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outsidereveries · 7 months

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mtl: companies’ overall success despite if it's literal or behind the scenes — now vs in 5 years

NOW

most successful

bighit music will achieve new, unexpected things that will benefit the company well. since the achievement/s in question are quite unexpected, it can be related to tommorow x together’s recent collaboration with anitta. that will make the group more desired for collaborations and other activities. if that happens to be for v or jungkook (assuming he’ll release album in the near future), the same thing applies to one of the boys. (judgement, the high priestess + with permission: 4 of wands)

aomg is doing well, everything is going good to them and their artists. although quiter tham the rest, they’re doing just fine in their pace (knight of cups)

koz is trying to manifest something that will make the company rise. there might be offer that will come towards their current group or zico/dvwn. whatever will come to the company will bring significant change. (page of cups)

yg entertainment might be aware of new, possible opportunities in the future. however, i’m not sure for where this is all about since the options are many: it can be for treasure, it can be for blackpink, it can be for babymonster, it can be for akmu, it can be for something totally different that’s not related to their groups at all. (the high priestess + with permission: knight of cups, the hierophant)

dsp media is in early stages of rebranding gavy nj OR debuting young posse alongside with beats entertainment… looks like it’s the first one (page of wands) the second thing is already spoiled

right now fnc is in good hands that can help the company to blossom. the potential is there, i don’t see any actions (queens of cups and pentacles, clarifying card: ace of pentacles)

similar to fnc, mystic story currently have 2 strong people that can influence the subsidiary very good and make the company shine more. the intentions however can be building currently and they’re not finalized yet as both people might have disagreements for some topics. both of them are here for the sake of the company’s future so they should discuss everything very carefully (queens of pentacles and swords + with permission (the moon in the bottom): 2 of cups, 2 of pentacles, 3 of wands, clarifying card: 8 of swords rx)

fantagio is currently “chill” about something they work on. they hope it will work well. (temperance, clarifying card: the star)

wakeone is eager to debut the upcoming girl group coming from i-land 2 OR is working very excitingly on one of their groups’ upcoming comeback. (if the energy is about the second option, that might be zb1 as they’re ready with kep1er and they’re uploading their results now) they’re very persistent to work the things out. (ace of wands, 5 of pentacles rx)

there’s important desicion that starship entertainment has to make in regards of investment/money. it could be because of kakao’s desicion to sell the subsidiary for ai purposes, especially when they have ive. currently starship can afford to not be subsidiary anymore, but they’re cautious whether it’s worth it or not. (2 of pentacles, queen of pentacles)

sm entertainment seems to be “collabing” with some people that will benefit the company in the furure. alternatively, the company might celebrate riize’s debut that happened recently and the surrounding buzz around the boys. the surrounding energy isn’t that memorable, it’s just the company doing their job. (3 of cups)

modhaus seems to be aware of something, possibly behind the scenes related and possibly related to artms and loona. they’re very dedicated to make everything work. (the devil rx, clarifying card: knight of pentacles)

oddly enough ctdenm has the same cards as modhaus, just in reverse places. (knight of pentacles, the devil rx)

cube have gotten over the worst - it looks like it’s related to pentagon’s contracts. despite if they have actually renewed fully/partially or not, they’ll continue like usual. there’s nothing worrying (10 of swords rx, king of pentacles)

there seemed to be an issue with source music in the past that recently have been resolved, possibly related to le sserafim’s comeback. the company seems to be in the early stages for it (3 of swords rx, page of wands)

rbw made compromise, possibly to dsp media. they tried to make them change their mind for something, possibly related again to gavy nj OR young posse such as dsp scrapping reviving gavy nj or young posse to debut with wm or rbw trainees and screw beats entertainment (5 of wands rx, clarifying card: 3 of cups)

wm entertainment is changing their plans for their upcoming girl group. (6 of cups rx, clarifying card: the magician)

yuehua’s korean division seems to be stagnant. therefore, their future seems to be uncertain for some reason. (10 of wands rx, the fool)

pledis is currently working with someone (probably unrelated to the coorporation). however, they have to be careful as them working together can have drastic consequences. (the lovers, clarifying card: 7 of swords rx)

although s2 is doing quiiiite better compared to the past, they expected a lot more for kiss of life’s debut, they expected more sales and more relevance for the girls’ debut. (the world, 9 of cups rx)

