through fifth rounds of this year’s NHL Draft. Carrier is one of the diamonds in the rough of this year’s free agent class. He could even be someone the Devils wisely target before July 1 by expending capital to acquire his rights in a trade with Vegas for a later-round pick. Watching the playoffs this season, Carrier’s skill was fully on display. He is a capable puck-transporter as a winger and has the speed to threaten defenses and the bite to hamper opposing offenses. Notably, in a series his team lost, the save percentage at 5v5 with him on the ice was still almost 93%, and only two goals were scored against him in nearly 75 minutes of ice time. In this year’s playoffs alone, he was ranked in the 81st percentile in top speed and 92nd percentile for the number of speed bursts above 22 mph while only playing in one round. (Per NHL Edge)
The only nagging concern about Carrier is his inability to stay healthy. He has never played a full 82 games in a season but has always been available in the postseason for Vegas. The Devils should have enough depth with Lazar, Bastian, MacDermid, and Nolan Foote to rest Carrier throughout the season as needed. With the style of play he brings, it is natural to need additional rest, and it is a trade-off the Devils should be willing to accept for the chance to add a fast, 29-year-old winger who averages 244 hits per 82 games for under $2.5 million.
Brenden Dillon, Left Defense – Projection: 2 Years x $2.86 Million
While a bit pricier than the others on this list, defenseman Brenden Dillon solves enough of New Jersey’s issues to be worth the extra cash. At 33 years old, he is closer to the end than the start of his career, but with that age comes a vast amount of regular season and playoff experience. Two seasons ago, the Devils learned that playing defensemen with top-four talent on your third pair pays huge dividends and should strongly consider doing the same with Dillon. He mostly closely resembles former Devil Ryan Graves in size at 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds, but even though he is six years older, he is still a better, faster skater than Graves (Per NHL Edge) and brings more edge and aggression.
Dillon has never been shy about standing up for his teammates, a quality that is valued by New Jersey. This season, he participated in seven fights, many of which were in response to liberties taken by opponents on other Jets. He is also a premier penalty killer and defensive defenseman without sacrificing mobility and the ability to move the puck out of danger by passing or skating. This season he was credited with 241 hits and 111 blocks, both would have led New Jersey as would his career 82-game average of 198 hits and 110 blocks. Dillon has demonstrated durability throughout his 13-year career, having played at least 76 games every full season since his rookie year. The Devils may have to go up for a more favorable average annual value (AAV), but a three-year deal at $2.5 million AAV makes sense for both parties.
Jordan Martinook, Winger – Projection: 3 Years x $2.765 Million One of the easiest ways to improve your team is to take talent from your competitors. Signing middle-six winger Jordan Martinook would do just that for New Jersey. In his end-of-season press conference, Fitzgerald said he needed players he could win with on his roster. Martinook is that type of player. His counting stats belie his value, but every good team has players like him. The 31-year-old winger can play on either side of any line in the bottom nine and kill penalties. His play to save a goal in Game 6 vs. the New York Rangers in this year’s playoffs will be replayed forever. His success last season against the Devils in the playoffs should also not be lost on Fitzgerald.
The Carolina Hurricanes dominated in the regular season at 5v5 with Martinook on the ice. His expected goals for percentage (xGF%) and Corsi For percentage (CF%) were over 60. The team also had 218 more scoring chances than their opponents with Martinook on the ice. Forming a line of Ondrej Palat, Erik Haula, and Martinook would provide the team with one of the peskiest third lines in the NHL. He also brings durability. He has never played less than 77 games in his six non-COVID-impacted seasons. His skating would fit in with the Devils’ style of play as his speed bursts rank him in the 80th percentile in the NHL for bursts above 20 and 22 mph. Over the last two seasons, he has averaged 33 points per season, but the offense is not on top of the Devils’ list. However, his ability to score in the clutch and provide secondary scoring in the playoffs is highly valued. Martinook’s signing would signal a power shift within the division, and the Devils should be all in for the winger.
Jani Hakanpaa, Defenseman – Projection: 1 Year x $1.51 Million
Much like Dillon, Jani Hakanpaa would bring size, stability, and experience as an affordable third-pair defenseman. Also, like Dillon, Hakanpaa may be forced out of the Dallas Stars lineup, not due to his play but the emergence of young prospects. The 6-foot-6 225-pound Finn has less mileage on him than Dillon but is equally effective and is right-handed. Should the Devils decide to hold onto Kevin Bahl and/or move John Marino, they may see the need for depth on the right side, making Hakanpaa a perfect fit.
Hakanpaa has been forced out of this year’s playoffs with an injury but will slot back into the Stars lineup once he is physically able. He spent most of the season as the Stars’ shutdown pair teamed with Esa Lindell. The pair was also the team’s first choice on the penalty kill. Like Dillon, Hakanpaa also brings unique physicality with an 82-game average of 265 hits and 127 blocks. Hakanpaa would be a welcome addition to New Jersey, especially if he only required a one-year deal; he would essentially take the cap hit and role that was envisioned for Colin Miller at the start of the season and not encumber the Devils’ long-term plans on the back end with contracts for Luke Hughes and Simon Nemec coming due in short order.
There are bargains to be had in free agency this season, and the Devils must be buyers if they want to reclaim their place in the postseason. These five players are a good start, but others out there could fit the bill, like former Devils Tomas Tatar and Stefan Noesen, to name two. How Fitzgerald decides to build around his core will go a long way toward determining for how long the team’s championship window remains open.
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supersabbatical2024 · 1 month
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4/15/24: Take OFF
We had a sabbatical with our kids 10 years ago, but we always new we might be heading off on our own on the next sabbatical. Here we are, flying duo, and feeling incredibly grateful to be meeting up with Mari a couple times during this multi phased trip, and also knowing our son is holding down the fort, caring for our special loved ones, including our dear Normie, and yes, Oreo, who seriously injured his back 48 hours before we left.
