#That's better than last time :)

[stellarspecter]

@pscentral event 20: antagonists ↳ THE LORDS IN BLACK in NERDY PRUDES MUST DIE

#nerdy prudes must die #npmd #starkid #npmdedit #team starkid #the lords in black #hatchetfield #hatchetverse #npmd spoilers #userisiah #userfaiths #userbaz #usercats #userhallie #noooo fucking clue what to tag in this fandom lmao #musicaledit #? sure #anyway yeah i watched npmd and immediately had to make this i was up until 1 am last night #wouldve been earlier but i had to take a break for dnd lol #i was gonna do a tua set for the event but this is easier and better so like. slay #i just wish they had more screen time. pokey and tinky have less than 20 seconds each </3 #oh and the titles and stuff are from the fan wiki. hope i didn't get anything wrong #i've been getting a lot of use out of this motion blur text transition its so funky fresh #*edits

[demaparbat-hp]

Kintsugi is the art of decorating your scars with pieces of Agni.

In the Fire Nation, the amount of golden marks are a sign of status. Only the Royal Family can afford to seal every single wound with Kintsugi. Such is the weight of this tradition that, among the ones with Agni's blood, it is the highest mark of dishonor to have a natural scar, for it proves you aren't worthy of the privilege.

After the Agni Kai, Ozai forbid Zuko's scar to be sealed with Kintsugi. The boy wasn't worth his title, his traditions or his pride. Zuko would be broken, but he wouldn't be beautiful. Not anymore.

(And sometimes it's easier to pretend he never was)

#zutara #atla #zuko #avatar the last airbender #katara #atla fanart #atla zuko #atla art #prince zuko #zuko fanart #zuko art #katara of the southern water tribe #katara art #katara fanart #zutara art #zutara au #It can be seen as platonic tho #kintsugi #Kintsugi au #Zuko wears long sleeves and high necks all the time. It's better than admitting he isn't worthy of the gold in his body #It's a long road to acceptance but the Gaang is there to help him move forward and love himself as he is #It's kind of their pet project #Anyways this Kintsugi-in-ATLA concept is up for sale :) #I'd really like to know what you guys think of it. How it can be expanded and stuff #And how it can affect Zuko's character and already low self-esteem as a result

[crunchcrunchteacakes]

Loid is just better at hiding his locker pictures than Yuri is.

#bond forger #tagging bond first as a redemption for missing out on his name last time #sorry bond you deserve better than me #spy x family #loid forger #yor forger #sxf #twiyor #sxf twilight #sxf thorn princess #anya forger #loid x yor #yuri briar #I am obsessed with this family

[gia-d]

Four has been looking for that headband for HALF AN HOUR--

#linked universe #lu four #lu wind #my art #my sketches #On my last poll people seemed keen for Wind and Four shenanigans #which got me thinking #What about Wind shenanigans AGAINST Four? #He's been wearing it the whole time Four has been looking #Another rush sketch #I've decided to post these little sketches even if I'm not super proud of them #because posting mediocre art is still better than posting no art at all #brotherly shenanigans

[poorly-drawn-mdzs]

Happy Valentine's Day! (and this blog's first post anniversary!)

#poorly drawn mdzs #better drawn mdzs #mdzs #wei wuxian #lan wangji #Woah...it's been a whole *year* since I took the leap and uploaded my 'first attempt' art. #It's outdated now but it holds a special place in my heart for the fact it started all of this off. #Calling this 'poorly-drawn' was always about accepting that my art was going to be imperfect and messy - and doing it anyways! #There has been a staggering number of times I have drawn something I almost didn't upload because I didn't think it was 'good enough' #only for someone to say they liked it - or that it made them laugh. And it has helped me realize - #-The worst critic for my work has always been myself. If I listened to it all the time...well we would not be here now B'*) #And now that I have dabbled in other fandoms I can truly see how lucky was to start out with the MXTX fans. #The supportive messages and tags have truly been a guiding force toward my artistic and self improvement. #I really can't describe how grateful I am. #Thank you for seeing something worth rooting for when I was just figuring things out. #Thank you for being sweeter than the candy I have strategically hidden in the nooks and crannies of this house. #But watch out! If you forget to find them we will get ants. #I remembered to not hide chocolate in the bed this year. Yes I know it melted last time. Yes it did stain. I'm still sorry. #Thank you for loving me regardless <3 Even if it looked like I shit the bed real bad.

[locusfandomtime]

Doing the maths: Grian's failure at getting a mending book

lots of talk about maths and probabilities below the cut! but there's a graph and simple explanation at the end if you want to get the gist of it and are bad at maths.