currently belift is in situation where they have no choice but to choose creative freedom over materealistic things such as money, offers and etc. as there can be change in the company’s staff (the hermit)

ador has to be cautious of what they want to do. they seem to do multiple things in once however it can backfire, so one step by one step is the best choice. (the chariot rx)

pnation is trying to fight over something that currently makes psy’s company working more chaotic than usual. because of the current issue the company has everything is blocked/delayed. (9 of wands, clarifying card: ace of wands rx)

despite of jyp entertainment working hard, they’re in short of money. unfortunately, the company seems to save as much as possible because of possible losses. it happened with the time and they lost bigger amount of money than allowed. unless there are changes, the company will stay in similar situation. (4 of pentacles)

both 143 and woolim are in situations that find something unfulfilling and lose bigger amount of money than expected. (for woolim possibly one or all of their groups while for 143 possibly limelight) unfortunately, they have to give up trying to open new doors for something else. (8 of cups, clarifying card: temperance)

highup are in the verge of destroying something they’ve builded for quite a while. (might be unrelated to stayc but perhaps with connections they’ve done) (ace of pentacles rx)

ist entertainment should be careful of being scammed or of artists who want to leave the company as the creative freedom there is limited due to the merges. the company is focused on the money rather than their artists’ freedom and it will catch them sooner or later (king of cups rx)

kq has to be very careful as deception is on the horizon. from the ateez career reading check until 2025, it looks like someone from their company’s staff will do it instead of the boys. whatever they are doing will come to an end and it’s time for needed, for big, for important changes. this is definitely behind the scenes related. (7 of swords, death)

least successful

AFTER 5 YEARS

most successful

143 entertaiment will be basically in their heaven zone both with the company's staff and their artists by the time. they could have good offers by that time (4 of wands)

pnation will make their dreams come true. there will be (an) achievement/s! (9 of cups, clarifying card: the world)

mystic story will have beneficial offer by that time. if they debut new group in 5 years, it can be directed towards them (ace of pentacles)

wm will do very well and will win a lot of money, but with many work from the company's side (ace of cups and 10 of cups, clarifying card: 5 of pentacles rx)

kq will do very, very good, they will be very ambitious, possibly for upcoming group (queen of wands)

starship might debut someone as a soloist or new group in 5 years. it can do very well OR they will win a lot of money in that time due to them accepting an activity or sth else (ace of swords)

aomg will do also very good, i see someone traveling such as local/continent or world tour and they might even sold out their dates (8 of pentacles, 3 of wands)

jyp entertaiment can do quite well, however in my opinion their energy is instable because of some reasons: 1) the empress can be very individual card (in my opinion) as well as very beneficial in their industry, so the possibilities here in my opinion for the empress are two - many individual gigs from their idols or the creativity from their idols will rise more than ever. however 2) 2 of cups can indicate many collaborations OR the company becoming a subsidiary of another such as hybe or kakao (although rbw is possible too, it's more unlikely. hybe's chairman and jype's chairman WERE classmates and si hyuk was working with jype in the past while kakao is one of the richest companies of all in south korea. i personally think if the subsidiary thing happens, it will be with hybe for friendship reasons) 3) the bottom card is ace of pentacles, so many money is involved by that time and assuming how the groups are currently doing: twice as a group seems to weaken, 2pm is doing their things, boystory is promoting in china and idqk how is their relevance there, itzy's popularity isn't like before, day6 are also doing their things + they have members in the military, right?, niziu(ik they're japanese group but imo it aligns internationally; i see their sales in japan are around 200k almost every time so yeah idk if that's good or not), xdinary heroes and nmixx aren't that relevant in south korea and even internationally to some extent (compared to twice and skz, ik xdinary heroes and nmixx have fans but it's simply not enough imo) so stray kids and individual members of the other groups such as nayeon and some others are doing the best but it's not enough for now it looks like both options are possible; i personally think jype can become a subsidiary, possibly of hybe, and only then the creative freedom for the company will rise (the empress, 2 of cups + clarifying card: ace of pentacles)

fantagio might finally have just enough money to give someone to debut a group, such as a member in one of their current groups or someone in their staff who will have a raise in the future (strength, 3 of pentacles)

