People Just Say Things, part 1: fake data
(source, via onefiftyfivemm: "Donald Rumsfeld would blanche at what they had to do to the statistics to yield this kind of finding")
People just say things. Nonsensical things. Hey, whoever is running the @everytown account, do you ever reflect on the fact that you're running a propaganda outlet and feel a gram of shame about that?
Because this image that your brain-eaten zombie-foundation posted is a great illustration of how you're not even wrong. As the saying goes, liars know where they hid the truth, but bullshitters don't know what truth is.
There's many layers of wrongness here that I'll dig into.
First, let's start with these goons saying "The result is clear". The result is not clear. Their own image indicates a very unclear result. A small MSPaint edit to highlight:
Ninth-from-bottom has about one-ninth the gun law strength and the same "gun violence rate" as the top one. The rate difference between some adjacent states in this ordering is larger than the entire rate of some states. There is a weak correlation, but it is less clear than, for example, the classic graph of Global Warming relative to Number of Pirates.
Second, even if we suppose there were a clear ordering, that doesn't show causality.
Third, even if we suppose there's a causality from gun law strength (however that's calculated) to gun violence rate (however that's calculated, we'll get to these further down), that doesn't show "save lives". For that you'd have to be graphing deaths or homicides instead of "violence", and you'd have to be graphing total deaths not gun deaths.
Fourth, it's customary to put a source for the data on the graphic so that it can be inspected. Everytown put "everytownresearch.org" which is more an advertisement for their broader organization's homepage.
(Lol misinformation.) Searching for 'gun law strength' on that homepage does not turn up a chart matching the one in the image.
After poking around, I found where some of their data is at present: https://everytownresearch.org/rankings/ . I say "some" because it only goes into detail about the gun law strength, not the gun violence data, which I'll get to in a moment. Here we can learn that ninth-from-bottom is New Hampshire, which for the veteran student of Americana should bring to mind a better explanation for low violence rates than anything gun-related: it's race. NH is the fourth most white state and the fifth least black state. US state-by-state comparisons that don't account for race are almost as worthless as those which don't calculate per capita.
Fifth, let's get back to the "however that's calculated" and the gun law strength.
Law strength is a highly subjective measure, so it's hard to say that any specific calculation is correct - but I found it surprisingly easy to see that Everytown is doing theirs wrong from reading what they say about their gun law strength.
The top 50 laws we focus on represent a wide range of interventions. Some block gun access by people who pose a threat with a firearm while others focus on limiting gun violence in public. Some seek to increase police accountability and protect civil rights, while another set targets bad actors in the gun industry.
"people who pose a threat with a firearm" - much of the God-damned point of a firearm is to pose a threat, at best this needs a better editor, at worst it implies a complete ban.
"protect civil rights" - this phrase is drivel. If any right is to be protected here, it is the right to bear arms.
(My readers can probably find more things wrong with that paragraph.)
At one point I might have said: the sheer gall of these people to talk about 'protect civil rights'.
But now I've grown old and cynical enough to say instead: 'civil rights' in the mouth of commies has nothing to do with rights in the classic sense, like the 2A right to bear arms or the 1A right to free speech. It's closer to the behavior of Nebuchadnezzar in the Book of Daniel: set up an idol and demand people bow to it or suffer, but now with a living idol so that you can blame its sufferings on the unbelievers. Insist that the idol has a 'right' to be bowed to. Not bowing is a hate crime against the idolated people.
Go to Hell, idolaters.
Yeah we're still in the gun law strength section, and it's still absurd box-ticking of shit that can be circumvented by bringing a reload. Or a second gun. Although I suppose it might be effective if you assume that mass shooters are too stupid to do that, and will go shooting with only one magazine, whatever the size is.
The MeTHodOLOgiCAlLy RiGoRouS reSEaRcH [spongemock.jpg] behind this is a bunch of claims like this lurid box:
Everytown can't stop editorializing in the "fact" section for one fucking second, while not providing numbers, citations, or baselines, and their editing is bad too.
Or take this anecdote, which is sourced:
Assault weapons and high-capacity magazines are frequently used in mass shootings, resulting in more deaths and injuries. Over the past decade, the five deadliest mass shooting incidents in America all involved the use of assault weapons and high-capacity magazines (Las Vegas, NV; Orlando, FL; Newtown, CT; Sutherland Springs, TX; Parkland, FL).4 The 2009 Fort Hood, TX, shooter – who shot and killed 13 people and injured 32 more – specifically sought out high-capacity magazines in preparation for his attack. A witness to the shooter’s purchase at a Killeen, TX, gun dealer reported, “He gave me two specifications. He said he wanted the most technologically advanced weapon on the market and the one with the highest magazine capacity.”5
This one-note propaganda outlet is torturing statistics and massaging definitions to make their case and still manages to shoot itself in the foot with its own examples. If he thought to specify that, that indicates he's smart enough to specify that he wants reloads in case of a high capacity magazine ban. What then - you going to demand unreloadable guns?
Sixth and finally for now, how "gun violence" is calculated: It includes suicides.
An outsized portion of the gun violence in New Hampshire is suicide, which makes up 89% of gun deaths in the state (compared with 59% nationally). New Hampshire should pass Extreme Risk laws to limit gun access for people at high risk of suicide. Legislators did recently pass a background checks law, but the governor vetoed it. However, the state also repealed a key protection in 2017, removing its concealed carry permitting law.
You will search in vain for counseling, pastoral care, or therapy in the calculations of Everytown's "gun law strength" score. But you'll see lots of micromanagement of carry restrictions!
The festering puke-piles at Everytown are screeching about a stat which, by their own admission, is majority suicides, but they're showing fuck-all worth of care for the suicidal. Instead it's restrict this, regulate that, make it easier to deprive people of rights, and lots of rhetoric about mass shooters and dangerous criminals and blood in the streets and other things which imply it's homicide they're concerned about.
Go to Hell, Everytown.