Was really intense heading off, away from Normie, not to mention our ailing dog, and the idea that anything can happen at any time. Life is funny that way, so you really have to remember to live and find joy. —-Quote from a not particularly famous daughter, mother, wife, dog mom, and home health aide, Sara Goetz
Claude upgraded us to Polaris on Untied to Nice, and that is fully half the fun of a trip — faucet OPEN. We each had our little pod, we had wine with dinner and ice cream sundaes for dessert, with hot fudge AND caramel —now THAT is living. And then Claude slept. I used the restroom, pulled out my drawing stuff and a magazine and my headphones and struggled with the tray table, used the bathroom, tried to read my magazine, watched 4 four episodes of the Frasier reboot show (and used restroom), tried to read my magazine, watched a movie, messed around with the lie-flat seat controls (…could it be that not flat was more comfortable than flat flat? Let me try that again…); had to pee again and then got myself situated again, tried to read my magazine, used the bathroom again; messed around with the remote control, located Relaxation DeepSleep mode, tested out the various video options combined with various audio options, but “mediation” music was kind of scary sounding, nature music was repetitive, classical (never truly calming for me, I think it dates back to when my dad would lug his 2 foot tall stereo speakers right up to the kitchen doorway and blow us all away with the classical radio station); ambient music was oddly bouncy and upbeat; switched to cities video, and “chill beats” which were not that chill, and the cities on the screen were too bright for sleeping, and my headphones were too bulky to lie on my side for sleeping, so I switched to Mari’s old airpods (which only have sound when twisted into a very specific position in your ear); then tried to get comfortable again, went to pee again, and then moved the seat up and down and determined that slightly less than full flat was truly the most comfortable; and then I got hot and changed out of my jeans right there under the blanket and THEN, I slept for a couple hours before we landed. And you know what Claude was doing the whOLE time…?
We rented our car and Claude drove us the 1.5 hrs to Aix to find the dump of a place that Claude picked out this time…all terraces and private gardens and beautiful arty decor, a pool complete with lion’s head fountain, chaise lounges, and a glorious minstrel breeze in the morning (Claude tells me it’s actually called a “Mistral” wind, which makes way more sense). If ya like that sort of thing. Seriously, though, it was just GORGeous!
We took naps and then dragged a ourselves out to dinner armed with a few suggestions from our lovely host Carole, and a will to meander. We ended up at Fauborg 46 (F’bg), where I had a fine Daurade and Claude had a steak. I had a Chardonnay, and actually said to the waiter, “un vin blanc, si vous plait” (just like Saski taught me before I left). French wine—Dee Lish OUS. Very hard to concentrate as we sat on the couch back at our place. I tried to read a kid’s book, T’Quipo about a not human but not quite bear with a red circle for a nose. Claude perused the tour guide for what to do tomorrow. He was looking for something slightly more specific than our general goal to eat as many croissants as possible in the next few weeks. I love staring at my husband sleeping, and I love when he wakes up, and I feel really really lucky to be on this trip, and this whole life’s journey, together with him.
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sataniccapitalist · 2 years
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jointhekings · 1 year
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HOW TO OVER COME LOSSES IN TRADING
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At least once in your trading career, you’ve probably felt the need to take more trades even though you’ve already incurred more than your usual daily losses.
In such instances, you often think to yourself that with more trades you will be able to offset your losses for the day.
But what if they end up being losers? Then, my friend, you set yourself up for more pain and dug yourself a deeper hole to climb out of.
Proper risk management crucial if you don’t want to lose your shirt, and it’s particularly important for day traders who make many trades per day because there’s a bigger chance of going on consecutive losing streaks.
There will be times that you will get so caught up in the motions of the market that you lose sight of your primary goal: to protect your capital.
And this is precisely why you need to set a daily loss limit. It tells you that you’ve had enough and that it’s time to pack it up and just call it a day.
It doesn’t necessarily mean that you are a lousy trader; there are just days when your game is off, or maybe your trading system was not designed for that day’s market environment.
Even great athletes such as Roger Federer, Rocky Balboa, or Stephen Curry have had their share of bad days.
Just like professional athletes who sometimes under perform, traders also experience those days when they feel out of sync with the markets. Setting a maximum trading loss per day isn’t hard. You just have to take note that it has to depend on your trading personality and risk tolerance.
Here are some personal suggestions:
Limit your losses to a fraction of your profit target for each day. If, for instance, you aim for a 1.5% gain each day, you can set your maximum trading loss to half of that, or .75%.
Set your maximum trading loss to half your average gain. If you have experience and keep a well-detailed record of your trading history, then you can calculate your average win per day and set your maximum trading loss to half your average gain.
Let’s say your average gain per day of all your winning days is equivalent to 0.5%, then you can set your daily maximum trading loss to 0.25%.
You can also set it to a fraction of a longer-term number, like a max 10% loss per month. With 20 trading days a month on average, that’s 0.50% per day.
Try these out or come up with your own, and whether you choose to use one of my suggestions or not, the important thing is that you have one.
The fact is all traders will eventually experience a losing day, so you should always have an in-traday maximum trading loss level set.
And once you’ve reached this limit–and here’s the hard part–stop trading for the day!
Instead of scrambling to come up with more unprepared trade ideas to make up for those losses, you just have to swallow your pride and admit that it’s just one of those days that you have to sit it out. Ralph Waldo Emerson once said that “Our greatest glory is not in never falling, but in rising up every time we fail.”
Learn to accept defeat every once in a while, as we need to remember that trading is a long drawn out war and not a single battle.
By protecting your ego and your account today, you have assured that the losses incurred are small enough to easily overcome tomorrow.
#PSYCHOLOGY #TheKing
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worldcupgamblefest · 1 year
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Not since the heady days of 1996 and Karel Poborsky has someone scooped a ball to perfection like Vincent Aboubakar did today. Glorious stuff. And he thought he was offside so he was just dicking about. Marvellous.
That pulsating 3-3 draw delivered an early return for both Tom and Alex but too many goals for Neil to be successful.
There were goals galore in the next fixture - and corners too - but nothing offered by Heung-Min Son of Spurs, who failed to take a shot on target for the second game in a row. A win for Tom but nothing anywhere else.