modhaus will finally reunite loona! but wait, someone's missing.. where's chuu*? (8 of cups, additional card: 4 of wands + clarifying card: the empress; *i might be wrong but i felt her)

i would say that belift will work as usual. there isn't something specific (4 of cups rx, 8 of pentacles)

ist entertaiment might receive more fame because of one of their groups OR of one of the idols from one of their groups. they won't be prepared at all and the company might be critized because of it. (6 of wands, clarifying card: page of swords)

koz might receive an offer in 5 years that can make them moving on from something. if boynextdoor disbands by that time, i see them debuting new group around that time. (knight of cups, clarifying card: 6 of swords)

woolim entertaiment's energy is instable. i can see something that happens in their favor but something else had to be sacrifised such as much more money, someone else as trainee or something that's different. they might have viral moment that will come but at cost that they will don't know what to do. similar as ist entertaiment, woolim will receive something that will be unexcepted and they won't know what to do to keep the increasing relevance. (9 of cups, the hanged man, 6 of wands, 8 of wands, page of swords + clarifying card: 2 of swords rx)

if big hit music continues to work like how they usually do, they'll reach may more things. (the hermit + additional card: 3 of wands + clarifying card: ace of cups)

although yg entertaiment might be motivated and ambitious, possibly for upcoming ... girl group?, they shouldn't fuck them all over again as it happens for the group before 2ne1, for 2ne1, for blackpink and for babymonster now. the chariot can be a knife with 2 blades and although they're very happy with how it works out, they have to be cautious as they had to be in the past, even more. (the chariot, clarifying card: ace of cups)

highup will be stagnant around that time. (ace of wands rx, clarifying card: 4 of cups rx)

pledis will work as usual. however, it seems that something can happen in less than 5 years that will shake them (4 of cups rx)

ador might receive scandal around that time. other than that, it’s stagnant with them too (the tower, clarifying card: 9 of swords rx)

yuehua's korean division seems to work on new group, possibly on boy group (king of swords)

i can say what will happen in 5 years for source music. same action, new people - le sserafim disbands, new group comes (judgement, clarifying card: the hierophant)

fnc might make a deal with someone (it can be collaboration, it can be sth else) but it can be dangerous. they have to be careful (the lovers, clarifying card: page of swords)

unfortunately, sme will be.. different. either they will merge with someone or they will be subsidiary. this will happen apparently in less than 5 years but it will be fresh. nothing else (5 of cups rx, clarifying card: 6 of swords)

wakeone will be in similar situation as jyp entertaiment in the present and will have losses. they might debut a group around that time just to try to return their loans at that time (4 of pentacles, clarifying card: the star)

dsp might bankrupt around that time, however i am not sure if they'll get through this difficult time (the hanged man rx, clarifying card: 9 of cups)

rbw might be overwhelmed because of dsp media. it looks like they will get everything from them nonetheless (10 of wands rx + temperance)

s2 might stop to function as a company because of a scandal related to some sort of violence/cheating/married man. alternatively, they might be in similar situation as dsp media with the difference they don't have any ideas for upcoming group/s. however, i doubt this. (king of cups rx, clarifying card: ace of wands rx)

least successful

personally i am not sure what will happen to ctdenm but if they happen to merge with modhaus (because of loona) or taking different route, they will try to fight over something that currently makes them working more chaotic than usual. their future is blocked/delayed from me to see. (9 of wands, clarifying card: ace of wands rx + i am aware the cards are the same as pnation for now but their situation bc of loona makes it difficult for me to see if they are in the same path with modhaus for me)

uncertain

this was asked on 15th september 2023

due to the limit of 30 hashtags, i had no choice but to not add some of them. if you don’t see specific company, their parent company is added instead.

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mostlysignssomeportents · 7 months

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"Efficiency" left the Big Three vulnerable to smart UAW tactics

Tomorrow (September 22), I'm (virtually) presenting at the DIG Festival in Modena, Italy. Tomorrow night, I'll be in person at LA's Book Soup for the launch of Justin C Key's "The World Wasn’t Ready for You." On September 27, I'll be at Chevalier's Books in Los Angeles with Brian Merchant for a joint launch for my new book The Internet Con and his new book, Blood in the Machine.