(I am still young and learning maths, critique/advice always welcomed)

What are the odds of getting a mending book in Minecraft?

(I am assuming Grian has been doing all his fishing with Luck of the Sea 3)

The probability of a mending book is actually a bit annoying to estimate. The Minecraft Wiki lists fishing up an enchanted book as 1.9% chance. This is for ANY enchanted book. The Minecraft wiki talks about how the chance of an enchantment being selected is calculated. Mending has a weight of 2. Using the table, mending has a probability of 2/135.

However, Grian is looking for any book with mending, not just a pure mending book. Additional enchantments are calculated in a different way, involving RNG, which means it won't be as easy to model. Due to this reason, I'll just be using the odds for a pure mending book throughout.

TLDR: a mending book has a 0.028..% chance (2/135*0.019*100)

Grian's Data

According to this screenshot, Grian has used a fishing rod 5679 times. This number may not be fully accurate, as it includes the times he's fished other players, rather than just fished for items, but it is a good estimate.

To help visualise this data, with a median waiting time between catches of 17.5 seconds, Grian has spent over 20 hours fishing so far! He may have a problem.

Is this statistically significant?

Hypothesis testing (p-value approach):

H0: p = 19/67500 (the null hypothesis - he has no mending books because of chance)

H1: p < 19/67500 (the alternate hypothesis - he has no mending books due to different odds)

5679 trials, 0 mending books

X ~ B(5679, 19/67500) (binomial distribution, 5679 tries with a probability of a mending book being 19/67500, where X is the number of mending books)

p(X=0) (what is the probability the number of mending books being 0)

p = 0.2021473392

Now, the point at which data becomes significant is subjective. For instance, you *could* get a million heads in a row flipping a coin, it's not impossible, but at a certain point, you can begin to say "okay there's something not normal about this". For this approach, the closer the p-value is to 0, the more evidence there is against the null hypothesis . The p-value here is far above a significance level of 0.01, or 0.05, or 0.1. There isn't a clear line between significant/non-significant, but this is answer is quite a bit far from 0

With this, I cannot reject the null hypothesis.

Personal conclusion: this is not statistically significant, Grian is just unlucky.

Are other values statistically significant?

Gem's proposed 9000: results in a p-value of 0.079... more significant than Grian's number but I don't imagine Mojang would be too concerned. As said though, it's all subjective.

I am bad at maths, what does all this mean?

Here is a graph, showing what number of mending books you might have after 5679 tries. The height of the bar represents the probability of getting that amount. The numbers at the top are the (rounded) numbers I used in my calculation

The pink column is 0 mending books - like what Grian has! As you can see, it is less likely than getting 1 or 2 books, but not too uncommon to happen.

End conclusion: Grian has bad luck. Like, not as hilariously bad as he thinks, but still bad. If he keeps going, chances are he will get a mending book, but I think he should probably stop fishing because at this point he has a problem.

#if you saw my last post no you didnt #<- misread “5679 fishing rods used” as having fully used up 5679 fishing rods #this is so much better written than my last post though. and i think the graph helps a lot #long post #locus fandom time #locus maths time #grian #hermitcraft #hermitblr #hermitcraft 10 #“why the p value approach” i missed the lesson for it so this is my catch up work unironically

[neverswungonswingingstars]

Unholy Family Promotion from season 1

#these look better than the last time i giffed this bit. I'll get there guys 😂 #interview with the vampire #iwtv #sam reid #jacob anderson #bailey bass #amc iwtv #amc interview with the vampire #amc immortal universe #loustat #unholy family #iwtv promo #mp #my gifs

[royalarchivist]

QSMP Valentine's Day Movie Night VODs

Missed today's surprise movie night? Worried about muted VODs? Have no fear! I managed to get all 5 VODs downloaded before they got hit by copyright (thankfully movie night was only about half an hour today). Here are all the VODs in alphabetical order (please keep in mind these are not entire VODs, they only include the Movie Night section of each streamer's VOD)

Badboyhalo – VOD

oiBagi – VOD

FitMC – VOD

Mikethelink – VOD

Philza – VOD

Run into tech issues? Here's how to fix them:

"Video is still being processed. Try again later." — Google Drive is still processing the video! They're all higher quality videos, so like the message says, you might need to check back later since they're still being uploaded.

"Too many users have viewed or downloaded this file recently." — Here's a video tutorial on how to get around this. TLDR: You'll need to copy the files to your drive.