Despite some offline speculation that the Swiss would beat Brazil 5-2, Neil stuck with his original bet and romped home thanks to Casemiro’s strike. No such luck for Tom and Alex.
Did Ronaldo touch it? Did he bollocks. Did he celebrate as if he touched it? Of course. The massive prick.
Despite some initial suggestion that he’d got on the end of Bruno Fernandes’ cross, the goal was swiftly taken away from Cristiano Ronaldo - and along with it went Tom and Neil’s chances.
It looked as if Alex’s punt on a red card had a chance given the reckless early challenges from the Uruguayan midfielders, but alas, they maintained their composure.
So a mixed bag and here’s where we stand after day nine.
Alex: £12.70 DOWN
Neil: £5.16 DOWN
Tom: £1.42 DOWN
We’re officially at the half way mark - 32 games played - so how are we comparing?
Despite the positive last couple of days, this still represents Tom’s worst World Cup ever. Four years ago he was £6.57 up, and eight years ago had 38p in the bank.
Neil is also worse off that his winning year of 2018. He was £6.50 up then but he’s faring better than 2014 when he was £7 down.
This is Alex’s second World Cup and he’s slightly worse off, with 95p less than he had in 2018 at this stage.
There are now four days of four games remaining. The final group matches take place simultaneously so our 10am and 1pm fixtures are a thing of the past now.
16 more to survive. It’s all about being in touching distance ahead of the two game a day stage. Or being £100 up, whatever really…
Here’s what we want from day 10.
Alex:
Netherlands v Qatar, over 2.5 goals in the game - 1/2
Ecuador v Senegal, no draw - 7/20
Iran v USA, Iran to win - 3/1
England v Wales, Gareth Bale to score - 5/1
Neil:
Netherlands v Qatar, Gakpo to score and Netherlands to win to nil - 11/4
Ecuador v Senegal, under 1.5 goals - 2/5
Iran v USA, 40+ match booking points, both teams to score, Roozbeh Cheshmi to be booked - 6/1
England v Wales, England to win or be two goals up at any point - 2/5
Tom:
Netherlands v Qatar, Netherlands to score 2+ goals and 5+ Netherlands corners - 4/6
Ecuador v Senegal, Ecuador to win or be two up in the game - 13/10
Iran v USA, USA to win or draw - 2/9
England v Wales, each team 3+ corners and 10+ booking points - 5/4
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kdevasier · 5 months
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Reminder: the Inflation Reduction Act is the Most Significant Law in U.S. History to Tackle Climate Change
In 2022, President Biden signed into law the most impactful piece of legislation to combat climate change in America's history: the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). It will no doubt go down as one of Biden's greatest achievements, but sadly, not too many people know about it. Here's just a SMALL picture of what this law does:
Reducing Energy Costs for Homes
Various new tax credits will be available for people who switch to energy-efficient heating/cooling systems. Tax credits will also be available for homeowners who install things like solar panels and geothermal heat pumps. (E.g., a 30% credit will be given to families who install solar panels).
Making Electric Cars More Affordable
Highway vehicles release about 1.5 billion tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere each year, according to the U.S. Dept. of Energy. With the Inflation Reduction Act, tax credits are now available in buying electric vehicles (EVs), worth up to $7,500.
Electrifying Trucks
The Inflation Reduction Act will allocate money to electrify school busses, transit busses, garbage trucks, and the entire fleet of the U.S. Postal Service.
Regulating Methane Emitters
Methane, as a greenhouse gas (GHG), is far worse than carbon dioxide (CO2). In fact, it is the cause of 25% of the global warming that is experienced today, with it being 80% more harmful than CO2 in the first 20 years after it is released. Under the Inflation Reduction Act's Methane Emission Reduction Program, oil and gas companies will now be charged a fee for wasteful methane emissions--incentivizing them to reduce methane pollution.
Vanessa Glavinskas from the Environmental Defense Fund recognized the IRA as the biggest investment in climate in U.S. history by writing: "The Inflation Reduction Act includes $369 billion in funding to tackle climate change and brings America closer to Biden’s goal of cutting climate pollution in half from 2005 levels by 2030." When people say Biden and his Democratic allies in Congress have done nothing since 2021, all one has to do point to the IRA.
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startwinningnow · 1 year
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Understanding Different Types of Soccer Betting Odds
Soccer is the world's most popular sport, and with its popularity comes a thriving betting industry. Betting on soccer matches has become increasingly popular among sports enthusiasts, providing them with an opportunity to make predictions and potentially earn some profits. However, to be successful in soccer betting, it is crucial to understand the different types of judi bola odds and how they work. In this article, we will explore the various types of soccer betting odds and shed light on their significance.
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Fractional Odds: Fractional odds, also known as traditional odds or British odds, are commonly used in the United Kingdom. These odds are represented in fractions, such as 2/1 or 5/2. The first number in the fraction represents the potential profit, while the second number represents the amount needed to place the bet. For example, a 2/1 fractional odd implies that for every unit bet, you will win two units if your prediction is correct.
Decimal Odds: Decimal odds are the most widely used format globally. These odds are presented in decimal format, such as 3.50 or 2.25. The figure indicates the total payout, including both the initial stake and the profit. For instance, if you place a $10 bet on a match with odds of 3.50, your total payout will be $35 (including the $10 stake).
Moneyline or American Odds: Moneyline odds, primarily used in the United States, are represented as positive or negative numbers. Positive odds, such as +150, indicate the potential profit on a $100 stake, while negative odds, such as -200, represent the amount you need to wager to win $100. Positive odds reflect the potential profit if you bet $100, while negative odds indicate the amount required to win $100.
Asian Handicap: Asian handicap betting is prevalent in soccer wagering, particularly in Asia. This type of bet eliminates the possibility of a draw by giving one team a head start and the other a handicap. The handicap is expressed in whole and half numbers, such as +0.5 or -1.5. If you bet on the team with a +0.5 handicap, they need to either win or draw for your bet to be successful. Conversely, if you bet on the team with a -1.5 handicap, they need to win by at least two goals for your wager to win.