It's been 143 days since the WGA went on strike against the Hollywood studios. While early tactical leaks from the studios had studio execs chortling and twirling their mustaches about writers caving once they started losing their homes, the strikers aren't wavering – they're still out there, pounding the picket lines, every weekday:

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/09/how-hollywood-writers-make-ends-meet-100-days-into-the-writers-guild-strike.html

The studios obviously need writers. That gleeful, anonymous studio exec who got such an obvious erotic charge at the thought of workers being rendered homeless as punishment for challenging his corporate power completely misread the room, and his comments didn't demoralize the writers. Instead, they inspired the actors to go on strike, too.

But how have the writers stayed out since May Day? How have the actors stayed out for 69 days since their strike started on Bastille Day? We can thank the studios for that! As it turns out, the studios have devoted so much energy to rendering creative workers as precarious as possible, hiring as little as they can getting away with and using punishing overtime as a substitute for adequate staffing that they've eliminated all the workers who can't survive on side-hustles and savings for six or seven months at a time.

But even for those layoff-hardened workers, long strikes are brutal, and of course, all the affiliated trades, from costumers to grips, are feeling the pain. The strike fund only goes so far, and non-striking, affected workers don't even get that. That's why I've been donating regularly to the Entertainment Community Fund, which helps all affected workers out with cash transfers (I just gave them another $500):

https://secure2.convio.net/afa/site/Donation2?df_id=8117&8117.donation=form1&mfc_pref=T

As hot labor summer is revealed as a turning point – not just a season – long strikes will become the norm. Bosses still don't believe in worker power, and until they get their minds right, they're going to keep on trying to starve their workforces back inside. To get a sense of how long workers will have to hold out, just consider the Warrior Met strike, where Alabama coal-miners stayed out for 23 months:

https://www.thenation.com/article/activism/warrior-met-strike-union/

As Kim Kelly explained to Adam Conover in the latest Factually podcast, the Alabama coal strikers didn't get anywhere near the attention that the Hollywood strikers have enjoyed:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvyMHf7Yg0Q

(To learn more about the untold story of worker organizing, from prison unions to the key role that people of color and women played in labor history, check out Kelly's book, "Fight Like Hell," now in paperback:)

https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Fight-Like-Hell/Kim-Kelly/9781982171063

Which brings me to the UAW strike. This is an historic strike, the first time that the UAW has struck all of the Big Three automakers at once. Past autoworkers' strikes have marked turning points for all American workers. The 1945/46 GM strike established employers' duty to cover worker pensions, health care, and cost of living allowances. The GM strike created the American middle-class:

https://prospect.org/labor/2023-09-18-uaw-strikes-built-american-middle-class/

The Big Three are fighting for all the marbles here. They are refusing to allow unions to organize EV factories. Given that no more internal combustion cars will be in production in just a few short years, that's tantamount to eliminating auto unions altogether. The automakers are flush with cash, including billions in public subsidies from multiple bailouts, along with billions more from greedflation price-gouging. A long siege is inevitable, as the decimillionaires running these companies earn their pay by starving out their workers:

https://www.businessinsider.com/general-motors-ceo-mary-barra-salary-auto-workers-strike-uaw-2023-9

The UAW knows this, of course, and their new leadership – helmed by the union's radical president Shawn Fain – has a plan. UAW workers are engaged in tactical striking, shutting down key parts of the supply chain on a rolling basis, making the 90-day strike fund stretch much farther:

https://prospect.org/blogs-and-newsletters/tap/2023-09-18-labors-militant-creativity/

In this project, they are greatly aided by Big Car's own relentless pursuit of profit. The automakers – like every monopolized, financialized sector – have stripped all the buffers and slack out of their operations. Inventory on hand is kept to a bare minimum. Inputs are sourced from the cheapest bidder, and they're brought to the factory by the lowest-cost option. Resiliency – spare parts, backup machinery – is forever at war with profits, and profits have won and won and won, leaving auto production in a brittle, and easily shattered state.

This is especially true for staffing. Automakers are violently allergic to hiring workers, because new workers get benefits and workplace protection. Instead, the car companies routinely offer "voluntary" overtime to their existing workforce. By refusing this overtime, workers can kneecap production, without striking.

