#Blanchard

[roughridingrednecks]

Blanchard

#blanchard #MMA #torso tats #redneck #fighter #mustache #blond #wifebeater

[loki-zen]

restatement of blanchard&bailey findings in light of the proper context:

(science voice) some women find that wearing dresses makes them feel pretty. also they think it might be fun and sexy to have bigger boobs. not all women tho just some of them

#i have posted about this before but this particular restatement just came to me and i liked it #transphobia #blanchard #agp #for cws

[empirearchives]

Sophie Blanchard

1811 Performances in Paris:

#Sophie Blanchard #blanchard #napoleonic era #hot air balloons #aeronaut #ballooning #balloons #napoleonic #first french empire #napoleon #Falling Upwards by Richard Holmes #Sky Sailors: True Stories of the Balloon Era by David L. Bristow #Napoleon: A Life Told in Gardens and Shadows #napoleon bonaparte #19th century #aviation #france #french history

[the-cricket-chirps]

Maria Blanchard

Woman with Fan

1916

#modern art #maria blanchard #blanchard #cubist #cubism #spanish painter #spanish artist #spanish art #spanish cubism #women artists #women cubists #abstract #spain #woman #fan

[jt1674]

#hope sandoval #colm o'ciosoig #hope sandoval and the warm inventions #through the devil softly #blanchard

[onecornerface]

Against Blanchardianism - some reasons

Some Blanchardians seem to think Blanchardianism is *obviously* true, and that critics reject it due to sheer prejudice or strawmen, etc. I claim otherwise. There are good reasons to be skeptical, even if these are not reasons to say it is debunked, etc.

(Note to readers: If you've never heard of Blanchardianism or autogynephilia, don't bother reading this.)

First, the main evidence for Blanchardianism consists in some obscure statistical clustering arguments—that there are two core clusters of trans women, and that Blanchardianism is the best explanation for these two clusters. This is an obscure and difficult-to-evaluate kind of argument. It is often reasonable for someone to be skeptical of the validity of this kind of argument even when it is not obviously bunk. It is the kind of argument that is *often* bunk, and it is hard to confirm that it is legitimate.

Second, there may be a notion that people only reject Blanchardianism because they think it entails that transness is a sexual fetish in a crude sense, and/or that it would be very bad if transness were a fetish. But I recognize that the theory entails that transness is a paraphilia in a sophisticated sense, and that it would not be very bad if transness were a paraphilia in such a sophisticated sense. If some trans women have AGP or HSTS, I think that’s fine. Are a lot of people biased against Blanchardianism due to wokeness and prejudice? Almost surely, yes. But I don’t think I am very biased against Blanchardianism, and I would defend Blanchardianism if I thought it was a highly plausible theory. Notice here that I do not insist that Blanchardianism is false, and this is because I am not sure that Blanchardianism is false. I am laying out my reasons for skepticism of Blanchardianism, because I think these are good reasons for skepticism.

Third, Blanchardianism relies heavily on strong *subconscious* psychological structures, of a sort whose existence is difficult to discern or investigate. Moreover, it relies heavily on *causal* theories of such psychological structures—a kind of psychological causation which is also hard to discern or investigate. I am not averse to the idea that subconscious psychological states exist, or that they exert powerful causal force. But are there *any* well-supported psychological theories which command any serious consensus, at present? Any at all? I don’t think there are. There are no well-established or consensus psychology theories which lean heavily on causation by subconscious structures, even if some such theories are in fact true (which they may well be—I don’t think this is implausible at all). And it is *extremely* unlikely that Blanchardianism is *better* established than all other relevantly similar psychological theories in all of psychology or adjacent scholarly fields.

Fourth, the main Blanchardian scientists—who ostensibly have the most credentials and scientific understanding of the evidence for the theory—are generally working within a weird-looking framework of sexology. This sexology framework seems to (1) have a bad track record (e.g. excessively pathologizing various types of sexual deviance, especially re: women or feminine men, in ways that look very biased and unreliable), and (2) be weirdly taxonomy-oriented in a manner that seems likely outdated. It seems a Blanchardian would need to either (A) defend traditional sexology against allegations that it is dated and biased, or (B) defend the claim that Blanchardian theory is not problematically inheriting dubious qualities of traditional sexology. None of this debunks Blanchardianism, but it raises doubts about its scientific status.

Fifth, Blanchardianism typically claims ALL (or very nearly all) trans women fall into its two-type taxonomy/etiology, which means it may be vulnerable to counterexamples—particularly bisexual and asexual trans women, among others. My impression is that the main response here is to insist that all (or very nearly all) the apparent bisexual and asexual trans women are, in fact, gay or straight. This sounds either (A) wildly ad hoc, or (B) tied to a related theory claiming that bisexuality (and asexuality) in AMAB people (including cis men) is either nonexistent or vanishingly rare. I don’t know if Blanchard claims this, but I think Bailey might claim this. If Blanchardianism really requires such *extreme* auxiliary hypotheses like “bisexual men don’t exist,” then that’s a HUGE cost of the theory. I leave open the possibility that it doesn’t require such an implication.

Sixth, Blanchardianism bears a suspicious resemblance to two unflattering stereotypes of trans women, which were already prevalent long before Blanchardianism was proposed as a theory—the unflattering stereotypes of the “deceptive transsexual” and the “pathetic transsexual” (cf. Julia Serano’s “Whipping Girl”), which arose in a cultural context that was patently unscientific and motivated by brazen anti-trans bigotry (a bigotry intermingled with sexism and homophobia). The cultural context which created the two unflattering stereotypes is unlikely to be truth-tracking. Blanchardianism might be plausibly construed as an instance of a broader phenomenon, i.e. how traditional sexology might tend to inherit a kind of mission of scientifically legitimizing pre-existent prejudices and stereotypes. This may provide some modest second-order evidence which reduces the credentials of Blanchardianism, and renders its prominence somewhat less impressive than it would otherwise be. However, it does not show that Blanchardianism is false, it does not entail that there cannot be strong first-order evidence for Blanchardianism, and it does not entail that Blanchardians believe in or are logically committed to anti-trans beliefs. Moreover, it is unclear what precise range of causal theories is compatible with the above second-order argument, or whether some causal theory within this range is true.