Over/Under or Totals: Over/under betting, also known as totals betting, involves predicting the total number of goals scored in a match. The bookmaker sets a line, such as 2.5 goals, and you can bet on whether the total number of goals will be over or under that line. For example, if you bet on over 2.5 goals and the final score is 2-1, you win the bet.
Understanding these different types of soccer betting odds is essential for making informed decisions when placing your bets. It allows you to evaluate the potential risk and reward associated with each type of bet and choose the one that aligns with your predictions and strategies. It is important to note that different bookmakers may offer different odds for the same event. Therefore, comparing odds from various bookmakers can be beneficial to ensure you are getting the best possible value for your bets.
Furthermore, as with any form of gambling, it is crucial to gamble responsibly and within your means. Soccer betting should be seen as a form of entertainment, and it is advisable to set a budget and stick to it.
In conclusion, understanding the different types of soccer betting odds, such as fractional, decimal, moneyline, Asian handicap, and over/under, is key to becoming a successful bettor. Each type of odds has its own unique characteristics and calculations, and being familiar with them will enable you to make well-informed decisions when placing your bets. Remember to research, analyze, and gamble responsibly to enhance your soccer betting experience.
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technicaldr · 1 year
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5 Key Steps To Consolidate Technology In Healthcare
Healthcare centers are still struggling to hire and retain staff. An estimated 1.5 million healthcare jobs were lost at the onset of the pandemic, and managers are trying to get staffing numbers back to levels seen in 2019.
  Numerous recruiting challenges compound the issue, but the problem doesn’t end by simply hiring more nurses and physicians. Reportedly 85% of healthcare facilities are also dealing with allied healthcare shortages, which include therapists, laboratory and imaging technologists, and others. Meanwhile, levels of burnout have only gone up. More than three in five physicians (63%) reported feeling burned out in the winter of 2021, an all-time high. The lack of staffing and subsequent burnout is causing several pain points at the front desk. Long wait times, problems at check-in and confusion with payments can all have a negative impact on the healthcare experience for patients and staff.
  The front desk is the first glimpse patients have into your practice, so making the process as easy and painless as possible is crucial. The most effective way to do that is by taking the steps to consolidate business and administrative tasks under one platform for a smooth user experience. The goal should be to make the patient’s life simple and your staff more effective.
  The Importance Of Consolidating Technology In Healthcare
Amazon became one of the most successful companies in the world by offering nearly everything in one platform. Users can watch a movie, order groceries and pick out a new pair of shoes without ever leaving the website. At the end of the day, consumers receive one bill for a range of services.
  Amazon’s approach has revolutionized e-commerce and can serve as a model for streamlining healthcare operations. A similar solution in the healthcare world consolidates front desk and billing operations, interfacing seamlessly with an existing practice management system.
  But is consolidation right for your practice? Healthcare leaders know change isn’t easy and, after years of upheaval, may be wary of disruptions to the status quo. When facing an important business decision, it is important to understand the potential value being offered.
  Does consolidation add value?
The key advantage of consolidation over siloed systems is efficiency. Doing more with less is essential to an industry where nearly half of all workers are planning to leave in the next two years.
Technology that integrates into your patient system and can consolidate front office and billing duties enhances staff productivity by eliminating the need to learn and use multiple systems. With one login, staff can access patient payments, registration forms, appointment calendars and text follow-ups. These efficiencies translate to more time each day for staff to focus on patient care and other value-added activities.
The efficiencies of a consolidated system also extend to security and compliance. Data breaches are rampant in the healthcare industry. More than 590 organizations reported healthcare data breaches to the HHS Office for Civil Rights in 2022, impacting more than 48.6 million individuals. By consolidating front office duties onto one platform, practices can keep confidential patient information better secured.
As you think about whether technology consolidation is right for your practice, it’s important to reflect on the best ways to ensure a successful transition. Getting things wrong could make things worse by causing:
• Confusion
• Distraction
• New inefficiencies
• Poor staff morale and motivation
• Reduced patient satisfaction
• Wasted investment
For companies looking to consolidate their technology, understanding the first steps can help manage risks and ensure a more successful outcome.
Five Steps Toward Consolidation
Adopting new technology is a major change for your practice and should spur meaningful conversations among leaders, staff and your technology vendor. These conversations are essential and will help you identify your needs and determine the best way to move forward.
The steps to take as you work through this process include:
Step 1: Listen to your staff.
Your staff knows their workflows and pain points well. They are a vital source of ideas for making their job more efficient.
A proactive manager gathers input from staff early and often. When it comes to consolidation, find out how much time staff spends toggling between systems to get the information they need. Could they be doing something more valuable if they had more time? If the answer is yes, it may be time for a change.
Step 2: Understand what patients want.
The best ways to approach understanding your patients’ experience expectations include actively sending feedback surveys post-care, monitoring your reviews on-site and on third-party pages like Google and Yelp, and having a conversation. Be transparent and open to hearing feedback from patients while they are at the office.
Step 3: Choose the technology that works best for your business.
Choosing the right technology starts with a reliable vendor. It’s the vendor’s job to help select solutions that meet the needs of your patients and practice, support you throughout the transition and stand by for any questions and problems after implementation. By working with your team to create a list of necessary questions and identifying non-negotiable aspects, you can aim to expedite the search process.
Step 4: Address resistance in your organization.
Many healthcare practices resist change, missing opportunities to grow and improve. Resistance to change is a psychological state that can be worked through. Change management strategies that can ease the process include:
• Educating staff about the benefits of the change to overcome negative emotions and fear
• Engaging influencers in your staff to help convince others
• Involving employees in the decision-making process
Step 5: Create a transition plan.
Planning helps avoid pitfalls you might encounter as you adopt new technology. Work to make a detailed transition plan to minimize stress and downtime. Your plan should include:
• Transition team members and each person’s role
• Implementation approach—all at once or incremental
• Hardware and software needs
• Education and training
• New workflows
• Transfer of data
• How to manage downtime or reduced productivity
• Who to contact for support
With proper planning, your practice can successfully begin the process of consolidating technology and reap the benefits of greater efficiency.