Enter "Eight and Skate," a campaign among UAW workers to clock out after their eight hour shift. As Keith Brower Brown writes for Labor Notes, the UAW organizers are telling workers that "It’s crossing an unofficial picket line to work overtime. It’s helping out the company":

https://labornotes.org/2023/09/work-extra-during-strike-auto-workers-say-eight-and-skate

Eight and Skate has already started to work; the Buffalo Ford plant can no longer run its normal weekend shifts because workers are refusing to put in voluntary overtime. Of course, bosses will strike back: the next step will be forced overtime, which will lead to the unsafe conditions that unionized workers are contractually obliged to call paid work-stoppages over, shutting down operations without touching the strike fund.

What's more, car bosses can't just halt safety stoppages or change the rules on overtime; per the UAW's last contract, bosses are required to bargain on changes to overtime rules:

https://uaw.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Working-Without-Contract-FAQ-FINAL-2.pdf

Car bosses have become lazily dependent on overtime. At GM's "highly profitable" SUV factory in Arlington, TX, normal production runs a six-days, 24 hours per day. Workers typically work five eight-hour days and nine hours on Saturdays. That's been the status quo for 11 years, but when bosses circulated the usual overtime signup sheet last week, every worker wrote "a big fat NO" next to their names.

Writing for The American Prospect, David Dayen points out that this overtime addiction puts a new complexion on the much-hyped workerpocalypse that EVs will supposedly bring about. EVs are much simpler to build than conventional cars, the argument goes, so a US transition to EVs will throw many autoworkers out of work:

https://prospect.org/labor/2023-09-20-big-threes-labor-shortages-uaw/

But the reality is that most autoworkers are doing one and a half jobs already. Reducing the "workforce" by a third could leave all these workers with their existing jobs, and the 40-hour workweek that their forebears fought for at GM inn 1945/46. Add to that the additional workers needed to make batteries, build and maintain charging infrastructure, and so on, and there's no reason to think that EVs will weaken autoworker power.

And as Dayen points out, this overtime addiction isn't limited to cars. It's also endemic to the entertainment industry, where writers' "mini rooms" and other forms of chronic understaffing are used to keep workforces at a skeleton crew, even when the overtime costs more than hiring new workers.

Bosses call themselves job creators, but they have a relentless drive to destroy jobs. If there's one thing bosses hate, it's paying workers – hence all the hype about AI and automation. The stories about looming AI-driven mass unemployment are fairy tales, but they're tailor made for financiers who get alarming, life-threatening priapism at the though of firing us all and replacing us with shell-scripts:

https://pluralistic.net/2023/03/09/autocomplete-worshippers/#the-real-ai-was-the-corporations-that-we-fought-along-the-way

This is why Republican "workerism" rings so hollow. Trump's GOP talks a big game about protecting "workers" (by which they mean anglo men) from immigrants and "woke captialism," but they have nothing to say about protecting workers from bosses and bankers who see every dime a worker gets as misappropriated from their dividend.

Unsurprisingly, conservative message-discipline sucks. As Luke Savage writes in Jacobin, for every mealymouthed Josh Hawley mouthing talking points that "support workers" by blaming China and Joe Biden for the Big Three's greed, there's a Tim Scott, saying the quiet part aloud:

https://jacobin.com/2023/09/republicans-uaw-strike-hawley-trump-scott/

Quoth Senator Scott: "I think Ronald Reagan gave us a great example when federal employees decided they were going to strike. He said, you strike, you’re fired. Simple concept to me. To the extent that we can use that once again, absolutely":

https://twitter.com/American_Bridge/status/1704136706574741988

The GOP's workerism is a tissue-thin fake. They can never and will never support real worker power. That creates an opportunity for Biden and Democrats to seize:

https://pluralistic.net/2023/09/18/co-determination/#now-make-me-do-it

Reversing two generations of anti-worker politics is a marathon, not a sprint. The strikes are going to run for months, even years. Every worker will be called upon to support their striking siblings, every day. We can do it. Solidarity now. Solidarity forever.

If you'd like an essay-formatted version of this post to read or share, here's a link to it on pluralistic.net, my surveillance-free, ad-free, tracker-free blog:

https://pluralistic.net/2023/09/21/eight-and-skate/#strike-to-rule

#pluralistic #strikes #uaw #labor #automakers #big three #big car #eight and skate #work to rule #tactics

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