Have any other issues? Reach out to me and I'll see if I can help!

Please feel free to upload these to Archive.org (unfortunately, the website crashes whenever I use it).

#QSMP #Right now it looks like Bad Fit and Mike are still being processed #Hopefully this works better than last time! #FitMC #Philza #oiBagi #Badboyhalo #Mikethelink #Bad #Fit #Phil #Bagi #Mike #February 14 2024 #QSMP Movie Night #Reuploaded Mike's #Sorry for the delay in posting these I just wanted to make sure all of these looked like they were going to work for everyone

[kimwexlersponytail]

No. No. Just tell me what I need to do to change, okay? Just tell me what it is and i'll do it. Jimmy. No, Kim. You make me happy. We make each other happy. How can that be bad? Hey... I love you. I love you, too. But so what?

McWexler in Every Season

SEASON SIX

#bcsedit #better call saul #mcwexler #jimmy x kim #kim wexler #jimmy mcgill #i'm sad i've officially made one of this for every season it's ovaaa :((( #they really love each other more than anything!!!! look at me i've got psychological damage up to here!!!! #despite what the haters and losers say ms rhea seehorn is absolutely correct and the ending was perfect they found their way back #and kim visiting him in jail is not the last time they see each other #mcwes #mine

[moeblob]

So does he, Gallagher.

#honkai star rail #hsr blade #gallagher #i based this off of how many times i used funny soda man to help be a healer with his poppin soda pop in SU #and then blade constantly just being blade as usual #its normally him saying unnecessary to my actual healer but #i kept forgetting gallagher heals and i kept healing when i didnt even need to so TECHNICALLY yeah it was unnecessary #but the amount of times blade was the recipient...... #i cant use like most of my newer units in story bc i cant ascend or i run out of leveling mats so i just #get them and toss them into simulated universe for funsies cause i can match their levels better #so thats where i tossed gallagher and he is genuinely fun to play as ? like i love his punches and kicks to start the battle #funny soda man is funny (to me) and im really behind in plot still #but last time i tried to play it on my laptop and got a kickass cutscene my laptop lagged and i couldnt even see it RIP to me #so now that its like ... me trying to play it on desktop ? #i mostly get on desktop for comms and if i do much else i feel like im slacking off even if i would take a break anyway #one day i can play more story plot stuff and actually meet the funny guys #also in case you know me for Not Having Boys in HSR i need to point out #i did pull Gallagher however same 10 pull got a 4 star girl copy for someone i never use and she is at e4 now cool #and i didnt even think of the irony as i started this i just like drawing blade and i wanted to draw gallagher #so when i already had the dialogue planned and am drawing i was like OH WAIT haha im funnier than i thought #(no i am not but we can pretend)

[comradekatara]

kyaaaaaa

#id in alt text #avatar the last airbender #atla #kya #hakoda #katara #hakodaxkya #katara&kya #art #mart #babygaang #im pretty sure this is the first time i've ever drawn hakoda #i've drawn kya a few times before (in fact this kya & katara drawing is just a colored in version of a past comic) #but never hakoda #but i've had this idea for a pose for a while now #so what better way to first draw hakoda than this. #also pretend that they are in warm water. and not currently freezing their asses off #straight people <3 #baby katara <333 #milves <333333333

[expelliarmus]

#mine #doctor who #dwedit #david tennant #catherine tate #a little bit meh on the colouring #but i think it turned out better than last time i giffed this #hi friends!! sorry it's been a few days since i've posted a gifset #been busy with work stuff and just tired overall #but 2 more weeks of work and then it's spring break!!! #hope you've all been doing ok!!

[stealingyourbones]

Submitted Prompts #160

I was listening to that song "Space is Cool" that a fan made with Markiplier videos (what can I say, the music is really good).

And it reminded me of Danny, who's also so very in love with space.

And now I'm getting a clear mental picture of Danny full-on GUSHING about Space, in a sort of Outside POV thing.

Like, a Danny who's going to Uni in somewhere like Gotham or Star City, and got into the Astronomy club. And their "recruitment video" is just the cute freshman who adores space and will take any chance he gets to gush about it.

There's a lot of shots zoomed in on his pupils doing the cat thing of going from slits to big pools of black (like a black hole at the center of a galaxy) and his freckles start glowing in constellation patterns.

They go on an outing to the nearest Observatory, make it a sleepover thing, and sleepy Danny stretches and howls like a star, flops onto the nearest classmate and Club Member, and starts purring whenever they pet him.