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creatiview · 1 year
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Half of the Earth’s glaciers, notably smaller ones, are destined to disappear by the end of the century because of climate change, but limiting global warming could save others, according to a new study. The findings, published in the journal Science on Thursday, provide the most comprehensive look so far at the future of the world’s 215,000 glaciers. The authors emphasized the importance of restricting greenhouse gas emissions to limit the consequences from glacier melt such as sea level rise and depletion of water resources. To help orient policy makers, the study looked at the impact of four scenarios on glaciers, where global mean temperature change is 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit), 2.0C, 3.0C and 4.0C. “Every degree increase produces more melt and loss,” said Regine Hock of the University of Oslo and University of Alaska Fairbanks, a co-author of the study. “But that also means if you reduce the temperature increase, you can also reduce that mass loss,” Hock told AFP. “So in that sense, there is also a little bit of hope.” Even if global temperature rise is limited to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels — the most ambitious goal of the Paris Agreement — the researchers estimated that 49 percent of the world’s glaciers would vanish by the year 2100. That would represent about 26 percent of the world’s glacier mass because the smallest glaciers would be those first impacted. Global mean temperature is currently estimated to be increasing by 2.7C which would result in a near-complete loss of glaciers in Central Europe, Western Canada and the continental United States and New Zealand. “Regions with relatively little ice like the European Alps, the Caucasus, the Andes, or the western US, they lose almost all the ice by the end of the century almost no matter what the emission scenario is,” Hock said. “So those glaciers, they’re more or less doomed.” – ‘Up to the policy makers’ – Under the worst-case scenario — global temperature rise of 4.0C — giant glaciers such as those in Alaska would be more affected and 83 percent of glaciers would disappear by the end of the century. Glacier loss would also exacerbate sea level rise. “The glaciers that we are studying are only one percent of all ice on Earth,” said Hock, “much less than the Greenland ice sheet and the Antarctic ice sheet. “But they have contributed to sea level rise almost just as much as the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheet together in the last three decades,” she said. Warming of 1.5C would lead to an increase in average sea levels of nine centimeters while temperatures 4.0C higher would cause 15 centimeters of sea level rise. “It doesn’t sound very much, nine centimeters up to 15 centimeters,” Hock said, “but it’s not global sea level that is that much of a concern. “It’s mostly associated storm surges,” she said, which have the potential to cause “a lot more damage.” The disappearance of glaciers will also have an impact on water resources because they provide freshwater for some two billion people. “The glaciers compensate for the loss of water in summer when it’s not raining much and it’s hot,” Hock said. The study’s projections, which are more pessimistic than those of UN climate experts, were reached through observations of the mass of each glacier through the decades and computer simulations. Despite the alarming findings, Hock said “it is possible to reduce the mass loss by human action. “If it happens is of course a different question,” she said. “If that happens is of course up to the policy makers.”
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goboymusic · 1 year
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The more I think about episode 3 of #TheLastofUs, the more I like it. One of the best love stories I’ve seen on film / television.
10 seconds into #SexSong, it becomes pretty evident that it’s an intentional cringe song. My #paperpusher lifestyle was really getting to me during the latter half of GoBoy 5, and with music / creativity being my main outlet, songs became more tongue-in-cheek.
For songs that are as excruciatingly difficult to mix as “Rich & Crazy” and “Sex Song,” they’re usually abandoned multiple times during the mixing process in a “screw this, I can’t do this anymore” fashion. After a 30 minute break, composure is normally regained and production resumes.
The rough mix was finished after 1.5 weeks, then another 1.5 weeks were spent tweaking the EQ and levels, and I’m still not satisfied with it. For the record, 1.5 weeks is a long time to be tweaking EQ and levels, and it was driving me mad.
The verse melody in “Sex Song” wasn’t done justice, so it was reused for the verses in “Guess How Much I Care (Song 116),” where I personally think it was executed better.
Shit hit the fan at work during the making of songs 90 - 94, leading to an exodus of many employees whom I had to temporarily fill in for (many of which asked to come back months later), which resulted in this song taking three weeks to complete. On average, each GoBoy 3 song took four days to complete, GoBoy 4 songs took six days, GoBoy 5 songs took fourteen days, and GoBoy 6 songs took thirty days (excerpts from post 90).
I began dabbling in a raspy pop-punk vocal style throughout songs 88 - 99, something that would become more prevalent on GoBoy 6 and 7. Not only do I love that singing style in pop-punk / rock music, but it’s a way for me to cover up my narrow nasal passages (excerpts from post 88).
During the production of songs 86 - 91, GoBoy’s production process permanently changed so that instrument tracks would be created AFTER the vocals were mixed. That way, I could ensure that the instruments meshed with the vocals. In GoBoy songs, the melody is the most important part, and the instruments only exist to support it. This new production process would be used for every song on GoBoy 6 and beyond (excerpts from post 86).
GoBoy’s first intentional cringe song was “Oh Harder (Song 17).” Since then, GoBoy has had a few intentional cringe songs on each album. While cringe content doesn’t help with marketing, it does make the production process genuinely entertaining. It’s the “I dare you to upload this to the internet” game. It provides small doses of cortisol on command. Something to shake the monotony of life (excerpts from post 68).
Beat + bass + melody. That’s the style of GoBoy 5. While I’ve appreciated this minimalistic style for years, “Tell My Mama (Song 42)” was the first time trying it. I went whole-hog with GoBoy 5, in which most songs primarily consist of a beat, bass and melody (excerpt from post 80).
For GoBoy 5, instead of creating for the sake of creating, like I did for GoBoy 4, I wanted to make poppier songs that would appeal to a larger audience. Was that goal accomplished? Well, maybe, I guess. It resulted in the song “In Love (Song 82),” which everyone and their mother seems to like (excerpt from post 79).