So it is unclear precisely *why* or *how much* Blanchardianism’s resemblance to pre-existent anti-trans stereotypes should impact our judgment of the theory’s probability—and yet, it *does* bear such a resemblance, and this resemblance is suspicious. Indeed to an extreme degree. Is the resemblance illusory, or coincidental, or somehow truth-tracking? It would be surprising if these considerations did not lower its probability to at least some mild to moderate degree. At the end of the day, Blanchardianism sure looks a lot like a myth concocted in the throes of anti-trans bigotry, and this resemblance sure seems to render it less likely to be true. I don’t think one needs to have a woke politically correct bias to think so, no matter how prevalent such bias may be.

Seventh, nearly all Blanchardians seem to be crackpots and uninterested in criticizing or improving their own discourse or culture. The only notable exception seems to be Tailcalled (Survey-Anon), who in my experience seems to be by far the sanest, smartest, and most virtuous Blanchardian. I have no significant complaints about Tailcalled. Moreover, IIRC he insists that (1) Blanchardian discourse is broadly terrible, and (2) many aspects of traditional Blanchardianism are false and need to be modified.

Many of the loudest and most avid (ostensible) Blanchardians are anti-trans bigots who do not even understand or believe in anything very similar to Blanchard’s own version of Blanchardianism. Instead, they hold a worse and stupider version of Blanchardianism which depicts transness as a crude fetish rather than a sophisticated paraphilia in the sense described by the actual view.

Two further notes:

One, there is some possible motte-and-bailey between at least two or three senses of AGP, e.g. between (1) “some AMAB people, including some trans women, get turned on by wearing dresses” (which is *obviously* true-- no sane person could deny it) and (2) “the AGP etiology causal theory is true for some trans women” (immensely more dubious) and (3) “the AGP/HSTS two-type etiology is true for all or nearly all trans women” (*extremely* dubious). Only the first is obviously true; the second is a dubious causal theory, and the third is a weirdly general theory which is antecedentally improbable.

Two, some people accuse self-identified autogynephiles of being self-hating. This is probably true of some number of people. However, as a general claim, I think this is false and wrong, and it is generally wrong to accuse people of being self-hating. There are self-identified autogynephiles who aren't self-hating or aren't at all likely to be.

#transgender #autogynephilia #blanchard

[20th-century-railroading]

KCS711eBlanchardLA5-97 by Joseph Blackwell Via Flickr: Eastbound Blanchard, LA

#kcs #kansas city southern #1997 #trains #freight train #history #blanchard #louisiana

[gaysexunfortunately]

synergizing my deliverables but the synergy is incense, tapestry, and lace and the deliverables are grace, divine femininity, and homosexual transsexuality

#trans #transgender #mtf #mtf trans #girlblog #girlblogging #lana del rey #tapestry #incense #divine feminine #hsts #blanchard #blanchardism

[roughridingrednecks]

Blanchard in Texas

#TX #blanchard #mustache #redneck #tats #blue eyes #cigar #smoker

[postcard-from-the-past]

Blanchard textile factory and Bellegarde Road in Chazelles-sur-Lyon, France

French vintage postcard

#textile #lyon #historic #photo #briefkaart #vintage #chazelles #sur #sepia #bellegarde #photography #carte postale #postcard #blanchard #postkarte #bellegarde road #france #postal #tarjeta #ansichtskarte #french #old #ephemera #postkaart #road #factory

[autoandrone]

i made this blog so i have a place to say whatever i want without worrying about my friends seeing.

- autoandrophilic ftm

-obsessed with the cicada

- i can be your lolcow

- whether or not i believe what i'm saying is up to interpretation

#4tran #blanchard #autoandrophilia #lolcow #oldshit #aap #truscum #pinned

[detournementsmineurs]

"L'Odyssée des Plages" documentaire d'Emmanuel Blanchard (2020), juillet 2023.

#films #Blanchard

[the-cricket-chirps]

Maria Blanchard

Woman with Guitar

1917

#modern art #spanish cubism #cubism #maria blanchard #blanchard #spanish artist #spanish painter #woman with guitar

[gangrapesoda]

EPIC RAP BATTLES OF HISTORY

AGP

VERSUS

HSTS

BEGIN!

#blanchard #autogynephilia #hsts #blanchardianism is a joke so don't take this post seriously

[francepittoresque]

6 juillet 1819 : décès de Sophie Blanchard, première femme aéronaute professionnelle ➽ http://bit.ly/Sophie-Blanchard On raconte que sa mère étant enceinte, vit un voyageur qui lui promit d’épouser l’enfant dont elle devait accoucher, si c’était une fille : ce voyageur était Jean-Pierre Blanchard, le célèbre aéronaute, avec qui la jeune Sophie Armant fut mariée dans son adolescence

#CeJourLà #6Juillet #Blanchard #Sophie #aéronaute #femme #ballon #voyages #aériens #airs #histoire #france #history #passé #past #français #french #news #événement #newsfromthepast

[lindsaytookphotos]

Poke Salad Festival, part 2 of 2.

#blanchard #louisiana #pokesaladfestival #festival #smalltown #filmsimulation #carnival #fair #superslide #rides #carnivalgame #circus