He may be a meta, but they'll be damned if anyone blabbers to Batman about it.

Cue one Conner Kent coming to Gotham to tour their University, to pick where he wants to go when it's his turn next year, and find himself sitting next to Danny when he goes off on a rant about some deep space scans that caught images of Krypton before the explosion.

When asked about his opinion on the Supers, Danny, who's gotten so used to casual affections being directed towards him in the form of head scratches and hugs (they make Danny purr and light up in all kinds of patterns, so the club members do it as often as they can), pats him on the head and quietly praises Superboy for all the important work he does, and how his cloned little sister has always seen him as a mark that being a clone means nothing in the grand scheme of things, and it's who you are that counts.

Conner goes back to his parents in happy tears and with an invitation to attend Gotham U if he so chooses.

#dpxdc #bones submissions #i want an Older Danny who's so soft to the younger teen heroes #especially the ones with a darker past #he knows the struggle to make others see that you're better than what everyone thinks #Ellie melts back into her age in living yers and develops a puppy crush on Kon for being a clone and still being loved #time and therapy lead Clark to realize Superboy is an innocent kid who hasnt been alive for more than a handful of years #so they have one last screaming match #that ends with a 'i hate that i can't help but want you as my dad' 'i know. and im sorry. i want to prove to you that I can be better' #Lois made both of them go to therapy for their issues #Conner is divided between being a little in love with Danny #or afraid of introducing him to Tim and the others #joke's on him Tim is a part of the Astronomy Club #he orchestrated their meeting

[shimmershy]

Just two siblings back from the dead, hanging out, totally not using this opportunity to torment one another for the rest of time! <3

Chara Week Day 4: Flowers

[Image Description: A digital drawing of Chara and Flowey from Undertale. They're on the Surface, with grass and trees and mountains stretching out behind them. Chara has golden flowers clustered around their left eye and speckled in their hair and on their hands. They're kneeling on the ground and smiling wide, holding Flowey's flower pot in one arm. Their other hand is outstretched in front of them and holding a camera. Flowey has a red bow wrapped around his stem and stickers in the shape of hearts, stars, and smiley faces decorating his pot. He looks annoyed as Chara leans their face in close to his to take a photo. /End ID]

#chara week #chara week 2023 #safeutdr #undertale #chara dreemurr #my art #flowey #undertale flowey #undertale chara #chara undertale #flowey undertale #chara #there were a lot of things I could have done with the flowers prompt but I wanted to do something more wholesome than my last post #plus this was the first thing that came to mind. flowey is a flower. and I usually draw Chara with flowers all over them post-pacifist so #it's like the golden flowers became a part of both of them after they got resurrected. ✨symbolism ✨ idk. #the stickers on Flowey's pot are courtesy of Frisk. they like decorating everything with stickers #also. sorry for giving every character I draw black nail polish. it will happen again. </3 #i'm not super satisfied with the background of this one because I was pretty lazy with it and it doesn't mesh well with the foreground #buuuuut I'm fine with it because I don't want to spend more time fixing it. and it's like. fine. just not as good as it COULD be #also I'm new to writing image descriptions so if there's anything I could adjust/describe better let me know #I just thought I should try adding one when I can #🌼

[getosugurusbangs]

hngggghhhh

post 1

post 3

#oops! my hand slipped #um i got like 5 hours of sleep last night #i’m doing alright i’m just really giggly right now #like i was watching funny videos as i was eating lunch and it was not a great time #i was having fun but my lunch took a while to get eaten #i think these ones are (for the most part) better than the ones in part 1 #there are several really good ones in pt1 but the rest fell a little flat #uhhh peace ✌️ #jjk #jujutsu kaisen #jjk shitpost #jjk memes #gojo satoru #satoru gojo #geto suguru #suguru geto #satosugu #shoko ieiri #nobara kugisaki #maki zenin #yuta okkotsu #toge inumaki #megumi fushiguro #yuji itadori #me.txt

[clefadrylcanines]

May 8th is just around the corner, and do you know what that means? Making cute designs for the Dracula cast so I can get fully invested again and make jokes about a 130 year old book.

Full line up below.

#dracula #dracula daily #bram stoker #count dracula #jonathan harker #mina murray #mina harker #lucy westenra #abraham van helsing #arthur holmwood #quincey p morris #jack seward #renfield #i wanted to make more art last year but i A. didn't have a good spot to post it and B. i was reading it for the first time last year #i was also much slower at drawing and uber busy #better late than never! i am jumping hard and fast on this band wagon again! #my art