GoBoy 5 ragdolled me. I remember wondering if I’d live to see the completion of the album. While the style is minimalistic, the writing and production processes were chaotic, akin to throwing darts with a blindfold on. Most songs turned into a puzzle once they reached the mixing phase, with a portion of the pieces being destined not to fit. It required constant compromising - discarding segments, restructuring, rewriting, etc. The combination of the difficult production process and temporary chaos at work left a blood-soaked trail behind me (excerpt from post 80).
In April, 2021, almost all of GoBoy 3, 4 and 5‘s songs were restructured to be under 3 minutes (preferably under 2m 30s), including this song. I became okay with releasing songs around the 2 min mark after realizing The Beatles and The Beach Boys had some songs around that length. In an attempt to increase replay value in this streaming era, most of GoBoy’s songs are now purposely around 2m 20s (excerpts from post 37).
A bass boost was added to songs 37-99 in Nov, 2021, while I was stuck at home with covid. As a result, this song feels more powerful. The bass boost isn’t a simple plugin nonchalantly added to each song. It’s a process that took about 3.5 hours per song, or one whole month to complete all songs. Admittedly, I pushed the bass boost a little too far for some of them. The bass in some songs sounds like a freaking earthquake (unnecessarily pronounced low frequencies 20 - 50 Hz). Might dial that back someday. The bass boost was also applied to every song on GoBoy 6 and beyond (excerpt from post 37).
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unfinishedessays · 1 year
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Record high temperature set three years ago topped by a degree and a half.  Wildfires in the arctic circle.  Catastrophic storms the planet over.  Climate change is here; we lost. 
For years the climate scientists have been setting a 1.5°C global temperature increase as the hard limit.  The ‘stay under this to avoid global catastrophy’ limit.  The ‘avoid this like the lives of your children and grandchildren depend on it’ limit.  We’re currently at 1.0°C and steadily climbing, and somehow we still give time and thought to those saying it’s not real.  The ones making the important choices and contributions still waffle and debate and make token gestures.
According to the experts the conservative estimate, the good news estimate, has us over 1.5 degrees within the decade and ending up between 2.4 and 3 degrees if we take major steps now.  These major steps not being global revolution and world changing but ten-year plans to reduce emissions by 50% or switch to electric cars or make the other slow grinding changes we’ve been fighting for for 50 years.  You know those 10 and 20 year plans they make and agreements they sign and empty political promises we get which at best end up 10 years behind schedule with a significantly reduced goal and the constant fight from those making money off those making money off the death of our planet.
So maybe all those things will happen and we’ll land happily in a planet a full degree above the hard limit the climate scientists gave us.  Or maybe conservative good news estimates are great to make us think there’s hope but fool me once, twice, twenty times shame on me.  We’re fucked.  These goals and targets won’t get hit.  They never have before. 
We can look at what it looks like in the worst case scenario, but we don’t even need to.  That 2.5°C good news target is bleak.  It’s wildfires, tornados, hurricanes, droughts, rising sea levels, food shortages, heat-related deaths, building collapses, disease, mass migration, civil unrest, wars.  That’s what the experts say.  If you don’t believe in climate change, I’m sorry you’ve been brainwashed by the massive propaganda effort and I’m impressed you made it this far.  Keep going, I believe in you.  If you do believe in climate change, this is really fucking depressing but also what you need to hear.  Burying your head in the sand and ignoring the sad reality doesn’t make it less real.  But depression doesn’t generate clicks so the news always shies away from it.  We’re fucked.  Acknowledge it. 
All the news articles end the same way.  How can you help?  Buy an electric car, eat less meat, take less flights.  Because one or a million or a billion each making a tiny change can outdo the massive industrial complexes poisoning our atmosphere.  Call your representative, use your vote effectively.   Because that’s worked great for the last 50 years of determined stagnation, but maybe now we’ll get through to them. 
The question that’s always asked then ‘answered’ is how can you help slow it down?  How can you fight back?  But that’s the wrong question to be asking because we’ve already found out the answer, basically, is ‘you can’t; it’s happening’. 
So now what.  What’s the next question?  I propose three:
What form of government/society can exist sustainably in concert with the environment, climate, and biome?
How can the current government/society mitigate the various aspects of the coming disaster?
How can an individual ensure the survival of themselves and their loved ones?
These are clearly complex questions and any reasonable answers will be even more so.  Nevertheless, here are the criminally shortened versions of my best answers. 
First, the ideal of endless growth must end.  It is fundamentally unsustainable for reasons which should be immediately obvious.  Second, the culture should be refocused from fundamental human supremacy to one of fundamental human integration.  We’re part of the ecosystem whether we like it or not, and we should build our society with that understanding in mind. How us humans should structure our government is not a question I’m fit to answer, but stay tuned for further writings on building a multi-species culture.
First, do all those ‘fighting climate change’ things we keep arguing about: invest in renewables, encourage biking and public transit, etc., etc..  Second, be prepared to help: invest in disaster management, invest in infrastructure both physical (dams, trains, water pipes) and social (welfare, food assistance, homeless shelters). Third, build better habits: encourage small scale agriculture like community gardens and backyard chickens, build and plan for small walkable communities,
First, consider where you live.  Is your area prone to earthquakes, wildfire, hurricanes, floods, etc.?  Can you move?  If you can, consider it.  If not, be realistic about what’s coming and be prepared.  Second, start doing things yourself: learn to grow/hunt/find your food, learn to repair your tools/machines/engines, if you want electricity get a solar panel or windmill and know how to repair it. 
Those are the short versions.  I will approach the long versions now, in reverse order. 
How can an individual ensure the survival of themselves and their loved ones?
Obviously you can’t ensure it, but just as obviously you can improve your chances.  First off, everyone whose first answer is ‘build a bunker’ or ‘hoard guns’ is wrong.  These might help in a war, they will not help now.  Let’s start by looking at the list of what to expect from above.
Wildfires, tornados, hurricanes, droughts, rising sea levels, food shortages, heat-related death, building collapses, disease, mass migration, civil unrest, wars
These fall into 3 categories:
direct environmental effects, such as wildfires, droughts, rising sea levels
first order effects, caused by direct environmental effects, such as food shortages, heat-related deaths, building collapses
higher order effects, such as mass migration, civil unrest, wars
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lehmannnymann15 · 1 year
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Re also: The Prevalence involving Sexual Dysfunctions and Intimately Related Stress within Women: A Cross-Sectional Questionnaire
CBF via XeCT regions-of-interest (ROIs) underneath the visual probes were utilised in order to compute relative XeCT CBF (rCBF(XeCT)) along with had been then when compared with rCBF(DCS). Spearman's rank coefficients ended up helpful to analyze for associations in between rCBF(DCS) and also rCBF(XeCT), in addition to in between rCBF via equally strategies as well as NIRS variables. rCBF(DCS) and also rCBF(XeCT) showed great relationship (r (ersus) Equates to 2.3, G Equals 0.010) throughout the patient cohort. Average correlations in between rCBF(DCS) as well as Delta HbO(Only two)/Delta THC have been in addition seen. Both NIRS as well as DCS famous the consequences associated with xenon breathing upon CBF, which various on the list of individuals. DCS sizes of CBF along with see more NIRS dimensions of tissue blood vessels oxygenation ended up successfully acquired within neurocritical treatment sufferers. The potential for DCS to offer continuous, non-invasive study in bed keeping track of for the purpose of CBF supervision along with tailored care can be exhibited.These studies gifts a whole new design that utilizes a combination of any graded pit carry level (GH) construction along with a steadily doped emissive coating (General electric) framework as being a dual ranked (DG) framework to further improve the particular electric powered as well as to prevent overall performance regarding white organic light-emitting diodes (WOLEDs). The particular proposed composition can be ITO/m-MTDATA (20 nm)/NPB (15 nm)/NPB: 25% BAlq (16 nm)/NPB: 50% BAlq (20 nm)/BAlq: Zero.5% Rubrene (Ten nm)/BAlq: 1% Rubrene (15 nm)/BAlq: 1.5% Rubrene (12 nm)/Alq(Three) (20 nm)/LiF (Zero.5 nm)/Al (190 nm). (m-MTDATA: Some,4',Several '' -tris(3-methylphenylphenylamino)triphenylamine; NPB: And,N'-diphenyl-N,N'-bis(1-naphthyl-phenyl)*(One,1'-biphenyl)-4,4'-diamine; BAlq: aluminium (III) bis(2-methyl-8-quinolinato) 4-phenylphenolate; Rubrene: A few,Half a dozen,11,12-tetraphenylnaphthacene; Alq(3): tris-(8-hydroxyquinoline) light weight aluminum). By using this construction, the most effective efficiency with the WOLED will be obtained in a lustrous productivity from 14.8 cd/A as well as the turn-on voltage regarding 100 cd/m(Only two) at Several.6 Sixth is v. The particular DG structure could eliminate the individually distinct program, as well as degrade excess holes, your electron-hole frames are generally proficiently being injected and healthy recombination from the emissive level, therefore the spectra tend to be unrevised underneath different drive voltages and also quenching consequences can be significantly under control. Individuals positive aspects can increase performance and they are safe from generate existing thickness different versions. (D) The year 2010 Elsevier T./. All rights earmarked.Changes in property utilize along with subsequent adjustments throughout vegetation may influence breaking down via modifications in litter box high quality (hormones as well as construction) along with adjustments regarding earth temp and also humidity. Each of our goal ended up being study the connection between territory abandonment about litter breaking down within a Mediterranean sea section of Montado, South England. All of us tested your speculation in which decomposition tends to decrease using abandonment, as woodsy types, thicker inside lignified structures, substitute herbaceous species. We assessed the breaking down involving group litter inside situ utilizing litterbag method.
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melbournenewsvine · 2 years
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Victorian and federal governments unite to pay $2.25 billion for renewable energy
Prime Minister Daniel Andrews said the plan would mean more jobs, clean energy and cheaper electricity bills for Victorians. “Victoria has reduced emissions by more than any other state, tripled the amount of renewable energy and created thousands of jobs,” he said. “We’re not just talking about climate action, we’re keeping it going.” Star of the South wind and wave monitoring equipment collects data off the coast of Gippsland. Earlier this year, the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) placed the KerangLink project in the “urgent progress” category, along with four massive network upgrades involving a total of 10,000 km of new transmission lines. But so far, the timing or funding arrangements have been unclear, with AEMO only suggesting that the project should be built by mid-2031 “or sooner with additional support”. The issue will be brought up at the upcoming meeting of state and federal energy ministers on August 12. loading An AEMO project assessment of the link found it would generate net benefits of $687 million and warned that it would be necessary to meet Australia’s goal of net zero emissions by 2050. “The projected shutdown of old coal-fired generators in Victoria and New South Wales over the coming decades presents a major challenge to providing reliability to the power industry,” the AEMO report said. Victoria promises that half of the state’s electricity will be generated using renewable energy by 2030. But the plan faces a huge potential roadblock, as the grid’s capacity to handle more renewables reaches its limits. Commonwealth countries, Victoria and Tasmania have also signed agreements for the Marinus Link, a 1,500 megawatt undersea and underground power link to connect Tasmania to Victoria. Under the agreement, each of the three jurisdictions promised to contribute equally to the total 20 percent of the project’s cost. She said the undersea link would create 1,400 jobs in Victoria and attract $1.5 billion in investment to the Gippsland region. State government modeling recently submitted to the age It found that the KerangLink project would allow Victoria to export 1,930 megawatts of electricity to NSW from renewable projects, such as offshore wind farms. It estimated that the project would reduce retail electricity bills by $30-40 a year from 2030 onward, with capital costs offset by cheap energy. With coal-fired power rapidly phasing out, AEMO has warned that the current “record rate” at which renewables increase each year must be maintained for ten years to triple variable renewable energy capacity by 2030, and nearly double it again by 2030. 2040, and then double it again by 2050. The Morning Edition newsletter is our guide to the most interesting daily stories, analysis and insights. Register here. Source link Originally published at Melbourne News Vine
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maloneyjohannessen · 2 years
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Bet on the World Cup
Bet on the World Cup The World Cup is coming to the United Kingdom in November and December, and that means new opportunities to bet on sports. You can make your World Cup bets with an online bookmaker. However, you should do your research before betting on World Cup games. This includes learning more about the teams and players participating in the tournament. Also, be sure to dedicate money to your gambling activities only. The odds for the World Cup finals will vary depending on the teams participating, so you might want to look for a team that isn't considered a favorite. You can bet on the top goalscorer in the tournament, but remember that no team is guaranteed to win, so it's best to spread your bets evenly. You can also bet on teams that make it to the quarter-finals or the final. Before making your bets, it's important to sign up with more than one bookmaker. This way, you can take advantage of multiple signup bonuses. As the tournament goes on, patterns will emerge, so keep an eye out for those. For example, you'll be able to spot teams that keep clean sheets or that play well in the first half but flourish after the break. Another popular World Cup bet is to bet on the final score. Sportsbooks offer odds for each possible outcome of a match, and it's up to you to pick the one you think is most likely. If you don't know how to do this, you can use a calculator provided by an online sportsbook. You can also place bets on the spread. Spread betting, which is popular in the NFL and NBA, improves the value of your bets on soccer games. If you bet on a 1.5-goal game, for example, you must bet on the favorite team to win by two goals or more. If you bet on the underdog, you can't lose more than one goal. The World Cup is one of the most popular events in the world. It is organized by FIFA every four years and is watched by millions of people around the world. There are 32 teams participating, with four games a day. เดิมพันบอลโลก will take place in Qatar, and it will be the first World Cup to be played in a winter. If you're planning to bet on the World Cup, you should do so with caution. As with most sports games, you need to know the point spread for the World Cup games you're betting on. A team that's favored by 0.5 goals or more will have the highest odds. You can also bet on the over/under odds. A popular type of soccer bet is moneyline betting, which is the simplest type of bet. You can place a bet on the favorite team or the underdog team, depending on the odds. The former gives you a bigger payout, but it comes with a greater risk.
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kayla1993-world · 2 years
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At current rates, 5 key climate tipping points are already possible, a new study warns
According to a major European study, current rates of global warming have already brought the world perilously close to several tipping points that could send key global weather systems into irreversible collapse.
The study adds to the growing body of scientific research on non-linear climate changes — a major, irreversible change that goes beyond the linear and gradual rise in average temperatures. 
It discovered that five tipping points are possible under current levels of global warming, including the abrupt thawing of permafrost in the boreal forest and the end of an ocean current system in the Labrador Sea.
Both of these tipping points are in Canada.
More concerning, a study published Friday in Science magazine suggests that at 1.5 degrees Celsius of global warming, four tipping points will shift from "possible" to "likely."
The findings raise concerns about whether the international Paris Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to well below 2 degrees Celsius, ideally below 1.5 degrees Celsius, is sufficient to avert climate catastrophe. 
According to the study, these tipping points would have disastrous consequences for global weather patterns, sea-level rise, and biodiversity. Some of these, such as the permafrost thawing, would release even more greenhouse gases, hastening climate change even further.
However, the study's authors state that, while understanding of tipping points has improved over the last decade, several factors remain uncertain.
The timescales for the tipping points vary as well. Some will happen faster than others: the coral reef die-off could take 10 years if triggered, and the abrupt thawing of boreal permafrost could take 200 years.
"Every fraction of a degree above 1.5 C that we avoid reduces the likelihood of further tipping points being triggered or made possible," McKay explained. 
Permafrost covers roughly half of Canada, where the ground remains at 0 degrees Celsius or lower. McKay says that while the gradual thawing of this permafrost has been a concern for some time, there is now a greater awareness of the possibility of an abrupt thaw, which could leave its mark on the local landscape — and have major consequences for the global climate.
This is due to the presence of carbon in permafrost from the remains of dead plants and animals dating back millions of years. That carbon is currently locked safely in the ground, but if permafrost thaws, it could be released into the atmosphere, hastening global warming.
Baltzer has witnessed the changes in the northern landscape firsthand and emphasizes the importance of these soils remaining as they are.
"As those soils warm up and thaw, that carbon becomes available to the soil's microbes for decomposition and the release of carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere."
It turns into a destructive cycle. 
As permafrost thaws and carbon is released, the planet continues to warm, hastening permafrost thawing and releasing more carbon into the atmosphere. 
According to Baltzer, the Arctic is warming at a rate several times that of the rest of the world, so a 1.5 C increase in global temperatures would result in a four- to five-degree increase in the Arctic.
"The challenge is that with these additional Arctic contributions, it makes the entire process of attempting to achieve that net-zero goal even more difficult."
Loriani believes that the concept of non-linear changes, such as tipping points, which can be uncontrollable and unpredictable, is difficult to grasp.
As a result, it can be a difficult topic to discuss during climate talks.
According to the study, there are varying levels of uncertainty over each tipping point, implying that some climate systems require additional research to understand exactly how they are changing. 
Some areas of global permafrost are better studied than others, according to Baltzer, such as Siberia, which is a difficult environment to work in but contains the world's largest area of permafrost. 
The world has already reached 1.1 degrees Celsius of global warming and is on track to reach 1.5 degrees Celsius by the 2030s. According to research published in Nature in April, countries' net-zero pledges and climate plans, if implemented, could limit global warming to just under 2 degrees Celsius.
However, current policies are expected to result in about 2.6 degrees Celsius of warming. The study, which was published on Friday, warns that at those temperatures, tipping points such as abrupt permafrost thaw and the collapse of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets will become "very" likely.
"Current policies that lead to 2 to 3 degrees Celsius warming are dangerous because they are likely to trigger multiple climate tipping points," the tipping point study concludes.
"Our most recent assessment of climate tipping points provides strong scientific support for the Paris Agreement and related efforts to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius."
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